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XAUUSD 22/12/25XAUUSD Analysis Last week, we began with a bullish bias, but our outlook quickly shifted to bearish by Monday's close. This shift led to the significant downside movement observed during the latter half of the week, driven by fundamentals. We saw a substantial run targeting the lower levels, which brings us to today’s bias, which remains bearish. Currently, we are focused on the three liquidity lows as our primary targets. As always, we look to the highs within the range to provide optimal entries for these targets. At the moment, there is a high in the middle of the range, but we are prioritizing the higher, more favorable highs for potential short positions. If an entry aligns with our plan, this could lead to the final sell-off of the week before the New Year approaches. Trade safe and stick to your plan.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
#202451 - priceactiontds - year end special - gold futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: I know it’s an ugly chart, bear with me. Gold spent 2020 - 2024 inside a 570 point range and started the recent bull trend with the breakout in 2024-03. Since then Gold has made 30%, which is more than unusual to say the least. From 2018 to 2020 it made 50% but only because it lost 36% from 2011 to 2018. Market is much less obvious on higher time frames than I’d like. Both sides have reasonable arguments going for them. For bulls it’s that the bull trend is ongoing while bears could see the leg down from 2826 down to 2566 as the first in the new bear trend. Bulls would like a third leg up which could lead to 3000. Both are valid and that is why it’s most likely that the market will move sideways rather than trend big time to either direction. My favorite path forward would be a trend down to 2300 and then sideways inside a big range 2300 - 2600. current market cycle: Bull trend is ongoing until bears can close consecutive weekly bars below the 20ema, which is at 2640 right now. Could the new bear trend have started with W1 from 2826 down to 2566? Yes. Both can be valid at the same time. key levels for 2025: 2500 - 3000 (if 2500 breaks, 2300 would be the next big target below) bull case: Bulls want a W5 up to 3000. Easy as pie is that read and seeing it on the chart. Hard part, as always, is giving probabilities to it and as of now, I won’t make any. The market is in balance around 2650 and I would need prices above 2760 or below 2560 to have a stronger opinion about it. That’s short but all I have to write about it for now. Can’t make stuff up where there is none. Invalidation is below 2500. bear case: Bears see the move down from the ath as a W1 of the new bear trend which could lead down to my biggest bear goal for 2025 at 2200ish. Here are the big bear targets in order. First is the 50% retracement of the recent bull trend at 2500. It’s also the breakout price from the W1 high and the old ath from 2011-08. Second bigger target would be 2300 which is a measured move down from the bearish W1 from the ath, the 2023-05 high (breakout-retest) and it would close the big bull gap the market left behind. Third and final target, which is the most unreasonable one for now, is 2200 which is the 50% retracement from the whole bull trend since 2018. Invalidation is above 3050. short term: Neutral. Lower highs and higher lows. Market is in a triangle again and in balance around 2650. medium-long term: Will only give one above 2760 or below 2560. current swing trade: None
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds
Traders BEWARE! Extreme Volatility In 2025-26. LOOK OUT!I just completed a deep dive into my Adaptive Dynamic Learning modeling system, and I'm here to tell you that 2025 and most of 2026 will be highly volatile. If you do not attempt to stay ahead of these market trends, you could suffer a loss of 35% to 45% (or more) over the next 18 months or more. If you want to learn how to navigate these trends, I suggest you find someone you trust to help you identify the best opportunities for your investments and trading. This is no joke. This is the type of event that destroys trader's accounts and disrupts global economies. If you are not prepared for this, get busy trying to find someone to help you. Merry Christmas. Buckle up. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
5
Could the Gold reverse from here?The price is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 2,627.88 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 2,655.19 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 2,585.75 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
THE KOG REPORT - ELECTION SPECIAL COMPLETEDKOG first published this chart at the beginning of November prior to the US Election with our view of the movement expected and the trade plan for the month. We highlighted the path with the Red arrows and added the green arrows with the actual movement. As you can see, we weren't too far off with the projection using it to then trade the levels intra-day and for the swings successfully. It's worked well and combined with our tools, indicators, algo and target activations we can honestly say it's been another great year in Camelot. We will end this idea here and mark it as completed at the green arrow point above. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
2
GOLD → Short to medium term perspectiveFX:XAUUSD after breaking through the support and updating the local minimum is returning to the area of 2620-2625, fueling the hopes of the bulls for possible growth. But, the medium-term picture for gold is not stable. Let's understand The strong dollar, which soared to local highs is a threat to gold going forward, as the Fed's hints of halting the rate cut course and adopting a hawkish stance on monetary policy has affected the market quite aggressively. There are 2 rate cuts pledged for 2025. Not to forget Trump's policies in general - the impact on rising inflation.... There are two interesting charts online that should not be overlooked: Statistics play an important role in shaping prices, but it is worthwhile to base this on actual fundamental and technical data. You should not use these statistical charts as primary data, but you can take them into account. We will analyze the dollar in terms of cycles and possible reversal in the second half of January and further as Trump acts.... As for gold, technically, in the short and medium term, I expect the decline to continue for the following reasons: - the bearish structure is confirmed - a localized retest of the zone of interest and imbalance is forming before a further fall. - The bearish trend has not broken within the framework of the December 10-13 movement. - price updates local lows We continue to follow the zones: 2631-2636 and 2650 Regards R. Linda!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
14
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Dec 22 - Dec 27]This week, OANDA:XAUUSD fell quite sharply from 2,664 USD/oz to 2,582 USD/oz, then recovered to 2,631 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,622 USD/oz. The reason gold prices dropped sharply this week is because the FED cut interest rates by another 0.25% as predicted. However, what caused disappointed investors to sell off gold was because the Fed chairman said he would only cut interest rates two more times in 2025. Previously, in September 2024, the FED predicted four more cuts. interest rate next year. In the same context, the US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) index in November increased by 2.8% over the same period last year, unchanged compared to October, but still much higher than the target. of the Fed is 2%. This also strengthens the possibility that the FED will reduce the current monetary easing cycle. Furthermore, Donald Trump is about to take office as US President for his second term. If Mr. Trump implements a fiscal expansion policy and sharply increases tariffs with America's trading partners, it will significantly reduce the country's trade deficit, meaning the supply of USD will decrease sharply, pushing the currency This increases, thereby negatively affecting gold prices. Furthermore, Mr. Trump's tax policy also increases inflation, forcing the Fed to delay cutting interest rates, or even raise interest rates again if inflation skyrockets. Next week's gold price is likely to be torn between FED's monetary policy and geopolitical instability. However, next week, most international investors will be on holiday for Christmas and New Year 2025, so gold trading volume will decrease sharply, causing gold prices next week to only fluctuate within a narrow range. 📌From a technical perspective, next week's gold price will likely continue to adjust and accumulate. Accordingly, if next week's gold price still trades above the threshold of 2,582 USD/oz, it will continue to move sideways within the range of 2,585 - 2,665 USD/oz before the holiday. On the contrary, if next week's gold price is pushed below 2,582 USD/oz, there is a risk of falling to 2,530 USD/oz. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,591 – 2,552 – 2,538USD Resistance: 2,623 – 2,634 – 2,656USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2666 - 2664⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2670 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2529 - 2531⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2525
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing ema5 play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2629 and a gap below at 2600. We need ema5 to cross and lock above or below the weighted Goldturns to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2629 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2629 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2655 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2694 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2726 BEARISH TARGETS 2600 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2600 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2561 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2561 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2518 - 2486 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
2
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see the daily chart update we have been trading and tracking for a while now, to give you all an overall view of the range. After completing 2686 previously we were left with a candle body close break opening the gap above but had no cross and lock therefore confirming rejection for the move down. We are now seeing price play in the retracement range and expect this range to provide support with the lowest in the range we can see 2560 and support above this level should provide bounces to chase targets above. We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas. Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Another update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now and still playing out as analysed. As stated already this chart allowed us to project the long term corrections and direction. We are using this chart to track our bullish targets until no ema5 lock to confirm rejections on the levels. The channel top is continuing to provide support like we stated for the past few weeks, We had a test within the channel into 2590 axis inline with the retracement range, which gave the perfect reactional support bounce. This is the beauty of our Gold channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than the price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn. As long as we see no ema5 break and lock below into the channel, we cane safely continue with our plans to buy dips in this range within the boxes using the levels just like last weeks reactional bounce on the retracement axis level. We will continue to track the movement down and trade the bounces up, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gaps above for the future. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
2
HelenP. I Gold can rise a little and then drop to $2590Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some days ago price made a gap and then reached the support level, which coincided with the support zone. Then XAU broke this level and continued to move up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone and soon broke it too. Next, the price rose to 2720 points and then made an impulse down, breaking the resistance level, after which tried to back up, but failed and some time traded below the 2665 level. Some time later, Gold reached the resistance level again and finally broke it one more time, after which rose to the trend line. Then the price turned around and started to decline inside a downward pennant, where it soon dropped to the resistance level and broke it again. Then Gold fell to the support zone, after which turned around and tried to grow but failed and dropped back to the support zone. Recently price finally started to grow and reached an even trend line, which continues to trades close. For this case, I expect that XAUUSD will make a small move up, higher than the trend line, and then start to decline. For this reason, I set my goal at a 2590 support level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
2
Analysis of gold trend next weekAnalysis of gold trend next week: Based on the current news, data and technical aspects. The trading strategy for next week will be mainly short selling at high levels. First of all, the first pressure level 2638-42 will be the main reference pressure level. Gold can continue to be short when it reaches around 2638-42. The short-term pressure level 2632 will be our final As a defensive position, as long as gold does not break through the 2642 line and stands firm, gold will still maintain a short trend. The closer the price is to 2638-42, the more beneficial it is for us to be short! From the daily and hourly lines, the shorts are pressing step by step, and there is still room for shorts. From the 4-hour analysis, the upper resistance focuses on the 2638-42 line, and the lower support focuses on the 2586-92 area. The intraday pullback relies on this position to continue shorting at high levels, and falls back along the short trend. The daily level is under pressure below this position and continues to maintain the high shorting rhythm unchanged. If you buy more against the trend, please be cautious about the buying point, enter the market with a light position, and strictly set a stop loss. Gold operation strategy: 1. Short sell gold when it rebounds to 2638-2642, stop loss at 2651, target at 2588-2593; 2. Buy gold when it falls back to 2586-2593, stop loss at 2575, target at 2630-35;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Caesar_Gorman101
1
GOLD → Interest rates are dropping, so why is gold falling?Hello, dear friends! Ben here! Gold prices remain consolidated below the $2,600 level following a strong two-way price movement in the previous session and stay near their lowest point in over a month. The primary reason for the decline in gold prices is the recent decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates by an additional 0.25%. While this move was widely anticipated, the Fed also indicated that it plans to reduce rates at a slower pace in 2025. The impact of recent Fed rate cuts had already been priced into gold. At this point, investors are eager to know how many rate cuts the Fed will execute in 2025. According to the Fed's latest interest rate projections, only two rate cuts are expected in 2025, compared to four cuts projected in the September forecast. In theory, the Fed’s hawkish stance has worked effectively: the dollar has strengthened, and the markets have weakened. Today, all eyes are on GDP and the PCE data—an index the Fed considers a key measure of inflation. From a technical perspective, after retesting the previously broken channel boundary and an imbalance zone, gold prices have dropped further. As a result, a clear trend is emerging that warrants close observation. If the price fails to hold above the critical support level around $2,586/ounce, it is highly likely to decline toward the $2,521/ounce area. Sincerely, Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update : Big Rally Closing Out 2024Over the course of the past 6+ months, I've been sharing research and content to try to help traders all over the world learn to profit by making better decisions. Some of the comments I've received have been very positive. But some of the comments I get are negative and some people have explained how they continue to lose money trading. In my mind, if you are gambling with your trading account - you will likely lose money. If you are actually trading (trying to book profits ASAP) and grow your account efficiently, you can make consistent money trading small amounts. In order to try to illustrate this example of trading, I created a $1000 trading account and limited myself to only trading $333 (MAX) per day. Here are the rules I set for myself... ------------------------------------------------- Trading Plan - Start with $1000 in capital - Break that capital into 1/3 Daily limits - Trade no more than 2-4 times a day - Try to target 1-2 short term-trades and 1-2 intermediate-term trades each day - Attempt to keep my losses limited (depending on market volatility) - If I lose more than $300, I will stop trading and reevaluate what I’m doing right/wrong The Daily Average Goal is 15-35% or more over a 30-day period of time. I will try to execute the trades early in the morning and share the trades with Ment.com members. I will attempt to pull the short-term trades off as early as possible (trying to lock in gains). I will attempt to let the intermediate-term trades run a bit longer (possibly more than 1-2 days) in an effort to catch bigger price swings. I will not attempt to chase market trends unless I see a very clear A-B-C type of price pattern. ------------------------------------------------- After just five days of trading, my account is up over $45% and I've never risked more than $250 - $300 per day trading Options. Anyone can do this - you just need the right tools and guidance. You can DOUBLE your $1000 trading account every 20 to 30 days if you are diligent, consistent, and really learn to trade (not Gamble). What is it going to take for you to learn how to trade efficiently? I'm trying to show you HOW to do it and HOW to learn the skills to improve your life. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
5