Ger30 4h (downward target 14780)DAX, in the previous idea about Ger30 we said under red zone(15200) will get sell, so the price broke the 15200 to down and start it to down till 14840, so here we have good sell, and now i suggest the price will touch 15045 and the will go to the down.. and start of sell.
GER30-DAX
Tuesday: DAX - week 18I will update my idea as the trade progresses if any changes occur and my analysis is wrong, or need to be adapted to the new development of price-action.
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Ger30 DAX Index 4h (breaking channel)-Stabilize above the Red Zone will get last record.
-Stabilize under the Red Zone will get Downward.
———————
-last record for DAX15535 ,breaking this record will be going up to get new record because there is no resistance to stop it till falling upward zone in green color (15777)
-and breaking Resistance zone to down (under red zone) will be start to downward.
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Dax week 15 analysisHello everyone,
This week, I offer my analysis of the movements of $GER30 during the week and my outlook for next week.
Have nice reading and be pleased to comment if you want.
So, what happens last week?
I will call last week a « calm week », waiting for news from the companies which will arrive next week.
Monday: It was a holiday and we saw a start of profit taking in the evening in some asian indices.
Tuesday: The futures anticipated a very high start with a new high for $GER30 thinking it will cover the missing rise of the previous Friday and Monday. That is why I decided to take a position at the highest point of the week. Then, the day finishes with low gains.
Wednesday, Thursday and Friday: No event took the lead on the market, it stay in a range around 15200.
The market is waiting for the push over 15300 or the pull back under 15000 thus most of the investors are currently keeping the position.
My perspectives for next week in line with my previous sentence.
The FED director give today an interview talking of a new wave in US which could lead to a take profit this week, but with the current situation the market could react at the total opposite direction.
My view for this week is a take profit towards 14600 - 14700.
What to follow next week?
- Monday: European Retail Sales, US : 10 Year Note Auction and Federal Budget Balance;
- Tuesday: UK Manufacturing Production, German ZEW Economic sentiment, US Core CPI;
- Wednesday: European Industrial Production and US Crude Oil Inventories
- Thursday (Big day like always):
- Australian Employment change;
- US: initial jobless claims Core retail sales, retail sales.
- Friday: Chinese industrial production, European CPI.
I wish you a good trading week,
Please feel free to ask me questions, I will be glad to connect with you over the comments or by private messages.
Stay safe,
Alexandre
DAX week 12Hello everyone,
This week, I offer my analysis of the movements of $GER30 during the week and my outlook for next week.
Have nice reading and be pleased to comment if you want.
Reminder of my prevision of last week: « My perspectives for next week are GER30 will not break the resistance of 14600 and it may stay between 13900 and 14600. That’s why I am currently short on $GER30.»
As last week, I was good on the first part of the week. But completely wrong on the end. Even if the start of a fall finally arrived Friday.
So, what happens this week?
Monday: Astra Zeneca vaccination was stopped all around Europe: the fear of secondary effect. The possible change in the vaccination policy take the lead and then the GER30 fall a bit towards 14500 with a spike at 14400.
Tuesday and start of Wednesday : those two days were very calm days because the investors were waiting for the FED decision. The anticipation of the good world economic recovering push GER30 up
Wednesday evening: FED decision was revealed… the interest rates may remain the same up to 2023. Very good news for $GER30 and $NSDQ100 which explodes
Thursday: Thursday, the effect of the FED decision continues and $GER30 touches 14800.
Friday: It was a calm day, but FED decided to stop some avantages concerning US banks which pushes GER30 fall at around 1.00pm UTC.
Moreover since Thursday, there are tensions between Biden’s administration and Russia and also between Biden’s administration and China. I didn’t see a massive effect last week, neither on $GER30 nor on $NSDQ100, nevertheless I am expecting to see some effects next week if it continues.
My perspectives for next week:
- I don’t see GER30 break the resistance of 14800 (but I have prepared a plan if it breaks, because as we saw last week: we never know).
- Except if bad news occur like: new lockdowns, rise of US/Russia tensions or US/China tensions, I don’t see a big fall.
- I think next week will be the good week to take some selling positions around 14700 and wait for it to fall during the last week of the month.
What to follow next week?
At first, like the weeks before: the US Bond during the whole week and the German and French Bonds also.
Then: US/Russia tensions and US/China tensions
Finally:
- Monday: China national Bank interest rates;
- Tuesday: Calm;
- Wednesday: German manufacturing PMI and US Crude Oil Inventories
- Thursday (Big day):
- Switzerland: Interest rates;
- Bank of England and European Central Bank speeches simultaneously;
- US: GDP and initial jobless claims
- Friday: German Ifo business climate and US Budget (possible).
I wish you a good trading week,
Please feel free to ask me questions, I will be glad to connect with you over the comments or by private messages.
Stay safe,
Alexandre
DAX H4: BEST Level to BUY IT +500/+600 points(SL/TP)(NEW)Why get subbed to me on Tradingview?
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DAX H4: BEST Level to BUY IT +500/+600 points(SL/TP)(NEW)
IMPORTANT NOTE: speculative setup. do your own
due dill. use STOP LOSS. don't overleverage.
🔸 Summary and potential trade setup
::: DAX 4hour/candle chart review
::: bullish fractal in progress now
::: setup still valid as of today
::: IHS in progress
::: expecting bullish breakout next week
::: short-term more gains likely
::: HOWEVER heavy resistance overhead
::: 14 500 / 14 600 final TP bulls
::: BUY/HOLD near market open Monday
::: BULL maintain control for now
::: lower risk setup is BUY/HOLD
::: exit at 14 500 - 14 600 points
::: once we hit resistance at 14 500
::: TP BULLS TP1 +500 points TP2 +600 points
::: BUY/HOLD setup with great risk:reward
::: BULLS TP FINAL is 14 600
::: recommend to BUY/HOLD
::: recommended strategy:BUY/HOLD
::: SWING trade setup do not expect
::: fast/miracle overnights gains here
::: good luck traders
🔸 Supply/Demand Zones
::: 11 000 fresh demand zone
::: 14 600 fresh supply zone
🔸 Other noteworthy technicals/fundies
::: TD9 /Combo update: N/A
::: Sentiment short-term: BULLS
::: Sentiment outlook mid-term: BULLS
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