Silver outperformed my outlook and its peer gold by any measure. And at this point, it should turn lower to shape an ending diagonal as there are no other alternatives left (at least I struggle to find one) other than recycling the bigger picture.
In the chart above, I highlighted the preferred scenario now in Gold and Silver - flat. Since wave is a clear double zigzag and because Silver invalidated a symmetrical triangle, I would discount the probability of such a triangle in Gold as well. That leaves me with ABC flat, or the whole thing is something else. However, even one scenario with ABC flat...
It seems that gold has has just made a local bottom! I maintain a couple of scenarios at this point.
It has been more than 6 months since I looked at GDX proper. Yes, I might have missed the last Gold/GDX rally, but I think that short run is about over... Looking at the weekly chart for GDX, a decisive lowest close since March 2023 is representative of a end of a bull trend, if it is not already obvious enough. The near marubozu type down candle came after a...
I see $3.85 to $5 dollars on the roadmap for this beaten #Miner Much like in #Crypto the miners lag the underlying commodity UNTIL a high range has been established then the speculative fervour starts to filter through into these low cap gems.
This is what we ask GDX regarding our primary scenario. The ETF has shown momentum in both directions: upward and downward. However, we expect the bulls to win this fight, pushing GDX above the resistance at $32.58 and into the turquoise zone between $33.93 and $35.57. There it should finish wave ii in turquoise and turn southward again, heading back below $32.58....
AMEX:GDX short term support at the 50 day moving average next major support will be around $30
Is Newmont mining telling us that gold is about to correct more or is this isolated to the miners? This leading gold miner could be signaling headwinds for miners. We have seen Gold outperform miners which tells us that this move in gold is likely from the banking crisis...fear.
So many indicators and time frames are bullish GDX right now with bull divergences and montly MacD cross. Classic cup n handle formation with a backtest of cup in progress. Im no EW guru but it looks like we are at the beginning of wave 3. Good RR here with a stop at $31. Let me know what you think of analysis. Cheers.
Gold Miners ETF (GDX) shows a bullish sequence from 9.26.2022 low favoring further upside. The 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension target from 9.26.2022 low comes at 38.3 – 45.7 area. Rally from there is unfolding as a nest where wave ((1)) ended at 33.34 and wave ((2)) pullback ended at 26.64. Wave ((3)) is in progress as another 5 waves in lesser degree. Up from...
The chart posted is now setup with a Negative Divergence see RSI I am buying puts in slv and gld this week
Gold has rallied over 26% in a few months. That is a massive deviation from the mean move in Gold, ofcourse much of this move is from banking fear. With an upsloping wedge pattern forming, gold is likely going to make a new directional move. Probabilities favor a break lower from this pattern but we shall see if Gold has other plans.
The bear leg could have probably ended. Confirmation should come next week if it begins to move up sharply as I think. In short term (two weeks) back at 38$ And probably end of May back to 48$. Again GDXJ is on major support and this last week was a tipical shaking move before a large one. The sector is moving up, and up, but remenber always that corrects in a...
Who could have guessed markets would rally in an ocean of bad news: Worse than expected CPI Worse than expected PCE Worse than expected Chicago PMI Joblessness Rising Missed Earnings Q2 GDP Contraction in Recession Collapsing Home and Auto Sales Who knew you could miss earnings, lose millions in revenue and your stock price rallies like...
It seems like the US Dollar Index has peaked (as of now) at 108 which pushed gold and silver down drastically. But we could be on the verge of a massive breakout in silver, back up above $25 an ounce as well as gold back above $1900. You could start a position now incase silver continues upward or wait for DXY to fall below 100, but by then, you may miss a...
Gold Miners ETF (GDX) is close to breaking above the previous peak on 1.25.2023 high (33.34). A break above will open up a bullish sequence from 9.26.2022 low favoring further upside. Near term, cycle from 3.10.2023 low is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 3.10.2023 low, wave 1 ended at 29.95 and pullback in wave 2 ended at...
Ended the previous post on The Gold Odyssey (27 Dec 2022) with: So heads up, watch MAy 2023 for Gold prices to rally. Indeed the Down and then Uppish happened. Now, with the monthly chart, we find gold again at the border of the Constipation Box and people are getting all excited about it. I had questions about my views so I started to relook, a tad earlier...
It’s springtime and GDX is working on wave B in green in its green garden between $30.01 and $32.58. Soon the ETF should harvest the respective high, which could be settled anytime. Afterward, the course should turn and leave the garden on the southern side to expand wave ii in orange. This downwards movement should end well before the support at $21.52, though,...