Get started

Gold

2025-01-02 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr gold - Bullish. Clear breakout on the 4h tf and market looks like it wants to retest 2700. The triangle is the dominant pattern for now and there is no more resistance until 2700 for the bulls. Market kept above the 1h 20ema since the breakout and any long close to it is reasonable until it’s clearly broken. Bears need something below 2650 again and make the market go sideways for longer to turn it neutral again. comment: Bullish breakout and very strong close at the high. Clear buy signal and market turned bullish again. 2700 is the next big target for the bulls and best case for them would be to keep the 1h 20ema support. Bears need a strong move down to get below 2650 again and then sideways for many bars to turn it neutral again. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 2560 - 2760 bull case: Bulls want 2700 next but I doubt they will get much higher than that. Longing any pullback for target 2700-2720 is reasonable for now. The last time bulls printed two consecutive strong bull bars on the daily chart was in mid December when we moved 120 points up. A measured move from the past 2 days brings us to 2730ish and close enough to the lower highs around 2740/2760. Invalidation is below 2640. bear case: Bears were nowhere to be found today. They could not print 1 decent 1h bar and that is why I think today’s price action is so strong. Every small dip was bought and volume is also picking up again. Bears would need something below 2640 again but for now the best they can hope for is to stay below 2700 and go sideways. Invalidation is above 2710. short term: Bullish. Want to see 2700 and markets reaction there. Depending on the next pull-back, this could continue to 2740+ and break above the bear trend line but for now I look for longs for target 2700. medium-long term - Update from 2024-01-02: If we break strongly above 2700, we will likely retest 2740-2760 and depending on that move, we will either stay inside the big range 2560 - 2760 or retest 2800 or even higher. current swing trade : None trade of the day: Buying near the 1h 20ema.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by priceactiontds
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – 4-Hour Timeframe Date: January 2, 2025Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – 4-Hour Timeframe Date: January 2, 2025 Technical Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) has shown significant bullish momentum on the 4-hour timeframe, breaking above its previous resistance zone of 2645. This breakout indicates potential for further upside movement, with key targets outlined in the upcoming sessions. Potential Scenarios: Upside Target The price is likely to aim for the range between 2685 and 2690 over the next 24–48 hours. This zone represents a significant resistance level, making it a critical area for observation. Retest of Support Zone Prior to a continuation of its bullish trend, the price may retest the 2655–2645 support zone. Such a retest could offer a low-risk entry for buyers, provided the zone holds strong and shows a rejection to the downside. Key Strategy for Traders: Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Before taking a position, switch to a lower timeframe (e.g., 15 minutes or 30 minutes) to assess the structure and ensure a clean entry. Look for signs of a change of character, such as strong bullish candles or a rejection wick, to confirm the upward move. Low Drawdown Entry Points: Identify entry points where potential drawdown is minimal. This approach reduces risk while maximizing reward potential. Waiting for the price to consolidate or retest support before entering can improve the likelihood of a successful trade. Risk Management and Discipline: Use proper risk-to-reward ratios to manage capital effectively. Avoid impulsive trades and focus on clear signals. Making no money is better than losing money. Final Thoughts: The overall trend suggests high probabilities for an upward continuation. However, patience and confirmation are key. Conduct thorough analysis before taking any long position and always prioritize protecting your capital. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Use your own expertise and strategy to make trading decisions.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KainT21
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another great day the charts with our chart idea playing out in usual fashion. After completing our bearish target on our last update, we stated that price was heading towards 2629 to complete the Bullish target that was left short by a few pips previously. - 2629 bullish target was hit perfectly followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 2655. This target is now also complete, which gave plenty of time from confirmation to getting hit . We will now wait for a cross and lock above 2655 for further continuation or failure to lock above will see price reject and find support at the lower Goldlturns for a reaction. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2629 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2629 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2655 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2694 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2726 BEARISH TARGETS 2600 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2600 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2561 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2561 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2519 - 2486 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Its NYE today and the markets closed tomorrow. Looking forward to another smashing year. Wishing you all a blessed year ahead!! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
12
Gold Trend Analysis and Free SignalsDon't chase the rebound high easily now. Continue to short the Asian session rebound. The 4-hour moving average of gold is still in a downward dead cross. The resistance of the gold moving average has now moved down to around 2645. As long as gold does not break through the upper resistance of the shock, it will continue to be short. Gold has been under pressure near 2640 and has fallen back many times. If there is no strong breakthrough above 2640, gold may still be blocked and fall back. First support: 2620, second support: 2613, third support: 2605 First resistance: 2638, second resistance: 2645, third resistance: 2653 Trading strategy: BUY: 2619-2617 SELL: 2638-2640
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-2-25 : Inside Pause PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will stall a bit after the overnight reversion move. If you were following my research, you already knew I was expecting the markets to rally a bit over the past 3-5 trading days. But that didn't happen as the low liquidity end of year trading prompted another downside price event. In my opinion, this was all due to a lack of market liquidity. When there is very low liquidity, the MMs can move price more easily as the number of buyers and sellers drops (creating a wider price spread). It is also the type of market environment where FLASH CRASH types of events can take place. Now that we are into early 2025, liquidity will deepen (more active traders) and this will result in a possible reversion event (upward) in price leading to the Inauguration event (IMO). Just like I've been suggesting over the past 2-3+ weeks. Gold and Silver are recovering nicely. I believe Gold and Silver will move back towards their recent highs over the next 30+ days. Bitcoin is still struggling just below $100k, but I believe the ultimate move for Bitcoin will be a retracement to the downside before finding support near $72k and then starting a bigger rally above $120k. In 2025, I've made a commitment to do more to help more traders. I'm working on new TIMING tools to assist in developing better analysis for everyone. If this research/work plays out well, I'll try to make these new tools available to everyone. Remember, trading is all about managing capital, expectations, and risks. If you are still struggling with your trading - follow my research and learn how to time/execute better trades. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
2
GOLD WANNA FALLING ONCE AGAINAs i published an idea that gold will fall, and gold fall my entry was at 2637, stop loss was 2651 and target was 2585, but that setup gave us 450 pips. Now I'm back with another idea, my idea is gold will fall when it touches the price 2632.80 Lets see what will happen. Gold moving crazy since last week its moving up and down. ENTRY POINT : 2632.80 at the area of OB H1. STOP LOSS : 2641.40 and Target is 2611.50 PLEASE USE STOP LOSS AND TP ON YOUR EVERY TRADE. DONT FORGET TO SHARE YOUR IDEAS ON THIS POST, PLEASE SHARE YOUR IDEAS. STAY TUNE FOR EVERY UPDATE. GOOD LUCK EVERYBODY.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Zayn_Muaath
XAUUSD:2/1 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2660, support below 2580 Four-hour resistance 2640, support below 2600-2580 Operational suggestions: The current price of gold on Thursday is around 2635. On Tuesday, the bulls bottomed out and rebounded strongly in the volatile trading. The US market stepped back and tested twice, and stabilized at the 2605 mark and continued to rebound. The US market accelerated to break through the 2620 mark and closed strongly. The daily chart rose strongly and engulfed. The overall gold price stabilized at the 2595 mark in the short term, continuing to fluctuate widely. In the short term, it still failed to break the recent oscillation pattern. From the 4-hour analysis, we continue to pay attention to the short-term support of 2608-10 below, and pay attention to the important suppression of 2640 above. The operation is mainly to step back and do more, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. BUY:2627near BUY:2618near SELL:2640near The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ActuaryJ
WHERE GOLD WOULD GO NOW?GOLD currently move higher in the first day of 2025, continuing the uptrend momentum from the end of last year and now traded at 2634. Fundamentally, CME FED Watch Tools still eyeing for two cut rate this year and this could boost GOLD a little bit higher or make a wide-range sideways movement. Technically, i see GOLD still in a sideways condition now with smaller range than before. I use 2667 - 2671 level as a key level for GOLD to continue it's uptrend and 2605 as a key level to continue it's downtrend. I will give update if there's something different than my current technical analysis
SAXO:XAUUSD
by vicariuzchrist
GOLD maintains a narrow recovery rangeOANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery maintains a recovery trend and narrow range during the day. As of the time of writing, gold price is currently trading at about 2,633 USD/ounce. On this trading day, investors will pay attention to many important data such as the number of initial jobless claims in the United States, PMI and the housing market, which are expected to stimulate activate market conditions and create market volatility. Today (Thursday), seasonally adjusted initial unemployment claims in the United States for the week of December 28 will be released, expected to be 224,000, compared to 219,000 the previous week. If the latest initial unemployment claims are lower than expected, this will have a positive impact on the US Dollar and affect the price of gold and major non-US currencies. On the same day, the final value of the US Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for December will be announced, expected to be 48.3. US construction spending in November will be released, with the monthly rate expected to increase 0.3%. On the daily chart it's OANDA:XAUUSD is still trading in a very narrow operating range, with temporary short-term rallies still limited by pressure from the EMA21 and the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level. Note to readers in digital publications out first. Temporarily, gold's trend is quite neutral with the possibility of accumulation depicted by the purple triangle. However, based on the current position, gold has more conditions to decrease in price with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) still below level 50, level 50 is considered resistance or support for RSI depending on conditions. RSI's lawsuit. On the other hand, gold could open a new bearish cycle once it is sold below the 0.786% Fibonacci level and the subsequent target of $2,538 in the short term. Even if gold recovers above EMA21, it is still unable to create a concrete uptrend, with pressure from the upper edge of the purple price triangle. Using the POC Volume Profile we will also see that the area around 2,634 – 2,640USD is an area where a lot of trading occurs, this should be considered a pressure area given gold's current position. During the day, gold's trend is neutral with technical conditions tilted to the downside and notable levels are listed below. Support: 2,604 – 2,600USD Resistance: 2,640USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2651 - 2649⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2655 →Take Profit 1 2644 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2639 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2599 - 2601⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2595 →Take Profit 1 2606 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2611
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD: Gold in 2025!Gold is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and has exited its short-term ascending channel. In case of a valid break of the resistance range, we can witness the continuation of the rise of gold and see the supply zone. Correction of gold and pullback to the broken channel will provide the opportunity to buy it with the appropriate risk reward. According to a recent report by UBS, the price of gold is expected to reach $2,900 per ounce by the end of 2025. UBS highlights that one of the main drivers of this price increase is the continued demand for gold by central banks. These institutions are motivated by a desire to reduce reliance on the dollar and diversify their reserves, and they are expected to maintain their purchasing momentum in 2025, supporting high gold prices. In addition, investor demand for gold as a safeguard against geopolitical and policy-related uncertainties will also play a critical role in sustaining elevated prices. UBS points to ongoing concerns about the Russia-Ukraine conflict, tensions in the Middle East, and uncertainty surrounding U.S. fiscal and trade policies under President Donald Trump as factors that could boost investment in gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Furthermore, declining interest rates and a weakening U.S. dollar are other key factors contributing to gold’s rise. UBS anticipates that interest rates will continue to drop and that a weaker dollar will drive higher demand for gold. Beyond gold, UBS also highlights opportunities in copper and other energy-transition metals. The bank identifies global investments in electricity generation, energy storage, and electric transportation as long-term drivers of demand for these metals. Meanwhile, according to surveys conducted by the Financial Times, Trump’s economic policies, known as “Maganomics,” could pose risks to economic growth. The findings suggest that many economists believe Trump’s protectionist measures might overshadow the benefits of his other policies. More than half of the 220 economists surveyed across the U.S., UK, and Eurozone believe Trump’s policies could lead to higher inflation and force the Federal Reserve to adopt a more cautious stance on cutting interest rates. However, most analysts, including those from the IMF, OECD, and European Commission, forecast that U.S. economic growth in 2025 will outpace that of Europe.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Gold H4 | Potential bearish reversalGold (XAU/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 2,636.57 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 2,670.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 2,585.26 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FXCM
Competition for gold longs and shorts intensifies The current gold market has entered a wide consolidation stage after many fluctuations. Judging from the hourly line, the price has rebounded and risen, but the resistance above the 2637 line is obvious. If this level is exceeded, gold may return to its previous upward channel. In terms of form, gold shows a head-and-shoulders bottom breakout structure. If it successfully breaks through, the market outlook may test the 2655-2660 area. The lower support is at the 2625 line. If the price falls below this support, the short-term rebound will come to an end, and gold may once again enter the downward adjustment stage. Overall, the general trend of gold is still in the downward adjustment stage, and long-short games will still be frequent in the short term. There are certain risks in both long and short operations in the current market. If there is no significant retracement before the US market, you can do short-term lows in the 2625-2630 area. But looking at the overall shape, individuals tend to go short, especially if the price does not stabilize above 2645 and return to the upward channel, or form a triangle convergence breakthrough. Aggressive investors can try short operations in the 2638-2640 area.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by RonPeter_Trading
Based on the chart, here’s a potential trade setup for **gold Based on the chart, here’s a potential trade setup for **gold (XAU/USD)**: **Key Levels:** - **Resistance Zone:** Around 2,640-2,645 (gray area in the chart). - **First Support Level:** 2,620. - **Second Support Level:** 2,610. - **Deeper Target:** Below 2,610, likely toward 2,600. --- **Trade Setup (Sell):** 1. **Entry:** - Wait for a bearish rejection near the 2,640-2,645 resistance zone. Look for signs like a bearish engulfing candle or wicks rejecting the resistance. 2. **Stop Loss:** - Place your stop loss slightly above the resistance zone at around 2,650 to protect against false breakouts. 3. **Take Profit Targets:** - **1st Target:** 2,620 (Support zone). - **2nd Target:** 2,610 (Deeper support). - **3rd Target (Optional):** 2,600 if the price breaks below 2,610 with strong momentum. --- Alternate Scenario (If Resistance Breaks):** - If gold breaks and closes above 2,645 on the 1-hour chart, this would invalidate the sell setup. - Look for a potential **buy opportunity** on a pullback to 2,640 with a target of 2,660. --- **Tips for Execution:** - **Confirmation:** Wait for confirmation (candlestick patterns or momentum indicators like RSI divergence) before entering. - **Risk Management:** Use a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 or 1:3 to ensure profitability. - **Monitor News:** Be aware of economic news that could impact gold (e.g., USD strength or weakness). CAPITALCOM:GOLD
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1