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GOLD → Correction before the bullrun. Target 2500?FX:XAUUSD is strengthening and testing 2450. The price rise was influenced by Powell's comments on progressive deflation and a possible rate cut in September, as well as another conflict in the Middle East.... The Fed left the rate unchanged for the 8th time at 5.5%. The rate has remained unchanged since the summer of 2023 and is the highest in 20 years. There was considerable discussion of a rate cut at this meeting. A rate cut may be considered in September. In addition, the intensification of the conflict in the Middle East may turn into a full-fledged war, which generally increases the interest in gold. Today is also a busy news day. Initial Jobless Claims, SP PMI, ISM are ahead. The data also plays an important role in shaping the medium-term strategy, so it is important to evaluate the actual results. Resistance levels: 2437, 2450 Support levels: 2430, 2421 After a false breakdown of resistance, a correction is forming. Gold is bullish at the moment (trend, sentiment and interest), so the nearest strong support may become a reversal zone for further strengthening. The potential target is 2451 - 2474. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
Gold Price Explosion? Key Patterns Indicating Major Moves Ahead!Technical Breakdown of XAUUSD Overview The chart presents the price action of Gold Spot (XAUUSD). Key technical patterns and significant support/resistance levels are highlighted to provide insights into potential price movements. Key Patterns and Levels Descending Channel: The price previously moved within a descending channel, marked by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), indicating a downtrend. The breakout from the descending channel suggests a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Support/Resistance Levels: HTF (Higher Time Frame) Support/Resistance: A crucial level providing a foundation for significant price movements, shown with blue lines. LTF (Lower Time Frame) Support/Resistance: A lower time frame level within the channel, highlighting short-term price actions. 1HR Double Top: A resistance level around 2458.3 where the price is currently facing a decision point. Bullish Patterns: 3 Touch Flag: A bullish flag pattern with three touches indicating potential continuation if the price breaks above the resistance. Daily Bull Flag: A larger time frame bull flag pattern suggests a bullish continuation if the price breaks above the upper boundary. Liquidity Zones: Weekly LQZ: A liquidity zone around 2484, which acts as a significant resistance level. Daily LQZ: A zone around 2348.8 providing a major support level. Current Market Conditions: The price is currently testing the 1HR double top resistance. A rejection at this level could indicate a potential short position, while a clear break above could confirm a long position. Trading Strategy: Wait for Confirmation: Traders should wait for a clear rejection or break above the 1HR double top to determine the direction of their positions. Monitor Key Levels: Keep an eye on the support/resistance levels and liquidity zones to gauge potential price movements and market sentiment. Conclusion: Gold is at a critical juncture with significant patterns indicating possible major moves ahead. Traders should closely monitor the 1HR double top and key support/resistance levels to make informed trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
2
Gold Price Explosion? Key Patterns Indicating Major Moves Ahead!Technical Breakdown of XAUUSD Overview The chart presents the price action of Gold Spot (XAUUSD). Key technical patterns and significant support/resistance levels are highlighted to provide insights into potential price movements. Key Patterns and Levels Descending Channel: The price previously moved within a descending channel, marked by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), indicating a downtrend. The breakout from the descending channel suggests a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Support/Resistance Levels: HTF (Higher Time Frame) Support/Resistance: A crucial level providing a foundation for significant price movements, shown with blue lines. LTF (Lower Time Frame) Support/Resistance: A lower time frame level within the channel, highlighting short-term price actions. 1HR Double Top: A resistance level around 2458.3 where the price is currently facing a decision point. Bullish Patterns: 3 Touch Flag: A bullish flag pattern with three touches indicating potential continuation if the price breaks above the resistance. Daily Bull Flag: A larger time frame bull flag pattern suggests a bullish continuation if the price breaks above the upper boundary. Liquidity Zones: Weekly LQZ: A liquidity zone around 2484, which acts as a significant resistance level. Daily LQZ: A zone around 2348.8 providing a major support level. Current Market Conditions: The price is currently testing the 1HR double top resistance. A rejection at this level could indicate a potential short position, while a clear break above could confirm a long position. Trading Strategy: Wait for Confirmation: Traders should wait for a clear rejection or break above the 1HR double top to determine the direction of their positions. Monitor Key Levels: Keep an eye on the support/resistance levels and liquidity zones to gauge potential price movements and market sentiment. Conclusion: Gold is at a critical juncture with significant patterns indicating possible major moves ahead. Traders should closely monitor the 1HR double top and key support/resistance levels to make informed trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
GOLD → Ahead is 2430 and strong news. Going up to 2500?FX:XAUUSD overcomes trend resistance, forming a bullrun to the liquidity zone amid positive rumors. The price is testing 2430. Possible correction before the news. Today is a busy news day, high volatility is possible. Ahead of ADP Nonfarm, Chicago PMI and the most important last: Fed Interest Rate Decision and FOMC conference. Nobody is going to cut the rate today, but Powell may give a signal about interest rate reduction in the coming months on the background of slowing labor market growth. Traders evaluated the possible potential positively enough and rushed through 2390 to 2430. Technically, a retest of resistance is formed after quite a long time, liquidity may not let the price up the first time, respectively, a correction is possible before further growth. Resistance levels: 2429, 2452, 2474. Support levels: 2404, 2400 The fundamental and technical background is favorable, if something unpredictable does not happen today, gold may continue its recovery phase. But, pay attention to the news, as they will be published in a cascade and the temporary mood of the market may be volatile.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
GOLD Breakout Imminent? Key Levels & Patterns to Watch Now!Technical Breakdown of XAUUSD Overview The chart depicts the price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the US Dollar on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting key technical patterns and support/resistance levels. The analysis aims to provide insights into potential price actions based on historical movements and current market conditions. Key Patterns and Levels Descending Channel: The price has been moving within a descending channel, characterized by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). The channel is defined by two parallel trendlines (in white) that indicate a downtrend. The descending channel suggests bearish momentum as the price continues to make lower highs and lower lows. Support/Resistance Levels: Support/Resistance Inside Channel: A notable level within the channel where the price has repeatedly found support or resistance, marked by dashed horizontal lines. 4HR LQZ (Liquidity Zones): Two critical liquidity zones at 2447.5 and 2432.4, acting as major support and resistance levels. These zones are crucial as they represent areas where significant buying or selling activity has occurred. Highs and Lows: Higher High (HH): The highest point reached before the price entered the descending channel, indicating a peak in bullish momentum. Lower High (LH): The lower high within the descending channel, showing the continuation of the bearish trend. Daily Bull Flag: The price is approaching the upper boundary of a daily bull flag pattern (marked in yellow), suggesting a potential bullish breakout if the price can sustain above this level. Current Market Conditions: Support/Resistance Retest: The price recently tested the resistance level at 2474.9 within the 4HR LQZ and pulled back slightly, indicating the presence of sellers at this level. Potential Breakout: The price is attempting to break above the descending channel and the 4HR LQZ, which could signal a reversal of the downtrend if confirmed by sustained buying pressure. Additional Insights: Dollar Interaction: The inset chart shows the US Dollar index coming into a support/resistance level within its own channel, providing additional context to the gold movement. Market Sentiment: The overall market sentiment and external factors such as economic data releases and geopolitical events can also influence the price movement of gold. Conclusion: The XAUUSD is currently at a critical juncture, testing key resistance levels within a descending channel. A successful breakout above the 4HR LQZ and the descending channel could signal a bullish reversal, while failure to break these levels may result in continued bearish pressure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Adlercon333
GOLD rose 1% after US inflation dataGold prices increased 1% on Friday (July 26), as US Government bond yields fell due to optimism that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower interest rates in September, after data showed that inflation in the US increased slightly in June. At the end of the trading session on July 26, the spot gold contract increased 1% to 2,388.05 USD/oz, after hitting the lowest level since July 9, 2024 on July 25. Gold futures contracts added 1.2% to 2,381 USD/oz. US economic data was mixed to weaker today, showing inflationary pressures and weakening economic activity, paving the way for the Fed to lower interest rates twice this year. Fed policymakers on July 26 got fresh evidence of progress in the fight against inflation, raising expectations that they will use next week's meeting to signal a rate cut. Rates start in September. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding metals. The US Department of Commerce's Bureau of Economic Analysis said the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index in the US in June inched up 0.1% compared to the previous month, after remaining unchanged in May. After the inflation data, the 10-year US Government bond yield fell to its lowest level in a week. Meanwhile, physical demand in India, the world's second largest consumer, received a boost when the country reduced import taxes on precious metals earlier this week. Gold prices in India also surged to its highest level in a decade this week.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Gold ready to rip to $2,495 - Breakouts all aroundA strong Cup and Handle formed, with a breakout of the downtrend lines. We also have a solid uptrend line since 25 July, keeping the price up (Safety). NATURE: (High Probability analysis) Price>20MA and 200MA My Daily target is $2,495. WIth Bitcoin's price rocketing (As per my last analysis) with Russia now stepping in to legalise along with the shady compnanies sifting out one by one, the safe havens are looking great for upside.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Timonrosso
GOLD fell more than 1%, the bullish structure was threatenedEarly in the Asian trading session on July 25, OANDA:XAUUSD decreased more than 1%, as of the time the article was completed, gold was trading at 2,372USD, equivalent to a decrease of 25Dollar during the day. Former New York Fed President Dudley (who enjoys perpetual voting rights on the FOMC and is known as “the Federal Reserve's third in command”) wrote: I have long been in the “hold interest” camp. high yield for longer periods of time. But times have changed and things have changed now so I changed my mind. The Fed should cut interest rates, preferably at its interest rate meeting next week. Gold traders are now awaiting second-quarter US GDP data today (Thursday), as well as the latest personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index on Friday, as this is the gauge Fed's preferred inflation. Reuters quoted sources as saying on Wednesday that the Bank of Japan may discuss whether to raise interest rates at its July 30-31 meeting and announce a plan to nearly halve its bond purchases. votes in the next few years. Although gold has been supported by news from India which has reduced import duties on gold and silver from 15% to 6%. But the main reason why gold prices are still being sold off is partly due to profit-taking motivation, and partly because the possibility of Trump's election will support the Dollar. Trump is known as the President with a gay tariff stance. harshly. The main factor currently supporting gold prices is market expectations that the Federal Reserve may actually decide to cut interest rates before September. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold is trading at a very dangerous price position for bullish expectations. As the current price activity falls below most important supports from the trending price channel and the 21-day moving average (EMA21). Given its current position, gold is still likely to continue to sell off more towards the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, which is also the nearest support level. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index is pointing down but still quite far from the oversold point, showing that the room for price reduction is still quite comfortable. Gold can only have enough conditions to increase in price when it surpasses the area of ​​2,400 - 2,390 USD, which is also considered the current pressure area. During the day, gold has conditions to fall further with notable prices that will be listed again as follows. Support: 2,362USD Resistance: 2,385 – 2,390 – 2,400USD 🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2415 - 2413 ⚰️SL: 2419 ⬆️TP1: 2408 ⬆️TP2: 2403 🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2349 - 2351 ⚰️SL: 2345 ⬆️TP1: 2356 ⬆️TP2: 2361
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
My Tape Reading for XAUUSD 4H CandleMy Tape reading Gold - 24h expiry on 4H Candles Posted a pin bar(inverted hammer) formation. We look to Sell at 2390 (stop at 2396.5) Our profit targets will be 2363.5 and 2357.5 Price Watch @North: 2406.0 / 2433.0 / 2438.0/2465/0/2473.0 Price Watch @South: 2363.0 / 2357.0 / 2327.0/2327.0 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for Education/informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. Shunya.Trade does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. This information is provided by Shunya.Trade, and is intended for general circulation only.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by shoonya0000
GOLD → Retest resistance before a breakout. What's next?FX:XAUUSD has been strengthening since the opening of the session and is testing the 2400 zone. The market is getting bullish again, but at the same time it is at a strong resistance. The focus is on 2393.0. There is no news today and the overall situation is stable. Gold has no obvious reasons for a possible strong fall. Markets are waiting for the confirmation of the progression of US deflation with the subsequent hints on the soon reduction of interest rates. The fact itself is favorable for gold. Technically, the focus is on the edge of the range 2393. Consolidation of the price above this area may well influence further growth, but it is necessary to follow the descending resistance, because it will be difficult to pass this area from the first time. Resistance levels: 2400, 2430 Support levels: 2393, 2384, 2377 Technically and fundamentally everything is quite positive. We should expect a retest of resistance with subsequent growth, but it is not excluded that before the active recovery phase there may be a retest of support, for example: 2387, 2382 or 2377 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
16
GOLD recovered strongly by IndiaOANDA:XAUUSD Strong recovery, Gold price reached 2,418 USD/ounce during the Asian trading session on July 24. Spot gold ended a four-session losing streak as India's move to cut import taxes on gold and silver is expected to boost global gold demand. India plans to significantly reduce import duties on gold and silver The Indian government on Tuesday announced plans to reduce import tax on gold and silver from 15% to 6%. The move could boost retail demand and help curb smuggling in India. “To increase the domestic value addition of gold and precious metal jewellery, I propose to reduce customs duty on gold and precious metals,” Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said in her budget speech on Tuesday. silver down 6%.” Increased gold demand in India could push up global gold prices because India is the world's second largest gold consumer. In addition to news from India, falling US bond interest rates is also a positive signal for gold. Gold prices recovered, due to falling US Treasury bond yields. The US 10-year Treasury yield fell 1.5 basis points to 4.24%, which is a positive signal for gold. Traders are awaiting key US economic data, including June inflation and Q2 GDP, to gauge the Fed's next move. According to CME Group's "FedWatch" tool, the market expects a 96.1% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in September. Since gold does not earn interest, cutting interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, thereby making gold more attractive to investors. Pay attention to important US data The focus this week will be on US second-quarter GDP data on Thursday and the latest personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index on Friday, as this is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. A weaker PCE is expected to be positive for gold, mainly because the market will be more confident that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates in September. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, up to now, gold is having its second day of recovery since profit-taking pressure caused gold prices to adjust to the important support area around 2,390 - 2,400 USD. Attention readers before. Gold prices also achieved the initial target recovery level at the $2,416 area noted in yesterday's publication and with the current momentum, the next target level will be around $2,430. If gold breaks the 2,430 USD level, the bullish outlook will continue to open up with a new cycle and the subsequent target level of about 2,465 USD, the price point of the 0.328% Fibonacci extension. As long as gold remains above EMA21 and within the trend price channel the main trend remains bullish and the bullish structure is not affected, pullbacks do not take gold price below EMA21 then it should only be considered as short-term adjustments. During the day, the uptrend of gold prices will be noticed by the following technical levels. Support: 2,400 – 2,390USD Resistance: 2,420 – 2,430USD 🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2434 - 2432 ⚰️SL: 2438 ⬆️TP1: 2427 ⬆️TP2: 2422 🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2372 - 2374 ⚰️SL: 2368 ⬆️TP1: 2379 ⬆️TP2: 2384
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
2
XAUUSD Trading plan for August.Gold (XAUUSD) has been rebounding following a hit-and-hold on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on Thursday, having closed 2 straight 1D candles above it. As long as this continues, we have a bullish development and a new Higher Low on the (dotted) Channel Up, which targets 2545 (+8.30% as the previous Bullish Leg). If it closes below the 1D MA50 however, we expect a longer accumulation phase (blue arc) similar to June's around or even marginally below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). In this case, we will open an additional buy and target 2500 (top of the blue Channel Up and target for both open buys). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
GOLD → There's a chance at the Bullrun. PCE ahead...FX:XAUUSD is testing local channel support and forming a rebound from the liquidity zone. Traders are waiting for PCE data. Favorable inflation data may provide strong support for gold. Traders are waiting for the PCE, any hints of lower inflation may be viewed quite positively, which will generally increase the chance of interest rate cut in September. As we know, low interest rates make gold more attractive. Technically, if we pay attention to the D1 chart, gold is testing a conglomeration of strong support: False break of MA-200 + trendline support, as well as bounce from 2350-2355 support level, which means the approximate area of intermediate bottom of the ranyke and forms a global range of 2485 - 2350. But, the fight for 2350 is not over yet. Resistance levels: 2377, 2392 Support levels: 2370, 2350 Let me remind you that news is unpredictable. Favorable data will influence the possible bull run, but unpredictable ones may provoke sales and price decline to 2350. But, at the moment of analysis, technical and fundamental nuances point to a bull market, there is a chance of growth to 2400-2430. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
The market focuses on GDP, PCE, GOLD recovers around $2,400OANDA:XAUUSD fell below its original price of $2,400 on Monday (July 22) as the dollar strengthened slightly, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, while markets waited for more data US economists and Federal Reserve officials commented this week to clarify the interest rate cut schedule. According to CME "Fed Watch" data, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 97.4% and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 2.6%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged until September is 5.8%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 91.7% and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 2. 4%. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding unprofitable gold, and are an important support for gold prices. Joe Biden announced on Sunday that he would withdraw from the US presidential race and endorse Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic Party candidate in the November election. But it forced a reassessment of risks in the markets. financial markets, affecting gold prices on Monday. As noted to readers in yesterday's edition, if Trump is re-elected, gold will be under certain pressure in the short term because Trump has a harsh tariff stance. But there will not be fundamental pressure because gold will still be supported by the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) gradual interest rate cuts. Markets are currently focused on second-quarter US gross domestic product (GDP) data released on Thursday, as well as personal consumption expenditures (PCE) data released on Friday. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold fell to levels around the original price point of $2,400, an area that will be noted as a very important support area. The area around 2,400USD is a very important support area because this is the confluence of many technical indicators from EMA21, the lower edge of the medium-term rising price channel and the 0.236% Fibonacci level. If gold can recover to maintain price activity above its original price of $2,400, then overall the bullish structure has not been broken and there is still upside potential. The upward momentum will become clearer if gold can bring price activity above 2,430 USD, at which point the target level will be around 2,465 USD in the short term. As long as gold remains above EMA21 and within the price channel, the medium-term technical outlook remains bullish, which means long protection levels should be placed behind EMA21. During the day, the prospect of recovery with the main uptrend will be noticed by the following technical levels. Support: 2,400 – 2,390USD Resistance: 2,416 – 2,430USD 🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2434 - 2432 ⚰️SL: 2438 ⬆️TP1: 2427 ⬆️TP2: 2422 🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2372 - 2374 ⚰️SL: 2368 ⬆️TP1: 2379 ⬆️TP2: 2384
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Joe Biden, gives up re-election, USD is temporarily supportedUS President Joe Biden on Sunday abandoned his difficult re-election bid under growing pressure from members of his Democratic Party and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris to succeed him as party candidate on November 11. Biden will face Republican candidate Trump in the presidential race in the November election. If officially nominated, Harris, 59, will become the first black female presidential candidate of the major parties in American history. “Kamala Harris, as a potential Democratic presidential candidate, her policy ideas cover many areas such as tech regulation, big tech companies, climate and energy. quality as well as artificial intelligence.” If former US President Trump wins a second term, Trump's tariff stance will have a major impact on the market (Trump is known as the US President with a harsh tariff stance, demonstrated by his term in office). Trump had a trade competition with China, which had a deep impact on the market and major fluctuations continuously occurred. During this period, the admin also had to monitor each status line of "this President, very tired".) 1. If Trump is elected, precious metal gold and silver may come under temporary pressure as the Dollar strengthens from Trump's harsh tariff stance. In this context, the Dollar should be considered a safe haven and continue to be promoted. 2. Even if Trump is elected, gold prices are still unlikely to sustainably decline or, more accurately, have a long-term fundamental downward trend by central banks such as the Federal Reserve and Banks The European Central Bank, along with many other major Central Banks, will enter a cycle of cutting interest rates. For this orientation, gold may be temporarily under pressure because the possibility of Trump being elected is very high. According to Bloomberg, Trump's success rate of returning to the White House is more feasible than most other candidates. . In a context where Joe Biden, the representative of the Democratic Party, has given up his difficult re-election effort. However, this impact is not a long-term impact because the Fed's interest rates will have to be cut gradually, and of course this is beneficial for gold prices in the medium and long term. The gold price target will continue to be focused on the $2,500 mark, and technical analysis and more market information readers can review in the weekly publication linked below.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD → Profit taking led to the rally. But it's not all bad... GOLD after the retest of 2430 fell under the selloff, there is no pressure on the price of metal, but the reason may be profit taking amid the selloff in stocks and in anticipation of economic data from the United States. Traders are waiting for US GDP and Initial Jobless CLaims, which will be released at 12:30 GMT. The data may have a medium-term impact on the market, but the whole focus is on PCE, which will be released on Friday. Investors expect the Fed to deliver its long-awaited rate cut in September. In a low interest rate environment, gold's appeal increases. If the data on Friday shows that inflation is slowing down, it will be a good sign for gold. Technically, a correction is forming, with emphasis on 2370, or 2350. Strong support areas that can keep the market from falling. Resistance levels: 2377, 2392 Support levels: 2370, 2355, 2350 The price stops in the zone of 2370-2377 in general it can give some prerequisites for a rebound. If gold can consolidate above 2377, the price may move into the recovery phase, if not, traders may test the liquidity in 2355-2350 before further growth. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
8
GOLD adjusted down significantly, the basic trend did not changeAlthough market expectations for an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September continued to increase, gold prices remained very volatile and had a significant correction session. Gold prices hit a record high of $2,483 on Wednesday amid positive interest rate cut expectations, but failed to hold on to gains as investors booked profits. This, along with the increasing possibility of former US President Donald Trump being elected, has stimulated capital flows into the US Dollar, creating some additional pressure, causing gold to adjust downward. US jobs data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed more people than expected applying for unemployment benefits, indicating slowing economic growth. Coupled with a flurry of data last week showing inflation moving toward the Fed's 2% target, the data is starting to attract policymakers' attention. Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Thursday showed a larger-than-expected increase in first-time unemployment claims in the United States last week, but there were no significant changes in the markets. labor. The number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the US published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that in the week ending July 13, the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the US increased to 243,000, higher than The expected number is 230,000 and also exceeds 223,000 last week. The most active gold futures contract on COMEX was 636 lots traded immediately within one minute from 07:03 to 07:04 Hanoi time on July 19, with a total contract value of 155 million USD. Overall, the basic picture has not changed much with positive factors still supporting the possibility of gold price increases. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD As noted to readers in yesterday's edition, gold has suffered a downward correction after the Relative Strength Index operated in the overbought area, indicating that the room for price increases is no longer too great. large and require adjustments after a long period of price increases. Currently, gold is also operating quite low but does not affect the main trend of price increase with the price channel as the short-term trend and long-term trend. In the short term, the fact that gold can recover to maintain above the technical level of 2,430 USD will be a good sign for it. On the other hand, if gold recovers back above $2,449, it will mark the end of the downward adjustment cycle. During the day, gold could continue to correct further once it is sold below $2,420 with a subsequent downside target of around $2,400. The downward correction cycle from the uptrend of gold prices will be noticed again by the following technical levels. Support: 2,420 – 2,400USD Resistance: 2,430 – 2,449USD 🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2466 - 2464 ⚰️SL: 2470 ⬆️TP1: 2459 ⬆️TP2: 2454 🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2409 - 2411 ⚰️SL: 2405 ⬆️TP1: 2416 ⬆️TP2: 2421
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD recovers after correcting from record level, trend stabilizOANDA:XAUUSD revised down from record highs but growing optimism about the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in September and a weaker US Dollar still stimulated gold demand. On the economic front, the Federal Reserve's Beige Book survey showed the U.S. economy growing at a modest pace entering the third quarter. The latest edition of the “Beige Book” was compiled by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond based on information collected on or before July 8. Wage growth was moderate or modest in most jurisdictions, but the rate of price growth is generally moderate. There was little change in consumer spending and almost every jurisdiction cited retailers cutting prices or consumers buying only essentials. Although gold prices have eased from record highs but remain at record highs, expectations of a Fed rate cut getting closer and yields continuing to gradually decline, coupled with a weaker US Dollar, remain. will continue to be the main support factor for gold prices. Many Fed policymakers said they were increasingly confident that price increases were on track and returning to the Fed's target level after stronger-than-expected price data earlier this year. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said the time for the Fed to cut interest rates is "near," but uncertainty about the direction of the economy makes it unclear when short-term borrowing costs might fall . According to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's FedWatch tool, the market is currently pricing in a 98.1% chance that the US will cut interest rates in September. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding unprofitable gold and put pressure on the dollar, making gold cheaper for investors holding other currencies. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD After gold had a downward correction yesterday to retest the support area that readers noticed in the previous issue around the 2,449 USD area, the gold price has recovered and continues to stabilize with the trend. increase. In the short term, the technical structure does not show any notable resistance, while the Relative Strength Index is also approaching the overbought area, showing that the room for price increases is no longer too large. The fact that the room for price increases is no longer too wide, pushing gold prices to enter the accumulation phase after the recent strong increase cycle. However, the main trend for gold prices will still be an uptrend with notable technical levels listed as follows. Support: 2,449 – 2,431USD Resistance: 2,483USD 🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2474 - 2472 ⚰️SL: 2477 ⬆️TP1: 2467 ⬆️TP2: 2462 🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2429 - 2431 ⚰️SL: 2425 ⬆️TP1: 2436 ⬆️TP2: 2441
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [July 22 - July 26]During the last weekend, the price of OANDA:XAUUSD decreased due to the strengthening of the US Dollar and profit-taking activities in the market. The gold market once again ended this week in a key price position, testing key support at the original price point of $2,400/ounce. Before that, the price of gold hit a record high this past week, largely due to growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September. XAUUSD is now closely correlated with interest rate expectations, and gold's rise to a record high coincides with expectations that the Federal Reserve will launch its easing cycle in September. According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, markets are pricing in a more than 98.1% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in September. Lower interest rates increase the appeal of precious metals, especially Non-Yield Gold. yield. The only thing that could derail gold's fundamental uptrend is a surprise rise in inflation, which would make investors question the possibility of interest rate cuts. However, in reality, recent data along with comments from the Fed all show that the scenario of a sudden increase in inflation approaching the Fed's 2% target is very unlikely. Investors will have to wait until Friday for the release of the June Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index. Last month, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge showed inflation rising 2.6%. In addition to key inflation data, the market will first focus on US gross domestic product (GDP) data. In terms of central bank operations, the Bank of Canada will announce its monetary policy decision on Wednesday. Economists believe weaker inflation data will create room for the central bank to cut interest rates. Economic data to watch next week Tuesday: Existing home sales Wednesday: Bank of Canada monetary policy decision, PMI preview, new home sales Thursday: GDP growth, durable goods orders, weekly unemployment claims Friday: Core PCE, personal income and expenses Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has corrected down for three consecutive sessions since its all-time high last week, and now closes weekly at a very important support point, the original price of $2,400. The level of 2,400USD is both the original price and the horizontal support and the bottom edge of the short-term trend price channel. Once gold continues to be sold below the original price of 2,400 USD, it will risk falling further with the target level then at the 21-day moving average (EMA21). However, with the closing position right at 2,400 USD, the short-term technical uptrend from the still undetermined price channel has been broken. Meanwhile, the long-term trend of gold is still completely tilted towards the possibility of price increase. In the near future, gold has conditions that lean towards an uptrend with main support from EMA21 and the price channel while the short-term trend and short-term support level is at 2,400USD. The recovery target in the near term will initially be noticed at $2,431. As long as gold remains above EMA21, price drops should only be considered corrective, profit-taking moves in the market without changing the main trend. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,400 – 2,397 – 2,390USD Resistance: 2,431USD 📌The short-term trading plan for next week will first consider buying around 2350, selling around 2450.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD → False breakdown before the bullrun... ↑ FX:XAUUSD reacts perfectly to the 2390-2400 area, forming a false breakdown with subsequent growth to 2420, but I am now confused by the extremely low volatility.... The calm before the storm.... Gold is bullish on D1, while the dollar index is showing signs that the price may continue its decline in the medium term. Today at 13:45 GMT it is worth paying attention to the S&P PMI at 13:45 GMT and Hew Home Sales at 14:00. The data may revitalize the market, but we need to look at the actual numbers. Technically, gold has a bullish market on H1, but right now I am extremely confused by the very low volatility, which often leads to momentum to one side or the other. Based on the overall situation there is a chance to see a continuation of growth if the bulls hold their defenses above 2400-2405. Resistance levels: 2420, 2430, 2450 Support levels: 2405, 2400, 2392 The price is gradually updating the highs, forming clear support zones. A possible retest of the liquidity area before the subsequent bullrun to 2430-2450. It is not excluded that the price can break the structure and give a strong impulse down to 2370, but at the moment of market analysis there are no preconditions for it Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
19