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XAUUSD First 4H Death Cross in 4 months. Will it reverse?Gold (XAUUSD) followed our January 08 buy signal (see chart below) and rebounded on the 1D MA50, easily hitting the 2040 Target: This time we have a distinct technical formation arising as the pair is forming the first 4H Death Cross since September 28 2023. In fact, the price action is very similar to the Death Cross that was formed a few days prior that (September 14). After a 0.786 Fibonacci rebound, the price collapsed to a new Low. As a result, we see a rise to 2070 (just below the 0.786 Fib) as a realistic short-term action, but below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) we will short the break-out and target Support 2 at 1972.40 (just above the 1D MA200 (yellow trend-line)). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
GOLD → Why could the metal's price rise continue? FOREXCOM:XAUUSD closes the trading week above the opening, which is quite a positive sign, as the market has obvious reasons for the rally, which can continue up to 2150. We are living in a time of a 30 year record number of armed conflicts with over 180 clashes. This is all affecting the market, including gold. A recent reason for gold's rally was the military operation against the Houthis in Yemen by the U.S. and the Great Britain for the freedom of the sea route. As part of the rally, the price is overcoming bearish resistance and forming further preconditions for a possible rise. There is not much fundamentally significant news in the coming week, the world is focused on the war in the Middle East, which is still ongoing and the new armed conflict in Southwest Asia. This is pre-determining the medium-term outlook for gold. The dollar has been receiving bullish news for the last two weeks, but continues to consolidate without any bullish reaction under the resistance level of 102.6. The market is probably waiting for downside signals. Gold on the other hand breaks trend resistance, which temporarily detaches the correlation between the assets, hence the format of technical and fundamental analysis changes a bit. The coming week may see a retest of local support before a further retest. Now all eyes are focused on the resistance of the global range 2050-2070 and it is likely that in the medium term gold may break this level and start to form a new global range. TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
XAUUSD Bullish above and bearish below this level.Gold has had the strongest 2 day rally as this week closed since December 14th. This rally was initiated on the MA50 (1d), which is where all (2) Higher Lows of the Channel Up where priced at. Technically this maintains the long term Channel Up but there is also the dotted Channel Down that is intact. Trading Plan: 1. Sell as long as the price doesn't cross over the dotted Channel Down. 2. Buy if it crosses above it. Targets: 1. 1995 (bottom of Channel Down). 2. 2089 (Resistance 1). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is about to cross its MA trend line. Every time this happend since October, it has been a buy signal. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingBrokersView
Gold: Recovery? ❤️‍🩹Since yesterday, gold has been moving slightly higher. We're therefore one step closer to fulfilling our primary expectations. We still expect the price of the precious metal to rise further in the course of the turquoise wave B, and the upcoming high should be well above the 4th December high. However, it could also be that the price has already placed the high. This alternative scenario comes into play if the price falls below the support level of $1935 and has a probability of 40%.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by MarketIntel
GOLD → It's a stalemate. The market can grow FOREXCOM:XAUUSD reaches our target, but after a false breakdown of support 2016, the market quickly buys back all the fall. Now the price is heading towards a strong resistance The most interesting thing is that three times in a row the US market received fundamentally bullish news. The TVC:DXY has been in the same place for 10 days now and cannot pass through resistance, which speaks volumes about the state of the index and the mood of the market. The market is overheated and in all likelihood the index is preparing for a decline. Gold is not so eager to react to bearish news and at any opportunity the market tries to buy back the fall. At the moment the price of gold is heading to the resistance of the ascending channel, from here two scenarios can develop: 1) False breakout may lead to a pullback, within which the price may break through 2031.8. Consolidation below this level will continue the correction phase and within the descending channel the price may head towards 2016 2) False breakout will form a small correction to 2030-2031. But, the fundamental background will play its role and the price will start forging resistance retests for a breakout. Breakout of downside resistance and 2038.9 level is a signal and price consolidation above these areas will be confirmation Support levels: 2031.8, 2025 Resistance levels: MA-200, 2038.9 I think that the chance is higher towards the resistance breakout than towards further decline. We follow the price reaction beyond the mentioned zone and wait for confirmation of one or another scenario to open trades Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
GOLD → How might today's news affect gold?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is trading in a range, as evidenced not only by trading between levels, but also between moving averages. The reason for this is the controversial fundamental environment. The market is reacting weakly to bullish news for the dollar because fundamentally it is already overheated. Speculators react very strongly to negative news than positive news and in the current environment this is worth considering. Important news is being published today. In general, analysts are expecting bullish CPI data and bearish Initial Jobless Claims data. Bad data for the $ will push gold up, to the point where the price could change its local trend. But good news for the $ may continue to form an actual range for gold 2015 - 2050. It is worth paying attention to the strong resistance on the dollar 102.6, technically, the index is ready to go down and very strongly (This should have a positive impact on the price of gold), but I wonder what will show today the funamental market. Support levels: 2030, 2020, 2015 Resistance levels: 2039, 2049 On the news, the price may test strong zones. At the moment, there is no clear understanding of the strength of the news we will receive, but according to a number of assumptions we have a chance to strengthen the price of gold TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
20
GOLD → Bounce to 2050, or consolidation 2030-2040FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is trading within a descending channel, from support the price is heading towards resistance, while the dollar continues to consolidate in anticipation of tomorrow's news. Gold price after another false breakdown of support and retest of the liquidity zone forimizes the rally and tests 2040. Most likely the target for the market is embedded higher, around 2048-2050 Pay attention to the dollar. The price is in consolidation for 6 days near the level of 102.6. Important news is published tomorrow, the market is probably waiting for bad news for the dollar, as the bears are forming a strong resistance zone. Gold may enter the risk zone (resistance area) before the news, but if the price does not pass the 2040 area, the price will form a consolidation until tomorrow waiting for the fundamentals. Support levels: 2030, 2023 Resistance levels: 2039, 2049 The price is strengthening towards the resistance, the target for the market is the area of 2050. But if the price does not pass through 2040, the market will start to form consolidation 2040-2030 TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
25
GOLD suddenly turned around and slightly decreasedWorld gold prices were relatively stable with spot gold falling 5.3 USD to 2,023.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures were last traded at 2,029.3 USD/ounce, down 3.7 USD compared to yesterday morning. Investors are waiting for US inflation data to get more clarity on the path of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rates this year. The USD weakened, the US Dollar Index (DXY) which measures greenback fluctuations with 6 major currencies (EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK, CHF) fell 0.21%, to 102.36. Gold suffered heavy losses over the past week as traders gradually scaled back speculation that the Fed would start cutting interest rates in March 2024. This idea has sent the dollar soaring, which has also put pressure on bullion prices. However, the yellow metal has managed to stay above $2,000 an ounce after surpassing that level in early December. Gold prices will also rise by around 10% in 2023.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD: Turning bearish if the 1D MA50 breaks.Gold (XAUUSD) stopped its 10 day pullback yesterday on the 1D MA50, which is the level where the short term Channel Up priced the previous HL on December 13th. The 1D timeframe is technically neutral (RSI = 47.836, MACD = 6.750, ADX = 32.595). If the 1D MA50 is crossed though, the trend will turn bearish in a way comparable to the May 17th 2023 bearish crossing. This was the bearish extension after the one year Channel Up peaked on a HH and declined all the way to the 1D MA200 and under. We expect a similar course to be followed, so if the price crosses under the 1D MA50, we will go short on the long term with one target on the 1D MA200 and the S2 level (TP1 = 1,972.50) and a second on the S3 level (TP2 = 1,928.10). Notice that a 1D RSI Bearish Divergence has preceeded the May 4th peak. We can see a similar pattern since October 27th. See how our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by InvestingScope
GOLD → False breakout leads to counter-trend correctionFOREXCOM:XAUUSD within the descending price channel forms a false break of support after which we see the strengthening, which began yesterday. On the background of the downtrend the price forms a false breakdown of the level of 2031.8, after that during several hours the price fixes above this level, which forms a bullish position in the market. Within the current counter-trend correction, the price may reach the resistance of 2048 range or trend resistance. There are no important news that can affect the price today, most likely the price will continue its direction to the zone of interest, because above 2049 there is a large enough pool of liquidity. It is too early to talk about the trend change. Support levels: 2030-2031 Resistance levels: 2039.3, 2049.3 The counter-trend correction may reach the mentioned trend zone. Further we should watch the price reaction to the mentioned resistance area as well as to the fundamental reasons, which can both break the trend and continue it TVC:DXY COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:GC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
17
GOLD → The downtrend continues to form FOREXCOM:XAUUSD has been declining on the basis of fundamentals since last week, which is what I was preparing you for. The price makes a false break of resistance and decreases by 1.8%. Yesterday we analyzed the situation from both fundamental and technical points of view. Gold, as we expected, is declining towards the support. The price is heading towards the lower boundary of the trend, from which a small correction to the resistance may follow. If the fundamental background ( TVC:DXY ) does not change in the next few weeks, the price may test the levels even lower in the future. Technically, now we expect a correction from the 2023-2020 area to one of the nearest resistances. BUT, if the channel support is broken and the price forms a consolidation below 2023-2020, the decline will start without a pullback, the target in this case will be the area of 2015, 2010, 2000. Support levels: 2030, 2015 Resistance levels: 2039, 2049 The price may continue to be inside the descending channel, having formed a bounce from support to resistance. Technically and fundamentally, the price is preparing for a decline. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12
XAUUSD Target hit, approaching bottom of Channel Up and 1D MA50.Gold (XAUUSD) followed the Channel Up 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) rejection pattern and as per our last week's idea (January 04, see chart below), it hit today our 2020 Target: The price is now only a few pips away from hitting the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) which has been untouched since October 13 2023 and near which both previous Higher Lows on the Channel's bottom (December 13 2023 and November 12 2023) where priced. As a result that would be a buy opportunity with a tolerance extension as low as 2003, which would represent a -4.08% from the top, symmetrical to both previous two Bearish Legs. As long as the Channel Up Higher Lows trend-line holds, we will stay bullish, targeting the 4H MA50 at 2040. If the bottom trend-line breaks, we will take the relatively small loss and open a sell instead, targeting Support 1 at 1972.50. The 1D MA20 (yellow trend-line) is the final supporting trend-line before Gold gets a confirmed bearish reversal on the long-term horizon. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
GOLD → Uncertain market. What should we expect?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is forming a global range of 2070 - 1810. In a neutral market, the price may head down from the resistance, but we have an unstable fundamental environment. The market closes the second half of the new week in 2023 in a phase of uncertainty. The price is standing still. After receiving the news, the market quickly buys back the decline or sells off the rise, thus bringing the price back to the current range of 2050 - 2040. Wednesday through Friday the market receives bullish news for the US market, which technically should drop the price of gold. But the market is already overheated by the Fed's manipulation and is apparently getting ready for further rate cuts, which the US regulators may start in early spring . In this case, the TVC:DXY will begin to give up its positions, which will technically strengthen the forex market and including gold, silver and the cryptocurrency market. On the high timeframe ( 1 week ) we see the strength of buying power in the gold market. There is a reason for everything: fundamentals, geopolitics, problems in the US and European market, high interest in the metal from the central banks of many countries, which very actively continue to buy the metal. Technically, the price may test 0.382, 0.5, 0.618 fibo by spring before rising further. The positive sentiment is indicated by frequent resistance retests . Every next retest makes this zone lose strength, which technically brings us closer to the formation of a new bullish range after breaking the 2050-2075 zone. There is not much news in the coming week, important data may be released in the second half. The market may start the new trading week by continuing to forge a sideways range between 2050 - 2040 . But, a breakout of one of the mentioned boundaries followed by price consolidation above or below this level will form momentum towards the mentioned zones. Support levels: 2040, 2030, 2015 Resistance levels: 2050, 2058, 2069, 2075 The market may be temporarily affected by the bullish news for the US market from last Friday. Gold may start to decline to 2040 and retest 2030 as we saw sell-offs on Friday after stabilization. BUT! At the moment the market is unstable amidst uncertain potential. Proceed from these levels and your trading strategies. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
15
GOLD dropped sharply in the first session of the weekForecasting this week's gold price trend, Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey shows that 50% of retail investors participating in online polls on Main Street expect gold prices to increase this week. This and the rest forecast that the price will go in the opposite direction. Retail investors expect gold prices to trade around $2,049/ounce this week. Meanwhile, the majority of market analysts have an optimistic view on the yellow metal in the short term with 66% of experts participating in the survey predicting gold prices will increase. Walsh Trading's Co-Head of Commercial Hedging Sean Lusk is optimistic about gold, saying the precious metal remains supported by concerns surrounding conflict in the Middle East and seasonal factors. Lusk predicts that during the seasonal growth period from now until Valentine's Day, gold prices will reach 2,175 USD/ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD → Will NFP weaken gold? What should we expect?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is consolidating under a strong resistance level. Yesterday the gold market received negative fundamental data, in all likelihood, which will also affect NFP ( TVC:DXY ) On the high timeframe we see the formation of a resistance zone formed by several highs and levels. At the moment the focus is on the 2050 level. After a false breakdown and on the news on Thursday, a bearish consolidation is forming under the level to continue the decline. Based on the previous data, we have a high chance of seeing a negative NFP for gold. In that case, the price may head downwards. But, the problem with news is that it is unpredictable, The opposite of the expected NFP can strengthen the gold. Wait for the actual data. On H1, there is a possible resistance retest before further decline. Moving averages previously formed a trend change signal and now indicate a downtrend. Support levels: 2038.9, 2031, 2015 Resistance levels: 2049.3, 2058.3 Technically and fundamentally, the price is expected to decline towards the mentioned targets. But if the actual news data will be opposite to the expected ones, the market may behave unpredictably. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
29
🥇 GOLD - Consolidation after false resistance breakdown GOLD is forming a bearish market sentiment after the false breakdown of 2047. Apparently, the market is forming a negative fundamental background and is preparing to make new lows. Technically, the bears continue to pressure the gold price and form a strong consolidation below the strong resistance Prerequisites for further decline: 1) NFP may have a negative impact on the gold price 2) Yesterday formed a negative fundamental background 3) Support retest 4) Price consolidation under the strong level of 2047.9
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AndeWave
1
GOLD → Correction phase, expect a fall, but news... FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is declining by 1.3% on Wednesday, the reason may be the fundamental nuances of the Fed, which is still trying to keep the market under control, hinting at both lowering the interest rates and raising them, to which the market reacts by strengthening the dollar. Today at 13:15 - 14:45 important news is published, which reflects both the situation with inflation and the position of the FED and FOMC. Fundamentally, analysts expect bullish data, which could technically strengthen the TVC:DXY , which in turn will weaken gold. Still, it is worth waiting for actual data that can provide insight into the medium-term outlook. On the chart we see the formation of a technical correction on the background of a bullish trend. The price is testing the resistance of 2050, it is possible that before the news the price may go higher and test 2058, 2065 before falling further. But, if the actual fundamental data is worse than expected, it could strengthen gold towards the current channel resistance. Support levels: 2042, 2037, 2033, 2030 Resistance levels: 2049.3, 2050, 2058, 2065 The news will give us insight into the medium-term outlook. Bullish news for the dollar will weaken gold and the price will continue the local downtrend. Bearish news for the dollar will strengthen gold and may reestablish the bullish trend Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
10
XAUUSD Bear Flag on 4H.Gold (XAUUSD) eventually did get rejected on the 0.618 Fibonacci level as per our last week analysis (see chart below): This is so far consistent with all previous All Time Highs since August 2020 and our long-term target remains 1975. On the shorter term though we see a quick sell opportunity following today's bounce after the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) break-out, as it is consistent with all such break-outs (red ellipses) within the 2-month Channel Up. Every Bearish Leg of this Channel Up declined by more than -4.00% but on our short-term horizon we will settle for a 2020 target, which will be a 1D MA50 (red trend-line) test. See also how consistent the 4H MACD sequences are. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TradingShot
Gold likely to continue shining in 2024For over two years of publishing on TradingView, we have maintained a bullish stance on gold, which has been marching higher in tandem with our expectations. In 2024, our outlook remains unchanged, and we expect it to continue performing well amid the persistence of institutional interest, global economic slowdown, and geopolitical tensions. However, we also recognize a potential threat to its well-being, represented by the stock market weakness. This thesis is built upon the fact that gold has been climbing higher alongside stock market indices for several months, showing a positive correlation. Furthermore, we have seen a perfect example in 2022, when the stock market selloff forced investors to sell gold in order to cover losses elsewhere; we expect the same thing to happen in the case of prolonged weakness in market indices. Nonetheless, we do not have plans to sell our holdings; instead, we plan to accumulate more (if the opportunity arises). With that said, our long-term price target for gold stays at $2,300. Illustration 1.01 The image above shows the daily chart of XAUUSD and simple support/resistance levels derived from peaks and troughs. Technical analysis Daily = Bullish Weekly = Bullish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tradersweekly
5
GOLD → Correction Phase. How long will it last?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is weakening on the background of growing TVC:DXY . At the moment, fundamental and technical indicators are diverging and the market is trying to collect maximum liquidity before further growth. On D1 we see the formation of a false breakdown of resistance 2075. The market is in global consolidation, but locally we have a downtrend forming. Technically, the price may test the local trend support, while the dollar seeks to test the resistance. Within the downtrend range, gold may bounce from support to resistance. This range formation is likely to continue until the end of the week. Support levels: 2048, 2030, 2010 Resistance levels: 2058, 2069, 2075 Fundamentally, the dollar has a weak support and should fall. But on the background of low market volumes, the market maker is collecting liquidity. It is likely that the gold may test the far support levels before rising further. Hence, the local bearish correction formation may continue until 2009 in the medium term. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
4
XAUUSD: Sell reversal inside the Channel Up.Gold has technically turned neutral on the 4H time-frame (RSI = 47.613, MACD = 2.720, ADX = 30.603) but remains bullish on 1D as it has started the bearish leg of the two month Channel Up. The 4H MA50 broke today for the first time since December 13th and that basically validates this short-term correction. Our target is the S1 level (TP = 2,016) which will make an ideal test of the 1D MA50. See how our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by InvestingScope
GOLD → The bullish potential is back. December trap FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is starting to catch up with the bullish potential, which was forged at the end of 2023, when we received negative news for $. On D1 we see gold rising on the back of a weakening TVC:DXY . The price breaks through the important and historical resistance 2069 - 2070. A retest and consolidation of price above the level is forming. A price consolidation this week above this level will confirm the intention of the bull market. In this case, we may see a potential target in the form of: 2085, 2100 and even 2150. On H1, the price is updating the local support (false breakout) on the background of bullish news for gold. And this is a logical scenario before further growth. I warned you that before the growth, even on good news, the price can go down. Now it is important for us to see the price consolidation above the mentioned liquidity area. Support levels: 2075, 2070, 2069 Resistance levels: 2079, 2082, 2088, 2100 I expect growth after the price fixation above the mentioned support area. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10