Gold can reach resistance level, break it and continue to riseHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Recently, price formed a clean upward wedge pattern and is showing strong bullish behaviour. After bouncing off the support level at 3275, the price entered the buyer zone (3255 - 3275) and reversed with a confident impulse up, signalling renewed interest from buyers. From there, price has consistently respected the support line, printing higher lows and slowly climbing back toward the resistance level at 3410. This level has acted as a significant rejection area before, but this time, the structure looks stronger. Each pull-back has been shallow, and buyers are stepping in faster. The momentum is slowly building. Now the price is trading just below resistance and moving with a bullish trajectory. I expect Gold to continue its climb, first reaching the Resistance Level, and then targeting the seller zone (3410 - 3430). That’s why I’ve set my TP at 3430 points - right inside this upper area where I anticipate profit-taking and potential reversal. Given the bullish pattern structure, the wedge formation, and the strength of recent impulses, I stay bullish and expect further growth in the coming sessions. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold
GOLD: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,358.00 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,349.30.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)I would like to see the 4H candle close strongly ABOVE this current resistance zone & turn it into support, before I can confidently say it'll shoot up to $3,400 next. For all we know, price might reject this resistance again & shoot back down, but that is looking unlikely right now.
Let's see how the weekly candle closes tonight.
GOLD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The market is trading on 3353.5 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 3343.00
Recommended Stop Loss - 3359.88
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
THE LONG SHOT 〉POTENTIAL OUTLOOKAs illustrated, I'm trying to visualize how a potential continuation impulse could look like during " Bullish July " and toward the end of the year (depending on how aggressive buyers step in; specially central banks and institutions).
As you can see on this Daily chart, price respected a long term trend line + is forming higher lows, funneling into a shorter and shorter range of accumulation.
This is a very strong bullish behavior; when price gets tighter and tighter respecting a resistance level, but making higher lows. It tends to indicate that price is accumulating and "loading" (sort of speak).
Now, analyzing gold from the fundamental aspect, one MUST align those factors with price. In other words: DOES IT MAKE SENSE TO BE BULLISH OR "THINK" PRICE COULD RISE?
Well, ask yourself and do the research on the following (but not limited to) questions:
1. How is the US dollar doing? (Since it is the world's "reserve" currency)
2. Are the interest rates in the USA favoring the economy?
3. How is the world economy as a whole doing?
- inflation in the top world powers and important economies?
4. How is international trade policy looking like for the world?
- Positive or negative? Are countries happy with each other currently, trading without any issues? (Or maybe... there's a tariff war and a trade war goin on?...)
5. Politically speaking, is the general public UNITED or POLARIZED? (politics is a key fundamental aspect for the price of gold, as it either adds to uncertainty and tensions, or it calms things down).
6. Geopolitically speaking (and most importantly); is the "conflict" (war) ending, getting better, resolving? ...
7. Where is the money going and flowing? Black rock, vanguard, and other top hedge funds; where are they investing their money? ( because central banks keep BUYING gold... )
Those are some of many many questions one must study and understand, in order to align the technical aspects of the price of the yellow metal.
If any question/factor DOES NOT POINT to bullishness in price, then the technical and price projection of any analysis starts to have weakness.
On the other hand, if the fundamental factors and questions in play INDEED POINT toward an uncertain situation, adding bullishness to the price, any analysis and bullish projection simply has those aspects to its favor.
--
GOOD LUCK!
persaxu
IMPORTANT BREAKOUT 〉BULLS ARE BACKAs illustrated, price has broken out of an important 4H and 1D trend line that had kept price bearish since the beginning of the month.
Yesterday, gold made its way to a ket resistance level and broke it, CLOSING above it in the 4H timeframe, which is a key sign that bulls are back.
An interesting sign is that price bounced from the 61.8 - 67% retracement of the last bullish impulse that had an extended correction.
Should price manage to stay above 3250-3300 next week, , (a very strong psychological and algorithmic price range), the path to a new ATH is well opened and the probabilities arise on its favor.
I try to visualize a potential buy area shown in green, and the invalidation of this idea would be the level from which price has bounced.
--
I have been bullish on gold since 2023, ignoring any correction to be a "bearish market" and rather accumulation phases of longer term potential for growth.
The world economy and geopolitical conflict along many other financial macroeconomic data and circumstances, are simply NOT pointing toward a better future, and gold is screaming so by continuing to rise, and central banks back this up by continuing to buy it physically.
--
GOOD LUCK
Gold bullish breakout support at 3308The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3308 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3308 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3387 – initial resistance
3400 – psychological and structural level
3435 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3308 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3290 – minor support
3268 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3308. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD → Distribution. There is potential for growth to 3450–3500FX:XAUUSD breaks through consolidation resistance and forms a distribution pattern. A breakout of 3345-3358 could lead to another rally amid high economic risks...
Gold is rising for the third day in a row amid growing concerns about new tariffs announced by Trump. He threatened to impose tariffs on Canada and most of its trading partners, as well as the EU. Despite the strengthening of the dollar, demand for gold remains strong due to uncertainty and expectations for US inflation data next week. Investors are cautious ahead of CPI and the Fed's possible response
The correlation between gold and the dollar is declining, with gold rising due to geopolitical reasons amid high economic risks.
If the bulls keep the price above 3300-3345, the market could be extremely positive for 3400-3500.
Resistance levels: 3345, 3358
Support levels: 3330, 3308
Gold has broken through the resistance of the “triangle” consolidation pattern and is forming a distribution phase towards the zone of interest 3345 - 3358, from which a small correction may form before growth. Since 3345 is an intermediate level, the focus is on 3358. I do not rule out the possibility of a long squeeze of the support levels 3330, the triangle support, and 3310 before the growth continues.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,346.66
Target Level: 3,283.88
Stop Loss: 3,388.42
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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DeGRAM | GOLD held the trend line📊 Technical Analysis
● Bulls defended the channel‐base 3 280 zone, breaking the six-week falling wedge and reclaiming 3 312; structure flips to higher-highs within the rising channel.
● A close above the wedge lip at 3 355 should unlock the grey range ceiling where the May trend-cap and 3 430 – 3 450 intersect. Pull-backs into 3 300-3 312 are expected to attract bids while the wedge retest holds.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US headline-CPI cooled for a second month, knocking 2-yr real yields to one-month lows and trimming Fed-cut timing, while PBoC data show June net gold purchases resuming—both reviving spot demand.
✨ Summary
Long 3 300-3 320; breakout >3 355 eyes 3 430 → 3 450. Invalidate on an H4 close below 3 280.
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XAUUSD - Will Gold Continue Its Rise?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the hourly chart and is trading in its ascending channel. We still have a bullish view on this commodity and we can expect to see $3,350. A correction towards the bottom of the ascending channel will also provide us with a better risk-reward buying opportunity.
According to the World Gold Council, physically backed gold ETFs attracted around $38 billion in investments during the first half of 2025. This marks the largest semi-annual inflow since the beginning of 2020. The remarkable surge is primarily attributed to heightened investor demand for safe-haven assets amid escalating economic and trade tensions triggered by President Trump’s tariff policies.
During this period, the total gold holdings of these funds grew by 397.1 tonnes, bringing their global assets to 3,615.9 tonnes by the end of June—the highest level since August 2022, although still below the all-time high of 3,915 tonnes recorded in October 2020.
U.S.-based funds led the inflows with an addition of 206.8 tonnes, while Asian funds—despite accounting for only 9% of total assets—captured 28% of global inflows, highlighting a significant rise in interest among Asian investors in gold.
This positive trend emerged after three consecutive years of outflows between 2021 and 2023, followed by modest inflows in 2024. Concurrently, gold prices have surged by 26%, reaching a record high of $3,500 per ounce in April.
The World Gold Council, established in 1987 and headquartered in London, is funded by major gold mining companies. Its main objectives include boosting global demand for gold, enhancing market accessibility, and promoting innovation within the gold industry. The council plays a crucial role in shaping global perceptions of gold as a financial asset.
However, some analysts argue that the council essentially functions as a powerful lobbying group for mining corporations, often releasing reports designed to bolster demand and foster a positive market sentiment toward gold.
On the other hand, Bank of America (BofA), in its latest report using a global trading time framework, analyzed the outlook for the U.S. dollar in the second half of 2025. Despite the dollar having its worst start to a year since 1973, the report suggests that selling pressures on the currency may ease going forward, particularly during U.S. trading hours.
U.S. Trading Hours and Federal Reserve Policy
The dollar’s cumulative performance during U.S. trading hours remains strongly correlated—at 71%—with Federal Reserve interest rate pricing. Given expectations for stable rates throughout the rest of the year, the dollar could find some support during this time frame.
Asia: The Main Driver of Dollar Selling in H1 2025
Asian investors were the largest sellers of the dollar during the first half of 2025. However, after fully unwinding the long positions accumulated over the past two years, dollar performance in Asian trading hours has now turned neutral. Fresh selling may remain limited unless new bearish catalysts emerge.
Europe: Tied to Global Equities’ Performance
Dollar weakness during European trading hours largely depends on the relative strength of global equities versus U.S. stocks. As U.S. equities reclaimed market leadership in the second quarter, European investors may have less incentive to continue selling dollars.
Decline in Currency Hedging Appetite
Following the dollar’s significant drop in the first half of the year, foreign investors are now less inclined to increase currency hedges on their dollar-denominated assets.
According to Bank of America’s trading time framework, the pace of the dollar’s decline is likely to slow in the second half of the year, especially during U.S. trading hours, as stable Federal Reserve policy removes a key bearish factor. Selling pressure from Asia is also expected to ease unless new downside triggers arise. The key variable going forward will be the relative performance of global equities versus U.S. markets.
Gold fluctuates, consolidation in the 3330-3310 range📰 News information:
1. Waller meeting on interest rate cuts
2. Trump tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
Waller will participate in the meeting in more than two hours and pay attention to whether there is any news of interest rate cut. The key is to operate around the 3330-3310 range. Continue to pay attention to the support of 3310-3305 at night. If gold falls below 3310,-3305 again, the downward trend will continue, and it is expected to touch 3280 again, or even 3250. If it rebounds above 3330, it is likely to continue to rise.
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold: Market analysis and strategy on July 11Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance: 3375, support: 3285
Four-hour chart resistance: 3360, support: 3310
One-hour chart resistance: 3345, support: 3324.
For the current market trend, pay attention to the resistance of 3340-3345 on the upper side during the day. This is the high point concentration area that has suppressed the upward trend of gold prices many times in the early stage. If it is treated as a volatile market, sell at highs in the 3340~3345 range. If it breaks through 3345, it may trigger stop-loss buying and continue to rise to the 3355~3360 area.
The key support below is still at 3310, but from the 1-hour chart, the trend is rising in steps, and the short-term support is around 3324. Buy back here. After the Asian market was blocked near the previous high of 3345, it entered a short-term correction, and the long and short saws. It is suitable for fast in and out, and follow up and buy after breaking through 3345.
Buy: 3324near
Buy: 3310near
Buy: 3345near
Sell: 3344near
Go long when the trend reverses, beware of black swansYesterday's pullback to 3313-3310 confirmed the upward trend of gold. As I expected, it broke through the resistance of 3330 and touched around 3345. Currently, the short-term strong resistance is at 3345. Only by breaking through this resistance can gold maintain its upward trend. If it is blocked near the 3345 line in the short term, there is a possibility of a pullback. If 3345 breaks, there will be 3365 and 3400 above. Once the direction is clear, it will be easier to act. If there is a pullback during the day, it will give us a trading opportunity to enter the long position.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Reversal Entry's Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal 3285 : 3272 Zone
🩸Bearish Reversal 3326 : 3334 Zone
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Reversal Entry's Detected )
109K Launch Zone? Bitcoin Update Now LiveHey everyone,
Here's my latest Bitcoin analysis for you. The current price action is unfolding within an ABC corrective wave.
🔍 I've identified the optimal buy zone between 108,349 and 109,682.
📉 Once the price pulls back into this range, my limit orders will be triggered and the position will open.
🎯 In this scenario, my target level is 118,157.
Below are the exact levels for my entry, targets, and stop-loss:
- 🟩 Entry Level: 109,027
- 🟥 Stop-Loss: 105,876
- 🎯 TP1: 111,156
- 🎯 TP2: 113,607
- 🎯 TP3: 118,362
- ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.00
(This is based on a swing trade model, so reaching this level may take some time)
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Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
XAUUSD - Sell or Buy ? Hello everyone, great to see you again!
Today, OANDA:XAUUSD remains under notable pressure as the U.S. continues to signal a tougher trade stance. The latest move: the U.S. President announced a 50% import tariff on copper and a potential 200% tariff on pharmaceuticals, following a previous tariff notice ranging from 25% to 40% sent to 14 countries — including Japan, South Korea, Thailand, and Malaysia.
This isn’t just about protectionism. These measures fuel fears of global inflation, supply chain disruptions, and a broader economic slowdown. With surging prices in raw materials and essential goods, consumers may be forced to cut back spending, a classic warning sign for future growth.
In this environment, investors had hoped gold would shine again as a safe haven asset. However, the recent bullish momentum has been underwhelming, signaling ongoing market hesitation.
📉 On the H4 chart, XAUUSD is being squeezed into a descending pattern, which typically carries a high probability of a downside breakout. If the current support fails, the next target could fall below the 32xx area.
On the flip side, if supportive news emerges — such as a hint of rate cuts from the Fed — gold must break above the $3,335 level to revive bullish sentiment.
🔎 What do you think? Will gold break lower — or bounce back? Drop your thoughts below!
GOLD continues to recover, tariff war changes unpredictablyInternational OANDA:XAUUSD continued to rise, boosted by a slight decline in the US Dollar and US Treasury yields. At the same time, investors are closely monitoring the developments in trade negotiations as US President Trump expands the tariff war.
As of the time of writing, spot OANDA:XAUUSD increased by 0.3% to 3,333 USD/oz. The general weakness of the US Dollar, the decline in US Treasury yields and renewed concerns about the escalation of the trade war have helped stabilize gold prices.
On Thursday evening (July 10) local time, US President Donald Trump once again increased pressure on trading partners. He announced that he would impose a 35% tariff on imported goods from Canada, and the USD/CAD exchange rate rose sharply in the short term.
Trump posted on his social media platform Truth Social that a 35% tariff would be imposed on imported goods from Canada, effective from August 1, 2025.
It is still unclear whether the current exemptions for goods traded under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) will be extended or terminated.
Due to the impact of escalating trade tensions, spot gold prices also rose by more than 10 dollars in the short term at the beginning of the Asian trading session on Friday, and the current high price of gold has reached around 3,336 USD/ounce.
In an interview with NBC News on Thursday, Trump said he was also considering imposing a flat tariff of 15% to 20% on most of his trading partners, adding that the exact tariff rate was being worked out. The current flat tariff rate is 10%.
Trump sent letters to trading partners this week, announcing that the new tariffs would take effect on August 1 if they could not negotiate more favorable terms. He is expected to send letters to European Union member states soon.
Trump sent the first batch of tariff letters to 14 countries, including Japan and South Korea, on July 7, with tariffs ranging from 25% to 40%. He also said he would send more similar letters this week.
Minutes from the Fed's June 17-18 meeting showed that only a "few" Fed officials thought a rate cut was possible as early as this month, while most preferred to hold off until later in the year due to inflation concerns caused by Trump's tariffs.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted unanimously to leave interest rates unchanged at its June meeting. The next policy meeting is scheduled for July 29-30.
Markets will focus on progress in Trump's tariff negotiations, key US economic data and speeches by Federal Reserve officials later in the day for fresh trading direction for gold prices.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has had 2 sessions of recovery from the area around the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, but the temporary upside momentum is still limited and does not qualify for a new bullish cycle.
In the short term, the EMA21 with the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement will act as the nearest resistance, if gold takes the price action to break above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level it will qualify for a new bullish cycle with the target then being around $3,400 in the short term, more so than $3,430.
On the other hand, with the current neutral trend, once gold is sold below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level again, it will have conditions to decline, and the target then is around 3,246 USD in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.
The RSI index is hovering around 50, also showing that the market sentiment is still hesitant to have a specific direction.
During the day, the sideways trend of gold prices will be noticed by the following positions.
Support: 3,300 - 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,340 - 3,350 - 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3388 - 3386⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3392
→Take Profit 1 3380
↨
→Take Profit 2 3372
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3296 - 3298⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3292
→Take Profit 1 3304
↨
→Take Profit 2 3310
GOLD SWING LONG|
✅GOLD is trading in a strong
Long-term uptrend along the
Rising support line so we are
Bullish biased and after the price
Breakout of the local opening wedge
We we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPJPY - Multi Year SHORTS Coming! (Over 10,000pips)Here we have the 2 month chart of GBPJPY. We can see that we're in a massive ending diagonal made up of 5 waves.
We are currently on wave 4 and have almost completed. At the moment we are working within the parameters of a channel however we must be aware that we may exceed the channel. The channel is just there for us to use as a guideline.
In 2007, we have a really nice ending diagonal (expanding) before we made that ridiculous +13k pip drop.
See below for the 2D GBPJPY chart from 2007:
We can see that the lower timeframe diagonal broke down beautifully.
We are anticipating something similar this time round!
See below for the 2D GBPJPY chart of the current diagonal:
We've got an almost identical price action as 2007. We just got to wait a little and watch for the break of the red trendline and enter and hold.
See below for the 2week chart of GBPJPY:
Trade Idea:
- Watch for a break of the ending diagonal
- Alternatively, you can wait for a pullback after the ending diagonal breaks
- stop loss above highs once entry trendline breaks
- Swing Target: 100 (10,000pips)
What do you guys think?
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
GBPJPY - Multi-Year Short Update! In our last setup for GBPJPY, we identified a massive diagonal pattern, with price completing wave 4 and preparing for a multi-year drop into wave 5.
Since then, price has played out exactly as forecasted — we've seen a clean impulse lower for wave 1, followed by an ABC correction for wave 2, which looks to have now completed.
This sets the stage for the next major leg — wave 3 of 5 — which historically carries the most power and momentum.
📉 See monthly chart here:
📊 GBP/JPY Wave‑3 Trade Idea
Background:
We’ve completed wave 1 down and wave 2 up (ABC correction).
GBPJPY is now positioned to start a powerful wave 3 down — the most impulsive leg in an Elliott sequence.
🔍 Current Price Action:
Price is rejecting major resistance (previous wave A high + shaded zone)
Structure shows a completed 5-wave move up within C, suggesting exhaustion.
A clean ascending trendline (red) has formed under wave v — a break here signals the first confirmation.
Option 1 – Aggressive Entry:
- Trigger: Break and close below the red trendline (~198.00–197.80 zone) on the daily.
- Entry: On candle close below trendline
- Stop Loss: Above recent high ~199.80 and then breakeven once we move lower
Option 2 – Conservative Entry (preferred):
- Trigger: Trendline break + correction
- Entry: On bearish confirmation and then a correction to indicate further downside
- Stop Loss: Above recent high ~199.80 and then breakeven once we move lower
Take Profit Levels:
- TP1: 192
- TP2: 180
- TP3: 175
- Final Target: Trail for extended move toward wave (3) lows (could be 10,000+ pips over long term)
🔐 Invalidation:
Daily close back above 200.00 or impulsive rally beyond the pink resistance zone invalidates the short bias in the short term.
✅ Summary:
This is a high-conviction, structure-backed setup with:
- Wave count + Fib confluence
- Bearish structure at key resistance
- Confirmation-based trigger (trendline break + retest)
- Excellent long-term risk-to-reward profile
📂 Previous GBPJPY Setups (Track Record):
📌 Free Setup (Big Picture Outlook) – Multi-Year Shorts Incoming (Wave 4 Completion)
✅ Swing 1 – 1,200 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Long)
✅ Swing 2 – 1,000 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Short)
✅ Swing 3 – 1,100 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Short)
✅ Swing 4 – 700 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Short)