Potential reversalAs always we must look for channels in which price is moving on a bigger timeframe, this one is in 4h candles giving a good medium term channel which it has respected at least 2 times before, so my idea is to wait for a breakout and retest or a reasonable rejection at this point positioning trades following price as we allways say.... don't go against the trend!
Gold-trend
The Two-Faced Market: The Truth Behind Trend Reversals!🎭 The Two-Faced Market: The Truth Behind Trend Reversals! 📊🚀
📢 Ever entered a trade thinking you caught the perfect trend , only to get stopped out as the market reversed?
You're not alone. The market has a way of fooling traders—but if you understand its “two-faced” nature, you can stay one step ahead.
🔥 Why Trends Reverse (and How to Catch It Early!)
Most traders believe trends reverse due to "news" or "randomness." But in reality, the market gives signals long before the turn happens. Here’s what to watch for:
🔹 Momentum Divergence: The price makes a new high, but indicators like RSI/MACD don’t.
🔹 Volume Anomaly: The trend continues, but volume dries up—a sign of weakness.
🔹 Failed Breakouts: Price breaks a key level, only to fall back inside—trapping traders.
🔹 Candlestick Clues: Reversal patterns like engulfing candles or wicks rejecting key levels appear.
🚀 Mastering these signals can put you ahead of 90% of traders.
📊 Real Example: XAU/ USD Trend Reversal in Action
🔎 Breakdown of the setup:
✅ Step 1: Identify a trend (through market structure, trendline or moving average).
✅ Step 2: Look for failed breakouts against the trend
✅ Step 3: Look for trend-following setups
🎯 The Market’s Game: Recognizing The Shift
Trends don’t die suddenly—they fade before reversing. The best traders spot the early signs and position before the crowd.
💡 Have you spotted these reversal signs before? Drop a comment with your experience! 👇🔥
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUMO Strategy – GOLD (XAU/USD) for Monday, Feb 12, 2025 Market Overview – The Smart Money Play
🔹 Gold (XAU/USD) trading around $2,860-$2,861 – Bulls still in control on higher timeframes but showing signs of exhaustion.
🔹
Liquidity traps above $2,875-$2,880 – Institutions baiting late buyers.
🔹
Volume decreasing at resistance – Smart money unloading positions.
Translation? Market prepping for a trap & reversal play before the next expansion.
📌 XAUMO SESSION BREAKDOWN & EXECUTION PLAN
🔴
1) Asia Session: Market Balance & Trap Setup
Price Action: Tight consolidation, low volatility, setting up liquidity grab.
Volume: Diminishing – classic pre-move buildup.
Liquidity Zones: Buyers trapped above $2,875-$2,880.
Key Levels:
Support: $2,850-$2,855
Resistance: $2,870-$2,875
🚨 Game Plan:
If price spikes into $2,875-$2,880, look for a reversal short.
If price drops to $2,855 and holds, expect a bounce.
✅ Trade Setup:
📉 Sell Limit: $2,875
🎯 Target: $2,855 > $2,845
❌ Stop Loss: $2,883
🟡
2)London Session: Expansion & Trend Confirmation
Price Action: Market picks a direction – we trade the retest.
Volume: If RVOL spikes, expect breakout move.
Liquidity Zones: Order blocks forming at $2,850-$2,855.
Key Levels:
Bullish if price holds $2,855, expect $2,880+.
Bearish if rejection at $2,875, expect $2,840-$2,830.
🚨 Game Plan:
Watch for fake breakouts at session highs/lows.
VWAP & POC confirm bias.
✅ Trade Setup:
📉 Sell if $2,872 rejects
🎯 Target: $2,850 > $2,835
❌ Stop Loss: $2,881
🟢
3) NY Session: Institutional Moves & Volume Surge
Price Action: The real move happens here – Smart Money decides direction.
Volume: If RVOL > 1.5, trend continuation is confirmed.
Liquidity Zones:
$2,875-$2,880 – Bull Trap Zone
$2,840-$2,830 – Sell-Side Liquidity
🚨 Game Plan:
If price fakes out above $2,875 & dumps, SELL HARD.
If NY session defends $2,855, BUY THE DIP.
✅ Trade Setup:
📉 Sell below $2,850
🎯 Target: $2,830 > $2,815
❌ Stop Loss: $2,860
📈 Buy if price reclaims $2,860 after fakeout.
🎯 Target: $2,880 > $2,885
❌ Stop Loss: $2,852
FINAL XAUMO EXECUTION STRATEGY
If price spikes to liquidity levels, fade the move.
🔸
If VWAP & Delta confirm direction, ride the trend.
🔸
Use session highs/lows as liquidity magnets.
🔸
If RVOL confirms strength, scale in aggressively.
Gold might revert to the trend line following a rising riseHello everyone, today I'm ready to provide you with Gold analytics. A few days ago, we saw a big upward movement in the market, but before that, Gold traded near support 2, which coincided with the support zone. Then it rebounded and surged to 2727 points before correcting even below support 2, but then it reversed and began trading inside the wedge. Price plummeted below the trend line and immediately rebounded, shattering the second support level and continuing to climb higher along this line.Gold ascended for a long time along this line, but on the fourth touch, it rebounded and reached the first support level, which corresponded with another support zone. Then it corrected to practically the trend line before quickly rising back to the first support, breaking it, and exiting the wedge. It then retested and increased its score to 2880 points. Now, I expect XAUUSD to make a correction to the trend line, which is positioned within the support zone. That's why I set my target at 2800 points, which corresponds to them. If you appreciate my analytics, please support me with a like or remark.
XAUUSD 4/8/24This week in gold, we have the potential for another sell-off through trendline liquidity, as we’ve seen before. However, all price action is trending upwards, making this our main scenario. As shown on our chart, we have a liquid high that is close to the current price, with liquidity built up below the lows.
We know that on a high timeframe, we are strongly bullish. The price tested last week’s high and then fell significantly, indicating a potential pullback before the high is taken. Key points to note include the heavy sell-off from the supply area, leaving an untapped supply zone, and creating the first sell-side imbalance during the upward trend. This suggests a chance for price to hold and potentially drop below the trendline mark. If this occurs, we will look towards the demand area shown on the chart in red. We will monitor this area to see if it pushes the price back into the higher timeframe trade alignment or fails, leading to a sell-off and a change in our bias on the given timeframe.
If the bullish trend continues, we will monitor the supply area above the current price, expecting it to fail. If it does, we may see a new all-time high for gold. Overall, the price is bullish, so a fallback would be preferable if we aim to take buys from this price section.
Watch the trendline liquidity being created below the untapped supply area and the liquid high just above it. Also, if the trendline breaks, watch the demand area to see if it goes higher within our range.
Trade safely, stick to your risk management, and follow your plan.
XAUUSD daily analysis 03/07/2024our yesterdays analysis on xauuad was perfect and all our signals hit take profit. today the market is going to have various news and these news are going to put market in volatility.
▶️Long positions above 2319.00 with targets at 2337.00, 2348 2355 2362 2376 2385
▶️Below 2319.00 look for further downside with 2311.00 , 2306 2296 2288 2282
Supports and resistances
2355.00
2348.00
2337.00
2332.00
2319.00
2311.00
2306.0
more detailed analysis will be posted soon
BOOST US AND FOLLOW US
xauusd first buy and sell targets for monday marketthe last week our prediction of xauusd become 100% true, for monday we are posting a simple buy and sell target. more detailed analysis will be followed.
buystop ;
entry 2322
tp2332
sl better to hedge
sell stop
entry 2320
tp 2312
sl better to hedge
The US Dollar emerged as the clear winner on Friday, buoyed by a robust performance in the latest S&P Global PMI data. In contrast, Gold prices tumbled after the data signaled continued resilience in the US economy, dampening expectations for aggressive interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
The Markit PMI data, a key gauge of business activity, surprised analysts across the board. The composite PMI for June clocked in at a healthy 54.6, exceeding expectations of 53.5 and remaining steady compared to the previous month's reading of 54.5. This broad-based strength suggests the US economy is likely on track for a solid second-quarter performance.
Manufacturing Resilience: The manufacturing PMI also impressed, rising to a three-month high of 51.7. This figure surpassed forecasts of 51.0 and the prior reading of 51.3, indicating continued expansion in the sector despite ongoing global supply chain challenges.
Booming Services: The services sector, which accounts for a larger share of the US economy, delivered an even stronger performance. The S&P Global Services PMI for June surged to a 26-month high of 55.1, exceeding expectations of 53.7 and the previous month's reading of 54.8. This robust expansion reflects healthy consumer spending and business investment, underpinning optimism for continued economic growth.
Gold Feels the Heat: The robust PMI data sent shockwaves through the Gold market. Investors, anticipating a dovish pivot from the Fed due to potential economic slowdown, had flocked to the safe-haven asset in recent months. However, the PMI results suggest that the Fed may hold off on aggressive rate cuts, dampening the appeal of Gold. Spot Gold prices plunged after the data release, falling by over 1% in a single day and slipping below the crucial $2,330 mark.
US DOLLAR INDEX The us dollar index opened with a gap. today the us dollar index which was closed at 104.94 opened at 105.5 with 11 point gap.
this gap may be an indication that us dollar is going to resume its upward momentum this week which it has started on last Friday.
if this momentum continues it will be a fall for xauusd.
more clear cut analysis will be posted soon .
but please post your comments which will be helpful to understand what the crowd thinks and thus understand market sentiments.
LIKE BOOST FOLLOW US
🥇 GOLD - Resistance test before falling Gold can't overcome the resistance as the market has no potential at the moment against the backdrop of a strong dollar. Perhaps the whales are waiting or the market maker is aiming to take the price even lower before further growth, but the gold is currently showing signals for further decline rather than growth.
Reasons for further declines:
1) Consolidation near support.
2) Price continues to update local lows
3) Bearish trend
4) Dollar is strengthening
5) Retest of resistance may send price to support
6) Another retest of 2016.82 support will break it and price may continue the bearish trend
GOLD: bearish pattern created Hey guys, last week I was bullish on gold, but after the recent PA I changed my bias to short.
-First, the price formed the so-called "Bearish Flag" formation, this is a pattern that is a trend continuation and the TP is the duplication from the initial leg.
-Second, looking at the DXY I am more for a strong dollar for the near future judging by the recent candles and the strength of the momentum.
I won't be rushing to enter a position because gold and DXY are at a very indecisive point right now, so I will wait for a good correction that will at least give me a good RR
USD/JPY GROWS!!Hello Traders!
✔USD/JPY Is Bullish but has turned Bearish for some time now
✔Price has Pushed to the Downside but has found a key level
✔RSI is in Buyers control
✔Fib has tested the 23.6 on the Daily timeframe
✔Daily Trendline is still respected and hasn't been broken
520 Pip Analysis!!
Goodluck!!!!☘☘☘