XAUUSD:25/4 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
The resistance level of the four-hour chart is 3370, and the support level is 3260
The resistance level of the one-hour chart is 3328, and the support level is 3260
The resistance level of the 30-minute chart is 3320, and the support level is 3287.
Gold rose to 3370.7 in the Asian session today and then fell sharply to 3287.4. It is currently trading around 3293. The technical side shows a fierce game between long and short positions.
If it falls below 3287, the decline will extend to 3260-3250. Then we will continue to short to 3200 next week.
If it breaks through 3328 upward, it will turn strong in the short term and continue to be bullish.
It is recommended to follow the trend trading after the breakthrough. The volatility is too large and it is not suitable for the strategy of selling high and buying low
Gold
Gold fluctuates at high levels, market analysisOn Thursday, as the Fed's speech pushed up expectations of rate cuts, the US dollar index fell back and eventually closed down 0.611% at 99.29. US Treasury yields fell, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closing at 4.325%; the two-year Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, closed at 3.805%.
Boosted by the dollar's retreat and bargain hunting, spot gold rebounded sharply, reaching a high of 3367.32, and finally closed up 1.84% at 3348.73.
From a technical point of view, the daily line stood firmly above the 10-day moving average, which is an important reason for the current extremely strong unilateral trend of gold. For the time being, the daily mid-term Bollinger has not closed, and don't guess the top of the rise. Look at 3420 first, and then look at the gains and losses of 3500. If it breaks, don't guess the high. The performance of H4 mid-term is obvious. The bottom is above the lower Bollinger band and the 60-day moving average, and the Bollinger band is just closing. This is a very obvious performance of stopping the decline and bottoming out. Now the Bollinger band is closing. From 3260, it will take at least 3500 to the upper Bollinger band, so this range is very large. The band bullish trend has just begun, so just stick to the bullish trend on Friday. Since the direction is determined, intraday trading will wait for a pullback to go long. For the support below, pay attention to the vicinity of 3340, and continue to look at the 3370-3380 area above, and then focus on the 3300 mark; as for the upper resistance, pay attention to the 3386 area first.
Overall, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is recommended to focus on callbacks and longs, supplemented by rebounds and high-altitudes. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3370-3380 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3330-3320 support.
Buy range: 3330-3328, SL: 3318, TP: 3350-3360
Sell range: 3368-3370, SL: 3380, TP: 3350-3340
Key points:
First support: 3330, second support: 3320, third support: 3310
First resistance: 3370, second resistance: 3380, third resistance: 3390
Bearish Reversal in Play! | Key EMA Rejection & Support Targets🔍 Chart Analysis Summary
🕐 Timeframe: Likely a short-term (H1 or H4) chart.
📈 Asset: Most probably XAU/USD (Gold) or a similar asset.
🔴 Trend Breakdown
📍 Previous Trend:
✅ Strong bullish momentum 📈 pushing price into a resistance zone.
📍 Current Price Action:
🚨 Bearish rejection from resistance 🟥
Price got rejected exactly at the resistance zone (gray box) and the EMA 50 line 🔴 — a classic setup for a reversal ⚠️
📉 Key Technical Levels
🟦 Resistance Zone:
🔹 Between 3,385 – 3,400 USD
🧱 This zone rejected price strongly (see red candles)
📌 Also aligned with EMA 50 (3,400.837) — confluence adds strength 💪
🟩 Support Zones:
First Support Zone – ~3,285 📉
💙 In line with the EMA 200 (3,285.687)
🛡️ Might cause a temporary bounce 📈
Second Support Zone – ~3,240
📉 Marked as the deeper support in the bear case 🕳️
💥 If the first support breaks, this becomes the next target 🎯
📊 Indicator Insights
EMA 50 (🔴 Red): 3,400.837 – acting as dynamic resistance 😤
EMA 200 (🔵 Blue): 3,285.687 – acting as dynamic support 🛡️
📉 Price breaking below EMA 50 = first bearish sign
📉 Approaching EMA 200 = watch for either a bounce 🏀 or a breakdown 💥
🎯 Bearish Setup Forecast
📉 Here's what the arrows show (strategy logic):
📉 Breakdown below resistance → strong bearish move
🎯 Target 1: First support (EMA 200 / ~3,285)
🔄 Minor pullback possible (fake bounce 🪃)
💣 Continuation lower toward next support (~3,240)
📌 Critical Zone to Watch 🔍
⚫️ The circle marked “FOCUS ON THIS POINT” is key:
📌 Failed retest = confirmation of resistance
📌 Price rejected this level + closed below = strong bearish signal 🚨
🧠 Professional Insights
Element Observation Emoji
Trend Shift Bullish ➡️ Bearish reversal 🔄📉
Momentum Bearish pressure increasing 💨🟥
Risk Point Resistance near EMA 50 ⚠️🧱
Trade Idea Short toward supports 📉🎯
Confirmation Rejection candle after retest 🕯️🔁
Focus Level EMA confluence near resistance 🎯📌
🛠️ Possible Trade Plan (for educational purposes only)
Short Entry: Below 3,385 (after rejection 🔻)
Stop-Loss: Above 3,405 (above EMA 50 🛑)
Target 1: 3,285 🧲
Target 2: 3,240 📉
$BTC $GOLD Performance% Comparison Chart (Apr '24-Apr '25)Performance% Comparison Chart (Apr '24-Apr '25)...
CRYPTOCAP:BTC surges back, locking in a 42% gain alongside TVC:GOLD over a year! S&P 500 shows life, but #Oil is the big loser, taking the biggest hit with a brutal -26% decline. Let's watch the shifts! But where does the momentum go next?!🤔
CRYPTOCAP:BTC TVC:GOLD SP:SPX MARKETSCOM:OIL
Cheers!
How to plan when gold falls into shock at nightIn terms of news, the recent "Beige Book" released by the Federal Reserve shows that U.S. companies are cautious about the outlook, employment growth has slowed in most regions, and demand in the service industry has shown weakness. At present, the gold price has been fluctuating around 3325. From a technical point of view, 4HMACD has experienced a top divergence. Although it has begun to close after the death cross, the short force still exists. The RSI indicator is currently hovering between 47-50, proving that the market overbought has been repaired, and both the long and short parties are playing a game. Therefore, our recent transactions require good risk management to cope with the current high volatility and high risk of the gold market. From a technical analysis point of view, focus on the suppression effect of 3340-3350 at the top, and focus on the support area of 3310-3300 at the bottom. If it falls below the 3300 line, we will further look towards the potential rebound turning point of 3280-3260.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
USD/JPY : Bull or Bear? Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)Upon reviewing the USD/JPY chart on the daily timeframe, we observe that due to the sharp drop in the Dollar Index, the price has reached the 140.850 level. This decline was very strong and impulsive; however, as seen on the chart, the price has now approached a significant demand zone between 139.6 and 141. If the price manages to close and stabilize above this area, we can expect a further bullish move from this pair.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 4-24 : Carryover PatternToday's Carryover pattern suggests we'll see similar price action today to what we saw yesterday.
We will very likely see a little support in early trading today, followed by a moderate meltdown-type trend.
I'm not expecting much to happen today - but we could get some news or other data that may prompt some type of bigger move in the markets.
Yesterday evening, I shared an "Update" video with everyone. In that video, I highlighted some of my active trades.
I've gotten a few messages from followers asking if I can share more data related to my trades. I'm sorry, but that won't happen in these FREE Plan Your Trade videos.
I shared some of my trades yesterday to highlight how I had moved into a moderate Short/PUT position, trying to stay ahead of the bigger market trend.
In other words, I'm not chasing the nickels. I'm setup to try to profit from the DOLLARS.
Gold and Silver may stay somewhat muted over the next 48 hours. But, I do expect them to try to melt upward.
BTCUSD appears to be setting up a BULL TRAP. I, personally, don't trust this upward price move because it is counter to the EPP price structure. I could be wrong.
But right now, I just don't trust the upside move in BTCUSD, knowing the SPY/QQQ should move into a deeper MAJOR LOW in early May.
Again, these videos are designed to help you build your skills and find your own style of trading.
I really do hope all of you are benefiting from my continued work to deliver these videos.
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Gold Nears Key Decision Points in Short-Term TrendGold pulled back after testing the 3500 level. A reversal in rhetoric from former President Trump regarding China, along with some breathing room provided by Powell, eased market tensions. Reports indicate that meetings with executives from NYSE:TGT , NYSE:HD , and NYSE:WMT influenced Trump to reconsider his ultra-aggressive stance, as he recognized the imminent risks of inflation and potential supply chain disruptions that could begin within weeks. Additionally, rare earths could become a significant problem if a deal with China isn’t reached soon.
The 3500 level may now act as a major long-term top—provided the situation doesn't deteriorate further. Long-term topping signals for gold had already started to emerge; please refer to our earlier post for more details:
Short-Term Outlook
On the 15-minute chart, the downtrend has been broken. While geopolitical risks, particularly involving Ukraine and Russia remain elevated, gold may attempt to recover some lost ground. If the current corrective uptrend holds and 3350 is broken, a move toward slightly above 3400 could begin. However, if gold drops below 3325, there is a risk of another round of profit-taking and renewed selling pressure.
GOLD: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 3,340.22 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 3,370.89 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold shows a bearish gapThe daily chart of gold shows a clear gap after the price peaked around $3,495/ounce. This is a warning sign of a reversal when strong selling pressure causes the opening price to be significantly lower than the closing price of the previous session. This gap often reflects distribution pressure from big players, especially in the context of gold having just experienced a hot rally.
In addition, the long red candle appearing right after the gap shows decisive selling pressure, pushing the price down to the $3,310/ounce area. Currently, although gold has slightly recovered to around $3,340, the short-term trend is leaning towards a correction as fundamental news continues to put downward pressure on prices.
President Trump's conciliatory statement on US-China trade and expectations of tariff reduction have significantly improved risk sentiment in the market. Strong money flows into stocks, causing gold to lose its safe-haven role. At the same time, the wave of profit-taking after the peak is also the main reason why gold "evaporated" tens of USD in just 24 hours.
Technically, if gold does not soon fill the GAP around the $3,390–$3,420 area, the correction trend will likely continue to expand to the EMA34 support area around the $3,200–$3,250 mark. A more positive scenario will only be triggered if gold regains the GAP and closes above $3,430.
In the current context, investors need to be cautious, prioritizing the strategy of waiting to sell when recovering to the resistance area, especially the area around the unfilled GAP.
XAUUSD: 24/4 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
The resistance level of the four-hour chart is 3400, and the support level is 3300
The resistance level of the one-hour chart is 3370-80, and the support level is 3310
The resistance level of the 30-minute chart is 3350, and the support level is 3325.
The recent market has been running up and down by more than 100 dollars every day. It is difficult to say where the resistance and support are. There are more news data in the NY market opening today, so the market volatility is expected to be large. It is recommended to follow the trend and wait for the breakthrough of resistance and support before entering.
The current price of 3338 is in the rebound repair stage after oversold. If it stands firm at 3300, it may test the resistance area of 3350-3370; if it falls below 3289, it is necessary to be alert to the pullback to the support area of 3250-3270.
Trading strategy:
1. After breaking through 3350, it may continue to rise below 3370-3380
2. Sell after being blocked in the 3370-3380 range.
3. After breaking below 3290, you can follow the sell and may continue to test the support area of 3260-3245
Next Move?? Read CaptionHello my mates, I hope you are doing well and you have good days.
As you can see gold has touched almost 3500 last time and fallen, Gold was flying due to tariff. now the current price is 3337 and I expect that if gold breaks the 3368 gold can make another ATH and if gold breaks 3314 next move will be 3248.
What do you think about it??
Kindly share your ideas in comment section.
EUR/USD: Possible Fall Ahead? Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)Upon reviewing the EUR/USD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that following a sharp decline in the Dollar Index (DXY), the pair experienced a bullish move, reaching the 1.15 supply zone. If the price manages to stabilize and close below the 1.15–1.17 area, we can anticipate a further drop in EUR/USD to fill the created Liquidity Void (LV). This analysis will be updated accordingly.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Hanzo | Gold15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Gold – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 3360
We are watching this zone closely.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 3314
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3361
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3266
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 3270 – Major support / Key level
➗ 3360 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 3316 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 7 Swing Retest
• 3360 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 3270 – Equal lows
• 3360 – Equal highs
DeGRAM | GOLD Reached the Support📊 Technical Analysis
Gold’s false pop above $3 500 reversed into a falling wedge; price slipped through $3 430 and is now testing the support level at $3 315 (channel base + trend-line). Holding this pivot preserves the rising channel and favors a rebound toward $3 500 – 3 520.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Central-bank demand stays brisk (333 t Q4-24; PBoC buying streak now 5 mths). Fed pause, softer real yields and a 3-yr-low USD cut carry costs. IMF warns tariff risks could chill growth, boosting hedge bids.
✨ Summary
A hold above $3 315 could launch XAU/USD back to $3 500+, with $3 520 on a clean breakout.
-------------------
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XAUUSD- Signal to go down - 24/04/2025- With any macro economy problem, Gold & BTC are always the key asset to to shelter cash flow.
- From Gold H1 chart, It showed strong selling pressure recently. A short plan is reasonable with Gold. Of course, any plan can be wrong, but as a trader & value investor, we have to have the plans to deal with it and prepare to buy more good stocks, assets
- Explain the chart as - NCI system:
1. Strong momentum comes to down key level of H1
2. Big money comes in, Key level has not broken yet. But high probability Gold will go down.
3. Zone & Trend are shown on chart. Please refer on it for more detail
This analyzation is my personal view as a trader - investor, it's not a recommended deal.
XAUUSD (Gold) - ICT AnalysisI'm currently looking for higher levels on Gold,
after we reversed from a Daily IRL zone and printed a clear 1H structure shift.
Price just rejected from a 4H IRL, and my first target is the 4H ERL,
which is already marked on the chart.
Watching price action closely for continuation confirmation.
XAUUSD - Will Gold Reverse?!Gold is trading between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 15-minute timeframe and is on its uptrend line. A continued bullish move towards the supply zone will provide us with the next opportunity to sell it with a good risk-reward ratio. We expect a range of $10-$15.
Gold prices dropped by 4% on Wednesday, just a day after reaching an all-time high. The decline followed remarks by President Trump that helped ease Wall Street’s concerns about the ongoing trade war with China and tensions between the White House and the Federal Reserve.
Throughout this year, gold has seen a substantial rise due to investor fears over the economic consequences of tariffs. Additionally, the metal has benefited from capital fleeing U.S. assets amid political uncertainty under the Trump administration. On Tuesday, Trump reassured markets by stating that he had no intention of removing Jerome Powell as Fed Chair and expressed his expectation that tariffs on Chinese goods would soon be lowered.
Trump’s statements supporting Federal Reserve independence and hinting at easing trade tensions with China reignited risk appetite in financial markets, causing gold prices to tumble on Wednesday.Just a day earlier, prices had hit a record high above $3,500, as investors speculated that Trump might attempt to remove Powell. Trump had previously criticized Powell for not cutting interest rates and for warning that tariffs could lead to higher consumer prices.
Gold’s price surge this year has been especially notable following Trump’s decision to halt the implementation of sweeping new tariffs initially announced in early April. Gold, as a safe-haven asset not tied to any single national economy—unlike traditional alternatives such as the U.S. dollar or Treasuries, which are subject to U.S. government influence—has become increasingly attractive to investors wary of Trump’s policy decisions.
Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that continued tariff escalation in 2025 could push global public debt to 95.1% of GDP—an increase of 2.8 percentage points from previous forecasts. According to the IMF’s latest “Fiscal Monitor” report, if revenues and output fall significantly below expectations due to tariff-induced pressures, global debt could surpass 117% of GDP by 2027.
Investment bank JPMorgan has projected that gold prices could exceed $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026. This forecast is based on expectations of an economic recession, a prolonged trade war, and sustained demand from central banks. However, JPMorgan also cautioned that a sudden drop in central bank demand could threaten this bullish trend.
The IMF’s report further estimates that global public debt will climb to 99.6% of GDP by 2030, exceeding even the pandemic-era peak.
The IMF has forecasted global economic growth at around 2.8% for 2025. In this scenario, the U.S. budget deficit is projected to decrease from 7.3% of GDP in 2024 to 6.5% in 2025, and further down to 5.5% in 2026, largely due to increased tariff revenues and continued economic expansion.
These IMF projections for the U.S. deficit are based on policies announced up until April 2, 2025, and assume that the individual tax cuts enacted in 2017 will expire at the end of this year.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Strong Bullish Signs?!
Gold strongly corrected from 3500 psychological level.
After a test of the underlined intraday support cluster,
the market started to leave strong bullish clues.
After a false violation of the support, the price accumulated a bit
and broke a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern on an hourly time frame.
With that move, Gold also managed to confirm a local Change of Character CHoCH.
All these bullish signals indicate a highly probable continuation of a growth.
The price may move up at least to 3377 level easily.
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Gold prediction 24.04.2025🟢 Gold Price Action Analysis (XAU/USD)
Date: April 24, 2025
Time Frame: Short-Term Intraday
Market Context:
Gold is currently respecting a key trendline support zone between 3326 and 3332. This area has acted as a strong demand zone recently and price is showing signs of bullish interest around this level.
Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias):
If the trendline holds around 3326–3332, we anticipate a bullish move targeting the previous swing high at 3388.
Confirmation would be bullish candlestick formation or volume buildup near the trendline zone.
📈 Buy Signal:
Buy between 3326–3332 (only on confirmation as cired above)
🎯 Target: 3388
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 3320 (trendline invalidation)
Bearish Scenario (Alternative Plan):
If price breaks below the trendline and retests the 3326–3332 zone as resistance (confirmation on m1 or m5, we’ll look to short.
This would indicate a trendline breakdown and potential bearish momentum towards the previous low.
📉 Sell Signal (on Break and Retest):
Sell near 3326–3332 (after breakdown and bearish retest)
🎯 Target: 3261
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 3335
Please show support by following me and comment you favourite pair, if needed to be analyzed.
GOLD recovers, market sentiment correction may stopAfter US President Trump hinted that tariffs on China could be reduced and that he had no intention of removing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, the market's risk-off sentiment cooled and international gold prices fell on Wednesday (April 23) before recovering slightly in early trading today, Thursday (April 24).
Last night, Trump made some important comments, not only clearly showing a softer stance on China but also making it clear that he had no intention of removing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell (in fact, he has no authority to do so).
The current bullish cycle in OANDA:XAUUSD is largely driven by the market pricing in the risk of “stagflation”, but as this risk is gradually eliminated, gold could see a significant correction.
Looking at the big picture, gold remains in an uptrend as real yields are likely to continue to fall amid the Fed’s easing policy. But in the short term, if positive tariff news continues to emerge, gold could fall further and the market will adjust to the new environment.
Earlier, after days of harsh criticism of the Federal Reserve for not cutting interest rates, Trump withdrew his threat to fire Chairman Powell. At the same time, he also expressed confidence in reaching a deal with China to significantly reduce import tariffs from China, but also warned that "if they don't make a deal, we'll make a deal."
Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Tuesday cut its forecast for global and US economic growth this year, citing Trump's tariff policies as the main reason for the downgrade.
As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold has set new historical highs several times since the beginning of 2025, with a cumulative increase of more than 26%.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After 2 days of significant correction, gold recovered in today's Asian trading session (24/4) with the recovery level taking the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement point as the nearest support. As noted to readers throughout the publications, gold is still in an uptrend with the price channel as the main trend and the main support from the EMA21, as long as the price decline does not break below the above supports, it should only be considered a short-term correction or a buying opportunity.
As of now, gold is trading around $3,333/oz, up 1.38% on the day and around $45 and the upside momentum is expected to test the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level followed by $3,430.
For the day, the main technical outlook for gold is bullish recovery, and the notable positions are listed as follows.
Support: $3,300 – $3,292 – $3,245
Resistance: $3,371 – $3,430
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3383 - 3381⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3387
→Take Profit 1 3375
↨
→Take Profit 2 3369
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3206 - 3208⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3202
→Take Profit 1 3214
↨
→Take Profit 2 3220