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GOLD → Downtrend and fundamental background FOREXCOM:XAUUSD continues to forge a downward price channel as the dollar index strengthens on a positive fundamental backdrop. In general, this is a negative scenario for gold, but the bulls continue to keep the price from a strong fall as much as possible. Pic: Consolidation of price below 2025 under pressure from downward resistance Today Core PCE PI is published, a slight change for the worse is expected (by analysts and traders), but I don't think it will make a global difference against the backdrop of GDP and yesterday's news. BUT, only if the actual data is not released with a big difference to the expected data. Technically, gold is testing the strong 2020-2050 zones on the back of the downtrend within H1-H4. Earlier we saw the price moving out of the range, at the moment the price is testing this area. Before a possible further decline, the price of gold may test the trend resistance, which in the mid-term may continue on the background of a rising DXY. Resistance levels: 2020, 2025, 2030, 2035 Support levels: 2010, 204, 2000 Since gold is trading with a negative fundamental background (at the moment there are no fundamental or technical preconditions for growth or change of trend) and within a downtrend, at the moment the market has chances to test local lows up to 2004 (1985) TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
2
GOLD → How long will the distribution phase in the channel last?OANDA:XAUUSD is entering the distribution phase after the consolidation phase. The market is trying to test the local lows, but will the price go even lower, because there is news ahead. The 4H clearly shows an uptrend within which a correction is forming. Until the price overcomes the area of 2015 - 1980, we should not talk about a global change in the trend. The chart shows that the bulls will continue to hold the area of 2010-2020 on the background of numerous retests, but the sellers are gaining momentum and continue to push the price to the level. At the moment in the distribution phase the price is heading towards 2009 - 2004. And there is a high probability of testing these levels, but we are interested in the news (fundamental) background. Since gold is trading inside the descending price channel, and the price has not yet tested the trend support area, it is difficult for us to talk about the possibility of its breakout, as we do not know the reaction and local preconditions. There is a higher probability of a bounce from the levels. Support levels: 2009 (2010), 2004, 2000 Resistance levels: 2018, 2020, 2035 Gold's decline is difficult and slow as strong bulls try to contain the support area. A break of support will generate strong momentum and huge volume, but will it happen on the back of the news? TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
7
GOLD → Retest of resistance inside the range at the downtrend FOREXCOM:XAUUSD continues to consolidate in the range of 2035-2020. It is likely that tomorrow's news may revitalize the market. Today the market continues to stand still, this can be seen in both the dollar and gold. Consolidation continues as the market is still uncertain with the future outlook, this could continue until tomorrow as tomorrow's news is Initial Jobless Claims, GDP , and the strength of these factors could determine the medium term outlook. Technically, GOLD is still in consolidation, but within a downtrend. For now, we continue to emphasize the in-range trading strategy (buy and sell from consolidation boundaries or strong levels). Let me remind you that the global trend is neutral and this is an ideal nuance for intra-range trading. And the local downtrend indicates the approximate market mood. Resistance levels: 2035, 2038, 2039.4 Support levels: 2025, 2020, 2018 A false break of support defines a local target in the form of resistance. A test of range resistance can form a sell signal. As long as the price does not break the trend or the range boundary, trading within this framework will continue TVC:DXY COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:GC1! TVC:GOLD Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
22
GOLD "Push ups" dropped drasticallyThe world gold price was at 2,016 USD/ounce, down 10 USD/ounce compared to the same time yesterday morning. Gold prices turned lower after the latest published data showed US business activity remained strong. In particular, S&P Global survey results showed that US business activity recovered in January. A strong US economy coupled with resistance from US Central Bank officials caused some Investors to reconsider betting on an interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). The gold market is in a neutral environment as prices continue to stay above 2,000 USD/ounce and are unable to break out of the current range. Gold's recovery appears to be fading, raising the risk of further weakness if central banks continue to defy market expectations of interest rate cuts. Currently, investors are waiting for other economic indicators to get more clarity regarding when the Fed will make its first interest rate cut. This week, the US will release preliminary fourth-quarter GDP estimates on Thursday and personal consumption expenditure data on Friday.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
🥇 GOLD - Resistance test before falling Gold can't overcome the resistance as the market has no potential at the moment against the backdrop of a strong dollar. Perhaps the whales are waiting or the market maker is aiming to take the price even lower before further growth, but the gold is currently showing signals for further decline rather than growth. Reasons for further declines: 1) Consolidation near support. 2) Price continues to update local lows 3) Bearish trend 4) Dollar is strengthening 5) Retest of resistance may send price to support 6) Another retest of 2016.82 support will break it and price may continue the bearish trend
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AndeWave
5
GOLD slight increaseThe gold market is in a neutral environment as the price continues to maintain above 2,000 USD/ounce and cannot break out of the current range. World gold price stood at 2,026 USD/ounce, a slight increase of 6 USD/ounce compared to the same hour yesterday morning. The gold market is in a neutral environment as the price continues to maintain above 2,000 USD/ounce and cannot break out of the current range. Recently, many forecasts suggest that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will not lower interest rates at its meeting in March and will only lower interest rates from mid-2024 at the earliest. With quite hawkish statements from Fed officials , financial markets have tempered expectations that the Fed is ready to cut interest rates. This week, there are two economic reports that could change Fed interest rate expectations. On Thursday, the US Department of Commerce will release a preliminary report on gross domestic product (GDP) for the fourth quarter of 2023. Many experts predict that US GDP will increase by 1.7%, the lowest increase since the 0.6% decrease recorded in the second quarter of 2022. In addition to economic data, investors are also waiting for the decisions of major central banks such as the Bank of Japan, the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank. The decisions of these banks are expected to have an impact on the direction of both the greenback and gold. Although it is in a downward trend and moving sideways in the short term, experts believe that gold prices are benefiting from geopolitical instability in the world and conflicts between two economic powers, the US and China. Gold prices are forecast to increase rapidly in the second half of 2024.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD → Global trend is neutral, local trend is downward FOREXCOM:XAUUSD continues to stand still, as does the dollar. The market is uncertain due to many different nuances, mainly fundamental and political factors. On D1 we can see that gold does not have any definite trend at the moment, on H1 there is a downward range, but it plays a mediocre role. Since for now gold is in the range of 2052 (2035) - on top and 2018(2009) - on the bottom , in our case it is better to look for strong support or resistance levels to trade the strategy inside the range. There are no prerequisites for a breakout of the boundaries at the moment, so with a high degree of probability the market will continue to forge price movement within these boundaries. In the medium term, the further direction will be determined only by the breakthrough of one of the range boundaries, because now it is impossible to say clearly, as a symmetrical triangle is forming globally. Yes, there are prerequisites for both further growth and decline, but we need to wait for actual indications. Resistance levels: 2035, 2050 Support levels: 2025, 2020, 2018 The moving averages indicate sideways movement, which is what we see. An intra-range trading strategy (from strong levels or range boundaries) is recommended. The global trend is neutral and the local trend is downward. TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:GOLD COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
9
GOLD head downhillWorld gold price stood at 2,020 USD/ounce, down 10 USD/ounce compared to the same hour yesterday morning. Improved optimism has had a significant impact on gold prices. Investors turned their attention to more risky markets such as stocks, causing gold prices to decline. Technical selling and a recovery in equity markets could be the two main factors limiting investor interest in the international gold market. In addition, according to analysts, the gold market is not doing well in the context of investors reducing expectations that the US will cut interest rates, after the US Federal Reserve (Fed) said it needed to monitor more inflation data. before loosening monetary policy. Since then, the USD has remained anchored at a high price, which is detrimental to today's gold price. Gold prices fell about 1% last week, the biggest weekly decline in six weeks. According to CME FedWatch Tool, traders are assessing a roughly 43.5% chance the Fed will cut interest rates in March, compared with more than 70% at the beginning of last week. Investors are now waiting for the US preliminary purchasing managers index report to be released on Wednesday, fourth-quarter GDP data expected on Thursday and personal consumption expenditure data on Friday to confirm. There are more signals about the interest rate direction of the US Central Bank.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
GOLD → Retests of global support. Where can it lead to?OANDA:XAUUSD opens lower on Monday and is testing 2025 for a breakout. Technically, gold is weaker than the dollar as regulators continue to support the index. Fundamentally, the gold market is only watching the dollar's behavior. The dollar index is consolidating after a micro rally, but both technically and fundamentally the index may strengthen. The market sentiment is changing: traders are now betting that the Fed will not start cutting rates until May, while earlier it was March. Gold is in a key consolidation range: 2052 - 2018 (the boundaries are marked on the D1 chart). Anything can happen in relation to the boundaries (false breakout, rebound), as the market is trying to gather the necessary amount of liquidity by any means. But, if you look closely, you can see that the price is forming a retest of the ascending support line. The chances of the support being broken continue to rise. The trigger zone is below 2018. A break of this support and the formation of consolidation below this level could finally turn the market around and direct the accumulated potential towards a bearish distribution. But! Since gold is currently in a range, we have a resistance level, a break of which could give the market an opportunity for growth: this is the 2025-2030 area. Resistance levels: 2025, 2030, 2035, 2050 Support levels: 2018.5, 2016, 2004 Technically, a bearish trend is forming, on d1 price continues to test support for a breakout on the back of a strengthening dollar. I think such preconditions may hint at a possible fall TVC:DXY CAPITALCOM:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
11
GOLD → Counter-trend correction and a target of 2050FOREXCOM:XAUUSD looks quite strong and on the background of growing dollar index does not give up its positions much. Consolidation in the range of 2069.8 - 2029.6 continues. The dollar index feels overheated but still supported by the US FED & FOMC. Regulators are carefully trying to control the situation and stop any possibility of early interest rate cuts. As we can see, the dollar price is actively reacting to such comments. The index is squeezed between MA200 and MA50 and, in all likelihood, from the support may continue to rise in January-February to the trend resistance, which will have a corresponding effect on the forex market and gold. Gold is trading within the descending price channel and on the background of unstable geopolitical situation, the price is trading calmly inside the range. The logical price reaction to a false break of trend support is a technical reversal is formed and we see a counter-trend correction to resistance. On D1 gold is forming a strong resistance zone formed by several highs ( 2150, 2085, 2070, 2063 ), on the global timeframe, technically and fundamentally the asset looks promising. The current geopolitical situation is affecting the gold price to the upside, but the market is correlated with the dollar index and as long as the latter is strengthening, gold will still react to it. Gold may continue to rise at the beginning of the week for several reasons: - the attacks on Yemen and the response to US vessels continued over the weekend - dollar index closed Friday's session in the correction phase - On the hourly timeframe, gold ended Friday's session with the end of the correction in the 2025 area. The price has consolidated above the psychologically and technically important level, respectively, it will favorably affect the price growth. TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
5
#AU AngloGold Ashanti bouncing off bottom of flat top triangle?Anglo Gold seems to be morphing in the form of a flat top triangle but it is obviously very early stages. We have a 3 bar hold off the bottom trendline, which have on both prior occasions resulted in a fierce rally in price. Should we start to see follow through on Monday with a push above the 3 day highs then we have a really good chance of going to test the top of the range at R375.00. A break of R375.00 would then confirm the flat top triangle breakout with much higher targets in place.
JSE:ANGLong
by MarcoOlevano
1
#DRDGOLD R14.00 a massive level- watch for reversalAfter reaching a high of R24.50 in May 2023, DRD has retraced right back to the change of polarity point and 200 week moving average (green). The level of R14.00 also happens to be the 61.8% fib retracement level joining the swing highs from May 23 and Swing lows from Sep 22. Putting this all together tells me that the 14.00 level is a high probability of leading to a reversal in price and i will be watching this closely in the week ahead for a long entry. Also note the divergence on the RSI which has not formed a lower low in tandem with price.
JSE:DRDLong
by MarcoOlevano
XAUUSD Is this a dead-cat-bounce?Gold (XAUUSD) is on the 2nd straight bullish 1D candle after Wednesday's 2001.50 bottom. With this rebound it has recovered the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which it broke and closed below it on Wednesday. However this is the only (so far) divergence from the early 2023 pattern, which started with a massive reversal on the 1811.50 - 1805.00 Support Zone, the rally turned into a Channel Up and then reversed to a Channel Down below the 1D MA50 that hit in succession the 0.382, 0.5, 0.618. As a result, as long as the (dotted) Channel Down holds, we remain bearish, aiming at 1973 (the 0.382 - Support 1 Zone), which is marginally above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Notice also how symmetrical the 1D RSI sequences between the two patterns are. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TradingShot
GOLD → Trading within the descending channel GOLD confirms the lower boundary of the channel, forms a false breakdown of 2010 and reverses to form a counter-trend correction. Gold manages to grow on the background of the growing dollar index. Today there is no news that can somehow change the direction. Technically, gold, within the descending range, is heading towards the resistance area of 2042-2048. On the background of the correction, the price is breaking through MA-50 and the strong level of 2025. Ahead is MA-200 and no less important resistance zone 2035 from which a correction may follow with the aim of retesting 2025. Thus, within the range we should focus our attention on the area: 2035, MA-200. Breakout of this zone and price consolidation above it will form a potential for further growth to the previously mentioned target: liquidity and resistance zone 2042-2048. But if the bears sell the price, forcing a breakout of 2025 and consolidation below the level, then in this case, against the background of a rising dollar, gold may head towards the support area of 2004. Support levels: 2025, 2029 Resistance levels: MA-200, 2035 As part of the intra-range trading strategy, the price may reach the trend resistance and test 2048. But, still we have a strong dollar and strong sellers in the market. If the price goes back to 2025, we should be ready for further selling COMEX:GC1! TVC:DXY COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
24
GOLD → Price returns to the descending range OANDA:XAUUSD is declining and testing local lows. The market has stopped paying attention to the conflict in the red sea, which is surprising, and focuses its attention on the comments of the Fed representatives, who are quite a lot of speakers and will speak this week. Of the news today, Core Retail Sales at 31:30 gmt is worth waiting for. Analysts expect unchanged data, but Bowman (FOMC) will speak at 14:00 and Williams (FOMC) will speak at 20:00, most likely to comment on the situation around inflation and further interest rate situation. Overall, the regulator is not ready to give up yet and may continue to keep the dollar strong. As for gold, the price is still in a neutral consolidation phase. A breakout of one of the boundaries may determine the outlook and it could be a support breakout. In general, gold is returning to the descending range and testing support levels for the possibility of further decline. Most likely, bears will try to hold their zone, in this case gold may test 2013 within the bearish trend in the nearest future. And in the medium term, target 1994, where there is a huge pool of liquidity. Resistance levels: 2024, 2030 Support levels: 2017, 2013, 2010 As the time horizons are determined both technically and fundamentally, gold may test local lows on the back of a rising dollar COMEX:GC1! TVC:DXY Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
21
GOLD → How will the news affect the price?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is updating a low of 2001.9 and forming a correction in a phase of waiting for news to be released at 13:30 GMT. At 13:30 Initial Jobless Claims will be published - analysts expect that the index may show worse data than in the previous period, and also, it is worth paying attention to Bostic's comments (FOMC), who will speak three times today: 12:30, 16:30, 17:05. The FOMC representatives have been making a lot of speeches this week. Technically, gold is forming a correction and consolidation in a low-volatility format, which may last until the news is released. It is impossible to determine the data in advance, but there are assumptions that the dollar index will continue its growth, in which case, gold may continue to fall after a retest of resistance. The moving averages indicate the continuation of the bearish trend. Resistance levels: 2013.7, 2016.8, 2025 Support levels: 2004.5, 1994.7, 1976.2 Technically, gold is in a downtrend and on the backdrop of the news may test resistance to capture liquidity before further declines TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
5
XAUUSD: First time under the 1D MA50 Gold broke under the 1D MA50 for the first time since October 13th and turned bearish on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.420, MACD = 1.310, ADX = 35.745). The pattern that has emerged is a Channel Down with the price near its LL bottom. Consequently we expect a short term rebound to retest the 4H MA50 and then a new bearish wave towards the S1 level (TP = 1,980). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by InvestingScope
GOLD → Correction to previously broken trend resistance FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is declining. Bulls failed to hold the 2050 area, but most likely there is a reason for that: the liquidity zone is near the previously broken resistance, and the geopolitical situation is complicated by additional Fed comments. The dollar index consolidated below 102.6 for a long time and it was logical to realize that the market was unable to go up, until the Fed commented again: "rates should be kept at a high level for some time, it is premature to talk about the beginning of the Fed's rate cut in March". This is logical against the backdrop of the red sea crisis, which is also very much affecting inflation in the world. BUT. It should be understood that this conflict directly affects the pricing of gold. High probability of appreciation of the asset. Technically, gold is declining towards the previously broken trend resistance. The market may be interested in support at 2038.9 - 2032. A false breakdown could form a liquidity grab and a bullish momentum. Resistance levels: 2050, 2064 Support levels: 0.382 fibo, 0.5 fibo (2038.9), 0.618 fibo The growth of gold, as a security asset amid the crisis, may continue after the market retests the previously broken trend resistance COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
8
XAUUSD POSSIBLE 120 pips bullish setupsince last week gold had a very indecisive and unclear price action the overall direction was unclear but since geopolitical situation is getting serious and serious i think we should be looking at the bullish direction. i have found a pretty good scenario with a good entry if a bullish move occurs . First the price reached a daily keylevel and fibbonacci golden zone level then the last 4H candle closed as a doji hammer indicating strength of buyers on lower tfs we can find a formation of an inverted head and shoulder + rsi divergence. i guess the break of the neckline could trigger a bullish continuation towards the 2050s.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by xAB777
GOLD world markets increased slightlyWorld gold prices today (January 16) increased slightly as investors increasingly searched for safe haven assets due to concerns about tensions in the Middle East and new expectations for the US Federal Reserve (Fed). ) will cut interest rates sooner than expected. The Federal Reserve has signaled three potential interest rate cuts this year; Meanwhile, European Central Bank committee members are rejecting the idea of ​​easing in 2024. The ECB's hawkish stance contrasts with the Fed - which is expected to cut interest rates later this year. However, the Federal Reserve is pushing back the timing of its interest rate release. Markets see more than a 70% chance of the Fed easing monetary policy in March. Markets are pricing in six possible rate cuts this year, double what the central bank indicated last month.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading