DAX Channel Up and Inverse Head & Shoulders pushing for Gap fillDAX rebounded at the bottom of the Channel Up, forming Support (1) at 15625.
By doing so it completed the formation of an Inverse Head and Shoulders.
This is a twin bullish signal same with the March bottom.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
2. Sell if it crosses Support 1 (15625).
Targets:
1. 16340 (Resistance 1 and Gap fill as per the March fractal).
2. 15250 (bottom of long term Channel Up).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is also forming a Channel Up like March indicating that we might be exactly before the breakout to the gap fill.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
Germany
Quick analysis on 2HRADear German traders, on 2HRA you can see on the chart thet the price just canceled what seemed to be a breakout of the channel the price is consolidating at, before you buy it you must wait for the price to break the resistance level with a higher volume than the highest one we have currently
GER30 BUYHello Ger30 indicator. In a positive state with a bullish flag. And the correction of the last wave on an important ratio in Fibonacci 0.5. Likewise, this correction came on strong support at 14650. With the formation of very positive candles indicating a strong entry for buyers to rise again . Note: If you like this analysis, please give your opinion on it. in the comments. I will be happy to share ideas. Like and click to get free content. Thank you
DAX Megaphone still intact. Breakout and scalping options.DAX is trading in a Megaphone, currently supported by the MA50 (4h).
Scalping is recommended inside this pattern and breakout trading outside it.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy if the price closes over the Megaphone.
2. Sell if it closes under the MA50 (1d).
Targets:
1. 16200 (+12.17% buy leg).
2. 15200 (lower Support Zone).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is inside a clear Rectangle whose bottom and top can help with scalping inside the Megaphone.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
DAX Megaphone inside a Channel Up. Bullish long term.DAX is on a minor pull back as it came near the top of the Megaphone pattern which is inside the larger Channel Up.
If it breaks upwards, buy the breakout. If it pulls back failing to break above the Megaphone, sell and target the 4hour MA200. Reverse to buying at the bottom (15650) of the Megaphone and Channel Up.
Long term target 16250.
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Huobi (HT)Huobi Global’s majority shareholder Leon Li has agreed to sell his entire stake in the crypto exchange to Hong Kong-based investment firm About Capital, reportedly spearheaded by Tron founder Justin Sun. Huobi price today is $4.94 with a 24-hour trading volume of $49,600,236. HT price is up 19.6% in the last 24 hours. It has a circulating supply of 130 Million HT coins and a total supply of 500 Million
the next target for HT is 6 - 6.8
DAX traded to the highest level in 62 weeks!GER40 - 24h expiry -
Daily signals are bullish.
Traded to the highest level in 62 weeks.
There is no sign that this bullish momentum is faltering but the pair has stalled close to a previous swing high of 15683.
15791 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent high at 15791 should result in a further move higher.
We look to Buy a break of 15801 (stop at 15681)
Our profit targets will be 16101 and 16151
Resistance: 15791 / 15900 / 16000
Support: 15630 / 15600 / 15500
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX momentum has stalled at 2023 highs.GER40 - 24h expiry -
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
15708 has been pivotal.
A higher correction is expected.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
We look to Sell at 15699 (stop at 15819)
Our profit targets will be 15401 and 15341
Resistance: 15662 / 15708 / 15800
Support: 15550 / 15470 / 15350
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX Major bearish breakoutWe're watching the support level of 14877 very closely as it's a major overlap, 23.6% Fib retracement and a break of this level, coinciding with the ichimoku cloud bearish exit, could trigger a massive drop to the next support level at 13863.
It's also nice to see strong bearish divergence vs Stochastic suggesting we could see a big reversal upon the break of the 14877 level.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
DAX BEARISH SCENARIO NOT OVERDAX felt 3.04% in Monday, biggest drop for the instrument after December. Investors are cautious after the failings of SVB and Signature Bank that the entire bank sector might be badly hurt from the sharp rise of interests in the last year.
On the technical front both MACD and RSI indicators are suggesting continuity of the bearish movement, with RSI below the 50 neutral line and MACD histogram deep under the zero line and keep falling.
If the current movement continues, the price might try to test levels of 14500. In the opposite scenario the price might revert back to 15410.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
DAX, H4 | Bearish Breakout?We're seeing price break at key support at 15240 which could potentially trigger a move down to major support at 14967 - which has seen prices bounce off multiple times in the past.
There is a descending resistance line that is pushing prices down along with the bearish Ichimoku cloud. The bearish momentum could carry the breakout all the way down to the 14967 level.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
DE40 possible breakout to the downsideDE40 is in a bullish trend since the end of September. Price bouncing between a converging channel making higher highs and higher lows, recently broke through the ~15250 level and found support there but showing weakness as retested that level several times from the upside and RSI indicator make lower highs while price increasing. If price break below the support level and trend line and retest my first TP target will be 14900 the second 14550.
Feel free to share your opinion in the comment section and hit the like button if you found this information useful!
Thank you
easyMarkets DAX Daily - Quick Technical OverviewThe technical picture of DAX on our daily chart shows that the index is currently stuck between two trendlines - a short-term downside resistance one taken from the high of February 9th and medium-term upside support line drawn from the low of October 3rd. Given that DAX has been on a roller coaster ride for the whole month of February, we need to see a clear violation of one of the trendlines in order to consider a near-term directional move, either up or down.
However, we would get more comfortable with higher areas if we also see a break somewhere above the 15700 zone.
For the downside, a drop below the 15200 territory might attract more sellers into the game.
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
easyMarkets DAX Daily - Quick Technical OverviewDAX traders still remain undecided on where the index is heading. On one hand, we remain above a medium-term upside line, meaning that the trend is still to the upside. However, if that medium-term trendline breaks, this could open the door towards much lower areas,
Disclaimer:
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GERMANY40 BEARISH SCENARIOGERMANY40 had broken through the support of the Rising Wedge candle sticks pattern, which is a sign for possible bearish movement of the instrument. Both MACD and RSI indicators are confirming the outlook: MACD histogram is below the 0 line, while RSI line is breaking the Overbought line from above, also a strong bearish indicator.
If this scenario continues, the price might fall to levels of 14 820, but in the opposite scenario the price might rise to 15 554
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
easyMarkets DAX Daily - Quick Technical OverviewDisclaimer:
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DAX - how to catch the rabbit. Hi,
If you look on the main course of mass media - they will not tell you the truth. They say that DAX is oversold and the pattern right now is bearish. RGR - pattern. Lot of people think that there will be a head with shoulders pattern. I suppose that is false - bias point of view.
I can only suppose that if euro is weak, dax is weak. Right now EURUSD is testing 1.07 - high low of the tunel and right now we have a moment of the bullish divergence on DXY - dollar is rising.
But it is only for a while.
I suppose that EURUSD did not end it bullish run and we will see another run to the 1.12 and then you will see that DAX will go up. There are lot of positive signs in economy of German that stock market will move up.
I suppose that we have first wave of Elliot pattern - DAX - point 14500 to 14000 points - first run stop. Second wave you got 14000 - 15400 points - then 15000 points is the support level. Middle of March 2023 there will be testing of this point. Right now there is a channel ahead of us. 15400 - 15000 - there will be testing field. Look on the structure of the patterns in from march 2021 - November 2021 - this is a big pattern that must be tested and must be moved up. It cannot go down because EURUSD is still on the down level - 1.07 it is very low. It is testing support. Then next move is 1.12. High level of EURUSD is 1.50 - 1.64. We need I suppose minimum 2 - 3 years to go there.
Give you time and do not try to catch a short CFD contracts. There will be lot of up side down and lot of play of big players to mislead lot of people.
There are many traders on internet that says - DAX is moving down - it is not a true.
I suppose that DAX will have new historical hills on the top and you will see like dax goes up. This index is still interesting and still like to move up and down.
The main point is that if you have a cycle of long waves. Right now we are in the beginning of the wave started in the September 2022. There is a planty of time. I suppose that first stop will be a round - August 2023 r. or maybe September 2023 r.
Look on the banks and STOXX Banks index - it is still moving up with some correction but banks are the main point in this game. No body tells this in mass media. Banks will have a very good results soon and they are still developing like french banks that looks for investments in Africa.
Look on Credit Agricol - France Bank. It is going very good or Italy UniCredit.
EUR/JPY - SHORT; Geopolitics matters - Center stage.Given the inevitability of;
1) An abject Chinese population collapse - already under way -, necessitating the consequent *** massive DEurbanization, DEindustrialization *** (leaving in its wake ~800 million subsistence "gardeners" - No, not even farms, in the traditional sense of scale!);
2) Japan having *** the only other (beside the US) long range Navy *** capable to protect shipping/supply lines, anywhere on the globe; (While China couldn't defend it's own coast line, if push came to shove. All that The "Chinese Menace" propaganda is laughable, at best. China is already dead, it just hasn't rolled over, yet, fully.)
3) The EU's obvious, ongoing Hara Kiri (the kind that would fill every samurai with envy), the demise of the Euro is a foregone conclusion. (How long for total EU disintegration?? ... A) Most likely measured in a couple years; B) It is well under way!.
4) Germany's full and unmitigated retreat from a collapsed Chinese market - the US filling the vacuum in every imaginable corner on the globe;
5) Japan being *** the only other (alongside Taiwan, S. Korea and the US) precision manufacturer of high-technology, of any scale ***;
6) ...
...
12) ...
There are at least a dozen existential reasons - already well within grasp! - all of which will leave Japan likely the only industrial power standing in Asia, while Germany (as is the whole of Europe) will be forced to backtrack to the '60s. - Not to the 1960s, no ... to the 1860s!
The technicals are also favorable to start shorting this pair from here, ... on and on ... onto forever.
p.s. The rise of France in Europe and Japan's in Asia - relative to their current industrial and geopolitical pull- is all but a foregone conclusion.
France being the "youngest" industrial and agricultural power in the EU while Japan, having survived - so far - their own demographic apocalypse, will have ring side seats to revel in the total and abject Chinese collapse. Germany also "only" lacks any and all domestic energy or food resources (except Sauerkraut), while also beset with a demographic apocalypse that is about to hit its full stride.
DAX Weekly Forecast 30 Jan - 3 Feb 2023 DAX Weekly Forecast 30 Jan - 3 Feb 2023
Based on the data from VDAX we can see that currently the IV for this week is at 18.97%, equal to last week.
This can be translated in +/- 2.63% weekly movement from the open of the candle, which makes the next top/bot channel
TOP: 15466
BOT: 14673
The probability to break this channel(aka the close of the weekly is going to end up either above/below this channel) is at
79% with the last 20 years of data
89% with data since 2022
From the technical rating analysis point of view we can deduct the next information:
Currently there is a :
73% to touch the previous weekly high
26% to touch the previous weekly low
At the same time if we are going to take a look at the moving average rating for different timeframes we can see :
4H Timeframe: -13% Bearish Trend
D Timeframe: +66% Bullish Trend
W Timeframe: +80% Bullish Trend
Lastly on average, based on the current percentile, we can expect that our asset is going to move:
1.87% from the open to the close candle for the bullish scenario
2.37% from the open to the close candle for the bearish scenario