Germany30
USA stock markets secondary as Germany outperformAlthough the US stock markets are doing OK, including SPY and S&P 500, the DAX seems to be outperformed by a long shot. I just noticed this today out of curiosity since the euro is starting to exceed the British pound. This might be due to the more substantial German market overall.
Will DAX continue to breakdown?GER40 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell a break of 15529 (stop at 15649)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Bearish divergence can be seen on the 4 hour chart (the chart makes a higher high while the oscillator makes a lower high), often a signal of exhausted bullish momentum, or at least a correction lower.
The bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart is negative for sentiment. Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A break of the recent low at 15479 should result in a further move lower.
We look for losses to be extended today.
A higher correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 15229 and 15179
Resistance: 15660 / 15740 / 15800
Support: 15552 / 15500 / 15370
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX momentum has stalled at 2023 highs.GER40 - 24h expiry -
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
15708 has been pivotal.
A higher correction is expected.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
We look to Sell at 15699 (stop at 15819)
Our profit targets will be 15401 and 15341
Resistance: 15662 / 15708 / 15800
Support: 15550 / 15470 / 15350
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
MUST READ:GER 30 CURRENT VIEWPrice Broke The Lower High and And Created a New Higher which signals buying opportunities telling us that the price is currently Bullish from being bearish as I identified the zone indicated and took 50 % of the zone to reduce risk as we wait for price to retrace back to the identified level and take our positions.
Bear In mind that i use smart money concepts that's why my charts may not contain many objects e.g Trendlines,Indicators. etc
GER30 Hope you are having a nice day. Looking at Zone 1&2 it looks a lot like we might be seeing some neutral movement for Monday i will also take extra caution when taking a trade. I also noticed that Zone 3 on the chart was a big resistance level back in November and December 2022 and then got broken out of. I do however think that the market will be testing Zone 3 again for support, but we will have to wait and see.
GER30 DailyBeautiful higher timeframe retest of previous key level resistance looking left, as new support forming a higher low. 3 weeks now price has closed above this key region, & above this zone I am looking for price to resume the overall uptrend..
A lot of confluence in this region as it also aligns with the 50 fibonacci retracment of the previous impulsive stage. The corrective stage may now be coming to an end, & the trend may enter back into the impulsive stage of the uptrend as buyers are building up liquidity here.
DAX BEARISH As shown it looks like the market could still continue down the channel till the end of the week, as it comes up to retest the Fibonacci zone to sell. It has also created LH AND LL inside the channel. With NAS100 having reaching a point of ''HIGH DEMAND'' yesterday we might see the same occur on DAX. for now i am waiting to see if it respects the levels or breaks out creating new HH AND HL
BIG SHORT ON THE DAXAs you can see from my track record, I am never wrong.
The DAX will sell off to 14100.
I have taken my trade at the very top.
Let us watch this unfold.
Cheers
GER 30 Bearish Projection (Daily TF)The GER 30 price has breached the bullish ascending channel to the downside with s strong bearish engulfing candle, and there is a strong likelihood that the price will undergo a further decline after testing the key level. Nonetheless, if the price surpasses and closes above the key level, there is a possibility of a bullish continuation, which would negate my previous perspective.
What's your thought on this? Like and comment below
DAX IndexHello Traders,
Dax Index is heading to 15200 K zone then probably there will face a lot of sellers.
Long intraday TP 15200 circa.
Trade safe.
Illyrian Finance
DAX Major bearish breakoutWe're watching the support level of 14877 very closely as it's a major overlap, 23.6% Fib retracement and a break of this level, coinciding with the ichimoku cloud bearish exit, could trigger a massive drop to the next support level at 13863.
It's also nice to see strong bearish divergence vs Stochastic suggesting we could see a big reversal upon the break of the 14877 level.
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DAX BEARISH SCENARIO NOT OVERDAX felt 3.04% in Monday, biggest drop for the instrument after December. Investors are cautious after the failings of SVB and Signature Bank that the entire bank sector might be badly hurt from the sharp rise of interests in the last year.
On the technical front both MACD and RSI indicators are suggesting continuity of the bearish movement, with RSI below the 50 neutral line and MACD histogram deep under the zero line and keep falling.
If the current movement continues, the price might try to test levels of 14500. In the opposite scenario the price might revert back to 15410.
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DAX in a descending triangle.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 15484 (stop at 15564)
The bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart is negative for sentiment.
Daily signals for sentiment are at oversold extremes.
A higher correction is expected.
The trend of lower highs is located at 15510.
Prices expected to stall near trend line resistance.
Our profit targets will be 15284 and 15244
Resistance: 15400 / 15480 / 15500
Support: 15350 / 15300 / 15250
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX stalling at overbought extremes.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 15371 (stop at 15291)
Daily signals are bullish.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
We look for a temporary move lower.
20 1day EMA is at 15340.
Our profit targets will be 15571 and 15611
Resistance: 15553 / 15600 / 15660
Support: 15500 / 15450 / 15400
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX Weekly Forecast 30 Jan - 3 Feb 2023 DAX Weekly Forecast 30 Jan - 3 Feb 2023
Based on the data from VDAX we can see that currently the IV for this week is at 18.97%, equal to last week.
This can be translated in +/- 2.63% weekly movement from the open of the candle, which makes the next top/bot channel
TOP: 15466
BOT: 14673
The probability to break this channel(aka the close of the weekly is going to end up either above/below this channel) is at
79% with the last 20 years of data
89% with data since 2022
From the technical rating analysis point of view we can deduct the next information:
Currently there is a :
73% to touch the previous weekly high
26% to touch the previous weekly low
At the same time if we are going to take a look at the moving average rating for different timeframes we can see :
4H Timeframe: -13% Bearish Trend
D Timeframe: +66% Bullish Trend
W Timeframe: +80% Bullish Trend
Lastly on average, based on the current percentile, we can expect that our asset is going to move:
1.87% from the open to the close candle for the bullish scenario
2.37% from the open to the close candle for the bearish scenario
PSNY: MACRO ANALYSIS / REVERSAL IMMINENT? / SQUEEZE? (UPDATE)DESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a SEMI-MACRO ANALYSIS of PSNY where I address Current Trend, Supply & Demand, RSI & MACD.
POINTS:
1. DEVIATION stands at 1.50 Points separating given SUPPLY & DEMAND POCKETS.
2. Price Action is finally finding support above the 45 EMA (BLUE LINE) while the 200 EMA (RED LINE) looks ready to go under & CONFIRM BULLISH MOMENTUM.
3. SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE FORMATION had a BULLISH start further confirming a BULLISH EXIT from trend.
4. RSI median is positioned near 50 similar to previous positioning before rally occurred.
5. MACD volume is staying within 0.18 & -0.18, a flatlined MACD is preferable since it would signify that buying and selling pressure is equal and preparing for a big move.
6. ESTIMATION for potential rally from current floor can be found on the right hand side.
IMPORTANT: PAY CLOSE ATTENTION to VOLUME and just how dramatically dead VOLUME has been since the 27th of JUNE 2022. Can have something to do with how much of PSNY shares are traded in DARK POOLS. This can in fact work out for PSNY since a slight exposure to previous levels of VOLUME can in fact result in a BULLISH REACTION for PRICE ACTION.
SCENARIO #1: In a BULLISH scenario price action would have to break past 7 points to validate setup and give way for price action to continue breathing.
SCENARIO #2: In a BEARISH scenario if price action is to break below 5.50 current setup would be invalidated and give way to further downside or consolidation.
FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:PSNY
NASDAQ:PSNYW
DAX to stall at highs.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 15258 (stop at 15348)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We look for a temporary move higher.
A lower correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 15038 and 14988
Resistance: 15130 / 15200 / 15272
Support: 15030 / 14950 / 14900
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.