PALLADIUM, Trading Near A-T-H, Targets Ahead When Confirmed! Hello Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this analysis where we are going to look at palladium, its price-action, and what we can expect from the future hours and days. It is one of the important metals and therefore a demanded exchange good in today's global economy. In my observations, I found some important and significant signs which will affect the price further and determine its outcome, therefore we are looking on the locally 4-hour timeframe.
As you can see in my chart palladium currently trades in a huge triangle which you can see marked in blue in my chart in which we have good bullish volatility and support at the moment which indicates a highly possible breakout to the upside as you can see the arrows marked in my chart. At the moment the bullish scenario is more likely because we have strong support in the range and has some good bullish volume but also we are still trading in a big correction that isn't completed yet.
After the triangle has confirmed properly we can expect palladium to test its higher levels, firstly it will be the middle line of the channel as you can see it in my chart when the price and trend stay stable in this region we can expect palladium to move higher at least testing the higher boundary of the uptrend channel and the all-time-high, as you can see the all-time-high is just slightly below the overall triangle target when this target is finally reached it can provide a new all-time-high which will be extremely bullish and can catapult palladium to next highs.
Remember that this scenario has to be confirmed properly, first we have to break the upper boundary with good volatility and close above the 600 and 800-EMA which you can see marked in my chart in light and dark blue. To wait on the right confirmation is the best option wise traders can do in today's market environment, otherwise, trading half-cooked and speculative setups can lead to unsatisfying results therefore it is important to always look and trade the best possible setups which today's market environment can provide to us.
Thanks to everybody for watching, support for more market insight, and all the best!
The ambition to transform opportunity into gold remains the most significant tool for a trader.
In this manner: FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
GOLD-SILVER
GOLDSILVER RATIO, Moving In Downtrend-Channel, More To Come! Hello, Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this analysis about the gold-silver ratio, its current price-action, and what we can expect the next time. In my observation, I found some significantly sings in the chart which will affect the ratio fundamentally farther the next days and weeks. The goldsilver ratio is an important ratio to track the number of silver ounces compared to one ounce gold, therefore, it is providing important information about the value between silver and gold. I made already the analysis of gold and silver, if you didn't saw these already I recommend to you that you go to my account and have looked to have a full-depth-overview of the analysis in the gold-silver ratio and its interrelation to gold and silver.
When looking at my chart you can see that the ratio is trading in a huge and fundamental downtrend-channel which you see marked in blue. We already touched the channel lower and upper boundary several times to form the overall downtrend-related channel. At the moment the ratio fell down from an important support-point at the 109 level, you can see this big red candle to the downside with high volatility it is suggesting that the ratio is turning to the downside here and that we will continue in the downtrend-channel until important support has reached.
The next time we can expect a bounce back to the 109 support/resistance level where the likelihood increases that the downtrend continues when the huge heavy bearish-confluence-cluster zone you can see in my chart is confirmed. We have several resistances there which building the logical resistance-level, first it is the 50-EMA which you see marked in blue, second, it is the 109 support/resistance level and third, it is the upper boundary of the falling downtrend-channel, therefore, I don't expect a breakout of the channel here so far and the rise to the downside will continue.
In this situation it has to keep in mind that the worth fullness of silver compared to gold rises, this is insightful because at the moment we see more volatility to the upside and sharp rises in silver than in gold, it also means that the value of silver can increase higher and gold gets cheaper compared to silver which is an indication for the bullishness I mentioned already in the silver-analysis. Investors and traders can take advantage of it when the ratio drops more to buy silver instead of gold or to exchange the gold for silver for a later exchange back when the ratio increases again. This should be a good opportunity to make a profit out of the situation with gold and silver.
Alright, this should give you a good overview, thanks to everybody for watching, support for more market insight, and all the best!
The ambition to transform opportunity into gold remains the most significant tool for a trader.
In this manner: FAREWELL
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Strifor || USDCHF-09/08/2023Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: The extreme ideas for the franc gave were the most effective, we considered buy-deals. Now the story is the same, and the power of the buyer is still great. At the moment, we expect growth to 0.9000
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Strifor || XAUUSD-09/06/2023Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: Gold a week ago perfectly worked out our BUY-idea, but already this week everything is forming in favour of the seller. This trend is likely to continue in the near future. The level of 1920 has been passed, fixing under it is expected. This is a potential area to consider short trades. The nearest target is, of course, 1912, then, after a probable accumulation, the price will drop to the level of 1900 again.
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GBPAUD Long Setup: Bullish Divergence & Falling WedgeHi Fellow Traders,
The GBPAUD pair has recently seen an impressive rebound after touching the EMA200 line, indicating a continued bullish trend. Simultaneously, prices have formed a falling wedge pattern, which was later followed by an impulsive breakout from this pattern. Additionally, the MACD Indicator has displayed a bullish divergence.
In simpler terms, this breakout and the presence of a Bullish Divergence suggest the potential for an upcoming upward movement, with our initial target being area 1. After reaching target 1, we might expect a temporary pullback to the blue zone before resuming its upward journey towards the second target.
In essence, GBPAUD is showing signs of a promising uptrend, making it an interesting opportunity for traders."
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached.
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below!
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered as a recommendation to take a long or short position on FX:GBPAUD ."
$DXY plows higherTVC:DXY still going strong!
It's highly likely that the retests the recent highs.
We history in the making!
This is the 1st time the US #DOLLAR didn't break down @ major support! It has not withstood a monthly close after peaking.
Does it have enough steam to retest the 2022 highs?
#interestrates #GOLD #SILVER #BTC
gold 8 hours buy/hold dips TP bulls 1977 usd🔸Hello traders, today let's review the 8 hour chart for gold. Expecting more gains in this
market, strong V-shape recovery in progress after we hit the cycle low near 1890 USD.
🔸V-shape recovery projected high set at 1975/1978 USD, which is heavy overhead S/R,
bulls will target re-test of the key S/R going into FED in September, this is a bullish impulse
in progress until FED meeting late September.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: seek to buy/hold dips or market buy, final TP bulls set at
1976/1978 usd, expecting solid gains in gold going into FED meeting later in September.
good luck traders, this is a swing trade setup, patience required.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Gold defies bond sell-off once againNominal 10-year Treasury yields have risen to the highest level since 2007. Just when we though the bond sell-off of 2022 was behind us, it came back with a vengeance. Hawkish Federal Open Market Committee (Fed) minutes and a string of positive economic data from the US are casting doubts whether we have reached peak interest rates in the US. The Fed certainly has left the door open for further hikes and its decisions will be very data sensitive.
Relative to the bond market, gold is holding up well at USD1916/oz (on 23 August 2023). While gold prices temporarily fell below the psychologically important US$1900/oz level, Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) prices had fallen much further and other-things-being-equal, the bond market would indicate gold should be trading closer to $1830/oz. Gold’s resilience in the past month mirrors its defiance again the bond headwinds of 2022.
Gold has been facing US Dollar headwinds as well in the past month. The Dollar Basket (DXY) has appreciated 2.1% in the past month (to 22 August 2023). With a more hawkish Fed, there is a greater risk of further dollar appreciation.
Central banks bought a net 55 tonnes of gold in June following three straight months of selling. The Central Bank of Türkiye's (CBRT) return to net buying in June helped reverse a temporary trend. Having been a significant net seller between March and May to meet local demand, it swung back to net buying in June, adding 11 tonnes to its official reserves.
Of all the precious metals, silver fell the most in the past month (-6.1%). Net speculative positioning fell 88% to a level one standard deviation below its 5-year average. However, we suspect that excessive shorts were being covered in the past week. Since hitting an intra-day local low of US$22.35/oz at 13.30 on 15/08/2023 silver prices have bounced up to US$24.14/oz at 15.00 on 23/08/2023 (+8.0%). That low point seems to match the Fibonacci-implied support levels looking at year-to-date silver performance (the 38.2% retracement).
Silver inventory in London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) vaults, which fell precipitously in 2022 (-28%), has stabilised and gained 3% year to July 2023. Silver holding in exchange traded commodities (ETCs) have only modestly declined in 2023 so far (4%) after a 15% decline in 2022.
The last week’s bounce in silver price takes the gold-to-silver ratio back down to 81 (22/08/2023), from 84 (08/08/2023), fractionally higher than 80, where we were a month ago (21/07/2023). Net speculative positioning in silver fell 88%, one standard deviation below its 5-year average according to Commodity Futures Trading Commission (August 15, 2018 to August 15, 2023)
Platinum and palladium also followed silver higher in the past week, but monthly prints have come in lower. Auto sales have largely been improving in the past year, with sales up 18% y-o-y in Europe (June) and US (July). However, China sales fell 1% y-o-y in July. Autos are the main source of demand for platinum group metals.
This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Copper - Did Social Media Tell You To Long The CCP Again?They call copper "Doctor Copper" because it's said to forecast the overall world economic conditions on account of being tightly wed to manufacturing.
Well, what people are really yammering about with that over the last 20 years is whether or not the Chinese Communist Party is healthy, and the world by proxy being healthy because it tied itself to the most heinous regime in history, the one responsible for the 24-year persecution of Falun Gong by former Chairman Jiang Zemin and the accompanying organ harvesting and genocide.
Unfortunately for all the blind bulls, the early 2021-2022 price action was a pretty good indication of a top, and that top is really confirmed by the fact that since October of '22, this bounce has been pretty weak, and starting this month, with all the drama surrounding the slow collapse of the Chinese economy, took out the previous two months' lows.
Monthly shows you that August price action took both the July and June lows.
Like, that's not the kind of "signal" you want to see to get long for a new all time high.
When something is retracing to take out major highs, you want to see lows rarely violated with something of a freight train towards the old highs.
Weekly bars show us something of a subtle pattern where it looks like it's just taken some lows and is consolidating and continually flirting with going back up.
But in reality the market makers are, most likely, just selling more under the previous $4.00 area.
And if that's really true, it means another gap down is imminent, especially after an entire quarter of ranging.
If you ask me, the first area that you can look for a long that is more than a scalp on copper is under $2.8, which is a critical pivot from September.
And a more likely target in the next 12 months is the $2.00 mark, which was barely swept out in the COVID drama.
The reality is, my friends, the Chinese Communist Party is going to fall overnight in our lifetimes. Not five or ten years from now. But very shortly, and everything is going to change.
Whether that is caused by Xi Jinping throwing away the CCP to protect himself and China from being taken over by the International Rules Based Order as it uses Taiwan as a soft proxy war, or because the whole world collapses under the results of the persecution of Falun Dafa, since everyone's been going to Shanghai to worship the toads and the Devil Red to get financial benefits.
This is the danger.
The danger is imminent.
But copper trades painfully slowly, so if you want to do this you have to have long duration, ignore the noise, and be willing to suffer some drawdown.
China under the CCP is never going to recover. Things are never going to be okay ever again.
Things will be okay once mankind returns to tradition.
But there won't be an international stock market like this anymore that day.
US Dollar Index Could Be Topping HereSee the three touches on the upper trend line. If this line holds, the DX price could move down to the 98 area. Also the RSI (10) is overbought.
Such a chart could be used to short the DX, or to go long the EUR/USD and the precious metals such as gold, silver, platinum.
If I were to trade the DX short, I would place an extra big stop loss, maybe at 103.90 or at 104 (maybe even higher) in case of some stop hunting/a shake out before a big move down. Then would carefully add on to a profitable position. Same for going long the other choices: use a big stop loss.
(A strong close above the upper trend line would not be good for this trade; a peek-a-boo move that does not actually close above the trend line means the trade is still viable. Also, a daily close below the 103 area would help confirm this trade idea.)
Good luck!
Strifor || XAUUSD-08/25/2023Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: As we expected, the metal rolled back exactly to 1912 and the correction stopped. The current consolidation above this level most likely indicates the forthcoming further strengthening of the buyer. Gold is characterized by medium-term long, so a rollback to 1900 and even lower is possible, however, the medium-term instrument looks very good up.
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Gold - The Tea Leaves Say: More Downside On Deck3.5% is a lot in gold, and that's about the range of the total landslide we've been through the entirety of August so far.
It's the kind of pattern where goldbugs and USD collapse narrative nerds go long and go long or hodl and hodl but the price never goes up.
In my last call on gold from the beginning of July, I warned that $2,000 was a death trap. That call was pretty successful, coming just a few dollars shy of the target, abeit it was because the next month's futures contract settled some 2% higher.
Gold - $2,000 Is a Death Trap
And with the index markets at large, I caution that Nasdaq not breaking 15,000 is actually a real bull trap
QQQ - Is It Rally Time? Or Are You Too Early?
With gold, geopolitical risks are heightened because Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party he has yet to throw away bought a lot of gold, and at relatively high prices, according to media reports at least.
And thus, because of this, a form of subtle on-the-low economic sanctions against Xi and/or the CCP can be to devalue the price of gold, which puts the central bank in a bind.
And this is a real problem for China right now with all the other economic catastrophes that land one after another, and the flooding, and the instability, and the posturing of the International Rules Based Order about war/invasion via Taiwan.
The CCP won't invade Taiwan. But China might get invaded by the IRBO via Taiwan.
You might not believe it. But give it some sober thought. Tacticians are tacticians for a reason. Hitting from the shadows and blind spots is a real useful thing.
But for Xi, he can always weaponize the 24-year persecution against Falun Dafa that was launched on July 20, 1999 by former Chairman Jiang Zemin against the entire world.
Because the whole world has been going to Shanghai to train under the Jiang faction for economic and social benefits. Which means a lot of closet skeletons. Which means a lot of data dumps can serve as weapons delivered to international media in the future.
Anyways, here's the call, friends.
Gold is obviously going down and will go down farther. It really looks like it's seeking at least the short term lows, which means $1,900 is longzo-gonzo.
And so on a dump from where we're at at time of posting to, say $1,850, you're getting 5% on a very safe short.
You can short the hole.
And 5% is a lot of money on gold.
Probably only at $1,850 can we look for reversal longs towards new all time highs.
But with how lethargic gold has been, we may very well just have seen the top on the re-run to $2,080.
Strifor || AUDUSD-08/21/2023Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: The US dollar continues to put pressure on the Australian dollar, namely, the squeeze to the level of 0.63750 most likely indicates the seller's intention to continue falling prices. The downside potential is located at the levels of 0.63500 and 0.63000.
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#Gold Update I believe we are in wave (3) of of c. It has been difficult to define what was going on at the lowest levels of time.
In doing so, I tagged the result of 1-2 waves, anticipating a decrease in wave 3 of 3 of (3) anytime soon. However, the big plunge may never occur because the price continues to roll gradually down through levels.
GOLD (XAUUSD): FOMC Ahead! Your Plan: 🥇
Today, we are expecting the FOMC minutes.
Here is your plan to trade Gold.
As you know, the market is currently approaching a key daily structure support.
Analyzing the reaction of the price to that structure on a 4H time frame,
I spotted a horizontal trading range.
1910 - 1912 is the upper boundary of the range.
Bullish breakout of that - 4H candle close above, will be a strong bullish signal for you.
I would suggest buying the market then, expecting a bullish continuation at least to 1923.
Also, remember that the news can be bearish.
In such a case, I would recommend staying away from the market.
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Precious Metals Schematics: A look into the Macro of FibonacciI have Listed Silver, Copper, Platinum, Palladium, Aluminum, and Gold into one chart. These are 6 of the top Metals all in Heikin Ashi Candle form.
They all have their own complex Fibonacci Clusters within each one. It may look confusing at first. But understand that one set of lines are horizontal extensions and another set are angled extensions within each one.
Strifor || AUDUSD-08/15/2023Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: To date, one of the most prone to falling currencies. This pair has broken through significant daily supports and now the downside potential for the pair lies at the level of 0.62000. The current deal is more conservative and the target is seen at the level of 0.64000.
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#Gold Update In the chart below I am making the case that we are in the 3 of (3) of wave and that means the downtrend should accelerate any moment and go straight down without much bounce. All the bouncing was presumably done during the last week on the CPI news. The channel provided for indicative purposes. Its recline will to be set by wave bottom.
Strifor || XAUUSD-08/11/2023Preferred direction: Neutral
Comment: The level of 1912 immediately marked itself and the price rebounded. However, it is probably not worth counting on a reversal. Today or at the beginning of the next week, the metal will most likely once again enter under the level of 1912. In the area of the level of 1910 - 1912 in the near future, it will most likely stop the fall at least, and maybe reverse it.
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Strifor || USDCHF-08/10/2023Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: The price continues to accumulate near the resistance level 0.87757, which is the break level. This is a very important level, you can learn more about it in details of this level below. Regarding the targets, in this case, longs can be with the potential at the level of 0.89500, where the previous area for pushing is located.
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Strifor || XAUUSD-08/08/2023Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: Yesterday's trading idea in short gold has already begun to work out. Everything is unchanged here, we stick to the previous course. Also, during the opening of the European session, the same entry point was formed for shorts on silver. This metal is also expected to fall to the level of 22.80.
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Strifor || GBPUSD-08/08/2023Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: The looking for shorts for the British continues. Previously, our ideas for sell for this currency pair worked out perfectly, you can also find them in the profile. The nearest target of the fall is 1.26989, from where sellers will develop downward movement. There is also a possibility of a false breakdown at the local resistance near the level of 1.27877. However, this is an unlikely scenario.
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