The more you rise, the harder you fall, or what?The month of March has been a strong month for the TVC:GOLD bugs. The commodity has been hitting new highs every week. Let's see where the next target could be.
MARKETSCOM:GOLD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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Gold
XAUUSD Time to start selling?Gold (XAUUSD) finally hit our 3 month $3000 target that we've been pursuing since the very first week of this year (January 06, see chart below) and in later stages upgraded to $3100:
Now the price has reached the top of the 1.5-year Channel Up, forming a similar 1D MACD peak formation while completing the +22.50% rise that the previous two major Bullish Legs had. As you can see, the pattern makes its Higher High on the 2nd MACD Bearish Cross and in 2 out of 3 Bearish Legs it retraced all the way to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, while on the remaining it the correction was contained to just above the 0.382 Fib.
On all cases the price came close to the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) before bottoming. As a result, even though some more Trump announcements may cause a momentary push upwards, we technically think that it is a solid level to turn bearish now with a fair 2900 Target on the 0.382 Fibonacci where by the end of April it should come close to the 1D MA100.
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GOLD PoV - SHORT 3.125$The price of gold has recently reached a historic high, surpassing the $3,100 per ounce mark, driven by uncertainty stemming from U.S. tariff policies under President Donald Trump and concerns about potential geopolitical conflicts.
This increase underscores gold’s role as a safe haven asset, with investors seeking stability amid growing economic and political instability.
Trade tensions, particularly the tariff policies proposed by the Trump administration, have contributed to economic uncertainty, prompting investors to seek security in gold.
Additionally, concerns about potential conflicts, such as recent escalations in the Middle East, have further strengthened demand for gold as protection against geopolitical risks.
Central banks have played a significant role in this scenario, increasing their gold reserves. In the third quarter of 2023, reserves increased by 337 tons, bringing the total for the first nine months of the year to 800 tons, about a third of the global mine production for the same period.
This accumulation by central banks has helped sustain the price of gold, highlighting its status as a safe asset.
Regarding investment strategies, some analysts suggest that gold's price may undergo a correction after its recent rally. For example, technical analysis indicates a potential short entry at $3,125 per ounce, with a profit target of $2,925, anticipating a retracement of about $200.
However, it is important to consider that gold price forecasts can be influenced by various unpredictable factors, such as economic policies, geopolitical developments, and market dynamics.
In summary, gold has benefited from a significant increase in value due to the uncertainty arising from trade policies and concerns about geopolitical conflicts. Its nature as a safe-haven asset has attracted investments from both institutional investors and central banks. However, trading strategies, such as short positions, should be evaluated cautiously, considering the volatility and uncertainty that characterize the gold market.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area 3100.Wave “3” is still continuing its progression. This means that the five-wave impulse is not over yet and we expect the upward movement to continue.
Of course I would like to see wave “4” as a corrective wave in the area of 3024 level, then I expect an upward movement to the area of 3100 level. This level is also considered to be quite strong, from which there could be a correction.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Gold- Target and new ATH reached. Now what?In my analysis yesterday, I mentioned that Gold would likely reach a new all-time high (ATH), but for that to happen, it was crucial for bulls to hold strong at the 3025-3030 support zone.
Indeed, Gold made a new ATH, reaching my target zone of 3080 overnight. I closed my buy trade with a profit of 550 pips.
Now, the key question is: What’s next?
In my opinion, there’s a strong possibility that Gold will continue its upward movement and test the 3100 level. However, at the current price of 3075, entering a buy trade is not justified from a risk perspective.
For now, I’m staying out of the market. If a retracement occurs, I’ll be watching the 3050 zone closely—most importantly, I’ll assess how the market reacts at that level before making any decisions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD H4 Trading Plan (Intraday Outlook)Bias: 📈 Bullish (Strong Continuation)
Current Price: ~$3,093
Context: Price is accelerating after breaking key resistance, maintaining bullish structure.
🧠 1. Market Structure (H4)
Structure remains bullish, with well-defined HH & HL.
Recent consolidation block (OB + FVG): price broke out cleanly and is now expanding.
Short-term trend leg is steep → potential for shallow intraday pullbacks.
📌 2. Key Levels from Your Chart
🔝 Upside Target
3,120.14 – Major H4 resistance / next liquidity zone
🟦 Intraday Support Zones
3,049.57 – recent H4 resistance, now flipped support (ideal for pullback entries)
3,000.65 – clean structure zone, possible FVG fill
2,977.64 – origin of last impulse
2,960.27 / 2,899.69 – deeper HTF demand / OB zones
🔍 3. Order Blocks & Liquidity
🔲 OB zone breakout (highlighted gray area) → now acting as demand
💧Buy-side liquidity rests above 3,120
Any retracement into 3,049 / 3,000 could be used by Smart Money for re-entry longs
📅 4. Trade Scenarios (H4)
✅ Scenario A: Bullish Continuation
Price holds above 3,049 → intraday continuation toward:
🎯 3,120
🎯 Potential extension: 3,150+
📌 Ideal setup: bullish engulfing or BOS + FVG entry on pullback to 3,049 zone
🔁 Scenario B: Pullback Before Continuation
Rejection near 3,100–3,120 leads to pullback toward:
🔁 3,049
🔁 3,000 (FVG / previous OB)
Monitor price action at those levels for continuation entries.
🟥 Scenario C: Bearish Shift (Low Probability for Now)
Break below 2,960 with strong bearish momentum → opens door toward:
🔻 2,899
This would invalidate current bullish short-term structure.
🧭 Summary
Trend is strong, momentum is clean → only looking for buy setups on dips.
Watch for continuation above 3,049 and especially reactive price action near 3,120.
If pullback occurs, 3,000 zone is prime location for re-entry longs.
XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan (1D Outlook)🔍 1. Structure & Price Action
Price broke out aggressively from previous consolidation (~2960–3000).
Current impulse leg is strong, with very shallow pullbacks – trending conditions.
Daily candles show sustained buying pressure, minimal upper wicks → buyers in control.
📏 2. Key Levels (from your chart)
📌 Upside Targets:
🔸 3,120.14 – potential resistance / short-term TP
🔸 3,180.72 – extended upside target if momentum holds
🟩 Support Zones:
✅ 3,049.38 – minor intraday support
✅ 3,000.66 – recent breakout retest zone
✅ 2,960.77 – clean demand zone / OB zone
✅ 2,899.69 – last major demand / strong structure support
🧠 3. SMC & Liquidity Insights
Buy-side liquidity has been cleared → clean runway toward psychological zones (3100–3200).
FVG may exist between recent candles → shallow retracement into 3049 / 3000 possible.
No active bearish OBs above → price remains in price discovery mode.
📅 4. Daily Trade Scenarios
✅ Scenario A: Bullish Continuation
Hold above 3,049–3,060 → continuation toward:
🎯 3,120
🎯 3,180+
Look for strong H4 bullish candles on retest of minor support.
⚠️ Scenario B: Pullback to Demand
Reject from 3,100+ and drop toward:
🔁 3,000 (retest previous high)
🔁 2,960 (key OB / FVG zone)
Watch for bullish reversal signals (engulfing, break of structure) for re-entry long.
🟥 Scenario C: Deeper Reversal (Less Probable)
Break below 2,899 could shift bias to neutral/short-term bearish.
🧭 Summary
XAUUSD is in a strong trending phase with no major resistance above.
Pullbacks into 3,049 / 3,000 / 2,960 are ideal areas to look for continuation longs.
Focus remains on buy-the-dip setups as long as price holds above 2,899.
Will Monday Bring a Breakout or a Correction?Last week was characterized by extreme volatility, with price movements reflecting significant reactions across different trading sessions. On Friday, the Asian session managed to push past the $3057 mark, only for early European trading to see a pullback. However, the US session reversed course, fueling a rally that extended until market close.
Key Levels to Watch on Monday
Looking ahead, the critical question is whether the Asian session can break above $3086, potentially paving the way for a push beyond $3100. If this breakout fails, we could see a price correction similar to Friday's, especially during European trading.
At present, I'm taking a cautious approach, observing the market while many anticipate further upside. While momentum appears strong, I prefer to wait for clearer confirmations before making a move.
Potential Scenarios
Breakout Above $3086
A successful push above this level could signal continuation toward $3100+, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
Failure at $3086 – Potential Pullback
If the market struggles to sustain levels above $3086, a decline to $3076 is likely.
A break below $3076 could see further downside to $3067 and possibly lower.
Technical Indicators & Market Sentiment
RSI (1H): Currently at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
RSI (4H): Around 90, showing overbought conditions—especially following the Asian session rally.
Market Sentiment:
Many traders expect an upward continuation, but caution is warranted given overbought signals and the possibility of a correction.
External Factors: Tariffs & Global Trends
As we approach April 2nd, when new tariffs take effect, global markets have been showing signs of weakness. Uncertainty persists, and with gold acting as a safe haven, investors may seek protection, adding another layer of complexity to Monday’s price action.
Conclusion
The start of the week will likely be dictated by whether the Asian session can achieve a breakout above $3086. If it does, bullish momentum could drive prices higher. However, failure at this level could result in a correction, with key support levels at $3076 and $3067 in focus. Given the broader market conditions and upcoming economic events, a cautious approach remains prudent.
📉 Will Monday bring a correction, or is there still room for another rally? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🚀
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
The Greatest Opportunity of Your Life : Answering QuestionsThis video is an answer to Luck264's question about potential price rotation.
I go into much more details because I want to highlight the need to keep price action in perspective related to overall (broader) and more immediate (shorter-term) trends.
Additionally, I try to highlight what I've been trying to tell all of you over the past 3+ years...
The next 3-%+ years are the GREATEST OPPORTUNITY OF YOUR LIFE.
You can't even imagine the potential for gains unless I try to draw it out for you. So, here you go.
This video highlights why price is the ultimate indicator and why my research/data is superior to many other types of analysis.
My data is factual, process-based, and results in A or B outcomes.
I don't mess around with too many indicators because I find them confusing at times.
Price tells me everything I need to know - learn what I do to improve your trading.
Hope you enjoy this video.
Get Some.
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Bitcoin harmonic pattern. Back to back Gartley. BTCGOLD ratio.The BTC/GOLD ratio has experienced a significant correction, currently standing at 27 gold ounces per 1 Bitcoin, down from a peak of 41, representing a decline of 34%.
Gold, priced at $3,114 in US Federal Reserve notes, is in a sustained bull market.
It is reasonable to anticipate that the digital equivalent of gold will gain traction once gold stabilizes at a higher price point.
The Gartley pattern is recognized as the most prevalent harmonic chart pattern.
Harmonic patterns are based on the idea that Fibonacci sequences can be utilized to create geometric formations, which include price breakouts and retracements.
The Gartley pattern illustrated indicates an upward movement from point X to point A, followed by a price reversal at point A. According to Fibonacci ratios, the retracement from point X to point B is expected to be 61.8%.
At point B, the price reverses again towards point C, which should reflect a retracement of either 38.2% or 88.6% from point A.
From point C, the price then reverses to point D. At point D, the pattern is considered complete, generating buy signals with an upside target that aligns with points C and A, as well as a final price target of a 161.8% increase from point A.
Often, point 0 serves as a stop-loss level for the entire trade. While these Fibonacci levels do not have to be precise, greater proximity enhances the reliability of the pattern.
Will these consecutive Gartley patterns succeed in bolstering Bitcoin's strength? We will soon discover the answer.
XAUUSD - Uptrend is strong, pullback for buysThe gold market is displaying remarkable strength, with the XAU/USD pair recently breaking above the $3,085 level to establish new historical highs. The upward trajectory has been supported by a robust ascending trendline dating back to late February, indicating persistent bullish momentum. While the immediate trend remains decidedly positive, technical indicators suggest a potential short-term correction may be forthcoming, which would likely present advantageous buying opportunities for traders. The highlighted support zone around $3,030-$3,040 could serve as an ideal entry point for those looking to establish long positions, with the expectation that after this healthy pullback, gold will resume its upward march toward the projected target of $3,100 and potentially beyond.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Last Friday, 3085 was shorted to make a profit, next week?Gold fell back on Friday after rising higher, and gold encountered resistance at 3085. However, gold is still just adjusting for the time being. Gold rebounded after the adjustment, and gold bulls are still relatively strong. You can continue to buy gold after it falls next week. After all, gold bulls are strong now, but don't chase it at high levels, and wait for it to fall before buying more.
The 1-hour chart of gold still shows a golden cross with upward bullish divergence. After the adjustment, the gold bulls did not weaken, but continued to be strong. Therefore, the decline of gold is just an adjustment. Gold can continue to go long after the adjustment next week. Gold rose again after bottoming near 3067 on Friday. The gold moving average support has now moved up to a line near 3072. Therefore, gold is still a support area in this range. Then if gold falls back to support near 3070 next week, it will still be long on dips.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3090 and a gap below at 3074. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3090
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3090 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3103
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3103 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3117
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3117 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3128
BEARISH TARGETS
3074
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3074 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3055
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3055 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3039
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3039 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3020
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3020 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2999 - 2985
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
This is a continuation update from last week, which is playing out perfectly clearing first our Bearish target followed with all our Bullish targets with ema5 lock confirmations.
We are now seeing a gap left open at 3089 and will need ema5 to cross and lock above this level for a continuation into the next level. Failure to lock will see price reject into the lower Goldturns for bounces or further cross and locks below the levels to open the levels below.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3045 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3045 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3067 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3067 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3089
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3089 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3114
BEARISH TARGETS
3018
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3018 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2985
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2985 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2947 - 2918
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
This is an update on our daily chart idea that we are now tracking for a while now. If you have only started following us, please read the updates below at the bottom from previous weeks to see how effectively we have been tracking this.
Now after completing the target to the channel top we stated that if we see ema5 lock outside the channel then we will look for support outside the channel on the channel top for a continuation, which played out perfectly, as the channel top after the breakout provided support for a continuation.
We then stated and expected price to play between 3052 and 3007 until we see a break to confirm our next range. We got the test on 3007 with no body close or ema5 lock, which confirmed the rejection and the bounce perfectly into 3052, which then followed with the body close above 3052 opening the range above, giving a nice clean run of over 300 pips. Gap remains open and ema5 lock will only further confirm this but we are happy with the run already and will now continue to buy from dops only.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
OLD UPDATES ON THIS CHART IDEA
MARCH 23RD WEEK UPDATE
The half line of our unique channel gave the perfect bounce into the next axis target at 2904, inline with our plans to buy dips just like we stated. We now have a body close once again with ema5 cross and lock above 2904 leaving the range above open. We will continue to look for support at the ascending half-line of the channel, as we climb into the range.
PREVIOUS WEEKS UPDATE
After completing our Bullish targets we stated that the channel top will act as resistance confirmed with ema5 rejection. A break of the channel top with ema5 would confirm a continuation and failure would confirm rejection. This allowed us to identify true breakouts against fake outs.
We also stated that we need to keep in mind the channel half line below to establish floor to provide support for the range, should we continue to track further up. A break below the half line will open the lower part of the channel to establish floor on the channel bottom. The safest way to track this movement is by buying dips.
- Once again this played out perfectly as we got the rejection on the channel top followed with the channel half line test, which gave the perfect bounce like we stated. We will now either look for a continuation from this bounce or a cross and lock below the half line for a break into the lower channel floor.
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our weekly chart idea, that we have been tracking from last week since completing our previous long range/term weekly chart idea.
Last week we stated that we were seeing a candle break above the channel half-line and will need ema5 to follow to confirm the break out for a continuation above. We got the cross and breakout, which gave a nice push up now heading towards 3094 and just fell short leaving this gap open.
We have a small detachment to ema5 lagging also potentially due for a correction. The play range on the weekly chart is 2943 below and 3094 above. We will look for ema5 lock or body close above or below to confirm the next mid to long term range.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD (XAUUSD): 3100 soon?!
Gold closed on Friday, consolidating within the intraday range.
Probabilities are high that growth will resume next week.
Your signal to buy will be a breakout of the underlined resistance on the hourly time frame.
1H candle close above 3087 will confirm the violation.
A bullish continuation will be expected to 3100 level then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ICT Concepts for FX and GOLD traders: 2025 edition🔍 ICT (Inner Circle Trader) is a trading methodology developed by Michael J. Huddleston. It focuses on market structure, smart money concepts (SMC), and how institutions manipulate liquidity to trap retail traders.
📚 It's not about indicators or over-complication — it's about reading the price action like a pro, understanding where liquidity is, and trading with the banks, not against them.
📐 1. Market Structure
Understand Highs & Lows: Identify break of structure (BOS) and change of character (CHOCH)
Follow the macro to micro flow: D1 > H4 > M15 for precision entries
🧱 2. Order Blocks (OBs)
An order block is the last bullish or bearish candle before a major price move.
Banks and institutions place large orders here.
Smart traders look for price to return to these areas (mitigation), then enter with tight stop losses.
👉 Think of OBs as institutional footprints on the chart.
💧 3. Liquidity Zones
Equal highs/lows, trendline touches, support/resistance — these are liquidity traps.
ICT teaches that price often hunts liquidity before reversing. That’s why many retail traders get stopped out.
Learn to trade into liquidity, not off it.
🔄 4. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)
Also called imbalances — when price moves too fast and leaves gaps.
Price often retraces to "fill the gap" — a key entry point for ICT traders.
🥇 ICT for Gold & Forex in 2025
💰 Why It Works for XAUUSD & Majors:
Gold is a highly manipulated asset, perfect for ICT-style trading.
It responds beautifully to liquidity grabs, order blocks, and Asian–London–New York session transitions.
Forex majors (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, etc.) are also ideal since they’re heavily influenced by institutional flow and news-driven liquidity hunts.
🕐 Timing Is Everything
Trade Killzones:
📍 London Killzone: 2AM–5AM EST
📍 New York Killzone: 7AM–10AM EST
These are high-volume sessions where institutions make their moves.
📈 Typical ICT Setup
▪️Spot liquidity zone above or below recent price
▪️Wait for liquidity sweep (stop hunt)
▪️Identify nearby order block or FVG
▪️Enter on a pullback into OB/FVG
▪️Set tight SL just past the recent swing
Target internal range, opposing OB, or next liquidity level
👨💻 Why FX/GOLD Traders Love ICT
✅ It’s clean, no indicators, and highly logical
✅ Great for part-time trading — 1 or 2 trades a day
✅ Feels like "leveling up" your understanding of the market
✅ Perfect for backtesting and journaling on platforms like TradingView or SmartCharts
✅ Easy to integrate into algo-based systems or EAs for semi-automation
If you’re tired of indicators and guessing, and want to trade like the institutions, ICT is a game changer. In 2025, more prop firms and traders are applying ICT concepts to dominate markets like gold, forex, and even crypto.
🧭 Master the method. Understand the logic. Ride with the smart money.
🔥 Welcome to the next level of trading.
Jambo update!!BYBIT:JUSDT.P
An update on jambo, i pasted the screenshot of my first interest on the chart so you guys get a better idea of what im talking about. I would keep this in mind as it gives a good example of what patience looks like.
We are down at a price that looks great, now it would make sense to wait for a reaction at this deep support zone on the weekly chart... if the 4hr from here reacts nicely, ill be watching for a retracement to snipe from the 15m.
Ill update again, I've only got two outcomes!!