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XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE – MAY 15: POWELL, CLAIMS 🔥 XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE – MAY 15: POWELL, CLAIMS & PURE GOLD FLOW INCOMING 🔥 No setups. No predictions. Just sniper vision + POIs that matter. – by GoldFxMinds 🧠 MACRO CONTEXT – POWELL DAY: LIQUIDITY MODE ON Tomorrow, May 15, markets lock eyes on U.S. Unemployment Claims + Powell Speech at 15:30 (UTC+2). After CPI’s downside surprise and increasing signs of a softer Fed tone, volatility is guaranteed. We are in a recalibration phase, with panic selling possibly pausing... but not over — yet. Expect: Fakeouts before confirmation Traps near equilibrium Massive liquidity sweeps NY session 🧭 STRUCTURE FLOW – MULTI-TF ALIGNMENT TF Bias Status D1 🔻 Bearish CHoCH confirmed + BOS → rejection from 3455 FVG, now testing deep discount. H4 🔻 Bearish LL formed. BOS at 3220 confirmed. Price now in strong OB at 3180–3174. H1 ⚖️ Neutral–Bullish CHoCH + consolidation under 3200 = decision zone. M15–M5 🔼 Corrective Bullish BOS from 3174 low. FVG + OB reaction at 3184–3187. No trend reversal yet. ⚡️ BIAS & SESSION EXPECTATIONS Session Bias Notes Asia Flat–Reactive Expect low-volume bounce/consolidation. London Neutral–Bullish If price holds 3174 and reclaims 3187, possible pre-news pump. NY Pre-News Bullish Bias Only if 3200–3205 breaks clean with structure shift. Post-News Volatility Trap Zone Eyes on sweep + reversal OR fakeout > continuation. No early entries. 📍 ZONE MAP – EYES ON POIs ONLY 🟢 BUY WATCH AREAS (Do Not Buy Until Confirmed) Zone Price Reason 🟢3180–3174 Deep Reactive Demand -Active OB that gave current bounce. Watch CHoCH on M5–M15 if price retests. 🟢3165–3150 Sweep Zone -Clean SL liquidity zone. If swept with reversal → sniper entry confirmed. 3125–3110 Final Demand POI-Deep OB + FVG unmitigated on H4. Perfect for fakeout spike if 3165 breaks. 🔴 SELL WATCH ZONES (Trap Reversal Areas) Zone Price Reason 3200–3205 Bull Trap Supply-BOS zone from May 13. If we reject here → continuation down confirmed. 🔴3235–3245 NY Spike Trap→OB + FVG confluence. If spiked after news, look for rejection wick → sell setup. 🔴3285–3295 Final Premium Cap→ D1 OB supply. Only if price explodes post-news → expect top-out or massive rejection. 🔐 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT – LEVEL TRACKER Type Level Status Weak low 3174 Hit & reacting. Confirmed bounce. Key invalidation SL zone 3165 Critical. If broken → 3125–3110 in play. Bullish reclaim trigger 3200–3205 Flip this = momentum back to buyers short-term. Trap zone 3235–3245 Watch for wick trap after Powell. Final rejection cap 3285–3295 Premium OB. No further upside expected beyond here. 🧩 STRATEGIC PLAYBOOK FOR TOMORROW – NO SETUPS, ONLY SMART REACTIONS DO NOT BUY blindly under 3200 — structure is still bearish until flipped. If 3165 sweeps → wait for CHoCH M5/M15 and reclaim. Otherwise, let it drop toward 3125–3110. If price pumps into 3205 before Powell → sell trap zone active. If price pumps into 3235–3245 post-news → ideal premium reversal zone. 🎯 FINAL NOTES This isn’t a day for basic setups. It’s a liquidity game. We’re in sniper territory, and gold’s volatility is about to hit full throttle. So tomorrow: Track these POIs, not bias. Let the market show you its cards. React only to clean CHoCH or BOS. 💬 Comment below if you’re watching the reclaim… or waiting to slap the trap. We’ll post a post-Powell recap + directional update. No fear. No hope. Just levels. — GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE Hey Everyone, Another productive session on the charts, with our strategy of buying dips delivering solid results once again. This is a follow up on our 4-hour chart setup. The week began with our initial bearish targets being achieved, each confirmed by decisive candle body closures. Additionally, momentum conditions allowed for EMA5 lock confirmations at key levels, reinforcing the validity of the moves. Today, price action tested the secondary swing range following a confirmed break and EMA5 lock below the primary swing zone. This led to a clean retracement and a reaction from the secondary swing range, with price covering the full range of the swing, a strong technical sign of structure respecting prior levels. Looking ahead, we are closely monitoring for one of two scenarios: 1. Primary swing range completion – If price continues its upward momentum and completes the move back to the primary range, this could set the stage for a potential breakout. 2. Rejection at current zone – Should price fail to reclaim the primary swing range, we anticipate a retest of the lower Goldturn zones as support. A successful hold and bounce from this level would reinforce the broader range dynamics and offer renewed long opportunities. We'll remain reactive to price structure and momentum alignment, especially in relation to key support/resistance levels. Mr Gold GOLDVIEWFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
Hanzo | Gold min Bullish Break– Confirming the Next Move🔥 GOLD – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) Bias: Waiting For Break Out Time Frame: 15 Min Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out Bullish After Break Out : 3154 🩸 Key Reasons for Entry: ☄️Strong bullish reaction from a refined demand zone. ☄️Entry based on Smart Money Concepts: Break of structure + order block confirmation. ☄️Confluence with higher time frame support or key level. ☄️Bullish engulfing / displacement candle shows clear intent. ☄️Market in premium-to-discount transition zone. Hanzo | Gold min Bullish Break– Confirming the Next Move
TVC:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
Gold (XAUUSD) Reversal Setup - Watching for CHoCH on 1HGold has shown a strong bounce from a key support zone around $3,120, which previously acted as resistance. This area is now proving to be a solid demand zone. ✅ On lower timeframes (5m, 15m, 30m), we’re seeing a clear structure shift with Higher Highs (HHs) forming, indicating early signs of bullish momentum. 🧠 On the 1H timeframe, the Change of Character (CHoCH) level is around $3,270 — a clean break above this could confirm a bullish market structure shift. 🎯 If $3,270 is reclaimed with strength, potential upside targets could be: $3,350 (mid-range supply) $3,400 (previous weekly high) This aligns with smart money concepts (CHoCH → BOS → expansion) and we are currently in the Discount zone, making this an attractive area for potential long positions. 📌 Levels to Watch: Support: $3,120 CHoCH: $3,270 Targets: $3,350 / $3,400
TVC:GOLDLong
by TrendAlchemy
Gold V-shaped reversal? How to solve the short order quilt🗞News side: 1.PPI has fallen for three consecutive months 2. Russia-Ukraine talks are ongoing 3. Powell says the era of long-term low interest rates is over 📈Technical aspects: Gold rebounded from oversold in the European session, hitting a low of 3120 before pulling back and rising. After a second retracement to confirm 3130, it made a V-shaped reversal. Currently, gold is still testing the 3190-3200 resistance line. Before breaking the resistance range, gold may still usher in a second bottom detection 🎁SELL 3190-3200, SL 3210, TP 3170-3160 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell
GOLD - Price can continue to decline to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few days ago price reached $3075 level, broke it, and then rose a little, but soon turned around and made correction movement. Next, price entered to triangle, where it reached support line, at once, and then made an upward impulse. Price broke $3075 level and soon reached and broke too $3290 level, after which Gold rose to resistance line. After this, price turned around and corrected $3290 level, but then it came back to resistance line. But recently, Gold dropped to support line of triangle, breaking $3290 level and making a gap, after which it exited from triangle. Now I think XAU can make a retest, after exiting, and then continue to decline to $3075 support level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by WalterMoon
8
A wave of bargain hunting is giving short-term support to gold April’s U.S. CPI came in below expectations, cooling down hopes for Fed rate cuts. The U.S. Dollar index has also eased off its one-month high, while ongoing geopolitical concerns continue to back gold’s rise. On Wednesday morning (May 14), spot gold traded in a narrow range around $3,245 per ounce. Inflation Data April’s U.S. CPI rose only 0.2%, less than the expected 0.3%. This boosted gold as it doesn’t reduce the chances of Fed rate cuts, with markets still expecting cuts to continue in September. However, inflation could pick up again in the coming months due to tariff effects, so many investors still see gold as a solid hedge against inflation. On Tuesday, both Do Nam Trung and Trump called on the Fed to cut rates. Geopolitical Situation Geopolitical tensions remain a strong support for gold. Talks between Ukraine and Russia are still uncertain, and although the India-Pakistan conflict has paused with a ceasefire, tensions haven’t eased much. These risks keep gold’s upside potential alive if markets face sudden shocks. Gold Outlook Gold faces three main challenges: Progress in U.S.-China trade talks — even with a 90-day truce, tariffs remain in place. Fed monetary policy — mild inflation data could pave the way for rate cuts. Global geopolitical risks — especially the Russia-Ukraine peace talks and India-Pakistan tensions. There’s little major economic data today. U.S. Secretary of State Rubio will attend a NATO meeting to discuss security priorities and the Russia-Ukraine war, while several Fed officials will speak, so investors should stay alert. Technical Analysis (XAU/USD) On the daily chart, gold is trading within a narrow range with short-term bearish pressure from the 21-day EMA. The 0.50 Fibonacci retracement near $3,228 is key support limiting further drops. If this level breaks, gold could fall toward $3,163. For a new uptrend, gold needs to climb above the EMA21 and break through the $3,300 level. Key levels to watch: Support: 3,228 – 3,200 – 3,163 USD Resistance: 3,245 – 3,292 – 3,300 USD Wishing you a productive and successful trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Gold Loses 3,220 – Will It Fall Further?Gold has just broken through the 3,220 support and closed the H4 candle at $3,213/ounce. The strong red candle with volume shows that the sellers are still in control. I saw the EMA34 cut down to the EMA89 early and maintained a negative slope – confirming a clear downtrend. I am watching the 3,180 – 3,200 zone as the next target. If the price rebounds but does not surpass 3,240, I will continue to sell. The current situation is not suitable for buying against the trend, especially when the USD is still strong and the safe-haven sentiment is decreasing.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by vandogeve
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-15 : CRUSH PatternToday's CRUSH pattern could play out as a very big downward price move if the 578-580 level is broken. CRUSH patterns are usually very large-range price bars. Yes, they can be to the upside as well (depending on recent trending). A CRUSH pattern is usually in the opposite direction of recent trends. Thus, I believe today's CRUSH pattern will be to the downside. Although I believe today could be very exciting for traders, I urge all traders move with caution in the early 30min to 60min of trading today. I believe the SPY/QQQ will attempt to establish a range (early trading range), then work to break away from that range. Traders should be very cautious of getting married into a direction/position in early trading. Let the market tell you where it wants to go. Gold and Silver appear to have setup the Ultimate Low overnight. Now, we'll see if metals can move higher throughout the rest of this week and build a base for the next phase higher. BTCUSD seems to have started to roll over (top), but I urge traders to stay cautious of the current upward FLAGGING trend. Until BTCUSD breaks below $96-97k, I would still consider it to be trending upward. Going to be a busy day for me. Stay safe as I'll be on the road most of the morning. GET SOME. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
10
Possible Scenario for Gold if GDP Surprises to the UpsideFirst, a warning: This is a hypothetical scenario in which gold has made its final top at 3500, and we explore the possible short-term effects of this outcome. Today will be a busy day for gold, with both PCE and GDP data scheduled for release. The remainder of the week is also likely to be more volatile than recent days, with earnings reports from NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:META , NASDAQ:AAPL , and NASDAQ:AMZN , as well as a key jobs report on Friday. Gold reached a top at 3500. Whether this is the final top of the current cycle remains uncertain, it’s notoriously difficult to time tops in a bull market. However, there are some strong signals suggesting gold may be at or near its peak. For more details, please refer to the following post: Historically, gold tends to form a secondary top slightly below the peak before declining. It often retests (third time but seen as second at monthly chart) the high again, within 36 months before entering a bear cycle. If—and this is a big if—3500 is the top, another attempt toward that level is still possible. But first, today’s data will play a key role. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow is projecting below -2.30%, and the gold-adjusted GDPNow is below -1%, indicating weak Q1 expectations. Market consensus has a median forecast of -0.2%, with most estimates ranging between -1% and 0.6%. Much of the expected downside stems from the pre-tariff trade deficit. If GDP surprises to the upside with slightly positive growth and PCE slows as expected, this could put downward pressure on gold, possibly pushing prices down to the 3145–3170 zone. However, problematic China trade relations, continued war between Ukraine and Russia, and rising tensions along the India-Pakistan border could keep demand for gold elevated. This could lead to a recovery and a second, weaker top near 3450 or maybe even a breakout beyond that level. Please keep in mind that this is just one potential scenario for gold.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ftdsystem
XAU/USD) bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a bearish outlook. Here's a breakdown of the key elements: --- Key Levels: 1. Resistance Zone (Upper Yellow Block): Around 3,450–3,500. Price was previously rejected from this level, forming a double-top like structure. 2. Rejection Point (Mid-Level Zone): Near 3,300–3,310. Price repeatedly failed to break and hold above this zone, indicating strong selling pressure. 3. Support Zone / Demand Block (Lower Yellow Block): Around 3,100–3,125. This is the target area, labeled clearly as TARGET POINT: 3,116.501. --- Indicators: 200 EMA: Currently above the price, suggesting downward momentum. Acting as a dynamic resistance. RSI (14): Around 39, slightly above oversold territory (30). Indicates bearish pressure but not yet oversold — room for further downside. The chart suggests that if price breaks below the mid-level support, we could expect a move towards the support block around 3,116. The bearish wave projection drawn in the chart confirms the trader’s expectation of a drop. The setup appears to be a break-and-retest of the mid-zone, followed by continuation downward. Mr SMC Trading point --- Trading Idea Summary: Bias: Bearish Entry Trigger: Break below ~3,225–3,230 with confirmation Target: ~3,116 Invalidation/Stop: Close above 3,300–3,310 (rejection zone) Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
10
XAUUAD UPDATE 15-5-2025This chart is a technical analysis of CFDs on Gold (US$/OZ) with a 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements: Chart Patterns: 1. Falling Wedge Pattern: A clear falling wedge is outlined with blue trendlines converging downward, typically a bullish reversal pattern. The price has tested the lower boundary multiple times, suggesting a strong support zone. 2. Projected Breakout: An upward arrow indicates a possible breakout from the wedge. The breakout zone appears to aim for the 3,473.994 level, marked with a red line. A potential rally target is highlighted in a yellow zone, between approximately 3,400 and 3,500. 3. Support & Resistance: Support: Around 3,122.690 (green line at the bottom). Resistance: Approximately 3,261.270, with further resistance near 3,473.994. 4. Volume: There’s steady volume activity, which could indicate accumulation before a breakout. 5. Fib Level: A Fibonacci retracement level around 0.793, often used to confirm reversal zones. 6. US Economic Events: Two U.S. flag icons suggest important economic data releases, which might trigger volatility and influence the breakout. Conclusion: This chart suggests a bullish outlook for gold, expecting a breakout from the falling wedge and targeting the 3,400–3,500 zone. However, the movement could be influenced by upcoming economic data, so it’s essential to watch for confirmation before acting. Would you like an interpretation in a different format (e.g., simplified summary or trading plan)?
TVC:GOLD
by Mr_Zakrii
USD/JPY : More Bullish Move Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the USD/JPY chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price moved exactly as expected — first correcting down to the 142.5 area, and then rallying strongly to hit the 146.2 target. Currently, this pair is trading around 145.2, and if the price can hold above 145, we can still expect further upside movement on USDJPY. The next potential targets are 148.7 and 150 respectively. This analysis will be updated. The total return of this analysis so far has been over 720 pips! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
10
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for May 15Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 3200, support below 3100 Four-hour chart resistance 3175-92, support below 3100 One-hour chart resistance 3167, support below 3100 Analysis of gold news: The spot gold market showed a volatile downward trend on Wednesday. Despite the weak performance of the US dollar index and the market's expectations for the Fed's rate cut, gold prices remained under pressure and failed to continue the rebound momentum on Tuesday. The market focus is on the fading risk aversion caused by Trump's recent tariff remarks and the latest developments in the geopolitical situation, such as potential progress in negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. Looking ahead, the spot gold market may continue to be affected by multiple factors. The US Producer Price Index (PPI) data to be released on Thursday will provide new clues to the market. If the PPI data further confirms the slowdown in inflationary pressures, expectations for rate cuts may continue to heat up, providing potential support for gold prices. However, any unexpected developments in tariff remarks and the situation between Russia and Ukraine could quickly change market sentiment and reignite safe-haven demand. Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the lower support focuses on the integer support of 3100, the upper pressure focuses on the suppression near 3167 in the one-hour chart and 3175 in the four-hour chart, and the short-term long-short strength and weakness dividing line focuses on 3167. Before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position, continue to rebound and sell. Sell: 3175near SL: 3180 Sell: 3167near SL: 3171 More free sharing will be updated daily
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 15.05.2025Key Supply Zones to Watch for Short Opportunities: 3170–3175 Zone: → Strong supply area. → If price rejects this zone with confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, M5/M15 BOS or CHoCH), enter sell. 3150–3155 Zone: → Mid-level supply. → If price fails to reach 3170 and breaks below this level, wait for a break & retest of this zone for potential sell entries. 📉 Trade Signal (Sell Bias): Scenario 1 – Rejection at 3170–3175: Sell Entry: On confirmation at 3170–3175 SL: Above 3178 TP1: 3155 TP2: 3145 TP3: 3125 (final target – next demand zone) Scenario 2 – Break of 3150–3155: Sell Entry: On retest of 3150–3155 zone after breakdown SL: Above 3160 TP1: 3135 TP2: 3125 ✅ Confirmation Tools: Candlestick pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing / M15 BOS) Lower timeframe structure shift (M5-M15 CHoCH) Volume spike or momentum fade at zone Kindly follow, comment, like and share.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by QuinnReed_Charts
3
The technical side collapses! Can the bear market continue?🗞News side: 1. Russia and Ukraine hold ceasefire talks 2. Initial jobless claims data released during today's US trading session 3. Trump administration exposed to trillions of national debt 📈Technical aspects: After gold fell below 3200, it pointed directly at the 3100-3000 line. Although there has been a rebound in the process, the current short-term short-term situation has not changed. The current lack of rebound momentum in the market is mainly due to the fact that the bad news has not been completely digested. At present, the gold price has rebounded to around 3160. Above, we need to pay attention to the first-line suppression of 3168, which is the first low point in the decline, followed by the 3190-3200 resistance zone above. If the gold rebound cannot break through the 3168 point, then the gold price will most likely continue its decline, test the 3120 low again, or even move towards 3000. If the European market hits the 3168 line and encounters resistance, it can be short-term and focus on the release of initial jobless claims data in the US market. If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell
XAUUSD- Signal to go down - 24/04/2025- With any macro economy problem, Gold & BTC are always the key asset to to shelter cash flow. - From Gold H1 chart, It showed strong selling pressure recently. A short plan is reasonable with Gold. Of course, any plan can be wrong, but as a trader & value investor, we have to have the plans to deal with it and prepare to buy more good stocks, assets - Explain the chart as - NCI system: 1. Strong momentum comes to down key level of H1 2. Big money comes in, Key level has not broken yet. But high probability Gold will go down. 3. Zone & Trend are shown on chart. Please refer on it for more detail This analyzation is my personal view as a trader - investor, it's not a recommended deal.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by Jayce_Pham
2
DeGRAM | GOLD fixed under the supply area📊 Technical Analysis ● Break back below the blue median line turned the $3 ,260 ‑ 3,320 supply into resistance; the rebound stalled there, forming a bearish flag. ● With price sliding underneath the flag’s base, momentum points to the channel floor/ horizontal supports at 3 200 and 3 100; short view void on a close above 3 315. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● May US retail‑sales beat (+0.5 % m/m) and hawkish Fed remarks (“rates may stay high for some time”) lifted 10‑yr yields toward 4.50 %, firming the USD. ● World Gold Council reports the largest weekly ETF outflow since February, signalling softer investment demand. ✨ Summary Supply‑zone rejection plus firmer USD/yields favour shorts: targets 3 200 → 3 100; exit if price reclaims 3 315. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by DeGRAM
1