DAX is approaching its bottom. Which indicators to look at.DAX has been trading for long within a very specific set of indicators that have very accurately signaled tops and bottoms. The top was eventually priced as per our update earlier this year:
The signs of exhaustion were clear at the time. It wasn't just the fact that the index was trading near the top of its Channel Up but also the 1D CCI indicator entering its long-term Resistance Zone.
Right now, if the index doesn't find support today on the Internal Pivot line, look for two things then: a candle wick below the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) and mostly the CCI hitting its Support Zone.
Once the above parameters are met, our next target on DAX will be the 16400 - 16600 Zone (the 1.236 Fibonacci extension as with the November 19 High).
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Ger40
Is the GER40 about to turn to the downside?Considering the price action on PEPPERSTONE:GER40 , market news and the technical analisys with MACD, its starting to turn to the downside and potential move of 300-500 pips in the near term.
Risk warning!!!
Trading on CFDs the stock exchange and its other derivatives is risky and it is not suitable for everyone, you can lose more than you can afford! Trade Responsibly!
DE40 Sell a break setup.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 15947 (stop at 15994)
Trades with a bearish descending triangle formation.
A break of yesterdays low would confirm bearish momentum.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A break of bespoke support at 15950, and the move lower is already underway.
Our profit targets will be 15822 and 15802
Resistance: 16000 / 16050 / 16100
Support: 15950 / 15900 / 15800
DAX waving a short-term buy signal againFollowing our most recent DAX update, the price did eventually yield to its signs of exhaustion and pulled-back:
The pull-back extended as low as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) yesterday where it found support and is rebounding today. This could be a short-term buy signal again, the technical overlay was explained on the previous update. As you see this is similar to the 1D MA50 rebound of October 29 which also came close to the Internal Pivot trend-line and pushed the price to its final blow-off top just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. A Target Zone within 16400 - 16600 as the new blow-off top is realistic.
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dax= buylimit above green arrow with sl=40 trailstop=80
despite dax little down move , it can fly up again , our old target is 17200 for dax
technicaly dax must fill big gap in 15600 (cash dax gap) but + trend pressure is very high , so reach 15600 need big bad news
if you have old sell , hedge it near EMA200 1 hour (green line)
if you have open buy , put SL on today low and wait 5-6 day to new high
if you have hedge buy,sell , never close buy frist ok? , in deep(low) move SL to your sell open price , then shot down your platform, go sleep 7 day , then in high near 16500 , close your buy
if you are in above -5000$ loss , please pm me
DAX waves signs of exhaustion. Top might be near.I've been bullish on DAX for a very long time as the Rising Wedge and Channel Up patterns prompted to Higher Highs ever since April 2021:
However, the German index seems to be forming a pattern that based also on the 1D CCI, was previously seen just before market tops (i.e. Higher Highs on the pattern). As this 1D chart shows, the price just entered the CCI Resistance Zone that has been holding throughout the whole of last year. On two occasions (July 13 2021, August 12 2021) the CCI top matched with direct market tops. On the other two occasions (May 24 2021, November 03 2021), it made the price consolidate (orange circles) and made one last (blow-off) top 15 and 12 sessions later respectively.
The above means that we've either topped or will top within the next two weeks. Potential peak points include 16400 (top/ Higher High of the Channel Up) and 16600 (just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level as it happened with the November 19 Top). In either case, a strong pull-back towards the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) should be expected.
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DE40 Sell the previous support.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 15448 (stop at 15516)
We have a Gap open at Monday from 15472 to 15360.
Previous support at 15450 now becomes resistance.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Daily signals are bearish.
Our profit targets will be 15251 and 15221
Resistance: 15300 / 15350 / 15400
Support: 15200 / 15150 / 15100
GER40 Buy at previous resistance.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 15451 (stop at 15381)
Prices have reacted from 15057.
Bespoke support is located at 15450.
15426 has been pivotal.
Short term momentum is bullish.
Our profit targets will be 15649 and 15669
Resistance: 15500 / 15550 / 15600
Support: 15450 / 15400 / 15350
DE40 Buy at 20 EMA.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 15821 (stop at 15757)
Daily signals are mildly bullish.
Short term momentum is bullish.
Previous resistance, now becomes support at 15800.
20 4hour EMA is at 15820.
We look to buy dips.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Our profit targets will be 15997 and 16017
Resistance: 15900 / 15980 / 16000
Support: 15800 / 15750 / 15700
DE40 Buy the previous resistance.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 15961 (stop at 15904)
Daily signals are mildly bullish.
Short term bias is bullish.
Dips continue to attract buyers.
Previous resistance at 15950 now becomes support.
20 4hour EMA is at 15933.
Our profit targets will be 16116 and 16136
Resistance: 16100 / 16150 / 16200
Support: 16050 / 16000 / 15950
for coming week : dax ready to fly updont fear put buystop on 15620 (above EMA200 1hour) , soon or late dax must fill gap in 16100 , fibo 161% show dax can go up to 17000 area
strongly advice= dont sell , 99% looking for buy in deep with sl in last low (on 1 hour chart)
if you have old sell, 100% close sells in monday low or hedge your sells
if you have old buys,, be patient until gap on cash xetra dax 16100,dont close sooner
DAX Emerging MA50/MA100 Bullish Cross on the 4H.DAX appears to have completed the short-term profit taking pattern as presented last week on the following analysis:
The 1D MA200 held and the index can now resume the uptrend towards the top of the long-term Channel Up. On today's analysis I shift focus to the 4H time-frame where the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) are close to forming a Bullish Cross. Last time that happened was in October 20 and resulted in a massive rally to 16300.
All the price needs to do is clear the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) which rejected the rebound today and break this short-term Bearish Megaphone. At the same time the 4H MACD just printed a Bullish Cross as well, while the Higher Lows trend-line from the November 30 market bottom is holding firmly. We are looking for a medium-term rise around the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (16300).
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DE40 Buy a break setup.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy a break of 15851 (stop at 15769)
Daily signals are mildly bullish.
A break of yesterdays high would confirm bullish momentum.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Our profit targets will be 16097 and 16127
Resistance: 15800 / 15850 / 15900
Support: 15700 / 15650 / 15600
germany dax in coming week : double buy pinbar,3angel patterntechnical say dax must go to fibo 161% 17200(in next 3 month)
for coming days , dax target in up is 16122 (gap on cash xetra dax)
in red arrow ,we can put sellimit
advice by big banks traders= still advice looking for buy with SL in day low (or yesterday low) when dax is above EMA200 daily only looking for buy in deep,dont sell
AC 4hour is green too = up trend can start
bad scenario = if low break , dax can crash to 14000
let see futures cot data (net order by big banks and big funds money managers)
prnt.sc
prnt.sc
prnt.sc
prnt.sc
DAX short-term profit-taking leading to 16400Last week DAX gave the most optimal buy entry on the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up as I presented on my most recent analysis:
The price hit 15840 on a strong rebound, the strongest 2 days of the year. Yesterday the price started to pull-back but shouldn't be alarming as the very same -1.30% correction took place on October 18, during the last rally wave and turned out to be just profit taking. The index traded sideways for a week and later went on a 1 month rally extension towards the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
That extension is currently a little over 16600 and if it takes place, it would mean the break to the upside of the August Channel Up. For the time being, it is more sensible to initially target 16400 and then re-evaluate.
Notice how the 1D MACD is currently forming a Bullish Cross, which DAX typically forms at the start of its rallies.
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DE40 Sell a break setup.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 15985 (stop at 16044)
Short term momentum is bearish.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A higher correction is expected.
Bespoke support is located at 16000.
A break of 15985 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum.
16300 has been pivotal.
Our profit targets will be 15818 and 15798
Resistance: 16100 / 16150 / 16200
Support: 16050 / 16000 / 15950
DAX Trading PlanDAX rebounded today exactly at the bottom (Higher Lows) trend-line of its October Channel Up (blue) mainly due to the bettern than expected E.U. and German PMI data. If this effect is short-lived and the Channel breaks to the downside (quite likely as the MACD just formed a Bearish Cross on the 1D time-frame), look for the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the next buyer accumulation. That happens to be within the 0.5 and 0.382 Fibonacci retracement levels. If however the Channel Up holds, the index should go for the next Higher High. In either case the next upside target is the 2.5 Fibonacci extension around 16500.
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DAX sideways on its ATH. Potential pull-back.Two weeks ago, the consolidation on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), gave a clear buy extension signal on DAX:
The 16000 Target has been hit and the index is consolidating around its 16030 former Resistance and ATH for 5 straight 1D candles. This is a sign of technical exhaustion of the dominant trend which is bullish, so if the Channel Up breaks its Higher Lows trend-line, I expect a full pull-back towards the 1D MA50. As long as it doesn't though, the bullish trend remains intact.
In either case, the target is the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (roughly within 16450 - 16500), which is still below the Higher Highs trend-line that has been keeping DAX below since April 16.
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DAX on beginning of new week - based on Options Flow (Gamma)Going to the right, DAX tests investors' nerves and endurance. What can the beginning of a new week bring to us? Overall, we are high in the context (which does not in any way negate further increases for the sake of clarity!). Below the current price level, we have several Virgin VPOC levels, which even extend to the region of 15,200. But the only thing is that EVERY time the index will return there. Not necessarily now;)
In the context of Intraday trading, breaking the Gamma +0.25 level determined automatically based on the Options market - gives the opportunity to play a Long with a target of up to Gamma +0.5. We play it carefully because of Dax's trailblazing in such high places. The exit to Gamma +0.5, because as you already know from previous analyzes, this is a very strong Intraday resistance level. Similar to playing Short as a mirror image of the described move - after Gamma -0.25 goes down, there is an opportunity for Short. Target is Gamma -0.5 (again - strong Intraday support level), but this time we are watching whether there will be a price reaction and a rebound - another opportunity for Long as the Gamma -0.5 level is in the volume zone determined automatically by VSA Scanner. According to the Gamma strategy - a bounce from Gamma -0.5 most often ends statistically at the Pivot level.
Another trading opportunity is a price breakdown at the level determined automatically - Extreme Low of Day (determined from the Options and Volatility market) with the target at the extreme Gamma -1. Here, we also expect a price reaction and a position reversal in Long, where the presence of the volume zone (determined by the VSA Scanner) is an additional strengthening of the signal strength.
The Options Market helps forecast movements that are yet to come in derivatives (including Futures Contracts). Therefore, it is a powerful weapon in the Trader's arsenal and is available to everyone;)