Gj
GBPJPY Potential Forecast | 2nd March 2023Fundamental Backdrop
1. BOE continues to face higher inflationary pressures which will prompt the BOE to take on a more hawkish stance in the market.
2. BOJ continues to ease, dovish stance is continued.
3. This interest rate differential continues to be a key factor in the appreciation of the GBP over the JPY.
Technical Confluences
1. Price is still on a bullish trend forming higher highs and lows.
2. Price is resting well above the ichimoku cloud, signifying bullish intent in the market.
3. Price retraced to the key H4 support level at 161.7 and continued bullish and is currently flirting the level at 163.7.
4. Price can potentially head to the lower timeframe support at 162.8 before heading back up.
Idea
Will be looking for price to tap into the support at 162.8 before continuing its bullish trajectory where longs will be taken upon proper confirmation.
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GJwhen you hit 3 trades in a row, it feel like jesse livemore !!
seriously tho middle long trade was based on DiXY strength hence Yen weakness, the last was based on DiXY overbought breather & more imp Sunak’s monday meeting for Ni protocol reforms. worked better than i expected in target & time range. boom boom.
expecting it to top around 166.40/70 for consolidation.
GBPJPY - At a CrossroadHey there!
Gj is my favorite pair, such a nice volatile pair to work with, but lately it's been acting pretty crazy, that's why I haven't talked about it so much.
But, price is at an interesting spot right now. See this 160 level, it used to be a support in the recent past, and a strong one. It's been hit several times between last june-september. Then we had a squeeze short that went to grab all the 150.00 level's liquidity to go hit the ceiling at 170.00.
We broke back down 160.00 last december and since then we're ranging, between 155.00 and 160.00. Since december, we've hit 160.00 about 5-6 times and now we're getting the 7th one. But this one is different, see, JPY has been really weak lately, and also, it's been more volatile than GBP. You can see this by analysing the last swings of both currencies, check it out :
If we take last swing of each currency against the dollar we have :
GBPUSD last swing from 14/02 tu 20/02 => 2.85% variation
USDJPY last swing from 14/02 to 20/02 => 4.09% variation
So, this means that, for now, JPY is more sensitive to dollar than GBP is, so JPY is weaker than GBP against the dollar. In other words, in a situation like this one, if USDJPY is going up, so is GBPJPY.
In a previous analysis I was showing a potential rebound of USDJPY this week. If it was to happen I would look for a potential break of the 160.00 level but, I would really like to see the price to retrace a little bit before, to get a nice entry.
The situation :
1) We're ranging
2) GBP stronger than JPY lately
3) We're touching the top of the range, 7th touch
4) There's a huge imbalance just above the 161.00 resistance, if price was to break it would be vaccumed up to 164.00 - 165.00
5) We're waiting on a retracement with USDJPY, and it's been corelated with GJ lately
So, this one is not a textbook trade that's for sure. But, I know GJ, and right now, it looks like it wants to go get this 161.00 reistance. Ultimately, we'll let the market decide what it wants to do, and we'll be ready for what happens then
Cheers everyone and happy trading!!!
GbpJpy - Manipulation Point TradingBias: Long
Market Cycle: 2
Still long on GJ,, Looking at the 162.08 level it's a KL on the Daily, weekly, monthly TF's..
We're trading inside the 1h fvg, so theres potential that it moves bullish at anytime, I will only be looking for LQG on the MP's for the safer entry position's..
GBPJPY sellAfter our Trade from yesterday, we have a new setup for today. Asia closed good. The price will spicke into our OB or even session high and then probably drop.
If you want you can wait for a confirmation on a lower time frame, where you search for a ChoCH and an OB.
$JPYBASKET is also about to hit our OB so that a reversal has a good change to happen.
But I will enter directly when it hits our OB.
Entry:162.050
SL: 162.200
TP1: 161.472
TP2: 160.500
TP3: 160.150
Would not recommend to risk more than 1%.
Please like and comment what you think!