Gold starts to pull back, continue to shortSince gold has already started to adjust at a high level, and gold bears have gradually started to exert their strength, can gold fall below 3000 again? We will wait and see.
Operation ideas:
It is recommended to go short at 3035-3030, stop loss at 3045, and target at 3005-3000;
Gold
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-24-25 : Bozu Trending PatternToday's Bozu Trending pattern suggests a very aggressive price move is likely. I believe this move will be to the upside after my weekend research suggested we are moving into a "blow-off" topping pattern that will act as a Bull Trap.
Overall, I belive the SPY/QQQ have about 2-3 days up upward price trending early this week, then the markets will suddenly roll into a topping pattern and start to aggressively move downward.
The next base/bottom of the continued downward price trend sets up in early/mid April. The March 21-24 base/bottom is likely the minor base/bottom we have seen over the past 3-5+ days.
I believe the breakdown in the SPY/QQQ late this week and into next week will result in a new lower low - causing the Consolidation phase of this downturn to extend down to the 520-525 level on the SPY.
Bitcoin is very close to my $88,000 upper target level (only about $250 off that level). Get ready, BTCUSD should make an aggressive move downward after stalling near the FWB:88K level peak.
Gold and Silver are moving into a trending mode. I believe both Gold and Silver will rally this week and into the next few weeks as we expand into the Expansion phase.
Buckle up. If my research is correct, we are going to see a BIG ROLLOVER this week.
Get some.
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Why GBPJPY is bullish ?? Detailed Technical and FundamentalsGBPJPY is currently trading around 193.000, with technical analysis indicating a potential bullish breakout that could yield gains exceeding 300 pips, targeting the 198.000 level. This anticipated movement is supported by the pair’s recent behavior, where it edged higher to 194.89 before a slight retreat, suggesting consolidation ahead of a possible upward surge. A strong breakout from the current resistance zone could trigger an aggressive bullish wave.
Fundamentally, the British pound has shown resilience, bolstered by stable economic indicators and a proactive monetary policy stance from the Bank of England. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen has experienced depreciation, influenced by the Bank of Japan’s commitment to maintaining ultra-loose monetary policies. The widening interest rate differential between the UK and Japan favors a stronger GBP, adding bullish momentum to the pair.
Technical indicators further reinforce the bullish outlook for GBP/JPY. The pair has been trading within a consolidation range, and a breakout above the current resistance level could signal the continuation of the prevailing uptrend. Moving averages and oscillators are aligning to support this bullish scenario, with the potential to reach the 198.000 target. Volume analysis also suggests growing buying pressure, which could accelerate the upward move once resistance is breached.
Traders should monitor key resistance levels closely, as a confirmed breakout could present a lucrative opportunity to capitalize on the anticipated 300-pip movement. Implementing robust risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, is essential to mitigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in navigating this trading opportunity effectively.
XAUUSD 24/3/25Gold this week has the same bias we’ve had for the last month—bullish, just like EUR/USD. We saw a significant pullback last week, but in my opinion, this is simply positioning price in the right area for further bullish movement. As this price action develops, we expect it to occur at the current low, which is marked as a high-volume low. This is a 4-hour low and currently the best area for potential long entries.
As always, Orion confirms our bullish bias, so we are waiting for price to reach a key area where we can look for confirmation of that movement. Target the 4-hour highs I’ve marked above, as well as a new all-time high.
Remember, if interest rates are lowered, the wealthy tend to move their money into assets rather than banks—and gold is one of their preferred choices. This could further drive price higher, but overall, our technical analysis confirms a bullish outlook. Orion confirms it as well, and our setups are just waiting to be executed. Follow your rules, manage your risk, and let Orion lead the way.
XAUUSD: 24/4 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3057-3100, support below 2999
Four-hour chart resistance 3038, support below 2999
One-hour chart resistance 3038, support below 2999
Gold operation suggestions: Gold continued to fall under pressure at the 3047 mark in the Asian session last Friday, and then broke through the 3030 mark in the European session and stabilized and rebounded near 3021. After repeated fluctuations in the NY market, it accelerated downward movement below 3037 and finally bottomed out and rebounded at the 3000-point integer mark.
From the current trend analysis, today's upper short-term resistance is focused on 3038, and the lower short-term support is focused on around 2999. Overall, relying on this range, keep selling high and buying low, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Sell: 3038near SL:3043
Buy: 2999near SL:2994
Gold Buy IdeaBased on the gold charts with the requested indicators (Bollinger Bands/MBB, VWAP with bands, and RSI 14), here's my analysis across the three timeframes:
Buy at 3,025
SL: 3,021.50
TP 1: 3,029.50
TP 2: 3,035.00
Current price: 3,024.10 with slight negative movement (-0.02%, -0.655)
5-minute chart: Price is trading between the MBB (3,024.78) and lower Bollinger Band, with RSI at 62.13 showing positive momentum but not overbought
15-minute chart: Price is near the MBB (3,021.52) with RSI at 57.55, indicating moderate bullish momentum
1-hour chart: Price is testing the MBB (3,015.66) as support, with RSI at 46.80 showing a potential shift from bearish to neutral/bullish momentum
The VWAP session bands on all timeframes show price currently within the bands but starting to approach the upper band. The 1-hour chart shows resistance at around 3,028-3,029 (previous VWAP upper band area).
This setup takes advantage of the potential upward momentum indicated by the RSI readings across timeframes, with price finding support at the middle Bollinger Bands. The stop loss is placed below the recent support level and below the lower VWAP band on the 15-minute chart, while take profit targets aim for the upper Bollinger Band and recent resistance levels.
XAUUSD The 4H MA50 makes all the difference.Gold (XAUUSD) is so far maintaining its long-term bullish trend and will continues to do so even on the short-term, as long as it holds the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). There are three different Channel Up patterns involved and as long as the 4H MA50 holds, the (dotted) short-term Channel targets 3080 at least.
If the price breaks below the 4H MA50 and the dotted Channel Up, it would be best to close any buys and short instead, targeting the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) at 2960. It has to be said that every time the 4H RSI traded downwards as it has since Wednesday, a stronger pull-back to the bottom of the long-term Channel Up took place, so that has to favor 2960.
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GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,027.00
Target Level: 2,815.51
Stop Loss: 3,168.26
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
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Ukraine Talks and Gaza Tensions Influence XAUUSD Gold dipped to around $3,015 per ounce as hopes for a Russia-Ukraine peace deal grew after talks between Ukrainian and U.S. officials. Further negotiations with Russia are expected later today.
Despite the drop, gold remains supported by the tension over U.S. tariffs and Fed rate cut expectations. The Fed kept rates steady last week while signaling two potential cuts this year. Meanwhile, geopolitical pressures remain high as Israel resumed airstrikes on Hamas targets in Gaza.
Key resistance stands at $3082, with further levels at $3100 and $3,150. Support is at $3000, followed by $2,980 and $2,916.
Gold D1 | Strong bullish momentumGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 2,954.81 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 2,830.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 3,125.64 which is a level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
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GOLD H1 Update: Pullback in Progress BUY DIPS TP 3 100 USD🏆 Gold Market Update (March 24th 2025)
📊 Technical Outlook update
🔸Bullish OUTLOOK
🔸Broke out and set new ATH
🔸Strong UPTREND: Sequence of Higher Lows
🔸Recommend to BUY DIPS 2950 USD
🔸Price Target BULLS: 3075 USD - 3100 USD
📈 Market Performance & Price Action
🚀 Gold Hits All-Time High – Reached $3,057.21/oz this week
📊 Driven by: Geopolitical tensions + economic uncertainty
🏦 Federal Reserve Impact
🛑 Fed Keeps Interest Rates Steady at 4.25%–4.50%
🔮 Signals 2 rate cuts likely in 2025 due to slowing growth
📉 Lower rate outlook supports bullish gold sentiment
💹 Gold Investment Trends
📈 Gold ETFs Outperform Physical Gold
GDX (Gold Miners ETF) ↑ 32%
GLD (SPDR Gold Shares) ↑ 15.5%
📊 Investors leaning toward mining stocks & ETF exposure for higher returns
DeGRAM | GOLD preparing for the pullbackGOLD is in an ascending channel below the trend lines.
The price is moving from the dynamic resistance and the upper boundary of the channel.
The chart has fallen below the dynamic support and 62% retracement level.
We expect the pullback to continue after consolidation under the lower channel boundary.
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Gold prices remain on the riseLast week, the world gold price surpassed the historical peak of over 3,057 USD/ounce but quickly decreased due to profit-taking pressure from investors. However, the price remained above the psychological support level of 3,000 USD/ounce - a level that many experts predicted would be an important support in the coming time.
The general sentiment in the market is still leaning towards optimism. Many central banks continue to increase their gold reserves as a way to diversify away from the USD. Meanwhile, individual investors and ETFs have also begun to return to the gold market.
Data from the SPDR Gold Shares fund shows that the amount of gold held has increased by more than 37 tons this year, to 910 tons. Although this figure is still lower than in 2020, the upward momentum is returning due to concerns about inflation and escalating trade tensions.
Is Gold Ready to Drop? Key Levels & Strategy for the Next Move!📉🔥 Right now, XAUUSD (Gold) is pulling back from the highs and consolidating in a range. I'm watching for a buy opportunity if price breaks below the current range low and retraces into the previous swing equilibrium.
🎯 In the video, we dive into imbalances as key pullback targets, analyze price action and market structure, and discuss a potential trade setup—if the market presents the right conditions.
🚨 Not financial advice—trade smart! 🚀
GOLD will have a long vacation from ascending - and opt for RED.GOLD, has been the most resilient and rosy asset for the entire 2024 till q1 of this year.
It keeps breaking ATH on a regular weekly basis like its nothing -- reaching a parabolic high of an impressive 3057.
Trend is currently shifting based on the current metrics which has started this friday, March 21, 2024.
A reversal to the downside is in order from this peak range. Targeting below 3k levels again.
It's doing a transition to new track pattern where it creates a healthy pull back to create another curve up trend for continuation to the upside. A 38.2 / 0.50 level of retracement.
Last time it did this pattern was on October 2024.
This transitional period is healthy for sustainable price growth.
This red days will linger for a bit till it gets lighter -- but we may see a trim down of thousands of pips before we get to the most attractive bargain levels.
For the mean time, shorts will have the best season for now.
As for bulls -- stay in cash until it shifts again -- but more waiting is needed.
Spotted at 3057.
Target below 3000.
Overextended target below 2900.
Again these are all guidance. Be guided.
It can be invalidated anytime.
Trade safely always. TAYOR.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 24 - March 28]Last week, although the OANDA:XAUUSD had a sharp decrease in the last 2 sessions of the week, overall, the gold price this week continued to increase for the 3rd consecutive week. After opening at 2,985 USD/oz, the gold price increased to 3,057 USD/oz, but then dropped sharply to 2,999 USD/oz in the last session of the week, then recovered and closed the week at 3,023 USD/oz.
The reason why the gold price decreased sharply in the last session of last week was because the USD increased again after the FED meeting, when some US economic indicators, such as initial unemployment benefits, production index... were all at a positive level, showing that the US economy has not shown any signs of recession. In addition, some FED officials said that the FED is not in a hurry to continue cutting interest rates, although the FED's dot chart previously showed that the FED will still aim to cut interest rates twice this year.
This week, the US will release a number of important indicators, such as PMI, consumer confidence, revised Q4/2024 GDP, and personal consumption expenditures (PCE). Of these, PCE will receive special attention from the market, because this index is the inflation measure that the FED is most interested in. If PCE increases sharply, the FED will continue to cut interest rates. On the contrary, the FED will continue to keep interest rates unchanged in the upcoming meetings.
🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
Several key economic data releases this week, including the S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMIs on Monday and the U.S. Consumer Confidence Index on Tuesday, will give the market a clearer picture of where the U.S. economy is headed.
However, the most important data for investors will be the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, due Friday morning.
Other notable data releases include new home sales on Tuesday, durable goods orders on Wednesday, and pending home sales, weekly unemployment figures, and U.S. fourth-quarter GDP on Thursday.
📌Technically, the key support level for gold this week is around $2,954/oz, while the resistance level is at $3,057/oz. If gold continues to break above $3,057/oz next week, it could open the door for a further rally towards the $3,100/oz resistance zone. On the contrary, gold could face profit-taking pressure, causing the price to fall to around $2,950/oz.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,021 – 3,000USD
Resistance: 3,051 – 3,057 – 3,065USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3101 - 3099⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3105
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2949 - 2951⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2945
GOLD at absolute fundamental support but RSI overboughtOANDA:XAUUSD have now fallen to around $3,048/ounce, down $9 from the historic high reached in early Asian trading today, March 20.
On Thursday, the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced its interest rate decision and summarized economic expectations; Federal Reserve Chairman Powell held a press conference on monetary policy.
The FOMC kept its policy rate unchanged at 4.25% - 4.50% after the Trump administration imposed tariffs, while officials raised their inflation forecasts for this year and lowered their economic growth forecasts.
After concluding a two-day monetary policy meeting, the Federal Reserve announced at 2 p.m. ET on Wednesday that it would maintain its benchmark interest rate at 4.25% to 4.5% and announced it would slow the pace of its balance sheet reduction starting in April.
The Fed also released its FOMC statement, predicting rising U.S. inflation and lowering its economic growth forecast.
Amid signs of stagflation, the Fed still announced that it would cut interest rates twice by 2025, similar to the dovish signal it gave when it cut interest rates sharply last September.
The statement noted that recent indicators show that economic activity continues to grow at a solid pace. In recent months, unemployment has remained low, labor market conditions have remained strong, and inflation has remained moderately elevated.
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell first mentioned tariffs at a press conference after the meeting, acknowledging that Trump’s policies have affected the economy. Powell also indicated that the policies of the new Trump administration will affect the economy, but he will be careful to avoid making too clear assessments of this impact. Powell also used the word “uncertainty” several times. He reiterated that there is still uncertainty about the potential impact of tariffs on the U.S. economy and highlighted the risks to the Fed’s expectations for employment and inflation. – Bloomberg –
Last week, US President Trump raised tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to 25% and said new reciprocal tariffs and industrial duties would take effect on April 2.
On the geopolitical front, hostilities between Russia and Ukraine continued despite a 30-day ceasefire aimed at halting attacks on energy facilities. Meanwhile, conflict in the Middle East escalated as Reuters reported that an Israeli airstrike on Tuesday killed 400 people.
Two UN staff were killed in an attack on the UN building in Deir el Balah, central Gaza Strip, a UN source told AFP on Wednesday.
Gold prices have risen more than 15% this year. Gold has long been seen as a safe investment in times of economic or geopolitical uncertainty, and since it does not yield interest, it is even more attractive in a low-interest-rate environment.
Technical outlook for OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold continues to refresh its all-time highs as it finds support from the 0.50% Fibonacci extension noted by readers in yesterday’s edition and currently has no technical barriers ahead, with the next upside target being the 0.618% Fibonacci extension.
While all technical conditions are in favor of the upside with the channel acting as short-term support and the RSI showing no signs of a significant downside correction, downside corrections when they do occur are typically strong after a long period of hot growth like the current one.
Traders can definitely prepare for a downside correction with a target of around $3,037 in the short term and the 0.618% Fibonacci extension is a position that can fit this expectation.
I will try to describe that if you try to sell around the 0.618% Fibonacci level is a counter-trend decision, but since the RSI has been operating in the overbought area and 6 consecutive bullish sessions have occurred, there is a possibility for a downside correction. However, the need to do for the expectation (Adjustment) means that the open short positions should be completed in the short term because it is counter-trend.
During the day, the uptrend in gold prices with the expectation of a downside correction will be noticed again by the following technical levels.
Support: $3,037 – $3,021 – $3,000
Resistance: $3,065
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3101 - 3099⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3105
→Take Profit 1 3093
↨
→Take Profit 2 3087
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2999 - 3001⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2995
→Take Profit 1 3007
↨
→Take Profit 2 3013
Bullish continuation?The Gold (XAU/USD is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 2,951.07
1st Support: 2,886.31
1st Resistance: 3,049.36
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The New week can give us a Pullback on Gold!Waiting for the bigger move and for that bigger move to happen we need a solid pill back to fill in some gaps. Focused on the patience for this in order to maximize the reward. Allow Monday and Tues to show if they will reach for the lows and set up. Logically the best entry should come after Tuesday. But you never know. Just wait for it cause price will show when it is ready.
Trading Is Not Gambling: Become A Better Trader Part III'm so thankful the admins at Tradingview selected my first Trading Is Not Gambling video for their Editor's Pick section. What an honor.
I put together this video to try to teach all the new followers how to use analysis to try to plan trade actions and to attempt to minimize risks.
Within this video, I try to teach you to explore the best opportunities based on strong research/analysis skills and to learn to wait for the best opportunities for profits.
Trading is very similar to hunting or trying to hit a baseball... you have to WAIT for the best opportunity, then make a decision on how to execute for the best results.
Trust me, if trading was easy, everyone would be making millions and no one would be trying to find the best trade solutions.
In my opinion, the best solution is to learn the skills to try to develop the best consistent outcomes. And that is what I'm trying to teach you in this video.
I look forward to your comments and suggestions.
Get some.
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GOLD Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a rebound
From the support and went
Up but will now retest a
Local horizontal level
Of 3030$ from where
We will be expecting
A local bearish reaction
Sell!
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