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Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq rose within a small range, forming a box consolidation pattern. On the daily chart, buying pressure remains strong, and today’s candlestick will merge with yesterday’s due to the holiday. As mentioned previously, today is a key session where the 5-day moving average may provide support, meaning a pullback to this level is possible. Since yesterday’s high remained in a consolidation phase, the pre-market and regular session today could see some downside movement. The reason is that the market has yet to test a key level, which increases the likelihood of a short-term pullback. On the 240-minute chart, the buy signal remains intact, but low-volume choppy price action persists. If a sell signal emerges on the 240-minute chart, the Nasdaq could correct down to the 5-day MA, making this a key area to consider buying dips. Since today’s candle will be a combined session with yesterday, traders should expect price swings that normally unfold in one day to play out over two sessions. Crude Oil Crude oil closed higher within a neutral range, forming a bullish daily candle. The key focus now is whether oil can sustain its double-bottom structure, leading to further upside. For the MACD and signal line to maintain a sell signal on the daily chart, oil must break decisively below $70 by the daily close. If this does not happen, a double-bottom reversal could trigger a rebound, meaning traders should be cautious with short positions. On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal has appeared, following a false breakdown and a potential double-bottom formation. If holding short positions, be aware of the risk of a sudden price surge. With ongoing Ukraine-Russia peace negotiations, oil volatility could increase, so traders should remain cautious. A break above $72 would be a bullish confirmation, while a failure to hold $70 support could lead to another leg down. Risk management is crucial. Gold Gold rebounded on the daily chart, closing higher. The MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, meaning that the market remains in a buy-biased structure, increasing the likelihood of continued upside. While buying dips remains the preferred strategy, gold has already tested the 3-day and 5-day moving averages, meaning traders should now focus on lower time frames for entry confirmation. If gold continues to rise today and breaks above the 3-day and 5-day moving averages, the MACD could turn higher again, confirming that the buy trend remains intact. However, if gold declines and the MACD forms a bearish crossover, traders should prepare for a potential move down toward the 20-day moving average, adjusting their strategy accordingly. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has dropped below the zero line, but the signal line remains above zero, suggesting that rebound attempts are likely. However, since the MACD’s downward slope is steep, a quick bullish crossover is unlikely. Even if gold rises, it may face resistance and pull back again, meaning traders should avoid chasing breakouts. If the signal line falls below zero, this would be a bearish confirmation, making it safer to trade within a range—selling near highs and buying at lower support levels. Given yesterday’s holiday, today could see increased volatility as markets adjust. Additionally, Wednesday’s FOMC meeting minutes release is expected to introduce further market swings. Risk management is key—stay disciplined, and have a successful trading day! 🚀 If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost! For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
Why You Should Avoid Trading XAUUSD on a USD Bank HolidayTrading XAUUSD (gold vs. the U.S. dollar) during a USD bank holiday is generally a bad idea due to reduced liquidity and unpredictable price movements. With U.S. banks and financial institutions closed, major market participants are absent, leading to lower trading volumes. This lack of liquidity can cause erratic price action, wider spreads, and unexpected volatility spikes, making it harder to execute trades at desired levels. Additionally, with fewer institutional traders influencing the market, technical patterns and key support/resistance levels may not hold as expected. Instead of taking unnecessary risks in an illiquid market, it’s often better to wait for normal trading conditions when price action is more reliable and spreads are tighter. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
by KeN-WeNzEl
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to start with an incline into the lower support regions in order to give us another long opportunity into the target level 2902 initially, which was our Excalibur target. Gold however had another plan and started the move from the open, this allowed us to trade on the red boxes and trade the move upside surpassing the target level into the highs that we witnessed last week. During the week, we update our traders with the path upside and suggested looking for the short trade from the Red box active level, which worked perfectly giving the move downside that we saw on Friday. It was a fantastic week in Camelot, not only completing 8 Gold targets on Excalibur, but also all the bias level and red box targets. Not to mention the targets completed on all the other pairs we share and analyse. Well done to the traders who followed! So, what can we expect in the week ahead? This week we’re looking for price to potentially give us further opportunities to short, however, we have a key level above of 2910! Support on the intra-day stands at 2870-65, which if targeted early session could give buyers the confidence they need to take that long into the 2890-5 region and above that 2904. There is an extension of the move into the 2910 region, but anywhere between the 2904-10 region are the levels we want to monitor for RIPs, and if they present themselves, the opportunity to take that swing short may be there again. The key order region (liquidity pool) is sitting below at 2850-55 which is a decent level for price to attempt, but this region needs to be broken to go lower! If broken, we won’t be looking to go long again until we’re closer to lower 2800’s, so please trade with caution this week. We do have higher targets on Gold, but, there needs to be a correction and if this is it, we’ll make sure to take advantage of it just like we have done for years, up, down, where ever it goes, we’ll trade it with our trusted pal Excalibur, the EA and our Red box indicators. Not much more to say, low volume news this week, Monday could be a ranging day so expect choppy and whipsawing price action. KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 2865 with targets above 2885, 2895, 2902 and above that 2910 Bearish on break of 2865 with targets below 2855, 2850, 2843, 2835 and below that 2828 RED BOXES: Break above 2885 for 2888, 2902, 2910 and 2913 in extension of the move Break below 2875 for 2870, 2865, 2857, 2855 and 2850 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
26
The latest trend and trading analysis of gold and crude oilOANDA:XAUUSD Analysis of gold news: Spot gold rebounded slightly in the late trading period of the U.S. market on Monday, but the strength was limited. The daily decline on Friday reached 1.5%, falling from the historical high. However, it should be noted that the price volatility increased significantly after the long squeeze, and the high-level operation caused the long profit-taking, which led to the adjustment of the gold price. The gold price is approaching $2,905/ounce, a surge of more than $22 a day. At present, the Trump administration plans to formally impose tariffs on auto imports on April 2, which may have a wide impact on the global supply chain. Although some investors believe that Trump's tariff policy is mainly a negotiation strategy, the market remains cautious about possible uncertainties in the future. In addition to safe-haven demand, the continued purchase of gold by central banks is also a key factor in maintaining high gold prices. According to market surveys, major central banks around the world, especially those in major Asian countries, continue to increase their gold reserves to hedge against global economic uncertainties. Monday is the U.S. President's Day holiday. The U.S. stock market is closed and the precious metals market is closed in advance. Market trading may be limited. Pay attention to the speech of Federal Reserve Board Director Bowman and Trump's dynamic news, and pay attention to news related to the situation in Russia and Ukraine. There are relatively few economic data this week, mainly due to the US real estate market data and the initial value of the US SPGI manufacturing PMI in February. Pay attention to the interest rate decisions of the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. TVC:GOLD TVC:USOIL Technical analysis of gold: The daily line of gold shows a trend of falling with a high-level big negative, and the Bollinger Bands also show signs of closing. However, from the current technical perspective, it is not enough to determine the formation of the top. The main basis is that the unilateral moving average has not broken, and the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average have not turned downward, which means that gold still has the possibility of rising. If the daily line continues to close with a big positive this week, the double top position of 2942 above may also be broken. It can be seen that the current technical aspect shows an overall bullish trend. If the unilateral moving average does not break, the downward trend will be difficult to continue; and if the key resistance level of 2942 is not broken, it will be difficult for gold to usher in a new round of substantial gains. Based on this, it is expected that gold will maintain a long-term volatile trend at a high level. Focus on the two key resistance levels of 2930 and 2942 on the top, and pay attention to the support of 2875 and 2830 on the bottom. The limit support is expected to be 2800. In terms of small cycles, special attention should be paid to the volatile market of the H4 cycle. Above 2878, the H4 cycle closed above the lower Bollinger track with a small cross star, and the 60-day moving average did not break, so it is normal to rebound under the bullish trend. Then the big sun closed up, and the Bollinger band closed, which also laid a bullish tone for the market at the beginning of the week. In this case, it is necessary to wait for the end of the rising market of the H4 cycle, and then judge whether there is room for adjustment. Pay attention to the resistance levels of 2915 and 2930 on the top. On the whole, it is recommended to focus on callbacks and high-altitude rebounds in today's short-term operation of gold. Focus on the resistance of 2905-2915 in the short term, and focus on the support of 2885-2880 in the short term. Analysis of the latest trend of crude oil market: Analysis of crude oil news: On Monday (February 17, Beijing time), US crude oil traded around $70.95 per barrel. International oil prices rose slightly in the Asian session, benefiting from the recovery of fuel demand and the news that the United States postponed the implementation of global reciprocal tariffs, which eased the market's risk aversion. The Iraqi Kurdish Autonomous Region may resume exports, and the outlook for Russian oil supply is uncertain. Recently, the chairman of the Iraqi Kurdish Autonomous Region said that oil exports from the region may resume next month. This means that after nearly two years of interruption, oil supplies from northern Iraq will return to the international market, bringing additional supply pressure to the crude oil market. At the same time, US President Trump plans to meet with Russian President Putin to seek to promote peace talks in Ukraine. Although traditional European allies have been marginalized in the process, Trump said that Ukrainian President Zelensky will participate in the discussion of the peace agreement. This development may affect Russia's sanctions policy on oil exports and lead to changes in the global supply pattern in the future. Technical analysis of crude oil: From the daily chart level, the medium-term trend of crude oil tested the upper edge of the wide channel and then fell, which just matched the fundamentals. The K-line closed with negative entities continuously, and the moving average system showed signs of turning downward. The performance of short-term momentum was dominant, and the medium-term trend returned to the range. The overall trend was mainly downward within the range. The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) rose first and then fell, and oil prices continued to fall and hit a new low. The moving average system was arranged in a short position, and the short-term objective trend direction was downward. In the main downward trend rhythm of crude oil in the early Asian session, short-term momentum was dominant. Patiently wait for the formation of the secondary rhythm. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will maintain low consolidation during the day and gradually test 70. On the whole, the operation strategy of crude oil today is recommended to rebound high and supplemented by retracement. The short-term focus on the resistance line of 72.0-72.5 on the upper side and the short-term focus on the support line of 70.0-69.5 on the lower side. Summary: The characteristic of novices is that they do not understand technology and enter the market blindly. They only consider the first question every time they trade: they think that as long as they predict the rise and fall of the market, they can do this transaction. This approach of focusing on direction and ignoring position makes traders fail miserably. In fact, there is a big difference between the "trend" and the "direction" of following the trend, because the direction of the market movement presents a fluctuating form, and the market trend is often global. What I can do here is to help you control your positions reasonably, use the support and resistance levels to place orders, and make each order reasonable and traceable. Buying and selling points should not be entered at will, please be responsible for your own funds. If you really can't grasp the market, you can leave a message, and always remember one sentence, professionals do professional things. Mr. Baker
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Beck_Ledley
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with our chart idea already off to a flying start. We started with our Bullish target at 2905 hit and now seeing price resist here and ranging due to low volume currently due to US holiday. We are now looking for ema5 to lock above 2905 for a continuation to the range above or failure to lock above will see price reject into the lower Goldturns for support ad bounce. Ema5 lock will confirm level to level direction and range to range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2905 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2905 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2934 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2934 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2959 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2959 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2987 BEARISH TARGETS 2872 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2871 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2841 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2841 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2807 - 2781 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2841 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 2764 - 2740 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11
GOLD - XAUUSDLocally, the XAUUSD price broke through the downtrend lines. Now we are near the first resistance of 1900. The next liquidity level is near 1950. Many experts believe that the price will move sideways until geopolitical tensions subside or until the FED raises interest rates. However, even if rates start to rise with high inflation - the real interest rates are likely to be negative. Therefore, they believe that gold will remain attractive as a defensive asset. Rising gold = a traditional harbinger of crises and slight shocks in the stock and crypto markets. Gold is an excellent choice for those who don't particularly want to go into cash inflation but don't want to be present in dive markets. Best regards, EXCAVO
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by EXCAVO
25
XAU/USD : Bull or Bear? Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 30-minute gold chart, we can see that, as expected, gold resumed its bullish momentum, successfully hitting the $2,923 and $2,929 targets with ease, and even extending its rally to $2,940. With this move, gold filled the Fair Value Gap (FVG) mentioned in the previous analysis and reached its bearish order block. Currently, gold is trading around $2,927, and the next move will depend on price stability: • If gold holds above $2,929 for the next 4 hours, we could see another bullish push. • If gold fails to hold above this key level, we might see a pullback towards $2,923 as the first corrective target. Stay tuned for further updates!
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
32
XAUUSD Gold has reached a strong demand zone around 2882/2878. After a sharp decline, price action shows signs of reversal, with potential bullish momentum building up. Price is expected to rebound from the support zone and push towards key resistance levels: ✅ Target 1: 2894 ✅ Target 2: 2907 A bullish engulfing candle or a strong rejection from the support zone could validate the move. Breaking above 2894 may accelerate the bullish momentum. ⚠️ Bearish In-validations: A breakdown below 2882/2878 may signal further downside to 2863, the next strong support level. Look for confirmation before entering a long trade. Use a tight stop-loss below the demand zone for risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipsview_Analysis
GOLD - Price can bounce up from support line of wedgeHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Not a long time ago, price reached support level and broke it, after which made a retest and started to grow in channel. In channel, Gold rose to $2880 level, but at once made correction to support line of channel and then continued to grow. Soon, price broke $2880 level and rose to resistance line of channel, where it turned around and started to decline. Gold exited of channel and continued to trades in a wedge, where it fell to support line and then bounced up. Later it reached resistance line of the wedge, but recently it dropped to support line and now it rising near this line. In my mind, Gold can bounce up from support line to $2950, thereby exiting from the wedge pattern. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
2
XAUUSD Channel Up preparing the new Bullish Leg.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up for almost 1 month. Friday's test of the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) proved once again why this level is the strongest Support within the pattern, as it held and has initiated a relative bounce. If this continues, it should technically be the new Bullish Leg, similar to the January 27 rebound on the 4H MA50. As you can see, even the 4H RSI sequences among those fractals follow the same pattern. If (d) is indeed the technical RSI bottom, then we can expect a similar 1.5 Fibonacci extension rally to 2970. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
HelenP. I Gold may correct to trend line and then start to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Recently, the price began to rise from the trend line and quickly approached Support 2. After breaking this level, which aligned with the support zone, it made a slight upward movement before pulling back to the trend line. Following this correction, the price resumed its upward momentum and soon reached Support 1, another level that matched the support zone. At this point, Gold traded around Support 1 for some time before making a minor correction. Then it reversed direction and decisively broke through Support 1, entering a consolidation phase. Within this range, the price initially climbed to the upper boundary before retracing back to Support 1. Gold lingered near this level for a while and eventually rose again to the upper part of the range, only to reverse and start declining. Currently, Gold has reached a support level and is trading near it. In my view, XAUUSD will likely drop further into the support zone, touch the trend line, and then begin moving upward toward the top of the consolidation range. For this scenario, I have set my target at 2940 points, which aligns with the upper boundary of the range. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
4
Gold at a Crossroads – Break 2934 for ATH or Drop to 2873? Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – February 17, 2025 Market Overview Gold prices remain volatile amid ongoing concerns over U.S. tariff policies and anticipation of Federal Reserve officials' speeches, which could provide clues about future interest rate decisions. With U.S. markets closed for President’s Day, liquidity is expected to be lower, potentially increasing price swings. Technical Outlook Gold's price action suggests a potential corrective move toward 2918 before resuming a bearish trend targeting 2873. A decisive H1 or H4 candle close below 2873 would strengthen the bearish momentum, leading to further downside targets at 2859 and 2823. On the upside, for gold to regain a bullish trend, it must break above the All-Time High (ATH) at 2934. If successful, the next resistance targets would be 2956 and 2974. Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Pivot Point: 2906 🔹 Resistance Levels: 2918, 2934 (ATH), 2956, 2974 🔹 Support Levels: 2873, 2859, 2840 📉 Bearish Scenario: Below 2873, expect further declines to 2859 and 2823. 📈 Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 2934 would open the door to 2956 and 2974. 💬 Will Gold break 2934 for new highs or correct lower first? What's your outlook? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
GOLD → Price is confirming the flat. Emphasis on 2905FX:XAUUSD within the 2% correction that happened on Valentine's Day confirmed that one should not fall in love with the market. Technically the market is still bullish, the price is inside the range of 2880 - 2940 Investors are waiting for the meeting between Trump and Putin, which may influence the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and reduce geopolitical risks. Additional support for gold is provided by expectations of Fed rate cuts after weak US retail sales data. At the same time, the markets are watching the escalation of the tariff confrontation between the US and the EU. High volatility is possible in the coming days due to holidays in the USA and speeches of the Fed representatives The key figure is the ascending support, relative to which a false breakdown and the range of 2880 - 2940 is formed. If the price holds in the buying zone, under the bullish support, we can still see the growth. Resistance levels: 2904.7, 2922.6 Support levels: 2893, 2880 A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming around 2904.7. If the resistance is broken and the bulls can keep the defense above this zone, the gold may continue its strengthening. I do not exclude a retest of the support at 2893 - 2880 before further growth. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
My thoughts for GCIm looking for areas of consolidation on a higher time frame preferably the one hour then on the 5min wait for a bullish engulfing to print to enter for buys, now Monday is a holiday so I know NYSE will be closed so for the entries already taken, during Asian opening will only be technical trades, but there is high impact news, and depending on descolations with Russia, I plan for contiunation buys, but I plan to watch the dollar and the yields for any potential reversals to the. downside
COMEX:GC1!Long
by FuturesBaddie
This is about the 4-hour golden roadmap and trading planHi, everyone. Gold prices have stabilized, and the market is evaluating whether the previous rally is excessive. After experiencing the biggest one-day drop in two months last Friday, gold prices remain around $2,900 per ounce. Previously, technical indicators showed that gold prices entered the overbought area, causing investors to worry that the short-term rally may be too fast, which will trigger a correction. News impact: Expectations of a Fed rate cut have increased, supporting the long-term upward trend of gold prices Weak US economic data and rising expectations of rate cuts are good for gold. The latest data from the US Department of Commerce showed that the decline in retail sales data in January was the largest in nearly two years, exacerbating market concerns about the slowdown in the US economy and prompting investors to further bet on the Fed to cut interest rates this year. According to the latest futures market pricing, the possibility of a Fed rate cut in September has increased. Global central bank gold purchases and safe-haven demand still provide support Global central banks continue to buy gold, boosting the market's long-term bullish sentiment. Recent data show that major central banks around the world, especially major Asian central banks, are still increasing their gold reserves, providing solid support for gold prices. The latest market data shows that the pace of central bank gold purchases has not slowed down, and gold ETF holdings have also shown signs of recovery, reflecting that institutional investors are still optimistic about the long-term prospects of gold. In addition, there is still great uncertainty in the Trump administration's tariff policy. Although the market tends to believe that the tariff threat is more of a negotiating strategy, trade tensions may still trigger safe-haven demand, thereby supporting gold prices. Viewpoint: The recent volatility in the gold market reflects that investors need to adjust after a strong rebound, but in the long run, the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy will still be the core driver of gold prices. If the US economic data continues to be weak in the future, the Fed's interest rate cuts may accelerate, further pushing up gold prices. In addition, the trend of global central banks buying gold has not slowed down, indicating that the market still has confidence in gold as a long-term safe-haven asset. Analysis and suggestions: In the short term, the gold market may face certain technical adjustment pressures, but as long as the Fed's policy expectations remain loose and global trade and geopolitical uncertainties continue to exist, gold still has a good basis for rising. In the future, the focus of the market will be on US economic data, central bank gold purchases and the Fed's policy statement. Investors need to pay close attention to the further impact of the above factors on gold prices. Buy trading suggestions Buy 1: 2878-2883 Take profit 1: 2896-2903 Stop loss: 2862 Sell trading suggestions: Sell: 2905-2915 Take profit: 2895, 2886 Stop loss: 2921 Mr. Baker
TVC:GOLD
by Beck_Ledley
This is the next 4-hour gold roadmap and trading planHi, everyone. Gold prices have stabilized, and the market is evaluating whether the previous rally is excessive. After experiencing the biggest one-day drop in two months last Friday, gold prices remain around $2,900 per ounce. Previously, technical indicators showed that gold prices entered the overbought area, causing investors to worry that the short-term rally may be too fast, which will trigger a correction. News impact: Expectations of a Fed rate cut have increased, supporting the long-term upward trend of gold prices Weak US economic data and rising expectations of rate cuts are good for gold. The latest data from the US Department of Commerce showed that the decline in retail sales data in January was the largest in nearly two years, exacerbating market concerns about the slowdown in the US economy and prompting investors to further bet on the Fed to cut interest rates this year. According to the latest futures market pricing, the possibility of a Fed rate cut in September has increased. Global central bank gold purchases and safe-haven demand still provide support Global central banks continue to buy gold, boosting the market's long-term bullish sentiment. Recent data show that major central banks around the world, especially major Asian central banks, are still increasing their gold reserves, providing solid support for gold prices. The latest market data shows that the pace of central bank gold purchases has not slowed down, and gold ETF holdings have also shown signs of recovery, reflecting that institutional investors are still optimistic about the long-term prospects of gold. In addition, there is still great uncertainty in the Trump administration's tariff policy. Although the market tends to believe that the tariff threat is more of a negotiating strategy, trade tensions may still trigger safe-haven demand, thereby supporting gold prices. Viewpoint: The recent volatility in the gold market reflects that investors need to adjust after a strong rebound, but in the long run, the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy will still be the core driver of gold prices. If the US economic data continues to be weak in the future, the Fed's interest rate cuts may accelerate, further pushing up gold prices. In addition, the trend of global central banks buying gold has not slowed down, indicating that the market still has confidence in gold as a long-term safe-haven asset. Analysis and suggestions: In the short term, the gold market may face certain technical adjustment pressures, but as long as the Fed's policy expectations remain loose and global trade and geopolitical uncertainties continue to exist, gold still has a good basis for rising. In the future, the focus of the market will be on US economic data, central bank gold purchases and the Fed's policy statement. Investors need to pay close attention to the further impact of the above factors on gold prices. Buy trading suggestions Buy 1: 2878-2883 Take profit 1: 2896-2903 Stop loss: 2862 Sell trading suggestions: Sell: 2905-2915 Take profit: 2895, 2886 Stop loss: 2921 Mr. Baker
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Beck_Ledley
Gold short-term analysisFrom the current market, the unexpected plunge of gold not only caused the 2900 mark consolidated last week to be lost again, but also formed a weak daily line to close sharply, and the closing of 2882 made the advantages accumulated by the bulls vanish. However, although gold has lost its upward advantage at present, I do not recommend being overly bearish or chasing shorts this week! Because firstly, the overnight gold price plunge was not caused by the essential reason, but was stimulated by the outside world, which triggered the market to sell. In this case, the follow-up force is difficult to maintain; Second, the decline trend on Friday and Tuesday is somewhat similar. Although the possibility of a lower test cannot be ruled out, with the break of the 2900 mark, the support strength obtained by the bulls will become stronger; Third, in addition to the known fundamentals that are favorable to gold, the current gold ETF holdings are still rising, which means that the market is still enthusiastic about buying gold, so it is optimistic that the gold price will return to the 2900 mark this week. From a technical perspective, the weekly line has rarely risen for 8 consecutive weeks. Last week, a rising candle with a long upper shadow line was closed, which is favorable for the shorts. However, given that other periodic indicators maintain a bullish arrangement, the Bollinger Bands are running upward as a whole, and the weekly level is generally biased towards the bulls. In terms of the 4-hour level, after the obstructed decline on Friday this week, the short-term moving average has completed a downward turn, and the short-term moving average extends downward in a dead cross pattern. Among them, the 5-day moving average and the 20-day moving average overlap in the 2908 area, forming a double suppression. The Bollinger overall intends to open, and the MACD indicator dead cross downward pattern shows sufficient downward momentum. From this point of view, the 4-hour level is still dominated by the shorts. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is recommended to focus on rebound selling, supplemented by retracement buying! Key points: First support: 2873, second support: 2862, third support: 2853 First resistance: 2893, second resistance: 2900, third resistance: 2908 Operation ideas: BUY: 2865-2868, SL: 2857, TP: 2890-2900; SELL: 2897-2900, SL: 2908, TP: 2870-2860;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst