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GOLD → XAU breaks H1 support. False breakout on D1OANDA:XAUUSD is forming a false breakout of the resistance of the global nisode channel. On the local timeframe the price broke the trend support. Can this be considered as signals? Yesterday I talked about potentially important levels for us. Today, price is breaking the support area (local). The reaction to this is enough to break uptrending price channel support on H1. Pay attention to the D1 timeframe. Price is forming a false breakout of the DOWN price channel resistance against the background of the DOWN trend. If the pattern is confirmed (it will be a consolidation of the price below 1932), we will see the beginning of another strong fall in the near future. I talked about the potential of such a fall a few days ago. The target of such a movement could be the area of 1900, 1850 and 1800). Support levels: 1925, 1913 Resistance levels: 1932 The price is forming several sell signals. We need to wait for the confirmation of a bearish set-up to open trades. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
24
🥇 GOLD - The false breakthrough of global resistance Gold in the global perspective is within the boundaries of the bearish price channel. There are several reasons both for the price fall and for further growth. But in priority we consider the realization of a false breakout. TA on the high timeframe: 1) A bearish price channel dominates the market for several months. The price retests the resistance after 1 month 2) There is little chance of a breakout at the moment, if a correction and a retest is formed within 1 week, then the probability of a breakout will be higher. TA on the low timeframe: 1) A false breakout and further consolidation is formed against strong resistance 2) Price forms a false breakout of 1948 resistance, another retest fails and closing around 1946 confirms the presence of a strong seller in the market. 3) The area of 1935 and 1939 plays an important role for us. A break of one of them will form an impulse. 4) But a break of 1935 support will send the price to trend support, which will determine the future direction Key resistance📈: 1939 Key support📉: 1935, 1931
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Gold-Tech
10
XAUUSD: Final buy signal inside the Channel Down.Gold is posting a Bull Flag pattern supported by the 4H MA200 on bullish 1D technicals (RSI = 57.381, MACD = 3.660, ADX = 40.377). This is the final leg of the bullish wave that started at the bottom of the Channel Down pattern. The emerging Golden Cross on the 4H timeframe indicates that this is the entry signal. We are opening a new buy position (TP = 1,975), expecting a +5.00% leg completion at the top of the Channel Down. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by InvestingScope
4
GOLD → Market is at the 0 point on which the direction dependsOANDA:XAUUSD is testing the 1947 resistance again but after updating the low. The market is in place and is forming flat consolidation. Let me remind - globally the price is testing the resistance of the key descending channel Locally we have a bullish price channel. Globally, a bearish trend is forming on D1, the price is testing the resistance after a month of correction. Consolidation is formed above the resistance of the channel. Distributive growth to the mentioned zone reduces the chances of resistance breakout, and if the price goes below the 1935 area, the market may form a rather strong bearish impulse. We are currently interested in the levels of 1947 and 1939. A breakout of 1947 will confirm an attempt to change the trend and in this case the price will head towards 1980-2000. A decline below 1939 will send the price to 1935, a break of which will be a bearish signal for the medium term. Support levels: 1939, 1935, 1932 Resistance levels: 1947, 1950 I expect a retest of 1939 in the nearest future. Further it will be necessary to follow the price reaction to the level, as well as the area of 1947. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
23
GOLD → Lots of assumptions. False breakout or breakdown? OANDA:XAUUSD on D1 is forming the preconditions for further growth, but there is no such thing on H1. NFP played no role for gold while the dollar is strengthening strongly There are not many key news this week, but they all come out on Wednesday and are all worth paying attention to as the data indicator will give us a medium-term view on pricing: 1) SP Global US Services PMI 2) ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 3) ISM Non-Manufatiruong Prices Monday is a holiday in the US, so we do not expect high volatility. On the hourly timeframe there was a breakout of the resistance of the ascending channel earlier, everyone expected further growth, I told you that there is a chance of a false breakout. On Friday, after the publication of NFP and unemployment the market forms a shakeout in both directions, brings the price back to the boundaries of the ascending channel (false breakout) and in addition, the closing price remains in place of the opening price of the Friday session. The market is weak. BUT! The dollar index TVC:DXY is testing strong resistance around 104.5, if the area is broken, the price will head towards 105.5, and this will negatively affect the formation of the gold price. In this case, if the dollar starts its active growth, then on D1 gold will make a false breakdown of the bearish price channel, which will give a strong bearish signal and a huge potential for the price to fall as much as 6% and almost 1100 points. It is important for us to wait for confirmation of the market action. The dollar index may fail to pass the mentioned mark and form a flat correction, which is another scenario and gold may get a chance to rise to 2000-2100 in this case Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
15
GOLD → NFP could break resistance OANDA:XAUUSD is forming a consolidation after breaking the resistance of the wedge. On D1, the price is stopping near a strong level and preparing for something-o Consolidation above the previously broken line forms a potential, it can be either a break of resistance and formation of further momentum, or a false break of a strong level and further fall. Now everything depends on Unemployment and NFP, the data will be published soon. On the chart we see the formation of a symmetrical triangle, in this case it means a strong accumulation before a breakout to one side or the other. Support levels: 1942 Resistance levels: 1947 I expect a strong reaction on the background of the approaching news. A breakout of the figure boundaries will give us a strong reaction in the market. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
GOLD → Pre-breakdown consolidation near resistance OANDA:XAUUSD makes another jump and updates the high of almost 4 weeks ago. All this is happening after breaking the resistance of the ascending channel. Locally, a symmetrical triangle is formed, which can form an impulse both up and down, the main idea here is that consolidation is formed, which indicates that the market is preparing for further action. Within the bullish impulse the price tests the previously mentioned resistance level 1947 and forms a pre-breakdown consolidation. This level is not a target level and most likely the growth may continue. There is also a possibility that a small correction may be formed before further growth. Moving averages indicate a strong bullish trend. Support levels: 1943, 1942 Resistance levels: 1947 I expect another retest of resistance with a chance of a breakout and further growth towards 1950-1955. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
35
GOLD → False breakdown or breakdown? What's next? OANDA:XAUUSD forms a false break of 1919 support and forms a rally. Yesterday I talked about consolidation on D1, relative to resistance, where we should expect a breakout. It happened, but the momentum was bigger than expected As part of the bullish momentum and breakout of the consolidation, the price also breaks the resistance of the ascending channel, which can be interpreted differently, depending on the view. 1) It can be a breakout followed by consolidation of the price in the green zone, which gives us a buy entry point and a long position scenario. In such a case, price could consolidate to 1947 quite quickly 2) It could be a false breakout. If the consolidation is prolonged and there is no bullish reaction, a false break of trend support is likely to happen, for us the important level will be 1932, consolidation below this line will allow us to enter the trade comfortably. We follow the price reaction on the chart and look for confirmation of signals. Support levels: channel boundary, 1932. Resistance levels: 1937.6, 1947 A flat is forming on d1, within this pattern there is a chance that the price will reach resistance, but globally, the situation with further price growth still looks suspicious. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
16
GOLD → Gold is consolidating, there could be a lot of traps.OANDA:XAUUSD updates the local high, forms a retest, but cannot pass the area. The price is forming a correction that may reach the trend support area Within the medium-term perspective on D1, the price is forming a setup for medium-term sales, but there is no confirmation yet. On the local chart the price is in an uptrend and is preparing to continue rising. On the d1 chart on the left we see consolidation formation for 4-5 days, most likely gold may try to break the resistance to reach the liquidity area of 1925 and 1935, but from the mentioned resistance area in the medium term price may react in a bearish way. At the moment gold is slowly rising and at the same time forming strong bearish impulses, the market is saving energy to move in one direction or the other, partly the situation depends on the DXY dollar index. Support levels: 1916, 1910 Resistance levels: 1920, 1925, 1930 I expect consolidation in the specified range, a false breakout of one of the trend boundaries or flat is possible, while the market is consolidating it is difficult for us to determine the exact future direction. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
13
Unclear path for gold Almost two weeks ago, we touted gold’s retest of the support at $1,900 and the potential continuation lower to $1,875. However, soon after that, gold halted its decline slightly below $1,885 and reversed. Subsequently, it went above $1,920. For the most part, this move coincided with the relief in the stock market. Therefore, we remain on high alert and somewhat undecided about the next path for gold. Technicals on the daily time frame turned slightly bullish, with Stochastic and RSI pointing to the upside. But DM+ and DM- still suggest the presence of a downtrend, and MACD hovers in the bearish territory. To bolster a bullish case in the short term/medium term, we would like to see MACD break above the midpoint and RSI with Stochastic continue to develop bullish structures. Besides that, we want to see the stock market stabilizing (as we think the market weakness still threatens the higher price of gold). To summarize this short article, we are neutral in the short-term and medium-term and bullish in the long term. In accordance with that, we continue to wait for a better opportunity to buy gold. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of XAUUSD and two simple moving averages that act as alternative resistance levels. In the next few days, we will observe their ability to stop the rising prices. Technical analysis Daily = Neutral/Slightly bullish Weekly = Slightly bearish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tradersweekly
XAUUSD Buy opportunity on a 2 week horizon.Gold (XAUUSD) has been consolidating for the past 2 trading sessions, having held the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on Friday as Support. With the 4H STOCH RSI on a similar cross-to-cross sequence as July 05/06, one last pull-back inside the Ichimoku cloud, can be a Higher Low on an emerging Channel Up. If we see that rebound, we will buy and set a quick target just below the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). If the price manages to close a 4H candle above it, we will buy again and pursue a final target at 1975 (just below the 2.5 Fibonacci extension). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
11
GOLD → XAU bumps into a strong resistance area OANDA:XAUUSD continues to form counter-trend correction within the upward price channel. On the global timeframe the resistance area 1920-1935 plays an important role, the price is testing it Globally, the market has a bearish trend, an upward correction is forming on the 1H while the DXY continues its strengthening. The forex market, where the dollar is in a sign, as with XAUUSD has already broken the support area, most likely this can be taken as a premise. DXY continues to strengthen after consolidation and forms momentum towards 105.5 area, which could bearishly affect XAU pricing. Gold bounces off trend support and heads towards 1920 resistance but falls short. The liquidity area has a big impact and prevents the price from approaching a local high. The price is at a strong resistance, a fall and a possible retest is likely to follow Resistance levels: 1920, 1922.5 Support levels: 1912 The market has been strengthening since the opening of the session, but still can't update the local maximum. If the bulls do not let the price above 1919.45, it will be the beginning of further decline. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
23
GOLD → Prerequisites for further decline, or?OANDA:XAUUSD is within the descending price channel. The trend break occurred at the end of June. Within the current channel, the price makes a false breakdown of 1902 and forms a rebound to resistance, which many perceived as a trend change, but it is not so There are not many key news releases this week, but all of them are published on Wednesday, they are worth paying attention to, for the data indicator will provide us with a medium-term insight for pricing: 1) SP Global US Services PMI 2) ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 3) ISM Non-Manufatiruong Prices Monday is a day off in the US, hence we do not expect high volatility. From the technical analysis point of view: The price is in a descending price channel. The nearest resistance that may play an important role for the price is at 1920, 1935, on Monday and Tuesday the price is likely to reach this area before falling further. Why am I expecting a fall? Pay attention to the DXY chart. The dollar index has consolidated above the strong 103 level, forming an impulse and testing a false break of 104.3. In the medium term, the DXY could continue to rise towards 105.65, which would give a bearish push for gold Support levels: 1902.9, 1884 Resistance levels: 1920, 1935.5 The direction of the dollar will give us the primary movement of the gold price in the first half of the weekly session, the news on Wednesday will determine the further movement. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
21
GOLD → The price will break 1914 and start another decline OANDA:XAUUSD is declining amid the strengthening of the dollar. TVC:DXY finally consolidates above the key support of 103 and starts upwards to 105-107, which gives a new kick to gold for the fall On the chart we see the price stopping in the area of 1914-1918 and the price forms a retest of 1914 after a false breakout - a strong enough syschgnal that prepares us for a possible fall in the value of the metal. If the price breaks 1914 and forms a consolidation below the level, it will give us a strong signal that the price will continue its fall to 1900-1885 after a shakeout in the form of a rally to 1918. A stronger dollar means that no one will cut rates anytime soon as the market still sees strong inflation. Moving averages are acting as support but MA-50 may be broken soon which would open a new corridor for price Support levels: MA-50, 1914, 1911 Resistance levels: 1918 I expect a short setup and the development of the situation in the format of price decline to 1900, but something against the scenario can always happen. If the price breaks 1918, it will start to rise to 1925. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
EURUSD → Euro weakens amid strengthening dollar FX:EURUSD continues to fall on the back of the strengthening dollar index. As I mentioned earlier in other ideas that the 103 level plays an important role for the TVC:DXY . The currency has consolidated above and headed towards 105, which makes both the forex and OANDA:XAUUSD to fall The chart shows a descending price channel that plays a key role in shaping the price. EURUSD breaks support at 1.0835 and forms momentum. Before the further fall, a quick correction to the resistance may be formed, after which I will wait for the price to fall to the nearest targets indicated on the chart. In the medium term, the currency pair may continue its decline until the USD policy changes. Moving averages act as resistance, earlier MA-50 was tested by a false breakout Resistance levels: 1.0835 Support levels: 1.0733 I expect the continuation of the fall amid the strengthening of the dollar. Euro is weakening, and the currency pair may fall to 1.06000 Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
12
GOLD → The XAU is accelerating and the dollar is standing stillOANDA:XAUUSD is forming a rally to 1920, which is what I have been talking about for a few days now. At the moment, while DXY is in consolidation near an important level and does not give signs of falling or rising, we see a violent reaction in gold XAU goes beyond this consolidation and forms a retest of 1919 resistance followed by a false breakdown. But on the background of a strong market, a weak technical pullback is formed and the price goes back to the resistance retest and breaks it, updating the local high to 1921. There are several important levels marked on the chart: support at 1919 and the next support at 1914. Consolidation of the price above 1919 will form a setup for opening long positions, which will allow to hold trades until 1930. 1932. If the price will form a pullback and form a consolidation below 1914, in this case we should expect the price to decline to the previously broken consolidation boundary. Pay attention to the dollar index, it is still consolidating above 103. A fall below this level will give a strong rally for the XAU Support levels: 1919, 1914 Resistance levels: 1921, 1924 I expect a predictable reaction from these levels, it is important to wait for a signal confirmation in the market and only then open trades. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
19
GOLD → XAU pricing is dependent on the 103 level at DXYOANDA:XAUUSD confirms flat resistance and forms a retracement of 1890 support, but the price does not reach flat support, while XAU forms a double retest of MA-200, but does not update the high. Strange situation in the market Statistically, another retest of resistance can lead to a breakout of resistance, but as long as the price is in consolidation we will consider the strategy of trading from the flat boundary. XAU has global and local trend coincide and both have downward direction. On the global timeframe we are interested in DXY, the price broke 103 and is forming a consolidation above the level, if the price starts to update the local highs it will mean that the dollar has strengthened above 103 and will continue its growth, in this case gold will continue its fall from the level of 1902.87 (pay attention to this level). Above 1902.87 a liquidity area is forming at the moment, a false breakout of this level is possible before a further fall. Support levels: 1896.68, 1890 Resistance levels: 1902.9, 1912.25 I expect a decline in the gold price in the prioritization, perhaps it will happen after a false breakout. If the dollar makes a false break of 103, gold will break the resistance and head towards 1925 Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
21
Potential short swing trade for goldGold prices have held up well the past couple of days despite a stronger USD and yields. Although its established bearish trend looked overstretched around recent lows, after bears failed to drive prices materially beneath the June low. We see the potential for the retracement continue higher over the near-term, but we'll be looking out for evidence of a swing high around or below the 19117 - 1920 area (high volume node and round number). And now spot gold prices have already tested 1900, another leg lower does not seem unreasonable. Besides, the front-month gold contract is yet to break that level, and it provided support in late June. And if futures are to head for 1900, it suggests support for spot gold around 1970.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by CityIndex
Golden Arches formed but NOT in tact as price is above 200MAM Formation has formed on Gold. However, there is a BIG support with the neckline and the major 200MA. As long as price stays above, this analysis will e wrong. So this is a hesitant analysis to present, but one which is showing strong bearish momentum to come based on history rather than present and future. Price >200 - needs to break below RSI<50 turn up Target will be to $1,710 if the price breaks below the Neckline and 200MA. What do you think?
COMEX:GC1!Short
by Timonrosso
1
GOLD → Price forms a flat while DXY consolidates OANDA:XAUUSD is stopping. Yesterday I said that we should expect a flat formation in the near future. We are seeing confirmation. A break of trend resistance sends the price to retest 1900, after which a range of 1900 - 1885 is formed Note the dollar chart below. Gold is highly dependent on the DXY price. USD breaks the 103 level but does not form a proper momentum but forms a correction to 103. If the bulls hold this level and the upside begins, gold will react accordingly. But now there is a high chance that DXY will make a false breakout of this level and head downwards. In this case, gold will break the 1900 level, which it is now heading to retest and may form an impulse to 1912.25. Globally, I don't see strong preconditions for a market reversal and growth to 2000. I expect a correction or growth to 1912, maybe even to 1925, but in the medium term - a fall to 1880-1850. Support levels: 1890, 1893, 1885 Resistance levels: 1900 I expect a retest of 1900, if the dollar starts to fall, gold will break the level and head towards 1912, if the dollar from 103 starts to strengthen, we should wait for the fall of XAU. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
24
XAUUSD Still nothing bullish about it yet.Gold (XAUUSD) broke below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since December 19 2022 and that of course didn't do any favors to the bullish cause. The trend remains bearish within a Channel Down since the May 04 2023 High and the technical outlook gets even worse as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is on course to forming a 1D Death Cross below the 1D MA200, projected at the end of the month (would be the first such pattern since July 04 2022). As a result we expect the price to remain under pressure and eventually test the 1W MA100 (yellow trend-line) within 1860 - 1850, regardless of a potential decline on the DXY (green trend-line) which was unable to lift Gold as we saw in June. The bullish trend will re-emerge only if the price breaks above the Channel Down and more specifically, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the bottom at that given time. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TradingShot
3
GOLD → Can the XAU stop falling? OANDA:XAUUSD is declining amid the strengthening of the dollar index. The latter in its turn broke a strong resistance, and XAU continues to update the lows There is a possibility that the decline in gold may stop, but only if the trend resistance is broken. The price will go into a sideways flat condition, which will force the price to trade in the 1900 - 1800 range. At the moment, the XAUUSD pair is within the boundaries of the bearish price channel. A resistance retest is being formed, which could push the price beyond 1890 and trigger another drop to 1880. On the global chart on Sunday, we saw the current bullish trend where I described the potential for the medium-term outlook of the XAU. The market is bearish and we should prioritise looking for resistance levels for selling Support levels: 1890, 1884 Resistance levels: 1894, 1900 I expect a bearish scenario to form in the market, but gold may try to break the trend resistance. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
23
GOLD → Prerequisites that the price will continue to fall OANDA:XAUUSD finally breaks the medium-term support line and updates the low to 1885. The trading week closes near the local support level, which indicates that the market is ready to continue the trend This week ended positively for the dollar, the metallo reacted as expected. There are several important news items to watch out for in the coming week: 1) Building Permits 2) SP Global US Services PMI 3) Core Durable Goods Orders 4) Initial Jobless Claims 5) Fed Chair Powell Speaks There is talk within the FED that the market is not ready to weaken yet as inflation is still at a high level, but again, rumours and facts affect the market in categorically different ways From a technical analysis point of view the market is preparing to decline further as the global upward price channel was broken earlier, price breaks strong support and also breaks MA200, at the end of last trading session price closes very close to the risk zone, breaking through which will form a downward momentum. Support levels: 1885 Resistance levels: 1902.9 The market is weak, the dollar index continues to strengthen actively, which may continue to negatively affect gold. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
19