German
DAX - DE30 testing its All-Time-High!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
on WEEKLY: DAX is sitting around strong resistance and all-time high in green so we will be looking for sell setups on lower timeframes.
on H4: DAX is forming a channel in red so we are waiting for a new/third swing to form around it to consider it objective/valid.
Trigger: Waiting for a momentum candle close below the gray area to sell.
and until the sell is activated, this one would be overall bullish and can still dive inside the green zone.
As price approaches our lower blue support, we will be looking for buy setups.
Good luck!
🌋 XRP [Ripple] Top - Down Analyse by TraderBRO Although the xrp supply is big and some big guys are dumping their coins in the market (non stop) i can not ignore the current state of the altcoin market in relation to XRP.
🥏For the newcomers to technical analysis: in contrast to 90% of TV analysts, I have built up a skill set through 1000h+ chart time and mentorship from major names in the scene that has proven its worth for quite some time. I don't
want to reward myself here, but I would like to point out that you should take a close look at this analysis to understand what price action analysis is really about. Any indicators are a distraction and lag behind the actual price.
🔥In the following now the analysis:
I will start with the monthly timeframe from where I will work my way down to the hourly timeframe. Bigger Timeframes are acting on lower Timeframes pivotal! The reason behind this "phenomenon" is that the developing price action produces supply and demand zones. The higher the timeframe, the longer the period for the "market" to create a strong supply/ demand zone . Google "Supply & Demand zones" to understand the basics of tA (Support-/Resistance Principle)
On the Monthly Timeframe
it is clearly to see that price has reclaimed a pivotal support level on a monthly basis. I drew a down trendline to show that the reclaimed support level ist with a high probability a shit in trend temporary. Furthermore we see a bullish engulfing pattern which gives confluence to my idea.
The Basic of a bullish price trend is a series of higher highs and higher lows -> hence the bullish engulfing is the visualization of a bullish trend on lower timeframes!
[$BMW] Quitte ou double ? // Double or quits ?FR/EN ( below)
FR
Le stratège de la banque suisse, Nick Nelson, a passé en revue les secteurs de la cote.
Il est acheteur sur BMW, je suis plutôt neutre à date, pas assez d'indication sur un reversement de tendance clair et confirmé mais on peut être ambitieux ( attention :) )
En vue weekly, la tendance est toujours baissière est le rebond a été assez franc et test les 50€.
L'idée est d'observer si nous tenons le support ou ce prix marquant des 50€ sera un rempart qui ne pourra pas etre franchi dans l'immédiat.
Dans le cas de continuation baissière , une revisite des plus bas n'est pas à exclure 20 € étant le point psychologique cible.
Si on contraire, les acheteurs reviennent massivement et qu'on rebondi sur les précédents sommets de 2002 et 2007 , le prix se heurtera à une forte zone entre 65€ et 90€.
Est-ce seulement un creux pour repartir à la hausse et de recharger fortement l'un des fers de lance de l'automobile allemand ?
Dans les deux cas, on attend les confirmations aux échelles de temps qu'on souhaite.
En observation , la Tenkan Weekly refait support après cette grosse baisse.
Le Chikou est assez loin et nous donne pas beaucoup d'information à l'instant T .
En revanche, une mouvement assez similaire sur d'autres indices comme le $Bitcoin $ BTC ou l'$Ethereum dans le secteur de la crypto ( ex: ) montrent une évolution des prix progressive avec un passage de la Chickou Weekly à travers ce passage fin des nuages d'Ichimoku.
Cette finesse des résistances pourraient être une zone de passage dans un scénario haussier.
A voir comment tout cela se décante.
Donc Nick Nelson, je respecte votre opinion (les arguments sont là) en revanche, je resterai en attente avant de donner un quelconque signal sur du prix de l'action BMW
Ceci n'est évidemment pas un conseil en investissement
Stay Safe
PEACE !
--
EN
The Swiss bank strategist, Nick Nelson, has reviewed the sectors of the stock market.
He is a buyer on BMW, I'm rather neutral to date, not enough indication on a clear and confirmed trend reversal but one can be ambitious ( attention :) )
In weekly view, the trend is still bearish and the rebound has been quite frank and is testing the 50€.
The idea is to see if we can hold the support where the 50€ price will be a bulwark that can't be crossed in the immediate future.
In the case of a continuation of the bearish trend, a revisit of the lowest is not to be excluded, 20€ being the psychological target point.
If, on the contrary, buyers come back massively and we bounce back on the previous peaks of 2002 and 2007, the price will come up against a strong zone between 65€ and 90€.
Is this just a trough to start up again and to strongly recharge one of the spearheads of the German car industry?
In both cases, we're waiting for confirmations on the time scales we want.
In observation, the Tenkan Weekly is back on its feet after this big drop.
The Chikou is quite far away and does not give us much information at the moment T .
On the other hand, a rather similar movement on other indices such as the $Bitcoin $ BTC show a progressive price evolution with a passage of the Chickou Weekly through this fine passage of the Ichimoku clouds.
This fine resistance could be a passage zone in a bullish scenario.
Watch out !
So Nick Nelson, I respect your opinion (the arguments are there) on the other hand, I will stay on hold before giving any kind of orientation on BMW stock price
This is obviously not investment advice.
Stay Safe
PEACE!
Translated with www.DeepL.com (free version)
EURUSD darf falle-le-lenGuten Morgen liebe Trader,
nach wie vor haben wir im übergeordneten Chartbild kontinuierlich bärische Struktur die wir natürlich weitestgehend mitnehmen wollen.
Aktuell befinden wir uns erneut in einem interessanten Korrekturbereich wo man sich mehrfach hätte gut positionieren können, in meinem Fall als Intradayhändler bot sich gestern das 66.7 KL in grün gut an. Ich und mein Team liegen bei diesem Trade im Moment bei guten 40 Pips im Profit und lassen den Markt nun risk-free bis ins Ziel laufen.
Anmerkungen und Ideen gern in den Kommentaren hinterlassen :)
Grüße,
Chris
German BUND Approaching Resistance - Elliott wave analysisHi traders,
German BUND made a clear, five-wave drop in March, which is a sign of a bearish trend, however as we know after every five waves a temporary pullback may show up. Here we are observing a w-x-y correction underway, with resistance/bearish turn at the 174.80/176.8 region, where Fib. ratios of 0.618 and 0.786, and also equality measurement of waves w and y can suggest where price can slow down.
Once we see a five-wave minor rally within a (c) wave of y, and a sharp drop from potential resistance levels, and a breach below the lower channel line, that is when BUND can resume its bear run.
Trade well,
The EW-Forecast team
CoronabodenNach den Panikverkäufen der letzen Wochen im XETR:DAX könnte sich (vmtl nach entsprechender Luntenbildung) ein "CoronaBoden" abzeichnen.
Es könnte ein guter Anlaß für den überverkauften Markt sein, zu drehen.
Die fundamentalen Daten sind auf dem Höhepunkt der schlechten Nachrichten. Außerhalb Chinas ist das Wachstum noch exponentiell, und große Teile der Bevölkerung verstehen exponentielles Wachstum nicht und sind von den täglichen Zahlen erschüttert.
Dennoch hat sich in China die Kurve auf nahezuhin 0 Wachstum abgeflacht und es gibt keinen Grund anzunehmen, daß dies in Europa nicht auch der Fall sein wird in 3-6 Wochen.
Natürlich fühlt sich bei diesem Chartbild ein bullisches Play wie ein Griff ins Messer an, doch den Mutigen gehört die Welt :)
Auch halte ich weitere Kusverluste für wahrscheinlich, doch zunächst sollte sich ein Rücklauf einstellen.
Thursday's retail sales day and Friday is a day offThe latest news on Thursday. About the publication of the United States retail sales data. Unexpectedly, for most people the data turned out to be much better than forecasts (+ 1.6% m / m with the forecast of + 1.0% m / m). Recently, the US is not very pleased with macroeconomic statistics. So, everything is completely mixed up and it is difficult to say what is really happening with the US economy. However, the Dollar Index is too close to local maxima to buy a dollar. So we continue to look for points for its sales on the intraday basis.
Canada posted quite good retail sales data (+ 0.8% m / m with a forecast of + 0.4% m / m). But in the battle of two dollars, the American turned out to be stronger than the Canadian.
The UK decided not to lag behind and also showed growth in retail sales (+ 1.1% m / m with a forecast of -0.3% m / m). However, this did not help the pound much, and together with the dollar, it set off to storm the support of 1.30.
Another reason for selling the euro has been provided by Germany. The PMI index in the manufacturing sector in Germany was worse than expected and well below 50 (44.5, with a forecast of 45.0), which is a negative signal for both the largest economy in the Eurozone and for the European single currency.
Meanwhile, in the United States the number of active rigs has dropped sharply again. According to Baker Hughes, the number of oil installations for the week decreased by 8 to 825 pieces. Such news has supported oil. However, it is still at the local top. Recall that while oil (WTI brand) is below 64.50, we will look for opportunities to sell the asset on the intraday basis.
Today will be almost a “day off”. US, UK and German markets will be closed. This means a low level of liquidity and a “thin” market. Accordingly, the probability of sharp and unpredictable price fluctuations sharply increases. Therefore, it is worth being extremely cautious in order not to run into another flash crash.
Scope to retrace further into 2019=> After a very tough year for European Equities, the bad news keeps coming. End of QE with a very dovish ECB was expected to keep equities afloat, however, we can still extend the lows another -5% till 10,178 - 10,160.
=> Tracking this chart very closely into the FED and remainder of the year for any signs of a reversal once we clear the final targets. For those looking to buy the dip, here we need above 11,726 to give any opportunity of a meaningful correction.
=> Best of luck to all those trading DAX and other European Equities for the final hour in 2018.
EUR/USD — The Most Bullish It’s Been For MonthsThe USD weakness playing through after Powell’s Put is evident in the valuation of the Euro. While I’ve argued that I simply can’t envision the multi-month range to be decisively broken, price action and volume is king as they reflect the market’s intentions. The close above the first layer of resistance at 1.1443 is a major warning sign that yet another attack towards 1.15 is on the cards. Notice, the retest of 1.15 would be just 4 days after it was last tested, which suggests sellers’ conviction is definitely waning. The pick up in the risk environment underpins the USD liquidation short-term, as does the latest fundamental developments by the Fed (blinking), which was well telegraphed by the widening of the German vs US bond yield spread. However, the economic data in the EZ is far from giving us much enthusiasm as the repercussion for a dovish tilt in the ECB monetary stance cannot be underestimated. The bond yield curve in Germany should be a red flag. Overall, it looks like an opportunity to be a buyer on weakness remains the scenario most attractive, especially if one considers that the downside is now supported by the backside of the 1.1443 + range POC at 1.14.
EUR/USD: Buy on weakness favored as valuation point northThe pair has been stuck in a 100+ pips range ever since the spike in demand off Nov 28 lows. Market makers and range traders have been dominating for now, with 1.13 to the downside being the line drawn in the sand by value buyers. I say ‘value’ because at present, any Euros being exchanged nearby the 1.13 are definitely offered at a discount based on where the German vs US yield spread and the Italian premium trade at. The decoupling is too obvious to ignore, which makes buying on weakness a very viable strategy. Ever since the origin of the demand candle on Nov 28, the price has been achieving higher levels, while any attempts to transact offers for bids that meet the 1.1315/20 periphery are rejected in no time. Overall, this is a market that has written on the wall, buy me at discount prices for now.
Dax buy opportunity if trend holds otherwise danger aheadThis is a long term chart of the German Stock Index Dax. The upper trendline was established at the pre Financial Crisis peak in 2007 and later at the peaks of 2015 and 2017. This were good selling points. The lower support trendline is giving support since the Creek Dept Default Crisis in 2011 and fears of a China Slow Down in early 2016. This were good buy points. Recently, the trendline was testet again on fears of a Trade War with China, Brexit and Italian Credit, which presents a buying opportunity als long the support trendline stays intact. Otherwise danger ahead, because of a huge rising wedge pattern of a historical size.
DAX / 15m : Diamond reversal on the way ?NOTE : This is an early trade scenario... still needs further wave confirmation before placing the actual trade..
Hope this idea will inspire some of you !
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Phil
German DAX Eyeing 14k-15k - Elliott wave AnalysisHello traders, and welcome to a new daily update regarding the German DAX.
On the Weekly time frame of DAX we see price trading in a nice and clear impulsive and bullish sequence up from 2009. We can see a nice five-wave movement up from the lows, with final wave (V) of a higher degree in play which can in weeks and months ahead take price towards the 14000-15000 region.
Now switching to the Daily time frame, where we see price trading in a contracting and sideways correction, which can be labelled as a higher degree sub-wave IV. This correction is known as a triangle, which is a continuation pattern and moves into the direction of the trend( in our case to the upside). Triangles also unfold prior to the final move within a cycle, meaning once this triangle fully unravels a new rally above 13600 as sub-wave V of (V) may follow. That said, a the moment we see leg D of a triangle in play, that can look for resistance near the upper triangle line.
Thank you, and take care.
Cheers!
Impulsive DAX sell off is early sign of trend reversalPrice potentially heading towards 12600 in the future because of major sell off within this bullish structure.
As I always mention, those are scenario's.
Without a stop loss, take profit, risk reward and proper position sizing there's no reason to get it. It's just a market prediction.
In this case, price didn't even got to the price where I want it to be, reject, and then drop off. So it no more then a view, no analysis, no trade setup, always keep that in mind.
So, I see a potential Head and Shoulders pattern forming up on the top of this upward move, with a potential break to the downside.
10Year German Yields : A Scenario to profit from QE endingHope this idea will inspire some of you !
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Indicators used in this forecast are PRO Sinewave BETA & PRO Momentum .
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