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GOLD | Bullish Bias Amid Fed & Trade Policy UncertaintyGOLD | Bullish Bias Amid Fed & Trade Policy Uncertainty Gold prices edge higher as markets weigh conflicting signals from the Federal Reserve and renewed trade policy uncertainty. Diverging opinions among Fed officials regarding the inflationary impact of President Trump's proposed tariffs have fueled demand for safe-haven assets. While some members like Waller and Bowman appear open to rate cuts, others remain cautious about lingering inflation risks, adding to market volatility. Technical Outlook: Gold maintains bullish momentum above 3365. A break and hold above this pivot supports continuation toward 3375, and if momentum builds, toward 3385 and 3395. However, any sustained move below 3365 may trigger a bearish correction toward the support zone between 3355 and 3342. Pivot Line: 3365 Resistance Levels: 3375 · 3385 · 3395 Support Levels: 3355 · 3342 Bias: Bullish above 3365
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
3
Gold Update – Strong Breaks, Strong BullsYesterday, after the break of the key 3370 resistance, Gold corrected slightly toward 3383, then consolidated briefly in that area. From there, it launched into a strong new leg up, closing the day once more near the highs, around 3430. 📌 What’s important here is that the price did not even come back to retest the broken resistance — now turned support. Combined with the strong daily close near the high of the range, this gives us a clear message: ➡️ Bulls are in full control. ________________________________________ 🔍 This Week – Three Key Breaks So far this week, Gold has delivered three major breakouts: • ✅ A clean breakout from the box consolidation that kept price stuck and indecisive last week • ✅ A decisive break above the 3400 psychological figure • ✅ A breakout above the symmetrical triangle resistance, which had been forming since late April Each of these is significant on its own. Together, they suggest a shift toward a more aggressive bullish scenario. ________________________________________ 🔮 What’s Next? All these breakouts point to the potential for more gains ahead. In fact, the next logical step could be an attempt to mark a new All-Time High. My view remains the same: Buying dips remains the strategy of choice, with a focus on the 3400 zone as a key support area, and a swing target around 3500. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
July 21 Special Update : Metals, SPY & More. What's Next.This special update is to highlight why I continue to believe traders should stay very cautious of this rally in the SPY/QQQ/BTCUSD. Underlying economic data suggest that this is one big speculative rally following the April Tariff collapse. And, the economic data I see from my custom indexes suggests the markets are moving into a very volatile and potentially dangerous topping pattern. As I've stated many times in this video. I'm not saying the markets have topped and you should SELL EVERYTHING. I'm suggesting this market is extremely over-valued in terms of the underlying risk factors at play and the very clear data that suggests the markets are already in a recessionary price trend. You may ask, "How can the markets continue to rally like this in a moderate recession?". The answer is simple. All bubbles end with a super-speculative phase. This phase is where everyone piles into a euphoric attempt to ride the rally higher. It happened in the late 1990s. It has happened again through the 2000-2005+ housing bubble. Heck, it has occurred in the collectors market over the past few decades where people spent fortunes on the "hottest items" (think Beanie-Babies) only to find out they bought at the height of the bubble. That is why I continue to urge traders to remain cautious and to withdraw profits from this speculative rally phase. Protect your investment capital immediately and consider the risks associated with the information I share in this video. I'm not trying to scare anyone. I'm just trying to be realistic in terms of what I see in my data and why I believe now is the best time to MOVE TO SAFETY. My data suggests that the markets are about to enter a fragile and potentially dangerous pullback phase. If you want to ride it out - go for it. Otherwise, prepare for significant volatility over the next six months or more. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
1
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy on July 22.Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance level 3450, support level 3330 Four-hour chart resistance level 3420, support level 3375 One-hour chart resistance level 3402, support level 3375. Gold rose sharply on Monday, fluctuated upward in the Asian session, and the NY market accelerated its rise, with the daily line rising sharply to 3400. The fundamentals of the bull market have not changed, and this time it is believed that the factor that triggered the unilateral rise is the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut. Yesterday I mentioned that the 1-hour bottom structure appeared, and a new bullish opportunity appeared again! Yesterday's idea was very clear. The Asian session stepped back to confirm the top and bottom conversion support level of 3344, and finally the NY market rose sharply, directly breaking through the key position of 3377. Gold price stood firm at 3360, preparing to break through the key position of 3377 and then accelerate its rise. Yesterday's increase broke through the highest level in the past month. After all, the strength after the breakout after such a long period of volatility will not be small. In the previous few trading days, it returned to the previous high to complete the conversion of top and bottom. Today, pay attention to the support of the top and bottom conversion position of 3377. If it falls back during the day, you can continue to buy on dips based on the support of 3375. The bulls are accumulating momentum to break through the suppression of the 3400 mark. If it stands firm at 3400 after the breakthrough, it will be a large-scale increase. In terms of intraday operations, buy more near 3377/75 after the retracement. Buy: 3375 near Buy: 3402near
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ActuaryJ
BTC - Consolidation, Manipulation & DistributionMarket Context After a strong impulsive rally, Bitcoin is currently consolidating just beneath its All-Time High (ATH). This type of consolidation following an extended move higher often indicates indecision in the market — a pause that either leads to continuation or reversal. The current structure suggests that price is building energy for the next leg. Consolidation and Liquidity Above ATH The price action is tight and sideways around the ATH, which likely means liquidity is building above. Many stop-losses and breakout orders are sitting just overhead — classic conditions for a Buy Side Liquidity Sweep. This range may serve as a trap for early breakout traders, providing an opportunity for smart money to manipulate price lower before taking it higher. Fair Value Gap Retest Scenario Below the current range, we see a Daily Fair Value Gap that aligns with prior bullish imbalances. A move down into this Gap would represent a manipulation phase — shaking out weak longs before rebounding. The Gap also acts as a potential support level where buyers might be waiting. If price reaches into this zone and reacts strongly, it may offer a high-probability long setup. Distribution or Reaccumulation? While this could be interpreted as distribution beneath resistance, it’s equally valid to consider it a reaccumulation phase — a temporary markdown into demand before a fresh expansion. If the market dips into the Gap and quickly reclaims the range, it opens the door for a clean breakout above the ATH and continuation toward the 124,000–126,000 region. Final Thoughts Price rarely moves in a straight line. It pauses, retraces, and often tricks participants before making the real move. This type of consolidation presents opportunity — but also demands patience and clarity. If you found this breakdown insightful, a like would be much appreciated! And I’d love to hear your thoughts in the comments — are we about to sweep down into demand, or is the rocket already on the launchpad?
Long
by Louigi_24
98
Gold Market Update – Key Zones for the Next MoveHey gold lovers! As the NY session wraps up, the chart is a painting of tension: gold boxed tight between major structure — and the real action is only about to start. Bias: At this stage, gold remains in a short-term bullish structure as long as price holds above the 3421–3428 decision area. A break and hold below this zone would shift the bias to neutral or bearish for the next sessions. 🎨 What’s drawn on the chart? 🟥 3472–3478 Supply Zone: The ceiling, still untouched — this is where every failed breakout has left a “scar” on the chart. If we finally reach this zone, watch for wicks, rejections, or that rare, clean breakout candle. Sellers and patient bulls are both watching for “the drawing” to be complete. 🟩 3383–3390 Demand Zone: The real floor. On your chart, it’s the base built by strong bounces and those long wicks buyers left behind. If price falls here, it’s not just a line: it’s a zone where new rallies are born and the market might “paint” a major reversal. 🟦 The Middle is Just Noise Price is coiling, painting confusion in the center — but the edge zones are where structure and opportunity live. Don’t be the trader who gets erased in the chop. Let price draw the story at supply or demand before making your move. 💡 Plan for Tonight Wait for price to reach 🟥 supply or 🟩 demand. Watch the “drawing” — will you see a wick, a rejection, or a true breakout? Only trade once the story is clear at the edges. Drop your best chart art or scenario below! like🚀🚀🚀and 🔔 Follow for real structure updates & daily market stories — let’s turn trading into a masterpiece, together. GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Gold rallies to 4-week high as dollar and yields tumbleHello traders, what are your thoughts on gold today? Gold prices are heating up again in the global market as the US dollar weakens and Treasury yields drop. At the time of writing, gold has surged by 50 dollars, reaching 3,390 USD per ounce — its highest level in four weeks. The sharp decline in the US dollar is one of the main drivers behind gold’s impressive rally. The USD Index, which had risen significantly last week, lost momentum and fell sharply in overnight trading. Meanwhile, the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds has dropped to around 4.3%, down from recent highs, increasing gold's appeal as a non-yielding asset. Market sentiment is also being shaped by broader macroeconomic factors. Crude oil futures have dipped slightly, trading around 67 USD per barrel, reflecting investor caution amid global economic uncertainty. These combined forces have created a favorable environment for gold's strong upward movement. If the dollar continues to weaken and bond yields remain low, gold could sustain its bullish trend. However, traders should remain alert to potential volatility driven by upcoming US Federal Reserve policy moves and key economic data releases, such as inflation reports and GDP growth figures, which may impact gold's trajectory.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
1
Gold – Bear-to-Bull Transition in Motion?🧠 MJTrading: TVC:GOLD – 8H Chart: Bulls, It’s Your Move. 📸 Viewing Tip: 🛠️ Some layout elements may shift depending on your screen size. 🔗 View the fixed high-resolution chart here: The impulsive move from 3000 to 3500 wasn’t just a trend — it was a statement of strength. That rally carved the ATH, then left behind weeks of digestion and structural compression. Now, the market may be setting up for its next decision. Notice how each bearish leg has been shrinking — a classic behavioral signal that sellers are losing momentum — possibly a shift in control underway. We’re also pressing above the downtrend line from the ATH (3500), while the uptrend from 3000 remains clean and respected. We’re now testing the 3400 zone — a key battleground. 📍 If bulls want to reclaim the momentum and show dominance, this is the moment to act. 🔹 1st Support: 3363–3377 🔹 2nd Support: Rising trendline 🎯 Target Zone: 3455–3500+ (Liquidity Pool & ATH proximity) ⚠️ Break back inside the triangle could delay the breakout narrative. ⚠️ If momentum fails to increase from here, and bulls can’t break out with conviction, the market is likely to remain range-bound for longer — extending the sideways phase between 3250–3500. 💭 If you’re watching for a new ATH… stay sharp, stay structured — the market rewards patience and readiness. “If the structure speaks to you, let it echo, boost it.” 📐 MJTrading 🚀 What do you think? #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #MarketStructure #LiquiditySweep #AnythingCanHappen #MJTrading #ChartDesigner Psychology Always Matters: Click on them for the caption...
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by MJElahifx
1
Gold Surges to Five-Week High Amid Growing UncertaintyHello everyone! Let’s take a closer look at XAUUSD today. Gold prices have rallied strongly, breaking above the 3,400 USD level and currently hovering around 3,420 USD — up 1.2% in the past 24 hours, equivalent to a gain of 34.7 USD. This surge marks the highest level in five weeks, driven by heightened uncertainty surrounding U.S. President Donald Trump's looming August 1 tariff deadline. With tensions rising, gold is likely to remain on an upward trajectory. The immediate resistance stands at 3,420 USD per ounce, while support is seen near 3,350 USD. Investors are also eyeing next week’s Federal Reserve policy meeting, where rates are expected to stay unchanged — but a rate cut could come as early as October. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar continues to face renewed pressure heading into August, a factor that may further boost gold’s appeal. Do you think gold will keep rising from here? Drop your thoughts in the comments — and good luck with your trades!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
XAU/USD) breakout analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, highlighting a move toward the $3,450 target. Here's the full technical breakdown --- Technical Analysis – Gold (4H) 1. Breakout from Resistance Zone Price has broken above a key horizontal resistance level (now turned support, marked in yellow). The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle with momentum, suggesting buyers are in control. 2. Ascending Triangle Formation Price formed an ascending triangle, a classic bullish continuation pattern. The breakout above the upper boundary confirms the pattern, projecting a potential measured move. 3. Trendline Support & Higher Lows The structure shows a rising trendline (black), where price bounced multiple times — confirming a higher low sequence. The confluence of trendline support + breakout level adds strength to the bullish case. 4. 200 EMA Confluence The 200-period EMA (3,332.13) has been acting as a dynamic support throughout. Price retested it earlier in the move, then surged upward — validating trend continuation. 5. RSI Indicator RSI is at 71.13, entering overbought territory. This implies strong bullish momentum, but a short-term pullback to retest the breakout level is possible. 6. Target Projection Target Point: $3,450.90, calculated from the height of the triangle (~61 pts or 1.80%) added above the breakout zone. A retest of the breakout area (yellow zone) around $3,370–$3,380 could offer a better entry before continuation. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary Bias: Bullish Current Price: $3,397.62 Support: $3,370–$3,380 zone (previous resistance turned support) Trend: Higher lows + breakout above resistance EMA Support: 200 EMA at $3,332.13 Target: $3,450.90 RSI: 71.13 – bullish but near overbought Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
Bulls are still the main theme, 3400 is not the high point📰 News information： 1. Fed Chairman Powell delivers a welcome speech at a regulatory conference 2. The tariff deadline is approaching 📈 Technical Analysis： Today's opening high reached around 3402, and did not effectively break through the upper resistance of 3405-3415. As I said yesterday, a decline and return to the moving average is an inevitable result. The tariff issue is still there, with the deadline on August 1, and the daily MACD indicator still shows a golden cross. The general direction of short-term bullishness has not changed, but from a technical point of view, gold still has room to fall to correct the overbought part. Below the day, we first focus on the top and bottom conversion position of 3377-3375. As time goes by, the 4H middle track will probably resonate with the 50% position of the Fibonacci line at 3355, which is also a good long position I expect. Therefore, if the price falls back to 3380-3375 for the first time during the day, you can consider going long. If the price continues to fall, pay attention to the second opportunity to go long at 3355, with the target at 3390-3410. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3380-3375 TP 3390-3410 BUY 3360-3350 TP 3370-3380 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you. TVC:GOLD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Falling towards pullback support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 3,365.52 1st Support: 3,322.94 1st Resistance: 3,434.64 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ICmarkets
3400 has been reached, wait patiently for a pullback to go longGold opened on Monday with a volatile rise. After breaking through the 3360-65 area, the bulls turned strong. After breaking through the 3375~80 area in the evening, the bulls accelerated their rise, reaching the highest point of 3402. It fluctuated sideways in the late trading, and the daily line closed at around 3397 with a big positive line! Gold temporarily broke the small range oscillation pattern, but the bulls were not strong, and it still fluctuated upward. From the perspective of the intraday cycle, after yesterday's rapid rise, the market fell into a serious overbought state; however, yesterday's $60 big positive line supported the bulls, and it is expected that the market will fluctuate; the next focus is still the 3400 mark area. The pressure in the 3400~05 area was dense last night, and adjustments may be made at any time before the breakthrough; and since the rise of 3282, it has just touched the upper edge of the parallel channel. The big sweep will continue, but the range is constantly changing! So although gold broke the recent volatility yesterday and hit the 3400 mark with a big positive line; however, if it cannot stand above it, then it will continue to fall; recently we have repeatedly and many times emphasized the importance of the 3400 mark. If it stands here, the market will gradually rise to 3420~25 and break through to the 3450 area before looking for a decline. Today we will continue to focus on the 3400 mark area. First, we will rush to the high altitude, with the goal of retracement to the 3375 and 3356 regional support platforms, and then pay attention to long opportunities; if the bulls stand above the 3400 mark, they will further bullishly impact 3420~25 and break through the 3450 area before falling back. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HuntingWolves
USD/JPY : Get Ready for another Fall ! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the USDJPY chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our last daily timeframe analysis, the price started its rally from the 144 zone and, as expected, hit all three targets at 145.5, 147.35, and 148.65, delivering over 500 pips in returns — even reaching as high as 149.2! Once the price broke above 148.65 and swept the liquidity above this level, it faced selling pressure and dropped to 146.9. Currently trading around 148.65, if USDJPY manages to hold below the supply zone between 148.65 and 149.2, we can expect further downside movement. This analysis will be updated with your support! THE DAILY ANALYSIS : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
12
Gold breaks new high, expect a pullback in the evening#XAUUSD After the rapid rise of the previous day, the gold market has fallen into an overbought state, but yesterday's increase of nearly $60 still provided solid support for the bulls. It is expected that the market will show repeated fluctuations in the future⚖️. In terms of operation, it is recommended to pay close attention to the gains and losses of the 3,400 mark. If it is successfully broken through, it is expected to further test the 3,420-3,425 and 3,450 lines; on the downside, pay attention to the top and bottom conversion support of 3,403📈. 📊At present, you can consider shorting near 3430, defending 3440, and aiming at 3410💡 🚀SELL 3430-3440 🚀TP 3415-3405
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Halson_Winston