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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update 4-8 : Counter Trend Bottom/RallyThis video was created to help you better understand why it is important to WAIT for the SPY Cycle Patterns to setup efficiently. It is critically important that all of you learn the three basic rules of trading. 1. Never try to force a position/trade. If your research tells you some type of price event/trend is likely - don't jump into the trade too early. Wait for confirmation and wait for price to confirm your analysis is correct. 2. Start with a small position. Never GO BIG on your initial trade. If you are wrong, you can manage the trade with a small win/loss. If price moves in the direction you expect, you can add more once you get confirmation the trend will continue (potentially). 3. BOOK PROFITS early and keep BOOKING PROFITS as the trend continues higher. You can always get back into the trade with CALL/PUT options - but if you don't learn to BOOK PROFITS EARLY (20-30% profits in the trade), then you'll very likely FAIL to build your account efficiently. (Trust me, #3 is VERY IMPORTANT) Beyond these three simple concepts, one of the most important aspects of trading with my SPY cycle patterns is to learn to WAIT for the pattern to setup efficiently. Today is a great example. The BOTTOM/Rally Start pattern was in Counter-trend mode. Thus, I expected it to be INVERTED - turning it into a TOP/Selloff Start pattern. In order for that pattern to play out, we needed to see the markets open higher (and potential trend higher for a bit of time), then roll over into a top pattern. After that tops pattern setup, the markets should continue to move into a moderate selloff trend (downward). Think about it. Were you smart trying to SELL INTO the rally this morning or were you smart to wait for the ROLLOVER and sell into the breakdown trend? IMO, smart traders waited for the top to setup/confirm and started selling as we got into the breakdown trend phase. Again, I'm trying to help you learn to become a better trader. I hope this video helps. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
13
GOLD - Price can continue to decline to $2920 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some time ago price moved inside a rising channel, making higher highs and holding above support levels. Later, Gold broke resistance and continued to rise, reaching the upper boundary of the price channel. After touching $3076 zone, price turned around and exited the channel with a strong bearish impulse. Recently, it made a breakout below $3055 level and bounced from the area without a strong upward reaction. Now Gold trades below resistance zone and holds under broken channel, forming local bearish structure. In my opinion, Gold can continue to decline and reach $2920 points during the next wave down. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WalterMoon
12
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4/8 : Bottom/Rally Start - CounterFirst off, today's pattern is in a COUNTER TREND mode. Think of that as the pattern being INVERTED to the current price trend. Next, the Bottom/Rally Start pattern is usually a base/bottom type of pattern that prompts a fairly strong bullish/rally phase in price. This time, because it is inverted (in Counter-trend mode) and is forming within the broad consolidation phase of the current EPP pattern, I believe this Bottom/Rally Start pattern will really be a Top/Selloff start type of pattern. Where price will find resistance in early trading, form a rollover top, and start to move back downward towards the 500-505 level on the SPY. I don't believe this downward price move will attempt to break below 480-485 today. I believe today's move will be a moderate pullback in the trend. Although any BIG news could disrupt the current support near $480, so be aware that any big news event could crush the markets (again) and send the SPY trying to retest the $480 support level. Gold and Silver appear to be basing - perfect. I'm watching for Metals to really start to reflect the FEAR in the markets and rally above $3200 (Gold)/$39 (Silver). BTCUSD appears trapped in the breakdown stage of the current EPP Consolidation phase and the new CRADLE pattern. No matter how I try to identify if I'm wrong with BTCUSD, I keep seeing the breakdown as the more dominant trend. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
13
Gold Jumps on Fresh Trade War WorriesGold rose above $2,995/oz on Tuesday, rebounding from a 4-week low as trade war fears fueled haven demand. Trump threatened a 50% duty on China starting Wednesday unless it drops its 34% tariffs, while the EU proposed 25% counter-tariffs on U.S. goods. Markets await Fed minutes (Wed), CPI (Thu), and PPI (Fri) for policy clues. Despite recent losses, gold is still up over 14% YTD. Key resistance is at $3,050, followed by $3,085 and $3,105. Support stands at $2,956, then $2,930 and $2830.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
Gold's HUGE drop - Where we going next?📉 Gold Market Update: Key Levels & Strategy Ahead Gold has experienced a significant decline, dropping over 1,000 pips in just the past three trading days. Currently, we’re seeing consolidation just above the $3,000 mark, with the price struggling to hold this psychological level. While the broader trend appears bullish, we are now in a range-bound phase, which often leads to false breakouts and stop hunts. Given the current conditions: 🔸 Short Bias: The overall setup favors short positions, but patience is key. Look for higher price levels to enter shorts with better risk-to-reward ratios. 🔸 Scalp Opportunities: If you’re considering a long position, it should be strictly short-term (scalping) and only from well-defined support levels. 🔸 Capital Protection: This is not the time to over-leverage or chase moves. Gold is known for volatility in tight ranges—stay protected and use tight risk management. ⚠️ Bottom line: Gold is in a bearish consolidation zone. The safest play is to wait for clearer setups, preferably at resistance for shorts or strong support for scalps. Avoid getting chopped up in the range. If you found this breakdown helpful, don’t forget to give it a boost! 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by omz_zz
XAU/USD) Bearish analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update This chart analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe appears to be a bearish setup based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown Key Elements: 1. Price Channel Break & CHoCH: The price was in a rising channel. A clear Change of Character (CHoCH) occurred after the price broke below the structure, signaling a shift from bullish to bearish. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): There's a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) highlighted in the yellow box around the 3,047–3,075 level. The expectation is that price may retrace into this FVG before continuing downward. Mr SMC Trading point 3. Target Zone: A major demand zone or target point is marked around 2,940, indicating a potential bearish move of around -148 points (~4.8%) from the FVG. 4. EMA & RSI: 200 EMA is around 3,047, acting as dynamic resistance now. RSI is below 40 and trending down, showing bearish momentum with slight bullish divergence, hinting at a short retracement before another drop. --- Summary of the Idea: Bias: Bearish Trade Plan: Wait for price to retrace into the FVG zone (~3,047–3,075). Look for bearish confirmation (like bearish engulfing or rejections). Enter short with a target at 2,940, stop above FVG. Let me know if you’d like help formulating a trade setup or risk management plan based on this. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower after experiencing extreme volatility the previous day. Following a gap-down open, the market attempted a bottoming process. However, the spread of fake news related to tariffs triggered a 10% intraday swing, making the Nasdaq trade more like an individual stock than a major index. Massive trading volume occurred due to margin calls from CFDs and hedge funds, and the market showed some signs of recognition around a potential short-term bottom. On the weekly chart, the index rebounded but was resisted at the 3-week moving average. On the daily chart, a doji bullish candlestick with strong volume formed, suggesting the market may attempt another rebound. However, since volatility from the bottom remains significant, if you’re planning to enter long positions, it's best to buy as close to the bottom as possible. If the market continues to form a base, a rebound toward the 5-day or 10-day moving average on the daily chart is possible. On the 240-minute chart, the market is still in a death cross and remains oversold. Still, it's showing signs of forming a base around the 16,500 level, so it's better to avoid chasing short positions during any pullbacks that could form a double bottom. In this oversold environment, a buy-on-dip approach near the lows is favorable for a technical rebound. But since volatility remains high, make sure to set clear stop-loss levels for both long and short trades. Crude Oil Crude oil experienced a gap-down on the daily chart and closed lower after hitting resistance at the 3-day moving average. On both the daily and weekly charts, the $57–$59 zone appears to be a short-term support level. If the price dips into this zone, it may offer a buying opportunity. Yesterday’s candle was resisted at the 3-day line, so if a bottoming pattern forms today, a rebound toward the 5-day moving average could be anticipated. However, since the MACD has just issued a sell signal near the zero line, it's better to treat any long positions as short-term trades. On the 240-minute chart, the sell signal is still valid, and the market remains in oversold territory. Watching for a potential double bottom formation before entering long positions is recommended. That said, if market sentiment continues to accept economic recession as a given, oil prices could keep falling. There's also the risk of a one-way downward move, so if you're going long, ensure tight stop-loss levels are in place. Gold Gold saw sharp volatility and closed lower after being rejected at the 5-day moving average. Due to the weaker dollar from U.S. tariff announcements, the attractiveness of gold has diminished in the short term. On the weekly chart, gold is still forming a range-bound movement near the 10-week moving average, with support appearing near the $2,975 level. On the daily chart, the lower Bollinger Band and the 60-day moving average are rising and beginning to converge. These overlapping indicators could form a strong support zone, so if the price drops into this area, it may present a good opportunity to buy the dip. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD and signal lines have both dropped below the zero line, and the RSI has entered oversold territory. While this could lead to further accelerated selling, it is also a zone where a rebound from oversold conditions could easily occur. It’s best to avoid chasing the downside and instead focus on buying during pullbacks near strong support zones. Market volatility is increasing, but this is also a zone where technical rebounds are likely due to excessive declines. While confirmation of a bottoming pattern is needed, in this kind of market, it's safer to focus on one direction rather than trying to trade both ways. Long positions currently offer a better risk-reward ratio, so it’s advisable to enter at the lower end of the range. Reduce leverage as much as possible and always set stop-loss levels to ensure safe trading in these turbulent conditions. If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost! For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Futureguard
GOLD H2 Outlook: Correction in progress 2900 USD in sight🏆 Gold Market Update (April 8th, 2025) 📊 Technical Outlook Update ▪️5 wave impulse completed ▪️Correction as expected previously ▪️currently trading at 3 000 usd ▪️Profit taking in progress now ▪️Price Target BEARS 2850/2900 USD ▪️Strategy: SHORT SELL rips/rallies ▪️target is 2900 USD 📢 Gold Market Update – April 2025 📈 Gold hits all-time high above $3,100/oz 🚀 Surge driven by Trump’s new global tariffs and rising trade war fears 🌍 Investors seek safety amid geopolitical uncertainty 📉 Pullback follows rally 💸 Sharp drop due to profit-taking and risk sentiment rebound 🔁 Analysts remain bullish as Fed rate cuts and tensions linger 🏦 Central banks keep buying 🛡️ China & others increasing gold reserves to hedge inflation & currency risks
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ProjectSyndicate
24
Where will gold go after the sharp drop?The gold daily line decline structure continues to fluctuate downward, the moving average opens downward, and the RSI indicator runs below the central axis. The rise is not continuous, and the tariff policy still has an impact on the market. Yesterday, the market reported a 90-day tariff suspension. It can be seen that US stocks, crude oil, gold and silver are all rising rapidly, and then it is confirmed to be false news, and then they fall back quickly. It can be seen that as long as the impact of the tariff news does not change, all assets will continue to sell. At present, the market is in a two-way power game between the selling of risky assets and the rising demand for risk aversion. Although gold is a safe-haven asset, it is also facing the pressure of liquidity withdrawal. In the context of the unclear Fed policy and the continued escalation of global trade concerns, the gold price may continue to maintain a volatile pattern, and the main idea is to sell at a high level! However, the current fluctuation is too fast and the amplitude is too large, so short-term operations may not be easy to start, but the direction is still the most important, and the entry point is secondary, which means that gold will continue to fall sharply. Gold hit 2956 and then bottomed out and rebounded, but the recent market is actually volatile. Because the fluctuation is relatively large, it is reasonable to have a larger amplitude, but it increases the difficulty of operation. Gold fell back after rising again, and now it is in a large range of fluctuations, but overall, shorts are still dominant. Yesterday's Asian session had a new low, and NY time had another new low. In such a market environment, new lows continue to appear, which is a short market. When the 3000 point fell below, many investors' faith collapsed, and they firmly believed that they could hold the 3000 mark and break it at this moment, which means that the current downward trend has not ended yet, and they continue to sell with the trend. The gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross downward, and the downward momentum has not weakened; the rebound continues to sell. Although gold rushed up after filling the gap in 1 hour, it fell down quickly. Overall, it is still weak, and the short-term resistance is around 3030! Today's rebound is under pressure near 3030, but you can still continue to sell. The market is changing rapidly. Although gold seems to rebound strongly, it eventually rises and is blocked and then falls. Gold is still the home of short sellers, but now it is more volatile. Be patient and wait for a rebound. You can sell near the resistance level. Pay attention to patiently wait for the rebound and sell near the resistance level. Key points: First support: 2978, second support: 2963, third support: 2955 First resistance: 3000, second resistance: 3013, third resistance: 3030 Operation ideas Buy: 2975-2978, SL: 2966, TP: 3000-3010 Sell: 3030-3033, SL: 3042, TP: 3010-3000;
TVC:GOLDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
Fundamental support remains stable, GOLD is losing some elementsIn the Asian trading session on Tuesday (April 8), spot OANDA:XAUUSD recovered in the short term after a sharp decline in the previous trading day. Gold prices just touched $3,000/ounce, having increased by nearly $20 during the day. Concerns about the escalation of the trade war have increased the risk-off sentiment in the market. US President Donald Trump said on Monday that he will not suspend the policy of "reciprocal tariffs", although many trading partners want to avoid them According to a statement posted on the website of the Chinese Ministry of Commerce on Tuesday, a spokesperson for the Ministry of Commerce made a statement on the US threat to increase tariffs on China. The statement pointed out that China noted that on April 7 Eastern time, the US threatened to impose an additional 50% tariff on China, and China firmly opposes this. If the US escalates the tariff measures, China will resolutely take countermeasures to protect its own rights and interests. The US threat to increase tariffs on China is a mistake that has been compounded, once again exposing the US's blackmailing nature. China will never accept this. If the US insists on pursuing its own way, China will fight to the end. Such statements usually boost the market's risk-off sentiment, contributing to a short-term recovery in gold prices. Gold is a safe investment during times of political and financial uncertainty. Last Thursday, gold hit an all-time high of $3,167.57/oz, driven largely by geopolitical uncertainty and strong central bank buying. And the gold market remains exposed to significant volatility in the short term, with a number of potential fundamental surprises, most of which are likely to support price gains. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold is struggling to maintain its price action within the main price channel, however, the recovery momentum is also limited by the $3,000 price level which is currently acting as the nearest resistance. For now, gold is losing important support at the EMA21 and now the EMA21 has become a resistance level. For gold to have the conditions for a bullish possibility, gold needs to bring the price action back above the $3,000 level, then the target is $3,019 and maintain above this level. The relative strength index RSI has some minor reaction at 50, which is considered a momentum support level on the RSI tool. But the signal is not significant. Overall, the expectation for gold is to resume the uptrend but at the time of writing, the conditions are not yet sufficient. Meanwhile, a drop below $2,956 would bring the risk of further declines with the next target around $2,927 in the short term. In the day, the notable technical positions will be listed as follows. Support: $2,956 – $2,954 – $2,927 Resistance: $3,019 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3064 - 3062⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 3068 →Take Profit 1 3056 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3050 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2932 - 2934⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2928 →Take Profit 1 2930 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2936
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
Gold Rejects Channel Highs — Retracement to $3,000 Before HigherGold has printed another clean rejection at the upper boundary of a short-term ascending channel on the 6H timeframe. This latest rejection adds further validity to the structure, suggesting that we may now see a healthy technical pullback toward the equilibrium line of the channel — and potentially down to the lower support boundary near the $3,000 psychological level. Technical Outlook: Another rejection from channel resistance confirms structural validity. 1:4 risk-to-reward short opportunity with clear invalidation and confluence. Targets:  – TP1: $3,005 — channel midline + psychological level  – TP2: $2,955 — previous swing high + dynamic quarterly support $3,000 psychological levels are often retested before continuation. Fundamentals & Geopolitical Context (as of April 1, 2025): Gold's Macro Bull Trend Remains Intact Despite this short-term setup, the broader macro backdrop continues to support gold:  – Central banks accumulating gold amid global de-dollarization  – Real yields remain negative across key regions  – Oil trading above $100 fuels inflationary pressure Geopolitical Flashpoints Supporting Volatility  – Russia-Ukraine war shows no signs of easing  – Middle East tensions rising (Israel–Hezbollah conflict)  – Taiwan-U.S.-China escalation continues post-military exercises Bitcoin Weakness = Gold Rotation Potential  – BTC struggling at $70K, showing early signs of distribution  – Miner pressure increasing ahead of halving  – Targeting possible correction to $50K = capital rotation into gold Conclusion: Technical rejection at resistance aligns with macro expectations of a short-term pullback. $3,000 key psychological level likely to be retested before further upside. Gold remains in a macro bull market; this move is likely corrective within a larger expansion leg. Long Term Gold Bull Target $4,200: Previous Long (Target hit and closed at $3,100): Previous Intra Long (Target hit and closed at $3,100):
IGSB:USCGCShort
by Who-Is-Caerus
2
XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Chart Analysis XAUUSD (Gold) Daily Chart Analysis Current Price: $3,011.89, up +0.96% today High: $3,014.23 | Low: $2,978.59 *Technical Overview: 🔹 Trend: Gold remains in a strong uptrend, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows since late 2023. However, the recent price action shows a pullback after reaching new highs. 🔹 Stochastic RSI: %K = 4.55, %D = 23.48 → Oversold zone Indicates potential for a short-term bounce if momentum picks up. 🔹 MACD: Bearish crossover in progress, histogram turning red. Suggests short-term bearish pressure, though it's likely a healthy correction within a larger bullish trend. 🎯 Strategy Outlook: 🔸 Short-Term Strategy: Wait for a bullish confirmation near the $2,975 support zone. Watch for reversal signals from oversold Stoch RSI. Consider short-term buys if price stabilizes above $2,980–$3,000. 🔸 Long-Term Strategy: As long as the price holds above $2,900–$2,950, the overall uptrend remains intact. Dips could be seen as buying opportunities in the long run. Use pullbacks to scale in gradually with proper risk management. *Thoughts : Gold is currently in a technical pullback but still bullish in the bigger picture. Short-term traders should stay cautious, while long-term bulls can look for dips to buy.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by mrifkidrn
WHY XAUUSD IS BULLISH ?? TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALSXAUUSD is currently trading around the key psychological level of 3000, and as expected, price action has just completed a textbook retest of the previous breakout zone. The support level near 2960–2980 has held strongly, giving gold the momentum it needs for the next leg up. Price has reacted with a clear bullish bounce from this demand zone, confirming the structure and setting up for a potential continuation toward the 3100 target. From a technical perspective, we’re seeing a classic bullish continuation move. The previous impulse to the upside was followed by a correction phase, which respected the support area now acting as a launchpad. This bounce, combined with strong candle formations on the 12H and daily charts, suggests bulls are regaining control. Volume is gradually increasing, aligning with the anticipated breakout from the recent consolidation. On the fundamentals side, the gold market remains well-supported. Recent macroeconomic data shows inflationary pressures are still lingering, while expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts later in the year continue to weigh on the US dollar. Geopolitical tensions and increased central bank gold accumulation are adding further demand for safe-haven assets like gold. These drivers remain bullish catalysts as long as uncertainty stays elevated and real yields remain low. With price holding above 3000 and a strong structure in place, I expect continuation toward 3100 in the near term. This is a high-probability setup supported by both technicals and fundamentals. I’ll be closely watching for higher lows and continuation signals above 3020 for additional confirmation. Risk management remains key, but the market structure strongly favors further upside.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
8
Gold (XAU/USD) Intraday AnalysisGold is currently trading within a narrow range between 3018 and 3040, reflecting clear indecision in the market. This sideways consolidation suggests neither buyers nor sellers are fully in control, with price temporarily caught in a holding pattern. Key levels to watch: • Potential buys above 3042: A confirmed break and hold above this level could open the door toward 3052 and beyond, especially if momentum kicks in. This area may attract breakout traders eyeing continuation toward previous highs. • Potential sells below 3018: A clean breakdown under this support could trigger sharp downside, targeting levels around 3010 or even 3000 depending on follow-through volume and sentiment. For now, price is respecting both edges of the range. Be cautious of fakeouts near the boundaries—wait for confirmation and clean structure before jumping in. Ranging conditions like this often precede significant moves, so staying patient could pay off big.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by fxt8
2
XAUUSD Analysis: Reversal Forecasts Based on Trading MathDear Trader, Please find attached my analysis of $Subject, which uses mathematical calculations to identify potential reversal times and price levels. The analysis details projected south and north price targets (horizontal lines on the chart), along with estimated time frames for possible reversals (vertical lines on the chart, accurate to within +/- 1-2 candles). Please note that all times indicated on the chart, including the vertical lines representing potential reversal times, are based on the UTC+4 time zone. To increase the probability of these analyses, I recommend monitoring the 5-minute and 15-minute charts for the following key reversal candlestick patterns: Doji’s Hammer/Inverted Hammer Double/Triple Bottom/Top Shooting Star Morning Star Hanging Man For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya Trade Our Math Analysis as below are Gold Levels:- 3018.720095 - 2991.311155 3032.47144 - 2977.65356 3060.06788 - 2950.43212 3087.78932 - 2923.33568 3115.635761 - 2896.364239 3143.607201 - 2869.517799 3171.703641 - 2842.796359 3199.925081 - 2816.199919 3228.271521 - 2789.728479 3342.907282 - 2685.092718 3459.543042 - 2582.456958 3578.178803 - 2481.821197 3698.814564 - 2383.185436 3821.450324 - 2286.549676 3946.086085 - 2191.913915 4072.721845 - 2099.278155 4201.357606 - 2008.642394 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by shoonya0000