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GC1! (Gold Futures)

GOLD rose for two consecutive sessions after inflation dataOANDA:XAUUSD rose on Friday (October 11), after US inflation data reinforced the prospect of lower interest rates this year, keeping the dollar below recent peaks, amid haven demand. Safety stemming from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East also boosted gold. At the end of the trading session on October 11, the spot gold contract increased 1% to 2,656.09 USD/oz, increasing for the second consecutive session. Gold futures contracts added 1.3% to 2,674.40 USD/oz. The PPI producer price index in the US was unchanged in September, showing that the inflation outlook remains favorable and supporting expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower interest rates next month. The PPI data looks friendly to precious metals bulls and shows that the Fed is still on track to lower interest rates this year. This data comes after CPI data in the US rose slightly higher than forecast last month, however, the annual inflation increase was at the lowest level in more than 3 and a half years. The dollar steadied below a 2-month peak on Friday. On the physical front, gold dealers in India charged premiums for the first time in two months this week as the upcoming festive season attracted some buying of copper jewellery. Gold holdings of ETFs increased to nearly 95 tons in the third quarter. This means ETFs are contributing positively to gold demand again for the first time in 10 quarters.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD recovers strongly from support area, eye US PPIOn Friday (October 11) in the Asian market, spot gold suddenly increased sharply in the short term. Gold price has just exceeded 2,645 USD/ounce, increasing more than 15 USD during the day. While US CPI data was slightly higher than expected, US initial jobless claims data performed poorly. This caused the US Dollar index to decrease significantly. In addition, tensions in the Middle East also attracted a wave of safe-haven gold buying. On Thursday, although US CPI data came in slightly higher than expected, US initial jobless claims data performed poorly. Data on Thursday showed that the US consumer price index (CPI) in September rose 2.4% year-on-year, exceeding expectations for a 2.3% increase. Core CPI increased by 3.3% over the same period last year, exceeding expectations and the 3.2% increase in August. Additionally, US CPI rose 0.2% month-on-month in September, a similar increase to the previous month and above the consensus estimate of 0.1%. The US core CPI growth rate in September was stable at 0.3% over the previous month, exceeding expectations of 0.2%. The data also showed the number of Americans filing new unemployment claims last week rose to the highest level in more than a year, reflecting a weakening labor market partly due to a rise in jobless claims. strong in Michigan and the effects of Hurricane Helene. OANDA:XAUUSD supported by broad-based risk aversion and a softer USD ahead of US Producer Price Index (PPI) data released later on Friday. On Thursday evening local time, the Israeli security cabinet held a meeting to decide how to respond to Iran's large-scale missile attack on Israel on the 1st of this month. Science Minister Gila Gamliel, a member of Israel's security cabinet, said the security cabinet would "make the right decision" to prevent another Iranian attack. Gamliel told Israeli public broadcaster Kan that revenge was imminent and could happen at any time. US and Israeli officials told Axios that US President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu moved closer to the scope of Israel's planned retaliation against Iran during their phone call on Wednesday, media reported. American news agency Axios reported on Thursday (local time). The Biden administration admits that Israel will soon launch a major attack on Iran. Pay attention to PPI data US annual PPI growth in September is expected to slow to 1.6% while year-on-year core PPI growth in September is expected to increase to 2.7%, compared to previous growth of 2.4% in August. PPI data is almost as influential as CPI data and is also expected to create strong fluctuations in the market. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has recovered significantly from the key support area that readers noticed in the publications before gold adjusted down to the 2,608 – 2,600 USD area. The recovery gains achieved the initial target at $2,634 and broke this level, which would qualify gold to continue towards the next target at $2,660 in the short term. There are no changes in the technical structure that support the upside, with the Relative Strength Index also folding upward from 50, which is seen as the closest support in terms of momentum. During the day, the technical outlook for gold prices continues to be bullish and notable levels are listed below. Support: 2,634 – 2,630 – 2,626USD Resistance: 2,660 – 2,672 – 2685USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2663 - 2661⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2667 →Take Profit 1 2656 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2655 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2621 - 2623⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2618 →Take Profit 1 2628 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2633
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD → Retest of descending channel resistance in front of PPI..FX:XAUUSD is forming a double bottom from which a rally towards strong resistance is forming. CPI showed worse than expected data, surprisingly. Manipulation? Price has not yet moved out of the corrective channel. Ahead of PPI. Annual inflation fell from 2.5% to 2.4% (expected 2.3%). The probability of a 0.25% interest rate cut in November rose to 86% (vs. 0.5%) The disappointing Initial Jobless Claims data in the US overshadowed the hot CPI data for September, keeping the hope of a rate cut in November... Ahead is PPI, a fairly important report that could affect prices... The metal is trapped in a descending channel and there is a huge liquidity density above 2645. The bears, the custodians of this liquidity, may put aggressive pressure if PPI shows strong data... Resistance levels: 2645, 2651, 2660 Support levels: 2637, 2623, 2600 Technically, gold is in a correction phase. From the bottom of the channel a strong movement of 2% has been formed and there is not much potential to break through the resistance. The most probable outcome is a decline after a false breakdown or consolidation below 2640. BUT! It is not excluded that a surprise in the news can turn the picture in the opposite direction.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
GOLD is affected by the Middle EastAs recent jobs data prompted investors to lower expectations for a sharp interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in November, and as tensions in the Middle East showed signs of easing, gold prices fell. strong but it seems this is just a profit-taking move and not a downtrend with solid conditions. Following last week's positive jobs report, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 50 basis points at its November meeting, according to CME's FedWatch tool, the market currently predicts an 86.8% chance of a 25% rate cut. basic point. Markets will focus on the minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting to be released on Thursday, followed by US consumer price index data on Thursday and producer price index data on Thursday. out on Friday. US inflation data due out on Thursday is expected to show price pressures continuing to ease, but there is little further push for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates further in the meantime. next time. Therefore, the current gold price trend is temporarily governed by geopolitical developments. On Thursday, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of its September monetary policy meeting. The market will have additional trading materials from the meeting minutes. The Federal Reserve almost unanimously agreed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points at its September meeting. In addition to the Federal Reserve meeting minutes, many Federal Reserve officials will speak during this trading day, including Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson, Fed Chairman Richmond Barkin, Fed Chairman Atlanta Bostic, Fed President Dallas Logan and Chicago Fed President Gu lsby. Regarding the situation in the Middle East, Lebanese Hezbollah deputy leader Naim Qassem said in a televised speech at an undisclosed location on Tuesday that he supported the efforts of the National Assembly Speaker. Lebanon Berri aimed to promote a ceasefire without specifying Hezbollah's proposal. It is worth noting that this is the first time that Hezbollah does not consider ending the war in Gaza a prerequisite for ending fighting in Israel and Lebanon. OANDA:XAUUSD known for its stability and as a tool to prevent geopolitical and economic risks, and when geopolitical risks show some signs of cooling down, gold also falls due to weakening shelter demand. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold is correcting but there are also signs of recovery from the EMA21 level, the key support level you will pay attention to throughout these publications. With the main trend from the price channel and the EMA21 level not being broken below, gold's technical outlook still has conditions for price increases. In the short term, holding above $2,608 – $2,600 provides room for gold to recover with the nearest target at $2,634 and more to $2,660 once it breaks above initial resistance at $2,634. The relative strength index RSI points down with a moderate slope and is close to the area of ​​the 50 level, the 50 level is considered the closest support level currently, the RSI pointing up from this level will be considered a signal price increase. As long as gold remains within the price channel and above the EMA21, it still has enough upside and notable levels are listed below. Support: 2,608 – 2,600USD Resistance: 2,634 – 2,660USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2646 - 2644⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2650 →Take Profit 1 2639 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2634 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2594 - 2596⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2590 →Take Profit 1 2601 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2606
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD recovers moderately after sharp declineOANDA:XAUUSD maintained a moderate intraday recovery after yesterday's sharp decline. Gold price is currently trading around 2,611 USD/ounce. Minutes of the Federal Reserve's September meeting showed that the vast majority of Fed officials favored a significant 50 basis point interest rate cut. Traders' focus now turns to the US CPI data released today. Today the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Investors will focus on this report for more data to evaluate on the US interest rate outlook. The market expects US annual CPI growth in September to decrease from 2.5% to 2.3%. CPI in September is expected to increase by 0.1% over the previous month, lower than the previous increase of 0.2%. The annual US core CPI growth rate in September is expected to remain at 3.2%; Core CPI growth rate compared to the previous month in September is expected to decrease from 0.3% to 0.2%. The market estimates inflation will continue to decline, data equal to or lower than expected would be a very positive signal for gold prices. However, if inflation is higher than the previous period, it will open the door for expectations that the Fed will pause the monetary policy easing cycle and this is not beneficial for gold, boosting the US Dollar. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold is trying to hold above key technical levels above the $2,600 full price and above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level. Temporarily, the recovery momentum is quite weak, hindered by the EMA21 level. However, conditions still allow gold prices to rise technically with the trend channel not broken below, on the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) approaching the 50 level, showing some signs of being broken. bend and if RSI points up it will be a positive signal for gold prices. As long as gold remains within the price channel, it still has conditions to increase in price. In case gold is sold below the level of 2,600 USD, confirmed by the price penetrating the level of 2,594 USD, it will tend to decrease further with the target level being able to reach 2,560 USD, the price point of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement. During the day, gold still has a technical outlook that leans heavily towards price increases with notable levels listed below. Support: 2,608 – 2,600 – 2,594USD Resistance: 2,618 – 2,634 – 2,660USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2636 - 2634⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2640 →Take Profit 1 2629 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2624 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2589 - 2591⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2585 →Take Profit 1 2596 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2601
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Can SILVER BREAKOUT above 32.50?Silver (along with every other beaten down commodity) exploded on the news of China's stimulus! Unfortunately for silver bugs "somebody" was lying in wait with a mighty big hammer when it poked its head above 32.50. In a vacuum the fundamentals (supply/demand) are incredibly bullish. However in the macro context of China's housing and economic woes there is a bear case to be made for base and industrial metals. If Copper starts rolling over I expect Silver to follow. Raw cash injections might keep Chinese stocks afloat but I do not believe it alter the reality of the real economy and its effect on commodities. In addition to the issues with China, the US is at serious risk of a recession. 50 basis point cut has never been bullish. If you take the time to look at the last initial 50 basis point cuts it might curb your enthusiasm. I know... this time "its different" TECHNICALS: Silver may retrace to the $30 breakout level.... Great re-entry... if it holds... ( ; If Silver is able to hold above 32.50 the rally remains intact.
COMEX:SI1!Short
by TheSilverOracle
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 7-11th: GOLD | XAUUSDGOLD | XAUUSD is in consolidation currently. I am waiting for it to touch down at the Weekly +FVG and move higher. I'm interested more in long setups versus shorts. Patience usually pays, so I wait and watch for valid setups to form this week. Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by RT_Money
2
GOLD → The pressure from above is building. New lows...FX:XAUUSD stops testing local highs. Strong growth has stopped and the price is being squeezed between the boundaries of the narrowing consolidation. The exit of the price from the figure will be accompanied by an impulse... Last week changed the general fundamental background, gold traders are getting nervous and moving into a phase of profit taking on the back of strong economic data. Ahead is the FOMC meeting where further steps to regulate the US economy will be discussed. Technically, gold stops trying to update or test the highs, feeling pressure from above, but at the same time the price is probing the base from below, gradually updating the local lows. A gradually narrowing consolidation is forming on the chart and if there is a price exit from the figure, it will be accompanied by a strong impulse. Resistance levels: 2650, 2659 Support levels: 2632, 2623, 2613 I continue to hold that bears will continue to press the price, which will provoke the price exit downwards with further retest of 2623-2613-2600. But we need to keep an eye on the regulators' comments and the dollar's behavior... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
29
NF data is coming in, GOLD remains stable with rising channelOANDA:XAUUSD Continuing to maintain the recovery trend with a slight increase in the Asian trading session on October 4, gold is currently trading at 2,661 USD/oz, a slight increase equivalent to 0.21% on the day and about 5 USD as of today. the time the article was completed. Investors will release the US nonfarm payrolls report, which is expected to cause major volatility in the gold market. US nonfarm payroll employment is expected to increase by 140,000 in September. The US non-farm payrolls report for September will be released, this is the most important data this week. Surveys show the number of nonfarm workers in the United States is expected to increase by a seasonally adjusted 140,000 in September, following a gain of 142,000 in August. US unemployment rate expected ​will remain unchanged at 4.2% in September. In addition to changes in overall nonfarm payroll employment and the unemployment rate, investors need to focus on average hourly earnings data, which can provide important signals about inflation. broadcast. The average annual hourly wage increase in the United States in September is expected to be unchanged from 3.8% the previous month. Surveys show average hourly wages in the United States are expected to rise 0.3% in September, following a 0.4% increase in August. The September non-farm payrolls report is the next important economic data in the US that could affect Fed policy. If non-farm data is stronger than expected, this could further weaken expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates sharply in November, thereby pushing the dollar higher and creating pressure. for gold price. Conversely, if non-farm employment data is lower than expected, this will be a positive signal for gold prices as it will boost expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates sharply, and cause the currency to US Dollar weakens again. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold is still trading fairly stable with an uptrend after recovering from corrections and from the support area noted by readers in the previous issue at the lower edge of the price channel, confluence with horizontal support at 2,634USD. In terms of structure, there are no changes compared to previous publications, still an uptrend highlighted by the price channel and weekly target level at 2,672USD. Once the $2,672 level is broken above, gold will have room to continue rising a little further with a target then around $2,685. As long as gold remains within the price channel and above the 0.618% Fibonacci extension at $2,624, it still has a short-term technical bullish outlook. Notable levels are listed below. Support: 2,645 – 2,634 – 2,624USD Resistance: 2,672 – 2,685USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2690 →Take Profit 1 2689 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2684 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2619 - 2621⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2615 →Take Profit 1 2626 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2631
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD stabilized at the beginning of the weekOANDA:XAUUSD It is still trading quite stably as at the beginning of the week there were no macro data or events that created a shock on the market. On Tuesday (October 8) in the Asian market, spot gold is currently trading around 2,643 USD/ounce. OANDA:XAUUSD weakened on Monday due to a significant rise in US bond yields, but gold's decline was limited as geopolitical tensions still had the potential for unexpected spikes. Gold prices reached a record high of 2,685.42 USD/ounce on September 26. Gold is considered a hedge against economic and geopolitical instability and tends to thrive in low interest rate environments. Last week's US jobs report reinforced beliefs that the economy is unlikely to require significant interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve for the rest of the year, with traders currently pricing in There is an 86% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by just 25bps next month. The market will focus on the Federal Reserve's policy meeting minutes, as well as US consumer price index (CPI) and producer price index (PPI) data this week. In addition, China's central bank did not buy gold for reserves in September for the fifth consecutive month. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Although gold has had 4 consecutive days of decline, the price declines were not strong and did not create any breakthroughs, as the declines were limited and recovered quickly. Temporarily, the price drops should only be considered a technical correction without any impact on the main uptrend with the nearest support at 2,634 USD. Note to previous readers. The main support follows the EMA21 line, with gold recovering above the 2,645 USD price point of the 0.786% Fibonacci level, it will have conditions to set expectations to retest the 2,672 USD level once again. The relative strength index points down with a very moderate slope, not a significant bearish signal. In case the $2,634 level breaks below gold there is still some other support from the 0.618% Fibonacci level and the EMA21 moving average. There is no change in the main trend with price channel as the long-term trend, and notable technical levels are listed again as follows. Support: 2,634 – 2,624USD Resistance: 2,645 – 2,659 – 2,672USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2666 - 2664⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2670 →Take Profit 1 2659 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2654 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2619 - 2621⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2615 →Take Profit 1 2626 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2631
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD follows geopolitical trendsOANDA:XAUUSD fell on Friday (October 4) after a better-than-expected US jobs report dampened expectations for a sharp interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve next month, boosting the dollar. However, geopolitical risks related to Israel and Iran supported gold prices, limiting the downward adjustment. The U.S. labor market added more jobs than expected in September, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell, reflecting the job market outlook, the U.S. Department of Labor reported last Friday. much stronger than expected. New U.S. nonfarm payrolls totaled 254,000 in September, above August's revised 159,000 and better than market expectations of 150,000. The unemployment rate decreased 0.1% month-on-month to 4.1% in September. The market expects the unemployment rate to stabilize at 4.2%. As a key indicator of inflationary pressures, annual wage growth increased to 4% from 3.9% in August, a monthly increase of 0.4%, in line with August data, The labor force participation rate was unchanged from the previous month at 62.7%. After strong employment data, the market expects that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in November and December, while lowering expectations for interest rate cuts at the next four Fed meetings to less than 100 basis points. According to CME Group's "Fed Watch Tool", the market currently predicts the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in November is 97.4% and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 2.6%. . Israel does not guarantee not to carry out retaliatory attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities On Friday (October 4) local time, a senior US State Department official announced that Israel has not assured the Biden administration that it will not carry out retaliatory attacks against facilities. Iran's nuclear program. Israel and Iran have never been closer to opening a new, much more dangerous front in the war raging across the Middle East. The US official added that it was difficult to know whether Israel would launch a retaliatory strike on October 7, the first anniversary of a major attack by Hamas on Israel. Israeli officials say Israel will launch "retaliation" in the next few days after a major Iranian missile attack, possibly targeting oil production facilities and other strategic locations in Iran - according to Axios reported Wednesday. Iran threatened Tuesday to launch another attack if Israel responded with force following the launch of nearly 200 missiles. Axios also reported Israeli officials saying that if this happens, all options will be on the table, including an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities. This week, the US will release inflation data, initial jobless claims and the University of Michigan's consumer confidence index. At the same time, the geopolitical situation will continue to limit the decline in gold prices. An escalation in the conflict involving Hezbollah, Iran, Israel and the United States would be expected to provide potential support for new highs in gold prices. Economic data to watch out for this week Wednesday: Minutes of September FOMC meeting Thursday: US Consumer Price Index(CPI), Weekly Jobless Claims Friday: U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI), University of Michigan preliminary consumer sentiment Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold had a highly volatile trading week but overall remained stable with an uptrend, and all downward corrections recovered quickly when reaching support levels of interest to readers at 2,624 - 2,645 USD. The relative strength index (RSI) is pointing down from the overbought level, but the slope is not large and does not create any significant decline, showing that the market sentiment does not want to short-sell gold and the selling motivation is very weak. The trend of gold price will still be stable with short-term price channel and EMA21 as main support. As long as gold remains in the price channel, its technical outlook is still bullish. The target level is fixed at 2,672 USD, which means the nearest resistance is at 2,672 USD followed by the previously established all-time high of 2,685 USD. In the coming time, the gold price outlook will be shaped by the following technical levels. Support: 2,645 – 2,634 – 2,624USD Resistance: 2,672 – 2,685USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2673 - 2671⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2677 →Take Profit 1 2666 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2661 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2629 - 2631⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2625 →Take Profit 1 2636 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2641
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD Rejection on the 4H MA50 gives a short-term sell signal.Gold (XAUUSD) appears to have entered a ranged phase, similar to the 'Accumulation Rectangle' pattern of August 19 - September 11. This (almost) 1 month consolidation was the accumulation pattern that the market used in order to fuel the next big Bullish Leg, supported by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). The 4H MA50 was acting as a Pivot though during the Rectangle and a rejection on September 02 there, caused the last Support (bottom) test before it started the recovery process. We believe we might be on a similar stage as the 4H RSI is posting a similar Lower Highs trend-line. As a result, we believe that the current potential rejection on the 4H MA50 is a short-term sell opportunity, targeting 2625. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TradingShot
1
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Oct 07 - Oct 11]In the beginning of last week, OANDA:XAUUSD increased from 2,624 USD/oz to 2,672 USD/oz due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Immediately afterwards, international gold prices dropped to close to 2,631 USD/oz after US non-agricultural employment figures for September were announced at 254,000 jobs, much higher than the forecast of 147,000 jobs. The unemployment rate also decreased to 4.1% from 4.2% in August. In addition, wages increased more than expected when they increased by 0.4% last month. This reduces expectations that the FED will continue to cut interest rates by 0.5% next month. However, concerns about the escalating Middle East conflict pushed gold prices up to 2,670 USD/oz, then closed the week at 2,653 USD/oz. This week, the US will release the minutes of the FED meeting and inflation indicators, such as the consumer price index (CPI) and producer price index (PPI). Previously, the FED paid more attention to labor market data. Now the escalating geopolitical conflict threatens to push oil prices up even more, putting pressure on inflation, so CPI and PPI will receive special attention from the market. If these two figures increase sharply, the FED may delay, or only cut interest rates by 0.25% next month. This will have a negative impact on gold prices next week, possibly pushing gold prices below the 2,600 USD/oz area. 📌Technically, on the H4 chart, the gold price moves sideways and accumulates in a triangle model. If the 2630 support zone is penetrated, the gold price will adjust to below 2600. However, if the conflict between Israel and Iran escalates strongly, it is possible that next week's gold price will break its peak. 2,700 USD/oz. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2.600 – 2.625USD Resistance: 2.700 – 2.676USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2711 - 2709⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2715 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2589 - 2591⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2585
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD → Ahead of NonFarm Payrolls. What to expect from gold?FX:XAUUSD is in consolidation with gradually narrowing local extrema. NonFarm Payrolls are ahead and traders are getting nervous about further movement. Up for renewal of highs or a long-awaited correction? Before NFP, traders resorted to adjusting positions, taking profits on the US dollar rally (reasons: strong employment and PMI data from ISM). The encouraging data weakened bets on an aggressive interest rate cut by the Fed. However, the decline in gold prices remains subdued due to heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The future direction of the gold price will be determined by the upcoming US employment data. Gold could move into a correction if NFP shows an upside surprise, which would impact the USD rally and strengthen bets for a 0.25% Fed rate cut in November. Conversely... Resistance levels: 2665, 2673, 2685 Support levels: 2653, SMA 200 & 50, 2640 The SMAs are narrowing, which could also be a hint of a possible correction (if there is a crossover). Technically gold is ready for a correction, but fundamentally, unpredictable news may affect further growth. Analysts are inclined to the beginning of correction on the background of strong economic data of the first half of the week Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
13
GOLD decreased slightly after the US employment reportOANDA:XAUUSD fell in the trading session on Friday (October 4), when traders almost stopped betting on the possibility of the Federal Reserve (Fed) reducing interest rates by 0.5 percentage points in next meeting. Interest rate expectations moved strongly after the market received the US September employment report much better than expected. At closing, the spot price of gold in the New York market decreased by 2.2 USD/oz compared to the closing level of the previous session, equivalent to a decrease of 0.08%, to 2,654.3 USD/oz - according to data from the exchange. Kitco translation. For the whole week, spot gold price decreased by 4.6 USD/oz, equivalent to a decrease of 0.17%. A report from the US Department of Labor shows that the number of new jobs created in the non-agricultural sector in September reached 254,000 jobs, far exceeding the forecast of 150,000 new jobs that economists made in a survey by Dow Jones news agency. The unemployment rate decreased slightly to 4.1% instead of remaining at 4.2% as forecast. The USD increased sharply after the above report was published, and bets on a 0.5 percentage point interest rate cut at the Fed's November meeting almost disappeared. All of these movements put downward pressure on the price of gold - the asset is priced in USD and does not carry interest. The Dollar Index, which measures the strength of the USD compared to six other major currencies, increased nearly 0.5%, closing Friday at 102.49 points, the highest since mid-August. This week, the Dollar Index increased by 2.1% due to a sharp drop in expectations for a 0.5 percentage point interest rate cut by the Fed, not to mention the need to hedge against Middle East geopolitical risks, which encouraged investors to buy the currency. greenbacks and US treasury bonds. In the past month, the index has increased nearly 1.3% - according to data from MarketWatch.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD: Quick sell opportunityGold is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 63.790, MACD = 41.420, ADX = 28.520), gone down considerably from its previous oversold levels as it has turned sideways since September 26th, in a range that looks like the last consolidation of late August. Now that the 4H MA50 has been breached, the metal can technically make an attempt to test the bottom of the Channel. This is a strong short term sell opportunity (TP = 2,625). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by InvestingScope
GOLD → Price breaks support. Panic and news...FX:XAUUSD stands still, traders doubt further actions. There are two days of important news ahead, which can provoke panic and profit-taking.... The market reacts weakly to the rather serious actions in the Middle East, the price is in consolidation without updating local extremes. The dollar is strengthening amid decreasing risks of a 0.5% cut in interest rates in November (the most likely scenario is 0.25%). A strong ADP employment report eased concerns about the state of the US labor market, supporting expectations of Friday's NFP. Ahead of the PMI from ISM and Initial Jobless Claims. Technically, the chart failed to give impetus from support, with the SMA acting as support. After a failed attempt, price came back and broke the conglomerate of support: the rising line, sma and 2650-2654. Can you feel traders getting nervous?) Resistance levels: 2650, SMA, 2656, 2663 Support levels: 2640, 2623, 2613, 2600 The trigger is 2640. If the buyers do not hold this area, the price may spill to the bottom of the range, as well as reach the imbalance zone. But, there may be high volatility before the news, within which the price may test the resistance before further downward correction. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
20
ADP exerts pressure, but geopolitics is the main influence nowOANDA:XAUUSD is trading quite stable during the Asian trading session on October 3, as of the time this article was completed, spot gold was trading at 2,655USD/oz. After the release of stronger-than-expected US ADP data the previous trading day, the US Dollar strengthened and gold prices plummeted to 2,640.91USD/ounce. However, affected by tensions in the Middle East, gold prices have recovered strongly from low levels. Although the "small non-farm" ADP data stimulated a rise in the US Dollar and US bond yields, which was not good for gold prices, tensions in the Middle East supported gold prices, which is very easy to see recently as news and breaking points from the Middle East cover the market. U.S. ADP private-sector employment rose by 143,000 in September, more than an expected gain of 125,000, according to Wednesday's economic data. The previous value was an increase of 99,000. Israel will carry out “massive retaliation” in the next few days Israeli officials say Israel will launch "significant retaliation" in the coming days to Iran's major missile attack on Tuesday, which could target oil production facilities and other strategic locations in Iran, the American news website Axios reported on Wednesday. Israel and Iran have never been closer to opening a new, much more dangerous front in the war raging across the Middle East. Iran threatened Tuesday to launch another attack if Israel responded with force following the launch of nearly 200 missiles on Tuesday. On Wednesday local time, Iranian President Pezeshyan visited Qatar and held talks with Qatari Emir (Head of State) Tamim. Pezeshchiyan said in a press conference after the talks that Israel's military operations against the Gaza Strip, attacks on Hamas leader Haniyeh in Iran and military attacks against Lebanon forced Iran to respond. pay. Pezeshchiyan warned that if Israel carries out retaliatory attacks on Iran, Iran will respond more forcefully. In times of political uncertainty, gold benefits from its safe-haven nature and can benefit from a rate-cutting environment because it does not generate interest. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has almost moved sideways in the last few trading sessions, and every time corrections occur it always recovers quickly and maintains the main uptrend from the price channel. The fact that gold is trading above the 0.786% Fibonacci extension provides the possibility of continued price increases with a fixed short-term target at 2,672 USD, which also means that the technical point of 2,672 USD is currently the closest resistance. at, then at 2,685USD. There is no change in the technical structure with bullish conditions dominating the daily chart. During the day, the bullish outlook for gold prices will be noticed by the following technical levels. Support: 2,645 – 2,634USD Resistance: 2,672 – 2,685USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2701 - 2699⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2705 →Take Profit 1 2694 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2689 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2619 - 2621⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2615 →Take Profit 1 2626 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2631
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD → Bulls are trying to hold their defenses above the SMAFX:XAUUSD is forming a sideways range, within which it strengthens to 2673 with subsequent retracement and retest of SMA 200 & 50. Buyers are trying to hold their defenses above this area with the aim of further growth.... The complicated situation in the Middle East continues to escalate, which keeps the gold price from falling amid the rising dollar. Any de-escalation of the conflict (Israel's inaction on Iran's measures) could increase selling pressure... Nevertheless, the US employment change data from ADP as well as the Fed's speech will be the next important events for the US dollar and the gold price. Any hints of interest rate cuts will be viewed favorably... Technically, emphasis on 2665 resistance - if the bulls can consolidate above this zone, gold could go for a retest of ATH. Also - emphasis on 2643. A break of the support will reinforce selling. This could take the price to 2625-2600. Resistance levels: 2665, 2673, 2685 Support levels: 2643, 2625, 2515 Bullish trend. Gold is not going to update the lows. The bulls are trying to consolidate above the SMA. Signs that the price is ready to grow. BUT, it is possible that unpredictable signs may appear in the market, which may lead to profit-taking and correction. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
GOLD soars, attention to the Middle East and dataAffected by tensions in the Middle East and falling US bond yields, demand for safe havens increased and gold prices achieved the target increase at 2,672 USD. Note to readers in the publication issue Before gold fake correction,. Gold prices are still hovering below recent record highs after the Fed Chairman hinted at smaller interest rate cuts in the future. As fears of an all-out war in the Middle East increased after Iran launched ballistic missiles at Israel, gold prices rose due to safe-haven demand. Iran fired multiple ballistic missiles at Israel on Tuesday in retaliation for Israel's actions against its Lebanese ally Hezbollah. Salami, commander of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, said Iran fired 200 missiles at Israel in an operation Tuesday night local time. • White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan called Iran's missile attacks a “significant escalation,” but said they were ultimately “defeated and ineffective,” in part because the US military helped shoot down several incoming missiles. • Sullivan emphasized that the attack will have consequences and that the United States is consulting with Israel on next steps or possible responses. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that Iran made a big mistake and will pay the price. This series of launches was the largest missile attack on Israel in Iran's history. Iran's Revolutionary Guards claimed that 90% of their missiles successfully hit targets in Israel. As of now, no casualties have been officially reported. Israel's emergency services have lifted all restrictions and people in Tel Aviv have emerged from bomb shelters and returned to the streets. Iran's president says he does not want war but will resolutely fight any threat from Israel. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, which is considered a safe haven asset in times of economic and political turmoil. Gold posted its best quarterly gain since 2020 last quarter after the Federal Reserve began its rate-cutting cycle in September with a 50 basis point cut. Major banks expect gold to continue its record price increase in 2025, due to a resurgence of large capital flows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and expectations of further interest rate cuts from major banks. major central banks, including the Federal Reserve. Gold has risen nearly $577 year to date, or more than 28%, which would be the largest annual gain since 2010. Goldman Sachs raised its gold price forecast in early 2025 to $2,900/ounce from $2,700/ounce, citing a gradual increase in ETF inflows as Western and Chinese interest rates cut and central banks increased strong buy. Next, the market will pay attention to this week's US labor force data, as well as speeches from Federal Reserve officials, for further guidance on the US's policy stance. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold recovered and reached its target gain at $2,672 yesterday. Temporarily, the upward momentum of gold prices is also limited by the above technical level. Although the upward momentum is limited, the uptrend still dominates the daily technical chart. Once the $2,672 level is broken, gold will be eligible to increase further with a target level at an all-time peak established. Previously at 2,685USD. There is no possibility of any significant price decline, as long as gold remains within the price channel it will remain bullish in the short term. Price drops that do not break below the price channel should only be considered short-term corrections. During the day, the bullish outlook for gold prices will be noticed by the following technical levels. Support: 2,645 – 2,634USD Resistance: 2,672 – 2,685USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2701 - 2699⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2705 →Take Profit 1 2694 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2689 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2619 - 2621⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2615 →Take Profit 1 2626 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2631
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1