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XAUUSD Analysis – July 2–3, 2025: Resistance Holds Gold is currently trading around 3,337 USD, having tested the 3,350 USD resistance zone without a successful breakout. The price remains under pressure from key macroeconomic factors: - The Dollar Index (DXY) is stable above 106 – a sign of continued demand for the greenback, which weakens gold. - U.S. 10-year Treasury yields hold around 4.35%, reinforcing the view that the Fed will keep interest rates high. - The Core PCE report for June remains above the Fed’s 2% inflation target, decreasing expectations of a rate cut in Q3. - Safe-haven demand is weak, as geopolitical tension in the Middle East and Eastern Europe remains subdued. ➡ Overall, these factors confirm that XAUUSD remains under bearish pressure in both the short and medium term, especially while key resistance remains intact. 1. Technical Analysis – XAUUSD on D1 Chart - Price recently tested the 3,340 – 3,350 USD resistance zone, a confluence of: Previous supply zone - Fibonacci retracement 0.5–0.618 from 3,399 USD - Key Change of Character (CHoCH) level - RSI is forming a mild bearish divergence, signaling weakening bullish momentum. - EMA20 and EMA50 are both sloping downward – confirming the prevailing bearish trend. This setup is typical of a Sell on Rally pattern, with each retracement being rejected at strong resistance. 2. Key Technical Zones to Watch Technical Role - 3,350 – 3,340 Major resistance (Fibo 0.5–0.618 + supply + CHoCH) - 3,294 – 3,285 Nearest support – previously a resistance-turned-support - 3,255 – 3,235 Short-term target zone – June low - 3,223 – 3,205 Strong medium-term support – April low + extended Fibo 3. Suggested Trade Setup Preferred Scenario: SELL below 3,350 Entry: 3,345 – 3,347 Stop Loss: 3,351 Take Profit 1: 3,335 Take Profit 2: 3,330 Take Profit 3: 3,320 Ps : XAUUSD is retesting a major resistance zone without macro or technical catalysts for a sustained breakout. The best approach remains to sell at resistance and take profit near support, in alignment with the ongoing bearish trend. The strategy will be updated regularly – don’t forget to save and follow to stay ahead of market opportunities. The analysis was provided by @Henrybillion
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
5
As expected, it will fall and form a head and shoulders bottom📰 News information： 1. ADP data, for reference of tomorrow's NFP data 2. Interest rate cuts and Powell's dovish comments 3. Geopolitical impact on the gold market 📈 Technical Analysis： Yesterday we expected gold to retreat to the 3330-3320 area. Today, gold hit a low of around 3328 during the Asian session, which is in line with our judgment of the market trend. In the short term, gold may still fall. First, it may test the 3323 support line. If it falls back to this position during the day, you can try to go long. In the short term, focus on the 3315-3305 long-short dividing line below. If gold gets effective support below, it is expected to form a head and shoulders bottom pattern. The short-term decline will accumulate momentum for the future rise. Pay attention to the ADP data during the NY period 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3323-3315-3305 TP 3340-3350-3360-3375 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Gold 30M Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸 Bearish Wave Coming From Now : 3333 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute. Gold 30M Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected )
TVC:GOLDShort
by Path_Of_Hanzo
HelenP. I Gold will make small correction and then continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price declined to the 3245 support level, which coincided with the support zone, and then started to grow. In a short time, it reached the 3395 resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and then dropped to the trend line, breaking two levels, and made a gap. After this movement, the price started to grow in a wedge and soon reached the support level, which broke it and continued to rise next. Later, it made a correction to the 3245 level and then continued to move up and reached the resistance level. Price bounced from this level and corrected, after which it turned around and rose to the resistance line of the wedge pattern, breaking the 3395 resistance level. But soon, it turned around and corrected to the trend line. Not a long time ago, price exited from the wedge, fell to the support level, and then started to grow. For this case, I expect that XAUUSD will make a small correction. Then I think it can continue to grow and reach the 3395 resistance level, which is my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
7
How do we plan before ADP and NFP?📰 News information： 1. ADP data, for reference of tomorrow's NFP data 2. Interest rate cuts and Powell's dovish comments 3. Geopolitical impact on the gold market 📈 Technical Analysis： The market will continue to fluctuate before the ADP data, and the market will continue to rise after the adjustment. In the 4H cycle, the upper rail of the pressure is temporarily suspended, and the Bollinger Bands also close. This is why I emphasize the need to pay attention to the 3323 support line below. At present, gold rebounded, I think it will touch 3348 at most, that is, it rebounded to 50%. Therefore, before the ADP data, I still hold the position of 3340-3350 for shorting, and find support for long at 3325-3315 below. I have marked the pattern of head and shoulders bottom in the figure. I have been engaged in spot, futures, foreign exchange and other transactions for many years. My analysis ideas can be referred to by brothers 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3340-3350 TP 3330-3325-3315-3295 BUY 3323-3315-3305 TP 3340-3350-3360-3375 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Failed Breakout Sets the Stage for Bullish Continuation"Boost it, if you like it (Thanks)" Gold is showing resilience after a failed breakout attempt, bouncing strongly off the 3,250 support zone. This 4H chart suggests bulls are regaining control, with momentum building toward the next key resistance. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: Failed Breakout (Failed MTR Structure): Price briefly dipped below the trendline but reversed sharply, invalidating the bearish move. Dynamic Support: The ascending trendline near 3,250 has held firm, reinforcing bullish structure. EMA Structure: 15 EMA: 3,323.84 60 EMA: 3,331.61 Price is now trading above both EMAs, signaling bullish momentum. Current Price: 3,339.0 Target: 3,434.34 – the first major resistance zone before ATH retest. 🧠 Market Psychology: This setup reflects a classic “shakeout” – weak hands were flushed out below support, only for price to reclaim the level with strength. This often precedes a strong directional move as confidence returns. 🎯 Trade Setup: Entry: On a confirmed break above 3,345–3,350 Stop Loss: Below 3,325 TP1: 3365 TP2: 3385 Final TP(x): 3,434.34 ⚠️ Watchlist: Monitor price action near 3,360–3,370 for signs of rejection or continuation. A clean break above 3,434 opens the door for an ATH retest. #MJTrading #Gold #XAUUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #FailedBreakout #SupportAndResistance #EMA #BullishSetup #PriceAction #ForexTrading #GoldBulls #MarketPsychology
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by MJElahifx
1
GOLD – Bullish Flag Breakout After Demand Zone Test Price pulled back into the major demand zone (blue area), rejected with a strong wick, and formed a bullish flag structure. The breakout above the flag channel suggests continuation toward recent highs. Trade Plan: ✅ Entry: Above 3344 (breakout confirmation) ✅ Stop Loss: Below 3332 (last swing low) ✅ Target: 3357–3360 (previous resistance zone) Context: • Demand zone respected • EMA support aligning • Clear breakout candle with volume Risk Management: Max risk per trade: 1% Zoom in M5: #Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #BreakoutTrading #MJTrading #ForexSignals #CommodityTrading
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by MJElahifx
1
DeGRAM | GOLD held the support area📊 Technical Analysis ● Bullish rebound from the green 3 250-3 300 demand, where the rising-channel base and May’s inner trend-line intersect, prints a higher low and invalidates the prior break. ● Price is reclaiming the channel median; a push through 3 378 unlocks the June swing cap at 3 434, while risk is contained by the fresh pivot turned support at 3 300. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Softer US ISM-Mfg prices and a dip in 2-yr yields eased dollar pressure, while IMF data show another uptick in official gold purchases—both restoring near-term bid. ✨ Summary Long 3 300-3 320; hold above aims 3 378 → 3 434. Invalidate below 3 250. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
21
Will Gold Continue Its Strong Rally or Face a Pullback?XAUUSD 02/07: Will Gold Continue Its Strong Rally or Face a Pullback? 📉 Technical Analysis – Gold Faces Short-Term Pullback After Strong Rally Gold has been experiencing a clear rally in recent days, but it’s currently undergoing a brief correction. The price has recently dropped slightly, prompting traders to keep a close eye on key levels for potential reversal or continuation of the bullish move. 🌍 Macroeconomic Context – Factors Impacting Gold's Price USD Fluctuation: The weakness in the US Dollar continues to affect gold prices, creating opportunities for the precious metal to maintain its upward movement. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing global tensions, including the US-Iran conflict, act as a safe-haven factor, supporting gold demand. Interest Rate Expectations: The market is closely watching for any changes in interest rate policies. Any future rate cuts by the Fed could further bolster gold's price. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1 – H4 – D1) Short-Term Trend: On the H1 timeframe, the price of gold touched a key level near 3340. From there, the price began to experience a pullback. However, the upward momentum remains strong on higher timeframes. Key Support Levels: The 3300 level remains a crucial support. If the price stays above this, there’s a chance for gold to continue rising towards higher levels. Key Resistance Levels: 3360 and 3380 are critical resistance levels. If breached, gold could move towards new highs. 📍 Important Support and Resistance Levels: 🔺 Resistance: 3345 – 3360 – 3380 – 3400 🔻 Support: 3300 – 3290 – 3270 – 3250 💡 Trading Plan for Today, 02/07: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 📈 Entry: 3305 – 3303 📉 SL: 3297 💰 TP: 3315 → 3325 → 3340 → 3360 🔴 SELL ZONE: 📉 Entry: 3360 – 3362 📈 SL: 3368 💰 TP: 3350 → 3340 → 3320 📣 Conclusion: Gold is showing signs of short-term correction but remains a strong asset due to geopolitical factors and monetary policies. Buying opportunities continue to be attractive at support levels, while key resistances will play a crucial role for any breakout. Keep an eye on the mentioned levels to capitalize on market movements. Happy trading and best of luck to all traders!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3450 (Wave 3).Colleagues, it seems that the correction turned out to be a little deeper than I thought. This means that wave “1” of the middle order has been formed and now correction wave “2” is ending. I still expect an upward movement. I believe that the maximum of wave “1” — the resistance area of 3450 — will be reached within wave “3”. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
13
XAUUSD M15 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is trading near our sell entry at 3343 -3346.77, an overlap resistance Our take profit will be at 3322.08, a pullback support. The stop loss will be placed at 3358.78 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAUUSDShort
by Tradu
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 7-1 : Post Market UpdateToday was a very powerful day for the Cycle Patterns - particularly for Gold and BTCUSD. Gold rallied as the Cycle Pattern predicted a RALLY in TREND mode. BTCUSD collapsed on a CRUSH Cycle Pattern. The SPY Cycle Pattern predicted a Gap Reversal pattern. We did see the Gap today and a moderate reversal in price. But the SPY, as usual, continued to try to melt upward. I highlighted a very interesting TWINNING pattern in Bitcoin in this video. Pay attention. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
3
Gold (XAUUSD) – Bias for July 2Yesterday, price broke above the key H4 Lower High zone (3348–3350) with strong bullish momentum. This breakout suggests a possible shift in the higher timeframe structure — indicating that the market may now be building toward a larger uptrend. But we don’t chase breakouts — we prepare for the pullback phase . 🔍 What to Watch: At present, M15 remains in a clean uptrend , fully in sync with the new H4 structure. This multi-timeframe alignment gives us a clear bullish bias — but not an entry by itself. We now need to see how price develops the pullback. The best trades come when structure retraces with clarity — and confirms before continuation. 📍 Key M15 Level to Track: • 3302 – Current M15 Higher Low → If this level holds, we may see a continuation of the uptrend from here. → If it breaks, the next potential reversal zone is around 3290 , where demand may reappear. 🎯 Execution Plan: The trend is now clearly bullish across HTF and LTF. We will only look for long setups , and only where structure confirms — either at the current HL or at deeper demand zones. No confirmation = No trade. No alignment = No edge. Let price come to you. Our job is not to anticipate, but to align. 📖 From the Mirror Philosophy: “In trend-following, the edge lies in waiting — not in chasing. The market will reflect your patience back at you.” 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror Author of The Chart Is The Mirror — a structure-first, mindset-grounded book for traders
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartIsMirror
A LITTLE MORE RALLY?After price closed strong bearing the previous week, we have witnessed a massive rally back up into weekly highs. Even after 2 days of rally, this strong bullish pressure doesn't seem to be over looking at today's strong daily closure. We might just see price extend a little further into weekly highs as shown and now based on strong confirmations, a plunge back down into April's lows. A continuation of the rally may be seen after price taps into the current daily demand region as indicated on the chart. Fingers crossed for confirmations
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by KEMMATRADES
Gold retreats as expected, how to trade in the future📰 News information： 1. Geopolitical situation 2. PMI data 3. Global Central Bank Governors Meeting 📈 Technical Analysis： Our short orders have achieved profits. I closed the position near 3337, turning losses into profits. Interested friends can follow my previous post. In the short term, I am still optimistic that gold will retreat below 3335-3325. Today, gold rose sharply, and the rebound momentum was strong, while the short-term correction was slightly weak, so the space for a second decline in the short term will be limited. If it falls to the 3333-3323 range during the day and gets effective support, you can consider going long. The short-term upper resistance is 3360-3375. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3333-3323-3315 TP 3341-3355-3360-3375 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Bearish drop?XAU/USD is reacting off the resistance which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 3,344.54 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 3,389.14 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Take prpofit: 3,294.89 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by VantageMarkets