GOLD (XAUUSD): More Growth Ahead?!
Gold violated a significant intraday horizontal resistance on Friday.
The broken structure and a rising trend line compose a strong
contracting demand area now.
It will be a perfect spot to try to buy Gold after a pullback.
Next goal for the buyers will be 3400.
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Gold
XAU/USD Trading Plan - LAST WEEK OF May 25, 2025 Current Market Status * price $3358
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📊 Key Events This Week:
May 28: FOMC Meeting
May 29: Unemployment Data
May 30: Core PCE Index
📈Long Position Setup (Buy Zone)
Entry: $3,350-$3,355
Targets:
------ $3,420 (2.1% gain)
------ $3,480 (3.9% gain)
------ $3,550 (5.7% gain)
Stop Loss: $3,300 (1.5% risk)
___ Rationale:
- Support at weekly zone ($3,330)
- Potential Fed dovish pivot
- Monthly light buyer interest
- Safe-haven demand potential
📉 Short Position Setup (Sell Zone)
Entry: $3,380-$3,390
Targets:
----- $3,330 (1.5% gain)
----- $3,280 (3.0% gain)
----- $3,220 (4.7% gain)
Stop Loss: $3,420 (1.2% risk)
___Rationale:
Resistance at weekly high ($3,586)
Potential strong USD if Fed remains hawkish
Overbought conditions possible
Profit-taking at key levels
⚠️ Critical Risk Factors
FOMC interest rate decision
US economic data surprises
Geopolitial developments
Physical gold demand changes
🔍 Key Technical Levels
Support: $3,330 (weekly), $3,280 (monthly)
Resistance: $3,420 (main zone), $3,550 (ATH)
Pivot Point: $3,360
Bullish Outlook For GOLDLot of reasons for me to long GOLD.
1) 3500 round number All Time High Level.
Will be probably taken out real quick.
Possibly with a NWOG gap.
2) Blue box is my focused dealing range.
Equilibrium respected and confirmed.
Take profit 1: 3570 ( 2 st. deviations)
Take profit 2: 3796 ( 4 st. deviations)
3) Daily FVG
Extremely reactive to the top quadrant of the May 20 gap.
Update on gold for week A brief update that allows us to know about the next movement of gold vs usd .
we can notice the rejection from the bottom and the spring that we have , if the 3330 fvg is breaked with 4 hour candle with retest under it closing then we can confirm sell with sl above 3350 the tail and 1st tp will be nearly 3270
Stock Markets, Gold, Silver: Run With The Bulls!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of May 25 - 31st.
The Stock Markets are bullish, so run with valid buy setups when they form.
Gold and Silver are relatively strong. With tensions in Gaza and Iran, this is expected. Valid buys should be taken.
Crude Oil is a tad bearish due to US inventories, so valid sells are warranted in the short term.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Gold may break resistance level and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. In this chart, price previously formed a clear triangle pattern, where price was squeezed between two converging trend lines. After a period of consolidation, the market broke above this formation, reaching the resistance zone near 3365, but then started to retrace. Following that breakout, a new structure emerged, an upward wedge. The asset has been moving within this narrowing channel, forming higher lows and approaching the upper boundary with weakening momentum. This type of pattern often signals an upcoming strong move once the price breaks out from either side. Currently, Gold is trading near the resistance line of the wedge and just beneath the seller zone. I expect that the price may fall back to the support line of the wedge around the 3205 - 3185 area. After that, a bounce from this zone could trigger a bullish breakout from the wedge. That’s why I set my TP 1 at the 3420 level, this target aligns with a full wedge breakout and continuation of the upward movement through the resistance level and beyond the seller zone. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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GOLD BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,297.95
Target Level: 3,337.98
Stop Loss: 3,271.20
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
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Gold Weekly AnalysisThe FOMC meeting could make cold rise up dramatically.
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confrimation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
*******************************************************************
Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Gold: Weekly overviewHello Traders,
Political condition could cause unstable movements in the market.
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
These points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
After reacting to the following zones, you can enter the trade. Place the stop loss slightly above/below the zone to which the reaction was shown. The profit point is the next zone.
The drawn channels and their medians can also be considered as moving support and resistance. I usually use them as target points.
* A break is confirmed, only if price does not have any moving S&R on it's way.
This analysis is valid until the end of the week.
XAUUSD: Downtrend Channel - Potential Short OpportunityXAUUSD is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel on the 2-hour timeframe. Price action has been respecting the upper and lower trendlines, suggesting a continuation of the downtrend.
Given the overall downtrend, I'm seeing a potential short opportunity.
Entry: Look for a SELL signal near the upper trendline of the channel or within one of the resistance zones.
Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order above the most recent swing high or above the resistance zone to limit potential losses, around $3,390.00.
Take Profit: Target a Take Profit (TP1) near the lower trendline of the channel. A potential TP level is around $3,250.00
Target a Take Profit (TP2) near the lower trendline of the channel. A potential TP level is around $3,150.00 (adjust based on your risk tolerance and analysis).
Confirmation:
Before entering the trade, seek confirmation from other indicators or chart patterns (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns), or wait for a sell signal from our indicator.
Consider the overall market sentiment and any upcoming news events that could affect the price of gold.
Risk Management:
This is just an idea, not a trading recommendation.
Trading involves risk, and you could lose money.
Always use proper risk management techniques, including stop-loss orders and appropriate position sizing.
Disclaimer:
I am not a financial advisor. This is just my personal analysis, and you should do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Smells Like a Trend ReversalWeekly Recap – Gold Market
Monday, May 12, 2025
The week began with a sharp GAP during the Asian session (starting around 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York on Sunday) :
Gold dropped abruptly by $60, from $3,325 to $3,266.
The catalyst was a temporary easing of trade tensions between the U.S. and China, following weekend negotiations that led to a 90-day tariff pause.
During the European session (starting at 8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , the downtrend continued, pushing the price further down to $3,207.
Tuesday–Wednesday, May 13–14
Between these two sessions, the price consolidated within a narrow range of $3,265 to $3,202 (63 $ range).
Despite better-than-expected U.S. inflation data, there was no significant breakout—the market remained indecisive.
Wednesday, May 14 – European Session
The price continued its descent, falling from $3,243 to $3,168—a $75 drop—indicating persistent downward pressure despite macroeconomic stability.
Thursday, May 15
The Asian session (1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York) began quietly, with a range between $3,168 and $3,192.
Then a sharp drop to $3,123 followed (down $71), triggered by new statements from President Trump, who announced potential trade deals with India, Japan, and South Korea.
In the European session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , a strong reversal occurred.
After failed peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul, and due to growing geopolitical uncertainty plus a weakening dollar, gold surged by $132, from $3,120 to $3,252.
Friday, May 16
The Asian session opened slightly bearish, with gold dipping from $3,252 to $3,218.
However, bullish momentum returned during the European and U.S. sessions, continuing Thursday’s upward trend and adding $51 by day’s end.
📰 Geopolitical News Landscape
India / Pakistan
Since the Kashmir terror attack on May 9, 2025, tensions have escalated again.
Cross-border airstrikes and border closures have resumed. A fragile ceasefire, brokered by the U.S., is under pressure.
Disputes over water rights further strain relations.
➡️ Short-term outlook: high tension remains.
Gaza Conflict
On May 9, Israel launched Operation Gideon’s Chariot against Hamas, aiming to dismantle the group and rescue hostages.
Over 300 deaths have been reported. A leaked plan suggests Gaza will be divided into three heavily controlled zones.
The humanitarian situation is catastrophic (over 53,000 deaths since 2023).
Peace talks are underway in Doha, but the situation remains dire.
➡️ No relief in sight.
Russia / Ukraine
Direct talks were held in Istanbul for the first time in three years.
While a prisoner exchange (1,000 each side) took place, no substantial progress was achieved.
Russia demands Ukrainian troop withdrawals from contested areas—Kyiv refuses.
Simultaneously, Russian attacks intensified, including drone strikes on Sumy.
➡️ A ceasefire remains unlikely in the near term.
U.S.–China Trade War
A 90-day tariff pause was announced the weekend before May 12:
U.S. tariffs cut from 145% to 30%
Chinese tariffs reduced from 125% to 10%
Markets reacted positively at first—especially in retail and shipping sectors.
➡️ However, unresolved structural issues (e.g., tech transfers, export controls) keep tensions fragile.
No comprehensive deal is in sight.
⚖️ Trump vs. Powell
Tensions escalate between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell:
- Trump demands aggressive rate cuts
- Powell warns of inflation risks
- The Fed holds the interest rate steady at 4.25–4.5%
- A 10% staff reduction is planned at the Fed for “efficiency”
➡️ The growing political interference is increasing market instability.
📉 U.S. Inflation – April 2025
The official inflation rate dropped to 2.3%, the lowest since February 2021.
However, consumer inflation expectations soared to 7.3%, the highest since 1981.
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 50.8—a historic low.
➡️ A clear gap between perception and data is emerging.
📊 Technical Analysis – Short-Term
Since May 12, an open GAP exists between $3,289 and $3,325 (36 $ range)
A V-shaped reversal formed from the low on May 15 ($3,120) to the Friday close ($3,204)
Symmetrical triangle formation suggests a convergence around $3,284 (possible by Tuesday)
➡️ Current trading range: $3,172 to $3,285 (113 $ range)
💡 Outlook for Monday, May 19
Time-Zone-Based Expectations:
Asia session (starting 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York Sunday):
👉 Potential retest of $3,154
Europe session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York):
👉 Bullish outlook toward $3,234
U.S. session (2:30 PM London / 9:30 AM New York):
👉 Possible continuation of bullish move — open-ended potential
📌 Trade Setup – Monday 8:00 AM (London) / 3:00 AM (New York)
If price is below $3,154 → I stay flat and wait for clear signals
If price is above $3,172 → I consider a long position, unless conflicting news emerges
🎯 Weekly Target
My goal for the week is $3,348, provided the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) holds near the 100-point level.
🧠 Conclusion
I am increasingly convinced that news-driven trading delivers the best results—if one can properly interpret the signals.
🔢 Fibonacci Levels
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,500 (April 22)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,435 (May 6)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,252 (May 16)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Update : Memorial Weekend RisksThis EOD update is to help you try to position for the risks associated with a further breakdown in price trends over the lone Memorial Day weekend.
I know this video will be posted late in the day - but I want you to learn how to hedge against risks and try to learn to take your profits when they are THERE.
This is a really quick video.
Stay safe this weekend and thank you to all our VETS for your service and sacrifices.
We honor you this weekend.
GET SOME.
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XAUUSD Intraday Analysis – 23 May 2025Technical Outlook:
Price is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with both the upper and lower trendlines being respected consistently. The recent bullish momentum aligns well with the overall market structure, suggesting continued upward pressure.
Channel Support Zone: The lower bound of the channel has consistently acted as dynamic support, with price bouncing each time.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): Two clear FVGs are present, with price reacting to the first one already. The second, slightly higher FVG, aligns with the midline of the channel — a common area of short-term consolidation or continuation.
Key Buy Zones:
Zone 1: 3300–3305 – Ideal first entry zone aligning with minor demand and the lower region of the current consolidation.
Zone 2: 3315–3320 – Second entry zone closer to mid-channel and higher FVG area.
Bullish Confluence:
Channel support (structure).
FVG demand zones.
Higher highs and higher lows (market structure).
No significant resistance until ~3380–3400, providing ample R:R.
📈 Trade Signal (XAUUSD)
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zones:
🔹 Buy Limit @ 3300–3305
🔹 Buy Limit @ 3315–3320
Stop Loss: (just below channel support)
Take Profit 1: 3335
Take Profit 2: 3355
Take Profit 3: 3375
Take Profit 4: 3385
Risk Management: 1–2% per entry zone based on your account size. Adjust position size according to risk tolerance.
Kindly follow, share, support and boost.
Gold Bulls showing Fatigue at 78.6 Fib. Reversal Incoming?Price just tapped into a key confluence zone around 3367–3376, aligning with the 78.6% fib retracement, previous resistance, and a psychological level.
The latest 4H candle is showing classic buy exhaustion — long upper wick, small body, and failure to close above resistance. This could be the first sign of a momentum shift or short-term pullback.
I’m watching for a bearish confirmation candle next. If that shows up, a sell setup targeting back to 3325/3310 could develop.
Aggressive sellers might already be in. Conservative ones may wait for a clean bearish engulfing or break of market structure.
GOLD: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,355.96 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,323.73 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
HelenP. I Gold will reach trend line and then start to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Observing this chart, we can see how the price traded inside the support zone, which coincided with the support level, and then dropped below. After this price turned around and made impulse up, reached the 3135 level, broke it, and made a retest. Next, price continued to move up and later it reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and even broke this level and rose to the trend line. But then Gold at once rebounded and fell below the 3385 level, breaking it again, and continued to decline next. When the price fell to 3215 points, it turned around and in a short time rose to the trend line, breaking the resistance level again, after which it turned around and started to fall. Gold broke the 3385 level one more time and later made a gap and then fell to the support level. But not a long time ago, it turned around and started to grow. At the moment, price has almost reached the trend line, so I expect that XAUUSD will reach the trend line finally and then rebound and start to decline. For this case, I set my goal at 3185 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
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