GOLD close half here and hold restSecuring partial profits by closing half of the position, while holding the remaining half to capitalize on potential future opportunities...
Gold
Gold fell and weakened
Gold fell after rising to 2790. The daily chart shows a descending triangle pattern, with the high point gradually moving down, and the overall trend is a five-wave decline at a high level. The lower support level of 2545 is the dividing line between long and short positions, and the upper level of 2720 forms a double top and falls back, and it rebounds near 2584.
In general, gold is in a trend of high-level shock and decline, with a short-term rebound and a small ascending triangle structure. In terms of operation, you can pay attention to the breakthrough of the triangle before trading. Short-term support is 2610 and resistance is 2635.
It is recommended to arrange short orders when breaking below 2610, and those who are conservative can wait for the price to rebound to 2630-2635 under pressure before going short. The downside targets are TP2605, TP2580, and TP2550, respectively, and the stop loss can be set at 2656 (breaking above the previous adjustment range).
Gold Price Consolidation and Breakout Analysis: Key Levels...
Gold Technical Analysis
The price is expected to consolidate between 2620 and 2605 until a breakout occurs. From 2620, Gold is likely to experience a bearish movement toward 2605. A 1-hour candle closing below 2605 will support further bearish momentum toward 2591 and 2585.
On the other hand, if a 4-hour candle closes above 2623, it will confirm bullish momentum, targeting 2638 and 2658.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2620
Resistance Levels: 2635, 2645, 2653
Support Levels: 2605, 2591, 2558
Trend Outlook:
Bearish below 2620
Bullish above 2623
GOLD Will Fall! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 2,618.93.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 2,576.56 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Gold is experiencing a massive sell-off, today's market analysisGold fluctuates in a wide range. The hourly chart forms a converging triangle. Pay attention to the range of 2603-2630 to buy low and sell high. The market will be closed early today on Christmas Eve and will be closed all day tomorrow.
Gold bulls are powerless, and the main market is still under the control of bears. The gold 1-hour chart hit 2633 twice and was blocked. Then the short-term gold has formed a double top. Gold may fall further. The gold moving average resistance now moves down to around 2632!
First support: 2608, second support: 2600, third support: 2588
First resistance: 2620, second resistance: 2632, third resistance: 2646
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2603-2601
SELL: 2628-2630
XAUUSD - 4H Bearish MomentumIn the 4H time frame, OANDA:XAUUSD remains bearish. After breaking the support trend line and consolidating below it, further declines are anticipated.
Liquidity above Friday’s high has been hunted, signaling a potential start of a bearish move from this zone. 📉
TVC:GOLD
World gold prices slightly decreased as the USD increasedHowever, the precious metal is under some pressure as the dollar index rose sharply and US Treasury yields rose slightly.
The Conference Board reported on Monday that its US consumer confidence index fell to 104.7, down from a revised 112.8 in November. The reading was weaker than expected, with economists predicting the index would be largely unchanged.
“Expectations that consumer confidence would continue to recover were not realized in December, as the index fell back to its two-year average,” said Dana Peterson, chief economist at the Conference Board.
Gold is struggling to find its way amid the holiday lull, said James Hyerczyk, an analyst at FX Empire.
“The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance and forecast of fewer rate cuts in 2025 are keeping gold under pressure. The precious metal will face key support tests during the holiday week
GOLD → Short to Medium-Term OutlookDear Traders, Ben here!
Recently, gold has been struggling to sustain its peak at $2,633. The bullish momentum for gold has been hindered by several factors, including the Fed's anticipated slowdown in the pace of interest rate cuts moving forward.
On the 1H chart, although the uptrend remains supported and the parallel channel has been broken, there are signs of a potential top forming around $2,633. The current support level stands at approximately $2,618. Should this level be breached, it could drive gold into a deeper decline, potentially reaching $2,603.
GOLD trading liquidity is low during the Christmas holidayAmid sluggish trading during the holiday season, OANDA:XAUUSD decreased slightly, dragged down by the strength of the US Dollar and high US Treasury bond yields. And the market needs to wait for clearer signals from the Federal Reserve's 2025 monetary policy.
Although the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points last week, this signaled fewer rate cuts in 2025, sending gold prices to their lowest since mid-month 11 last week.
While non-yielding gold benefits from the low interest rate environment, the market will need to readjust expectations for the year ahead.
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and fewer interest rate cuts in 2025 have weighed on gold prices, and gold will face pressure during the holiday week.
Interest rate cuts initially boosted gold prices, but the Fed's forecast of only two rate cuts by 2025 (down from four in September) sparked a sell-off that sent gold prices to lows. lowest since mid-November.
With economic data limited this week due to the Christmas holiday, gold prices are expected to remain in a tight range. Liquidity remains low, reducing volatility and keeping price action subdued.
Gold has hit multiple record highs this year and is up 27% year to date, its best annual gain since 2010, thanks to strong central bank buying, geopolitical tensions and monetary policy monetary easing by major banks.
President-elect Donald Trump will take office on January 20. The market is about to return to trading in a Donald Trump environment, we cannot forget the trading period when he was in office, how the market fluctuated with his emotions on each line.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold continues to maintain activity below the confluence resistance area noted by readers in yesterday's publication at the upper price channel edge and the 0.618% Fibonacci level, to maintain the trend. main discount.
While the recovery has been limited, gold is also trading above the $2,613 technical level, and gold could fall a bit further with a target of around $2,591 as it is sold below $2,613.
The relative strength index (RSI) is operating below 50, which should be considered a negative signal for the trend of gold prices.
During the day, as long as gold remains below the EMA21, the upper price channel edge and the 0.618% Fibonacci, it remains inclined towards a bearish outlook with notable technical points listed as follows.
Support: 2,613 – 2,600 – 2,591USD
Resistance: 2,634 – 2,643USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2646 - 2644⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2650
→Take Profit 1 2639
↨
→Take Profit 2 2634
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2594 - 2596⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2590
→Take Profit 1 2601
↨
→Take Profit 2 2606
XAUUSD: 23/12 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2660, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2650, support below 2600
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, the overall technical side of gold ushered in a wide range of long and short shocks. After the continuous decline and plunge on Thursday, the previous day, breaking the 2600 mark, it rebounded slightly throughout the day on Friday. It ushered in an accelerated high breakthrough before and after the US market and stood above the 2610 mark to continue the bullish rebound. It closed near 2622 last Friday. Today, gold opened in the Asian session and was not strong. It began to fluctuate. Gold has not had a unilateral market for the time being.
From the 4-hour analysis, today's short-term support below is around 2627, focusing on the 2600 first-line support, and the upper pressure is around 2650-60. It is bullish above the 2627 daily level long-short watershed. Because Christmas is coming soon, gold can be bought on dips.
BUY:2627near
BUY:2622near
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
GOLD recovered quite strongly, falling after FOMCOn the Asian market today (Thursday, December 19), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot trading recovered strongly after a sharp decline in the previous trading day. Gold price reached its highest level at the time of writing at 2,618 USD/ounce, an increase of nearly 30 USD during the day.
The market will next receive US economic data, including final third-quarter GDP and weekly unemployment claims.
Market attention will then turn to Friday's release of the U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, which will boost the U.S.'s copper performance. US Dollar and gold in the short term.
FOMC
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates as expected and predicted less policy easing in 2025. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said the threshold for the next rate cut could be higher, which sent the US Dollar and US Treasury yields soaring, while at the same time, Gold fell more than 2% to a one-month low in trading on Wednesday.
Federal Reserve officials cut interest rates for a third straight time on Wednesday, but lowered their forecast for the number of rate cuts next year, signaling they are increasingly cautious about being able to reduce spending. How quickly does the loan cost?
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 11-1 on Wednesday to lower the federal funds rate to a range of 4.25%-4.5%. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack voted against, in favor of keeping interest rates unchanged.
In the FOMC policy statement, Fed officials noted that economic activity continued to expand at a solid pace. Labor market conditions have generally eased since the beginning of this year, with the unemployment rate rising but remaining low. Inflation has made progress toward the committee's 2% target but remains high.
The new Dotplot chart shows some officials expect fewer interest rate cuts next year than they estimated just a few months ago. Fed officials currently expect the benchmark interest rate to be between 3.75% - 4% by the end of 2025, which, according to the median estimate, would mean two rate cuts of 25 points each. basic.
Jerome Powell
The Fed will cut interest rates only twice next year amid rising inflation, according to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, a forecast consistent with Trump's wait-and-see approach when he returned to the White House in January.
Powell said Fed policymakers want to see more progress in reducing inflation when considering future rate-cutting strategies.
US federal funds rate futures have reflected that the Federal Reserve will leave its benchmark overnight interest rate unchanged at its policy meeting on January 28-29 next year.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Thus, gold has enough conditions to decrease in price after falling below the 0.618% Fibonacci level and bringing price activity back below the EMA21 moving average, with a sudden impact from fundamental factors.
In the short term, although gold recovered from the 0.786% Fibonacci retracement level at $2,591, which was the bearish target noted by previous readers, it could still continue to decline further with a target around $2,538. . When the Relative Strength Index dropped below the 50 mark and was quite far from the oversold area, it showed that there is still plenty of room for price decline ahead.
During the day, gold price increases as long as they do not surpass the 0.618% Fibonacci level and EMA21 should only be considered short-term recovery.
Along with that, the downward trend in gold prices will be noticed again by the following technical levels.
Support: 2,591 – 2,552 – 2,538USD
Resistance: 2,624 – 2,634USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2635 - 2633⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2639
→Take Profit 1 2628
↨
→Take Profit 2 2623
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2549 - 2551⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2546
→Take Profit 1 2556
↨
→Take Profit 2 2561
XAUUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 2620.44, which is a pullback resistance aligning with a 50% FIbo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 2600, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 2636.34, a pullback resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Potential bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 2,626.87
1st Support: 2,585.55
1st Resistance: 2,664.92
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
!!! GOLD !!! - Gold by FibonacciHi,
The beginning of the week indicates that the price will move within the Fibonacci lines
This is just an idea!
Be careful!
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed.
We started the day with our Bullish target hit at 2629 with no cross and lock above confirming the rejection.
We are now seeing price head towards the bearish gap below. We are looking for price to stay supported above this level to continue to use our smaller timeframes for entries to buy dips, unless we see a cross and lock below 2600, in which case the lower range will open up.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2629 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2629 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2655
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2694
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2726
BEARISH TARGETS
2600
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2600 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2561
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2561 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2518 - 2486
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
$XAUUSD #XAUUSD GOLD LONGS MONDAY post NYSE 12/23/2024 been intraday bullish on gold eyeing this 2610 level post NYSE open sellside this morning looking to play longs targeting 2620/2625 intraday and potentially 2630+ if we get a big move with some pre Christmas volume my invalidation is around 2607 and i will stop out and take the loss if we break down 2610 into 2608/2607 if we take out the low then fly I'll be mad but such is life
Definitely not financial advice
Trade at your own risk
Be safe much love and happy Holidays
Just going to be using TradingView more often as a personal journal going into the New Year
GOLD (LONG)This is my thoughts on gold currently. I explain what I need to see before entering for a buy so please be sure to watch the whole video.
GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)Gold has started the week off by dropping lower, which is what we want to see. Flat correction + Wave 2 correction complete, which means Wave 3 sell's are in full effect. Any push higher on Gold, use it to your advantage & open further sell positions📉
TP REACHED ON XAUUSD | GC1!Earlier I posted to Buy XAUUSD, and reversed before hitting the SL to enter as a seller since the market gave us a reversal of the movement.
I didn't post it since I was busy with my students, here's the screenshot for you.
Follow for more daily trades!
GOLD (xauusd): it is bearish now!hello guys.
let's make this analysis a simple one!
as you can see gold touched the upper S&D zone perfectly and at the same time touched the top line of the channel!
now the midline of the channel is broken too!
so we can consider a downward movement at least until the bottom line of channel
GOLD What Next? BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2603.3 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 2632.7
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD - 15m | SELL SELLSimple trading - Wyckoff Event
This is an extremely short-term pattern, and there is not much to explain here. Other than this, the pattern/event happens when the market makes a big dip and starts to consolidate. AKA "accumulation phase"
Expect the market to fall back down to the previous support area 2595-2585. After this fall the market should reject support and continue its bullish trend to ATH
BUY CAUUSD | GC1!You can buy on XAUUSD | GC1! after that we got a reversal at the end of the bearish movement and the beginning of an uptrend. Use same SL and TP as mine.
Follow for more!
