Gold-trading
Global-Review / May 29th : Early breakouts. Still speculativeHope this idea will inspire some of you !
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Gold’s weekly outlook: May 21-25Gold finally broke the trading range it had been into from many weeks on the downside as it slid past $1300 comfortably and posted a nearly $20 weekly loss. This kind of movement was getting over-due and a fatigue was kind of setting in when the price action was taken into account. Fundamentally the events did not favor the rising prices thus allowing it to breach the crucial $1300 mark on the way down. Gold might find its feet soon as big downside even after the range expansion is not on the cards given the global factors which might keep the prices buoyed.
On the chart –
Gold’s breakdown suggests temporarily the bulls have gone in for a pause again. Support levels were taken out without much of a hassle though gold found support at lower and old support areas. Going back above $1300 might take some extra push from the bulls. We have 2 scenarios –
1. Gold tested it support at $1285 and bounced back, if this is held it may try to peg back towards $1295. If this is crossed it can go higher till $1308. If this is also crossed it can rally till $1317. Though long trades are not the favorites as range has broken on the downside.
2. Gold’s closing below the $1300 and its support level indicates more pain. This offers good opportunity for short trades which went missing from past many weeks. If $1295 is held it can fall lower to $1281. If this is breached it can have a dash towards the channel support at $1265.
Bullish view – There is some hope for the bulls as the prices bounced off from the 38.2 Fib level which also may act as a strong support going forward. If this is held then a rally back towards $1300 and higher cannot be ruled out. But in order to turn bullish prices need to conquer $1300 back or need to take support at channel lows or Fib retracement levels.
Bearish view – Bears were very ferocious this time as they eroded the critical $1300 mark by a good margin and that too on the closing basis. Such a close denotes more downside as key supports were breached. For bears, its a their time now after weeks of range bound activity as price action clearly favors them. For bears to continue pilling up the pressure they must not allow $1300 to be crossed.
On the larger terms, Gold has broken the range on the downside and more negativity is on the cards.
Possible trades are on both sides, gold can be bought above $1298 for the targets of $1308 and $1317 with a stop loss placed below $1290.
Gold can be sold under $1288 for the targets of $1281 and $1265.
GOLD - long term - SPECIFIC SETUP!www.tradingview.com
This ascending right may have bullish implications and could take us to $1.600 or higher!
Patience is key here, this is not for right now but you might want to keep your eyes on it!
To be profitable over the long term you need to trade like a sniper: be patient, cool and collected and wait for your chance!
I hope this was helpful to you! Follow for future TA and like if you want to!
Take care!
GOLD SELLConsidering the dxy analysis i have posted prior to this post. If the dxy used that zone as a support (refer to the dxy setup) we should see gold drop to around the o.618 level , where there is a preious strong resistance. ideal area to also go long if we see good rejection around the 0.618 fib level.
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Keep it simple pals !!!!-trend lines
-1year Fib levels
-RSI 14
-Support and Resistance
RSI14 divergence on H4 suggest that the uptrend is losing momentum as you can see in past examples highlighted on the chart....
Scenario 1: break below 1338 would confirm this analysis so: enter trade at 1337 with SL at 1343-44 and TP 1329-28 (1h-4h time frame)
Scenario 2: break above 1347 would invalidate this analysis so: enter trade at 1348 with SL at 1343-44 and TP at 1356-1358 (1h-4h time frame)
Scenario 3: break above 1347 in order to test 1356 o.00% Fib 1 year level so after closing trade of scenario 2, enter again short with SL above 1360 and TP around 1337-1340 support. (1D time frame)
No news to watch, only price action, good trading to all of you !!
Bitcoin vs Gold – No Bubbles COINBASE:BTCUSD NASDAQ:GOLD
Bitcoin and Gold are more and more often compared with each other. And for crypto currency this is another reason to appreciate, as it means investors take it seriously.
Lately, Goldman Sachs' analysts Jeffrey Currie and Michael Hinds said that gold was better than crypto currency. They pointed that the riskier the market environment, the higher the demand on the metal.
They compared Gold and Bitcoin by several criteria, and discovered that by longevity, intrinsic value and stability the former is better than the latter.
However, the only notion that the long established asset like Gold is compared with recently emerged currency may Bitcoin even more attractive.
And judging by the history of Gold, Bitcoin has huge potential in store. Some years ago gold ran from $250 to $1900, and every investor or analyst used every opportunity to claim it a bubble., but it’s still trading above $1,000. Bitcoin has run from $800 to $5,500 since the year start and it’s already called a bubble. But is it the end?
The recent slide for me looks a good opportunity to buy Bitcoin with the nearest target at $5,800.
GOLD breakout.Heading into the debt ceiling disaster and fiscal drama, the treasury almost out of cash, the stock market at all time highs, and more military and at home spending (ironically) there will be plenty of momentum to move gold up. I do NOT believe the market is headed for a crash at this moment but a nice correction should propel gold up. Add to that the technicals here and we're looking pretty good. Consolidation about to break a major downtrend resistence, a 100 dma about to cross the 200 dma, and a reverse head and shoulders to boot. This is going to be a pass or fail event for the short to medium term. Either way will be longer term bullish on gold; any severe breakdown would be an excellent time to begin to aggressively accumulate.