Gold Analysisbuy side liquidity was taken during last week's market sessions. Downside liquidity is yet to be taken. If price breaks below the trend line on monday or tuesday, the market is likely to to sell. if the trend line support still strong, the market is likely to continue the bullish trend. buy if the market retest the resistance.
Gold
Gold might descend to a support level, breaching the resistance Hi, traders. I'd like to share with you my thoughts on Gold. On this chart, we can observe that the price has recovered from the mirror line and begun to rise. Shortly later, it approached the support level, broke it, and hovered for a while before returning to the mirror line. Later, the price broke through the support level once more and resumed trading inside a range. During this phase, it climbed to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, before retreating to the mirror line. Gold then dipped into the buyer zone before quickly rising over the mirror line and into the seller zone. After this movement, XAU corrected below the mirror line and resumed its upward journey.
Shortly later, the price approached the resistance level, broke through it, and departed the range. For a while, gold traded above the seller zone, but it subsequently plummeted and is presently hovering at the 2930 resistance level within the sale zone. I anticipate Gold will climb little before continuing to drop, eventually shattering the resistance level. Furthermore, I believe that following the breakout, it will prolong its slide toward the 2865 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost! 🚀
📊 XAU/USD – Key Levels for the Week Ahead 🔍
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading within a well-defined range, testing the seller zone near resistance while eyeing the buyer zone near support.
🔴 Resistance Level: 2,930 - 2,940 (Seller Zone)
🟢 Support Level: 2,865 (Buyer Zone)
📉 Potential Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bearish Rejection from resistance could push price down to the support level (2,865).
2️⃣ Breakout Above 2,940 may signal further upside potential.
3️⃣ Range-Bound Movement between support and resistance until a clear breakout.
📌 Market Outlook: Watching price action near key levels for confirmation before entering trades! 🚀
XAU bearish and bullish setup for next week
Still XAU making HH and HL
It has to retrace before going for another HH
Seasonal analysis showing same previous 5 year data
XAU Bearish from 23 Feb to 2 Mar then Bullish from 3 Mar - 20 Apr
So, instead of this week retracement and consolidation
I look for trade bullish trade next week.
xauusd analysis for coming weekKey Factors Influencing XAU/USD
Monetary Policy & Interest Rates:
By early 2025, the Federal Reserve’s stance will be critical. If rate cuts are underway (due to recession risks or controlled inflation), gold could rally as the USD weakens. Conversely, a "higher-for-longer" rate policy could cap gains.
Watch for Fed speeches and the PCE inflation report (due late February 2025) for clues.
Geopolitical Risks:
Escalations in conflicts, trade tensions, or unexpected crises (e.g., energy disruptions, elections) could trigger safe-haven demand for gold.
USD Strength:
A strong dollar (e.g., from robust U.S. economic data) may pressure gold. Monitor the DXY Index for inverse correlations.
Scenario-Based Outlook
Bullish Case:
Fed dovishness + weak USD + geopolitical instability → Rally toward $2,100–2,150/oz.
Bearish Case:
Hawkish Fed + strong U.S. data + risk-on sentiment → Decline toward $1,900–1,850/oz.
Trading Strategy
Long-term investors: Accumulate near $1,920–1,950/oz if fundamentals align with bullish drivers.
Critical Events to Monitor
Fed Chair Powell’s testimony (if scheduled).
U.S. Q4 GDP revisions (February 27, 2025).
Global PMI data (manufacturing/services activity).
Geopolitical developments (e.g., U.S.-China relations, Middle East tensions).
Conclusion
Gold’s trajectory will hinge on the interplay between Fed policy, the dollar, and risk sentiment. While technicals suggest a range-bound market between $1,900–2,080/oz, prepare for volatility around key data releases. Always use risk management tools (stop-loss, position sizing) given the uncertainty of long-term forecasts.
more detailed video analysis will be published soon
BOOST US SHARE US
Gold can drop to support level, breaking resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. On this chart, we can see that the price rebounded from the mirror line and began to rise. Shortly after, it reached the support level, broke it, and hovered around this area for some time before dropping back to the mirror line. Later, the price broke through the support level once again and started trading within a range. During this phase, it climbed to the resistance level, which aligned with the seller zone, before pulling back to the mirror line. Gold then dipped into the buyer zone but quickly surged above the mirror line, entering the seller zone. After this movement, XAU corrected below the mirror line before resuming its upward trajectory. Not long after, the price reached the resistance level, broke through it, and exited the range. For some time, Gold traded above the seller zone, but recently, it dropped and is now hovering near the 2930 resistance level within the seller zone. I believe that Gold might rise slightly before continuing its decline, eventually breaking the resistance level. Additionally, I anticipate that after the breakout, it could extend its decline toward the 2865 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2950 and a gap below at 2927. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2950
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2950 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2969
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2969 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2986
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2986 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3006
BEARISH TARGETS
2927
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2927 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2903
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2903 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2884 - 2861
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2861 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
2841 - 2820
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2959 and a gap below at 2928. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2959
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2959 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2992
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2992 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3024
BEARISH TARGETS
2928
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2928 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2898
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2898 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
2867
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2867 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2829 - 2790
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
This is an update on our daily chart idea that we are now tracking and playing out perfectly, as analysed.
2904 AXIS target was hit previously completing this level and also into the channel top for the perfect finish and rejection.
We then stated that we now have body close above 2904 AXIS but will need ema5 lock to confirm 2959, although the channel top is acting as resistance and therefore will need some ranging movement within the channel so it can slowly ascend into the 2959 respecting the channel dynamics.
- This is playing out perfectly, we got the cross and lock but the channel top is acting, as resistance but we are slowly ascending with the channel for the 2959 gap, which just fell short buy a few pips but we were able to take over 200 pips clean.
We also need to keep in mind the channel half line below to establish floor to provide support for the range, should we continue to track further up. A break below the half line will open the lower part of the channel to establish floor on the channel bottom. The safest way to track this movement is by buying dips.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now and still playing out, as analysed.
Previously we stated that after completing 2729 and 2856, we were left with a very small body close above 2856 last week leaving 2976 open and we stated that will need ema5 lock to further confirm this and ema5 was still yet to lock but we still got a nice push up over 700 pips.
This is still the case with EMA5 yet to lock, however last weeks body close still gave us the confirmation for the push up with another run over 500 pips. The full long term gap still remains open. Once again we prove the safest way to chase this Bull in this range is from dips.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Bullish & Bearish Reversal Divergence Trading in Forex🔍 Bullish & Bearish Reversal Divergence Trading in Forex: A Detailed Overview
Divergence is a powerful concept in technical analysis — it helps spot potential trend reversals and momentum shifts. Let’s dive into the details with clear strategies and some visual flair! 🚀
🧠 What is Divergence?
Divergence happens when price action and a technical indicator (like RSI, MACD, or Stochastic) move in opposite directions. This hints that the current trend is losing strength and a possible reversal is coming.
📈 Types of Divergence
🐂 Bullish Reversal Divergence (Buy Signal)
Price: Makes lower lows ⬇️
Indicator: Makes higher lows ⬆️
Meaning: Sellers are losing momentum; buyers might take over soon.
Signal: Potential uptrend reversal ahead.
🔑 Key Confirmation Tools:
Support zone bounce 🛑
Bullish candlestick patterns (Hammer, Engulfing) 🕯️
Increased buying volume 📊
💡 Example Setup:
RSI makes a higher low while price drops lower — prepare for a long (buy) position.
🐻 Bearish Reversal Divergence (Sell Signal)
Price: Makes higher highs ⬆️
Indicator: Makes lower highs ⬇️
Meaning: Buyers are losing strength; sellers could take control.
Signal: Potential downtrend reversal ahead.
🔑 Key Confirmation Tools:
Resistance zone rejection 🚧
Bearish candlestick patterns (Shooting Star, Engulfing) 🌑
Increased selling volume 📉
💡 Example Setup:
MACD makes a lower high while price pushes higher — prepare for a short (sell) position.
🛠️ Best Indicators for Divergence Trading
RSI (Relative Strength Index) – Tracks overbought/oversold conditions. 📊
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) – Measures momentum shifts. 💥
Stochastic Oscillator – Identifies trend strength and reversals. 🎢
🎯 Divergence Trading Strategies
1️⃣ Classic Divergence Strategy
Spot bullish or bearish divergence. 🔍
Confirm with support/resistance levels. 🧱
Wait for a reversal candlestick pattern (like a Doji, Engulfing, or Pin Bar). 🕯️
Enter trade with a tight stop loss below support (for buys) or above resistance (for sells). 🎯
2️⃣ Divergence + Trendline Break Strategy
Draw a trendline following the current trend. 📐
Spot divergence as the trend loses strength. 🚨
Wait for a trendline breakout for extra confirmation. 💥
Enter trade on the break and retest of the trendline. 💯
3️⃣ Divergence + Moving Average Strategy
Spot divergence between price and indicator. 📉
Use a moving average (MA) like the 50 EMA or 200 EMA to confirm the trend shift. 📈
Buy when price crosses above the MA after bullish divergence. 💚
Sell when price crosses below the MA after bearish divergence. ❤️
⚠️ Common Mistakes to Avoid
🚫 Ignoring confirmation: Always wait for candle closes or breakouts.
🚫 Forcing divergence: Only trade when divergence is clear.
🚫 Skipping risk management: Use a stop loss and position sizing.
🚫 Overtrading small timeframes: Higher timeframes (4H, Daily) offer more reliable signals.
GOLD (XAUUSD): One More Consolidation
Since Wednesday, Gold started to consolidate within a horizontal
channel on a 4H.
To buy Gold with a confirmation next week, wait for a breakout of
the resistance of the channel. It will initiate a movement higher at least to 2975.
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of a support of the channel can trigger
a local correctional movement at least to 2906.
Wait for a breakout, it will provide a reliable confirmation.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
What Happens to Global Markets When the Ukraine-Russia War Ends?What Happens to Global Markets When the Ukraine-Russia War Ends?
The end of the Ukraine-Russia war will undoubtedly impact major global markets,
here’s what we can expect:
Oil Market : With tensions easing, oil prices could drop as supply concerns lessen and sanctions ease. However, global demand could still keep prices stable or even high.
Gold Market : Gold, a safe-haven asset, might face a decrease in demand as geopolitical uncertainty fades, but if the end of the war leads to global economic instability, gold could remain a strong choice for investors.
Forex Market : The end of the conflict could boost the Euro and USD as stability returns to the market. At the same time, the Russian Ruble might face fluctuations as Russia’s economy adjusts to post-war conditions.
Crypto Market : Cryptocurrencies may see mixed reactions—some may retreat as confidence in traditional markets rises, but others could flow in if economic uncertainty continues to prevail globally.
🔮 The war's end could bring hope, but it also presents new challenges for markets worldwide. Stay tuned to see how it all plays out!
GOLD SHORT | SELL THEORY [24/02-01/03]From what I’m seeing price is seemingly fatigued. There was a credible break on the 4H chart though - which is low-key worrying, HOWEVER on the daily chart? Sweeps on sweeps - which to me certify that price will be seeking a reversal of some sort at some point.
Once one of the printed lows gets violated by price (as drawn on the chart - with a candlestick) the sell will be confirmed.
I had a potential trade with actually played out nicely but I didn’t enter it, which I’m cool about as I wasn’t sure.
I won’t be trading Gold until I actually get confirmation.
Gold sideways consolidation below ATHThe GOLD (XAUUSD) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be an overbought consolidation after reaching the all time high on 20th Feb ‘25.
The key trading level is at 2900 level, the consolidation price range and also the current daily pivot level. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 2900 level could target the upside resistance at 2931 followed by the 2950 and 3000 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 2900 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 2879 support level followed by 2865.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD Is Going Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 2,936.271.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 2,899.545.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD → Retest of trend support before the NEWS FX:XAUUSD is forming a false breakdown of the lower boundary of consolidation and support of the uptrend within the correction. Traders are waiting for S&P Global PMI indices in the US.
The gold price has rolled back from the record $2,955, but still retains chances for growth continuation. The decline is due to profit taking as traders prepare for the release of the S&P Global PMI indices in the US.
The PMI data may affect the expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates. Nevertheless, a possible price drop on the back of strong PMI data could be short-lived if Trump's new tariff plans reignite demand for safe-haven assets.
While gold may continue to correct, any drawdowns are likely to be seen as a near-term buying opportunity
Resistance levels: 2933, 2939, 2946, 2955
Support levels: 2924, trend support
A false breakdown of the uptrend support is forming. If the bulls hold their defenses above the key area, gold may continue its rise in the short to medium term. But, the short-term outlook depends on the news
Regards R. Linda!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Afternoon Update : BREAKDOWNIf you've followed my research over the past 90+ days - you were ready for this move.
If you were positioned for this breakdown, many of you should have seen decent profits or green in your accounts.
I'm so happy and proud to have helped many of you prepare for this move.
Stay cautious into the close as we may see more selling pressure drive prices lower.
Remember, everything I do is about helping you become a better trader.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
We finish off another great week, with all our chart ideas playing out, as analysed.
After completing our Bullish targets yesterday, we stated that the last move up on the cross and lock gave over 200 pips but just short of the full gap at 2959. We also stated that, as long as we have no lock below 2928, we are good to buy dips into this range for now.
- This played out perfectly continuing to support above 2928, allowing us to buy dips safely
BULLISH TARGET
2890 - DONE
2928 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2928 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2959
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead and also a new Daily chart long term chart idea, now that this one is complete.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD | Key Pivot Holding – Breakout or Rejection?GOLD Technical Analysis – February 21, 2025
Gold is currently trading within the pivot range at $2,935, showing consolidation. The price is still indecisive, and further movement depends on the next breakout.
The price is trying to touch $2918 from $2935, which means as long as trades below $2935.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If Gold closes below $2,918 and confirms with a 4H candle, it may continue its decline toward $2,907 and $2,895.
A breakdown below $2,873 will extend losses toward $2,860 and $2,840.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Stability above $2,935 could push the price toward $2,956 and $2,974 in the next bullish attempt.
A breakout above $2,974 may lead to further highs.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: $2,935
Resistance Levels: $2945, $2,956, $2,974
Support Levels: $2,918, $2,895, $2,873
XAU/USD : First SHORT,then LONG! But...! (READ THE CAPTION)On the one-hour gold chart, we can see that yesterday, the price corrected from the $2943 level down to $2918 before encountering strong demand. This led to a bullish move, with gold reaching a new high of $2955 today. Before targeting the next resistance zone at $2966 - $2969, a slight pullback is likely. This analysis will be updated accordingly. Enjoy the ride, folks!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban