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This Trendline Has Held Since January, Will Gold Finally Break?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently testing a key ascending trendline that has acted as dynamic support since early 2025. Today's price action shows strong bearish pressure, but confirmation is still needed as the daily candle has not yet closed below the trendline. A decisive close beneath this level would signal a potential shift in market structure and open the door for further downside. Fundamentally, mixed U.S. data adds to the uncertainty—while Personal Income (-0.4%) and Spending (-0.1%) came in below expectations, the Core PCE Price Index rose to 0.2%, suggesting lingering inflationary pressure. If price breaks and closes below 3,260, I’ll consider a bearish continuation toward 3,200, 3,120, and possibly 3,000. However, if bulls defend this zone and reclaim 3,300+, a short-term bounce could still play out. For now, I'm staying patient and waiting for the daily close to confirm direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DNP-FX
WHAT IS THE EXPECTED RETURN and DURATION of this GOLD Bull Run?Well, when measured against the DXY index, a clear trend becomes apparent. A Golden Bull typically lasts about 40 quarters, which is essentially 1 decade (give or take a quarter). Similar to #Bitcoin and its cyclical bull markets within a larger secular bull, the returns tend to decrease over time. However, it seems that a triple-digit Gold price relative to the DXY is on the horizon at the very least. What would that look like if the DXY were to hit a new low around 69? This would suggest a Gold price of $6900 at a ratio of 100:1. A Gold price of $12K with a DXY of 80 only requires a ratio of 150... Thus, a five-digit Gold price is certainly within the realm of possibility. I have forecasts that extend as high as $12K.
TVC:GOLDLong
by BallaJi
The Downtrend Isn’t Over – Is Gold Gearing Up for a Deeper SlideHello dear traders, Lucas here! Gold is currently showing mild technical weakness as it retests a key support zone, while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to ease. Investor interest in the metal—traditionally seen as a safe haven—is fading, as the market awaits clearer signals from the US economy and the Federal Reserve's policy outlook. All eyes are now on Friday’s Core PCE report, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. Should the data come in hotter than expected, it could strengthen the case for a rate cut as early as July, currently priced at around 21%, while the odds for a September cut stand at approximately 75%. Meanwhile, the US dollar remains volatile amid speculation over a potential change in Fed leadership and ongoing trade talks between the US, the EU, and China. The combination of policy uncertainty and weakening technical signals is keeping market participants extremely cautious. 📉 From a technical standpoint, gold may see a short-term bounce towards the 3,320 zone to grab liquidity before resuming its decline. A clear break below the 3,293 support could accelerate the downside move towards the 3,271 level. Still, a corrective bounce cannot be ruled out before the downtrend continues. Stay focused, stay disciplined, and trade with clarity during this pivotal phase. Best regards, Lucas_Reid
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lucas_Reid
1
XAUUSD: Gold's Muted Ascent Below $3350 XAUUSD: Gold's Muted Ascent Below $3350 – Navigating Key Levels Amidst USD Weakness! Hello TradingView Community! Let's delve into the intricate world of Gold (XAUUSD) today. The yellow metal is showing a subtle positive bias, largely influenced by a weaker US Dollar, yet a decisive bullish breakout above the $3350 mark remains elusive. 🌍 Macroeconomic Landscape: Forces Shaping Gold's Path Gold has maintained a slight positive stance for the second consecutive day, but it's struggling to find significant follow-through, staying below the $3350 level in early European trading. USD Under Pressure – A Tailwind for Gold: The primary driver for Gold's recent strength is the weakening US Dollar. Reports suggesting President Trump is considering replacing Fed Governor Jerome Powell have sparked concerns about the US central bank's future independence. This speculation has fueled market expectations for further Fed rate cuts this year, pushing the USD to its lowest point since March 2022, thereby providing support for non-yielding assets like Gold. Cautious Outlook Prevails: Despite USD weakness, a definitive bullish trend for Gold is not yet confirmed. The ongoing ceasefire between Israel and Iran holds firm, with prevailing optimism limiting significant safe-haven rallies. This complex environment necessitates caution before confirming a definitive bottom for Gold or positioning for a substantial recovery from levels below $3300. Key Data Ahead: Traders are keenly awaiting upcoming US macroeconomic data and speeches from FOMC members. These insights will be crucial in influencing XAU/USD, particularly ahead of Friday's pivotal US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index release. 📊 XAUUSD Technical Outlook: Pinpointing Strategic Zones Based on recent technical analysis (referencing image_e9d325.png for key levels), Gold is in a consolidation phase after a recent sharp decline, trading around the $329X mark. Price action below shorter-term moving averages suggests either lingering bearish pressure or an accumulation phase. Strong Support Zones (Potential Buy Areas): Critical demand areas are identified around 3294.414, 3276.122, and notably 3264.400. These levels are crucial for potential price bounces. Key Resistance Zones (Potential Sell Areas): Significant supply zones are found at 3313.737, 3321.466, 3330.483, and 3341.947. These are points where selling pressure may emerge. 🎯 XAUUSD Trading Plan: Your Actionable Strategy Here's a breakdown of the strategic entry and exit points for your XAUUSD trades: BUY ZONE (Strong Support - Long-Term Bias): Entry: 3266 - 3264 SL: 3270 TP: 3280 - 3284 - 3290 - 3295 - 3300 - 3305 - 3310 - 3320 BUY SCALP (Quick Buy at Intermediate Support): Entry: 3284 - 3282 SL: 3278 TP: 3288 - 3292 - 3296 - 3300 - 3305 - 3310 - 3320 - 3330 SELL ZONE (Key Resistance): Entry: 3331 - 3333 SL: 3337 TP: 3326 - 3320 - 3316 - 3310 - 3305 - 3300 SELL SCALP (Quick Sell at Near Resistance): Entry: 3313 - 3315 SL: 3320 TP: 3310 - 3305 - 3300 - 3295 - 3290 - 3280 ⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor Closely: US Macro Data: Friday's US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index is paramount for market direction. FOMC Member Speeches: Any official comments on monetary policy or inflation outlook will significantly impact USD and Gold. Geopolitical Stability: Developments related to the Israel-Iran ceasefire can influence safe-haven demand.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Caught Between Bulls and Bears as Uncertainty BuildsGold prices continued to edge lower today, hovering around $3,320 per ounce, showing little change from the previous session. Interestingly, even as the US dollar dropped to its lowest level since February 2022 and Treasury yields fell, gold’s rebound remains limited — weighed down by a string of upbeat US economic data. The US Dollar Index (DXY) slipped nearly 0.6% to 97.13, while the 10-year Treasury yield eased to 4.259% — both typically bullish signals for gold. However, optimism around the US economy is tempering safe-haven demand. Adding to the uncertainty, reports suggest former President Donald Trump may announce a replacement for Fed Chair Jerome Powell as early as September or October, sparking speculation over future monetary policy direction. Meanwhile, Fed officials such as Susan Collins and Thomas Barkin have reiterated that there is no strong case for rate cuts in July, warning that inflation could reaccelerate — especially under the pressure of renewed tariffs. 🔎 Technical view: Gold remains supported near the 50-day moving average at $3,322, but RSI indicates growing bearish momentum. A breakout above $3,400 could reignite upside movement. However, if the price breaks below $3,300, the next key supports lie at $3,245, and deeper at $3,200.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Edward_TradingFX
1
XAU/USD GOLD 4H + 1H PREMIUM TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – JUNE 27, 20254-HOUR TIMEFRAME – HIGHER TIMEFRAME BIAS Gold continues to trade near its all-time highs, consolidating just below a recent swing high of $3,315. Despite minor pullbacks, the macro trend remains bullish, with bullish structure still intact. Recent price action shows shallow retracements and strong rejections of key fib levels, a typical sign of underlying smart money accumulation. Price Action & Market Structure Gold recently printed a Break of Structure (BOS) at $3,290, followed by a retest of the broken level. We observed a Change of Character (CHoCH) near $3,300, quickly invalidated by bullish strength – further confirming accumulation behavior. Market remains in bullish alignment unless $3,250 is broken decisively. Key Support & Resistance Zones Resistance $3,315–$3,320 Demand $3,275–$3,282 Support $3,250 Targets $3,340 / $3,355 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Liquidity Grab beneath $3,275 likely triggered retail stop hunts 4H Bullish Order Block between $3,275–$3,282 remains unmitigated Imbalance Zone: $3,283–$3,289 – price may wick into this before launch Sell-side liquidity taken below $3,275 → bullish reaction Buy-side liquidity sits above $3,315 → likely short-term magnet ZOOMING INTO 1-HOUR CHART – INTRADAY SETUPS The 1-hour chart aligns with the bullish higher-timeframe bias, offering two potential premium-level setups: Setup #1: Bullish Rejection from 4H OB Entry Zone: $3,275–$3,282 This setup targets a liquidity sweep beneath $3,275 followed by bullish mitigation of a clean order block and imbalance zone. Confluence across fibs, OB, and structure support increases probability. Setup #2: Breakout Retest Play Trigger: Clean breakout and retest of $3,315 Entry: On successful retest (bullish confirmation candle) Ideal if momentum pushes through local resistance, clearing buy-side liquidity. Reclaim of structure suggests smart money continuation. Bearish Contingency (Low Probability for Now) If price breaks below $3,250 and confirms below structure: Look to short on retests into $3,275 Target next demand around $3,235 Until that happens, bullish bias remains dominant. Gold remains one of the most structured and responsive instruments to smart money technicals right now. A well-planned entry around demand, imbalance, or breakout levels provides excellent RRR potential if structure holds.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
Analysis and layout of the latest gold trends during the day📰 Impact of news: 1. PCE and Consumer Index 📈 Market analysis: Judging from the 4H chart, the Bollinger Bands are closing and the MACD is showing a trend of forming a death cross, indicating that the short-selling momentum is still relatively strong in the short term. However, as the overall upward structure has not been destroyed, there is still a possibility of a rebound and repair in the future. During the day, we need to pay special attention to the support strength of the MA5 and MA10 moving averages. ​It is recommended to adopt the idea of shorting at high levels and going long at low levels. The key support below is the 3305-3295 area, and the upper resistance is the 3340-3350 range. However, judging from the chart, in the short term, there may be a rebound near 3313. At present, it has indeed rebounded to around 3319 as expected. If it falls weakly to this week's low of 3295, you can buy if it does not break. On the whole, if it rebounds to 3335-3345, you can consider shorting, and if the support below 3305-3295 is not broken, go long. Today is Friday, and as it is near the end of the month, market liquidity is strong. Please be cautious in your operations today and be sure to set stop losses strictly. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3335-3345-3350 TP 3320-3315-3300 BUY 3305-3295 TP 3310-3320-3330 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
1
Gold Breaks Trendline – Deeper Correction Ahead?Gold (XAUUSD) has just broken below its short-term ascending trendline formed since mid-May. The candle closed around $3,333, confirming a bearish engulfing pattern and highlighting growing selling pressure after multiple failed attempts to reclaim the $3,383–$3,399 resistance zone (Fibonacci 0.5–0.618). Key Levels to Watch: - Immediate Support: $3,315 (tested twice before) - Main Resistance: $3,383–$3,399 (Fibonacci zone) - Major Resistance: $3,435–$3,451 (May high zone) If $3,315 fails to hold, gold could retest $3,285–$3,270, with deeper downside toward $3,222. Technical Overview: - The ascending trendline is now broken. - Bearish engulfing candlestick confirms momentum shift. - Price rejected sharply from Fibonacci 0.618 – $3,399. Trade Setups to Consider: Sell Opportunity: Short near $3,360–$3,383; stop loss above $3,400; targets at $3,315 and $3,270. Speculative Buy: Watch for reversal patterns near $3,315; stop loss below $3,300; short-term target $3,350–$3,365. Caution: This week brings major U.S. economic events (GDP, PCE, Fed speeches). Trade reactively, manage risk tightly, and avoid overleveraging.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
XAUUSD – Key Inflection Zone Before Core PCE Price Index m/mGold opened today with a bearish gap, once again struggling to stay above the 3327–3305 support zone, the same range where it hovered yesterday. While the price did form a higher low and higher high structure on the lower timeframes, this move still lacks the strength to signal a proper reversal—rather, it looks more like a minor consolidation ahead of tonight’s US GDP and Unemployment Claims release. At this point, gold is trapped between two key forces: A resilient resistance zone formed by the downtrendline, unfilled gap from earlier this week, and confluence of MA50 & MA200 A rising minor support trendline, creating a tightening range and indicating that the next breakout may provide a clearer direction. ⚠️ Technical Outlook As long as gold remains below 3366–3367, the prevailing downtrend structure remains valid. Any rally into that zone should be viewed cautiously, especially if accompanied by weak volume or rejection candles. However, if gold manages to break and close H4 above 3367, it could trigger a short-term correction toward 3396 or even higher, aiming to fill the previous gap. But so far, the momentum remains bearish, and lower highs continue to dominate the mid-term structure. 🔽 Trade Idea (Cautious Swing Trade) Due to the wide stop-loss required, we recommend using reduced position size to maintain proper risk management. 🔵 Sell Area: 3358 – 3367 ❌ Stop Loss: 3396 (above the trendline and prior key high) 🎯 Take Profit 1: 3331 🎯 Take Profit 2: 3306 🎯 Take Profit 3: 3289 🧠 Risk Level: Moderate to High (Lot size should be adjusted) R3: 3379 R2: 3366 R1: 3350 Pivot: 3327 S1: 3305 S2: 3286 S3: 3256
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AbsoluteWillid
Bullish breakout for the Gold?The price is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a breakout of this level could lead the price from this level to our take profit. Entry: 3,343.14 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 3,296.15 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 3,390.77 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
#PAXGUSDT #1D (ByBit) Head & Shoulders near breakdownPax Gold printed a shooting star and is losing 50MA now, on daily. Seems on the verge of a big retracement down towards 200MA support, once neckline is broken. ⚡️⚡️ #PAXG/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: ByBit USDT Signal Type: Regular (Short) Leverage: Isolated (9.0X) Amount: 4.9% Entry Targets: 1) 3349.94 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 3049.06 Stop Targets: 1) 3500.75 Published By: @Zblaba LSE:PAXG BYBIT:PAXGUSDT.P #1D #PaxGold TVC:XAU Risk/Reward= 1:2.0 Expected Profit= +80.8% Possible Loss= -40.5% Estimated Gaintime= 1.5 months
Short
by TradingOn
XAUUSD Trading Strategy for June 26–27, 20251. Market Overview In today’s session (June 26, 2025), XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD (gold spot) is trading around 3,339.6 USD, posting a modest +0.22% gain compared to the previous day. The intraday range has been confined between 3,330 – 3,350 USD, reflecting a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers in this short-term equilibrium zone. Following a recent corrective move, demand has reappeared around the 3,330 USD support. However, the recovery momentum is currently facing resistance near 3,350 USD, and the market will require a clear breakout to establish the next directional move. 2. Technical Analysis Price Behavior - Gold is moving sideways within the 3,330 – 3,350 USD range, which has acted as both support and resistance in recent sessions. It is also a high-liquidity zone, indicating indecision among market participants. - The rebound from the 3,291 – 3,317 USD support zone is still ongoing, but there is no confirmation yet of a completed downtrend or trend reversal. RSI Indicator - The RSI (14) is currently fluctuating within the neutral zone (49–54), suggesting a lack of strong momentum in either direction. - A sustained move above 55 could signal the return of bullish strength. 3. Key Technical Zones Resistance: - 3,350 USD: Frequently rejected intraday, immediate resistance to watch - 3,373 – 3,392 USD: A major confluence of the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement and previous supply zone from last week Support: - 3,330 USD: Intraday support and equilibrium zone - 3,291 – 3,317 USD: Strong structural support in case of further pullback 4. Trading Strategy for XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD Based on the current price structure and short-term bias, here are two tactical trade setups: Sell Setup – If Price Rejects Resistance Entry: 3,348 – 3,350 USD Stop-loss: 3,357 USD Take-Profit 1: 3,340 USD Take-Profit 2: 3,335 USD Take-Profit 3: 3,330 USD Buy Setup – If Price Holds Support Entry: 3,328 – 3,330 USD Stop-loss: 3,320 USD Take-Profit 1: 3,338 USD Take-Profit 2: 3,340 USD Take-Profit 3: 3,348 USD Important: Always set a stop-loss in every trade to manage risk effectively. Ps: XAUUSD remains in a short-term consolidation phase, oscillating within a narrow range of 3,330 – 3,350 USD. A breakout beyond this range will likely define the market's direction heading into the New York session. Traders are advised to monitor price action closely within these levels and wait for clear confirmation before executing any positions. Stay tuned for more daily gold strategies, and don’t forget to save this analysis if it helps refine your trading plan. Analysis by @Henrybillion
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
1
GOLD Can Turn Bearish Now, After Completing a 50% Retracement!GOLD futures analysis for Wed Jun 26th. Price reached the -FVGand is reacting to it now. This, after pulling back tothe 50% fib. Should the FVG fail, Gold is bullish. This is not supported by fundamentals, though. As the market environment is more risk on than off, I expect the -FVG to hold, and the retracement of the last impulsive move down to end, and a new bearish leg to begin. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!
by RT_Money
Gold Price ActionHello Traders, There’s a potential Buy/Sell opportunity here based on the current price action. I’ve marked trendlines on two different timeframes, which highlight key Support and Resistance levels. I've shared more detailed analysis on my channel, so feel free to check that out for deeper insights. When the price reacts (rejects) from these support or resistance zones, we can look to confirm our entry by analyzing volume—this helps us avoid false signals. For trade management, consider using a Risk-Reward ratio between 1:2 and 1:5, depending on your personal trading style. Most importantly, avoid trading blindly—always wait for confirmation. Wishing you all the best and happy trading! Thank you!
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by SuvashishFx
XAUUSD Possible Move 26.05.2025Gold is currently respecting an ascending channel, showing consistent higher highs and higher lows. Price is now testing the upper boundary of this channel and approaching a key supply zone (3353–3357), which previously triggered a strong sell-off. Key Zones: 🔼 Sell Zone: 3353–3357 (confluence of supply + channel resistance) 🔽 Buy Zone: 3325–3329 (demand zone + channel support) ✅ Trade Ideas: 📍Buy Setup Entry: 3325–3329 SL: Below 3310 TP: 3350–3355 📍Sell Setup Entry: 3353–3357 SL: Above 3367 TP: 3330–3325 🔔 Important Note: ⚠️ Today's U.S. Jobless Claims data is critical. Expect volatility and possible breakout/fakeout scenarios around the time of release. Trade only on confirmation.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by QuinnReed_Charts
BTC continues to short at high levels during the day📰 Impact of news: 1. Geopolitical impact 📈 Market analysis: BTC has reached an intraday high of 108,125, just one step away from the all-time high of 112,000. With the increase in trading volume and institutional sentiment turning bullish, the momentum seems to be in the bulls' favor. In addition to institutional buying, the ceasefire agreement in the Iran-Israel war is also an important factor in Bitcoin's sharp rebound. Trump's announcement of the end of the war almost immediately triggered a surge in the cryptocurrency market. However, the overall pattern has not changed, and the range resistance has not been broken, so we still keep the idea of ​​shorting at high levels. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 108000-107500 TP 104500-103500 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2