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GLD

Long term perspective on GOLD / Cup and Handle Pattern Today we will share our view about the long-term opportunities we think gold is about to offer. First, we will start with the Weekly chart you can see on this post: What is a Cup and Handle Pattern? -Cup and handle pattern is the name that someone really creative gave to a market situation in which we have an ATH followed by a big Dip, in this case, a major correction between 40% to 70%. Then the price is able to recover the whole drawdown, and we have a fresh ATH (this can be above the previous one or a small breakout above). Finally, we have a corrective pattern, typically a ZIG-ZAG structure or an ABC structure. After the ZIG-ZAG / Flag Pattern breakout, we have the confirmation signal of a new Bull run about to come. -To better understand this example, you can see the next picture, and also you can see the situation from 1978 to 2009 (cup and handle pattern) / 2009 to 2011 the resolution of the structure. -Please understand that this type of pattern is useful on high timeframes like Daily and Weekly charts, its pretty similar to the situation we had on BTC/USD several times after huge corrections -With that explained, we think GOLD is about to complete the pattern. Right now, our objective is not to find the bottom of the movement but to be ready to execute positions if the breakout of the structure is confirmed. Lets take a better look to the current situation on the Daily Chart: This chart shows that the 1680 - 1700 area is a major zone for bullish pressure to start coming. Why? From a technical perspective, we can observe a huge support zone that + Ascending trendline + the channel's cloned trendline. Remember that using different tools that converge on a specific area is a strong signal in technical analysis. Our Strategy right now is: Wait for the price to reach the expected area 1680 -1700. Once that happens, we want to see the first bearish trendline's breakout and look for a corrective structure. That would be the first position we can develop on the yellow lines, this would be a risky setup because we are not waiting for the absolute confirmation of the cup and handle pattern (breakout above B), but if we are right, we can have a huge risk-reward ratio trading waiting patiently for the Cup and handle target. The second position we want to develop is the safer one, which is waiting for the ZIG-ZAG pattern breakout and looking for a corrective structure on the next resistance zone. If that happens, we will develop long setups, as you can see on the yellow lines towards the final Cup and Handle Target. We hope the information is useful. Thanks for reading!
COMEX:GC1!
by ThinkingAntsOk
6
Gold heading to 1600-1650Gold GC1! Weekly chart shows a major breakdown in the past week where is closed below the 55EMA for the second week. The candlesticks, MACD suggest more downside, probably to 1600 area. Saving grace is that the RPM is levelling off, expecting a consolidation to form up soon. Meanwhile, the Non-Commercial Net Interest is waning since the start of 2021, although Top 8 Traders are slowly accumulating. The Daily Gold chart on the right panel shows the breakdown pure and pure, with downside momentum picking up on Friday, suggesting continuation through the week given all technicals. Late week may bring some reprieve, perhaps by then already at 1600 target level. Note that from previous weeks' indications, all these are expected... and expected to continue. However, in the long term big picture, Gold is still in an uptrend, and this is a previously expected (and overdue) long term retracement.
COMEX:GC1!
by Auguraltrader
2
Gold going funkyIt has been a while since Gold was looked into... From previous analyses, Gold is indeed bearish of late, and revisited 1800 again, only to break down and closed the week below 1800. Furthermore, the last week closed below the 55EMA. This has not happened in a very long time, and may represent opportunities. Technically, Gold is still bearish. Noted the RPM indication that a consolidation bottom may form soon. This is corroborated with MACD possibly forming a bullish divergence. Meanwhile, there may be a flash crash of sorts to 1600 or at minimum to 1700 instead, in the weeks to come. Clearly, being patient is key, drawing lines, and watching while preparing for the next up wave starts now.
COMEX:GC1!
by Auguraltrader
GOLD LongI will be entering a swing long in Gold here. It is somewhat risky given the downward pressure on Gold and the current correlation with equities but I believe the R/R to be very favorable here. This is also based on my fundamental view of future monetary and fiscal policy. The Fed has painted themselves into a corner where they are forced to employ ever more accomodating monetary policy. This is unlikely to change given that they choose to ignore the obvious signs of inflation, pointing to the CPI which is clearly an inaccurate measure of actual inflation. Furthermore, they have expressed that they are not really concerned about inflation anyways, and that maximum employment is their primary objective even if it comes with the cost of higher inflation. The market seems to be pricing in a surprise increase in interest rates, but that's highly unlikely to happen given the reasons above and the fact that the Fed has said they will warn the markets before any rate hike is implemented. What's more likely is that the Fed will continue their accomodative policy and buy bonds to force yields back down. On the fiscal side, ever larger stimulus bills continue to be passed, primarily stimulating the demand side while the supply side is still shut down. Even if we start opening up, it will take some time for the supply side to increase production sufficiently to cover the pent-up demand in the economy. Based on these reasons I'm entering a swing long position with a wide stop in case there's a spike down to hunt stops. Trade at you own risk.
TVC:GOLDLong
by bjohel