Gold 15-Min Breakout Zones l Smart Money Trap Exposed – 🔥 Gold – 15 Min & 1hr Scalping Analysis
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
👌Bullish After Break : 3380
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
➕Reasons
— 1hr Major Key level
— Retest at 3380 x7 wick's
— Choch x2 Retest at same point 3380
— Trend Line At Exact Point
👌Bearish After Break : 3357
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
➕Reasons
— 1hr 3wicks Touch at same point of key
— Gap Zone
— Choch x2 Retest at same point 3362 / 15 min Tf
— Body Close / Gap Zone / Hidden Support 3357
Gold
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3500 (Wave 3).Colleagues, the correction did take place and was quite deep, as I wrote earlier.
However, I am leaving my target unchanged—the resistance area and the maximum of wave “3” of the higher order at 3500.
The waves remain in their previous places, because none of the rules of wave analysis have been violated.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Can Crude Oil Spike to 150 USD / bbl ? Scenario Analysis.With Mid East tensions rising and overall unpredictable
situation around Strait of Hormuz, let's review potential
scenarios for the Crude Oil Prices. I've outlined three
scenarios with projected oil prices for each scenario below.
🚨 Market Alert: Israel-Iran Conflict Impact Forecast 📈
🔴 Worst-Case Scenario: Regional War + U.S. Military Involvement
🚢 Oil (Brent): Soars to $150–$200+ if Strait of Hormuz closes
🥇 Gold: Skyrockets to $4,500–$5,000 (safe-haven rush)
₿ Bitcoin: Initial volatility; settles at $80k–$100k
📉 SPX: Crashes to 4,000–4,500
💻 NDX: Drops sharply to 15,000–16,000
🟠 Base-Case Scenario: Protracted Tension, No Major Disruption
🛢 Oil: Stabilizes at elevated $75–$95, occasional spikes
🥇 Gold: Moves higher, trading $3,500–$3,800
₿ Bitcoin: Trades steady, $90k–$110k range
📊 SPX: Pullback moderate, around 5,200–5,500
💻 NDX: Moderately lower, 18,000–19,000 range
🟢 Best-Case Scenario: Diplomatic De-Escalation
🌊 Oil: Eases down to $65–$75
🥇 Gold: Mild decline, holds at $3,300–$3,500
₿ Bitcoin: Positive sentiment, lifts to $100k–$120k
📈 SPX: Slight dip; stays strong near 5,800–6,200
💻 NDX: Minor correction, remains high at 20,000–22,000
Gold on the Edge: Will US Debt Fears Spark a Breakout?XAUUSD – Gold on the Edge: Will US Debt Fears Spark a Breakout?
After weeks of muted movement, gold is coiling within a bearish channel — but a fresh warning from Goldman Sachs may be the trigger that changes everything. With concerns mounting over America’s fiscal future, gold could be preparing for a decisive shift.
🌐 Macro View – Goldman Sachs Sounds the Alarm
🔺 Goldman Sachs recently issued a critical warning:
US national debt is expected to exceed WWII levels, with interest payments topping $1 trillion by 2025, outpacing spending on defense and healthcare.
If urgent fiscal reforms aren’t implemented, the US could face a tightening cycle that slows GDP growth without reducing the debt-to-GDP ratio.
The root causes? Excessive spending, rising interest rates, and deep political gridlock.
📌 For global investors, this type of uncertainty is often bullish for gold — especially as a hedge against both inflation and US dollar instability.
📉 Technical Outlook (Updated – M30 to H1)
Gold is still trading inside a well-defined descending channel, with sellers firmly in control.
Price is currently hovering around the pivot zone at 3,338.42, with a possible short-term bounce toward 3,368.04, the upper edge of the channel.
EMA ribbons (13–200) are sharply aligned to the downside, signaling strong bearish momentum.
If the price fails to break above 3,368, the next key support zones lie at 3,325.78, and potentially 3,309.25, where unfilled fair value gaps (FVG) await.
✅ Trade Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3310 – 3308
Stop-Loss: 3303
Targets: 3314 → 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 →
🟢 BUY SCALP: 3325 – 3323
Stop-Loss: 3318
Targets: 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3342 → 3346 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 →
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3418 – 3420
Stop-Loss: 3424
Targets: 3414 → 3410 → 3405 → 3400 → 3396 → 3390 → 3385 → 3380
🔻 SELL SCALP: 3396 – 3398
Stop-Loss: 3403
Targets: 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370
💬 Closing Thoughts – A Volatile End to the Week?
With US markets returning from a bank holiday and macro pressure rising, volatility could spike to close the week.
✅ Stick to disciplined SL/TP levels. Avoid premature entries and let price confirm direction.
Gold remains technically bearish — but the global debt narrative could turn this market on its head.
Prepare. Observe. Strike only when the structure aligns.
The bear market is over? Short at high and long at low📰 Impact of news:
1. The interest rate remains unchanged and leads to new lows in the short term
2. Geopolitical tensions provide support for risk aversion
📈 Market analysis:
Due to the early closing yesterday, the volatility of the US market was limited and the market seemed relatively flat. From a technical perspective and the current trend, 3340 is a key defensive support level. If it retreats to this level, you can consider going long. If the gold price continues to rise and reaches 3375, from the perspective of trading strategy, you can choose to place a short order here. Focus on the resistance line of 3370-3375 during the day, and pay attention to the support of 3345-3335 below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3370-3375
TP 3360-3355-3345
BUY 3345-3335
TP 3360-3370
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold Outlook: Sharp Breakout or Pullback Ahead?Despite heightened geopolitical tensions alongside a weak US Dollar, gold's price action remains in pullback mode below the $3,400 level, awaiting a catalyst.
Technically, gold remains at the upper boundary of a long-term ascending channel, anchored by the 2016 and 2020 highs. It also sits just beneath the projected breakout zone of a large cup-and-handle pattern, with a potential target near $4,000.
If gold manages a firm close above $3,500 and clears the upper boundary of the channel, bullish momentum could lift prices toward $3,700, and possibly $4,000, during the second half of 2025.
Conversely, sustained weakness below the $3,300 level would open the door to near-term support zones at $3,290, $3,240, $3,100, and $2,800, which may offer "buy-the-dip" opportunities along its primary uptrend.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Gold Trading Strategy June 19Yesterday's D1 candle confirmed the Sell side after the FOMC announcement. Today's Asian session had a push but the European and American sessions are likely to sell again.
3366 will be an important breakout zone today, if broken through, the Sell side will continue to be strong and push the price deeper and limit buying when breaking this 3366 zone. 3344 is the first target, it is difficult for gold to break this zone but if it breaks right away, wait below 3296 to BUY for safety. Before that, pay attention to another support zone 3322.
3400 is the Breakout border zone from yesterday to today but gold has not broken it yet. To SELL this zone, you must also wait for the confirmation of the candle, but if you want to wait for a better SELL, you must wait for 3415 or wait at the ATH peak 3443. However, if it breaks 3400, waiting for a Buy test will be quite nice.
Support: 3343-3322-3296
Resistance: 3415-3443
Break out zone: 3366-3400
GOLD H1 Intraday Chart Update For 20 JUNE 25Hello Traders we are now at closing day of the week, for today market expected is in tight range and better to wait for closing of the week
strong resistance for the day is 3382 level while strong support for the day is 3333
scalping range for today is 3340-3375
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
$COIN 30% Pullback Confirms if we Fakeout Recent 15%+ Rally 🧨 COIN SHORT TRADE IDEA — FAKEOUT TRAP IN PLAY
Ticker: NASDAQ:COIN
Date: June 20, 2025
Thesis: Breakout trap setup — expecting a rug pull / red reversal tomorrow to confirm.
🔍 Context
Price broke above range today with a big +18.8% candle to $295 — but...
Volume spike may signal exhaustion, not strength.
RSI = 68 → near overbought
MACD curling into a bearish cross — same signal preceded the last -30% and -40% drawdowns.
History: Same range-break setups in Dec and Feb collapsed hard (-30 to -40%) over 16–25 days.
💣 Trade Plan (Short Setup)
Entry Trigger:
🔻 Enter short if price closes below $277 tomorrow — confirms breakout trap.
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: $253 (top of old range)
🎯 Target 2: $235 (mid-range support)
🎯 Target 3: $208 (full breakdown move, matches last 2 cycles)
Stop Loss:
🛑 Above $297 (breakout highs)
Timeframe:
1–3 weeks (16–26 bars historically)
🧠 Bias
Bearish unless bulls hold $280+. If we get a big red daily candle tomorrow, fakeout confirmed — high-probability follow-through expected.
Could the Gold bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce from this level to the 1st resistance which is also a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,337.35
1st Support: 3,294.91
1st Resistance: 3,413.32
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XAUUSD M15 I Bearish Reversal Based on the M15chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 3361.93, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 3342.62, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 3379.02, a swing high resistance.
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Holiday yesterday so no play! can we get it today?As we get ready to close out the week we are looking for the reversal to play out. We have been in a casual consolidation all week. Just looking for price to step outside of value one more time so that we can get a entry for it to continue pushing bullish.
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – June 20, 2025🧭 Market Context
Following FOMC volatility and a Wednesday bullish reaction off 3351, XAUUSD is now hovering near 3370. The structure remains compressed between a flat EMA cluster and a key supply zone above. Thursday may bring low-to-moderate volatility early on, but watch for reaction after Philly Fed Manufacturing and CB Leading Index data during NY. Also, stay alert for a tentative Fed Monetary Policy Report release that may trigger later-session volatility.
🔍 Structural Overview
Daily Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish
H4 Trend: Still respecting higher lows but price is trapped under dynamic resistance
H1–M15: Consolidation between 3351 demand and 3388 supply
RSI: Mixed; compression between 47–55
EMA Flow: Flat on M30/H1; slight compression building for breakout
Liquidity Pools:
Resting buy-side above 3388
Resting sell-side below 3351 and deeper toward 3340
📍 Key Zones to Watch
🔵 BUY ZONE #1 – 3345–3352
🔹 Demand zone | Previous NY reversal base
🔹 M15 OB + EQ zone + liquidity sweep
🔹 Below full EMA stack → oversold entry if NY flushes pre-news
🔵 BUY ZONE #2 – 3328–3340
🔹 Deeper HTF demand + RSI oversold potential
🔹 Bullish CHoCH reaction zone from last week
🔹 High RR for recovery play if price collapses during NY news
🔴 SELL ZONE #1 – 3384–3395
🔸 Rejected on FOMC wicks
🔸 Key supply zone + EMA200 (M30/H1)
🔸 Fakeout zone → valid if price spikes before NY volatility
🔴 SELL ZONE #2 – 3405–3415
🔸 Secondary high liquidity trap
🔸 Last bullish FVG inefficiency
🔸 To be used only in case of irrational spikes post-data
🟠 FLIP ZONE – 3368–3375
🔸 Compression zone + recent CHoCH
🔸 EMA50 (M15–H1) aligning
🔸 Watch for breakout and real volume entry → flip zone into continuation
📌 Note:
Tomorrow’s news events:
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
CB Leading Index m/m
Fed Monetary Policy Report (Tentative)
This could bring range plays early and a directional break later. Stay patient and wait for confirmation inside zones. Flip zone is ideal for quick scalps if volume picks up.
🔥 Stay sharp and don’t force trades in pre-news chop. Clean zones only.
Tag us if you’re using the plan, and don’t forget:
🧠 Think in structure. Enter in precision.
– GoldFxMinds
🟢 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold XAUUSD Move 18 June 2025Don't buy/sell this messy gold setup unless there's a clear, confirmed, and clean break— either above 3395 or below 3375.
Too many wicks = too much uncertainty and manipulation.
Investors clearly have no conviction right now.
👉 Wait for a solid candle close above 3395 for longs, or below 3375 for shorts.
Anything in between is just noise — stay out and stay safe.
Gold Hits PRZ with RD-! Time for Bears to Take Over?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) attacked the Resistance zone ($3,445-$3,406) once again, forming an Ending Diagonal at the top of the structure.
Although price reached the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) , the presence of Regular Divergence (RD-) between the last two peaks could indicate the weakening of bullish momentum .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , we can clearly count a completed 5-wave structure , with an Ending Diagonal pattern . This supports the idea of a major correction starting soon .
I expect Gold to attack the lower lines of Ending Diagonal , and if it breaks, it could drop to at least $3,333 . The Second Target could be the Support zone ($3,451-$3,120) .
Do you think Gold will make a new All-Time High(ATH) again in this rally?!
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,463
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our levels deliver the magic!!
Yesterdays update, we stated that we got the move into 3393 just like we analysed for the first level of swing and that we will now look for ema5 to cross and lock 3372 or 3393 to confirm direction.
🔄 Update:
No ema5 lock above 3393 confirmed the rejection into 3372 followed with ema5 cross and lock opening the full swing range test into 3353. We got the test and the perfect bounce back into 3372. A move into 3393 will complete the full swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels, taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before, each of our level structures gives 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back-test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid-term swings and trends.
🌀 The swing ranges give bigger bounces than our weighted levels - that's the difference between the two.
BULLISH TARGET
3440 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3463
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3463 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3483
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3483 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3508
BEARISH TARGETS
3418 -DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3418 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3393 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3393 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3372 - DONE
3353 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3353 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3330
3306
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
The market is closed today. How to arrange gold in the evening?📰 Impact of news:
1. The interest rate remains unchanged and leads to new lows in the short term
2. Geopolitical tensions provide support for risk aversion
📈 Market analysis:
The market is expected to not fluctuate much today. Generally speaking, it is difficult to stand on one foot to form a short-term bottom. There should be a second wave of bottom exploration, a secondary low point, and then the bottom is explored and pulled up to break through the previous high point. Only then can the turning point be officially established and the decline end. Moreover, the 1H moving average is spreading downward. Therefore, in the short term, we still pay attention to the 3375-3385 line of resistance and the 3360-3355 line of support below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3375-3385
TP 3365-3360-3355
BUY 3360-3355
TP 3370-3380-3405-3420
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,622 (UPDATE)Like I said on the last update, Gold is currently going through a strong 'accumulation' phase for buyers, hence why we're seeing these choppy price actions, trying to liquidate buyers.
As long as Gold is ABOVE THE WAVE 2 LOW, market structure still favours buyers. Breaking below this low, will invalidate bullish structure.
Wave 2 Invalidation Level - $3,245❌
GOLD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,368.04 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,359.44..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️