How to Find Best Supply and Demand Zones/Areas in Forex & Gold
In this article, I will show you the strongest supply and demand zones.
These zones are called confluence zones.
I will teach you to identify these areas properly and explain how to apply it in Forex and Gold trading.
Let's start with a short but important theory.
In technical analysis, there are 2 types of supports and resistances.
Horizontal structures are supports and resistance that are based on horizontal key levels.
Vertical structures are supports and resistance that are based on trend lines.
A confluence supply or demand zone, will be the area of the intersection between a horizontal and vertical structures.
Look at GBPJPY pair. I underlined a significant horizontal support and a rising trend line - a vertical support.
We see a clear crossing of both structures.
The trend line and a horizontal support will compose a narrow, contracting area. It will be a confluence demand zone.
Within, with a high probability, a high volume of buying orders will concentrate, and a strong bullish movement will initiate after its test.
Above is one more example of a powerful demand zone.
It was spotted on a Gold chart.
Now let's discuss the supply zone.
There are 2 strong structures on GBPNZD: a vertical resistance - a falling trend line and a horizontal resistance.
These 2 resistances will constitute a confluence supply zone.
That is a powerful resistance cluster that will concentrate the selling orders. Chances will be high to see a strong bearish movement from that.
There is a strong supply zone on CHFJPY that is based on the intersection of a wide horizontal resistance and a falling trend line.
Supply and demand zones that we discussed are very significant. Very often, strong bullish and bearish waves will initiate from these clusters.
Your ability to recognize these zones will help you to make accurate predictions and identify a safe point to open a trading position from
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Gold
Gold price update: Sharp decline from all-time high!Dear friends!
Global gold prices have fallen to their lowest level in over a week, driven by the strengthening U.S. dollar. Investors are closely watching key inflation data, which could provide important clues about the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar has risen by 0.2%, pushing the USD Index (.DXY) further away from its 11-week low. This appreciation makes gold more expensive for investors holding other currencies.
On the other hand, U.S. President Donald Trump has raised hopes of a one-month delay in imposing higher tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, while also proposing a 25% tariff on European automobiles and goods. This uncertainty has driven investors toward the U.S. dollar, adding further pressure on gold prices, which were already facing profit-taking pressure after reaching record highs.
XAU/USD Breakdown – Key Support Levels Tested After Major Drop!### **Analysis & Description:**
This 1-hour chart of **Gold (XAU/USD)** from **OANDA** presents a strong **bearish move** following a key **liquidity grab and rejection** from the 2,942–2,950 resistance zone.
#### **Key Observations:**
- **Fair Value Gap (FGV 4H)**: The price initially tapped into the imbalance before facing a strong rejection.
- **Liquidity Sweep**: The sharp move up prior to the decline suggests that smart money may have induced liquidity before the major bearish move.
- **Bearish Break & Retest**: The price has broken through significant **support levels** around 2,892 and 2,878 and is now approaching the next support at **2,834**.
- **Fibonacci & Structure**: The Fibonacci retracement aligns with a deeper correction, with the price possibly targeting **2,820–2,800** if bearish momentum continues.
- **Risk-Reward Setup**: The risk-to-reward ratio in this trade setup suggests a well-executed short position, capturing nearly **3.70% downward movement** (approx. **-108 points**).
### **Potential Scenarios:**
🔴 **Bearish Case:** If the price sustains below 2,844 and fails to reclaim key resistance zones, further downside is likely toward **2,820–2,800**.
🟢 **Bullish Case:** A strong bounce from current levels (2,834) could trigger a short-term retracement before resuming downward momentum.
#### **Final Thought:**
Gold remains in a **strong downtrend**, and traders should watch for price action confirmation around support levels before considering further positions.
XAU/USD Bearish Retest in Play – More Downside Expected?### **Title: GOLD | Bearish Retest at Key Resistance – More Downside Ahead?**
### **Analysis & Description:**
This **1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar)** presents a clear **bearish structure**, with price currently testing a key **support-turned-resistance zone**. The downward trajectory suggests a **potential continuation to the downside** after a minor pullback.
#### **Key Observations:**
1. **Break and Retest Pattern:**
- Price has **broken below** a critical support level and is now **retesting it as resistance** (marked by horizontal lines).
- This classic **bearish retest** setup suggests that sellers may step in to push prices lower.
2. **Two Possible Scenarios:**
- **Scenario 1 (Primary Bearish Case):**
- If price rejects this resistance, we could see **a strong continuation downward**, targeting **$2,820 – $2,780 levels**.
- This aligns with the **trend structure of lower highs and lower lows**.
- **Scenario 2 (Less Likely Bullish Case):**
- If bulls manage to reclaim and break above **$2,860**, we may see a short-term reversal, with the next resistance near **$2,880 – $2,900**.
3. **Trading Strategy:**
- **Short Setup:**
- Look for rejection signals at resistance (**$2,850 – $2,860**), such as bearish engulfing candles or wicks.
- Enter short positions with **stop-loss above $2,865**.
- Target price zones around **$2,820 – $2,780** for profit-taking.
- **Alternative Bullish Setup:**
- A confirmed breakout above **$2,860** could open the way for a short-term rally.
### **Conclusion:**
Gold remains **bearish**, and this current pullback into resistance could provide a **selling opportunity** if rejection confirms. However, traders should monitor key **economic news events** that could impact gold’s movement.
📉 **Do you think gold will continue dropping, or will bulls take control? Let me know in the comments!** 🚀
GOLD | Bearish Reversal Pattern – More Downside Ahead?### **Analysis & Description:**
This is a **1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar)** from TradingView, highlighting a **bearish trend reversal pattern**. The price action forms a series of **lower highs and lower lows**, indicating a clear **downtrend formation**.
#### **Key Observations:**
1. **Lower Highs & Lower Lows:**
- The chart outlines a classic **bearish market structure** with multiple rejection points.
- Each bullish rally is met with strong selling pressure, leading to a downward continuation.
2. **Momentum Weakness (MACD Indicator):**
- The MACD at the bottom indicates **bearish momentum**, with both the MACD line and Signal line in negative territory.
- This suggests that selling pressure dominates and further downside movement is likely.
3. **Price Projection:**
- The final arrow suggests **further downside movement**, possibly breaking below key support zones.
- If price breaks below the **$2,807 support**, it could accelerate selling toward **$2,780 – $2,750 zones**.
4. **Possible Trading Strategy:**
- **Bearish Confirmation:** Traders should watch for a breakdown below **$2,807** for a short-selling opportunity.
- **Bullish Reversal?:** If price forms a strong support at **$2,807**, we may see a bounce before further downside.
### **Conclusion:**
Gold is currently in a **short-term downtrend**, and traders should be cautious of potential bearish continuation. However, **fundamental news events** could also impact price action, so it's essential to monitor economic data and market sentiment.
#### **Key Levels to Watch:**
- **Support:** $2,807 – $2,780
- **Resistance:** $2,846 – $2,880
📉 **What do you think? Will gold continue to drop, or will we see a reversal soon? Drop your thoughts below!** 🚀
2.28 Gold Trading Strategy Analysis
On Thursday (February 27), gold accelerated its decline and once lost the 2870 mark, mainly under the pressure of a stronger dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields, while investors awaited key inflation reports to assess the Fed's policy path. The U.S. dollar index rose 0.6%, further away from the recent 11-week low, after U.S. President Trump's vague promise to impose tariffs on the European Union and further postponement of tariffs on Canada and Mexico caused market volatility. Trump said on Tuesday that "the 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico will take effect as planned on March 4", and on Wednesday he changed his words and said "it may be postponed to April 2", while threatening to impose a 25% tariff on the European Union. The dollar rose slightly as U.S. President Trump's recent remarks on his trade policy plans have increased market uncertainty.
Despite the rebound in the dollar, the market is still betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice this year (the first in July and the second in October) due to increasing concerns about economic slowdown. The U.S. consumer confidence index plummeted to 98.3 on Tuesday (expected 102.5), the biggest drop since August 2021. The rebound in the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield has reduced the appeal of non-yielding gold. A slight recovery in the dollar and Treasury yields has weighed on gold to some extent, but the overall uptrend in gold remains intact. Several Fed officials will speak later in the day to provide the market with more insights into possible rate cuts by the Fed this year. The market will next focus on the Fed's preferred inflation indicator, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, which will be released on Friday. According to a Reuters poll, the market generally expects the monthly PCE index to be 0.3%, the same as in December 2024. The market is currently very sensitive to growth concerns, especially after last week's dismal U.S. Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data. If the PCE result is stronger than expected and suggests that the Fed will not cut interest rates in the near future, it may have a negative impact on gold. Gold is seen as a safe haven against political risks and inflation, but higher interest rates will reduce the appeal of this non-yielding asset. Meanwhile, Russian and American diplomats will hold talks in Istanbul aimed at resuming their respective diplomatic missions, which is seen as a step towards ending the war in Ukraine.
Gold market trend analysis:
Gold technical analysis: Gold finally fell. From the trading strategy of last weekend, our team has been reminding people to pay attention to this week's big waterfall. Traders who follow our trading strategy have made enough profits. The whole day has been emphasizing that the top structure of gold has been built. Today, gold fell like a waterfall, breaking through the 2870 support line, and the top pattern was officially established. Gold is getting weaker and weaker, and rebounds are opportunities for shorts.
Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to diverge downward to form a dead cross. Gold has refreshed its low again. Gold's downward space has opened up again. Gold shorts have just begun, and rebounds are opportunities for shorts. On the whole, our professional and senior gold analyst team recommends rebound shorting as the main strategy for short-term gold operations today, and callback longing as the auxiliary strategy. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2888-2890 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2830-2834 support line.
Gold Price Analysis: Short-Term Pullback Before Resuming Uptrendhello guys.
let's analyze gold
Resistance and Pullback:
The price recently tested a resistance zone around $2,900, which could indicate exhaustion in the current uptrend. The immediate pullback from this level suggests that buyers are taking profits, and the market may temporarily retreat.
Support Zone:
The blue support zone (ranging from $2,820 to $2,840) is crucial. This area aligns with the rising trendline, and it is expected to provide support. If the price reaches this region, it could trigger another round of buying, pushing gold higher once again.
Next Move:
If gold prices successfully hold above the support zone, we might see a continuation of the uptrend toward the upper boundary of the channel, potentially targeting $2,950 to $3,000 in the coming weeks.
However, if the support fails, a deeper pullback could test the next key levels below $2,800 before the market can resume its upward trajectory.
Conclusion:
The pullback from the $2,900 resistance zone suggests a likely short-term correction. Gold prices are expected to test the blue support zone around $2,820 before potentially resuming the bullish trend toward higher levels.
Gold’s Glimmering Pullback: A Strategic PauseIn recent weeks, gold (XAU/USD) has experienced a notable pullback from its record highs, influenced by a combination of technical indicators and fundamental factors. The emergence of a Shooting Star candlestick pattern at the peak suggests potential short-term bearish momentum, while overbought conditions indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) further support the likelihood of a temporary correction. Fundamentally, the Federal Reserve’s recent rate cuts and escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, have intensified gold’s rally. However, positive economic data has led to speculation that the Fed may slow the pace of rate cuts, contributing to the recent price decline. Despite this pullback, the long-term outlook for gold remains bullish, with analysts viewing the current dip as a strategic opportunity for investors to enter the market at more favorable levels. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish to the week with our level to level cross and lock confirmations allowing us to buy dips on the weighted level bounces.
We like to always stay with long term trend and therefore our levels allow us to trade against the short term trend change.
Start of the week we completed Bullish target 2950 and then confirmed the rejection with no lock opening all our bearish targets.
Yesterday we stated that Ema5 cross and lock below 2903 opened the swing range and we got the swing range hit at 2884 and stated that we still had room for the full swing range test at 2861.
- This was hit perfectly followed with a further cross and lock opening the secondary swing range, which is now also hit with room left for the full test. As you can see, the beauty of our system with every weighted swing range level providing the 30 to 40 pip bounce like we stated.
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead and also a new Daily chart long term chart idea, now that this one is complete.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)While our short term 1H buy's didn't work out, our mid term sells on the 4H TF is proceeding nicely. Price is down 1,230 PIPS (4.18%) from its Wave 5 high at $2,956. We have MUCH MORE DOWNSIDE towards our $2,450 target, so if you haven't got in already, you have plenty more chances.
If any short term buy positions present themselves, I will try to share them here.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Feb 24 - Feb 28]OANDA:XAUUSD continued to increase for the 8th consecutive week, marking the longest increasing streak in many years. Opening the week at 2,886 USD/oz, gold price peaked at 2,955 USD/oz and closed at 2,936 USD/oz. The main reason is concern about US tariff policy causing economic instability, increasing global gold demand. In addition, many central banks, especially in the BRICS bloc, are also actively buying gold.
Gold prices will have more room to rise higher due to the ongoing geopolitical and geo-economic instability, including the Trump administration's tariff policy and the risk of political instability in Europe. Additionally, demand for investing in gold-backed exchange-traded funds is also growing.
The US PCE inflation report, released next Friday, may affect gold prices through FED interest rate adjustments. If PCE increases, the FED may delay cutting interest rates, which is detrimental to gold prices. On the contrary, if PCE drops sharply, the gold price could exceed 3,000 USD/oz.
SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
Tuesday morning will see the February US Consumer Confidence report, followed by January New Home Sales data on Wednesday.
On Thursday, markets will receive preliminary reports on US fourth-quarter GDP, January Durable Goods Orders and weekly jobless claims, followed by US pending housing contract data later in the morning.
However, the most important event of the week will be the US core PCE index on Friday, along with the January personal income and personal spending reports. This is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, helping gold traders gauge the outlook for interest rates in the near term.
📌Technically, although the gold price is still maintaining an uptrend, however, on the Weekly and Daily charts, some technical indicators such as MACD show signs that the price has diverged, the moving average lines (EMA34,89) are quite far from the price line, this shows that the gold price next week may face adjustment pressure before continuing to increase again, unless there are fundamental factors that have a strong impact on the gold price.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,922 – 2,915USD
Resistance: 2,946USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3001 - 2999⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3005
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2834 - 2836⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2830
Gold (XAUUSD) 4H Analysis: Bearish Breakdown with Potential PullGold (XAUUSD) 4H Chart Analysis 📉✨
1️⃣ Price Action
Gold is in a downtrend, recently breaking below a key support zone (purple).
It is trading below the 200 EMA (2,841.953), confirming bearish sentiment.
A minor pullback to the broken support zone is expected before further downside.
2️⃣ Support & Resistance
Resistance Zone: Around 2,875 - 2,900 (previous supply area).
Immediate Support: 2,800 - 2,810 (highlighted demand zone).
3️⃣ RSI (Relative Strength Index) 📊
Oversold at 19.98 ⚠️ → This suggests a potential short-term bounce, but trend remains weak.
32.46 level is a key resistance on RSI; breaking above could signal a recovery.
4️⃣ Bearish Bias 📉
If price retests the broken support and rejects, we could see a drop towards 2,800.
RSI suggests possible relief before further downside.
Trading Outlook 🔥
✅ Bearish Scenario: Sell on a rejection of the broken support, targeting 2,800.
🚨 Bullish Case: If Gold reclaims 2,850+, it might retest the 200 EMA and higher levels.
Would you like an updated analysis if the price action changes? 🚀📊
Gold bulls pause witnessed around suggested resistance 2953/2958Gold bulls paused its bullish movement last week exactly by testing 2953 with high 2954.xx and during current week 2956.xx
We are now considering 2966/2967 is tough weekly resistance, gold bulls need to sustain above said level to target 3000/3022 else we may see a deep correction towards 2859/2791
Don't say it's impossible, everything is possible in trading and investing world :-)
Gold Price Analysis: Bearish Breakdown Below Key Support at 2888Gold (XAU/USD) has broken below the strong support level of 2888, indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend. This breakdown suggests increasing bearish momentum, and traders should be prepared for further declines.
Downtrend Scenario & Targets
If the bearish pressure continues, gold is likely to move toward the following downside targets:
✅ Target 01: 2866 – A minor support level where price may consolidate before further movement.
✅ Target 02: 2855 – A stronger support zone that could act as a temporary stopping point for sellers.
✅ Target 03: 2835 – A key demand zone, where buyers may step in to slow the decline.
Possible Retracement Before Further Drop
Despite the bearish outlook, gold may experience a temporary pullback before continuing lower. A retracement toward the previous support-turned-resistance at 2888 or even 2898 is possible. If the price fails to break above these levels, it could serve as confirmation for further downside movement.
Trading Strategy Considerations
🔸 Sell on Retracement: If gold retraces to 2888 or 2898 and shows rejection (bearish candlestick patterns, wicks, or resistance confirmation), it could provide a good short-selling opportunity.
🔸 Break & Retest Confirmation: If gold retests 2888 and fails to break above, it would signal further downside movement.
🔸 Risk Management: Set stop-loss above 2900 to manage risk in case of unexpected bullish reversals.
GOLD Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 2845.5
Bias - Bullish
Safe Stop Loss - 2838.1
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 2860.5
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold’s Sell-Off Continues: Is 2850 the Next Target?It has been a rough week for Gold bulls.
After reaching a new all-time high on Monday, Gold experienced a sharp sell-off, breaking multiple support levels—just as I highlighted in my recent analyses.
Yesterday, I pointed out that the 2880 support level was unlikely to hold and that a drop toward 2850 was the most probable scenario. Overnight, Gold hit a low of around 2856, which now raises the key question: is the correction nearing its end, or is there more downside ahead?
What’s Next?
✅ Bearish Continuation: Now the mid-term trend turned bearish. Gold is known for its strong directional moves, and history suggests that once momentum picks up, the asset rarely stops immediately. As long as Gold trades below 2880, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
✅ Key Resistance at 2880: This level, previously a support, has now turned into a significant resistance zone. A retest of this area could present new selling opportunities for traders looking to join the trend.
✅ Potential Rebound from 2850: Although the trend favors further downside, the 2850 zone is a critical area of interest. Given the size of the recent decline—nearly 1,000 pips in just a few days—a short-term bounce cannot be ruled out. However, any bullish move would need strong confirmation before considering long positions.
Conclusion:
Selling rallies into resistance remains the safer strategy, while buyers should exercise caution and wait for clear signals before stepping in.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
SPY/QQQ Plan your Trade For 2-28 : Gap Up - LowerToday's pattern suggests the markets will open with a slight GAP UP (higher), then transition into a downward price trend throughout the rest of the day.
After yesterday's deep selling, I suspect there may be a bit more of an uptrend in early trading.
The 584-585 level on the SPY was hit. That was my original projected downside target for the Feb 21-24 breakdown in price.
We've also seen Bitcoin collapse a little over 25%.
I believe this deep selling in Bitcoin prompted a "sell-everything" type of breakdown in the SPY/QQQ and other assets (gold/silver).
Once this move subsides/bases, I believe we'll see 2-3 days of basing/bottoming, then a reasonably strong reversion rally in the SPY/QQQ as the sell-everything fear settles.
This would be a good time to look for initial "anchor" positions in certain assets related to a moderate recovery rally between now and March 11-14 - maybe a bit later.
Overall, we are moving solidly into my expanding megaphone pattern and should continue to see increased price volatility.
The next phase of the market trends is a moderate recovery rally. Then, as we approach the March 21-24 breakdown phase, we will see more selling.
Get ready for a base/bottom setup. Then, we'll see the price move into a recovery phase, and the SPY may target 600 to 604 before topping again.
Get some.
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GOLD - Price can correct to support area and then start to growHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago, the price started to grow inside the wedge, where it immediately corrected from the resistance line to $2864 points.
Then it turned around and started to grow inside the wedge, soon broke the $2885 level and continued to grow.
Price later reached $2940 level and even long time traded near this level and later broke also broke it.
But soon, Gold turned around and made a downward movement, thereby breaking $2940 level and exiting from a wedge.
Next, price entered to triangle and continued to fall in it, and even reached a support level, after which bounced up.
So, I think that Gold can bounce from support area and rise to $2920, exiting from a triangle.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
GOLD Drops $67 – Bearish Momentum Continues Below 2,859 GOLD Update – Feb 28, 2025
Gold dropped $67 from 2,918 to 2,859, as we expected! Now, the price is struggling below 2873, keeping the bearish momentum intact.
📉Bearish Scenario:
Staying below 2,859 and 2,873 could push the price toward 2,840.
A 1H or 4H close below 2,840 opens the door for 2,823 – 2,811.
📈Bullish Possibility:
If 2,873 is reclaimed, expect some volatility between 2,873 and 2,880.
Above 2,880, gold could rally to 2,895 – 2,905.
💠Key Levels:
Resistance: 2873 | 2880 | 2895
Pivot: 2859
Support: 2840 | 2823 | 2810
Bearish Trend is Active while Below 2859
Bullish Correction to 2873 if Stabilized Above 2859
GOLD Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 2,863.303.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 2,902.672 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
LONG ON GOLDGold has fell almost $100 or 1000 pips since Monday from its high.
Its currently at a major demand level that was created 2/7/25 that caused it to rise $100 points to 2/24//25.
History from 2/7/25 looks like it will be repeating itself.
Dollar (DXY) looks bearish and PCE news comes out at 8:30 for Inflation which I believe will come out bad causing the dollar to tank and gold as well as the indices to rise.
I will be buying gold looking to catch that $100 move or 1000pips.
See you at the Top! OANDA:XAUUSD
DeGRAM | GOLD local oversoldGOLD is under an ascending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower trend line and support level.
Indicators on small timeframes indicate oversold.
We expect that XAUUSD after consolidation above the support may bounce to $2900, which coincides with the 62% retracement level.
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