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Gold (XAUUSD) Weekly TF 2025Overview This analysis outlines the structural Fibonacci confluences, scenario planning, and macro-aligned projections for Gold (XAUUSD) on the weekly timeframe. It integrates multi-layered Fibonacci extensions and retracements, mapping out key support and resistance levels, and proposes a nuanced primary scenario that includes both intermediate rallies and corrective movements. Primary Scenario – Multi-Stage Movement Hypothesis We anticipate that gold may initially extend higher from the current level (~$3,325) to test the 127.2% Fibonacci extension at $3,435, with the possibility of a further intermediate peak near $3,500. This level marks a psychological and technical resistance zone and could act as a temporary top. Following this local peak, a corrective phase may unfold. This pullback could evolve into one of the two outlined correction scenarios: 1 TP Correction Scenario Support Target: ~$2,950 Basis: 100% Fib extension confluence and prior resistance turned support Expected Outcome: Price stabilizes at this level and resumes upward momentum 2 TP Correction Scenario Support Target: ~$2,650 Basis: Strong historical structure + 100% Fib confluence from a broader cycle Expected Outcome: This zone acts as a long-term demand accumulation area Upon completion of the corrective structure, we expect gold to reinitiate its primary bullish trend. Bullish Continuation Targets TP1: ~$4,050 (161.8% Fibonacci extension) TP2: ~$4,319 (261.8% Fibonacci extension) These targets align with macroeconomic conditions, central bank accumulation trends, and long-term structural cycles. Supporting Technicals RSI: Holding above 50, indicating preserved bullish momentum MACD: Positive crossover with widening histogram on weekly timeframe Price Action: Strong support zone between $3,280–$3,300 aligning with 161.8% Fib retracement of the recent minor wave Macro Fundamentals & Correlations Central Bank Gold Demand: Sustained net buying by BRICS nations, particularly China and Russia, supports the structural bid on gold Fed Policy: Market anticipates a prolonged pause or gradual rate cuts, favoring non-yielding assets like gold DXY & US10Y Yields: Any further decline in DXY or softening yields would add tailwinds to gold Crypto Correlation: During inflationary hedging or systemic risk periods, gold and crypto may correlate positively, especially with weakening USD Intermarket Relationships: Gold, DXY, and TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap) Gold vs. DXY (US Dollar Index) Gold historically maintains an inverse correlation with DXY. A rising DXY tends to apply downward pressure on gold prices, while a falling DXY enhances gold's upside momentum. Scenario Interactions: If DXY breaks below 98, this could validate the bullish scenario for gold toward $3,435–$4,050. If DXY rallies back above 100, it could trigger the correction scenarios ($2,950 or $2,650) in gold. Gold vs. TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap) Gold and TOTAL may show positive correlation during periods of USD weakening and global liquidity expansion. Scenario Interactions: If gold rallies toward $3,500 and TOTAL also breaks key resistance (e.g., $1.8T–$2T), this signals synchronized bullish risk appetite. If gold corrects while TOTAL continues to rise, it could indicate rotation of liquidity from defensive to risk-on assets. A simultaneous correction in both may occur if DXY strengthens aggressively or if macro shocks reduce global liquidity. These intermarket relationships should be monitored continuously to assess the evolving macro context and validate the chosen scenario. In the case of a gold correction toward $2,950 or $2,650, the impact on altcoins will hinge on the prevailing macroeconomic backdrop. If the correction stems from a healthy, technical rebalancing within a risk-on environment—without a concurrent surge in the U.S. dollar—it could signal a shift in capital from defensive assets like gold into more speculative plays, including altcoins. This type of capital rotation often benefits the crypto market, particularly if TOTAL (crypto market cap) holds or advances structurally. However, if the correction is caused by rising dollar strength, tightening financial conditions, or broader risk-off sentiment, altcoins may instead suffer alongside gold, as liquidity is withdrawn across the board. Therefore, the context and drivers behind gold’s correction are crucial in assessing its downstream effects on altcoin performance. From a philosophical lens, gold's cyclical ascent and retreat mirrors the rhythm of nature and human experience—expansion, contraction, and renewal. Just as rivers carve valleys before surging toward the ocean, the market too must surrender gains to gather force. A correction in gold is not merely a financial event, but a moment of recalibration—an inhale before the next exhale of momentum. It invites reflection: whether wealth seeks refuge or ventures into risk, whether fear contracts or ambition expands. In this interplay, altcoins may inherit the restless spirit of capital in search of yield, as gold, the ancient anchor of value, briefly pauses in its timeless journey. Conclusion We present a multi-phased path for gold where: An initial bullish breakout toward $3,435–$3,500 forms a short- to mid-term peak A subsequent correction brings gold to either $2,950 or $2,650, depending on macro triggers A renewed bull rally drives gold toward $4,050 and potentially $4,319 and beyond This scenario reflects both the cyclical nature of market structure and the macro-fundamental backing that continues to support long-term gold strength.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BitonGroup
XAUUSD: Neutral trade preparing a major breakout.Gold is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.070, MACD = 17.020, ADX = 34.480) a direct consequence of the sideways trading between the 4H MA50 and 4H MA200. The price action has rebounded on the former LH trendline, validating that it has resumed the long term bullish trend. The pattern that has prevailed so far is a Channel Up, and the current consolidation is similar to its first bottom sequence. We are bullish, aiming again for the 1.236 Fibonacci extension (TP = 3,420). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by InvestingScope
Gold rebounds and repairs, is it a shock or a bull market?📰 Impact of news: 1. Geopolitical situation 2. Impact of the US dollar trend on gold 📈 Market analysis: At the gold hourly level, after the pressure in the Asian session in the morning, it directly fell to the vicinity of 3302. The big Yin effectively lost the lower track of the descending flag consolidation channel. The original 3318 line was the confirmation of the channel counter-pressure point, which happened to be the 61.8% split resistance level at that time. At the same time, it lost the middle track. Therefore, we gave a trading idea of ​​looking at the rebound under pressure and continuing to decline in the European session. As a result, the market directly took a V-shaped wash-up and once pulled up to the vicinity of 3342. The European session fluctuated strongly and rose. Before and after the US session, it took advantage of the retracement to lure the short position, and there is still the possibility of a second pull-up space. Therefore, in the subsequent retracement support level, pay attention to two positions, one is 3322-3324, and the other is the 61.8% division support level of 3318. If it stabilizes, there is a high probability that there will be a second upward space, pointing to 3348. If the pressure here cannot be overcome, the bottom will continue to oscillate back and forth. At that time, it will fall back to see if a secondary low point can be formed to further stabilize the support. If it goes straight through and stands on it, 3293 may already be the short-term low. On the whole, I still hold short orders before the effective breakthrough of 3345, but at the same time, as the gold price rebounds and moves upward, the short-term support level is temporarily expected to be 3325-3320. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3335-3345 TP 3325-3315 BUY 3325-3330 TP 3350-3360 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Quick update following on from yesterday’s post. As expected, we got the push up after the EMA5 cross and lock above 3318, but price just fell short of our bullish target at 3352, leaving it open. This level now acts as a magnet, with price currently playing between 3318 and 3352, creating a tight range. We're watching closely for tests on both 3318 and 3352, with direction confirmed only by EMA5 cross and lock. The gap to 3352 still remains, so any bullish momentum should aim to fill this cleanly. Until one of these levels breaks with confirmation, we’ll likely continue seeing choppy movement in this range. We’ll keep using dips into support for intraday buys, targeting our usual 20–40 pip bounce trades as structure allows. Once again, thank you all for your ongoing support and engagement, we’ll continue to keep you updated throughout the week, as price unfolds and setups confirm. Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
12
Hanzo / Gold 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) ⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution Time Frame: 15-Minute Warfare Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble. 👌Bullish After Break : 3345 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bearish After Break : 3326 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel ➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them. 🩸 Momentum Signature Detected: Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active. — If upward: Bullish momentum burst. — If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection. 🦸‍♂️ Tactical Note: The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
TVC:GOLD
by Path_Of_Hanzo
6
XAUUSD: Strategy and Analysis for June 10Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance level 3360, support level 3270 Four-hour chart resistance level 3340, support level 3290 One-hour chart resistance level 3327, support level 3303. The key support level of gold at the opening of 3310 has been broken. The price repeatedly stabilized at the 3310 line yesterday, forming a narrow range of fluctuations in the 3310-3320 range. The previous slow rise had formed a step-by-step upward structure. At present, this structure has been broken as the price fell below 3310, because the downward pattern formed last Friday has been completed. Next, we need to pay attention to whether the market will start a daily decline. Short-term ideas for Tuesday: Refer to the previous intensive trading area 3310~3320 price area, combined with the 15-minute level adjustment K-line pattern to find an opportunity to sell. The first key support position for the decline is 3290. If it falls below the support, the trend continues and may reach the 3250~3260 range.
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ
$Gold Fills the Gap – Is a Bullish Bounce Toward $3350 Next?By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that in last week’s analysis, the price successfully hit all four targets: $3338, $3332, $3326, and $3317, and finally closed on Friday at $3309. This move delivered over 390 pips of return, and I hope you made the most out of it! Now, let’s move on to the latest gold analysis: As you can see, today gold dropped to the $3294 zone, finally filling the liquidity gap previously marked on the chart. Currently, gold is trading around $3315, and I expect further bullish movement toward the $3330 area as the first upside target. After that, we should closely watch the $3332–$3352 zone for a potential corrective reaction. There are more details in this analysis that I’ll share soon — with your support! THE MAIN TA :
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
25
Platinum 10 years accumulation 2 000 USD Overview of Catalysts Here’s a detailed look at the top 10 key catalysts influencing platinum prices—and how they stack up on a 0–10 impact scale 🎯. 1. Supply Deficits (Mining Shortfalls) ⛏️ Trend: Persistent structural deficits—the largest since 2013—with a projected deficit of \~598 koz in 2024. Drivers: Declining output in South Africa and Russia, underinvestment, and aging mines. Impact Score: 10/10 – Direct upward pressure on price. 2. Industrial Demand & Green-Energy Growth 🏭 Trend: Industrial consumption is booming, with strong growth in sectors like wind turbines, glass, and electronics. Support: This broad demand fuels a large part of the supply deficit, and goes well beyond automotive use. Impact Score: 9/10 – Strong structural support. 3. Auto Catalyst Substitution (Pd → Pt) 🔄 Trend: Cost-effective substitution as platinum approaches price parity with palladium; significant volume was substituted in 2023, with more projected for 2024. Significance: Boosts automotive demand in an area previously dominated by palladium. Impact Score: 8/10. 4. Electric Vehicle Adoption (EVs) ⚡ Trend: EVs don’t use platinum in catalytic converters, which is a structural hit to demand as EV growth continues. Significance: Long-term downside pressure. Impact Score: 7/10. 5. Hydrogen Fuel Cell Demand 💧 Trend: Hydrogen vehicles use platinum, with projected demand growth toward 2030. Limitations: Growth remains slower than battery EVs. Impact Score: 6/10. 6. Recycling Constraints 🔄 Trend: Recycling, which provides about a quarter of supply, is falling due to fewer end-of-life vehicles and glass, reducing the supply buffer. Market Effect: This amplifies supply tightness. Impact Score: 6/10. 7. Chinese Emission Policies 🏭 Trend: China’s tightening emissions regulations are supporting demand, with end uses well protected against a slowdown. Importance: China is the largest platinum user; policy gives stability. Impact Score: 7/10. 8. Jewellery & Investment Trends 💍 Trend: Jewellery demand remains steady, and investment demand is rising. Note: This is a smaller demand segment, but it is supportive. Impact Score: 5/10. 9. Macroeconomic & Auto Production Outlook 📉 Trend: Weak global auto production is lowering platinum use, but recovery in auto could lift demand. Aftermath: Economic rebound could support prices. Impact Score:** 5/10. 10. Speculative Sentiment & Positioning 📈 Trend: Inventories are depleted; investors are waiting for a breakout. Tipping Point: A price surge could spark momentum-driven demand. Impact Score:** 4/10. | Rank | Catalyst | Score (/10) | | ---- | ---------------------------------- | ----------- | | 1 | Supply Deficit | 10 | | 2 | Industrial / Green-Energy Demand | 9 | | 3 | Auto Catalyst Pd → Pt Substitution | 8 | | 4 | EV Adoption (Negative Impact) | 7 | | 5 | Chinese Emission Policies | 7 | | 6 | Hydrogen Fuel Cell Growth | 6 | | 7 | Recycling Constraints | 6 | | 8 | Jewellery & Investment Demand | 5 | | 9 | Macro Slowdowns / Auto Production | 5 | | 10 | Speculative Positioning | 4 | 📌 Key Insights & Outlook * Tight supply and diversified demand—especially from green energy and industrial sectors—are the strongest bullish forces for platinum. * Auto-driven substitution offers further upside, while EV growth and recycling limitations act as constraints. * Chinese regulations add resilience; hydrogen offers potential if growth accelerates. * Jewellery and investment flows remain minor but supportive. * Much depends on auto sector recovery and investor psychology—momentum effects could amplify gains if technical levels break. 🔮 Final Take Platinum remains positioned for medium-term strength, thanks to severe supply tightness and robust non-auto demand drivers. For investors, key areas to watch are further deficits, industrial trends, and catalytic substitution. Be mindful of potential headwinds from EV adoption and macroeconomic softness, but the structural case remains compelling.
OANDA:XPTUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
35
GOLD - Price can continue to fall to bottom part of flatHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago price grew inside a rising channel, where it reached $3050 level and then broke it. After this, price reached resistance line of channel and then made a correction to support line and then made an upward impulse. Next, price exited from channel and continued to grow to $3430 level and even rose higher, but soon turned around. Price made a fake breakout of this level and then started ot trades inside a flat, where it fell to bottom part. Also, it made a gap, and later Gold started to grow to a resistance area, and when it reached this area, it bounced down. At the moment, I expect that Gold will grow to resistance area and then drop to $3135 bottom part of flat. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by WalterMoon
7
HelenP. I Gold may break support level and continue to move downHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Observing this chart, we can see how the price reached support 2, which coincided with the support zone and tried to break it, but failed and dropped below. Then Gold turned around and made an impulse up, broke firstly 3125 level first and then reached support 1 and broke it too. After this movement, Gold continued to grow and reached the trend line, after which it started to decline inside a triangle pattern, where it first fell below support 1, making a first gap. Next, Gold tried to back up, but failed and dropped to support 2, after which it started to grow. In a short time, XAU rose to support 1, broke it, and some time traded between this level. Not long time ago, it rose to the trend line, which is the resistance line of a triangle as well, and then fell to the resistance zone. So, I expect that XAUUSD will break the support level and then continue to fall, thereby exiting from triangle too. For this case, I set my goal at 3225 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
17
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-10 : POP PatternToday's POP pattern suggests a potential big price move will take place. Given the overnight activity on the ES (rallying higher then rolling over), I suggest today's price move may attempt to retest these overnight highs, then repeat the breakdown phase into the close. The markets continue to try to melt upward. This trend will continue until the markets decide to break downward. After the deep low created by the tariff news, the markets continue to try to rally to new highs. It is very likely that Q2 earnings data may push the SPY to new ATH levels before we see any big rotation in price. The markets have a tendency to move just above recent highs, then stall and revert downward as a pullback. This move may be no different. The continued stalling of price trying to move higher recently suggests the markets are running into moderate resistance and I believe traders are actively pulling capital away from this rally. The trend is still BULLISH. Stay cautious of this upward move as a breakdown could happen at any time. Gold and Silver are moving into an impressive rally phase. Silver and Platinum have moved considerably higher over the past 10+ days. I believe Gold is lagging and will make a big move higher over the next 5 to 10+ days. Silver is targeting $41-44+. Gold should target $3400 to $3500+ near the same time. Bitcoin made a huge rally yesterday - reaching my 110,500 upper resistance level. Now, we see if Bitcoin has the momentum to carry higher or if it will fail and rollover into a downtrend. It seems we are right as a MAKE or BREAK level in the markets. I'm still a believer of MELT UP until it fails. I continue to watch for technical failure - but I've not seen it happen yet. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
1
Analysis and strategy of the latest gold trend on June 10: 📌 Core driving factors Safe-haven demand support: The turbulent situation in Los Angeles, USA, stimulated short-term safe-haven buying, limiting the decline in gold prices. Fed policy expectations: Last Friday (June 6), strong non-farm data (employment growth exceeded expectations) strengthened the expectation of "high interest rates for longer", the US dollar strengthened (closed at 99.20), and gold fell back to $3,310/ounce under pressure. Technical selling pressure: Gold prices failed to stabilize after hitting a high of $3,402, and bulls took profits, forming a short-term top structure. 📊 Technical analysis 1. Weekly level Long upper shadow cross: It shows that there is strong resistance in the $3,400 area. If it cannot break through this week, a double top pattern may be formed (neckline support 3280-3300). Key resistance: $3,355 (last week's high); key support: $3,300 (psychological barrier). 2. Daily level The second peak fell back: 3403 US dollars formed a double top pressure, MACD top divergence, and the short-term adjustment pressure increased. Key watershed: 3310-3315 (the intraday long and short battle point), if it falls below, it will look down to 3280-3250. 3. 4-hour level Trend break: Lost the rising trend line and the middle track 3330-3335, short-term weakness. Bullish counterattack signal: If it stands firm at 3315 and breaks through 3330, it may test the 3350 resistance again. 🎯 Trading strategy suggestions 🔹 Short-term operation (intraday) Long order opportunity: callback to 3300-3310 light position long, stop loss 3285, target 3335-3345. Shorting opportunities: shorting at 3345-3355, stop loss at 3365, target at 3310-3300. 🔹 Mid-term layout Double top confirmation: If the weekly line closes below 3300, consider mid-term shorting, target at 3250-3200. Breakthrough signal: If it stands at 3355, the double top will be invalid, and the upward trend will be 3400-3450. ⚠️ Risk warning Pay attention to the forward guidance of the Fed's June interest rate decision and changes in the geopolitical situation. If risk aversion heats up or inflation data weakens, the gold price may break through $3,400. (Note: The market is changing rapidly, and it is recommended to dynamically adjust the strategy in combination with real-time data.)
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Golden_Line_FX
GOLD – Bearish Momentum Below 3329 Ahead of US-China TalksFX:XAUUSD – Bearish Momentum Below 3329 Ahead of US-China Talks Overview: Gold remains under bearish pressure as markets await the outcome of the upcoming call between U.S. President Trump and China’s President in London. The event is contributing to uncertainty and risk-off sentiment, favoring downside momentum. Technically, price action remains weak while trading below the pivot level at 3329. A confirmed 1H close below 3311 would likely extend the bearish move toward 3292 and 3275. On the other hand, a 1H or 15-minute close above 3329 could trigger a bullish correction toward 3347. A confirmed break above 3347 would shift the trend toward a more sustained uptrend, targeting 3366 and 3404. Key Levels: Pivot: 3329 Support: 3311, 3292, 3275 Resistance: 3347, 3366, 3404
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
1
Gold drops over 20 USD, pressured by US-China negotiations.In the early trading session on Tuesday (June 10th), the price of gold XAUUSD dropped sharply from around 3,328 USD/ounce to about 3,305 USD/ounce. Bloomberg pointed out that the price of gold decreased during the early Asian trading session on Tuesday when both sides in the US-China trade talks hinted at a willingness to make concessions. The easing of tensions between Washington and Beijing could reduce the appeal of gold. Senior officials from the US and China initiated the second round of trade talks in London, the first since the Geneva meeting in early May. On the afternoon of June 9th, local time, the first meeting of the China-US Economic and Trade Consultation Mechanism was held in London, UK. The meeting will continue on June 10th, local time. The US delegation, led by Treasury Secretary Benjamin Bessant, also included Commerce Secretary Lutnick and US Trade Representative Greer. Bessant told reporters in London that they had a "good meeting," while Lutnick called the discussions "effective." Bloomberg reported that the US hinted at the possibility of lifting export controls on certain technologies in exchange for China easing restrictions on rare earth exports. The easing of tensions in the US-China trade war is a key factor currently creating downward pressure on gold, which has already risen more than 26% this year. Gold traders are also awaiting the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data this week to assess the "health" of the US economy and predict the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut trajectory. Technical Outlook for XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD After recovering in yesterday's trading session, supported by the confluence of the EMA21 and Fibonacci retracement at 0.382%, gold has dropped back to test this area at the start of today's trading session. Gold may continue to face selling pressure in the short term once the price breaks below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, with the short-term target at around 3,250 USD, followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level. However, as of now, the technical positions still show potential for price increase, as the support from EMA21 and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement has not been broken. The short-term recovery target remains at 3,350 USD, followed by the key resistance level at 3,371 USD, which is also the price point of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement. Considering the current position, gold still has a bullish outlook, with the potential for a price drop mentioned earlier. The key levels to watch are as follows: Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250 USD Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 USD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Analysis of Gold Trading Strategy for June 10th - 11th, 2025Identify strategies through this video: Key Support and Resistance Levels of XAUUSD Support Levels: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250 USD Resistance Levels: 3,336 – 3,346 USD With the current technical backdrop, gold still has short-term bullish potential, but it is essential to closely monitor key support and resistance levels. The gold market remains full of potential, but also presents challenges. Wishing you successful and effective trading!"
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Nasdaq at Supply Zone – Rejection or Breakout? (READ THE CAPTIONBy examining the #Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is still trading within the supply zone around 21,850. We are still waiting for a strong rejection from this level, which could lead to a short-term price correction in this index. The potential downside targets are: 21,000, 20,700, 20,200, and 19,150. The key supply range lies between 21,400 and 22,200. Additionally, there is a possibility of a liquidity grab or stop-hunt above 22,200 before any real drop begins. This analysis will be considered invalid if price closes above 22,400 in the next three weeks. On the fundamental side, there are several macro factors to watch: Interest Rate Expectations: Although inflation in the U.S. has cooled compared to last year, the Fed remains cautious. If upcoming CPI or PPI prints show unexpected resilience, the likelihood of rate cuts this year could diminish, pressuring tech-heavy indices like Nasdaq. Tech Sector Valuations: Valuations in major tech names — such as NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft — have reached historically high multiples. This makes Nasdaq particularly vulnerable to correction, especially if earnings disappoint or growth expectations soften. Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing tensions between the U.S. and China over trade and technology, as well as potential instability in the Middle East, could contribute to a risk-off sentiment — further supporting the case for a short-term pullback. Earnings Season Ahead: Q2 earnings season is around the corner. Any signs of slowing revenue growth or reduced forward guidance from major tech firms could act as a catalyst for the expected correction. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
IG:NASDAQShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
12
GOLD drops more than 20 USD, US-China negotiationsIn the early morning trading session on Tuesday (June 10), the spot price of OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly dropped sharply from around 3,328 USD/ounce to around 3,305 USD/ounce. Bloomberg pointed out that the price of gold fell in the early morning trading session in Asia on Tuesday as both sides in the Sino-US trade talks hinted at their willingness to make concessions. Easing tensions between Washington and Beijing could reduce the appeal of gold Senior officials from the United States and China launched the second round of trade talks in London, the first round since the Geneva meeting in early May. On the afternoon of June 9, local time, the first meeting of the China-US economic and trade consultation mechanism was held in London, UK. On June 10, local time, the first meeting of the China-US economic and trade consultation mechanism will continue. The US delegation, led by Treasury Secretary Benjamin Bessant, was also attended by Commerce Secretary Lutnick and US Trade Representative Greer. Bessant told reporters in London that they had a “good meeting,” while Lutnick called the discussions “productive.” Bloomberg reported that the US side had hinted that it was willing to lift export controls on some technology in exchange for China easing restrictions on rare earth exports. The easing of tensions in the US-China trade war is the main factor currently putting downward pressure on gold, which has risen more than 26% this year. Gold traders are also looking ahead to this week’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data to gauge the health of the US economy and predict the trajectory of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD After recovering in yesterday's trading session thanks to support from the confluence of EMA21 with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, gold has fallen back to test this area in the early trading session today. Gold may continue to face selling pressure in the short term, once the bearish momentum breaks below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, then the short term target will be around $3,250 followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement. However, up to now, the technical position still shows the possibility of increasing prices with the support from EMA21 with Fibonacci retracement 0.382% has not been broken, the recovery target is still at 3,350 USD in the short term, then 3,371 USD, an important resistance level which is also the price point of Fibonacci retracement 0.236%. Based on the current position, gold still has a bullish outlook with the possible downside mentioned above, and the notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250 USD Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3371 →Take Profit 1 3359 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3353 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3274 - 3276⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3270 →Take Profit 1 3282 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3288
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading