HelenP. I Gold may continue to fall and break support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After failing to hold above the resistance zone between 3140 and 3155 points, Gold made a sharp reversal. The strong bearish reaction from this area marked the end of the previous bullish momentum and triggered an aggressive sell-off. That move broke several minor support levels and pushed the price all the way down to the current support zone between 3010 and 2990 points. Previously, Gold had shown a stable uptrend, consistently bouncing from the trend line and using it as a dynamic support. Each pullback was met with buying pressure, allowing the price to climb higher. However, this time, after reaching the 3140 resistance level, buyers were overwhelmed by strong selling activity. Currently, Gold is trading just above the key support zone and close to the trend line. This area has acted as a pivot level multiple times, but the latest price action shows hesitation from buyers and growing control from sellers. Given the recent sharp decline, the break from the resistance zone, and the pressure near the current support, I expect Gold to continue falling toward 2960 points — my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-7 : POP In Counter Trend ModeToday's POP pattern in Counter Trend mode suggests the markets will find support and attempt to POP upward a bit.
I expect the SPY to attempt to reach levels above 505 today. Possibly trying to peak near 510.
The same thing will happen with the QQQ - a potential rally (POP) higher targeting the 420-425 level.
Watch this video TWICE if you really want to understand what is taking place in the markets right now.
The tariff issue will settle over the next 15+ days. The SPY/QQQ are moving into the EPP Consolidation Phase (just like I've been telling you for months now).
BTCUSD is moving into a BREAKDOWN phase and will likely target $63k over the next 30+ days.
Gold and Silver reacted to the breakdown of the SPY/QQQ as they always do - PANIC SELLING.
Now that the panic selling pressure appears to be subsiding, Gold and Silver should build a base and begin an explosive move higher - targeting $4200-4500 for gold and targeting $41-44 for silver.
We live in exciting times and I still believe the US markets will DOUBLE or TRIPLE over the next 5-10+ years.
Get Some.
XAUUSD Channel Up holding but be ready to short if broken.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up on the 4H time-frame, hitting today its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). That is the first time the price hits this trend-line since February 28 and the previous Higher Low of the pattern.
As long as it holds, expect a Bullish Leg similar to the previous one, to hit first the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 3130 and then the 1.786 extension for a Higher High at 3280.
On the other hand, if we get a candle closing below the 4H MA200, we will be ready to take the loss and go short instead, targeting Support 1 (Feb 28 Low) at 2840, potentially also making contact with the 1D MA100 (red trend-line).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
GOLD short-term analysis. Entering the selling phaseAfter the tariff policy was implemented, gold was sold off in the market on Friday. Gold was under pressure from the upper track of the rising channel trend line at 3160/3165. At present, the correction is gradually approaching the lower track of the rising channel. The daily line fell sharply and closed. The New York closing broke through the MA10 daily moving average at 3070. The RSI indicator turned down after the previous 80-value high overbought value and fell back to around 50!
The weekly RSI indicator turned down and the price lost the MA5-day moving average in the Asian session. The short-term four-hour chart MA10/7-day moving average high dead cross remains open downward, currently moving down to 3063/3075, the RSI indicator runs below the middle axis, and the hourly and four-hour chart Bollinger bands open downward. Gold continued to fluctuate downward in the weak bear market in the Asian session. The trading idea at the beginning of the week continues to sell at high levels and buy at low levels.
Gold once again started a dramatic frenzy mode last Friday, with long and short positions tug-of-war and large fluctuations. In the end, the short position was slightly better, which was an eye-opener for the market. With the continuous rise of gold, large fluctuations are also commonplace. Large fluctuations make the market uneasy. In the face of the large decline last Friday, gold may continue to maintain a downward trend in the later period, and the short-term bottom position below is maintained at the 3000 integer mark!
This position is also the bottom and starting point of the previous period. There is a high probability of a rebound, and the upper pressure is maintained near the top and bottom conversion position of 3054-3057, which is also the top position of the last falling candle last Friday. This position will be an ideal short position on Monday. Once the pressure is effective, it may still fall again in the later period.
The gold 1-hour moving average has formed a dead cross downward, so the gold shorts still have power. The short-term gold can only rebound. Gold will continue to sell after the rebound, and then gold will enter a shock. After the high-level plunge of gold, sellers will have more advantages in the short term. Unless there is a big positive, it will be difficult for gold to rise directly. The gold rebound resistance is 3054. If it is under pressure, it will continue to sell at highs.
Key points;
First support: 3000, second support: 2990, third support: 2976
First resistance: 3040, second resistance: 3054, third resistance: 3068
Operation ideas;
Buy: 2983-2985, SL: 2974, TP: 3000-3010;
Sell: 3051-3054, SL: 3063, TP: 3030-3020;
GOLD INTRADAY bullish continuation supported at 3028Gold maintains a bullish sentiment, in line with the prevailing uptrend. Recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially retesting the previous consolidation zone for support.
Key Level: 3028
This zone represents a significant area of prior consolidation and now acts as a key support level.
Bullish Scenario:
A pullback toward 3028 followed by a bullish bounce would confirm continued upside momentum. Immediate resistance targets include 3141, with extended upside potential toward 3167 and 3198 over the longer term.
Bearish Alternative:
A confirmed breakdown and daily close below 3028 would negate the current bullish outlook. This would open the door for a deeper retracement toward 3020, followed by 3000 and 2974.
Conclusion:
Gold remains technically bullish while trading above 3028. A successful retest and rebound from this level would support further upside. However, a daily close below 3028 would shift sentiment bearish in the short term, increasing the risk of a deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD Will Fall! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 3,035.98.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 2,937.76 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
DeGRAM | GOLD retest of the channel boundaryGOLD is in a descending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from the dynamic support, which has already acted as a rebound point.
The chart has already consolidated above the support level and returned to the channel.
We expect a rebound after consolidation above the 50% retracement level.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold Gets Technical Sell Signal Amid Stock Market DownturnGold has triggered a sell signal based on a MACD system that has historically shown a 75% success rate since the major 2011 top. Out of eight total signals, six have worked, capturing an average downward move of 21.15%. While recent signals during the bull market have delivered more modest results, they have still successfully flagged key corrections. The latest signal appears to be working as well, though uncertainty in global markets remains high, and traders should proceed with caution.
The signal itself is simple: when the difference between the MACD and its signal line rises above 20, the likelihood of a correction increases.
While many market participants expect gold to rally during equity market crashes, history shows that in particularly sharp downturns, gold can initially follow the broader market. This is often due to rising margin calls and gold’s high liquidity, making it a common source of cash. However, this time, elevated short positions might help limit the downside risks for gold.
DeGRAM | GOLD reached the lower boundary of the channelGOLD is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price has already reached the lower boundary of the channel.
The chart is forming a descending structure and is holding under the 50% retracement level.
We expect the decline to continue.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold Stabilizes Near 3-Week LowGold steadied around $3,030 per ounce on Monday after falling over 1% to a three-week low. The drop sparked speculation that investors were taking profits or covering losses amid broader market declines driven by recession fears from escalating trade tensions. Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned that tariffs could raise inflation and slow growth, underscoring challenges for policymakers.
Key resistance is at $3,050, followed by $3,085 and $3,105. Support stands at $2,980, then $2,930 and $2830.
GOLD WEEKLY OPEN – Sentiment-Driven Marke🟡 GOLD WEEKLY OPEN – Sentiment-Driven Market as Asian Sellers Hit Early
Gold kicked off the new week with a sharp drop during the early Asian session, falling over 40 points from last week’s highs into the 297x zone — a move that reflects lingering sell-side pressure from last Friday’s close.
However, price quickly rebounded nearly 40 points, showing clear buy-side interest at the 297x zone — which acts as a key structural support on the H4 and D1 timeframes.
📌 If price breaks below this level convincingly, it could trigger a deeper move toward 295x.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
The overall structure on H4 and D1 remains bullish
But right now, investor sentiment is leading, not just technicals
On H1 and H2, price is reacting to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement zone
If gold closes below 3030, we could see another leg down into the 295x area
🧠 Sentiment Is In Control (For Now)
So far, only Asia and Australia have shown their hand
We’re waiting on London and New York to step in before confirming trend direction
With price whipping around inside a broad range — only trade from key zones with clear price reaction
🧭 Key Technical Zones:
🔺 Resistance:
3055 – 3076 – 3107
🔻 Support:
3024 – 3005 – 2970 – 2952
🎯 Trading Plan:
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2980 – 2978
SL: 2974
TP: 2984 – 2988 – 2992 – 2996 – 3000
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3076 – 3078
SL: 3082
TP: 3072 – 3068 – 3064 – 3060 – 3056 – 3050
📅 What To Watch This Week:
This week brings major market movers:
CPI → PPI → Fed speakers — all lined up midweek.
→ Be selective with your trades and keep tight risk control.
AD will continue updating intraday zones across sessions.
✅ Trade smart. Respect your risk. Let the market come to you.
— AD | Money Market Flow
Gold D1 | Falling toward a pullback supportGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 2,954.81 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 2,828.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 3,134.30 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAU/USD Analysis Update – Bullish MomentumXAU/USD Analysis Update – Bullish Momentum in Play
Gold has shown strong bullish momentum, currently trading at $3037 after a powerful rejection from the supply zone at $3017. It has successfully broken the previously long-standing resistance at $3033, confirming a potential shift in market sentiment.
With this breakout, I expect gold to continue its upward movement toward the following targets:
TP1: $3065 – where a major trendline resistance is in play.
TP2: $3100 – upon a successful break and close above $3065.
Note: A short-term retracement toward $3026 is possible before the bullish rally resumes.
Stay alert and manage risk accordingly. Price action and structure are favoring the bulls for now.
We Have direction. We wait on confirmation! GOLD!Looking for price to give is a little more indication that it wants to continue bullish. We have areas to fill on larger time frames before it gives us a stronger play for bigger moves. Just have to be patient and wait for price to give us more solid indication. As Always #NOFOMO!
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [April 07 - April 11]This week, the price of OANDA:XAUUSD increased sharply from 3,076 USD/oz to 3,168 USD/oz, then made a "reverse" move to 3,015 USD/oz and closed this week at 3,038 USD/oz.
The reason why the price of gold increased sharply to 3,168 USD/oz in the trading session on April 3 was because US President Donald Trump decided to impose reciprocal taxes from 10% to 49% on many trading partners. However, it was also because of the tariff issue that caused the gold price to break the upward trend right after the Trump administration announced a list of tariff exemptions for many goods.
Meanwhile, many countries have also proactively negotiated with the US to reduce import taxes on US goods, import more goods from the US to contribute to gradually balancing the trade balance with the US so that the Trump administration can remove tariffs.
In addition, the US non-farm payrolls (NFP) data for March unexpectedly jumped to 228,000 jobs, much higher than the forecast of 137,000 jobs. This shows that the US labor market is still positive, causing investors to believe that the FED may continue to delay cutting interest rates.
In addition, FED Chairman Powell also said that the Trump administration's recent reciprocal tariff policy will cause inflation to increase for a long time, risking pushing the US economy into recession. This implies that the FED will not cut interest rates in the upcoming meetings.
In particular, the stock market has fallen too sharply, causing investors to close profitable gold investment positions to add margin (cover losses) for stocks.
According to many experts, gold prices may continue to adjust next week, but will not fall too deeply. Because the Russia-Ukraine war and armed conflicts in the Middle East are still complicated. Moreover, China has just imposed an additional 34% tax on all US goods. Without hesitation, Canada also imposed a 25% import tax on all cars imported from the US that are not eligible for preferential treatment in the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA). If more countries retaliate against the US like China and Canada, the trade war will become increasingly heated, pushing the world economy into instability, increasing the role of gold as a safe haven.
🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
Inflation and the Fed will be back in the spotlight next week, with the release of the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) March monetary policy meeting on Wednesday. This will be followed by the US consumer price index (CPI) report for March on Thursday, and the producer price index (PPI) on Friday. Friday morning will also see the latest preliminary survey of consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan – a key indicator of how Americans feel about the outlook for the economy.
📌Technically, observing the H4 chart, it is necessary to pay attention to the important support level at 3,000 USD/oz. If next week the gold price trades above this level, it can re-enter the correction phase to 3085. In case the 3000 round resistance level is broken, the gold price will continue to be under selling pressure, causing the price to drop to around 2,900-2,950 USD/oz.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,019 – 3,000 USD
Resistance: 3,050 – 3,056 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3093 - 3091⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3097
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2988 - 2990⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2984
Bullish bounce off pullback suport?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identifed as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot; 2,954.94
1st Support: 2,790.01
1st Resistance: 3,132.12
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD breakdown?XAUUSD possibly break below as market opened with gap and the price started to drop from the most important level. Past week with NFP price has rejected with a head & shoulder formation and signaling possible change of trend. In a way price is moving it may respect 3051.00 level and may continue to drop for possible long term change of trend.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3091.4
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3108.1
My Stop Loss - 3083.4
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK