Gold's 17 Year Bull Market is only in Year 13The YEARLY TREND of $XAUUSD or Gold is still in an uptrend from a massive, 17 year mode at the $395-$398 zone. The 26-year sideways period from 1979-2004 had 17 years at a $3 price level between $395.3 and $398.3, which is a remarkably long time for a market to stay at one price.
Once a market gets moving out of a range like that it tends to go for 17 years in total. That first year was 2005, so that makes 2017 the 13th year of the 17-year uptrend.
The other interesting part is that the price range of the consolidation as measured from low to high was $633 or 292%. When adding $292% to the mode of $395.3, you get a target of $1530, which has been surpassed already, but oddly the $1527 level was the "HIGHEST YEARLY LOW" which happened in the year 2012.
I would also add that Gold has formed a new 6-year mode from $1226 to $1178, so anytime Gold is above $1226 it can extend gains and move back towards the highs above $1527.
The best way to trade long term uptrends is to buy when shorter term trends turn down and then exhaust themselves. Which means, essentially, that you jump back into the long term uptrend when short term selling occurs to push the price down temporarily which provides a low risk entry point.
Stay tuned - and next look at the "MONTHLY TREND" and then the "WEEKLY TREND" and the "DAILY TREND".
We often cover these in the Key Hidden Levels chat room since Gold is such an important market to everyone in the world.
PS - I'm putting a "Long" on this chart because the Gold UPTREND is still in tact and in control.
Tim
April 29, 2017 2:41PM EST
Gold-trend
Gold trend, seasonality...long and shortThis chart provides a general view of what gold does right after the new year has started. For the exception of 2013, all new years start with a move up. The dates are marked in yellow vertical lines and the bottom price to the immediate top is in red numbers (1000-1200, example). I have not marked the immediate top as it blocks the important date and start of up trend. You can now mark the closest highest price before it pulls back. Check June, July, August for the next move up.
Check MACD positioning in order to understand where to long and short. Use indicators such as moving averages as support and resistance. I personally use 40, 150, and 200. Smaller moving averages can include 13, 23 and 63. The crossing of the 200ma with the 150ma, up or down on any time frame can cause price to increase or decrease. I leave you this tip so that you can see for yourself what happens.
There is much more to learn from this instrument than just price action and seasonality. It is a gauge that can be used along with other instruments to get a better feel for the market. That does not mean that if gold is going up the world is ending.
Happy New Year 2017 to all of you who follow my charts. Right or wrong, it is about sharing information and learning from mistakes. Success to all of you.