XAU/USD: Pullback Likely After Breakout Above Key ResistanceThe XAU/USD market has broken above last week’s high and is now testing the 3080 resistance level. Following this strong move, a pullback appears likely before any further advance. With bullish momentum still dominant, the market may continue higher or enter a sideways phase into next week.
If a pullback occurs, the previous resistance zone, now acting as support, could offer a buying opportunity—particularly near the 3050 level. With high-impact news on the horizon, the market may either range or retrace before resuming its upward trend. The next key target is the resistance zone around 3085
Gold
SPY’s Epic Crash: Bearish Flag Unleashed!Buckle up, trading fam, because the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) just pulled a move so wild, it’s giving Keeping Up with the Kardashians a run for its money. We’re talking a bearish flag breakdown on the 4-hour chart that’s got more twists than a Game of Thrones finale, more drama than a Bachelor rose ceremony, and more profit potential than a Shark Tank pitch gone viral. If you’re ready to laugh, learn, and maybe make some cash, then grab your popcorn—this 2,500-word rollercoaster is about to take you on a ride you won’t forget! 🎢
Act 1: SPY’s Golden Era—Living Its Best Barbie Life
Let’s set the scene: it’s late October 2024, and SPY is strutting its stuff like it’s Margot Robbie in Barbie. The price climbs from $570 to a dazzling $607.98 by mid-January 2025—a 6.5% glow-up that’s got traders swooning harder than Ken at a Dreamhouse party. SPY’s basically saying, “I’m not just an ETF—I’m iconic,” as it basks in the glow of a bull market hotter than a Love Island villa.
But here’s the tea: even the shiniest stars can fall. By mid-January, the Stochastic Oscillator at the bottom of the chart is flashing “overbought” signals louder than a Real Housewives reunion meltdown. It’s the first sign of trouble—like when you realize the DJ at the club just played “Sweet Caroline” for the third time, and the vibe’s about to go south. SPY’s living large, but the party’s about to get crashed, Jersey Shore style.
Act 2: The Flagpole Plunge—SPY Sinks Faster Than the Titanic
Cue the dramatic music, because mid-January 2025 is when SPY decides to pull a full-on Titanic. The price plummets from $607.98 to $566.77 in a matter of days—a $41.21 drop, or 6.8%, that’s got traders screaming “I’m not okay!” louder than a Euphoria episode. This sharp decline is the flagpole of our bearish flag pattern, and it’s a doozy. SPY’s sinking faster than Jack and Rose’s ship, and the bulls are left clinging to the wreckage like there’s no room on the door. 🚢
The Stochastic Oscillator dives into oversold territory (below 20), confirming the bearish momentum is stronger than the Hulk after a double espresso. It’s a bloodbath on Wall Street, and SPY’s the main character in this tragic plot twist. But just when you think the drama’s over, SPY decides to play coy—like a Bachelor contestant who says “I’m not here for the right reasons” but sticks around for the drama anyway. Enter the consolidation phase, aka the “flag” part of the bearish flag pattern. Let’s break it down, shall we?
Act 3: The Flag—SPY’s Tease Game Is Stronger Than a Love Island Bombshell
From late January to mid-February 2025, SPY enters a consolidation phase that’s more tantalizing than a Love Island bombshell walking into the villa. The price bounces between $566.77 and $577.74, forming a sneaky little upward-sloping channel. It’s like SPY’s playing hard to get, teasing traders with a “Will I rally? Will I crash?” vibe that’s got everyone on edge. The Stochastic Oscillator hovers below 50, like a villa couple who’s “just talking” but definitely not coupled up yet.
This consolidation is the “flag” in the bearish flag pattern, and it’s a classic setup. Think of it as SPY taking a quick breather after its big fall, sipping a cocktail by the pool before diving back into the drama. Bearish flags are continuation patterns, meaning the price is likely to keep falling after this little flirt-fest. It’s like when you’re watching The Masked Singer—you know the reveal’s coming, but the suspense is what keeps you glued to the screen. And trust me, you won’t want to miss the next act.
Act 4: The Breakout—SPY Says “I’m Out!” Like a RuPaul’s Drag Race Exit
Mid-February 2025 arrives, and SPY decides it’s done with the games. The price breaks below the lower trendline of the flag at $566.77, and it’s like watching a RuPaul’s Drag Race queen sashay away after a lip-sync battle: dramatic, fierce, and leaving the bulls in the dust. The breakout confirms the bearish flag pattern, and the bears are strutting their stuff like they just won the crown. 👑
The price doesn’t just dip—it plunges to $546.33 by late March 2025, a further drop of $20.44 (or 3.6%) from the breakout point. The Stochastic Oscillator dives back into oversold territory, confirming the bearish momentum is back with a vengeance. SPY’s basically telling the bulls, “You better work—because I’m not!” as it leaves them gagging on the runway.
Let’s talk about the measured move—the price target for this bearish flag. We take the length of the flagpole ($41.21) and project it downward from the breakout point ($566.77). That gives us a target of $525.56. SPY doesn’t quite hit that mark—it bottoms out at $546.33—but it gets close enough to make traders sweat harder than a Chopped contestant with 30 seconds left on the clock. It’s a solid performance, even if it didn’t stick the landing perfectly.
Pop Culture Parallels: SPY’s Bearish Flag Is a Reality TV Showdown
Let’s take a step back and look at this chart through a pop culture lens, because SPY’s bearish flag is basically a reality TV showdown. The initial uptrend from October to January is the honeymoon phase—think The Bachelor contestants on their first group date, all smiles and champagne. 🥂
The flagpole drop in mid-January is the drama bomb, like when a contestant gets caught kissing someone else in the hot tub. The consolidation phase is the confessional montage, where everyone’s talking smack and plotting their next move. And the breakout? That’s the rose ceremony—SPY’s handing out its final rose to the bears, and the bulls are sent packing with nothing but a suitcase and some tears.
Trading Tips: How to Slay This Bearish Flag Like a Drag Race Superstar
Now that we’ve had our fun, let’s get down to business. How can you trade this bearish flag like a Drag Race superstar? Here’s the tea, served piping hot:
1. Short the Breakout (Sashay, Don’t Shantay)
When SPY broke below the flag at $566.77, that was your cue to short the stock faster than you can say “Sashay away!” A short position here could’ve netted you a $20.44 gain per share as the price dropped to $546.33—enough to buy yourself a new wig for the next challenge.
2. Set a Stop-Loss (Don’t Get Read for Filth)
To avoid getting read for filth by a fake-out, set a stop-loss above the flag’s upper trendline at $577.74. That way, if the breakout flops harder than a Drag Race comedy challenge, you’re safe.
3. Target the Measured Move (Go for the Crown)
The measured move target of $525.56 was the goal, but SPY stopped at $546.33. That’s still a win—like making it to the top 4 but not snatching the crown. If you’d shorted at the breakout, you’d be serving looks and profits.
4. Watch for a Bounce (Don’t Sleep on the Comeback)
As of late March 2025, SPY’s at $546.33, and the Stochastic is oversold. This could mean a short-term bounce is coming, like a Drag Race queen returning for an All-Stars season. Keep an eye on resistance at $566.77 and $577.74—if SPY breaks above those, the bears might be in for a shady twist.
The Bigger Picture: Is SPY’s Downtrend the New Black?
Let’s zoom out for a hot second. Before this bearish flag, SPY was in a strong uptrend for months, living its best life like a Vogue cover star. This pattern marks a potential trend reversal, like when skinny jeans went out of style and baggy pants became the new black. If the downtrend continues, the next support level could be around $540—or even lower if things get really messy.
But here’s the million-dollar question: is this the start of a bigger bear market, or just a temporary dip? It’s like trying to predict the winner of Survivor—nobody knows, but everyone’s got a theory. The Stochastic being oversold suggests a bounce might be near, but the overall trend is still bearish. So, keep your wits about you, because this market’s shadier than a Real Housewives dinner party.
Why This Chart Is More Addictive Than a Love Is Blind Binge
If you’re still here, you’re officially obsessed—and I don’t blame you! This SPY chart is more addictive than a Love Is Blind binge because it’s got all the elements of a great reality show: drama, suspense, and a cast of characters (the bulls and bears) who can’t stop fighting. The bearish flag is the villain we love to hate, and the price action is the love triangle we can’t stop watching.
Plus, trading is a lot like reality TV. You’ve got your highs (the uptrend), your lows (the flagpole drop), and those messy in-between moments (the consolidation). But when the breakout happens, it’s like the finale episode where someone finally gets engaged—or in this case, the bears get their moment in the spotlight. 💍
Final Thoughts: Don’t Miss the Next Episode of SPY’s Reality Show
SPY’s bearish flag breakdown is a masterclass in technical analysis, wrapped in a package of drama and sass that’d make even the most stoic trader crack a smile. Whether you’re a Wall Street pro or a newbie just here for the tea, this chart has something for everyone.
So, what’s next for SPY? Will it hit that $525.56 target, or will the bulls stage a comeback like a Love Is Blind couple at the altar? Only time will tell, but one thing’s for sure: you won’t want to miss the next episode of this reality show. Keep your eyes on the chart, your finger on the trigger, and your sense of humor intact—because in the world of trading, you’ve got to laugh to keep from crying. 😜
Join the Trading Villa!
If you loved this recap of SPY’s bearish flag drama, don’t ghost me like a Love Island ex! Drop a comment with your thoughts—are you shorting SPY, or are you waiting for a bounce? And if you want more trading tea, puns, and reality TV references, hit that follow button faster than you can say “I’m here to make friends.” Let’s spill the tea and make some money together! 🍵
DeGRAM | GOLD has grown againGOLD is above the ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower trend line, support level and has already consolidated above the upper boundary of the channel.
The chart maintains an ascending structure.
Trading volumes have decreased.
We expect XAUUSD to continue rising while the indicators are forming a bearish divergence on the 1W Timeframe. It should be taken into account that opening long positions now is quite risky.
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GOLD Bullish Continuation - Will Buyers Push Toward 3,084$?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading within an ascending channel, maintaining a bullish structure. The price has broken above a key resistance zone which has now flipped to support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
With momentum favoring the upside, the price could move toward the 3,084$ level, which aligns with the midline of the channel. However, a failure to hold this level could indicate a potential shift in momentum.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have! 🚀
GOLDKey Observations:
Current Price: The current price of Gold is 3,071.11 USD.
Recent Price Action: The price has experienced a significant upward move followed by a sharp decline. The most recent candle is bearish, indicating continued downward pressure.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): There are two Fair Value Gaps highlighted on the chart. FVGs are areas where price has moved quickly, leaving gaps where there was little to no trading. These gaps can act as potential support or resistance levels.
The first FVG is above the current price, between approximately 3,076.00 and 3,079.00. This could act as a potential resistance zone if the price attempts to move higher.
The second FVG is below the current price, between approximately 3,064.00 and 3,068.00. This could act as a potential support zone if the price continues to decline.
Potential Trading Setup: Based on the annotations, there appears to be a potential short trading
Setup identified:
Entry: A potential entry point is around the top of the upper FVG, near 3,079.00.
Target: A potential target is at the bottom of the lower FVG, around 3,064.00.
Additional Considerations:
Time Context: The chart is a 15-minute timeframe, which is generally used for short-term trading.
Market Volatility: Gold prices can be volatile, especially in response to economic news and global events.
Further Analysis: A trader using this chart might also consider other technical indicators, fundamental analysis, and overall market sentiment before making a trading decision. The recent sharp decline suggests strong selling pressure, and the price might continue to move towards the lower FVG.
GOLD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 3,076.15.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,102.53 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Summer is almost over for gold, winter is coming.To me it's a clear 5-way Elliot cycle.
And as I always say, trends usually target the Fibonacci range between 1.618 and 2.618.
I would never push for more, would be an unnecessary risk.
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area 3075.Colleagues, I believe that price will reach the 3075 area, completing an upward five-wave impulse. Earlier I talked about the level of 3100 and I believe that it will be reached too, just a little later and after a correction.
In any case, within the wave “3” of the senior order, gold is waiting for an upward movement, because the big impulse is not completed yet.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Potential reversalAs always we must look for channels in which price is moving on a bigger timeframe, this one is in 4h candles giving a good medium term channel which it has respected at least 2 times before, so my idea is to wait for a breakout and retest or a reasonable rejection at this point positioning trades following price as we allways say.... don't go against the trend!
Gold Prices Doubled in 5 years. What Does It 'Historically' MeanOver the past five years, Gold prices OANDA:XAUUSD have experienced a significant surge, doubling in value over the past 5 years, from mid-March 2020 to mid-March 2025.
This is the 3rd time in history ever, the price of gold doubled in U.S. dollars (we counted only events when it has been observed first time only over 5-years time span).
🥇 The 1st time "A Doubling" event happened in the first quarter of 1973, when Gold hit $80 mark per ounce (google: "1973 Arab–Israeli War").
⚒ What happened next with Gold prices after that? - Hmm.. Gold doubled in price again! (and even more) over the next three years. Watch historical charts to learn more.
⚒ S&P500 Index folded in half over the same next three years.
🥇 The 2nd time "A Doubling" event happened more than 30 years later, in the first quarter of 2006 when Gold prices hit $500 barrier by the end of the year 2005, for the first time since 1987.
Some analysts blamed inflation in the US and concerns about the state of the global economy.
⚒ What happened next with Gold price after that? - Hmm.... Gold price also doubled in price again! (and even more) over next three years. Watch again historical charts to learn more.
⚒ S&P500 Index folded in half again over the same next three years (google: "2008 financial crisis").
🥇 Now is the 3rd time "A Doubling" event has happened with Gold prices, first time over last almost 20 years.
Several factors have contributed to this increase, including economic uncertainty, inflation fears, geopolitical tensions, central bank activity, and investment demand.
Economic Uncertainty: Times of economic turmoil often drive investors towards gold as a safe haven asset. The increase in global economic uncertainty has been a primary driver of gold's price surge.
Inflation: The threat of inflation also contributes to the rising price of gold. Investors often turn to gold as a hedge against the devaluation of fiat currencies during inflationary periods.
Geopolitical Tensions: Geopolitical instability encourages investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold. The Ukraine war, along with conflicts in the Middle East, have further fueled the rise in gold prices.
Central Bank Demand: Central banks' buying and easing cycles influence gold prices. Central banks often purchase gold to diversify their reserve holdings, and this demand can impact gold prices significantly.
Investment Demand: Demand from technology, jewelry, and investors influences gold prices. Gold price movements are sometimes driven by investor demand.
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Best #GODL (Gold On Dear Life) wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team
Gold H4 | Potential bullish bounceGold (XAU/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 3,049.57 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 2,990.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support.
Take profit is at 3,109.51 which is a resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
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GOLD breaks and refreshes All-Time High, on PCE Data dayOn Friday (March 28) in the Asian trading session, the spot OANDA:XAUUSD unexpectedly accelerated and the gold price surpassed the level of 3,077 USD / ounce, up more than 20 USD on the day.
The threat of additional tariffs by US President Trump has affected the USD. Gold still maintains a positive growth momentum and is expected to reach a new record high.
The spot OANDA:XAUUSD closed up 37.50 USD on Thursday as new auto tariffs announced by President Donald Trump have increased trade tensions around the world and sent stock markets plunging, sending investors fleeing for safe-haven assets.
Gold traders will focus on U.S. PCE inflation data on Friday to gauge the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting path.
Markets will now focus on upcoming U.S. economic data. On Friday, the U.S. will release data on the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index for February, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge.
The U.S. core PCE price index is expected to have risen 2.7% year-on-year in February, up slightly from 2.6% in January.
“A mild PCE inflation reading could reinforce the Fed’s dovish stance and maintain support for gold”
Gold is traditionally seen as a safe haven from economic and political uncertainty and tends to perform well in low-interest-rate environments.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Continuing to rise, gold reached all the target levels sent to readers in the weekly publication and also broke these levels. With the current position, gold is expected to continue to rise with the next target at the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level.
The RSI is upright moving back to the 80 area, showing surprisingly strong buying momentum without any signs of weakening in the oversold area.
In the short term, the confluence of the upper edge of the price channel with the 0.50% Fibonacci extension will be the most important position to watch, as it acts as an expected resistance for a slight correction when the RSI enters the overbought zone. However, once gold continues to break $3,113, there will be nothing to stop gold from continuing to increase rapidly.
Overall, the overall bullish outlook for gold prices during the day will be focused on the following technical levels.
Support: $3,057 – $3,051
Resistance: $3,086 – $3,100 – $3,113
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3101 - 3099⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3105
→Take Profit 1 3093
↨
→Take Profit 2 3087
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3004 - 3006⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3000
→Take Profit 1 3012
↨
→Take Profit 2 3018
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H VIDEO UPDATE)As you can see from the video analysis, we’ve re-counted 5 Sub-Waves within the Major Wave 5 bull run. Now we’re waiting for some form of reversal📉
STRICT RULES GIVEN ON THE VIDEO AT WHAT PRICE WE WILL ENTER AGAIN. IF WAVE 3 HIGH BOS IS NOT BREACHED, THEN WE WON’T ENTER❌
Wave 3 BOS: $3,057
Bollinger Bands Warning: Is Gold Losing Uptrend?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has succeeded in creating a New All-Time High(ATH) as I expected in my previous post . Now, the question is whether Gold can continue its upward trend.
Gold is currently moving in the Resistance zone($3,058-$3,045) .
The upper and lower lines of the Bollinger Bands indicator also play the role of resistance and support well on the 1-hour time frame .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks( Bollinger Bands indicator and Price ).
Educational Note : A divergence forms when the price chart and the indicator behave in contrast to each other. Divergence sell signals mostly form at the end of an upward trend, where the price chart forms a peak above the Bollinger upper band and another peak after, below the upper band. These signals are considered negative Regular Divergences(RD-) , hinting at a potential market reversal and a downward trend.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , I think the main wave 4 is NOT yet complete, and we can expect another corrective wave .
I expect Gold to bearish trend in the coming hours and drop to at least $3,036 , with the next target being an attack on the Support zone($3,032-$3,021 ) .
Note: If Gold goes above $3068.29, we should expect more Pumps.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
POTENTIAL LONG ENTRY - 3100 MAJOR ALGORITHMIC TARGETPrice is likely to re-test NY's lunch break range and grab liquidity below the 13:30PM NY EST low.
Asia should distribute strongly toward new ATHs and London would likely retest current resistance levels and bounce as well.
NY might enter at fest highs to create yet another manipulation to the downside to grab a discount price level.
I'm expecting price to reach 3100 within the next 2 weeks.
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GOOD LUCK
XAU/USD Analysis–Bearish Continuation Within Descending Channel📉 Gold (XAU/USD) H1 Analysis – March 26, 2025
🔻 Descending Channel Formation:
The price remains confined within a downward-sloping channel, signaling continued bearish pressure.
Lower highs and lower lows confirm the short-term downtrend.
📍 Key Levels & Structure:
Current Price: $3,019
Resistance Zone: Around $3,025 - $3,030 (upper boundary of the channel)
Support Zone: $3,000 psychological level and potential lower boundary near $2,985
📌 Market Imbalance (MB) Not Filled:
A minor liquidity gap remains unfilled above, indicating a possible short-term retest before continuation.
📉 Bearish Expectation:
If price fails to break above the resistance trendline, we could see a drop toward $3,000 or even lower.
Watch for rejection signals at the upper boundary for short opportunities.
🔎 Trade Considerations:
Bearish Bias: Short entries from resistance with targets at $3,010 - $3,000.
Invalidation: A breakout above $3,030 could signal bullish strength.