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GOLD → We expect a fall to 1885, from which a rebound may followOANDA:XAUUSD is following a clear script. I recommend studying the latest ideas on XAU to understand the reasons for further decline. At the moment this stage could go to 1885 before a further bounce. At this point I am only expecting a fall to 1885. This area is clearly of interest to MM and the market, on the background of a strengthening dollar, the price reaching this area will be quite fast. But, further from the mentioned support, with a high probability, a pullback may follow. If the false breakdown will be small, the upward impulse can be formed quite strong. On the background of downtrend and negative fundamental data for XAU, counter-trend correction and momentum may reach 1895 or 1901, but the decline may continue. Support levels: 1885 Resistance levels: 1895, 1901 I expect the fall to continue to the above level. If the support is retested, a rebound may follow before a further fall. OANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:XAGUSD COMEX:GC1! TVC:DXY TVC:BXY Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
20
XAUUSD Time to finally break below the 1W MA50? How bad is it?Gold (XAUUSD) is about to test the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since the week of December 26 2022. Last time it was nearly hit (February 20 - 27 2023) it supported the pull-back emphatically, and initiated a strong rebound. Almost 5 months ago (May 4), when everyone in the market was jubilant about Gold's new All Time High, we warned the community (see chart below) of the high probability of a 1W MA50 correction if the the 1W candle failed to close above the 2075 Resistance, which is holding since the August 2020 High: This is what happened as the price closed below the ATH Resistance, the 1W RSI got rejected exactly on the Lower Highs trend-line (additional sell signal), hit the initial 1975 target and broke below the 1D MA50. In the proccess, it turned the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) into Resistance and formed the Lower Highs trend-line that dictate the course of the downtrend. This development (Lower Highs on top of a 1D MA100 Resistance) has been the characteristic of both previous corrections after fails to close above the 2075 level (August 2020, March 2022). On both sequences, Gold found the first Zone of Support within the 0.5 - 0.382 Fibonacci range. Our targets, always in the event of a close below the 1W MA50, are firmly placed (1850 and 1800) based on that Zone (we call it the High Volatility Zone) but this time is slightly different as we have to acknowledge the presence of the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which is currently at 1812.50 and rising continuously. However the 1W MA200 was breached and the price even stayed below it for almost 2 months, last September (2022). This more than justifies a 1800 projection but best to pursue it with less risk after a 1W candle closing below the 1W MA200. During this 3-year pattern, the bottom is already priced when the 1W MACD forms a Bullish Cross below the 0.00 mark. Right now it is marginally on it but with no signs of reversing. On both previous corrections the week that followed the 1W MACD Bullish Cross, the price also broke above the 1D MA100. If it breaks before that, it could be a sign of an early bearish invalidation. Additional relevant material: ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TradingShot
2
GOLD → Price continues to form a downtrendOANDA:XAUUSD is breaking another support line again. Bearish prerequisites, which I previously wrote about, putting the market in the phase of realization of accumulation, a high chance of continuation of the fall On the chart we see the formation of a global consolidation range. The price breaks the support at 1915.3. The correction after the breakout is formed, which flows into the consolidation phase. Price consolidation under the flat support will form a bearish potential and a convenient entry point for further sales. Earlier I wrote about strong sell-offs, all the resistance, retest, all this was the formation of a large bearish position. Last week we met Powell's speech, who did not give any specifics, but at the same time made it clear that the dollar will continue its strengthening. The index has discovered a new corridor that could cause gold to fall lower. The moving averages are forming another bearish signal. Resistance levels: 1915.3, 1922.4. Support levels: 1910, 1908 I expect the decline to continue after consolidation below 1915. A false breakout is possible, but the prospect is 1910, 1901 OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:GOLD TVC:DXY CAPITALCOM:SILVER COMEX:SI1! OANDA:XAGUSD Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
26
XAUUSD Low risk buy but don't commit if the Channel breaks lowerGold / XAUUSD should be approached with caution as today it formed a Death Cross on the 1day time frame. On the shorter 4hour chart, it remains inside a Channel Down pattern and reached now Support A (1,900.50). This is a low risk buy but only as long as the price stays inside the Channel. The 4hour RSI has already hit the bottom of its Channel Down. Cautious buy here and target 1,940 (top of the Channel Down). Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
4
🥇GOLD - Price breaks through the bulls' barriers Gold falls from 1928.5 and reaches support in my scenario. We have taken the target. At this point, while the market is forming a sideways range, price may form a bounce from 1908 before falling further. TA on the high timeframe: 1) Important target is 1907.6. The market is looking to test this area 2) Price passes one of the key liquidity areas, the next leg is 1900 TA on the low timeframe: 1) Price is inside flat 2) Support at 1912 is broken 3) Price on retest of 1908 may form a rebound to 1912-1915 but in the long term we should expect further decline 4) If 1908.4 is broken, the price will head towards 1901. Key resistance📈: 1912, 1915 Key support📉: 1908.1901
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Gold-Tech
14
Gold LongExpecting gold price (xau/usd) quadruple in ten years. I estimate at least 6500usd. This estimate is for current economic conditions of the world. No one knows what will happen in ten years. Biggest problem with gold price is people buying gold virtually over banks etc., when people start to buy gold physically, it will skyrocket beyond my estimation. They are currently trying to make sure people don't buy physical gold. They say everything good in the world and economy. We will see how that plays out.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by f424242
🥇GOLD - Resistance Retest. (To breakout or to fall?)Gold is forming a resistance retest. Against the background of the global descending channel, the price may form a false breakout, but against the background of consolidation near resistance, the chances of a breakout increase. TA on high timeframe: 1) We have the formation of the 1934-1907 range. There is a false breakout and pin-bar formed against resistance. 2) Price is likely to form a retest now before further breakout TA on the low timeframe: 1) a sideways range is still forming in the market 2) The dollar continues to strengthen and surprisingly, so does gold. But the dollar has a positive fundamental background. And gold, most likely, the market is pulling up to the liquidity area 3) We watch the price reaction. If there is a breakout of resistance, we should wait for consolidation above 1928-1930 to buy. 4) False breakout will form a consolidation below resistance. Only after confirmation of one or the other should we sell or buy Key resistance📈: 1928.5, 1930 Key support📉: 1915, 1908
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Gold-Tech
11
GOLD → A retest of support is expected in a weak market Gold has been declining since the opening of the trading session. The market continues to form a sideways flat. Purchases after strong sell-offs bring the price only to the retest of the strong resistance area, after which the metal weakens again On the chart we see the current set-up - flat. The price is declining after the resistance retest and breaks through the local support at 1922.4. The price fixing below this area will form a signal for selling. In this case, I expect that the price may reach 1915 in the short term and 1900 in the medium term. The fundamental background of gold is weak, but technically the price feels quite confident against the background of what is happening, most likely the reason for this is the huge interest from the world's major central banks. As soon as gold gets a little bullish potential from the fundamentals, it will give a huge jump up, but it is too early to tell. The moving averages indicate that a consolidation is forming. Support levels: 1915, 1902 Resistance levels: 1922, 1928 I expect the continuation of the decline on the background of technical and fundamental analysis. Market Maker is interested in lower liquidity areas OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! FOREXCOM:XAGUSD CAPITALCOM:DXY Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
42
XAUUSD Death Cross (1d) inevitable. Massive sell ahead?Gold is a day or two away from the first Death Cross on the (1d) time frame since July 1st 2022. That initiated a massive sell off at the time. The price is currenting on a long term bearish track with the Falling Resistance and Support forming a Falling Wedge. The Rising Support since February 28th is the seperator from a potential bullish reversal to a strong sell-off similar to July 2022. Trading Plan: 1. Buy if the price closes a (1d) candle over the Falling Resistance. 2. Buy again on the (1d) MA50 if it closes over Resistance (1). 3. Sell if it closes under the Rising Support. 4. Sell again if it closes under the Falling Support. Targets: 1. 1953 (Resistance 1). 2. 1988 (Resistance 2). 3. 1886 (Support 1). 4. 1805 (Support 2). Tips: 1. Gold has been very consistent on its sell sequences throughout the whole year. See the white Channel Down patterns. A similar one is expected to deliver ~1800 if the Falling Support breaks.. Please like, follow and comment!!
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingBrokersView
6
XAUUSD Ichimoku supported within the Triangle.Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) after a Lower Highs trend-line at the top of 2-month Triangle. The MACD on the 1D time-frame has formed a Bullish Cross and as the green Ichimoku Cloud turned green, it waves a buy signal. Every time the Ichimoku turned green since July, Gold flashed a buy signal. As a result we expect one more rise towards at least the Lower Highs trend-line. Our target is 1943. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
GOLD → Bearish Pin-Bar on Negative Fundamental Background OANDA:XAUUSD is testing the upper boundary of the global descending resistance again at the end of last week. The retest occurs at the moment of strong news, but the key candlestick pattern is formed exactly at the moment of FED & FOMC speech, as a result of which the market determines the further prospect of strengthening the dollar and hence - the fall in the price of gold. In the coming week the market is expecting a lot of important news and I recommend to pay attention to Thursday and Friday. Lots of data that can determine the medium term pespectives for us. For example: GDP (QoQ) (Q2) Initial Jobless Claims Fed Chair Powell Speaks Core PCE Price Index (YoY) & (MoM) Based on the FOMC position from last week we have some views on the market at the moment, but confirmation is also needed. As for the market situation. I recommend to pay attention to the dollar. During the publication of the data the index only fixed above the level I mentioned earlier and after that it starts to form an impulse. The price opens a corridor to the side of 106 and 107.99, in this case this growth of the TVC:DXY will give a huge potential for a fall in the price of gold. The nearest target support in the medium term is the level of 1902.8. On the chart above, I have indicated several important levels to pay attention to as the price approaches them. From a global perspective, gold is in a consolidation phase, as evidenced by the monthly chart on the main screen. A strong accumulation zone is forming relative to the resistance area. In the coming week, I expect a fall towards the 1915 side or even 1900. As we see a sideways range forming and a deep false breakout of resistance with huge liquidity below 1910, this clearly defines the future prospects for the market maker. Most likely the medium term outlook at the moment is that the market is ready to lose ground further, how long this will hold is unclear, but it all depends on the world view (especially the US) on inflation OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! OANDA:XAGUSD COMEX:SI1! TVC:DXY Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
21
Debunking Myths: Gold's Ineffectiveness as an Inflation Hedge Gold has long been considered a safe haven during times of economic uncertainty, but its reputation as an inflation hedge is questionable at best. While it is true that gold has historically shown some correlation to inflation, this relationship is far from foolproof. In reality, there are several reasons why gold's performance as an inflation hedge falls short: 1. Limited Utility: Unlike other commodities, gold lacks practical use in various industries. Its value primarily relies on its scarcity and desirability as a precious metal. Consequently, gold's price is influenced by factors beyond inflation, such as geopolitical tensions, investor sentiment, and currency fluctuations. 2. Inconsistent Correlation: Over the past few decades, the correlation between gold prices and inflation has proven to be erratic. During certain periods, gold has indeed demonstrated a positive correlation with inflation, but there have been instances where the relationship has weakened or even reversed. This unpredictability undermines gold's reliability as a long-term inflation hedge. 3. Opportunity Cost: Investing in gold often comes at the expense of other potentially more lucrative assets. While gold may provide some degree of protection against inflation, alternative investments such as real estate, stocks, or even certain commodities have historically outperformed gold in terms of returns. Ignoring these opportunities could hinder your portfolio's growth potential. Considering these factors, it is prudent for traders like us to explore alternative assets that offer better performance as inflation hedges. Diversifying our portfolios with assets that have a stronger historical correlation to inflation can help mitigate risk and potentially enhance returns. Some potential alternatives worth considering include: 1. Real Estate: Historically, real estate has shown a strong correlation with inflation, making it an attractive long-term investment. Additionally, rental income from properties can provide a steady cash flow stream, further bolstering its appeal. 2. Stocks: Certain sectors, such as consumer staples, utilities, and energy, have historically performed well during inflationary periods. Investing in stocks of companies within these sectors can offer a more direct hedge against inflation. 3. Commodities: While gold may not be the ideal inflation hedge, other commodities like oil, natural gas, and agricultural products have displayed a stronger correlation with inflation. Exploring these commodities can provide a more reliable hedge against rising prices. In conclusion, it is essential to challenge the prevailing belief that gold is a foolproof inflation hedge. By considering alternative assets that have historically demonstrated better performance, we can position ourselves for greater potential gains while managing risk effectively. As traders, it is our responsibility to question established norms and seek out opportunities that align with our investment objectives. I encourage you to explore these alternative assets and assess their potential for better performance as inflation hedges. Together, let's navigate the ever-changing trading landscape and make informed decisions for our portfolios.
COMEX:GC1!
by bryandowningqln
🥇GOLD - Correction before further decline Gold bounces off the local support at 1915 and the price returns to retest the key resistance. Price is in a range and we are now interested in flat resistance. TA on the high timeframe: 1) Pin bar resistance 1934. 2) Price does not reach one of the key resistances 1949 for a few pips, indicating strong pressure from the resistance 3) At the same time, active sell-offs are forming and a pin-bar is forming on the chart TA on the low timeframe: 1) Price is forming a rebound and heading towards 1928.5 2) The resistance area may be tested soon before further decline 3) The market is bearish now and we should look for strong resistance levels for further selling Key resistance📈: 1928.5, 1934.8 Key support📉: 1922. 1915. 1908
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Gold-Tech
13
GOLD → Friday is trading inside a range OANDA:XAUUSD is recovering after strong sell-offs and a false break of the 1915 sideways range support. Within the flat we expected this movement, but in the medium term gold has a negative fundamental background On Friday, gold will continue to stay inside this range, consolidation will continue. The price may test one of the nearest resistances before falling to 1922 and 1915. At the same time, TVC:DXY is overcoming the strong resistance at 105.00, which I wrote about earlier. A dollar fixing above this boundary will open the way to 107.5, which will be a good reason for gold to weaken to 1915 and even 1900. On the senior timeframe, where we can determine the medium and long term, the chart shows us targets such as 1850 and 1800, but by then there will be a lot of fundamental news that can change a lot of things. From a local analysis point of view, I expect a fall to 1922, 1915 and even 1900, but not in one day. Resistance levels: 1928.5, 1930.7, 1935. Support levels: 1922, 1915 I expect that today the market will sell out again what it bought in the second half of Thursday and the first half of Friday. And, we will see the price close near the 1915 support, which will give a signal for next week OANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:XAGUSD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY COMEX:SI1! Regards R. linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
22
🥇GOLD - Selling off on weak news. Pin-bar Gold is losing almost 1.5% amid sell-offs. Yesterday, before the FED speech, the market maker strengthened the price to 1947.3. The news was strong for the dollar and weak for gold, thus we see a strong sell-off and at the moment the price is at 1919.5. Ta on the high timeframe: 1) False break of resistance at 1934 2) A strong candlestick pattern is formed for further selling. 3) A pin-bar is formed on the background of the false breakout. Target 1900 TA on the low timeframe: 1) False breakout of sideways range resistance defines further targets as 1910, 1907, 1901 2) Market is still bearish, price is falling below key levels 3) A retest of 1922.4 may soon follow before further declines Key support📉: 1916.9 Key resistance📈: 1922.4
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Gold-Tech
12
GOLD → Negative fundamental background. Shakeout OANDA:XAUUSD surprised many people yesterday, but not us. On the background of the previous days analysis (technical + fundamental) we had an idea about further actions on the market In brief: Powell left the rate unchanged, but there were a lot of words that if the market remains aggressive, they will apply appropriate measures. And considering the fact that based on all the FOMC & FED actions against inflation, it is only getting stronger, the market can be considered aggressive, hence, the fundamental backdrop for gold is still negative, as the TVC:DXY will continue to rise. In terms of technical analysis, gold is forming a false breakout of the following liquidity zones: 1928, 1935, 19466 at the moment Powell's speech ends and the market actively sells off the entire rise. On D1 the price again forms a false breakout of trend resistance, preparing the market for further decline. A retest of MA-200 on H1 with a subsequent breakout and decline to 1915 - 1900 may be formed soon Support levels: 1922, 1915, 1902 Resistance levels: 1928 I expect a possible retest of the nearest resistance areas before a further fall against the negative fundamental background and the current bearish trend OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY TVC:BXY CAPITALCOM:SILVER OANDA:XAGUSD COMEX:SI1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
23
GOLD → The market is waiting for the FOMC. What to expect? OANDA:XAUUSD is reducing volatility amid expectations of FOMC data release. Earlier we saw an attempt to break the strong trend resistance, but now there are nuances appearing The Federal Reserve is not going to raise or lower rates (at the level of rumors). In any case, this is positive-neutral news for the dollar. That is, if the situation does not change, the negative background for the gold market will be confirmed, and an attempt to break the trend resistance will be a trap on the part of the market maker. A false breakout will increase the liquidity volume and may form a strong red impulse. At the moment the level of 1928 separates us from the fall. And in general, the resistance of 1938.9 is important for the market - the level has not been tested yet, and it may happen at the moment of reporting publication due to the increased volatility. But, if TVC:DXY happens to get a weak (negative) fundamental background, gold may confirm the breakout of trend resistance and head towards 1950. Price is trading inside the moving averages range, the market is giving us a false breakout of MA-50 Resistance levels: 1932, 1935, 1939 Support levels: 1928, 1922 The medium-term outlook for XAU depends partly on today's FOMC press release, which comes out at 18:00 GMT. Strong data for $ will negatively impact XAU pricing and vice versa Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
30
XAUUSD: Channel to 1,953.Gold is holding well inside the last week's Channel Up and on the 1H timeframe it reached the overbought zone (RSI = 74.328, MACD = 2.620, ADX = 35.131). Even though we are bullish long term, this overbought state might cause a minor pull back or consolidation as on September 15th. The RSI has in fact reached the 77.600 R1, which was the High of that date. This doesn't alter our R1 target (TP = 1,953). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by InvestingScope
1
🥇GOLD - Price tends to move higher, but there's news ahead...Gold broke the strong resistance area of 1928.5 earlier, now the price is aiming for the next resistance ahead of the release of important news. TA on the high timeframe: 1) FOMC is not going to raise rates this time. I think the data release could have a big impact on metal pricing 2) In the long term, there is a chance that the price will start its decline, as the gold market is still under pressure from the negative fundamental background. TA on the low timeframe: 1) Price in the 1938 - 1928 range. The upper boundary has not been tested yet. Above 1938 a liquidity area has formed, which the market is interested in 2) Most likely the price can test both 1938 and 1948, but the FOMC and Federal Reserve data will determine further targets for both the dollar and gold. 3) It is difficult to decide the future direction in advance, so I recommend not trading before the news is released Key support📉: 1928 Key resistance📈: 1938
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Gold-Tech
16
XAUUSD Bullish fractal from 2022 points to 1967.Gold closed yesterday's (1d) candle over the MA50 (1d) but still remains under the Falling Resistance of July's High. If broken, we will most likely get a strong rally, same as November 2022. In fact the August-September 2022 fractal is so far very much like today's since July. Trading Plan: 1. Buy if the price crosses over the Falling Resistance. Targets: 1. 1967 (Fibonacci 0.786 as in Nov 2022). Tips: 1. Even the RSI (1d) between the two fractals are similar. The RSI has its won Falling Resistance to consider. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingBrokersView
4
GOLD → Breakout of global trend resistance OANDA:XAUUSD reverses. The price overcomes several resistances and updates the local high, when retesting the liquidity area, to 1935 If we pay attention to the high timeframe, we can see that the price overcomes the resistance of the downtrend (wedge). The daily candle on Monday closed almost at the daily high, which is a strong signal that with another retest of the previous day's high, the growth may continue. Also, I am very likely to expect growth, but only after a retest of the previously broken support area. That is, in our case there are two zones for buying, it is the zone near the support (liquidity area 1930-1928) and the zone above the resistance 1934-1935. If this line is broken and the price consolidation above the level, we can also buy. Moving averages continue to realize the formed buy signal Support levels: 1928, 1930 Resistance levels: 1934, 1935 I expect growth in the medium term. The price breaks the resistance of the bearish trend and gains the target - the retest of 1950 OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
19
XAUUSD Golden Cross and the 1H MA50 are supporting this uptrend.Last time we looked at Gold (XAUUSD), it gave us two sell opportunities both of which hit their targets (see chart below): The price has been rising since, supported by the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line) and on top of that, the 1H Golden Cross has been formed. Last time we saw that pattern was on August 23. On that fractal, once the 1H MA50 broke, the price pulled-back to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and then resumed the uptrend. As a result, we are bullish already since the 1H MA50 is supporting. If it holds, we will simply add one more buy position when the pull-back hits the 0.5 Fib. In either case, the target is 1953 (Resistance 3). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
1