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GLD

Gold - Fade a The Short Squeeze RallyThe marketing team behind gold and silver are always telling dumb and dead money that they should "hedge" against a "collapsing US Petrodollar" during times of global instability by being long on metals. The trade rarely works out. Gold and silver not only routinely follow the equities markets straight to Hell, but tend to get dumped during the start of new index impulse swings. This rally while the SPX gave up its 5% rally is actually a significant anomaly. But if the propaganda never, ever worked out, the propaganda would stop working and the marketing team would be out of a job. And that more or less sums up a 10% monthly rally on gold that's killed short sellers who wanted to comfortably ride a trend down. You can see on the monthly that this price action is just more ranging, more wick plays, and there's a notable unbalanced gap under $1,800. It's really important to keep a cool head as a goldbug, especially under the condition where the establishment media is reporting that Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party is long several hundred tonnes worth of gold. The CCP is collapsing and everything that is going on in the world has to do with the various members of the CCP around the world, who are not of the Chinese race, scrambling to bury their skeletons while also trying to ensure they can take control of the country when the regime falls. And because of that, there's no reason to believe that a CCP that is desperately selling US Treasuries (see: Santiago Capital) for USD is going to be allowed to go plussy plus greeny green on its deeply deep goldy gold position. What hangs over the head of everyone on this planet is the Party's 24-year persecution of Falun Dafa's 100 million students and Disciples, a sin committed by former Chairman Jiang Zemin on July 20, 1999, that has even had the audacity to commit the unprecedented crime of live organ harvesting. Keep your distance from and wash your hands from anything related to the CCP, including the western factions that have become a particle of the Party swearing Marxist vows in Shanghai. So, here's the trade. Doesn't matter if gold takes $2,015. It's not the right overall timing for a new rally to $2,200. Instead, either go short, or wait for gold to trade under $1,800 again. There's no reason to believe gold is a new bull market until longs have been ruthlessly violated. There's no reason to believe metals are going to rally as a hedge during an international war or a major equity sell off, or a major equity rally lol.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by LordWrymouth
7
bitcoin following in golds footsteps, "wen etf?" Pretty cool how gold goes through the tech bubble crash followed by a spot ETF shortly after. bitcoin went through the crypto bubble crash following the same macro falling wedge pattern, if history repeats this move is going to catch majority of bears and bulls off guard here like what happen with gold. could be something to consider what if this time the bull market happens into the halving date peaking when the halving happens in 2024?, this would mean the bull market that people expect to happen after the halving could happen prior this time. Two things the market is not considering - 1. bitcoin bull market begins now and ends sooner than expected mid 2024 2. Ethereum and altcoins to be completely regulated out of existence in the first world. (most of the capital will rush back into Bitcoin) Bitcoin is what happens when you take Gold and plug it into the digital world and increase the scarcity while incentivizing decentralized energy. . the reason Bitcoin looks like its moving 7 years for every 1 year on Gold is because it should be its superior.
TVC:GOLD
by FederalXBT
1
The Gold Odyssey - Breaking out of top consolidation finallyIF you had been following the series of The Gold Odyssey, you would know how well the probabilities are in the analyses. To the point, Gold is ready to break its almost three year consolidation (huge) range. 1. You can see the powerful reversal off the mid-range support; 2. The candles show and project good momentum to follow through; 3. A trend line breakout already just happened with the week not closed yet; and 4. MACD and VolDiv are only starting to align for a good bullish breakout. Incoming!!!!
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Auguraltrader
Gold futures eyes $2,577 in acceleration of upside impulseA pullback in yellow wave (2) almost hit 61.8% of yellow wave (1). Now we see the strong minor impulse to the upside. It can be a part of large yellow wave (3). The target is projected at the distance of 1.618x of wave (1) with aim at $2,577. Watch how price breaks above the top of wave (1) beyond $2,086 Risk/reward is 1:2.5, one could get it better if goes on a lower time frame and buys on minor pullback following minor wave 1 of (3). Do you see gold futures touching $2,577?
COMEX:GC1!Long
by aibek
$GLD Gold Has a Double BottomIn technical analysis, a "Double Bottom" pattern is a bullish reversal pattern that typically signifies a potential change in trend from downward to upward. In the context of AMEX:GLD (Gold), spotting a Double Bottom pattern suggests that the asset has tested a support level twice and rebounded, indicating strong buying interest at that price level. This can be interpreted as a sign that the downward momentum is waning, and a bullish reversal is likely on the horizon. Investors observing a Double Bottom in AMEX:GLD would be watching closely for a breakout above the resistance level that tops the pattern, often accompanied by increased volume, as a confirmation that the asset could be entering a new bullish phase. However, as always, it's crucial to use other forms of analysis and indicators to validate any trading decisions.
AMEX:GLDLong
by AlgoTradeAlert
GOLD - Positive real rates is negative for GoldThe attractiveness of Gold is tarnished When cash instruments yield a positive rate of return More and more people are getting on board of higher interest rates (Dimon, Santelli) But u can see the Gold price has been inversely correlating with the rate of return for decades. It's bull run in the 2000's along with the commodity bull , coincided with real rates trending to less than zero. Gold Topped a few months prior to that negative reading in 2012! The current triple top that has been in place for he past 3 years , seems to be in danger of breaking down if rates continue up the next few years. The key level to watch is last year's lows in October around $1611 Which I believe is a distinct reality if rates head up to 7%
COMEX:GC1!
by BallaJi
$GLD Bearish To bullish Reversal AMEX:GLD Bearish To bullish Reversal The technical analysis of the bearish-to-bullish reversal in the context of the GLD (SPDR Gold Trust ETF) involves the observation of key price actions, trend lines, and moving averages. This analysis suggests a potential shift in sentiment from bearish to bullish. **Bearish to Bullish Reversal:** The first notable point is the transition from a bearish trend to a potential bullish reversal. A bearish trend is characterized by a series of lower lows and lower highs, indicating a prevailing downward movement. A reversal, on the other hand, suggests a shift in sentiment and price direction. **Down Sloping Trend Line Break:** The breakout of a down-sloping trend line is a significant technical event. Trend lines are drawn by connecting a series of highs or lows, and a down-sloping trend line connects declining highs. The breakout above this trend line indicates that the price has overcome the resistance posed by the trend, suggesting increased buying interest and potential bullish momentum. **Testing the 150-Day Moving Average:** The 150-day moving average is a crucial technical indicator that smooths out price fluctuations over a relatively longer period. It serves as a dynamic support or resistance level. When the price tests the moving average from below, it signifies a potential reversal point. In this case, the test of the 150-day moving average after the trend line breakout further supports the idea of a potential bullish reversal. **Confirmation and Further Analysis:** For this potential reversal scenario to gain more credibility, it's important to look for confirming factors: 1. **Volume Analysis:** An increase in trading volume during the breakout and subsequent price movement lends strength to the reversal. Higher volume indicates increased market participation and conviction. 2. **Follow-Through:** After breaking the down-sloping trend line and testing the 150-day moving average, the price ideally should continue to rise. The sustained upward movement after the initial breakout adds more confidence to the bullish reversal thesis. 3. **Relative Strength and Momentum Indicators:** Analyzing indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) can provide insight into the strength of the reversal and whether it's in line with other technical signals. 4. **Support Levels:** Identify nearby support levels, such as previous swing highs or the recently broken down-sloping trend line. These levels can act as potential support in case of a pullback. It's important to note that technical analysis provides probabilities rather than certainties. While a bullish reversal scenario seems plausible based on the trend line breakout and testing of the moving average, it's essential to consider the broader market context, news, and fundamental factors that might impact the price of GLD. Successful trading decisions often involve a holistic approach that incorporates both technical and fundamental analysis.
VELOCITY:GOLD
by AlgoTradeAlert
Silver - 33 Moons [And An Options Opportunity](Using 3-Day candles for visibility only. Consult weekly/daily yourself) I have an open call on Gold in that I believe a new high will be set, but it won't actually be bullish, because metals are going to dump pretty hard in the future and try to make retail sell their bullion. Gold - When A New ATH Prints, Will You Get Trapped? I hadn't paid a lot of attention to Silver and was on the sidelines until it dumped 10 percent this week, and now I believe there is a crazy good opportunity. The problem with Gold is that the Chinese Communist Party bought a lot of it and they're going to get margin called or are the ones actually short selling. The problem with silver is that there's not a lot of it left and it's really needed for technology. When smart money wants to buy they accumulate at low prices and distribute at high prices. Often times what precedes the biggest moves are smaller moves that serve the purpose of wiping out and shaking out early short sellers and trapping retail traders who just love to buy high and sell low. There's a lot of geopolitical risk in the world right now, as you can tell from the weekend "Prigozhin Coup," which I cover the implications of for the US Dollar here. DXY - The US Petrdollar And The "Prigozhin Coup" In Russia But the biggest geopolitical risk is what happens if Xi Jinping gets up one morning and dumps the CCP. Nobody believes this can happen and nobody is prepared for it. But when it happens, it will implicate the whole world for both Xi and China to survive, they will have to weaponize the persecution of the 100 million practitioners of Falun Gong committed by the Jiang Zemin faction starting in 1999. Since much of the world's financial sector and governments have dirtied themselves with Jiang in the persecution, when that day comes, it will mean that everything, everywhere is limit down. The liquidity will be gone, the algos will be off. Markets will no longer be made. It is what it is. In the meantime, nothing about what's going on with silver is bearish. Prices are low and it makes you want to sell, but it's actually a situation where you want to go long. I believe that $21.20~ or $20.80 is what it's aiming for, and afterwards, the target will be at least $29. So, what about options? One of the ways you can trade this move is calls on the SLV BlackRock ETF. Getting in at $19~ and seeing a $10 move would push the ETF to at least $30. There are two things that are significant about this: 1. Jan '24 at the money calls (based on the price right now) are $2.21 2. Average Implied volatility is only 24% and the 52W week low is 23.6% and the 52W high is 36%. What this means is that calls are cheap and if iVol were to expand on a bull run from say 26% to 40% you'd pick up an extra ~$1 per contract on top of the strike gains. The AGQ 2x Bull ETF has even more potential upside but it's a lot more risk and the swings are a lot more dramatic, for really obvious reasons. All of this also means you can speculate in mining ETFs and individual miners. You need to use the underlying commodities as your metronome, though. But this also means you'd have to be able to hold a winning position for 3 or 6 months. You'd want to take profits at $27 and $29. But if you get ahead of yourself and buy the $30+ high thinking that $50 and $100 and $500 are coming, you're likely to get seriously hurt. Something is going to happen in this world between now and Q1 2024 and it's not going to be good news for the people lost in delusion wanting to have happy days and be a big baller. Be careful, and happy trading.
COMEX:SI1!
by LordWrymouth
GOLD vs NASDAQ- Which is better ?Over a period of time what is better to trade and invest in a gold futures based ETF or instead the TQQQ , a leveraged and popular ETF tracking the NAS100 and NASDAQ. To analyse, this I put NUGT on the daily chart and superimposed the price action of TQQQ. Starting one year ago, NUGT had the better price action in an upward facing megaphone pattern reflecting high volatility and topped out 70% over the last August start in a double top. After its retracement, it is now positioned perhaps for bullish continuation. TQQQ on the otherhand since a low at the end of 2022 has been in a less volatile trend up topping out at 50% last month but now also with a bit of a pullback and retracement. I conclude that one is not better than the other and that a lot depends on a traders appreciation of market tops. Swing trades in both managed well may give diversity to the trades and allow for profitable outcomes. As a well established gold bug, however, I believe that gold will shine moving forward especially if a BRICS currency is launched with a real gold standard.
AMEX:NUGT
by AwesomeAvani
GOLD to OIL prices the RATIO ANALYSIS ( and meaning )GLD is an ETF tracking gold futures prices across a blend of durations. USO is a similar ETF for crude oil. I was interested to see what the ratios look like and considering the trading advise of buy low should I be trading and bartering gold to get oil or viceversa. It is applicable for be because I am in part a commodities trader and has some activities on the leveraged forex market. On the daily chart dressed with a set of two long term anchored VWAP standard deviation lines , and some horizontal static resistance lines added, it is obvous to me that the ratio is currently sitting on the mean VWAP band for support confluent with the lower trendline of the ascending megaphone pattern which is typically considered demostrative of increasing volatility. I conclude that if I am a barterer I should trade my oil for gold. If I have gold only and dry powder I should increase my gold holdings. If I prefer trading oil I should short the market. This is because the ratio is set up to rise. The means that gold will rise or oil will fall or some hybrid combination of that. My entry here is when the volatility on the indicator is green and crosses over the running average. This is a simple demonstration of how charting with TradingView can help a trader make well- grounded and profitable trading decisions while lowering risk and making profits more probable. What do you think of this analysis? What are your agreements or disagreements with it?
AMEX:GLD
by AwesomeAvani
2
XAUUSD Spot Gold LongXAU last week had a trend up followed by a double top on July 19 and 20. On the @H chart the trend down seems to have included a drop through the basis band of the Bollinger Bands as well as a crossunder the anchored mean VWAP and then further downtrend until price was outside the lower BB. The current candlestick pattern is that of a morning star reersal patter ( sometimes called a 3 bar play). The Chrs Moody MACD indicator shows a line cross under what was a red negative histogram that has flipped to a tiny green bar. In this context, I believe XAUUSD is setting up to rebound I will long trade it on forex and analyze equities for an entry as well. On XAUUSD I am targeting 1975 in the area of one standard deviation above the mean VWAP but would be very happy to see price reach for the upper BB at 1985.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani