GOLD Will Move Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 2,653.865.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 2,713.989 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Gold
Gold’s Next Move: Upward Momentum Building at Key SupportGold is reacting exceptionally well to the Fork.
It has not opened and closed below the L-MLH within a single bar, which eliminates any immediate downside expectations.
Instead, we observe a condensed, slanted trading range or coil, indicating that price is being gradually pressed to the upside.
In my previous post about Gold, I anticipated a rocket-like breakout. Since then, price has simply moved down to the L-MLH, finding support there. This price action, coupled with the ongoing upward pressure, confirms my analysis—albeit slightly delayed.
As NQ and S&P approach their respective targets, as outlined in my other analysis, I expect Gold to start moving upward, with targets at the CL and U-MLH.
GOLD → The calm before the storm. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating above 2645 and trying to test the strong resistance of 2664. Downside risks are quite high and it may happen after liquidity capture.
Gold has high risks due to yesterday's favorable data in the US. Hawkish expectations for the Fed, strong economic data put the dollar back on the northbound train. Markets priced in a 35% chance of a Fed interest rate cut this month.
Trump takes office on Jan. 20 and his proposed tariffs and protectionist policies are seen as inflationary, requiring higher interest rates and a stronger U.S. dollar. If risk aversion intensifies amid renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East or Trump's tariff threats, that could send gold higher
A symmetrical triangle is forming on D1, which confuses everyone - where will the price go? And all because the technical situation is neutral.
Resistance levels: 2664, 2674
Support levels: 2645, 2632.
False breakdown of resistance can provoke a fall to the strong support, the border of the triangle. Gold is growing reluctantly and slowly, as if something is in the way, and the risks and pressure are increasing.
BUT! If the price goes to 2664, it is important to watch the price reaction to this level: consolidation above the level may provoke further growth to 2674. Similarly with the support of 2645
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD: 8/1 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of spot gold
Daily resistance 2664, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2664, support below 2642
Gold operation suggestions: The rhythm of the shock has not changed, the wide range of shocks in the large range, try not to make a move in the middle position, especially the long and short situation in the European session is very critical. At present, the key selling pressure above is still at the 2665 line, and the price has also hit a high and stopped here for many times. The support below the day is at the 2632 line. For the time being, it is around this range to sell high and buy low, and wait patiently before participating.
In the 1-hour trend, gold hit a high and was suppressed by 2665, then fell to 2642 and rebounded. It rebounded to 2655 in the late trading and then fell again. Today, it continued to fall to 2645 in the Asian session, but has not yet fallen below the overnight low of 2642. Then the European session will focus on 2642 and 2655. The breakthrough will be postponed to a certain extent, but it is still difficult to escape the repeated sawing of the large range. It is temporarily on the sidelines during the day. The middle position is to shuffle back and forth repeatedly. Don't rush to enter the market. Pay attention to the trend of the European session and put the trading time in the US session. Try to trade at the edge of 2632-2665.
It should be noted that if it breaks through 2665, it may form a unilateral rise, and then it will follow the trend and buy.
BUY:2642near
BUY:2627near
SELL:2664near
The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Pay attention to ADP and FOMC minutes of the dayOn this trading day, Wednesday January 8, investors will need to focus on US ADP jobs data and Federal Reserve meeting minutes, which are expected to causing major fluctuations in the market.
On Wednesday, US ADP employment change data for December will be released. This data is called "small non-farm" and is expected to create a major trend in the market.
Surveys show that US ADP employment is expected to increase by 140,000 in December. Previously, US ADP employment increased by 146,000 in November.
On the same day, one of the Federal Reserve's most influential senior officials, Governor Waller, will give a speech on the economic outlook at the OECD meeting.
On Thursday, the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will release the minutes of its December monetary policy meeting. The minutes could provide more information about the future policy roadmap, especially whether the Fed will actually become hawkish or not.
At its December meeting, the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, and officials forecast just two rate cuts in 2025. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said further adjustments will be made. depends on inflation developments.
The accumulation state on the daily chart of gold prices is still continuing. After yesterday's recovery, the upward momentum is limited by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level. Attention readers in the previous issue there.
Up to now, the price activity position is becoming increasingly narrower, gradually entering the corner of the accumulation price triangle. This shows hesitant market sentiment, and predicts an impending spike in amplitude.
Regarding the overall picture, the gold price trend is still neutral, sticking around EMA21 and the Fibonacci level of 0.618%. With upside limited by 2,664 – 2,693USD and downside limited by 2,604 – 2,600 – 2,592USD.
Along with that, the Relative Strength Index is still sticking around 50, also showing the market's hesitant psychology.
Before the fundamental impact creates price structural mutations, gold still has a neutral outlook, with a cumulative sideways trend, and notable levels will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,634 – 2,604 – 2,600USD
Resistance: 2,664 – 2,693USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2677 - 2675⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2661
→Take Profit 1 2670
↨
→Take Profit 2 2665
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2617 - 2619⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2513
→Take Profit 1 2624
↨
→Take Profit 2 2629
NASDAQ Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around 20,900 zone, NASDAQ was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 20,900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower due to disappointment following Nvidia's new product announcement. On the daily chart, the MACD failed to converge with the Signal line, turning downward, and strong selling pressure emerged. If the weekly chart shows a candle with an upper wick breaking below the 10-day moving average, a dead cross on the MACD is likely. On the daily chart, the index has found support twice at the 60-day moving average. However, if it breaks below this level during the current selling wave, there’s potential for further declines toward the monthly 5-day moving average at 20,880.
The 240-minute chart has triggered a sell signal around the MACD zero line, indicating the possibility of steep declines if selling continues. The Nasdaq is currently forming a pattern of lower highs, favoring sell-side strategies. However, with Friday's non-farm payroll data approaching, pre-market movement may remain range-bound.
Oil
Oil closed higher, finding support at the 5-day moving average. Although it hasn’t pulled back to the 3-week moving average on the weekly chart, continued gains this week could result in a candlestick pattern that reflects support at this level. Strong buying momentum persists on the daily chart, making buy-side strategies advantageous. Selling opportunities may arise if oil challenges the previous high at $76.
The steep divergence between current prices and daily moving averages suggests the need for some price or time correction to bring the moving averages closer. On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal emerged but was followed by a short-term rebound. Given the divergence and angles of the MACD and Signal lines, an immediate breakout to the upside seems unlikely. If prices rise but the MACD fails to form a golden cross, a pullback is likely. Avoid chasing the rally; instead, focus on buying dips at key levels and selling at highs.
Gold
Gold closed higher with an upper wick, showing significant volatility following economic data releases. On the daily chart, gold continues to consolidate within a range. As Friday’s non-farm payroll data approaches, further consolidation is likely, so avoid chasing buying at highs or selling at lows. The MACD and Signal lines on the daily chart show minimal divergence, indicating a range-bound movement.
On the 240-minute chart, another buy signal has appeared, but given the upcoming data releases, it’s more practical to approach this as part of a range-bound strategy rather than expecting a breakout. Exercise caution and focus on range-trading until clearer trends emerge.
■Pre-Market Trading Strategies
Nasdaq - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 21,280 / 21,230 / 21,160 / 21,060 / 20,990
-Sell Levels: 21,450 / 21,505 / 21,555 / 21,600 / 21,680
Oil - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 74.20 / 73.80 / 73.10 / 72.70
-Sell Levels: 74.90 / 75.40 / 76.40 / 77.20
Gold - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 2,659 / 2,654 / 2,649 / 2,644 / 2,635
-Sell Levels: 2,669 / 2,676 / 2,681
These strategies are applicable only during pre-market hours, with profit-taking and stop-loss levels set as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 15–20 ticks.
Trade successfully while keeping an eye on market indicators!
GOLD WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅GOLD is approaching a supply level of 2665$
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bearish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
SHORT🔥
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XAUUSD: One last pullback possible, but bullish long term.Gold is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.979, MACD = -4.490, ADX = 14.647) as once more it got rejected on the 1D MA50, struggling to close a 1D candle over it since December 12th 2024. Technically though, it is on a slow rise on the bottom of the Channel Up, potentially a bottom formation like June 2024. Even though one last pullback like June 26th 2024 is possible, the long term trend remains bullish as long as the 1D MA200 holds. As the July rally did, we aim for a little under the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 2,850).
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts today with our analysis playing out to perfection!!
Yesterday after bouncing off the retracement range we stated that 2611 was a weighted level and as long as we see no lock below 2611, we should see a continuation of the bounce into completing the Bullish gap at 2661
- This played out perfectly with our bullish target 2661 being hit today completing this range. Lovely catch from yesterdays update.
No lock above 2661 confirmed the rejection. We will see play between 2661 and 2633, until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2661 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2661 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2681
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2681 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2711
BEARISH TARGETS
2633 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2611
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2611 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2593
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2593 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2570 - 2551
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD → Price buyback, local bull characterFX:XAUUSD is in a narrow channel, in consolidation, which complicates intraday movement, but nevertheless traders have a chance for possible growth. There is a lot of important news ahead that may give traders a chance.
Despite the strong intraday movement in gold, we can say that the price is standing still in the range of 2600 - 2660. Quite a difficult place for the price due to the huge density of volumes, levels, tails... Traders are refraining from new directional bets ahead of the release of crucial data on ISM Services PMI and JOLTS job openings in the US.
After a strong fall the price was bought back and returned to resistance 2648 - 2650, most likely further struggle will be for this area. The falling dollar broke the support line, thus giving an advantage to gold.
Gold and the dollar are already starting to feel Trump's power and are reacting to his statements as quickly as they did during the last period of his presidency....
Resistance levels: 2649, 2664, 2674
Support levels: 2632, 2610
Until the price leaves the channel 2600 - 2665, most of the movements will not be very clean (nature of price movement inside consolidation). At the moment the emphasis is on 2649. If the bulls will keep the defense above this zone, then in the short term the price may show growth to the local maximum
Regards R. Linda!
Gold bulls win?
At present, the daily price of gold is in an obvious triangle convergence range, and the price is constantly approaching the breakthrough point. From the trend, it can be seen that the recent price fluctuations fluctuate around a wedge area formed by an upward trend line and a downward trend line, and the price is currently running near a higher position, close to the key resistance level.
From the recent wave of sharp declines (high $2790 to low $2537), the price has tested the Fibonacci key retracement level many times. Among them, the 0.5 ($2663.94) and 0.618 ($2693) levels have become the current important resistance levels, and the gold price is testing its breakthrough possibility.
Previously, the price experienced a long period of box consolidation ($2584 to $2644), and then gradually broke through the upper edge of the box and continued the upward trend. The current price is approaching the upper track of the wedge again (near $2719), indicating that there may be upward momentum in the short term. If the price successfully breaks through the upper rail, it may launch an attack on the previous high ($2790), or even open up more upside space.
If the price encounters resistance and falls back near the upper rail of the wedge, it may retest the lower support area ($2615 or $2584). The lower trend line and the Fibonacci 0.382 level ($2634) will also play an important supporting role. Once it falls below, it may trigger a deeper correction.
Strategy Recommendation
It is currently recommended to pay attention to the price breakthrough of the $2660-$2690 range. If it breaks up, you can consider following up with long orders and set the target at $2719; if it fails to break through, you need to be alert to downside risks. In the short term, you can look for turning point selling opportunities near $2660-2650.
In general, gold faces directional choices in the short term, and investors need to operate cautiously in combination with technical patterns and market dynamics.
Gold Outlook: Consolidation Phase with Breakout SignalsGold Analysis
Gold Prices Rise by Over 1%
Gold prices climbed more than 1%, reaching $2,660 per ounce on Tuesday. The rise was supported by a weaker dollar as traders grappled with uncertainty surrounding President-elect Donald Trump’s tariff policies amid conflicting signals.
Additional support came from China's central bank, which increased its gold reserves for the second consecutive month in December.
Traders are now awaiting key U.S. labor data and the FOMC minutes for further insights into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook for the year.
Technical Analysis:
Gold maintains bullish momentum, particularly if it can stabilize above the resistance level of $2,665. Currently, the price is consolidating between $2,653 and $2,665. Building volume below $2,653 could reinforce a bearish trend toward $2,636.
However, a 1-hour candle close above $2,665 would signal a bullish move toward $2,678 and potentially $2,706.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2665
Resistance Levels: 2678, 2690, 2706
Support Levels: 2653, 2636, 2623
Trend Outlook:
Consolidation Between 2653 and 2665
Bullish trend above 2665
Bearish Below 2636 and 2653
GOLD BULLISHHello everyone, I hope you are doing well, I'm here to provide an idea of GOLD.
As you know yesterday gold was running crazy, It has touched the price 2616 and then flown to the moon.
Now gold has fall, so that i'm looking for buy setup, and i have found the buy setup there.
Now I will gonna take buy positions.
ENTRY POINT : 2640.83
STOPLOSS AND TARGET : 2633 SL and TP will be 2663.80.
Stay connect for every update.
"Gold Technical Analysis: Bullish Breakout
Based on the chart, here is the analysis:
1. **Resistance Area:**
- The green shaded zone above the current price marks a potential resistance zone. This is where sellers may become active, halting further upward movement.
2. **Breakout Confirmation:**
- The price has broken above a horizontal resistance zone (marked by the black line). This breakout is a bullish signal, suggesting potential continuation to the upside.
3. **Bullish Momentum:**
- The recent upward move shows strong bullish momentum, as seen in the series of higher highs and higher lows.
4. **Target Zone:**
- If the price continues upward, the next significant resistance or target is likely within the green zone, where the price may face selling pressure.
5. **Key Levels:**
- Support: The broken resistance at ~2650 could act as a new support if the price retests this level.
- Resistance: The green zone around ~2665–2675.
**Potential Trade Plan:**
- **Buying Opportunity:**
- If a retest occurs near the breakout zone (~2650), it may offer a good entry for a long position with a target toward the resistance zone.
- **Selling Opportunity:**
- Monitor price action around the green zone (~2665–2675) for rejection signals or a potential reversal setup.
Would you like me to update this analysis based on any specific targets or time frames?
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-7-25 : Counter Trend BreakawayToday's pattern suggests the markets will move upward (counter-trend) in an attempt to move into the RALLY, RALLY, RALLY phase closing out this week's price action.
I suggest traders prepare for what may become a fairly explosive upward trend over the next few days - but stay fairly cautious as unexpected news may derail price trends a bit.
We are still moving into the early 2025 liquidity flood - where traders who pulled capital away from risks in late 2024 are starting to move back into the markets. We are also moving into Q4:2024 earnings data (in about a week or so). So there are still lots of opportunities for big trends.
I'm watching to see if the markets attempt to move to new All-Time Highs again - which I believe is a highly probable outcome.
If my research is correct, we are going to move into that RALLY, RALLY, RALLY phase very cleanly today and tomorrow.
Gold and Silver are moving higher again - which is great to see. Today is a RALLY day on my Gold Cycle Patterns. Could be a great opportunity for skilled traders in Metals this week.
Bitcoin has reached that DUAL FLAGGING zone. In other words, stay cautious at this point.
Volatility will likely increase for Bitcoin and I believe the most likely outcome will be to attempt to move back downward after reaching this dual flagging zone. We'll see what happens next.
Remember, we are just starting 2025, so you have lots of time to try to identify opportunities throughout the year. Your goal as a trader is to find the best opportunities to BOOK PROFITS. The more you are able to BOOK PROFITS, the more likely you are to GROW YOUR ACCOUNT.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
GOLD: Dump and pump from last Friday?Hello traders and welcome back to my channel, please support my analysis if you find it helpful for yourself and don't forget to miss out further charts, suggestions, observations and updates!
Gold looks like potentially going to complete a dump and pump started on Friday, but to understand better the logic behind this template, let's analyse the full week!
The previous Monday and Tuesday established the high low of the week, in fact Monday is the opening range into the new week and Tuesday the initial balance.
Wednesday, the market broke out, triggering long breakout traders in the market, closing out of balance (long traders are now potentially driving this move)
Thursday, from Asia session I could see a strong bearish move joining the market, closing the week out of the opening range and as well as a first red day, which is a potential short signal if a sell high opportunity is identified.
Monday, during the Asia session I saw a great short setup going to pulling back into the previous opening range high, retesting the same area in NY session and triggering as well short breakout traders in the market.
Note and focus on NY session, it placed a strong swing high and swing low which creates our box where money are above and below that boundary.
Today, the market consolidated inside this box, breaking higher just before the beginning of NY session.
What's my thesis?
Obviously I never predict the market but I let it to setup first, however my main thesis is currently LONG, because it can be a clear weekly template of breakout/pullback/continuation above the previous Monday's high, which is a template that I saw many times during the past months!
To take advantage of this template, I would like to see a market dumping down at least into the London low, consolidating till news release at 10am NYT for a buy low opportunity, back to the previous HOW.
Regarding the short, do not forget that Friday was a first reda day, yesterday it placed as well a lower low and it could preparing for a further move down if the market today will place and locked a HOD, consolidation for a session scalp pump and dump.
Before news release, I will be updating this chart!
Gianni