Gold Trade Review: September 28, 2022The Bulls came in strong during Pre-NY, after a liquidity grab, continuing the London impulse move/retracement, and looking to retest 4H supply/resistance. I entered using the 15m due to the increased volume and massive candle bodies, as well as price breaking 1H resistance at the same time the Comex opens (8:20am EST). set TP to the 4H resistance at $1637 and hit a 1:2 RR trade. Done for the day.
Anyone else catch this long?
GOLD-TRADE
Gold Trade Review: September 27, 2022I anticipated price to retest and break through the pre-ny high. Or if it couldn't, then price should return bearish on LTF as it is currently in a HTF downtrend - I saw the second scenario occur. Price failed to retest pre-ny high, and instead formed a resistance on the 30M (red circle). Then price closed below the London support, giving me a short bias. Once price made a LTF resistance (15m), and then continued breaking the lows, that was a confirmation for 1:3 RR entry. I secured partials due to some support that may interfere with this move, and moved SL to b/e.
Did anyone else catch this move??
Study Sunday: Why I took this Gold Trade (1H/15m)I usually just review my trades privately but today I figured why not share if it helps someone else, or maybe someone has input that can help me too. The video is basically me reviewing a trade i took this week on gold (sept 22), and why i took it. I like to draw the candles out myself to consciously think about where price moves relative to the candles around it, then when i watch the charts I have a more intuitive feeling of how candles form and move and I know what I am looking for. I dunno if that makes sense or it is just a thing i do lol
But here is another thought i have been thinking about recently regarding trading: I think that when you are trying to learn to be a profitable trader, it is valuable to keep your plan as simple as possible. And then build on it, and reshape it as you learn. But build slowly as you learn new lessons so you have a strong foundation. I see so many people that are in a rush, and that will only make you feel overwhelmed and eventually fail. I think it is especially difficult with trading because there is so much information out there and lots of people apply different strategies and have different opinions. It can be attractive to jump from one strategy to another if you feel like what you are trying is not working. And of course there are times when you must drop an idea to test another. But you should be doing so objectively and not emotionally. You should be able to measure the changes empirically as you make them. So that in the long run you build a trading plan that makes sense to you; that is the only way you will truly have confidence with trading. And you need confidence to grow an account because you will be risking a lot more with your future trades.
CAD scalp update, price action going as expectedAs part of a series of short videos, this is just an update explaining where we are in terms of seeking to scalp the bearish landscape for the day ahead.
It also talks about the gold trade that we got triggered into as the US dollar bulls take profits and pack up for the day ahead of Frankfurt later on. we want to see dollar supported, or otherwise, it all goes to sh1t really! at least for the time being.
buckle up for the Jackson Hole, 10 am et Friday.
Real gold is not afraid of the melting pot! Gold Weekly :)Hello fellow gold traders!
ive been busy (not to say lazy) lately and did not publish, im gonna go abit hyperactive and make up for my absence ;)
lets start where it should start and take a look at weekly, as you can see price hit the ATH of 2070 which was for a long time out of reach. and as expected, the volume on that candle equals the sum of all the volumes that came before, signalling a more than probable fall. things cant always go up , right ? ;)
Now we take a look at that falling side in more details to have a chance of seeing where it might go....
first falling algo, as you can see, correted to its 0.618 fib at around 1999 and then went staright to the first algo target at 1849 and then to the second at 1786. too perfect right ?
next algo could not correct for more than fib level 0.45 as the hope for any new ath disappeared and was replaced by the fear. and then went down to first target 1739 but abit short of second target at 1666( fib level -0.618) the move stopped suddenly at only 55%, which is a well known historic support since APril 2020.we will see this level in more details later on.(yeah , lets make this idea 100 page long! XD )
third move was more classic, going to golden zone 0.618-0.65 fib level at 1800-1807 and then head diving, reviving the hope for bears now having targets at 1636 and 1568 (fib levels -0.236 and -0.618)
but we have the historic level of support at 1680 blocking the bears target. this level has been tested 4 times, which lets us wonder what will happen in 5th try....
adding some fork might be of some help in this golden mess ;)
well, downward as we imagined, and under the median, which suggests going for the next parallel probably.
and that second target at -0.618 fib seems to have structural influence too as you can see:
this area has been an important zone in past price reactions too if you move back in chart
all that together, the probability of moving for the unbelievable , out of reach flashy target at 1555 ...ish increases alot!
which could complete a nice ABC (Bear with me XD im new to EW! :P )
adding the weekly rising fib from 1046 to 2070 adds the confluence of fib level 0.45 , which is a common failure to reach the desired 0.5 level, in this zone too.
we have enough confluence at that zone to be able to consider it as a probable target while still keeping an eye on that 1680 lulti wick zone.
And keeping in mind that its gold, as capricious as any other golden creature we know ;)
Wishing you all the best of the best in everything.....and in trading!
Onviously not a financial advice, do i look like your banker ? XD
Have a great sunday....and always pass a wink to your left ;)
XAUUSD - Gold Next Possible MoveXAU / USD ( Gold / U.S Dollar ) Technical Analysis Chart Update
Time Frame - H2
According to the Pattern in #LTF - Long Time Frame H-2 it is following #Rising Wedge
In Short Time Frame #STF in M-45 it is following #Bearish Channel and completed its retest
But according to Level it can Follow Buy Trend from here if it breaks this level then we will enter in #Sell and if it #Rejects then we will enter in #Buy
#RSI is in favour of Short Sell Long Term Buy
Gold 1 hour : if high break , gold will go up to 1870 so put buystop on yesterday high is good idea (low size sl= 1850)
Alert= break 1870 big trendline is 2nd powerful buy signal , gold can go to 1940 red trendline even 2000 again !!!!!
i pick buy in low 1832 and move SL to open price now , i want wait 4-5 day to 1940 (fibo 61% there)
note = Gray arrow on chart = old orders on pervios analyse
IF YOU HAVE SELL , 100% PUT SL ON HIGH 1850 , on gold break high mean 90% new + up trend will start
XAUUSD 4HrGold , XAU/USD , I hope everyone out there had a good 'New Year's Bash'. Well now let's get back to work. As shared in my previous chart we talked about buying small lots @1785, and I hope you all closed it with insane pips of profit. As we see the precious metal hiked upto 1831 this week.
As I have been got cut up partying too I couldn't manage time to share my setup update, but here it is! LETS MAKE SOME SERIOS MONEY!
You see the Simple S&R levels, playing out good. We see some opportunity of buying here at 1800-1803, taking profit at 1823. Also we sell if the price escalate below 1800 and we take profit @ 1797 and then if rejected then @1789 which is the next support level.
I hope my analysis will be helpful again for my followers and viewers. Please Share if you agree.
Be careful with your risk management. Trade safe.
Follow to learn and earn.
Let's make money all together.
CHEERS to this NEW YEAR!
GBPJPY | Wait for breakout.GBPJPY is trading in a bearish parallel channel.
Current price suggest the activity is slow down near resistance. Two things can happen now!!
Trade plan 1:
Buy when it breaks and close above the channel
TP: 157.380
SL: 156.420
Trade plan 2:
Short when it test the trendline or resistance zone and close with bearish candle
TP: 155.600
SL 156.850