Gold Tests Trendline, 3000 Target Still in SightGold’s horizontal move ended on Friday with the breakdown of the short-term support at 3025. Since then, the critical 3000 level has been tested twice but is still holding for now. The short-term trend has turned bearish, leaving gold prices stuck between the downward pressure from above and key supports at 3000 and the 200-hour moving average.
Trump's recent softer messaging regarding the April 2 tariffs has temporarily eased upward pressure. Today's consumer confidence data will be significant, especially ahead of Friday's PCE release.
If the short-term downtrend channel holds, another attempt at the 3000 level could occur today, and a break below 3000 might intensify downward momentum.
On the upside, the immediate resistance levels to watch are the short-term downtrend line and 3030, both very close to the current price. A breakout above these levels could signal a continuation of flat move above 3000 until key economic data arrives later this week.
Gold
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower, facing resistance at the 240-day moving average on the daily chart. With a significant gap between the price and the 5-day moving average, a pullback toward the 5-day MA was anticipated. The index did find support at the 5-day MA, closing with a lower wick. The key question now is whether the current correction wave will fill the gap created on Monday, as it faced resistance at the 240-day line. If you’re looking to buy on dips, it’s best to focus on the gap area as a potential support zone. The MACD remains in a golden cross, and with a noticeable spread from the signal line, the market is likely to stay range-bound unless a bearish crossover occurs.
On the 240-minute chart, a bearish crossover (death cross) has formed, suggesting the potential for further downside. However, the price is approaching a strong support zone where buying interest previously emerged. Thus, buying on dips in lower zones may be favorable. In the short term, both the MACD and the signal line remain above the zero line, indicating a possible short-term rebound. Be cautious with chasing short positions and monitor lower time frames.
Also, don’t forget: Today’s GDP release may influence market direction.
Crude Oil
Oil closed higher, reaching $70 on the daily chart. Since the $70–71 range is a major resistance zone, it’s likely the trend may consolidate in this area. The daily MACD is rising sharply, and buying pressure appears strong and one-sided. Despite the resistance at $70–71, if oil gaps up over the weekend, there’s a chance this resistance could be broken by a gap-up move on Monday. Keep an open mind to this possibility, but also be cautious over the weekend (over-the-weekend risk).
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is bouncing off the signal line, with strong renewed buying pressure. However, if oil fails to break higher, a MACD divergence could develop, so avoid chasing longs at elevated levels. Overall, it’s safer to treat the $71 level as the upper boundary of a range, favoring short-term selling strategies. Watch the lower timeframes for signs of trend reversal.
Gold
Gold ended the day flat within a narrow range, forming a small consolidation box ahead of today’s GDP release and tomorrow’s PCE data. The daily MACD is converging with the signal line, suggesting we are approaching a turning point — either a new leg up or a bearish crossover. Both bullish and bearish scenarios remain open, so it’s important to monitor how the market reacts to upcoming data. If gold fails to push higher, a bearish divergence may form, opening the door to a pullback toward the 5-week MA on the weekly chart.
On the 240-minute chart, both MACD and the signal line are hovering near the zero line, indicating sideways movement. Since the signal line remains above zero, the buy side still holds a slight edge, but confirmation via a strong bullish or bearish candle is needed to establish a trend. Any MACD signal triggered at the zero line could lead to a larger directional move, so keep that in mind. Until data is released, continue range-bound trading, and avoid premature long or short positions, as today’s trend may remain undecided.
March is coming to an end. Make sure to keep a close eye on today and tomorrow's data releases and aim to close the month with solid results.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
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GOLD holds above $3,000, aiming for weekly targetOANDA:XAUUSD continues to recover and maintain an upward trend, as uncertainty over the Trump administration's tariff policy has boosted safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, the market is focusing on US inflation data due this week to further determine the path of interest rates.
Tariff and inflation concerns have fueled safe-haven buying, with gold up more than 15% this year
US President Donald Trump said on Monday that tariffs on imported cars were coming, but hinted that not all of the threatened tariffs would take effect on April 2 and that some countries could be exempted.
This is sure to raise concerns that if the tariffs are officially implemented, they could push up inflation and stifle economic growth, so investment flows in the market have shifted to traditional safe-haven assets such as gold for allocation.
Gold has always been considered a hedge against inflation and macroeconomic instability. Since the beginning of the year, the price of gold has increased by more than 15% and reached an all-time high of $ 3,057.21 / ounce on March 20.
Market Focuses on PCE Inflation Data, Fed Maintains Dovish Expectations
The market is now paying attention to the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, which will be released on Friday. This index is considered the core data for the Federal Reserve to assess inflation trends and may provide further material for assessing the path of interest rate cuts this year.
If the PCE inflation index does not show any unusual changes, it will further strengthen the Fed's dovish stance and continue to push gold prices up. More detailed assessments will be sent to readers in later publications.
Last week, the Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged but signaled it could start cutting rates later this year. Since gold does not yield interest, it is often more attractive in a low-interest-rate environment.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold continues to rally since receiving support from the $3,000 raw price level, which was a key support noted by readers in previous issues.
The current position above the 0.50% Fibonacci extension level is a positive signal for gold to target the initial upside target in the weekly issue at $3,051 in the short term, more likely an all-time high.
The relative strength index (RSI) is also bent upwards, which should be considered a corrective signal due to the weakening/ending profit-taking momentum.
Going forward, the technical structure remains unchanged with the daily chart dominated by the bullish trend with the price channel as the main trend and the EMA21 as the main support.
As long as gold remains above the EMA21, it still has a bullish outlook in the medium term, along with that, the notable positions for this trading day will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,021 – 3,000 USD
Resistance: 3,051 – 3,057 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3062 - 3060⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3066
→Take Profit 1 3054
↨
→Take Profit 2 3048
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2989 - 2991⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2985
→Take Profit 1 2997
↨
→Take Profit 2 3003
Be the Choosy trader on Gold!Price is dragging on dropping. being very indecisive. Looks like the entire market is waiting on News to help give it a push. I need to see price break out of value before I can get a read on a sold move. in the mean time this is sclaping conditions. You can hold trades. Have to cut them short quick with this price action. Since we have some USD news tomorrow that indicates that the market might be waiting for that before proceeding on any decisions. Patience is key!
Mid-Week Analysis March 27-28: USD FX Majors Stock Indices, ...In this video, we look back on the forecasts from this past weekend, and check how they are playing out to this point in the week.
USD Index, S&P500, Nasdaq ,Dow Jones, Gold, Silver, Platinum, Copper, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF, JPY.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
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Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support level.
Pivot: 3,032.57
1st Support: 2,998.40
1st Resistance: 3,047.35
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Dollar Index Bullish to $111.350 (VIDEO UPDATE)If you remember on the last update, I showed the possibility of the previous Wave 4 low getting taken out, which did happen. I’ve now re-counted the waves, as analysed on the video above.
⭕️3 Sub-Wave Correction (A,B,C) relabelled.
⭕️Wave 4 Low relabelled.
⭕️Main Supply Zone highlighted.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the markets today, allowing us to bounce between the Goldturns, inline with our plans to buy dips. Not much to report as we are seeing Gold range sideways consolidating ready for a breakout.
We still have the gap left open at 2999, which fell short by a few pips. We will continue to use the lower Goldturns to buy dips until we see the weighted levels cross and lock to confirm the next range. Failure to break 3032 will keep seeing rejections into the lower Goldturns for the bounces.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3032 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3032 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3050
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3050 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3065
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3065 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3080
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3080 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3097
BEARISH TARGETS
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2978
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2978 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2927
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Short Position Targeting Below $3,000🔍 Market Analysis After Durable Goods Orders Release
The latest Durable Goods Orders (MoM) for February 2025 were released today, showing a surprising 0.9% increase, while economists had expected a 1.0% decline. However, core capital goods orders fell by 0.3%, indicating weaker business investment.
These mixed figures create uncertainty in the markets. The strong durable goods orders support the U.S. dollar, while the drop in business investment may signal economic concerns. In the short term, the expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not rush to cut interest rates could put pressure on gold prices.
📉 Trading Idea: Short Gold from $3,025 to Below $3,000
Entry: $3,025 (already opened)
Gold is currently trading around $3,025, showing signs of weakness near resistance levels.
Why This Short Trade Makes Sense:
1️⃣ U.S. Economic Data Supports the Dollar
The unexpected rise in durable goods orders suggests economic resilience.
A stronger U.S. dollar typically weighs on gold prices.
2️⃣ Lower Expectations for Fed Rate Cuts
These data points may reduce expectations for imminent Fed rate cuts.
Higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, which is bearish for gold.
3️⃣ Technical Resistance & Downward Momentum
Gold has struggled to break above $3,025 - $3,035 multiple times.
If this level holds, we could see a drop below $3,000 soon.
📊 Price Targets & Stop-Loss
🎯 First Target: $3,000 (psychological support level)
🎯 Second Target: $2,985 - $2,975 (next key technical support zone)
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
Entry: $3,025
Target: at least $3,000
RRR = 1.66 : 1 – a solid setup for a short-term trade.
🧐 Potential Risks to the Trade
⚠ If the U.S. Dollar Weakens:
If markets interpret weak core capital goods orders as a sign of economic slowdown, the Fed might shift to a more dovish stance, weakening the dollar and boosting gold.
⚠ If Geopolitical Tensions Increase:
Rising geopolitical risks (e.g., China, Middle East) could drive safe-haven demand for gold, pushing prices higher.
📌 Conclusion: Bearish Setup for Gold
Today’s Durable Goods Orders release supports a stronger U.S. dollar, while gold is struggling to break resistance at $3,025 - $3,035. As long as this zone holds, the probability of a correction below $3,000 remains high.
🟢 Plan:
Short at $3,025 is active.
Target: Below $3,000.
Gold remains volatile – keep an eye on the U.S. dollar, Fed policy, and market sentiment for further confirmation! 🔥🚀
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
GOLD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3007.8
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3020.9
My Stop Loss - 3000.6
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD - Price can correct to support level and continue to growHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it reached the $2880 level and broke it.
Next price bounced from this level and some time rose in the channel, but then it made a correction, exiting from this channel.
After this, price turned around and continue to move up in another rising channel, where later it reached $3000 level.
Then Gold broke this level and made retest, after whcih it rose to resistance line of channel and then fell to support area.
Recently price started to decline, so, I think that Gold can decline to the support level and then bounce up to $3095
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
DeGRAM | GOLD forms an ascending wedgeGOLD is above the descending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving away from the dynamic support.
The chart forms an ascending wedge.
We expect XAUUSD to rise further before continuing the correction.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold’s rebound is an opportunity for short sellingGold is still oscillating, and a rebound is an opportunity for short selling. Since gold is still oscillating within the box, you can go short if it rebounds to a high level. Gold is still oscillating within a large range for 1 hour. Since gold has not effectively broken through, you can continue to short after rebounding. If it breaks through the box shock, then gold will consider taking advantage of the trend and go long.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-26-25 : Flat-Down PatternToday's Flat-Down pattern for the SPY/QQQ suggests the markets will consolidate in a sideways channel, generally drifting downward.
As I've been warning all of you for the past month+, the market will likely roll over into a topping formation over the next few days, then start an aggressive downward trend targeting $525-535 on the SPY.
Today's video covers some details related to my expectations and how traders can prepare for the bigger moves I see pending.
Gold and Silver are poised for a potentially BIG BREAKOUT move to the upside. And I still believe Gold/Silver are going to rally another 15-20% within the next 30-45 days.
Bitcoin should follow the SPY/QQQ into a "rollover top" type of pattern then shift into a downward price trend over the next few days.
Everything is following my predictions/expectations almost perfectly.
Now, we try to profit from some of these big moves.
Go get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Why XAUUSD is Bullish ?? Detailed analysis XAU/USD currently trading at approximately $3,030, forming a bullish pennant pattern—a continuation signal that typically precedes further upward movement. This pattern emerges after a strong price surge, followed by consolidation marked by converging trendlines. A breakout above the pennant's upper boundary could propel gold prices toward the target of $3,100, aligning with the prevailing bullish trend
Fundamental factors support this optimistic outlook. Recent geopolitical tensions and concerns over escalating inflation have heightened demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Additionally, the Federal Reserve's dovish stance, including potential interest rate cuts, has weakened the U.S. dollar, making gold more attractive to investors. These elements collectively contribute to the bullish sentiment surrounding gold.
Technical indicators further reinforce this perspective. Gold has recently surpassed the significant $3,000 threshold, reaching new all-time highs. The formation of the bullish pennant suggests a continuation of this upward momentum. Key support levels to monitor include $2,961 to $2,965, while resistance is anticipated around $3,021 to $3,030. A decisive break above these resistance levels could confirm the pennant breakout, paving the way toward the $3,100 target.
Traders should exercise prudent risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, to navigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in effectively capitalizing on this trading opportunity.
GOLD - Eyeing Two Levels!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 XAUUSD remains overall bullish in both the short and medium term, trading within the rising channels marked in orange and green.
🔍 Here are two key levels I'm watching for potential trend-following long setups:
1️⃣$3,000 – A psychological round number that aligns with the lower orange trendline.
2️⃣$2,950 – A support level that intersects with the lower blue trendline.
Let’s see if the bulls hold the line! 🐂✨
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD: 26/3 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3057-3100, support below 2999
Four-hour chart resistance 3038, support below 2999
One-hour chart resistance 3032, support below 3014
Gold news analysis: The market is reassessing the potential impact of the latest US tariff policy on global commodity liquidity. Yesterday, US President Trump signed an executive order announcing that a 25% "secondary tariff" would be imposed on countries that purchase oil from Venezuela, a move that could significantly increase the import cost of Indian goods. At the same time, gold ETFs saw rare inflows at the end of the first quarter, laying the groundwork for price trends in the second quarter. After experiencing a rapid rise at the beginning of this year, both gold and silver fell and pulled back in the past week. Although increased risk appetite, rising bond yields and a stronger dollar are widely used to explain recent price movements, correlation analysis suggests that there may be other factors driving prices back down. Due to the relatively light economic data release schedule and the end of the quarter approaching, the exchange market did not show a clear upward or downward trend.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the one-hour level 3032 and the four-hour level 3038 line, and the lower short-term support focuses on the vicinity of 3014. Overall, we rely on this range to maintain a high-sell-low-buy strategy and patiently wait for key points to enter the market.
Sell: 3038near SL: 3042
Sell: 3014near SL: 3020
Buy: 2999near SL: 2994
Use small-size transactions
GOLD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 3,024.22.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 3,056.10 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
eurusd alternative 5 wave outlook buy dips tp 1100🏆 eurusd Market Update / Wednesday
📊 Alternative Technical Outlook
🔸Bullish OUTLOOK
🔸5 waves Bullish Sequence on H12
🔸0230/0530 w1, 0530/0290 w2, 0290/0935 w3
🔸0935/0675 wave 4 pullback now
🔸0675/1100 - final wave 5 pump
🔸Recommend to BUY DIPS 0675/0665
🔸Price Target BULLS: 1100 USD in Wave5
💶📉 EUR/USD Mini Market Recap – March 2025
🔹 🛑 Fed Holds Rates
📉 No rate cut yet, but hints coming soon 🏦📊
🔹 💵 USD Strength Rising
💪 US data strong + tariff optimism = dollar gains 💼📈
🔹 📉 EUR/USD Weakens
⚠️ Testing 1.0798 support, 1.06 may come next 🚨📉
🔹 📊 Key US Data Ahead
🕵️♂️ Core PCE inflation data could move EUR/USD fast 📆📊
🔹 🌐 Trade Tensions Return
🧨 Tariff talk adds pressure to euro and dollar 💣💬
XAUUSD _ GOLD analysisTechnical Analysis:
Bearish Order Block at 3,045
A Bearish Order Block is marked at 50% of a previous price range around 3,045.
This indicates potential resistance, where price may face selling pressure.
Current Price Action
The price is currently 3,023, showing slight bullish momentum (+0.11%).
The market seems to be testing previous highs but struggling to break through.
Trade Setup (Risk-Reward Analysis)
A long position (buy trade) appears to be placed.
The Stop Loss (SL) is set at 3,018.50.
The Take Profit (TP) is set around 3,045.00.
The Risk-to-Reward (R:R) Ratio is favorable, aiming for a higher profit target.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) Around 3,021.30
The FVG at 3,021.30 suggests a liquidity area where price might react.
If price holds above this level, the bullish move may continue.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Case: If price maintains above 3,021.30 and gains momentum, it could reach the order block at 3,045.
Bearish Case: If price breaks below the FVG and 3,018.50, selling pressure could take it lower.