WHY NZDJPY IS BULLISH??? DETAILED ANALYSISNZDJPY is currently trading at 85.900, forming a descending channel pattern, signaling a potential breakout. This pattern often leads to bullish reversals, and once the price breaks above the resistance zone, we could see strong upside momentum toward the 90.000 target. A successful breakout with increased volume will confirm the bullish wave, leading to an anticipated gain of 300+ pips.
From a technical perspective, the pair is testing key resistance levels within the descending channel, and a breakout will align with major trend continuation signals. If buyers maintain control, we could see the price rally towards 87.500 first, followed by a push toward 90.000 psychological resistance. Traders should watch for confirmation signals such as strong bullish candles, RSI divergence, and volume spikes to validate the breakout.
On the fundamental side, market sentiment and risk appetite are favoring jpy pairs, with the New Zealand dollar benefiting from commodity price stability and global risk-on sentiment. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan's cautious stance on monetary tightening keeps jpy under pressure, further supporting upside potential for nzdjpy. If risk sentiment remains positive, the pair could maintain its bullish outlook, making the 90.000 target highly achievable.
Gold
XAUUSD is about to top. What this means for stocks?Seven months ago (August 05 2024, see chart below) we gave our long-term view on Gold (XAUUSD) based on the similarities of the current Cycle with the previous one (before the 2020 High):
The market is now approaching our 3100 Target being up +24% since then. We will not go into the similarities between those two Cycles again. The market will complete on this price a +85.42% rise from the bottom, almost reaching the 3.0 Fibonacci extension.
This cyclical pattern shows that when Gold Tops (on its 3rd 1W RSI High) and starts its 4-year Bear Cycle, the S&P500 (blue trend-line) extends its Bull Cycle up until the moment Gold tests its Bear Cycle Resistance and Double Tops, which is when the S&P500 starts its own Bear Cycle and corrects.
Before Gold tops however, the stock market does experience a volatile phase, which is exactly what SPX has been through since January. This is a great signal telling us that Gold may indeed be headed towards a Cycle Top, perhaps even as early as a month from now.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
XAU/USD Buy Setup 📈 XAU/USD Buy Setup & Risk Management
🔹 **Trade Setup:**
✅ **Entry**: **$2,995** ✨
✅ **Take Profit (TP)**: **$3,010** 🎯
✅ **Stop-Loss (SL)**: **$2,987** ❌
✅ **Risk-Reward Ratio**: **1:1.88** ⚖️
🔹 **Risk Management Plan:**
📊 **Risk Per Trade**: Keep risk at **1-2% of your capital** 💰
📏 **Pips Risked**: **80 pips** (SL @ 2987) 📉
📏 **Pips Gained**: **150 pips** (TP @ 3010) 📈
📌 **Lot Size**: Use a **position size calculator** to adjust your lot based on risk tolerance ( (www.babypips.com))
🔹 **Trade Execution:**
✅ **Confirm bullish signals** (RSI above 50, MA crossover, strong support at $2,987) 📊
✅ **Avoid over-leveraging** – stick to your trading plan ⚖️
✅ **Monitor market conditions** for news & volatility 📢
🚀 **Gold is volatile—trade smart & secure profits!** 🏅
GOLD will start correction soon?#gold chart (1D daily candle size) has formed a bearish divergence. This may cause a correction in #xauusd. Also, TVC:GOLD has been moving in ascending wedge for long time (mid term). There may be deviations upside to have short sequeezes for early shorters. Therefore, avoiding high risks are appreciated. Not financial advice.
GOLD IN CONSOLIDATION – IS A MAJOR BREAKOUT IMMINENT?📌 Market Overview
Gold starts the week with limited momentum following last week’s sharp drop from its highs. Investors remain cautious, waiting for stronger signals before committing to a clear direction.
This week, the FOMC meeting will be the key event, as the Federal Reserve is expected to provide crucial updates on monetary policy based on last week’s inflation data.
At the same time, geopolitical tensions are rising after Trump's airstrikes on Iran-backed Houthi forces. However, gold has yet to respond significantly to these developments, suggesting that traders are looking for more confirmation before the next big move.
📊 Key Technical Levels
🔹 Support Levels: 2982 - 2976 - 2966 - 2948
🔹 Resistance Levels: 2994 - 3004 - 3015 - 3034
🎯 Today's Trade Setups
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2975 - 2973
📍 SL: 2970
🎯 TP: 2980 - 2984 - 2988 - 2992 - 2998
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3033 - 3035
📍 SL: 3038
🎯 TP: 3030 - 3025 - 3020 - 3016 - 3010
⚠ High Volatility Expected – Prepare for a Breakout!
Gold has been trading within a tight range since last week, and a breakout is likely during the late Asian or early European session. Traders should anticipate increased volatility and ensure strict risk management. Stick to your TP/SL strategy to safeguard capital.
📢 What’s your outlook for gold this week? Will it break higher, or is another correction coming? Share your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
XAUUSD: 17/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3000-3030, support below 2905
Four-hour chart resistance 3000, support below 2978
One-hour chart resistance 3000, support below 2980
Analysis of gold news: Last week, the gold market ushered in a historic breakthrough. Spot gold surged to $3005 and then fell back to consolidate. The current gold market is in a bullish and bearish game of "strong fundamental support" and "technical overbought correction". Safe-haven demand, central bank gold purchases and interest rate cut expectations constitute the basis for medium- and long-term increases, but in the short term, we need to guard against policy expectations and profit-taking selling pressure. This week's Federal Reserve meeting will become a bull-bear vane. If a loose signal is released, gold is expected to break through $3050 and open up new upside space; if the statement is hawkish or the economic data is stronger than expected, we need to be wary of the long-short battle at the $3000 mark. We need to keep a close eye on the changes in the Bollinger Bands channel shape and the momentum conversion of the MACD/RSI indicator to capture early signals of trend continuation or reversal.
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, the technical side of gold finally ushered in a bullish upward breakthrough after repeated fluctuations around the 2980 mark. The European session once accelerated to break through the 3000-point integer mark, and then fell under pressure and fell into a volatile consolidation. The overall gold price continued the extremely strong unilateral upward pattern of bulls. Gold began to trade sideways at a high level again. After falling to 2878 on Friday, it continued to bottom out and rebound. Gold bulls are still better. Now it is accumulating momentum at a high level, but gold has not seen a large adjustment. For the time being, bulls still dominate the market and wait for a decline to continue buying.
From the current trend analysis, today's lower support focuses on the one-hour level 2980 and the four-hour level 2978 line, focusing on the long-short dividing line support of 2950. The intraday retracement relies on the 2980-2978 line to continue to be bullish and unchanged, and the upper target is still concerned about the new high.
Buy: 2980near SL: 2975
Buy: 2950near SL: 2945
GOLD H1 Update: Bullish Outlook BUY DIPS by ProjectSyndicate🏆 Gold Market Highlights (March 2025)
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Bullish OUTLOOK
🔸Broke out and set new ATH
🔸Strong UPTREND: Sequence of Higher Lows
🔸Recommend to BUY DIPS 2925/2950 USD
🔸Price Target BULLS: 3050 USD - 3100 USD
📈 Historic Milestone Achieved
🏅 Gold Futures Surpass $3,000
🔥 Gold prices hit an all-time high, closing above $3,000 ATH
🚀 Major breakout in the precious metals market!
📊 Analyst Perspectives
🔮 Continued Bullish Sentiment
📉 Both Wall Street & Main Street expect further gains beyond $3,000.
💡 Analysts see upside momentum continuing in the coming weeks.
🌍 Market Dynamics
⚡ Factors Driving the Rally
🌎 Global trade tensions & geopolitical risks pushing investors toward gold.
📌 Safe-haven demand surging amid uncertainty.
⏳ Historical Context
📜 Comparisons to the 1980 Bull Run
🔄 Parallels drawn between the current rally and the historic 1980 surge.
❓ Can gold repeat history and extend its gains even further?
🏦 Global Demand Trends
🇨🇳 China’s Record Gold ETF Inflows
📈 Massive inflows into gold ETFs in China, signaling strong demand.
💰 Jewelry demand expected to stabilize as the economy recovers.
🏦 Investor Behavior
🎯 Increased Attention Amid Uncertainty
🏛️ Investors shifting focus to gold as a hedge against economic instability.
💎 Gold’s safe-haven status reaffirmed, attracting more institutional buyers.
📢 Final Takeaway:
🔹 Gold is shining brighter than ever! 🌟
🔹 Expect volatility, but long-term outlook remains bullish. 💹
🔹 Keep an eye on key resistance & support levels. 🔍
Behind the Curtain: Unveiling Gold’s Economic Catalysts1. Introduction
Gold Futures (GC, MGC and 1OZ), traded on the CME market, are one of the most widely used financial instruments for hedging against inflation, currency fluctuations, and macroeconomic uncertainty. As a safe-haven asset, gold reacts to a wide range of economic indicators, making it crucial for traders to understand the underlying forces driving price movements.
By leveraging machine learning, specifically a Random Forest Regressor, we analyze the top economic indicators influencing Gold Futures on daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes. This data-driven approach reveals the key catalysts shaping GC Futures and provides traders with actionable insights to refine their strategies.
2. Understanding Gold Futures Contracts
Gold Futures (GC) are among the most actively traded futures contracts, offering traders and investors exposure to gold price movements with a range of contract sizes to suit different trading strategies. CME Group provides three types of Gold Futures contracts to accommodate traders of all levels:
o Standard Gold Futures (GC):
Contract Size: Represents 100 troy ounces of gold.
Tick Size: Each tick is 0.10 per ounce, equating to $10 per tick per contract.
Purpose: Ideal for institutional traders and large-scale hedgers.
Margin: Approximately $12,500 per contract.
o Micro Gold Futures (MGC):
Contract Size: Represents 10 troy ounces of gold, 1/10th the size of the standard GC contract.
Tick Size: Each tick is $1 per contract.
Purpose: Allows smaller-scale traders to participate in gold markets with lower capital requirements.
Margin: Approximately $1,250 per contract.
o 1-Ounce Gold Futures (1OZ):
Contract Size: Represents 1 troy ounce of gold.
Tick Size: Each tick is 0.25 per ounce, equating to $0.25 per tick per contract.
Purpose: Provides precision trading for retail participants who want exposure to gold at a smaller contract size.
Margin: Approximately $125 per contract.
Keep in mind that margin requirements vary through time as market volatility changes.
3. Daily Timeframe: Key Economic Indicators
Gold Futures respond quickly to short-term economic fluctuations, and three key indicators play a crucial role in daily price movements:
o Velocity of Money (M2):
Measures how quickly money circulates within the economy.
A higher velocity suggests increased spending and inflationary pressure, often boosting gold prices.
A lower velocity indicates stagnation, which may reduce inflation concerns and weigh on gold.
o Unemployment Rate:
Reflects the strength of the labor market.
Rising unemployment increases economic uncertainty, often driving demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Declining unemployment can strengthen risk assets, potentially reducing gold’s appeal.
o Oil Import Price Index:
Represents the cost of imported crude oil, influencing inflation trends.
Higher oil prices contribute to inflationary pressures, supporting gold as a hedge.
Lower oil prices may ease inflation concerns, weakening gold demand.
4. Weekly Timeframe: Key Economic Indicators
While daily fluctuations impact short-term traders, weekly economic data provides a broader perspective on gold price movements. The top weekly indicators include:
o Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP):
Measures the number of new jobs added in the U.S. economy each month.
Strong NFP numbers typically strengthen the U.S. dollar and increase interest rate hike expectations, pressuring gold prices.
Weak NFP figures can drive economic uncertainty, increasing gold’s safe-haven appeal.
o Nonfarm Productivity:
Represents labor efficiency and economic output per hour worked.
Rising productivity suggests economic growth, potentially reducing demand for gold.
Falling productivity can signal economic weakness, increasing gold’s appeal.
o Personal Spending:
Tracks consumer spending habits, influencing economic activity and inflation expectations.
Higher spending can lead to inflation, often pushing gold prices higher.
Lower spending suggests economic slowing, which may either weaken or support gold depending on inflationary outlooks.
5. Monthly Timeframe: Key Economic Indicators
Long-term trends in Gold Futures are shaped by macroeconomic forces that impact investor sentiment, inflation expectations, and interest rates. The most influential monthly indicators include:
o China GDP Growth Rate:
China is one of the largest consumers of gold, both for investment and jewelry.
Strong GDP growth signals robust demand for gold, pushing prices higher.
Slower growth may weaken gold demand, applying downward pressure on prices.
o Corporate Bond Spread (BAA - 10Y):
Measures the risk premium between corporate bonds and U.S. Treasury bonds.
A widening spread signals economic uncertainty, increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
A narrowing spread suggests confidence in risk assets, potentially reducing gold’s appeal.
o 10-Year Treasury Yield:
Gold has an inverse relationship with bond yields since it does not generate interest.
Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, often leading to price declines.
Falling yields make gold more attractive, leading to price appreciation.
6. Risk Management Strategies
Given gold’s volatility and sensitivity to macroeconomic changes, risk management is essential for trading GC Futures. Key risk strategies may include:
Monitoring Global Liquidity Conditions:
Keep an eye on M2 Money Supply and inflation trends to anticipate major shifts in gold pricing.
Interest Rate Sensitivity:
Since gold competes with yield-bearing assets, traders should closely track interest rate movements.
Higher 10-Year Treasury Yields can weaken gold’s value as a non-yielding asset.
Diversification and Hedging:
Traders can hedge gold positions using interest rate-sensitive assets such as bonds or inflation-linked securities.
Gold often performs well in times of equity market distress, making it a commonly used portfolio diversifier.
7. Conclusion
Gold Futures remain one of the most influential instruments in the global financial markets.
By leveraging machine learning insights and macroeconomic data, traders can better position themselves for profitable trading opportunities. Whether trading daily, weekly, or monthly trends, understanding these indicators allows market participants to align their strategies with broader economic conditions.
Stay tuned for the next "Behind the Curtain" installment, where we explore economic forces shaping another key futures market.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
XAG/USD Breakout (17.3.2025)The XAG/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 34.31
2nd Resistance – 34.66
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
GOLD hit 3000$ The first notable event is the Bank of Japan (BOJ) monetary policy meeting on Tuesday, followed by the US Federal Reserve (FED) interest rate decision on Wednesday. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) and the Bank of England (BOE) will announce their interest rate policies on Thursday.
These moves can directly affect the strength of the USD and capital flows into gold. This expert believes that if the FED maintains a "hawkish" stance and takes a cautious view on cutting interest rates, the USD may continue to strengthen, putting pressure on gold prices. On the contrary, if the signals from the FED are more easing, the precious metal may maintain its upward momentum.
Commodity experts at Macquarie have raised their gold price forecast to $3,500 an ounce by the third quarter of 2025. They had previously targeted $3,000 for mid-year, but gold prices have hit that mark earlier than expected.
Gold Price Analysis: Potential Head and Shoulders Breakdownhello guys.
In the 30-minute chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD), A head-and-shoulders pattern has formed, signaling a potential bearish reversal. The price is currently consolidating near the right shoulder, and if a breakout below the neckline occurs, it could lead to a further downside.
The volume profile indicates a strong support zone around $2,962 - $2,965, which aligns with a key liquidity area. As illustrated by the red arrows, the expected price action suggests a minor pullback before continuing toward this support zone.
Traders should watch for confirmation of the breakdown before entering short positions, with a target near the highlighted demand area.
Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming? 📊 GOLD (XAU/USD) 1H Timeframe Analysis – Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming? 🚀
📉 Gold is forming a possible Head & Shoulders pattern on the 1-hour chart.
🔄 Key Levels & Scenarios:
✅ Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the blue support zone, the next targets will be at the green line levels.
✅ Invalidation: If the price moves above the right shoulder, the bearish structure is invalidated, and we could see a bullish continuation.
📌 Watch for a confirmed breakout before taking a position!
$QQQ WARNING! April Fool's Market a Joke this year at SUB $400Is this happening? I'm going to have to bet my money on yes. I have been doing this for a long time. Pattern Chart Trading . This has a high probability of happening imo. Is it absolute? Of course not. Is it better to be prepared? Absolutely. Now for the technicals of it.. I'm trying to do better with this...
If we take a bearish perspective on the fib from the previous high in December , and the most previous lower low mid January , we have ourselves at the 1.61 Golden Pocket below. I have a Bullish perspective if we hold here and move above the 1.00 Fib Level, mid January Lows at $499.70 . Last defense would be a 50% retracement to the .786 FIB at the $508 area. Currently, I expect a rally to the 50 day SMA for a retest, then a SLAM to $380s in April . This is the possibility. Take it with a Grain of Salt. The possibility is there. I have one Bullish outlook.. I will post after this...
GOLD Weekly Analysis over $3000! 🚀 Gold Hits Another All-Time High! 🚀
Gold reached yet another record high last week! This confirms that capital is still flowing into gold, reinforcing the strong uptrend. While prices may seem elevated, that doesn’t mean they can’t climb even higher!
After breaking this key level, a pullback could be on the horizon, presenting a potential opportunity to join the trend—if we spot the right entry. Last week, multiple setups formed around liquidity grab zones. If you caught one, well done! But don’t worry, more opportunities will come.
⚠️ Thinking of Shorting? ⚠️
Keep in mind, we’re in a price discovery phase with limited structure. Shorting here carries increased risk, so patience is key before considering any bearish positions.
📢 If you found this post valuable, give it a boost and drop a comment—I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Thank you! 🙌
XAUUSD Analysis: Bearish Reversal with Potential for Liquidity📉 XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD) Analysis - 3H Chart
🌟 Shooting Star Pattern Detected: The market has formed a shooting star, a bearish reversal candlestick, signaling potential weakness at the top.
📍 Key Resistance Zone (Purple Box): Price action has been rejected from this area, showing strong selling pressure.
🔍 If Break Scenario: Should the price break below the 2,949 support zone (🔵), we can expect a bearish drop 📉 with potential liquidity grab before a pullback for a new all-time high (ATH) 🚀.
🧐 Market Sentiment: Bearish bias for now, but watch for a potential reversal after liquidity is swept.
✅ Trader's Tip: Wait for a clean break and retest before entering a short position. 🎯
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2993 and a gap below at 2968. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2993
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2993 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3011
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3011 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3039
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3039 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3049
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3049 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3068
BEARISH TARGETS
2968
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2968 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2942
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2942 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2922
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2922 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2906 - 2886
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHPTAIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 list week profitable profomans reached target point 2961 ) New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 a short trend 📉 analysis setup. Guys 🤝 Gold 🪙 1 Time Frame 🪟 patterns chart 📉. Looking for selling zone ☺️ 🤝 FVG level 3006$ 2996$ rejected point below 👇 ⬇️ target point 2832 - 2818. ) again back 🔙 that entry buying said. Update you next analysis Guys 🤝 now follow it' good luck 💯
Key Resistance level 2996+ 3006
Key Support level 2832 - 2818
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales Support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Bullish continuation?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,952.19
Why we like it:
There rise a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,925.66
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,000.05
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.