Gold
GOLD (XAUUSD, 1H) Double Bottom & Continuation to Lower FibsOn the 1-hour chart, gold attempted to form a double bottom structure, which initially showed bullish potential. However, the price action quickly reversed near resistance, failing to sustain above key EMAs and trendline zones. This invalidates the reversal attempt and reaffirms the current bearish structure within the descending channel.
The price is now trading back below broken support and heading towards deeper Fibonacci retracement levels, with visible supply pressure and repeated failure to hold any bullish breakout. Volume has shifted lower on rallies, confirming weak buyer commitment.
Downside targets (Fibonacci structure):
– $3251 – 0.382 retracement
– $3221 – 0.618 retracement (primary structural support)
– $3165 – 0.786 extension zone (final support before breakdown scenario)
The descending wedge remains valid. Unless the market reclaims $3305–$3334 with strong confirmation, the corrective leg toward the lower support zones is likely to continue. A clean break below $3220 would open the door for a move toward the $3160s.
The failed double bottom setup confirms bearish continuation. Structure, volume, and trendlines all align with a move lower. Watch for reactions at $3221 and $3165 as critical levels.
Gold INTRADAY corrective pullback supported at 3227Gold prices slipped on Friday and are on track to end the week lower.
China denied any ongoing trade negotiations with the US, contradicting former President Trump's claims.
Despite this, markets are rallying on deal speculation, with traders rotating out of Gold and into equities.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3392
Resistance Level 2: 3457
Resistance Level 3: 3500
Support Level 1: 3227
Support Level 2: 3173
Support Level 3: 3130
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold’s Next Trap? Don't Blink“Gold’s Next Trap? Don't Blink. 👀💣”
📅 Daily XAUUSD Sniper Plan – April 25, 2025
Clean structure. No noise. Just logic.
🧭 MARKET CONTEXT
• Macro: No major USD catalyst. Yesterday's Unemployment Claims were neutral → price action driven by structure & liquidity.
• Sentiment: Gold remains in premium territory but failed to hold above 3355 in NY → suggesting smart money profit-taking.
• HTF Bias: Bullish (D1 trend intact, HLs hold)
• LTF Flow: Bearish intraday – CHoCH & BOS on M30-H1
• Key Event Backdrop: Powell not speaking today, but market still reflects uncertainty from recent Trump vs. Powell tensions.
📐 STRUCTURE & SMC FLOW
• M30–H1: Internal CHoCH formed after price failed to break above 3355
• Liquidity: Sweeps above 3353 and below 3312 → now hovering around internal equilibrium
• SMC Confluence: OBs, FVGs, and EMA alignment used for all entries
• FIB Zones: Discount for buys (3280–3310), Premium for sells (3385+)
🔻 SELL SCENARIOS
Sell #1 – 3385–3392
🧨 Premium retest zone + H1 OB + Gap mitigation
• SL: 3401
• TP1: 3355
• TP2: 3333
• TP3: 3306
🎯 Confluence: H1 OB, NY liquidity above, internal CHoCH
Sell #2 – 3411–3422
💣 Extended premium fill – final imbalance trap
• SL: 3432
• TP1: 3372
• TP2: 3333
• TP3: 3306
🎯 Confluence: Unmitigated FVG + fib extension 1.272 + clean wick rejection zone
🟢 BUY SCENARIOS
Buy #1 – 3333–3338
🔋 HTF OB + H4 structure demand
• SL: 3322
• TP1: 3360
• TP2: 3385
• TP3: 3410
🎯 Confluence: HTF FVG, historical bounce zone, EMA100 support
Buy #2 – 3284–3288
🧱 Sniper reentry zone from structure base
• SL: 3270
• TP1: 3312
• TP2: 3340
• TP3: 3372
🎯 Confluence: Previous sniper entry, structure HL, strong OB zone
📊 TREND RECAP
• HTF Trend: Bullish
• LTF Structure: Currently in retracement mode
• Bias: Neutral to bearish for early London, bullish only on clean 3333 reaction or deeper dip to 3284
🫂 COMMUNITY CALL
"Gold’s Next Trap? Don't Blink. 👀💣"
Will 3450 Hold? Or is Gold Just Getting Started? 🔄🧠
Which setup are you watching tomorrow? Let’s catch these sniper entries together – drop your bias in the comments 💬👇
TradingView's been too quiet lately – if this helped, hit that ❤️ and show some love.
Let’s grow this smart gold tribe together!
Smart plans, no hype. If you’re riding gold with logic, drop a 💡 below and let's connect!
GOLD SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,299.27
Target Level: 3,358.08
Stop Loss: 3,259.94
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short in European session, looking towards 3260At present, gold's rise and fall is a foregone conclusion. The upper rebound reached as high as 3371. It reversed sharply in early Asian trading and the market quickly turned bearish. Because of the suppression of short positions at the mid-line cycle and weekly level, even if there is a sharp rebound and breaking high, it is only a bullish behavior. In fact, it is a sell-off after a washout. In addition, the problem of head and shoulders has been talked about in the past few days, which gives the expectation that the gold price will rebound and go empty.
At present, this is just the beginning of short selling. Gold price is suppressed by the right shoulder near 3380. After testing the resistance, it forms a long and short reversal run. It pulls back and breaks the intraday low. I expect it to continue to weaken after rising higher today. Next week, the price of gold will be dominated by a short downward trend. At the same time, the adjustment low of the previous low of 3260 will be broken. The current downward trend has not been reversed!
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold will focus on the first-line resistance area of 3327-3454 at the top, and the first-line support area at 3286-3360 at the bottom.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD
Gold fluctuates upward, target 3400~3500Since the peak at 3500, the lowest price in the US market on Wednesday was 3260. It fell by 240 US dollars in two trading days this week. The momentum is very strong, but the big cycle of gold this year is still a bullish trend. Don't be affected by the adjustment of the small cycle. In the bullish rhythm, the adjustment is to give opportunities for long positions. Therefore, once the adjustment is over, you can start to go long and bullish.
From a technical point of view, the daily line stands firmly above the 10-day moving average, which is an important reason for the current bullishness of gold. For the time being, the daily mid-term Bollinger has not closed, and don't guess the top when it rises. The short-term target is 3400, and the long-term target is 3500. After the breakthrough, don't guess the highest point. The performance of the H4 mid-term is obvious. The bottom is above the lower Bollinger track and the 60-day moving average, and the Bollinger band just closes. This is a very obvious performance of stopping the decline and bottoming out!
If gold breaks through the 3370 line again, then gold will truly turn strong. Even so, it will fluctuate and rise, and we must wait patiently for the opportunity to continue to fall. The market changes rapidly, and the recent gold market is like this, with ups and downs, so don't be surprised.
Key points:
First support: 3332, second support: 3320, third support: 3300
First resistance: 3370, second resistance: 3386, third resistance: 3408
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3322-3325, stop loss 3313, target 3360-3380;
Short-term gold 3383-3386, stop loss 3395, target 3320-3330;
Gold. Further downside is possible.Hey traders and investors!
Gold price bounced from a contextual level 3283 — the correction low within the dominant buyer’s initiative on the daily timeframe.
Further downside is possible. Watching levels 3381 and 3283.
The structure in this post is based on the logic of Initiative Analysis (IA).
Gold forms a top patternOn the H4 chart, the gold price chart is forming a clear bearish structure after forming a three-peak pattern in a row around the $3,435–$3,470 range. Each time the price touches this range, it is strongly rejected, indicating that selling pressure controls the market. The fact that the price cannot maintain above the EMA34 and EMA9 at the same time is also a sign of confirmation of a weakening trend in the short term.
Although gold recovered slightly to the $3,365 range in the Asian session on April 25 thanks to news of PBOC money injection and a weakening USD, the buying pressure was not enough to break the bearish structure. The price quickly reversed and fell below the $3,300 mark, confirming the possibility of further correction in the near future.
Currently, the price has cut below the two EMAs and broken the nearest bottom at $3,290, triggering a bearish signal according to the “small head and shoulders” pattern on the H4. The next target is the strong support zone of $3,180–$3,220. If this zone is broken, the correction trend may extend deeper to the $3,100 area.
The appropriate short-term strategy at this time is to wait for the price to retrace to the $3,310–$3,330 area, cut losses above $3,350 and take profits around $3,200. The bullish scenario will only happen if the price breaks above $3,370 and closes above the old resistance – then the bearish structure will be broken.
April 24 NY Recap – XAUUSD Buy Sniped from 3310 to 3340🎯 April 24 NY Recap – XAUUSD Buy Sniped from 3310 to 3340 💥our first TP
Today’s NY session was all about precision and patience.
🔹 The market opened with a calm continuation of the post-Claims structure, giving bulls a final chance to reenter from the 3310 sniper zone, previously posted in our daily plan.
📍 Breakdown of the 3310 Buy
• Zone: H1–H4 demand confluence
• Confirmation: Clean rejection on M15, followed by consolidation and impulsive breakout
• Confluence:
– Untouched OB + FVG
– Price locked above M30 EMA100
– Discounted fib zone
– RSI bounce on M15
• Execution: Buy 3310.70 → TP 3340.78
• Result: +300 pips
Not just a technical win — but a mindset win. Snipers don’t chase. They wait.
🧠 NY Session Notes
• No macro drivers today, which gave full control to pure PA + structure
• Liquidity was swept below 3310 before aggressive buying stepped in
• Once price reclaimed 3330–3340, we saw a clean continuation to premium
• TP hit with no retest — textbook sniper exit
💬 Let’s Talk – No Chart Needed
📈 Did you catch the 3310 buy?
💭 How did your NY session go?
👇 Drop your thoughts or reentry ideas below — we learn every session.
📲 Like, Comment, and Follow to keep this stream of real structure-based updates alive.
We don’t predict. We react.
And today, we reacted perfectly. 💛
Possible H&S Forming – It’s All About the News NowOANDA:XAUUSD
📉 Watching closely: Possible Head and Shoulders formation developing on the 4H and 1H charts
As of April 24, 2025, Gold (XAU/USD) is forming a potential Head and Shoulders pattern on the shorter timeframes (4H and 1H), which could indicate a reversal setup. While multiple scenarios are still in play, the price action around the $3368 level will be crucial.
If price fails to break above this resistance in the near term, it could suggest weak bullish momentum and open the door for a pullback toward and possibly below the neckline around $3250 .
🔔 Key Economic Events – April 24
08:30 EDT – Durable Goods Orders MoM
Forecast: +2.0%
Personal outlook: Numbers might come in weaker than forecasted.
Durable goods orders are a solid gauge of industrial demand. Weaker-than-expected numbers would likely weaken the USD and could offer some upside pressure on Gold.
10:00 EDT – Existing Home Sales
Forecast: Lower than previous.
As a key barometer of consumer confidence and economic stability, lower-than-expected figures could also put pressure on the USD, potentially providing Gold a short-term bullish impulse.
📊 Potential Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout
Weak economic data → USD weakens → Gold spikes above $3400
If both data points disappoint, we could see a rally in Gold, possibly breaking the resistance and invalidating the H&S pattern.
Scenario 2 – Bearish Breakdown (Preferred H&S Scenario)
Strong data → USD strengthens → Gold falls below $3200
While less likely, if economic data comes in stronger than forecasted, Gold could see a significant drop, forming the right shoulder and breaking the neckline – confirming the Head & Shoulders reversal.
Scenario 3 – Sideways Movement
Neutral data + Tariff talks in focus
In the absence of impactful data or if figures come in as expected, Gold might consolidate sideways. Ongoing developments around US-China tariff negotiations could dominate sentiment, delaying or nullifying the H&S pattern entirely.
📉 Market Sentiment Snapshot
US stocks are rallying on optimism around tariff reductions
Trump administration signaling potential easing of China tariffs
➡️ Gold under pressure as risk-on sentiment rises
📍 Conclusion
Keep an eye on the $3368 level and $3250 neckline. Short-term moves will likely be dictated by today’s economic releases and the evolving trade narrative. A confirmed break below the neckline would validate the bearish H&S scenario with potential downside toward $3200 and below.
👉 Stay nimble and trade the reaction, not just the forecast.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
XAUUSD Price Outlook – Bearish Setup in Play ??Asset Overview
The chart represents a price action analysis with support and resistance zones, along with EMA indicators (50 and 200), likely on a 4H or 1H timeframe.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: ~3,400 to 3,450
First Support Zone: ~3,230 to 3,250
Second Support Zone: ~3,090 to 3,130
Indicators
EMA 50 (Red): Currently around 3,340, acting as dynamic resistance.
EMA 200 (Blue): Positioned near 3,232, reinforcing the first support zone.
Price Action Insight
Price had a strong uptrend, peaking above 3,440 before pulling back.
A lower high may be forming, suggesting possible trend exhaustion.
The current bounce appears to be a retracement back toward resistance or EMA 50.
Projected Move (As Illustrated on Chart)
Short-term bullish move into the resistance zone (~3,400–3,450).
Failure to break above resistance leads to sharp rejection.
Price retraces to first support zone (aligned with EMA 200).
If support fails, deeper drop expected toward the lower support zone (~3,100).
Strategic Notes
📉 Bearish Bias if price fails to break above resistance.
🔍 Watch for bearish candlestick patterns or divergences near resistance.
🛡️ First support aligns with EMA 200, making it a critical level for bulls to defend.
🔻 Breakdown below 3,230 opens room for larger correction to 3,100–3,090.
Conclusion
Currently, the chart suggests a potential short opportunity if price confirms rejection at resistance. The EMA cross structure remains bullish long-term, but momentum is weakening, and failure to reclaim highs could shift sentiment bearish in the short to mid-term.
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800
This video analysis is leading on from our long term target for $6,200 which I posted yesterday. We can see from the strong impulse move up, the entire bullish cycle is not complete yet & has more upside, AFTER a healthy correction.
Confluences👇
⭕️Wave 3 Peaked at Psychological Number of $2,500 (LQ Point).
⭕️Wave 4 & 5 Pending.
⭕️Overbought Market Conditions.
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800This video analysis is leading on from our long term target for $6,200 which I posted yesterday. We can see from the strong impulse move up, the entire bullish cycle is not complete yet & has more upside, AFTER a healthy correction.
Confluences👇
⭕️Wave 3 Peaked at Psychological Number of $2,500 (LQ Point).
⭕️Wave 4 & 5 Pending.
⭕️Overbought Market Conditions.
XAUUSD Sniper Plan – April 24, 2025🟡 XAUUSD Sniper Plan – April 24, 2025
Post-Claims Setup | No Bounce Nonsense. Just Zones That Hit.
🔻 SELL ZONES – Premium Rejections Only
SELL #1 – 3384–3392
📌 HTF Flip Zone + FVG + EMA100
SL: 3400 | TP1: 3355 | TP2: 3320 | TP3: 3288
SELL #2 – 3408–3416
📌 Imbalance Gap 3411 + OB + NY Spike
SL: 3425 | TP1: 3375 | TP2: 3345 | TP3: 3315
SELL #3 – 3448–3455
📌 HTF OB + Fibo Extension + Trap Risk
SL: 3465 | TP1: 3415 | TP2: 3380 | TP3: 3340
🟢 BUY ZONES – Real Demand Only
BUY #1 – 3310–3316
📌 CHoCH + M30 OB + RSI Divergence
SL: 3300 | TP1: 3340 | TP2: 3370 | TP3: 3390
BUY #2 – 3275–3285
📌 HTF Demand Base + Oversold RSI
SL: 3260 | TP1: 3310 | TP2: 3340 | TP3: 3370
🧠 STRUCTURE & BIAS
• HTF Bias: Bullish
• LTF Flow: Bearish until 3384–3392 breaks
• ⚠️ 3408–3416 = key for mitigation before any real breakout
• Target rejections first, not dreams
🎯 Plan ready. Zones set. Now it’s your turn, sniper.
🟡 If this breakdown helped clear the noise, hit that Like
💬 Got a bias or reentry zone of your own? Drop it below
📲 And don’t forget to Follow – we’re building gold logic, not fairy tales
Let’s dominate the session. One sniper entry at a time 💛
With Last Trading Week Indecision Next Week Will be BIG for GoldGold shows indecision after the close of trading hours for last week, and with the long sellers' wick exhibited on the candlestick, XAUUSD will require a huge geopolitical uncertainty news for price to continue to rise. A further rejection will drag gold's price to its mean.
N.B!
- XAUUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#gold
#xauusd
GBPUSD - Big Move Setting Up - Elliott Wave AnalysisGBPUSD is currently unfolding a 5-wave impulsive move according to Elliott Wave Theory.
At the moment, we are in Wave 4, which typically corrects against the larger trend.
Key Points:
Wave 2 was a simple correction, so based on alternation, Wave 4 is expected to be more complex (likely an ABC structure).
Wave 4 often retraces to the 38.2% Fibonacci level — in this case, aligning perfectly with a long-term ascending trendline, providing additional confluence for a potential buy zone.
Trade Plan:
- Monitor the ABC correction for completion near the 38.2% retracement.
- Look for bullish confirmation (trendline break, bullish structure shifts, BOS, etc.).
- Entries will be considered after clear signs of bullish pressure.
- Stoploss: Below the lows formed during the Wave 4 correction.
Targets:
First Target: 1.3400 (450 pips)
Second Target: 1.3750 (800 pips)
Summary:
Patience is key during the Wave 4 correction. Once the setup confirms, this could offer a strong risk-reward opportunity within the overall bullish impulsive structure.
See our past GBPUSD setups below:
Swing 1:
Swing 2:
Swing 3:
Can the bears continue to exert their strength?The short-selling trading strategy given during the day today enabled us to earn a lot of profits. Gold fell for the second time during the US trading session, with the lowest reaching near the 3265 line. This was the previous low and the limit position of this round of floating. The current K-line pattern presents a "two yin and yang" pattern, indicating that the short momentum will continue early next week. However, it is worth noting that this adjustment may not necessarily unfold in the form of a unilateral decline. Sideways shocks may also become dominant. It is expected that gold prices will see-saw repeatedly in the 3260-3380 range. It is not even ruled out that the main funds deliberately create the illusion of "luring the empty to break down", and then quickly reverse and regain lost ground. Therefore, we need to focus on the key support of 3260 in the evening. If the gold price falls below the key support of 3260, as our daytime trading strategy says, the power of shorts will be further amplified. However, if the gold price stabilizes in the 3260-3280 range, the gold price may usher in a correction in the short term. Therefore, do not blindly continue to chase shorts for the time being. The key support of 3260 below is not broken. You can try to go long in the short term and look towards 3290-3300. The box is oscillating. Brothers, pay attention to making a certain profit and then stop in time.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3339.9 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 3323.8
Recommended Stop Loss - 3347.3
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK