World gold prices have not changed muchIn its Commodity Outlook 2025 report, TD Securities analysts noted that the Fed's rate-cutting cycle, geopolitical uncertainty and strong central bank demand for gold have pushed gold prices to record highs this year, but capital flows have not provided strong support.
"There is no shortage of compelling macro stories that have fueled gold's rally in recent months ahead of the US election. However, the gold rally has not been supported by capital flows.
Modules have maintained a 'maximum buy' status since August, confirmed by the largely unchanged COT report. In Shanghai, traders have sold nearly 35 tonnes of nominal gold in recent weeks as domestic investment opportunities have become more attractive.
Gold buying has been driven largely by traditional ETFs and China. Fund managers have largely eliminated short positions. At the same time, rising US dollar and US interest rates have reduced the attractiveness of gold to Western capital inflows in the short term."
Gold
GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)I am expecting a ‘complex correction’ of the Elliott Wave Theory, to complete the correction on Gold. So a 5 Sub-Wave pattern (A,B,C,D,E). This correction should push the price down towards $2,240 roughly. We can then look to start buying Gold again at cheaper prices. At the most extreme, if the bigger institutional firms want to really shake people out of buying Gold before it creates new high’s towards $3,200+, I would not rule out the possibility of price dropping towards $1,960 as an extreme target.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our 1H chart idea from Sunday. We are still seeing sideways movement in the market. Generally when this happens, market leaves gaps open in both directions, which is typical of ranging market.
We got our bearish target hit at 2618 and now left a open gap below. We also saw attempts to our bigger bullish gap above at 2647 and still remains open. We are comfortable buying dips from the retracement range, as part of our plans to buy dips rather then chasing the full target. Should we get the full open bearish gaps complete first, we will use the gap levels below to buy dips.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2647
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2647 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2668
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2668 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2691
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2691 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2719
BEARISH TARGETS
2618 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2618 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2595
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2595 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2570 - 2551
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold breaks through the upward channel
Gold ended its narrow adjustment trend in the Asian session after the opening of the European session today. The price continued to weaken in the short term. After a brief battle between long and short positions at 2625 in the US session, the price finally broke through the channel, announcing that the bears dominated the market.
It is expected that the market will enter an adjustment phase after short-term heavy volume weakening. The 2610 first-line support is at the bottom, and the 2625 first-line resistance is at the top.
Overall, gold's trend today is also in line with high-altitude trading expectations. Continue to short under the pressure of 2625 to be adjusted later.
Gold adjusts in a narrow range
The recent trend of gold has changed from rising to wide fluctuations. After a sharp drop in the recent period, it has entered a rebound and repair stage, but the pressure from the previous high point still exists.
The short-term trend of gold rebounded and pulled up at the 2583 line, forming an upward channel. The resistance of the 2638 line above is under pressure. If it breaks through here, the market will test the 2655 line in the future. The price level has risen slowly in recent days, and the overall performance is still in an extremely weak stage.
At present, the trend of the Asian session is narrowing, and the European session is opening low. At present, the trend of the Asian session is narrowing, and the European session is opening low. If the gold price in the European market continues to weaken and falls below the 2620 line, the opening of the US market is expected to form a wave of accelerated decline, testing around 2600 and 2585.
In terms of operation, it is recommended to short at highs.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-27-24: Momentum Rally PatternThe last Friday of the year (2024) should show up as a moderate Momentum Rally in the SPY/QQQ - possibly seeing the SPY target 603 or higher by the end of the day.
Gold and Silver are consolidating into a FLAGGING formation.
Bitcoin is trapped in a consolidation range (right shoulder) pattern that should break downward over the next 5+ days.
This is the time to position your trades for the beginning of 2025 and prepare for moderate volatility as the markets struggle for direction.
The Momentum Rally pattern, today, should present a very clean opportunity for skilled day traders.
I believe a deeper low is likely to setup between January 15 and January 25, 2025. So, be prepared for another roll to the downside after we get past the New Year.
Get some.
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Gold can drop to support line of wedge, breaking support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some time ago reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and broke it. After this, the price rose to 2721 points and then made an impulse down to the support level, which coincided with the support line of the wedge, breaking the resistance level. Next, Gold started to trades inside the range, where it rose to the 2665 resistance level, but then made a correction to the bottom part of the range. After this movement, the price started to grow and reached the resistance level again, and even broke it, thereby exiting from the range and continuing to move up. Price rose to the resistance line of the wedge, turned around, and quickly dropped below the resistance level, breaking it again. Later price fell to the support line of the wedge, breaking the support level, but a not long time ago it rebounded up the top resistance line, breaking the 2605 level one more time. At the moment, I think that the price can rebound from the resistance line and start to decline to the support line of the wedge pattern, breaking the support level. For this case, I set my TP at 2575 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD bullish movement continuesThe FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is in a ascending triangle now which means the price will increase and also It is expected that the price would at least grow as good as the measured price movement(AB=CD)
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The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Gold in corrective phase then trend resumes?Currently gold is in a corrective phase. My expectations for is a further climb to around 2650-2655 range. In the daily timeframe we can see Supply zone. A good rejection may follow here. Notice the support trend below, If it still get respected gold can push up again. A break below after confirmation will shift our technical analysis, and selling the market becomes prio.
Resistance: 2635, 2643, 2651
Support: 2622, 2613, 2604
GOLD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GOLD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 2,577.407 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the GOLD pair.
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Gold Analysis and SignalsGold closed above 2630. The daily line continued to rise and re-stood on the MA10 daily average of 2625. The hourly and four-hour moving averages opened upward, and the price ran along the middle and upper tracks of the Bollinger Bands. The idea of gold remains unchanged, and we continue to see fluctuations, sell high and buy low!
Gold fell after rising in the US market yesterday, with very small fluctuations, but there was no strong breakthrough at high levels. On the surface, it broke through the previous high of 2633 in 1 hour, but gold did not stand firm, and it fell back at any time and fell below the previous high of 2633 again. Gold did not form an effective breakthrough, so there is a possibility of gold bulls being lured, at least the market is not a unilaterally strong market!
First support: 2627, second support: 2621, third support: 2610
First resistance: 2641, second resistance: 2652, third resistance: 2666
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2621-2623
SELL2641-2643
How does gold price change on weekends? What should you note?Hello everyone, Ben here!
Last week, we witnessed a significant drop in gold prices. At one point, gold prices fell to a low of $2,583. Currently, gold is trading around $2,627, stabilizing over the week.
It is clear that the hawkish signal from the Federal Reserve (Fed) last week, indicating that they will slow the pace of rate cuts in 2025, supported the US Dollar (USD) to remain near its two-year high and acted as a drag on the non-yielding gold metal. Additionally, a positive risk trend contributed to limiting the gains of this precious metal.
However, geopolitical risks stemming from the prolonged Russia-Ukraine war and tensions in the Middle East, along with fears of a trade war, continue to provide some support for gold as a safe-haven asset. Furthermore, a modest pullback in US Treasury yields has supported a mild buying tone amid thin trading volumes during Christmas Eve.
Therefore, it would be wise to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for any further recovery from last week’s one-month low.
The projected price increase is expected to reach $2,650. What do you think about this?
Sincerely,
Bentradegold!
Gold price forecastDonald Trump’s transition team is looking for ways to end conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East.
The trade war between the US and many countries, including China, may not be too tense. Donald Trump only sees tariffs as a negotiating tool. If the trade deficit improves, the trade war is likely to be less fierce.
Donald Trump's transition team is looking for ways to end conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East.
The trade war between the US and many countries, including China, may not be too tense. Donald Trump only sees tariffs as a negotiating tool. If the trade deficit improves, the trade war is likely to be less fierce.
In the long term, gold is still expected to rise as inflation signals rise again globally. The West has seen inflation return, while many Asian countries have stepped up monetary easing and have plans to pump money.
XAUUSD: 26/12 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2660, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2637, support below 2600
Gold operation suggestions: The market is in a narrow range during the Christmas holiday, market liquidity is reduced, and the volatility is naturally getting smaller and smaller. Today is still under the influence of the holiday, and it is expected that there is still no intention to break through. Gold rebounded in the Asian session, but there is still suppression above 2633. If it does not break, it will still be a volatile market. Don't think too much. Gold can be directly shorted when it touches the 2630-33 area. Hold below 2633 and watch for a volatile decline.
Gold hit a high of 2633 on Monday and then fell back under pressure, reaching a low of 2608, which happened to be the 2608 support point I mentioned. On Tuesday, it fell back to a low of 2610, and once again held the 2608 support point and pulled back. Today, the Asian session opened high and approached the 2633 pressure position. Today, we will continue to pay attention to the resistance in this area. It is definitely not suitable to chase the rise near here. Before it breaks here, it will continue to rebound high. Only after a strong breakthrough above 2633 can we see the bulls continue to rise. If it falls back, we will continue to pay attention to 2608 and choose to buy low.
SELL:2633near
BUY:2621near
BUY:2610near
The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Ranging markets due to holidays yet our chart levels are being respected and allowing us to buy dips inline with our plans.
We got another retest at 2629 weighted Goldturn and will now need to see ema5 lock above this level to open the range above or failure to lock will see a rejection back to Goldlturn support. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either Goldturn to confirm and determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2629 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2629 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2655
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2694
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2726
BEARISH TARGETS
2600
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2600 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2561
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2561 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2518 - 2486
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 12-26-24 : Inside Breakaway PatternThis, being the day After Christmas, could be a very volatile trading day. I suggest traders sit back and let the morning volatility settle before attempting to make any big trades.
I believe the markets will seek direction after Christmas and look to attempt to move into a Reversion phase (likely trending upward into the end of 2024).
Overall, I believe the Anomaly event has completed - yet there is still risk for the markets to move lower before the end of Feb 2025.
Follow my research and pay attention to how large the recent Daily price bars are compared to previous ranges. The current market volatility is MASSIVE.
There is no reason skilled traders are not able to profit from some of these big price swings.
Gold and Silver enter a CRUSH pattern. This could be a huge price move for Gold & Silver today.
Bitcoin is sliding into the Consolidation Phase of an EPP pattern. This could result in another breakdown towards $72k if the EPP pattern plays out.
Buckle up.
Get some.
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