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How to Analyze a Stock ? Key Questions to Ask Before You InvestShould I invest in this stock ? This is a common question investors face many times But where do you begin? What should you look for, and what pitfalls should you avoid? This guide will walk you through the essential steps to analyze a stock, focusing on the business itself rather than the stock chart. Since earnings per share (EPS) growth drives returns, it’s crucial to understand how revenue growth and margin expansion contribute over time. Before buying any stock, ask yourself these six critical questions: 1.Company: What does the business do? 2.Economics: How does it generate revenue? 3.Opportunities: What are the potential upsides? 4.Risks: What challenges could it face? 5.Financials: What do the numbers reveal? 6.Valuation: Is the price justified? 1.What’s the Business? - Mission: A clear mission drives long-term success. For example, Google’s mission, “to organize the world’s information and make it universally accessible and useful,” is simple yet powerful. Does the company’s mission align with a growing trend or an unmet need? - Leadership: Effective leadership, especially from founder-led teams or CEOs with a strong track record, often outperforms. Assess the team’s vision, execution skills, and employee approval ratings. - Products: Are the company’s offerings essential, innovative, or part of a growing market? Consider their uniqueness, potential obsolescence, and innovation history. 2.How Do They Make Money? - Revenue Mix: Is the company’s revenue diversified or reliant on a single product or customer? A diverse mix offers stability, while over-reliance can be risky. - Unit Economics: Examine profitability metrics like gross margin and operating margin. Where does the bulk of profit come from? - Key Metrics: Identify metrics like annual recurring revenue (ARR) for subscriptions or gross merchandise value (GMV) for e-commerce that best reflect the company’s performance trends. 3.What Could Go Right? - Market Growth: Does the company operate in a growing industry, such as AI or renewable energy? -Innovation: Look for ongoing R&D and a track record of successful product launches. -Moat Expansion: Assess the company’s competitive advantage, whether it’s a strong brand, proprietary technology, or cost leadership. 4. What Could Go Wrong? -Market Disruption: Is the company prepared for sudden changes, like new technologies or regulations? -Competition: Strong rivals can erode market share. Analyze customer reviews and competitor benchmarks. - Moat Erosion: A shrinking competitive edge—such as declining pricing power or poor retention—can signal trouble. 5.What Do the Numbers Say? - Profitability: Check revenue growth, gross margins, and net income for consistent improvements. - Solvency: Assess the balance sheet for debt-to-equity ratios, cash reserves, and financial stability. - Liquidity: Positive and consistent cash flow indicates sustainability and growth potential. 6.Is the Price Right? - Valuation Metrics: Use Price to Earnings (P/E), Price to Sales (P/S), or other relevant metrics depending on the company’s growth stage. Compare these to peers and market standards. -Investment Horizon: Longer investment timelines can justify higher valuations if growth potential exists. -Focus on Fundamentals: Valuation matters only if the business is strong. Avoid being tempted by low prices without underlying value. By breaking a company into these six dimensions, you can turn complex decisions into actionable insights. Start with the business fundamentals, evaluate opportunities and risks, and finish by assessing valuation. What stock will you analyze next? Let’s put this framework into action now
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by moonypto
GOLD Will Move Lower! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 2,644.615. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 2,625.451 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1
A case for silver.Silver is currently under significant regulatory constraints, and its prevailing market price does not incentivize the allocation of capital toward ventures focused on increasing its supply. This creates a supply constraint for the asset. Beyond its role as an inflation hedge, a characteristic shared by most commodities, silver possesses unique properties that are particularly valuable for industrial applications. As we stand on the brink of a new wave of industrial expansion, silver's conductivity and reflectivity make it indispensable in various technologies, such as solar panels (where China leads in production), antifreeze formulations, and numerous other applications. Recently, President Putin announced that Russia will include silver in its strategic reserves. Meanwhile, China has been engaging in confidential agreements with miners and refiners to secure prices over extended periods. Due to China's relatively loose regulatory framework, these transactions are not publicly disclosed, and as a result, they are not reflected in silver's market price. This can be said for African, Latin-American, or other Asian countries with loose regulation for these kinds of markets. Silver pricing predominantly occurs on the futures market, which underscores cases where a disconnect arises between market prices and underlying realities, leading to potential distortions in valuation. Case 1: JP Morgan commodities trading desk scandal. " A federal jury in the Northern District of Illinois convicted a former trader at JPMorgan Chase and Credit Suisse today of fraud in connection with a spoofing scheme in the gold and silver futures markets. According to court documents and evidence presented at trial, Christopher Jordan, 51, of Mountainside, New Jersey, was an executive director and trader on JPMorgan’s precious metals desk in New York from 2006 to 2009, and on Credit Suisse’s precious metals desk in New York in 2010. Between 2008 and 2010, Jordan placed thousands of spoof orders, i.e., orders that he intended to cancel before execution, to drive prices in a direction more favorable to orders he intended to execute on the opposite side of the market. Jordan engaged in this deceptive spoofing strategy while trading gold and silver futures contracts on the Commodity Exchange (COMEX), which is a commodities exchange operated by the CME Group. These deceptive orders were intended to inject false and misleading information about the genuine supply and demand for gold and silver futures contracts into the markets... Four other former JPMorgan precious metals traders were previously convicted in related cases. In August 2022, Gregg Smith and Michael Nowak... spoofing... In October 2018, John Edmonds pleaded guilty in the District of Connecticut... wire fraud, commodities fraud, price manipulation, and spoofing... In August 2019, Christian Trunz pleaded guilty in the Eastern District of New York to one count of conspiracy to engage in spoofing and one count of spoofing... " This is the article if you'd like to read more: www.justice.gov My thoughts; This type of practice is an example of how there always a disconnect with real life and markets. One must also remember how information travels and the infrastructure and systems in place that runs our financial system. I believe JP Morgan's swift settlement shows to me there was not much accountability addressed. Case 2: Silver Thursday, Hunts Brothers, 1970s " Nelson Bunker Hunt and William Herbert Hunt — oil company executives, investors and brothers — first began purchasing silver in the early 1970s at a price of less than $2 per ounce. The Hunt brothers’ fervor for silver accelerated dramatically following the death of their father in 1974, a Texas oil tycoon known as H.L. Hunt. His passing released a $5 billion fortune to members of the Hunt family. Fueled by an enormous amount of capital, the Hunt brothers continued stockpiling silver and purchasing silver futures contracts. By early 1979, the price of silver had risen to about $6 per ounce. The Hunt brothers acquired roughly 195 million ounces of silver, about a third of the world’s total supply. They facilitated their silver purchases in part by investing in futures contracts through several brokers, including Bache Halsey Stuart Shields, Prudential-Bache Securities, and Prudential Securities. By December 1979, the market price for silver fluctuated between $20 and $25 per ounce. Silver had become exorbitantly expensive even for practical uses. Doctors struggled to afford X-ray film for patients, families melted down their heirloom silver flatware, silver burglaries skyrocketed, and Tiffany’s & Co. was forced to drastically raise its jewelry prices. Tiffany’s even took out a full-page ad in the New York Times criticizing the Hunt brothers, writing, “We think it is unconscionable for anyone to hoard several billion, yes billion, dollars’ worth of silver and thus drive the price up so high that others must pay artificially high prices for articles made of silver.” Silver reached a record high of $48.70 per ounce on Jan. 18, 1980. By some estimates, the Hunt brothers’ entire silver fortune peaked at a value of $10 billion. Thursday, March 27, 1980 Facing out-of-control silver prices, COMEX (Commodity Exchange, Inc.), a division of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), acted against the Hunt brothers. On Jan. 7, 1980, COMEX introduced Silver Rule 7, which placed heavy restrictions on the purchase of commodities on the margin. Following its peak price of $48.70 per ounce, silver began its decline and the Hunt family’s silver fortune began to shrink. On March 27, 1980, known as Silver Thursday, the price of silver dropped 50% in a single day, from $21.62 to $10.80 per ounce. The Hunt brothers failed to meet several margin calls and about $7 billion in paper assets suddenly turned into a $1.7 billion debt. The sudden price drop threatened to collapse several investment firms and banks. To prevent widespread financial chaos, multiple banks joined together to issue the Hunt brothers a $1.1 billion line of credit..." The original article: learn.apmex.com My thoughts: Now you see that one entity can have huge influence on the market. Your once dusty silver mirror can become valuable enough for you to go and find it and clean it and sell it. One actionable step you can take today is to capitalize on silver's current low valuation. There's clearly a lag between what's happening in the physical market and how that information gets reflected in exchange prices. Interestingly, we've seen noticeable price increases and premiums when buying physical silver, but there hasn’t been much movement in the more liquid instruments like the GLD or SLV ETFs—which, by the way, JPM vaults silver for. This disconnect exists because the market takes time to catch up to reality. What’s your take on this? More articles: marketsanity.com www.justice.gov www.reuters.com www.investing.com seekingalpha.com investingnews.com metalsedge.com www.moneymetals.com
COMEX:SI1!Long
by SRNceo
XAUUSD:7/1 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2660, support below 2580 Four-hour resistance 2645, support below 2600-2580 Gold operation suggestions: Gold fluctuated narrowly on Tuesday and is currently trading around 2639. Gold prices fell slightly on Monday. The Federal Reserve recently hinted that it would slow down the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025. U.S. Treasury yields climbed to a new high since May. Gold prices hit a three-day low of around 2614 during the session. However, there were conflicting reports on how aggressive the tariff plan of U.S. President-elect Trump would be after taking office. The U.S. dollar index fell to a new low in more than a week, and gold prices rebounded slightly in late trading. From the 4-hour analysis, we focus on the short-term suppression of the 2645 line on the top, and the short-term support of the 2637-27 line on the bottom, with a focus on support of 2600. The operation is mainly to buy on dips, supplemented by range trading. BUY:2627near BUY:2614near The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ActuaryJ
Today’s gold trend trading analysis Today, gold hit the lowest level of 2626 and began to rebound. The 4-hour big positive line of gold took off directly. A big positive line directly swallowed up countless big negative line entities. This is the strength of the bulls. The big positive line directly lifted the roof. Above gold, we continue to pay attention to the 2655-2658 line, focusing on the 2665 line. If the upper position does not break, do not chase the long position at the high position and the short position at the low position, otherwise non-agricultural week trading will be more difficult. From the 4-hour analysis, pay attention to the support of 2625-2630 below, and pay attention to the short-term suppression of 2655-2658 above, and focus on the high suppression of 2665 last Friday. The main tone of the cycle of selling high and buying low remains unchanged. Always be cautious in chasing orders and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold returns to the 2630-2635 line to go long, stop loss at 2623, and target the 2655-2658 line; 2. Go short on the rebound 2653-2658 line, cover the position on the rebound 2665 line, stop loss 2673, target the 2635-40 line, and look at the 2625-2630 line if the position is broken;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Caesar_Gorman01
GBPUSD Analysis: Bullish Breakout from Falling WedgEThe forex pair GBPUSD is currently trading at 1.25600, with a target price set at 1.28000, indicating a potential gain of over 200 pips. The price action showcases a falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal formation, which has already broken out to the upside. This breakout confirms a shift in momentum, aligning with the bullish prediction made in prior analysis. Falling wedges typically suggest decreasing bearish pressure, paving the way for buyers to dominate. The breakout signifies a strong upward move, reinforcing confidence in the target price. Traders may see this as an opportunity to capitalize on the bullish trend. However, market conditions, such as economic data or geopolitical events, should still be monitored. Proper risk management remains essential to mitigate potential losses. This setup highlights the importance of technical analysis in identifying profitable trading opportunities.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Gold - Ready to break higher as tariff tensions escalateGold has made modest ground through Asia, adding $8 on the day, however, the news flow certainly suggests a higher probability that we could soon see increasing buying flows, as investors start to seek out portfolio protection from the incoming tariff hostilities. News that China added to its gold reserves for a second consecutive month in December, taking its reserves rise to 73.29m ounces from 72.96m in November, is one supportive factor. Another could be its role as a hedge against the impending tariff news flow. Tariffs are well known to markets and the idea that Trump will come in on 20 January and put through orders to hit various economies with tariffs is firmly discounted. What is not priced is aspect of the counter response and the potential retaliation measures…. Of course, It’s not as if anyone expects those nations targeted by Trump’s tariffs to simply take it without a counter response, but it depends on what that response looks like and whether it leads to a painful and protracted tit for tat ‘battle’ that plays out on socials and the media headlines. Today, amid Justin Trudeau’s resignation, speculation in the Canadian press suggested the Canadians could preannounce a list of US goods that will face retaliatory tariffs in the case of Trump hitting them with 25% tax on all Canadian products. Publishing this list before Trump takes office would be seen as a step in aggression and would not be taken well by either Trump and Jamieson Greer. In China/HK, the US Defence department has added Tencent to its list of Chinese military companies operating in the US. Not a tariff as such, but this geopolitical development would be a big surprise, not just to the company (shares are -7.3%), but would be seen as an act in bad faith by the Chinese government. China themselves would be preparing for the worst when it comes to tariffs – they have not adhered to any of promises made in the prior agreements to buy certain US goods in a gesture to reduce the US trade deficit. Trump will use that as in his negotiations, and if there is one economy that is unlikely to get much of a cushion in the upcoming trade talks, its China. How will China respond? Depreciate the RMB, look at trade ties with other nations (we’re certainly seeing that with China-Mexico forging ties) or come back with counter tariffs on US imports. The Washington Post reported yesterday that Trump’s aides were exploring universal tariffs only on critical imports and not on all goods – a fact that that was quickly shut down by Trump. If the WaPo are credible, and many suspect this will be the case, it ultimately could be a positive for risk in the long run. However, in the near-term, if the Canadian news comes to fruition, I think it opens the idea that we should prepare now for tit for tat retaliation, and its here where investors may start to look at gold as a hedge against this impending hawkish news flow. So, while it all depends how hard ball each party wants to appear, it could create a new level of noise and uncertainty that could see higher market volatility and push gold through the range highs of $2726 and towards $2800.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Pepperstone
The market is reshuffled and continues to run in a range todayGold fluctuated widely yesterday. The closing price of the daily line remained above the MA10 daily average line of 2626, and adjusted in the middle track of the daily Bollinger band. The Bollinger band of the four-hour chart gradually closed. Returning to the oscillation zone, the same is true for the hourly chart, so treat it as oscillation in the short term! Gold continues to fluctuate in a large range, and continues to short at the high rebound in the Asian session. There is no trend market now, so don't chase it easily. Continue to short at the high rebound of gold. After gold breaks through the range, you can follow the trend. Gold's 30-minute moving average continues to cross downward and arrange shorts. Gold rebounded at 2649 yesterday and began to fall under pressure. Gold rebounded below 2649 and continued to short at highs. This week is a data week. Gold is likely to continue to fluctuate at the beginning of the week, and then wait for the data to determine the winner. First support: 2632, second support: 2626, third support: 2614 First resistance: 2643, second resistance: 2649, third resistance: 2659 Operation ideas: BUY: 2614-2617 SELL: 2647-2650
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
Maintain neutrality, pay attention to US data todayAs of press time on Tuesday (January 7), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery maintains a moderate recovery trend during the day, with gold prices currently around 2,639 USD/ounce. Gold prices continue to stabilize, with technical trends unchanged from previous releases. During this trading day, US macro data will be in focus with the data mentioned below expected to create significant volatility in the short term. Today (Tuesday), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). This important employment data is expected to cause large fluctuations in gold prices this trading day. Economists predict that there will be 7.7 million JOLT job openings in the United States in November, compared with 7.744 million in October. The JOLTS job vacancy report was one of the labor force indicators that U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen valued most when she was chair of the Federal Reserve. This index is also labor market data that the Fed is very interested in. Additionally, on the same day, the US ISM non-manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) for December will be published and is expected to be 53.5, compared to the previous value of 52.1. In terms of technical structure, OANDA:XAUUSD Still mainly accumulating activities with price activities sticking around the EMA21 line. And the cumulative sideways trend is depicted by the purple price triangle. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index is also sticking around 50, showing that market sentiment is also hesitant and waiting for a significant fundamental impact to create a short-term trend. During the day, the technical outlook for gold prices is neutral, moving sideways and accumulating with notable levels that will be listed as follows. Support: 2,634 – 2,604 – 2,600USD Resistance: 2,664 – 2,693USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2658 - 2656⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2662 →Take Profit 1 2651 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2646 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2623 - 2625⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2519 →Take Profit 1 2630 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2640
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
2
Gold H4 | Rising into 61.8% Fibonacci resistanceGold (XAU/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 2,662.47 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 2,704.35 which is an overlap resistance that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 2,605.66 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FXCM
Choppy Market: Patience and Key Levels to WatchThis chart highlights a low-probability trading environment with corrective structures and low volatility. Key focus areas: Upside Breakout: Watch for impulsive moves above the 30M trendline and 4H LQZ for short-term bullish setups. Downside Correction: A steeper drop into the 15M or 1H LQZ may provide higher-probability long opportunities. Stay Patient: Avoid trading inside the choppy range; wait for clear reactions at liquidity zones or strong breakouts with momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
Gold is still a safe investment channel.After a 27% gain in 2024, gold is still making experts and retail investors confident, with the precious metal forecast to surpass $3,000 an ounce this year. However, the rally will not happen immediately as the current consolidation phase is expected to last for several more months. Some experts predict that gold will trade in the range of $2,500-2,700 an ounce in the first half of the year, but prices will break out and surpass $3,000 an ounce in the second half of 2025. The bullish macro picture, combined with continued geopolitical risks and strong government buying, will push gold prices to new highs in 2025. Gold prices are largely driven by the Federal Reserve’s decision this year. “The key question for the gold market now is how quickly the Fed will ease policy following Donald Trump’s victory, with the inflationary impact of Trump’s policies likely to result in fewer rate cuts than expected.”
TVC:GOLD
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Nonfarm Forecast This WeekendUS Treasury yields rose to their highest since May last year, which has been a factor in the decline in gold prices. In contrast, the US dollar index fell sharply today due to concerns about the country's ballooning debt burden, which also supported gold's highs. In a new development, President-elect Donald Trump denied that he would ease new trade tariffs. Mr. Trump dismissed a Washington Post report citing his aides as saying that the new president might be more selective about new tariffs. After rising 27% in 2024, Goldman Sachs recently dropped its forecast for gold to reach $3,000 an ounce by the end of 2025, instead forecasting 2026 due to expectations that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates less. Investors are now looking ahead to Friday's nonfarm payrolls data, which is expected to help shape expectations for the Fed's interest rate path this year. Market watchers are also looking to private sector employment data and the minutes of the Fed's most recent policy meeting for further details. 🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2640 - 2638🔥 💵 TP1: 2630 💵 TP2: 2620 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2647
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Pre-Market Analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and Gold Futures The Nasdaq closed higher with an upper wick on the daily chart. As mentioned previously, this week is expected to show buying pressure at the beginning, followed by selling pressure towards the latter half. After the 240-minute chart's buy signal, the daily chart's MACD is moving closer to the Signal line, indicating buying momentum. However, achieving a complete golden cross appears challenging due to the divergence and angle. The 21,900–22,000 range is considered a short-term high zone, where the market might either sharply drop after forming an upper wick or move sideways before failing the golden cross, leading to a downward shift in the MACD and a subsequent sell-off. Notably, Nvidia, which has been driving the current index, continues to show strength. Monitoring Nvidia's previous high as a resistance point will be crucial. While the 240-minute chart exhibits strong buying pressure, the steep angle of the recent surge suggests that managing risk and opting for selling opportunities near the highs—rather than buying on dips—would be more advantageous. Additionally, keep an eye on key economic indicators such as the ISM Services Index and JOLTS report, which are scheduled for release today. Crude oil closed lower with an upper wick. Given its recent rapid surge, crude oil's daily chart shows significant divergence from the 5-day moving average. It is advantageous to focus on selling at the highs in this scenario. If the price pulls back to the 240-day moving average, observing whether it finds support will be critical. This week, oil could pull back to the 3-week moving average on the weekly chart and then rebound. Therefore, caution is advised against chasing the rally, and selling near previous highs would be prudent. However, buying on dips near the 3-week moving average could present an opportunity. On the longer-term 240-minute chart, a bearish candlestick at the high has triggered a sell signal. It would be wise to anticipate potential sharp declines and prioritize selling during rebounds. For buying opportunities, it is recommended to act cautiously and at significantly lower levels. Gold closed lower with a lower wick. Ahead of Friday’s non-farm payroll data, gold is likely to remain range-bound in a consolidation phase. On the weekly chart, gold faces resistance from moving averages, and this week’s key data releases may determine its trend. On the daily chart, while a buy signal was generated, gold failed to make a significant surge, leading to the MACD and Signal line moving sideways. With market flows becoming more uncertain, a range-bound strategy is advisable. On the 240-minute chart, gold could form a triangular consolidation pattern in the short term. Until Friday, trading within a range would be the most effective approach. The weather has turned colder with a cold wave sweeping in, and flu season is here. Please take care of your health, and I wish you successful trading today! ■Nasdaq - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 21,660 / 21,565 / 21,495 / 21,450 -Sell Levels: 21,885 / 21,940 / 22,005 / 22,045 / 22,110 ■Oil - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 72.80 / 71.90 / 71.00 -Sell Levels: 73.60 / 74.20 / 74.85 ■Gold - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 2,641 / 2,635 / 2,625 -Sell Levels: 2,652 / 2,658 / 2,666 / 2,672
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with our plans to buy dips playing out, as analysed. We started the day with the bearish target 2633 being hit, followed with a bounce allowing us to safely capture a clean 40 pips. We did not chase any further, as we got the ema5 lock below 2633 opening 261. Our lock confirmed further movement was due down and just like we analysed another drop followed. The drop was just short of the full gap to 2611 and just above the retracement range, which followed with the bounce inline with our plans. 2611 is a weighted level and as long as we see no lock below 2611, we should see a continuation of the bounce into completing the Bullish gap above. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2661 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2661 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2681 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2681 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2711 BEARISH TARGETS 2633 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2611 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2611 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2593 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2593 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2570 - 2551 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11
Gold (XAU/USD) Symmetrical Triangle Break Imminent?Chart Analysis: Gold is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, signaling a potential breakout in either direction as the apex approaches. 1️⃣ Key Levels: Resistance: $2,670 (upper triangle boundary). Support: $2,590–$2,600 (lower triangle boundary). 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): At $2,655, acting as immediate dynamic resistance. 200-day SMA (red): At $2,493, indicating long-term bullish bias. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: At 49.77, neutral, suggesting indecision in market direction. MACD: Bearish divergence persists, but momentum is stabilizing. What to Watch: A break above $2,670 could signal a bullish continuation toward $2,750–$2,800. A breakdown below $2,590 would expose $2,500 or lower levels. Conclusion: The symmetrical triangle highlights a period of consolidation. Monitor for a confirmed breakout with strong volume to determine the next directional move.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
3
Competition for gold longs and shorts intensifies The current price of gold is around 2,628.81, indicating that the market has recently shown a certain shock correction. The overall trend has formed a correction trend after a high point (2,664.49), and the price is approaching the key support area. The rising trend line provides long-term support, while the falling trend line limits the upward space of the price. The hourly line correction range (0.382, 0.5, 0.618, etc.). The price has tested the 0.5 (2,624.00) and 0.618 (2,614.5) levels many times, and has shown support in this range. The current short-term trend may test the support near 0.786 (2,600.98). Resistance level: 2,633.59 and 2,664.49 are important resistance points. If these positions are broken, the upward space will be opened. Support level: 2,624.00 and 2,614.5 are the recent key supports. If they fall below, they may further test the support range near the red trend line (about 2,608-2,600). From the current trend, the price may continue to fall after a brief rebound in the current area, testing the lower support. If the bulls are not strong enough, they may fall further to the area below 2,600. However, if the current key support can be maintained and the recent highs can be broken, there is a chance to regain the upward trend. Operation suggestions: Short-term, you can pay attention to the support role of the 2,614.5-2,624.00 range and choose to intervene at a low level. At the same time, set a reasonable stop loss. If it falls below 2,600, you need to leave the market in time. Long-term investors can wait for a clearer direction to be chosen before making a layout. In short, the current market is at an important decision point. It is recommended to pay close attention to market trends and adjust strategies dynamically based on technical indicators and fundamentals.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by RonPeter_Trading
2
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week's KOG Report we said we would look for two levels from the open to be attempted where we wanted to short the market. The first level of 2630-5 worked extremely well for us giving us a level to level, point to point short into the red box region and target level we had shared. This move completed a majority of our bearish targets apart from one, also giving us the opportunity to then long back up into the Excalibur targets we had above. During the later part of the week we shared the updated chart and gave the levels again to attempt the short, and again, a pinpoint short came from the level we wanted and we closed the week with runners left on those trades. Another decent week in Camelot, not only on Gold but also the other pairs we trade and analyse giving us a 15 out of 16 targets completed. So, what can we expect from the week ahead? To start, we have NFP towards the end of the week, so we’ll use this report for the first half of the week and then release the NFP KOG Report with our view per-event. After the bearish move on Friday, we’ll be looking for a base during the early sessions, potentially deeper into the 2625-30 region before then attempting the long trade back up to target the resistance levels. It’s those resistance levels 2640 and above that again the 2650-55 region that need to be monitored this week for the break, if held, further opportunities may be available to short again unless broken. We’re still in the larger range with key level support 2605 and resistance sitting way up at 2670-75 so it gives us some idea of the play. If we do break above that 2550 level and hold with a close, we'll look higher again into the range high trading level to level. KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 2630 with targets above 2650, 2655 and above that 2667 Bearish below 2630 with targets below 2624, 2620, 2610 and below that 2604 RED BOXES: Break above 2640 for 2646, 2650, 2659 and 2670 in extension of the move Break below 2625 for 2620, 2617, 2610 and 2604 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
25