XAU/USD (Gold) Trendline Breakout (10.03.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2877
2nd Support – 2860
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Gold
Gold has a strong bullish momentum, could it rise from here?The price haas bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 2,859.06
1st Support: 2,790.01
1st Resistance: 2,989.91
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Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher, forming a long lower wick as it rebounded. On continuous futures, the index bounced off the 60-week MA, while the daily chart shows a recovery after briefly dropping below the 240-day MA. Looking at the weekly chart, two weeks ago, a large bearish candle decisively broke below a key range, and last week, the Nasdaq failed to break above the 3-week MA, leading to further downside. This week, however, a rebound toward the 5-week MA near 21,050 remains possible.
On the daily chart, the Nasdaq successfully found support near 19,800, forming a potential range-bound structure. Although a technical target exists at the 60-day MA near 21,500, the downtrend remains strong, meaning that a full recovery may take time. Instead of an immediate rally, the Nasdaq may consolidate around the 240-day MA, making a range-trading strategy more effective.
On the 240-minute chart, the Nasdaq formed a bullish divergence, triggered a golden cross, and started to rebound. As long as price continues to base at the lows, further buying attempts may emerge, making chasing short positions risky. This week, traders should monitor Wednesday’s CPI report and Thursday’s PPI report, as both could increase market volatility.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed higher, supported by potential sanctions on Russia. On the weekly chart, oil dropped to the 240-week MA before rebounding, but last week’s bearish close triggered a sell signal. Since this sell signal occurred near the zero line, further downside remains possible, making chasing long positions risky. A key upside level to watch is the 3-week MA at $68, while support is expected around the $66–67 range, where a short-term double-bottom formation could develop.
On the daily chart, if oil continues to rebound, traders should watch for resistance at $68, while stopping out below the $65 previous low remains essential. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross, with momentum gradually shifting higher. However, since the gap between the MACD and the zero line remains large, selling pressure could reemerge on rallies. Traders should focus on buying dips at strong support levels while keeping strict stop-loss management in place.
Gold
Gold closed lower, remaining within a range-bound market structure. The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report triggered significant volatility, but the daily MACD is now turning downward, increasing the risk of additional selling pressure.
On the weekly chart, gold is forming a long-term consolidation range. If this week’s candle closes lower, the weekly MACD may form a bearish crossover, increasing the likelihood of a negative divergence pattern. This makes chasing long positions riskier.
On the daily chart, despite short-term weakness, the MACD and signal line remain far from the zero line, meaning that intermittent rebound attempts are still possible. For now, the lower Bollinger Band serves as key support, reinforcing a range-bound strategy. On the 240-minute chart, $2,940 has become a strong resistance level, and a sell signal has been triggered. For now, traders should focus on selling into rallies while looking for buying opportunities at lower levels. If gold breaks above $2,940, a third wave of buying momentum could emerge, making it essential to adapt to market conditions dynamically. Gold is also likely to react to Wednesday’s CPI and Thursday’s PPI reports, increasing potential volatility.
U.S. market volatility is rising sharply, as seen in the VIX index, which surged above 22 last week. Using technical tools like VIX analysis, moving averages, and MACD strategies can help improve market navigation. Stay disciplined, manage risk carefully, and have a successful trading week! 🚀
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GOLD → The calm before the NFP torm! What’s next?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading within the 2926 - 2894 range, signaling a pause after its recent strong uptrend. If a false support breakdown occurs, the market could quickly revert, especially amid signs of a recovering USD.
However, a weaker dollar and expectations of a Federal Reserve policy shift toward easing continue to support gold demand. Despite the temporary suspension of Trump’s tariff measures, the precious metal remains in focus as a safe-haven asset.
Traders are now closely watching the NFP report, which could dictate the dollar’s future trajectory and influence Fed policy decisions. In the short term, attention will be on Initial Jobless Claims data, which may provide early signals about the U.S. labor market.
Technical Outlook
-Gold remains within the 2926 - 2894 range, potentially testing liquidity near the 2894 support zone.
-An unfilled fair value gap (FVG) below 2894 could lead to a brief dip before a rebound.
-Given the bullish long-term trend in gold and the ongoing dollar weakness, the probability of a price recovery remains high.
In this scenario, gold may fake out a breakdown, grab liquidity near support, and then resume its broader uptrend.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
GOLD | XAUUSD Weekly Market Forecast: Mar 10-14 In this video, we will analyze the GOLD Futures. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups.
Gold has consolidated for the last half of the previous week. Trading in a ranging market is not recommended! But waiting until there is an obvious sweep of the high or low liquidity pools can give us an indication which side the market will break the consolidation. Patience and a watchful eye will allow us to take advantage of the momentous opportunity.
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THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would wait for the 2847-50 level to confirm support, and if it did the opportunity to long the market following KOG’s bias level targets would be available to traders. This worked well during the early part of the week as we managed to complete all targets by Tuesday! Once price confirmed encroaching the resistance we decided not to attempt the swing short, instead, trade the choppy range on the indicators which also worked well for traders.
Pre-NFP we released the KOG Report giving the idea to watch the support level 2910, if given the opportunity to long could be available into the higher levels on the boxes. Although we got the pinpoint long, the move did not complete after a 200pip+ capture, not a bad week at all, not only on Gold but all the other pairs we trade and analyse in Camelot hitting a phenomenal 32 Take profit levels.
Well done again to the community.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
It’s a difficult one to decipher this week with the previous weeks range holding into the close on Friday. We have support below at the 2895 with extension into 2885 and resistance at 2930-35 with extension into the 2945 region. We also have the range high and low which you can see on the chart with a slight incline! For that reason, we would suggest best practice for market open is to wait, wait for price to break out of the range with the key levels here being 2920 which needs to break upside to start the move into the 2935 level and above that 2950-55 which is where we may get that potential swing short opportunity from. Please note, here we need to see a daily close above the 2935 region to continue the move upside, ideally, we want to see tap and bounces from these higher levels.
On the flip, if we see resistance at that 2920 level and get a close below our red box support level 2907-10, we can consider the level to level short trades downside targeting the 2885 and potentially below that 2970-75 for now.
As above we'll keep it simple for now, we can’t magic up an idea and hope for the best, when price accumulates like this, we have a fair idea of what it can do, but we need that set up to pull the trigger. Until that comes we can we'll just simply play the range.
You can see from past KOG Reports how extremely powerful the red boxes we share for free are, they almost play price to perfection. So, lets stick with them and let Excalibur lead the way for this week.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bullish above 2898 with targets above 2920, 2934 and above that 2945
Bearish on break of 2898 with targets below 2895, 2880, 2874 and below that 2868
RED BOXES:
Break above 2916 for 2920, 2925, 2929, 2933 and 2941 in extension of the move
Break below 2900 for 2885, 2876, 2870 and 2868 in extension of the move
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As always, trade safe.
KOG
AUDJPY - Growing SHORTS! Big Move Ahead!In one of our last AUDJPY analysis, we indicated that price looked foppish. Since then, we've had almost a 2000pip drop!
That big drop can be marked as wave 1 in our new bearish impulsive trend.
We are now in Wave 2, which is an ABC correction. We have completed Wave A (3 waves). We are now in Wave B (3 waves). We're currently in subwave b of wave B. Expecting subwave c to appear very soon.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for bearish price action on lower timeframe
- You can use trendline break, fibs or BOS to find the reversal point
- When entered, put stops above subwave B.
- Target: 91 (750pips)
4Week Chart
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
See our previous setups below:
Gold strategy layout and operation suggestions for next weekAt present, the international gold price is in a range of fluctuations, and the game between long and short forces in the market has intensified. Technically, the gold price has formed a key suppression at the 2930 line. This position is the starting point of the previous decline. After several unsuccessful attacks, this resistance level has put obvious pressure on the short-term gold price. If it can break through effectively, it may launch an attack on the 2955 mark; on the contrary, if it encounters resistance and falls back, the lower support level will move to the 2900-2895 US dollar area.
Technical indicators release bearish signals:
From the daily chart, the gold price has ended the previous two days of continuous positive rebound and turned into a weak oscillation pattern. The price fluctuation has narrowed to near the middle track of Bollinger, indicating that the market direction is temporarily unclear. However, multiple indicators at the 4-hour level show consistent bearish signals: the KDJ indicator is blunted at a low level to form a clear downward momentum, and the MACD fast and slow lines turn downward and are accompanied by the release of bearish energy, suggesting that the gold price may continue the correction trend. In addition, MA5 and MA10 in the moving average system form a dead cross, further strengthening the short-term bearish expectations.
Gold operation suggestions for next week: short near rebound 2925-2930, stop loss 2938, target 2905
GOLD What Next? SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 2919.2
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss -2926.5
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal -2904.2
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 10 - March 14]OANDA:XAUUSD have recovered strongly this week, rising from $2,858/oz to $2,930/oz before adjusting to $2,910/oz. The main reason is political tension when US President Donald Trump stopped military aid to Ukraine and threatened to sanction Russia if it did not negotiate a ceasefire. This increased instability, supporting gold prices. However, if Russia and Ukraine move towards peace negotiations, gold prices may face downward pressure in the short term, although the possibility is still low.
Furthermore, Mr. Trump’s move forced the European Union (EU) to launch a spending package of nearly 1 trillion euros to strengthen the defense of EU member states. This means that the EU’s budget deficit will become larger, leading to higher inflation and lower growth, thereby increasing the role of gold as a safe haven.
The US non-farm payrolls (NFP) figure for February came in at 151,000, slightly below the forecast of 159,000. The unemployment rate edged up slightly to 4.1% from 4% in January, but the labor market remains untroubled. As a result, the Fed may maintain its current interest rate. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell also stressed that the central bank is in no hurry to cut interest rates as the labor market remains strong and inflation risks remain high.
Rising inflation while the Fed maintains stable interest rates has caused real interest rates to fall, supporting gold prices. In addition, economic instability due to US tariff policies and the complicated developments of the Russia-Ukraine war have also increased the demand for safe haven gold. However, since most of the risks have been reflected in prices, gold may not increase sharply next week and there is a risk of correction due to short-term profit-taking pressure.
🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
Inflation will be in focus next week as markets digest a number of key data on US prices and consumer spending. The most notable is the February CPI report on Wednesday, followed by the PPI on Thursday, and the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey on Friday. Other key events include the US JOLTS jobs report on Tuesday, the Bank of Canada interest rate decision on Wednesday morning, and the US weekly jobless claims report on Thursday.
📌Technically, gold prices will fluctuate in a relatively narrow daily range next week with support at $2,890/oz and resistance at $2,930/oz. If gold prices rise above $2,930/oz next week, they could rise to $2,950/oz, followed by strong resistance at $3,000/oz. However, if gold prices are pushed below $2,890/oz next week, they could fall to the $2,835-$2,860/oz range.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,900 – 2,880 – 2,868USD
Resistance: 2,929 – 2,942 – 2,956USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2976 - 2974⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2980
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2809 - 2811⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2805
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2922 and a gap below at 2901. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2922
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2922 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2947
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2947 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2968
BEARISH TARGETS
2901
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2901 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING RETRACEMENT RANGE
2878 - 2851
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2851 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2820 - 2796
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2918 and a gap below at 2889. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2918
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2918 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2947
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2947 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2978
BEARISH TARGETS
2889
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2889 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2857
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2857 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2813 - 2772
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
This is an update on our daily chart idea that we are now tracking for a while now. If you have only started following us, please read the updates below from last week.
The half line of our unique channel gave the perfect bounce into the next axis target at 2904, inline with our plans to buy dips just like we stated. We now have a body close once again with ema5 cross and lock above 2904 leaving the range above open. We will continue to look for support at the ascending half-line of the channel, as we climb into the range.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
LAST WEEKS UPDATE
After completing our Bullish targets we stated that the channel top will act as resistance confirmed with ema5 rejection. A break of the channel top with ema5 would confirm a continuation and failure would confirm rejection. This allowed us to identify true breakouts against fake outs.
We also stated that we need to keep in mind the channel half line below to establish floor to provide support for the range, should we continue to track further up. A break below the half line will open the lower part of the channel to establish floor on the channel bottom. The safest way to track this movement is by buying dips.
- Once again this played out perfectly as we got the rejection on the channel top followed with the channel half line test, which gave the perfect bounce like we stated. We will now either look for a continuation from this bounce or a cross and lock below the half line for a break into the lower channel floor.
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now and still playing out, as analysed.
Previously we stated that after completing 2856 target, we were left with body close above 2856 leaving a gap to 2976 but needed ema5 lock to further confirm this although we already took over 700 pips on the run, as its a big gap to chase in one go.
- We now have the ema5 lock to further confirm the long range gap above. If we see any rejections here due to volatility and news, then we would continue to look for the channel top for support for an ascending movement up, slowly over a longer term into our long range gap. Once again we prove the safest way to chase this Bull in this range is from dips.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold can reach seller zone and then drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about GOLD. Looking at this chart, we can observe how the price moved within an upward channel before reaching the resistance line and making a corrective move down to the support line. After that, Gold climbed to the support level, which aligned with the buyer zone, and eventually broke through, exiting the channel. Following this breakout, XAU began trading within a range, briefly pulling back to the buyer zone before resuming its upward movement. Shortly after, Gold reached the seller zone and consolidated there for some time, as this area coincided with the upper boundary of the range. Later, the price made a correction down to the support level before reversing direction. Since then, the price has been rising steadily, and at this point, it remains in an uptrend. Given this setup, I expect Gold to re-enter the seller zone before initiating a decline toward the support level, which aligns with the lower boundary of the range. Based on this, my target is set at the 2850 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Supports & Resistances For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis and important
supports and resistances on Gold.
Resistance 1: 2916 - 2932 area
Resistance 2: 2952 - 2956 area
Resistance 3: 2998 - 3002 area
Support 1: 2832 - 2855 area
Support 2: 2772 - 2786 area
Support 3: 2714 - 2740 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Gold XAUUSD Move 03-07 March 2025Technical Analysis & Trade Signal
Market Overview:
Current Price: Around 2,858.140 USD
Trend Analysis:
The price was in an uptrend but recently broke down, indicating a possible bearish reversal.
A key support level was broken, which is now acting as resistance.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zones:
Minor Resistance: 2,900 - 2,920 USD
Strong Resistance: 2,960 USD
Support Zone: 2,780 - 2,800 USD
Trade Signal:
📉 Sell Signal: If the price retests the 2,900 - 2,920 USD resistance zone and rejects downward, enter a short trade targeting 2,800 USD.
📈 Buy Signal: If the price holds support around 2,780 - 2,800 USD and starts moving up, consider a long trade targeting 2,900 USD.
👉 Confirmation: Use additional indicators like RSI, MACD, and volume to confirm the trade setup before executing.
GOLD (XAUUSD) The Week Ahead 10th March '25Sentiment: Bullish INTRADAY, Price action is consolidating in a tight trading range.
Resistance: Key Resistance is at 2930, followed by 2955 and 3000.
Support: Key support is at 2895 followed by 2880 and 2830.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD - Price can correct to support level and then start to growHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
The chart shows how the price rose in a rising channel, reaching the $2925 level before breaking it.
Then it touched resistance line of channel and made correction to $2925 level, where it some time traded.
After this, price moved up and then started to decline inside a triangle, where it soon exited from channel.
Next, price broke $2925 level and declined until to support line of the triangle, breaking $2880 level too.
But soon, Gold made strong movement up, breaking $2880 level and rose to resistance level, after which it corrected.
Now, I think that XAU can exit from a triangle, fall to support level and then start to grow to $2940
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️