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GOLD-SILVER

GOLD (XAUUSD): FOMC Ahead! Your Plan: 🥇 Today, we are expecting the FOMC minutes. Here is your plan to trade Gold. As you know, the market is currently approaching a key daily structure support. Analyzing the reaction of the price to that structure on a 4H time frame, I spotted a horizontal trading range. 1910 - 1912 is the upper boundary of the range. Bullish breakout of that - 4H candle close above, will be a strong bullish signal for you. I would suggest buying the market then, expecting a bullish continuation at least to 1923. Also, remember that the news can be bearish. In such a case, I would recommend staying away from the market. ❤️Please, support this video with like and comment!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
4
Strifor || GBPUSD-08/08/2023Preferred direction: SELL Comment: The looking for shorts for the British continues. Previously, our ideas for sell for this currency pair worked out perfectly, you can also find them in the profile. The nearest target of the fall is 1.26989, from where sellers will develop downward movement. There is also a possibility of a false breakdown at the local resistance near the level of 1.27877. However, this is an unlikely scenario. Thank you for like and share your views!
Short
by Strifor
3
Weekend trade reportLast week we achieved the following results. 3% overall. The automatic trades did not do as well. The manual trades closed with profit. At the moment only this trade is open: Open Date Symbol Action Open Price SL (Price) 08.04.2023 15:02 EURCHF Buy 0.96149 0.95489 In the coming weeks, fewer trades will be introduced due to the holiday period. News that stood out this weekend: Container company AP Møller-Maersk is gloomy about the outlook of the global economy. The company expects global demand for containers to fall by 1 to 4 percent this year. Previously, the company expected a contraction of between 0.5% and 2.5%. The demand for containers is seen as a good indicator of the health of world trade. Maersk warns that a possible recession in the West and China's struggles since the pandemic will have an impact on container shipping in the second half of this year. Industrial companies are reluctant to purchase new stocks, which means there is less to ship. This will take place in the autumn at the fair. But with this news, the increase in metals will also increase again. Risks must be avoided. We will take a fixed position in gold or silver in the autumn where we will hedge our currency risks. Our rationale is supported by the FED meeting. In it, the fed governors stated that US interest rates may not yet reach their highest point, now that figures on the economy in the United States do not yet show a clear effect. Michelle Bowman, governor of the Federal Reserve, said this at a meeting in Kansas on Saturday. Last month, the Fed raised interest rates to an all-time high of 5.25%-5.50%, the highest level in 22 years. Since then, the question has been how the Fed will proceed. Fed boss Jerome Powell himself indicated that he would mainly look at the economic data in the coming period, before a choice is made. There may be a pause before interest rates are raised further. Governor Bowman added on Saturday that the recent lower inflation figures were positive, but she still wants to see "consistent evidence" that the price level is indeed on its way to the desired 2%. "I will also look for signs of lower consumer spending and signs that the labor market is becoming less tense." In addition to positions in metals, it will also be examined whether a position against the Dollar can be taken given the economic figures that will have a negative impact on the Dollar. As we started our holiday season, so did the news. For the coming week, these are the news items: Mon Aug 7 Tue Aug 8 Wed Aug 9 3:30 CNY CPI y/y -0.5% 0.0% 5:00 NZD Inflation Expectations q/q 2.79% Thu Aug 10 14:30 USD CPI m/m 0.2% 0.2% USD CPI y/y 3.3% 3.0% USD Core CPI m/m 0.2% 0.2% USD Unemployment Claims 231K 227K Fri Aug 11 8:00 GBP GDP m/m 0.2% -0.1% 14:30 USD Core PPI m/m 0.2% 0.1% USD PPI m/m 0.2% 0.1% 16:00 USD Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment 71.7 71.6 Basically only Thursday and Friday news to keep an eye on. CPI and PPI.
PEPPERSTONE:XAGUSD
by Probeleg
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 3/08US and European markets came under fire and took a hit in a risk off move after US credit was downgraded. Traders and investors are looking at the bigger picture now as a lack of confidence into the US government as they distract themselves from the bigger picture of actually managing the economy. With a safe haven move up into the USD and and unwind into an extended share market, we could see this move down gather some momentum especially if US employment does not come out positive on Friday. Expecting a weak open in Asia with the ASX200 to open down 60 pts, the Nikkei to open down over 300 pts and Hang Seng to open down 130 pts. Traders will be keeping an eye on coming employment data in the US Friday and whether the negative sentiment over the US credit downgrade gathers momentum. Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper ** If you like the content then take a look at my WEBSITE in the profile to get more daily ideas and learning material ** ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. **
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
xauusd 4hours best level to short/hold TP 1940 usd🔸Hello traders, today let's review the 4 hour chart for gold. Strong push off the lows recently, however currently getting overbought / almost ready for a pullback. 🔸Heavy overhead resistance near 1980 usd is the best spot for the short sellers / bears. Expecting final pop short-term to re-test resistance near 1980 usd. 🔸recommended strategy bears: wait for the final pump and get ready to short from overhead resistance near 1980 USD. stop loss fixed at 2000 USD. TP bears is 1940 usd. this is a swing trade setup for patient traders. good luck! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ProjectSyndicate
38
Gold - $2,000 Is a Death TrapThis is a follow up to my June 2 call for a new ATH on Gold, that will be bearish, instead of bullish: Gold - When A New ATH Prints, Will You Get Trapped? In the process of tracking this, price action did not meet expectations (in the sense that it has not traded low enough), and so I began to reconsider the overall topography of the market. Also, right now, I have an open call on silver for $33: Silver - 33 Moons However, as price has not traded down the levels I regard as requisite to trigger a bull impulse, while I still believe that these high prices will manifest in the future, the market makers desire lower prices first. One thing to note about gold is both the monthly and weekly bars are actually bearish despite price having formed a long-term triple top: But in the shorter term (1H-4H-1D) candles, gold is clearly heading towards higher prices after bouncing exactly over $1,900. As I've said before, one of the problems with a metals bull market right now is that Xi Jinping and the Chinese government (the Chinese Communist Party) have amassed a large amount of gold in recent months. China's economy is doing extremely poorly following the decimation of the Party by Wuhan Pneumonia and the CCP faces threats on all sides, especially from the International Rules Based Order who now chatters about "de-risking" from China. Since the United States tends to be the market maker of everything, this is trouble for China's central bank. Large stocks of gold and a heavily declining price will put the regime in a great deal of trouble, depleting the money it has available for buying people off. And this is a huge geopolitical threat, for Xi Jinping has one Trump card to play: throw away the CCP in the middle of Beijing time, which is the U.S. night, and weaponize the 24-year-long persecution and genocide against Falun Dafa (Falun Gong) meditation, which was launched by Jiang Zemin and its band of toad cronies in Shanghai. Another thing to note is since the pandemic crash, BUT BEFORE 2022, gold has had something of an inverse covariance with the SPX and the SPX has an inverse covariance with the USD. But after 2022, gold has traded mostly in lockstep with the SPX, although in recent days and weeks that has begun to decouple. Looking at the daily covariance, gold and the USD have an inverse covariance with the overextended equities market: And I anticipate a USD rally, as I state here: DXY - The US Petrdollar And The "Prigozhin Coup" In Russia Since I believe what the market makers have in store for us is a significant downtrend in the equities market until September: SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar' Gold setting a new high right now doesn't make sense. And so what I believe will happen is the target for the algorithm right now is $2,030, and it amounts to a short squeeze/bull trap. This will both take out the June high and draw in buyside demand over the $2,000 level, since retail goldbugs are always pining for a new all time high. But the rally will fail, again, and the markets at large will fail again (except for Natural Gas). Natural Gas - The Girl Who Hopes You Remember Her And as the rally fails we'll see lower prices. Probably ending in the $1,800 range. This amounts to a 10%~ drop and is pretty painful if you're sitting leveraged long and even worse if you're leveraged on call options. If $1,800 is violated, then the top is probably already in, in my opinion. So, be careful and make sure you practice social distancing from atheism, Marxist-Leninism, the Theory of Evolution, QAnon, and the CCP itself. Long gold is about returning to tradition, and mankind's Heaven sent traditions are even more luminous than an entire vault of 100.00% pure AU.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by LordWrymouth
1
Strifor || USDJPY-07/28/2023Preferred direction: SELL Comment: A busy week for the Japanese yen, which so far closes the USDJPY pair in the red zone at the end of the week. Earlier, we were just counting on a fall, trading ideas that were fully worked out in a plus. At the moment, the instrument is trying to re-test the level of 138.667 as part of the medium-term movement. The SELL-priority for the currency pair remains. A drop to 137 is expected, and the price will go lower. Thank you for like and share your views!
Short
by Strifor
3
Gold long going to above 2050Gold Price Analysis: Testing Support Levels Amidst Consolidation and Breakout Attempts Technical analysis reveals a retracement in gold, testing key support zones and indicating a healthy consolidation phase before an expected continuation of the uptrend. Gold, FX Empire Gold Forecast Video for 19.06.23 by Bruce Powers Gold rises to a three-day high of 1,986 on Friday before pulling back. It attempted to breakout above the top boundary trendline of a small symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern but is now on track to close below it and within the consolidation range. Attempting to Break Up yet Remains in Consolidation Range So far, Thursday’s test of the 100-Day EMA with a day’s low of 1,925 has held up but further signs of strength are needed. Gold briefly dropped below the 100-Day line earlier in the session on Thursday but managed to close strong, back above it and near the high of the day. The 100-Day EMA is now at 1,940. Further Signs of Strength are Needed Further signs of strength are needed to indicate whether yesterday’s low completes the retracement or further tests will occur. This week’s candlestick pattern is set to close as a bullish doji hammer. Next week an upside breakout signal will occur on a move above the high at 1,971, and the breakout is confirmed on a daily close above that high. Following a move above that high the next weekly resistance levels are 1,973, 1,983, and 1,985. A subsequent daily close above each price level will confirm strength, otherwise some resistance might be seen again around those levels. If Lows Tested Again If lower prices occur before a continuation higher the two potential support zones are around the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 1,912, followed by the 200-Day EMA at 1,894. The 200-Day EMA was tested as support with a double bottom in the first quarter of this year price reversed higher from there. Uptrend Intact The current retracement in gold is a test of support around previous high swing high of 1,960 from early-February. So far, the retracement is normal and healthy for the uptrend. Consolidation has been occurring at the 50% retracement area as well as the 100-Day EMA. Notice that there is a greater distance between the 100-Day EMA and 200-Day than what was seen in February. It reflects an improving trend. Once this retracement is complete, all signs are that gold should continue higher. Gold held above $1,950 an ounce on Friday after gaining 0.7% in the previous session, benefiting mainly from the dollar’s weakness as the Federal Reserve paused its tightening campaign at a time other major central banks are still raising interest rates. Still, the metal remains close to three-month lows as the Fed hinted at two more quarter-point rate increases this year, while the European Central Bank delivered another 25 basis point rate hike on Thursday and signaled further tightening. The Bank of England is also set to raise rates again at its June policy meeting, a month marked by surprise rate increases from the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of Canada. Meanwhile, the People’s Bank of China lowered key short-term interest rates this week for the first time in ten months, while the Bank of Japan maintained its ultra-easy monetary policy on Friday. Daily bullish 4H Bullish 34min Bullish Gold is mostly traded on the OTC London market, the US futures market (COMEX) and the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE). The standard future contract is 100 troy ounces. Gold is an attractive investment during periods of political and economic uncertainty. Half of the gold consumption in the world is in jewelry, 40% in investments, and 10% in industry. The biggest producers of gold are China, Australia, United States, South Africa, Russia, Peru and Indonesia. The biggest consumers of gold jewelry are India, China, United States, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Russia and UAE. The gold prices displayed in Trading Economics are based on over-the-counter (OTC) and contract for difference (CFD) financial instruments. Our gold prices are intended to provide you with a reference only, rather than as a basis for making trading decisions. Trading Economics does not verify any data and disclaims any obligation to do so.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by DaveBrascoFX
Can the US DOLLAR $DXY regain strength?TVC:DXY is popping again. Thought it was dead as many were calling. 2nd time, May was last time, we've called a pop while others stated it was going lower. Anyway, can the US #dollar REGAIN that MAJOR SUPPORT? = Blue line. The Greenback, historically, has come back from breaking major support BUT more often than not it doesn't do well afterwards. Red Arrows show episodes where it couldn't break above major resistance (Blue Line). Only two times did it bounce decently after breaking ABOVE. However, those two times it ended up giving it back again. Final: (This analysis is after a decent LONG TERM selloff and not recent breaks) The Dollar also doesn't trade above that blue line on the first try. It tends to slowly break through. Just bringing this up as this is not currently the case, this is a FRESH break of support. #currency #gold #btc #silver
TVC:DXY
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Trade report of 19-7Today's news: NZD CPI q/q Is: 1.1% Expected: 0.9% Was: 1.2% GBP CPI y/y Is: 7.9% Expected: 8.2% Was: 8.7% USD Housing Starts Is: 1.43M Expected: 1.48M Was: 1.56M Another negative figure which encourages the FED to raise interest rates. Nevertheless; the U.S. dollar rebounded on Wednesday after inflation in the U.K. cooled more than economists had expected in June, sending the pound down sharply against other major currencies. Britain's inflation rate was the lowest in more than a year at 7.9%, according to data that will ease some of the pressure on the Bank of England to keep raising interest rates sharply. Economists polled by Reuters had typically predicted a smaller slowdown, to 8.2% in the 12 months to June, compared with the 8.7% in May. "It was the first time in five months that inflation surprised downwards, the trend was exactly the opposite," said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Convera in Washington D.C. Jumbo rate hike next month by the Bank of England. Before Wednesday's data, investors had estimated a roughly 60% chance that the BoE would raise interest rates by half a percentage point on Aug. 3. That turned into a 60% chance of a quarter-percentage point increase after the data. "The dollar is getting a reprieve because it's the inflation data that really dictates sentiment, the dollar was tormented by cooler inflation last week and now it's the pound's turn today," Manimbo added. Our actions today: EURUSD : The Dollar plummeted last week after consumer and producer price increases slowed in June, raising expectations that the Federal Reserve will stop raising interest rates after a generally expected 25 basis point increase at its July 25-26 meeting. But Fed fund futures traders are still counting on 33 basis points of additional tightening, with the benchmark rate expected to peak at 5.40% in November. As a result, interest in the Dollar increased again today. Our buy trade has come under pressure. EURNZD : the uptrend stopped today. But that does make for a nice entry point at 1.79870. USDJPY : Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Tuesday that there is still some distance to reach the central bank's inflation target of 2% sustainably and stably, indicating his determination to pursue an ultra-loose monetary policy for now. AUDUSD : Our rating system displays the following: currently a score of 0, or a neutral rating after adding up all categories. First, let's take a look at what institutional traders are buying/selling. We can see that the AUD has a long rate of 32.98% and we see that the USD has a long rate of 70.38%. This category gets a -2, If we look at AUDSUND, we see that retailers are 55% long and 45% short. Currently, the AUDUSD gets a value of 0 in this category. Remember, if the retail crowd is very tall, we look at short, and vice versa. If we look at seasonality, we get a score of +1. What this tells us is that based on historical data, this market tends to rise this month. Trend measurement is based on the daily chart, using the 5, 8 and 21 exponential moving average. The more "aligned" they are, the stronger the trend up or down. In this case, we have a score of +2. Finally, let's look at the basics. GDP growth is in favor of the USD, inflation in favor of the AUD, unemployment in favor of none, and interest rates in favor of the USD. We put a sell at 0.66733. CADJPY : neutral assessment after adding up all categories. Institutional traders buy/sell +1, as institutional traders prefer the CAD. Retailers Score 0. Seasonality, +1. Trend measurement -2. GDP growth is favorable for the CAD, inflation is favorable for the JPY, unemployment is favorable for the JPY, and interest rates are favorable for the CAD. We have put a buy in at midpoint of the high and low of this pair in recent weeks, 106867. GOLD : XAUUSD currently has a score of +4, or a buy rating after adding up all categories. First, let's take a look at what institutional traders are buying/selling. We can see that the gold has a long percentage of 76.28%, and we see that the USD has a long percentage of 70.38%. This category gets a +1, as institutional traders prefer gold. If we look at seasonality, we get a score of +1. What this tells us is that based on historical data, this market tends to rise this month. Trend measurement is based on the daily chart, using the 5, 8 and 21 exponential moving average. The more "aligned" they are, the stronger the trend up or down. In this case, we have a score of +2. Finally, let's look at the basics. The index experienced higher GDP growth, inflation was higher than in the previous report, unemployment was higher this month and interest rates remained the same last time. Buy deposited on 1979.17.
PEPPERSTONE:USDX
by Probeleg