EUR/USD DAILY PLAN – BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION OR FAKEOUT TRAP?EUR/USD DAILY PLAN – BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION OR FAKEOUT TRAP?
🧠 Macro Overview
This week’s trading landscape is influenced by both European and U.S. developments:
EU Side: There are no major macroeconomic releases ahead, but expectations are growing that the ECB may adopt a more dovish tone in upcoming meetings. If inflation continues to cool, the euro may face downside pressure.
U.S. Side: Last week’s CPI and PPI data showed signs of cooling inflation, yet not enough for the Fed to shift gears. The U.S. dollar remains supported by the prospect of “higher for longer” interest rates.
Global Sentiment: Ongoing U.S.–China tensions and trade policy updates in Europe are keeping risk appetite cautious. The EUR/USD pair is testing a key zone and may break out of the descending channel soon — or reject hard if buyers fail to hold.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1 Chart)
EUR/USD bounced strongly from the 1.1160 – 1.1180 demand zone and is now testing the key resistance at 1.1237 — a confluence of descending trendline and the 200 EMA on the 1H chart.
A clean breakout above and sustained hold of 1.1237 could pave the way toward higher resistance levels at 1.1270 and 1.1325.
However, if the pair gets rejected at 1.1237, it may fall back to test the lower support at 1.1160 – 1.1180, possibly forming a range before a larger move.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance Levels:
1.1237 → Key confluence zone (EMA200 + trendline)
1.1270 → Previous swing high
1.1302 – 1.1325 → Upper resistance zone with Fibo confluence
🔻 Support Levels:
1.1180 → Immediate demand area
1.1160 → Critical trendline support
A break below 1.1160 could trigger stronger bearish momentum
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1. Bullish Breakout Above 1.1237
🔹 Entry: 1.1240 – 1.1250
🔹 SL: 1.1210
🔹 TP: 1.1270 → 1.1302 → 1.1325
2. Bearish Rejection at 1.1237
🔻 Entry: 1.1230 – 1.1225
🔻 SL: 1.1255
🔻 TP: 1.1180 → 1.1160
3. Buy-the-Dip at Key Support
🔹 Entry: 1.1165 – 1.1170
🔹 SL: 1.1135
🔹 TP: 1.1200 → 1.1230
⚠️ Key Notes:
Avoid entering trades during chop between 1.1215 – 1.1237 unless breakout confirmation appears.
Be cautious of liquidity grabs during London and NY session opens.
Stick to tight risk management as market remains uncertain and range-bound.
📌 Conclusion:
EUR/USD is at a decision point. Whether bulls take control or sellers defend key resistance will determine short-term trend direction. Trade the breakout or the reaction — not the prediction.
Gold
Gold Sell Setup: Bearish Price Action Points to 3092!Hello traders,
I'm currently keeping a close eye on Gold (XAU/USD) for potential short setups. Recent price action shows clear bearish pressure, with Lower Highs (LHs) and Lower Lows (LLs) forming consistently — a strong indication that bulls are losing control and sellers are still in charge.
I'm particularly watching the internal highs around the 3265 zone. I’m anticipating a possible liquidity sweep above that level — a fake breakout that could tap into the daily imbalance zone (highlighted on the chart below). If price reacts bearishly from that area, I’ll be looking for confirmation to go short.
GOLD Daily
My short-term target for this sell idea is around 3092, just below last week's low.
That’s my current perspective on Gold — what are your thoughts?
Feel free to drop your analysis or any alternative views in the comment section below. Let’s learn and grow together!
XAUUSD - Will Gold Reach $3,300?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I expect the path ahead for gold to be bullish, but a downward correction of gold will lead to the creation of buying positions from the bottom of the channel.
Gold faced renewed selling pressure over the past week—an event that not only dragged down its price but also led many analysts and retail investors to temporarily abandon their bullish short-term outlooks. The return of investor appetite for riskier assets has momentarily weakened gold’s appeal as a safe haven.
Meanwhile, the credit rating agency Moody’s has finally acted, downgrading the U.S. sovereign rating from Aaa to Aa1. This marks the first time that even one of the major agencies no longer sees the U.S. as worthy of the highest credit rating. The downgrade was driven by factors such as an annual budget deficit nearing $2 trillion, a debt burden exceeding GDP, and elevated interest rates that have significantly increased the government’s borrowing costs—conditions which, if persistent, could serve as catalysts for gold’s resurgence.
Adrian Day, CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management, stated: “The downward trend continues. We expect prices to decline further in the coming weeks, especially with the potential restructuring of U.S. trade tariffs. That said, once this phase passes, it could set the stage for one of the best buying opportunities.”
Adam Button, Chief Currency Strategist at Forexlive.com, offered a similar outlook, saying: “Current trading sentiment is clearly tilted toward the downside. The market is searching for a new floor, although it seems likely that support will remain above the key $3,000 psychological threshold.”
Following a week full of economic data, the upcoming week’s calendar appears relatively light, with only a handful of reports likely to influence the markets. Early in the week, traders will face a lack of major catalysts, but focus will gradually shift toward Thursday’s releases: weekly jobless claims, the flash PMI from S&P Global, and existing home sales. Additionally, new home sales data on Friday will be one of the few key events of the week.
Alongside these economic updates, the coming days will feature a wave of speeches from Federal Reserve policymakers. Speakers include Jefferson, Williams, Logan, Kashkari, Barkin, Bostic, Collins, Musalem, Kugler, Daly, and Hsu, culminating with a speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Sunday evening.
GOLD at 3244: Bullish Channel or Bearish Pullback?As of May 19, 2025, GOLD is trading at 3244 on the 4H timeframe, showcasing a blend of technical patterns and fundamental influences driving its recent movements. On the technical side, GOLD has been moving within an ascending channel, a sign of persistent bullish momentum over the past weeks. However, the latest price action hints at a possible corrective phase, as it nears key support levels between 3120 and 3150, zones where buyers have stepped in previously. This potential pullback could be a healthy reset within the uptrend, though some analysts also point to a reversal setup if the price tests the lower boundary of a shorter-term descending channel. For now, the broader structure still favors bulls as long as support holds firm.
Fundamentally, GOLD’s price is reacting to a tug-of-war between global economic signals. Optimism from US-China trade talks and easing geopolitical tensions have sparked risk-on sentiment, reducing demand for safe-haven assets like GOLD and contributing to its recent dip from highs near 3250. On the flip side, uncertainty around Federal Reserve rate policies and persistent inflation concerns are keeping a floor under the price. Traders should keep an eye on upcoming economic data, like inflation reports or Fed statements, as these could either bolster GOLD’s safe-haven appeal or push it lower if risk appetite strengthens further.
For actionable insights, here are the levels to watch. Resistance sits at 3243, 3257, and 3269, breaking above 3269 could reignite the uptrend, with 3300 as the next big target. Support lies at 3222 and 3200; a drop below 3200 might signal a deeper correction toward 3150-3120, where past demand could resurface. Sentiment is split: some traders see a brief dip as a buying opportunity within the bullish trend, while others brace for a larger pullback. Stay nimble, manage your risk, and let the price action guide your next move.
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPUSD is currently forming a clean bullish pennant pattern on the daily chart after a strong impulsive rally, indicating that the pair is consolidating before its next leg higher. Price is hovering around the 1.3360–1.3380 zone, coiling tightly within the pennant structure, and showing signs of breakout pressure building. This is a classic continuation setup in a trending market, and with volume compression and decreasing volatility, the stage is set for a bullish breakout toward the 1.4070–1.4100 region.
On the fundamental side, the British pound remains relatively supported due to recent hawkish rhetoric from the Bank of England, which is still closely monitoring wage inflation and strong labor market figures. Meanwhile, the US dollar is facing headwinds after softer CPI and PPI readings this month, fueling expectations of Fed rate cuts in the second half of 2025. These macro dynamics are increasingly tilting in favor of sterling strength, as investors begin pricing in yield divergence between the Fed and the BoE.
Technically, the bullish structure is intact and the pennant formation is forming right after a sharp move higher, which adds confluence to this pattern. The breakout zone to watch is 1.3380–1.3400, and if bulls can clear this area with momentum, we are likely to see a swift extension toward the 1.4070 level. The risk is well-contained below 1.3340, offering an excellent reward-to-risk ratio for breakout traders and trend followers.
This setup is not only technically sound but also backed by current macro shifts, making GBPUSD one of the most promising long opportunities right now. The market has been consolidating for weeks, building up energy, and with fundamentals aligning, this breakout could drive a strong move into Q3. I'm eyeing the 1.4070–1.4100 target in the coming weeks, and I'll continue to monitor for confirmation and execution signals.
EURUSD 4H: Breakout or Bust at 1.1250?On the 4H timeframe, EURUSD is currently trading at 1.12450, sitting just below a key resistance level at 1.1250. This level is notable as it aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of a recent bullish wave and has historically rejected price advances, reinforcing a bearish tone after multiple tests. A breakout above 1.1250 could ignite further upside momentum, potentially driving the pair toward 1.1389, a target derived from recent trade setups. However, if the price fails to breach this resistance, a pullback toward the support zone at 1.1150, where buyers have previously stepped in, becomes likely.
Technical indicators will be key to decoding the pair’s next move. Watch the 50-period and 200-period moving averages on the 4H chart: if the price holds above these levels, it signals bullish strength, but a drop below could flip the trend bearish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is another tool to monitor, overbought conditions near 1.1250 might hint at a reversal, while oversold readings near 1.1150 could suggest a bounce. Look out for RSI divergence too, as it often flags weakening momentum before a shift occurs. These tools together can help pinpoint entry and exit zones.
In summary, EURUSD is at a crossroads on the 4H chart, testing the 1.1250 resistance with 1.1150 as the next support below. A clean break above 1.1250 opens the door to higher targets like 1.1389, while a rejection could see sellers push toward 1.1150. Use moving averages and RSI to time your trades, and stay alert for news that could jolt the market. With the pair consolidating between these levels, patience will pay off, wait for confirmation before jumping in.
Gold Price Surge Will This Be the Catalyst for the Next Breakout💥 Gold Price Surge: Will This Be the Catalyst for the Next Breakout? | Trading Plan for Today 📊
📊 Market Overview:
✔️ Gold (XAU/USD) has shown a strong recovery following significant geopolitical and economic developments over the weekend. Key factors driving this rally include:
✔️ Putin’s Rejection of Peace Talks: If the conflict intensifies, we may see a surge in demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
✔️ US Credit Downgrade: Rising concerns over US debt and bond yields could drive more investors back into gold.
✔️ Trump’s Tariff Threat: Although less aggressive than before, Trump’s volatility still poses risks to market stability, with gold remaining a key hedge.
✔️ These combined factors have driven a gap up of over 20 points during the early Asia session. Should these issues remain unresolved, gold could be set for a strong move back toward its previous All-Time High (ATH).
📉 Technical Analysis:
✔️ The chart is showing an increasingly bullish setup. EMA 13 has crossed above both EMA 34 and EMA 200 on the M30 chart, suggesting that the market is primed for a breakout.
✔️ We’re seeing the potential for a $100–$200 rally per ounce, should the bullish momentum persist.
✔️ Given the current market volatility, geopolitical events could cause sharp price movements. A breakout of the current trendline may indicate that we are witnessing a retest before the next significant surge.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
🔻 Support Levels: 3204, 3193, 3186, 3174, 3163
🔺 Resistance Levels: 3254, 3277, 3288
💰 Trading Strategy for Today:
✅ BUY Scalp: 3194 – 3196
🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3190
✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230
✅ BUY Zone: 3186 – 3184
🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3180
✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3190 → 3195 → 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230
✔️ SELL Zone: 3287 – 3289
🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3293
✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3285 → 3280 → 3285 → 3280 → 3270
💎 Good Luck! Stay tuned for more updates, and trade wisely! 📈
Hanzo / Gold 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🔥 GOLD – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
👌Bullish After Break Out : 3235
👌Bearish After Break Out : 3220
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer
Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations.
🔤 Smart Money Confirmation Acquired:
Structure break aligned with order block integrity.➗ Both bullish and bearish models validated. Tactical options open.
🔥Multi-Timeframe Confluence:🩸
Higher timeframe levels intersect — prime territory for sniper scalps in either direction.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase
Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
MarketBreakdown | GOLD, USDCAD, GBPNZD, GBPJPY
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #GOLD #XAUUSD 4H time frame 🥇
I see some clear signs of bullish accumulation on intraday time frames.
The price formed an ascending triangle pattern.
Its neckline represents a significant resistance.
Its violation and a 4H candle close above will provide
a strong bullish confirmation signal.
A growth to higher structures will be expected then.
2️⃣ #USDCAD daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇦
Do not forget that today is the official banking holiday in Canada.
For that reason, CAD pairs might be slow.
USDCAD is currently consolidating within a narrow range on a daily.
I believe that for now, a consolidation is likely to continue.
3️⃣ #GBPNZD daily time frame 🇬🇧🇳🇿
The price successfully violated a falling trend line - a
strong vertical resistance last week.
We see a strong bullish reaction to that after its retest.
I believe that the pair will continue growing, it will likely
test a current high first and violate that, setting a new one then.
4️⃣ #GBPJPY daily time frame 🇬🇧🇯🇵
The pair is trading in a strong bullish trend on a daily.
The price is texting a significant support cluster at the moment,
probabilities will be high that a growth will resume from that.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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GOLD surges 1.5% then falls, US credit rating downgradedOANDA:XAUUSD have recovered from their biggest weekly decline in six months, as growing concerns about the US economic outlook and budget deficit boosted demand for safe-haven assets.
Spot gold rose 1.5% to $3,249.80 an ounce in early Asian trading before paring losses, up about 0.55% on the day at press time.
Moody's Ratings announced late Friday that it had removed the U.S. government's top credit rating, downgrading the country from Aaa to Aa1.
Moody's blamed successive U.S. presidents and lawmakers for the growing budget deficit, although Moody's said the situation showed little sign of improving.
"While we recognize that the United States has significant economic and fiscal strength, we believe that these strengths are no longer sufficient to fully offset the deterioration in fiscal metrics," Moody's said in a statement.
This “black swan” event has raised concerns about the US financial situation. Safe-haven buying has fueled a sharp rise in gold prices. In addition, the weakening of the US dollar has also benefited the gold price trend.
This downgrade is likely to add to Wall Street’s growing concerns about the US government bond market. While rising yields typically boost their respective currencies, debt concerns could increase skepticism about the USD.
Gold prices have been volatile in recent months. Last week, gold posted its biggest weekly decline since November as geopolitical tensions eased. The move followed a sharp rally in gold, which topped $3,500 an ounce for the first time last month.
Gold is still up more than 20% this year, driven by global conflicts, tariffs from US President Donald Trump and flows into exchange-traded funds.
Technical outlook OANDA:XAUUSD
After gold reached the target resistance of 3,250 USD, it weakened slightly again, this resistance level is noted by readers in the weekly publication.
In the short term, gold still has a bearish outlook with the nearest resistance at 3,250 USD followed by the confluence of EMA21 and Fibonacci retracement 0.382%.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still below 50, 50 is now acting as resistance while the RSI is still quite far from the oversold zone, indicating that there is still room for a decline in momentum ahead.
As long as gold remains below the 21 EMA, it remains bearish in the short term and a break below $3,200 would continue to push gold lower with a target of around $3,163 in the short term.
For gold to qualify for the upside, it needs to move above the 21 EMA, break the $3,300 base point and then target around $3,371 in the short term.
Intraday, the bearish outlook for gold in the short term will be highlighted again by the following levels.
Support: $3,200 – $3,163
Resistance: $3,250 – $3,292
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3261 - 3259⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3265
→Take Profit 1 3253
↨
→Take Profit 2 3247
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3199 - 3201⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3195
→Take Profit 1 3207
↨
→Take Profit 2 3213
Watching 3265 — The Key Level for Gold BuyersHey traders and investors!
📊 GOLD / W + D
📍 Context
On the weekly timeframe: a seller candle with increased volume but no result — the close is above 3201. This gives buyers a chance to take over the initiative.
On the daily timeframe: the buyer has brought the price back into the range (lower boundary at 3201), which also keeps the door open for bullish scenarios.
🎯 Trade Idea
Consider long positions after the price holds above 3265
Potential targets: 3435 and 3500
📌 Conclusion
Bulls have a chance — it's important to watch the price behavior around 3265 and look for long setups on lower timeframes. For example, a retest of 3265 after a breakout and absorption of the retest candle by the buyer, similar to what happened at the 3167 level on the hourly timeframe.
XAUUSD H1 I Bearish Drop Based on the H1chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 3234, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 3192.27 , a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 3273.93, above a swing high resistance.
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XAUUSD Bounce from Trendline Support Targets 3420 ResistanceGold (XAUUSD) remains in a strong long-term uptrend, consistently respecting ascending trendline support since early stages of the rally. The chart shows multiple successful retests of the trendline, with the most recent bounce occurring near the $3,120 level, aligning with prior horizontal support and trendline confluence.
This rejection from support suggests bullish continuation is likely, provided that price remains above $3,120. A bullish move from current levels targets the recent high and resistance zone around $3,420. This area has previously acted as a supply zone, so it is reasonable to expect sellers to step in again around that level.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Current market price near $3,215–$3,220 (after confirmation of bounce)
Take Profit (TP): $3,420
Stop Loss (SL): Below $3,120 (ideally around $3,095 to allow buffer below trendline)
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio while trading in the direction of the prevailing uptrend. Break below $3,120 would invalidate the setup and open potential downside toward the next major support around $2,960.
Buyers Stand By And Be Ready! In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of May 18 - 24th.
The Stock Indices remain bullish. So buys are warranted for next week.
Gold and Silver pulled back last week on news of Trump's deals and sanction relief. But Gold is at support now. Watch for bullish setups for buys or a bearish market structure shift before seeking sells.
Crude Oil is near buy side liquidity. Look for short term buys before a longer term, high probability sell setup to form.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Market Closed, Breaking Down Gold Outlook...While the market is closed you take the time to clear you thoughts and reset, preparing for a new week. making notes on what I'm thinking we can expect from Gold the coming week. I'm thinking they want to move bullish but I need to see how they want to play it Monday. Monday needs to break levels and hold above those levels to give more confidence hat they want to push bullish. We should find a entry after seeing that.
XAU/USD) back up Trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a bullish reversal setup from a key support zone. Here's a breakdown of the idea:
Key Observations:
1. Support Zone (Yellow Box at ~3,100–3,140):
The price recently touched a significant support area marked by multiple previous bounces (green arrows).
The latest green arrow shows a bullish reaction from this zone, indicating potential for an upward move.
2. Resistance Zone (~3,220–3,250):
This intermediate zone is expected to be the first area of interest for bulls.
The analysis suggests a brief pullback or consolidation before continuation.
3. Target Point (~3,375):
The chart outlines a projected move to around 3,375, aligning with a previous supply zone and the upper channel line.
This is likely the main target for a swing trade.
4. EMA 200 (Blue Line - ~3,221):
Price is hovering around the 200 EMA, acting as a dynamic resistance.
A breakout above this would add bullish confirmation.
5. RSI Indicator (~41):
RSI is recovering from an oversold region (~38), indicating potential momentum building for a reversal.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Conclusion:
This is a bullish reversal setup with:
Entry zone: Around 3,120–3,140
Short-term resistance: ~3,220–3,250
Final target: ~3,375
Invalidation: A clear break and close below the yellow support box (~3,100)
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
XAU/USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot price against USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, featuring a Smart Money Concept (SMC) approach. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas presented:
---
1. Downtrend & Trendline Break
The chart initially shows a downtrend with two red arrows marking lower highs.
A trendline is broken, indicating a potential shift in market structure.
CHOCH (Change of Character) is labeled — a key SMC concept signaling a reversal from bearish to bullish structure.
---
2. Orderblock & FVG (Fair Value Gap)
A bullish orderblock is highlighted, indicating an area where institutional buying may have occurred.
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is shown, which often acts as a magnet for price to fill inefficiencies before continuing in the intended direction.
---
3. Resistance & Target Zones
A resistance level is marked near 3248–3250, which price may revisit and possibly break.
Two target points are identified:
First target: ~3344
Final target: ~3433
---
4. EMA 200
The EMA 200 is acting as dynamic resistance; a break above it adds confluence to the bullish bias.
---
5. Expected Move
The analysis anticipates:
1. A pullback into the FVG or orderblock.
2. A bullish continuation after mitigating those zones.
3. Price aiming for the resistance and eventually the upper targets.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Conclusion
This is a bullish outlook based on a structural break (CHOCH), institutional demand (orderblock), and gap-filling logic (FVG). The price is expected to pull back slightly and then rally toward the 3344 and 3433 levels if it holds the orderblock zone.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3215 and a gap below at 3170. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3215
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3215 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3298
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3298 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3344
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3344 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3394
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3394 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3170
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3170 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET TARGET
3120
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3120 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET TARGET
3077
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3077 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3236 - 3176
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3176 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3033 - 2988
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
2025 Gold Rush📈 Gold Investment Guide: Stocks, ETFs, Futures 🚀 (May 19-25, 2025)
Gold’s shining bright at ~$3,203/oz! 📊 With prices eyeing $3,200-$3,300 next week, here’s how to invest via stocks, ETFs, & futures. Bullish vibes from central bank buying & geopolitics, but watch for pullbacks to $3,120-$3,167. 🧵👇 #Gold #Investing
Best Strategy: Diversify!
• 🪙 Miners (50%): Barrick Gold (GOLD HKEX:GDU1! CMCMARKETS:GOLDM2025 ), Agnico Eagle (AEM), Harmony Gold (HMY) for big gains.
• 💰 Royalty (30%): Franco-Nevada (FNV) for stability.
• 📈 ETFs (20%): SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) for simplicity.
Pros: ✅ Miners crush it in bull markets (AEM: 401% Q1 earnings! 🔥) ✅ Hedge vs. inflation & chaos ✅ Easy to trade vs. physical gold ✅ Dividends from AEM (1.5%) & FNV (1.2%)
Cons: ❌ Stocks swing 5-10% daily ❌ GLD: No dividends ❌ Miners face cost risks ❌ Dollar strength could cap gains
Trade Setups (3:1 reward:risk):
• GOLD: Buy @ $20 | Stop: $18.80 (6%) | Profit: $23.60 (18%)
• AEM: Buy @ $106.45 | Stop: $100.06 (6%) | Profit: $125.61 (18%)
• HMY: Buy @ $10 | Stop: $9.22 (7.8%) | Profit: $12.34 (23.4%)
• FNV: Buy @ $130 | Stop: $122.20 (6%) | Profit: $153.40 (18%)
• GLD: Buy @ $250 | Stop: $235 (6%) | Profit: $295 (18%)
Futures (COMEX GC, ~$3,205/oz):
• Buy @ $3,205 | Stop: $3,012.70 (6%) | Profit: $3,781.90 (18%) | ⚠️ High risk!
Tips: 📲 Trade via brokerage; set stops/profits. 👀 Watch AEM’s Q2 earnings (7/30) & Fed moves. 📉 Resistance at $3,238-$3,501.
Verify prices & consult advisors. Let’s ride this gold wave! 🌟 #GoldRush #Finance
XAUUSD - Critical Reaction Zone to Determine Next Major MoveGold is currently trading at $3,202.25, showing recovery momentum after forming a recent bottom near $3,120. The price action suggests a continued upward movement toward the highlighted "important reaction area" around $3,240-3,260, which previously served as both support and resistance in mid-May. There is a high probability that price will reach this critical zone given the current bullish momentum and the established pattern of higher lows. Once gold reaches this reaction area, traders should exercise patience and closely observe how price behaves – a decisive break above could trigger an extended rally toward $3,360 as indicated by the upper green arrow, while rejection might initiate a significant correction toward $3,140 as marked by the red arrow. The market's response at this important reaction area will likely determine gold's directional bias for the next trading period, making it essential to watch for specific candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or momentum shifts before establishing new positions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.