XAUUSD (GOLD) | 4H | SWING TRADING Good morning, my friends,
Gold is currently at the 3355.0 level.
Even if gold makes a correction at this point, my target remains 3461.0.
This is a swing trading model, so there may be delays in reaching my target. However, I am confident that I will reach it eventually.
Once we hit that level, I will share an update for you all.
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Gold
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts with our chart idea playing out as analysed.
After completing 3260 and 3308 yesterday, we stated that we now had ema5 lock above 3308 opening 3340.
- This was done perfectly completing this target with plenty of time to get in for the action. We are now seeing ema5 lock above 3340 leaving 3428 open. Any rejections on this zone will see price testing the lower Goldturns for suport and bonce inline with our plans to buy dips within the overall structure.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3260 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3260 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3308 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3340 -DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3382
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3382 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3217
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3217 WILL OPEN THE BEARISH TARGETS
3174
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3174 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3126
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3078 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3034 - 2979
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD soars, geopolitical risks escalateIn the early morning trading session on Tuesday (May 6), the spot price of OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly jumped more than 50Dollar in the short term. The price of gold just hit 3,387USD/ounce, setting a new intraday high.
Trump's latest tariff announcement has increased risk-off sentiment, thereby pushing the price of gold up sharply.
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump said on Sunday he plans to impose a 100% tariff on foreign-made films, extending his restrictive trade policy on U.S. imports to the entertainment industry for the first time, rekindling investor concerns about the potential fallout from a global trade war.
On Monday local time, Trump signed an executive order on biomedical research, hoping to use this opportunity to boost the US pharmaceutical industry. Trump also announced that tariffs on pharmaceutical products will be announced within the next 2 weeks.
Gold is often considered a safe haven in times of uncertainty and performs well in low interest rate environments. Gold prices have soared 26.3% this year and have set new historical records several times.
On the other hand, geopolitical tensions surrounding the conflict between Ukraine and Russia are also escalating as Ukraine actively attacks despite warnings from Russia. On May 9, Russia will solemnly celebrate the 80th anniversary of Victory Day - a significant historical milestone with the participation of many international politicians and military corps from many countries participating in the parade at Red Square.
Geopolitical risks often impact the market very quickly and dramatically, gold prices will increase sharply whenever geopolitical risks appear as dangerous as the current situation in Ukraine - Russia.
Technical analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD prospects
On the daily chart, after gold received support and recovered from the confluence area of EMA21 and 0.50% Fibonacci retracement, gold showed prospects of continuing to recover and entering a new technical bullish cycle, bringing price activity back above $3,300.
At the time of writing, gold has reached the weekly target level sent to readers in the weekly publication at $3,371, which is also the current nearest resistance. Once gold remains stable above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, it will have the prospect of continuing to increase with the next target around $3,400 – $3,430 in the short term.
On the momentum front, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has turned upward with a significant slope after receiving support from the 50 area, which should be considered a positive signal for further bullish expectations.
Intraday, the technical outlook for gold is bullish with the main support from the EMA21, the notable positions will also be listed as follows.
Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,267USD
Resistance: 3,400 – 3,430USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3409 - 3407⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3413
→Take Profit 1 3401
↨
→Take Profit 2 3395
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3306 - 3308⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3302
→Take Profit 1 3314
↨
→Take Profit 2 3320
Gold: The Start Of The C Wave (Extreme Danger!)After the FED announces their business Gold (XAUUSD) is likely to crash-down and hard.
I will support my statement with data coming from this chart.
The crash doesn't necessarily need to happen instantly. My idea is that we are witnessing a classic ABC correction in Elliott Wave Theory terminology. Let's dive in.
» Trading volume peaked in early April and has been dropping considerably.
» The ATH session ended as a very strong bearish (reversal) signal.
» There is a strong bearish divergence with the RSI. The RSI peaked February 2025 while Gold (XAU) peaked recently. Here is the chart:
Currently, Gold is showing a bounce until the resumption of the corrective bearish move.
Gold is set to move lower based on my interpretation of this chart. Approach with caution, or, go SHORT. You can't go wrong by shorting the top/resistance. Sell at resistance, buy at support.
Namaste.
Gold Completes Wave 4 - Pullback – Time for the Next PushGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) touched $3,223 as I expected in the previous idea (Full Target) .
Gold has managed to break the Resistance zone($3,308-$3,293) and is trying to break the Resistance lines and complete the pullback .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that Gold is completing microwave 4 , which could act as a pullback to the broken Resistance zone($3,308-$3,293) . After the completion of microwave 4 , we should expect Gold to attack the Resistance lines to complete microwave 5 .
I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,232 , and if the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) breaks, we can expect further gains .
Note: If Gold touches $2,272 (the worst Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect further declines.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Gold has climbed higher into our 0.365% zone, which I highlighted on yesterday's analysis. We will keep a close eye out to see if price action offers any rejection around this zone, for sellers to kick in. However, the closer it gets to the ATH, the higher chance of it creating a new ATH.
Long positions in the US market remain the main trend🗞News side:
1. The “demand shock” of the Trump administration’s tariffs on the global economy
2. The United States rejected Japan’s request for a comprehensive exemption from 10% reciprocal tariffs and country-specific tariffs in recent negotiations.
3. The conflict between Israel and the Houthis
📈Technical aspects:
The 4H golden moving average spreads upward, the MACD golden cross opens upward, and the 4H overall bullish trend is seen. Gold price encountered resistance at 3386 in the morning of the Asian session. This point can be used as a reference in suppressing the market outlook. If this resistance is effectively broken through, bulls are expected to continue to work towards the 3400 first-line mark above. The daily chart is positive, and the K-line combination is relatively strong. The US market is expected to break through 3386 and reach the space above 3400; the SMA10 moving average of 3370 continues to be bullish as the primary support, with strong resistance to 3400. Even if the price of gold in the US market rises and falls, the middle track of the Bollinger Bands still has good support. On the whole, we mainly focus on long positions in short-term trading. We can consider the 3370-3380 layout to go long, with the target looking towards 3400-3410 above.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3300 zone, Gold was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-6 : GAP Breakaway patternToday's pattern suggests a morning GAP will take place and price will continue to break away from yesterday's body range.
Given the fact that the markets are already almost 0.8-0.9% lower than yesterday's closing price level, this suggests the markets will continue to trend downward today.
Is this it? Is this the breakdown for May 2-5, seeking the Major Bottom I've talked about for the past 3+ weeks?
We'll find out over the next 5-10+ days.
Ultimately, the EPP patterns have aligned across multiple instruments/symbols to present a very clear opportunity to the downside. Now, we need to watch and wait as the markets should be moving into the early FLAGGING stage of the downward EPP pattern.
After the FLAGGING pattern, we should get the breakdown into consolidation, which is where I believe big profits can be made. That breakdown into the consolidation phase is usually very aggressive and can often be after the FLAGGING range.
Gold and Silver are making a move higher. I suggested this would be the case over the past 5-10+ days - but, boy, was it frustrating to watch Gold and Silver consolidate over the past few weeks.
At this point, I'm looking for Gold to rally above $3500 and for Silver to attempt to rally above $34.00.
Bitcoin seems to be leading the SPY/QQQ (again) and appears to be about 2-3 days ahead of the major US indexes, attempting to move into a downward FLAGGING formation.
This could be very interesting if BTCUSD continues to lead the SPY/QQQ. Meaning, we may be able to rely on the structures/setups in BTCUSD as a 2-3 day early window of that the SPY/QQQ may be doing (for a while). I'm sure it won't continue to align at some point in the future.
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GOLD Will Go Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,388.78.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,436.70 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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HelenP. I Gold can rebound from trend line to resistance levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After forming a local bottom around the 3190 - 3210 support zone, the price has rebounded and is now testing the upward trend line once again. This level has consistently acted as dynamic support throughout the recent bullish structure, confirming its relevance and strength. Buyers have shown clear interest in defending this area, and the reaction near this level further strengthens the bullish sentiment. Notably, the market is recovering from a correction phase that followed the previous local peak near the 3350 - 3370 resistance zone. Price has moved within a wide range, creating opportunities for both accumulation and further upside. The chart also shows how Gold is forming a higher low, which supports the continuation of the current trend. If the trend line continues to hold, I expect the price to move toward the resistance area, with my goal located at 3350 points - the key breakout level. Given the price reaction, support structure, and trend confirmation, I remain bullish. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD (XAUUSD): Your Plan to Buy
The recent fundamentals pumped Gold prices again.
The market is currently trading above a significant
daily resistance.
To confirm a validity of a breakout and to avoid a trap,
I suggest paying close attention to a minor horizontal
range on a 4H time frame.
Your signal to buy will be a 4H candle close above 3388.
It will confirm a breakout and increase the chances that the price will go up.
Goal will be 3435
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GOLD Will Grow! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,257.82.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,352.14.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Gold Forecast: Haven Apetite Back in SightGold is currently testing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the drop from $3,500 to $3,200, located at the $3,380 level.
A clear hold above 3390 could pave the way back toward $3,430 and the $3,500 resistance zone.
• A breakout above $3,500 may extend the rally toward $3,700 and the $4,000 target zone.
• On the downside, short-term support levels may be seen at $3,350, $3,300, and $3,260.
• A confirmed drop below $3,260 could trigger deeper downside risks, with potential moves back toward $3,200, $3,160, $3,080, and $3,000.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
Gold surges thanks to China buying goods, waiting for FED waveInternational gold prices jumped to 3,332 USD/ounce, up more than 72 USD compared to the bottom of last night's session. The main driving force came from the wave of gold buying in China, when concerns about the weakening economy caused people to massively turn to gold as a safe haven. The H4 chart shows a strong increase, EMA34 has crossed EMA89, establishing a clear short-term uptrend. If gold surpasses 3,340 USD, it is likely to head towards the old peak around 3,420–3,500 USD.
Crude oil prices are still fluctuating strongly around 57.2 USD/barrel, creating an unstable foundation for the commodity market. The FED will announce its policy in the early morning of May 8. Although it is expected to not change interest rates, any statement can move the market. This will be the next big catalyst for gold.
GOLD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The market is trading on 3377.8 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 3357.7
Recommended Stop Loss - 3387.7
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
DeGRAM | GOLD Finished Correcting?📊 Technical Analysis
● After two successful touches of rising-channel support near $3 200, XAU/USD pierced the resistance line and the triangle, confirming a bullish breakout.
● A pattern of higher lows now projects a fresh impulse toward the channel top at ~$3 500.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Goldman Sachs forecasts central banks will keep buying bullion amid recession fears, driving gold to $3 700 by year-end.
● Traders price in ~80 bp of Fed rate cuts from July, lowering real yields and bolstering gold’s appeal.
✨ Summary
Channel breakout + strong CB demand and Fed-cut bets support a short-term long bias: a clear break above $3 315 targets $3 500; view invalid below $3 200.
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GOLD H8 Update: Bulls will target 3600 USD🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️pullback looks complete now
▪️3000/3200/3400/3600 USD key S/R
▪️Reversal at 3200 USD
▪️Resistance near 3400 USD
▪️Bulls maintain strategic advantage
▪️Target for BULLS 3600 USD
▪️short-term dips are possible
▪️focus on buying dips
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️BUY/HOLD accumulate dips
▪️TP BULLS 3600 USD
🏦Fed Outlook: Mixed data fuels speculation on policy shift. Analysts see gold’s pullback as a new buying opportunity.
🌏Asian Demand: China and India remain key forces in price direction, alternating as major buyers.
📦Tariff Watch: Ongoing U.S.-China trade tension continues to weigh on risk sentiment, keeping gold in play.
🛑Geopolitics: No major updates on Iran-U.S. talks, India-Pakistan, or Russia-Ukraine ceasefire yet. These remain key risk triggers.
XAUUSD Price Action: Bullish Break + Liquidity Sweep Trade Idea🪙✨ Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Outlook ✨📈
I’m currently analyzing XAUUSD on both the daily and 4H timeframes, and here’s what I’m seeing:
🚀 Price has broken bullish structure and is now looking overextended, pushing into a buy-side liquidity zone—clearly visible to the left of current price action. 💰📊
It’s clearing buy stops, which could trigger a retracement soon. 🧲🔁
🎯 I’m watching closely for a pullback into the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone on the current price swing—that’s my key point of interest for a potential long setup, provided we see a healthy pullback followed by another bullish break of structure. 🔍🔐
🧠 Not financial advice—just my personal analysis. Always manage risk. ⚠️📉
Skeptic | XAU/USD Analysis: Gold’s Next Big Move Is Brewing!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s kick off the morning with a deep dive into XAU/USD —gold’s serving up some exciting opportunities right now! 😊 Activating our triggers could spark a sharp move, potentially reigniting the major trend from before, so stick with me to the end of this analysis. As always, we’ll start with the Daily Timeframe to get the big picture. Let’s dive in! 📊
📅 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
It’s clear as day—the major trend is bullish . We’re seeing higher highs and higher lows, which, per Dow Theory, confirms a solid uptrend. After gold hit a peak at 3502.48 , it entered a secondary corrective trend, pulling back to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. This correction was healthy, and the price action suggests the uptrend still has plenty of juice left. 💪
Post the sell-off candle on May 1, it looks like the correction might be done, and we’re now heading to test the resistance at 3425.31 . If that level breaks, we could see the major uptrend resume with some serious momentum. With this in mind, let’s zoom into the 1-Hour Timeframe to hunt for long and short triggers.
⏰ 1-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
The last trigger I used for a long position was at 3270.75 , and it’s been performing nicely so far. But if this growth is to continue—and the correction is truly over—we’re about to see some explosive moves. The long trigger I’m about to share is worth the risk. Plus, if we don’t enter longs around these levels, it’ll get trickier later. A break above 3494.51 could come with heavy shadows, hunting stop losses, or it might spike too fast, leaving us without a good entry. So, the smarter play is to enter now with lower risk and higher R/R. Here’s the plan:
Long Setup 📈
Open a long position after a break above resistance at 3383.61 .
Target? The previous ceiling is a good start, but don’t close too early. Enter with the mindset that if the ceiling breaks, you’re already in a position, sitting pretty. Personally, I’m keeping my earlier long from below open, letting those profits run for peace of mind later. 😎
Short Setup 📉
For shorts, patience is key. Wait for a rejection from these levels, followed by a break below support at 3270.75 . That’s when we open a short position. No rush to short just yet—gold’s not showing signs of a momentum shift. But if it does, we could see deeper corrections, so keep both triggers on your radar. 🐻
🧠 Why This Matters
Spotting these triggers in a multi-timeframe setup gives us an edge, aligning short-term moves with the bigger trend. It’s all about stacking the odds in our favor. Want more insights like this? Check out my latest article on multi-timeframe strategies —it’s a game-changer! 📚
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
Gold Climbs on Safe-Haven DemandGold climbed to nearly $3,360 per ounce on Tuesday, marking its highest level in over a week, as renewed tariff threats from President Trump increased safe-haven demand. Trump announced a 100% tariff on foreign films and signaled upcoming measures targeting pharmaceuticals. Investors are now focused on the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, with rates expected to stay unchanged despite Trump’s push for cuts.
Resistance is expected at $3,385, then $3,450 and $3,500. Support stands at $3,300, followed by $3,265 and $3,200.