Elliott Waves SHows That Gold Is Turning South For Corrective ReGold started the year bullish with a strong extended leg to the upside close to 3k, but the move looks impulsive and may have found a temporary top near 2950. The reversal this week is coming from an ending diagonal, with the price now attempting to break the lower trendline support of the bullish channel. This suggests gold could be entering a corrective wave 4, likely unfolding in three waves. For those looking to join the trend, it’s better to wait for a deeper correction and a retest of lower support in this wave four pullback. Supports are at 2864 and 2789
At the same time, keep an eye on USD/CNH—if it pushes higher now for wave four, to retest its 2022 highs, gold could remain sideways for a while. In such case the new opportunities to rejoin the gold uptrend may come after USD/CNH completes its recovery from the 2024 lows, possibly around 7.40.
GH
Gold
XAUUSD - 1hr | Wyckoff Event UPDATEWe await the price to confirm the last step (6) to complete the distribution Phase. The price has fallen to SUPPORT as we predicted. Once a LOWER LOWER is formed, the Distribution Phase is complete. Expect gold turn to remain bearish. Falling as low as 2815.
BULLS :
If the price can respect the support and bounce back above 2910 with strong bullish momentum, we can see the price rally back up to the 2950 area.
BEARS :
If the price creates the lower low as we are expecting around 2860-2880. Then look for the price to:
1. retest support as far back up to 2910.
2. dramatically fall and continue its pullback as low as 2800-2820
GOLD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GOLD is trending up which is obvious from the green colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally plunged into the oversold territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB lower band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a long trade from the support line below towards the supply level of 2,947.627.
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XAUUSDGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3000, support below 2888
Four-hour chart resistance 2918, support below 2888-2850
Gold operation suggestions: Gold began to fall after being suppressed at the 2930 mark in the Asian and European sessions yesterday. The European session continued to fall under pressure at the 2920 mark. The US session accelerated downward to break through the 2900 integer mark and stabilized at the 2890 line to bottom out and rebound. Then the gold price fluctuated and rose to close above 2910
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper resistance is around 2918, and the short-term support below is 2888. If it falls below the new low, it may accelerate its decline during the day and can be seen near 2850. If it is a false breakthrough, the final daily line closes above 2890 or fluctuates widely. In the middle position, watch more and move less, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
SELL:2888near SL:2892
BUY:2890near SL:2887
Use small size to control risk
Gold XAUUSD Intra-day Move 27.02.2025Trend Analysis:
The price is moving within a descending channel (marked by parallel dashed lines).
The price is near the lower boundary of the channel, suggesting a possible bounce upward.
Indicators Used:
Bollinger Bands:
The price touched the lower band, which might indicate an oversold condition and a potential reversal.
Moving Averages:
A short-term moving average (blue line) is following the price closely.
The price is below the moving average, confirming a bearish trend.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Support: ~2,868.82
Resistance: ~2,908.39
The price is currently around 2,887.19, showing signs of bouncing.
Trade Setup (Highlighted on the Chart):
Long Position (Buy Trade) Setup:
Entry: Near the lower trendline (around 2,884/87)
Stop Loss: Below support (~2,878)
Target Profit: Near the upper trendline (~2,908.39)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable (green box indicates a good upside potential).
Trading Signal:
📈 Bullish Reversal Expected
If the price stays above the lower boundary and shows bullish momentum, a buy trade is valid.
If it breaks below the support, expect further downside movement.
GOLD reaches the key position 2888Gold bottomed out and rebounded in the late trading, and the long and short cycles repeated. From the daily level, the technical indicators of the gold market showed a clear divergence and were in a serious overbought range. According to the principles of technical analysis, there is a strong demand for adjustment in the market. Against this background, the price of gold fell sharply on Tuesday and Wednesday.
At present, the price of gold has effectively fallen below the support of the short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10, and today's opening price is below these two moving averages. And it has turned into strong resistance, thus pushing the price of gold to continue its downward trend. Technically, it is also necessary to judge by the combination of closing lines at the weekly and monthly levels, so it is temporarily regarded as a normal correction cycle. This correction cycle is triggered by the current small double top.
After the top structure of the gold 1-hour high, the decline broke through. We insist on being bearish on gold in the past two days. The rebound is an opportunity for shorts. Gold has now begun to form counter-pressure at 2920. Gold rebounds below 2920 and continues to be short at highs. The current short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10 have two pressure levels of 2928 and 2935!
If the gold price can rise strongly and break through the above resistance area, then today's adjustment will only be short-lived, and gold will continue to rise. If there is no breakthrough, then gold will most likely continue to fall. Focus on the support strength near the low point of 2888. Once this point is lost, it may trigger a further decline in the gold price.
After a night of rebound correction, gold touched the 2920 line and began to fall again. The current market direction has not changed, and it is still short. When the market rebounds to the top, we should go short without hesitation! Go short directly below 2928 in the Asian session!
After the previous two rounds of repeated bottoming out and rebounding, it is actually a market wash. Even with the current two rounds of rebound, the high point has not been able to break through the high point of the previous wave, which means that the shorts are in an advantageous stage, and the market is easy to fall and difficult to rise, and a new low after the intraday adjustment is just around the corner! So the intraday operation idea is to go short on the rebound!
Key points:
First support: 2902, second support: 2890, third support: 2880
First resistance: 2920, second resistance: 2928, third resistance: 2935
Operation ideas:
BUY:2887-2890, SL:2889, TP:2910-2920;
SELL:2925-2928, SL:2937, TP:2900-2890;
Intraday Setup: Gold Market Technical Outlook & Supply Zone.🔹Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis
- The chart highlights a supply zone around the 2,914 level, where price previously faced strong selling pressure.
- Gold has broken below this zone, indicating a potential bearish continuation.
- A retest of the supply zone is expected before further downside movement.
- The projected path suggests a move lower towards new support levels, likely around 2,890 or below.
- If price fails to reclaim the supply zone, sellers may maintain control.
▪️Conclusion:
Gold appears to be in a short-term downtrend, with potential selling opportunities near the supply zone before further declines.
XAUUSD: Buy or sell?Gold continues to decline for the second day, trading around $2,913 per ounce, as the market pauses ahead of key inflation data and uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariff policies. Despite the drop, strong buyer interest at lower levels signals stability, while expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts continue to support the metal.If buyers defend key levels, a short-term rebound may occur.
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long ( BUY STOP )Analysis:
1. Daily Chart:
• Strong uptrend with price making higher highs and higher lows.
• MACD is bullish, and RSI is at 62.67 (still below overbought territory).
• No major resistance above the current level, suggesting continuation.
2. 15-Min Chart:
• Price is recovering from a recent pullback.
• MACD is turning positive, signaling a potential bullish move.
• RSI at 53.30 suggests room for upside.
3. 3-Min Chart:
• Consolidation near 2916.88, indicating a possible breakout.
• MACD and RSI show signs of bullish momentum returning.
Trade Setup:
• Position: Long (Buy)
• Entry: 2920 (above recent consolidation)
• Stop-Loss (SL): 2908 (recent minor support)
• Take-Profit (TP): 2944 (next key resistance)
• Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2:1
Fundamental Justification:
• Gold remains bullish due to inflation concerns and potential rate cut expectations from the Fed.
• No significant bearish catalyst, and momentum favors bulls. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our 1h chart route map still playing out, as analysed
After competing our Bullish target earlier this week followed with the Bearish target, we stated yesterday that no ema5 cross and lock above 2950 confirmed the rejection above and into our bearish target 2927, and if we see a ema5 cross and lock below 2927 then the swing range will open, failure to lock below 2927 will confirm the bounce.
- No lock below 2927 confirmed the rejection at support for the weighted level bounce, as analysed and therefore no swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2950 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2950 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2969
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2969 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2986
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2986 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3006
BEARISH TARGETS
2927 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2927 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2903 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2903 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2884 - 2861
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2861 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
2841 - 2820
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD Still bearish on a Channel Down.Gold / XAUUSD entered a Channel Down on the 1hour timeframe forming today a Death Cross.
This is the first 1hour Death Cross since December 16th when Gold was again inside a Channel Down.
That Channel Down had symmetrical bearish waves of -3.00% each.
We expect the current one to show the same attributes, thus the bearish wave that just started on the Death Cross should be -2.30%.
Sell and target 2865.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Afternoon Update For 2-26-25Please take a moment to watch this video, in which I share my techniques and highlight what I believe will be the next setup phase for the SPY/QQQ, Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin.
It looks like the selling pressure is nearly over, and I think the shift to a moderate recovery rally could set up over the next 24-48 hours.
It could be a good setup for skilled traders.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Gold Bullish To ATH Of $2,964?!Bare in mind Gold is not out of its danger zone just yet. While internal structures might have turned bearish, on the bigger TF we are yet to see any huge structure turn bearish.
Price still remains within a huge range & buyers are holding above our previous ‘Wave X’ low. We could still see a schematic play out between Wave X & Wave Y. This means another ATH could be incoming👀
Gold Bullish To ATH Of $2,964?!Bare in mind Gold is not out of its danger zone just yet. While internal structures might have turned bearish, on the bigger TF we are yet to see any huge structure to turn bearish.
Price still remains within a huge range & buyers are still holding above our precious ‘Wave X’ low. We could still see a schematic play out between Wave X & Wave Y. This means another ATH could still be incoming👀
Intraday Setup, Resistance Holds! Will Gold Drop Further?🔹Technical Analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) - 1H Chart
▪️ Key Levels:
- Resistance Zone: 2,926.704 USD (Marked in red)
- 1st Target (Support Level): 2,899.780 USD
- 2nd Target (Support Level): 2,880.499 USD
▪️Analysis:
1. Resistance Zone & Potential Rejection:
- The red-shaded area highlights a strong resistance zone around 2,926.704 USD.
- Historically, price has struggled to break above this level, indicating a supply zone where sellers are active.
- The price attempted to break this area but faced rejection, signaling bearish pressure.
2. Projected Price Action:
- The chart suggests that if price retests the resistance zone and fails to break above it, a further downside move is expected.
- A lower high formation within this zone would confirm a continuation of the downtrend.
3. Bearish Targets:
- First target: 2,899.780 USD (Key support level)
- Second target: 2,880.499 USD (Stronger support, potential bounce zone)
4. Volume Analysis:
- The volume bars at the bottom indicate selling momentum is increasing, supporting the bearish outlook.
🔹Conclusion:
- Bearish Bias: If the price fails to break the 2,926.704 resistance, a drop towards 2,899.780 and potentially 2,880.499 is likely.
- Invalidation: A clear breakout above the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish scenario, potentially leading to a bullish push towards higher levels.
😊Don't Forget To Hit The Like Button & Share Your Thoughts In Comments.
XAUUSD:26/2 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold
Daily chart resistance 3000, support below 2892
Four-hour chart resistance 2950, support below 2892-2888
1-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2905
Gold operation suggestions: The moving average system of each period shows a short arrangement (suppression by the 30-minute and 4-hour moving averages), but the long-term moving averages at the daily level (100/200-day moving averages) are still upward, limiting the deep decline space.
The RSI indicator is close to the oversold area on the 4-hour chart, but has not yet formed a clear bottom divergence, so be alert to the demand for rebound correction.
Today's market is likely to run in the 2800-2936 range. If the gold price rebounds to around 2936 and encounters resistance, you can try to sell. You can buy after stabilizing near 2890, but be careful of the extreme decline after falling below 2888.
Buy: 2930~2936
Sell: 2890near
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GOLD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2911.0 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 2925.4
Recommended Stop Loss - 2903.3
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-26-25 : Rally In Counter TrendToday's Rally in counter-trend mode aligns with the current breakdown as a strong possibility of a Rally (Upward) type of trend.
After yesterday's deep low and moderate recovery near the end of the day, I suspect the SPY is setting up another Excess Phase Peak base - transitioning into the upward Flagging formation.
Because of this, I suspect today's Rally pattern will result in a moderate Melt-Up type of price action in the SPY/QQQ.
It may also prompt metals to rally off yesterday's lows as the Panic selling mode ends.
BTCUSD I still seeking a new low and trying to find the consolidation phase. I believe BTCUSD could fall further before finding support.
This is going to be a very interesting ROLL of price related to the SPY/QQQ, Gold and Silver, while Bitcoin continues to try to identify lower support.
Almost like a "disconnect" is taking place.
Ultimately, I think we'll see a peak between March 5-12 in the SPY/QQQ - rolling downward into the March 21-24 Major Bottom.
Get some today.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
GOLD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2949.5 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 2954.4
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 2940.5
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
DeGRAM | GOLD is pressing the trend lineGOLD is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
Chart volatility has decreased
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel and is forming an ascending wedge.
We expect a pullback after consolidation under the dynamic support.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GOLD - Still Bullish Indeed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈XAUUSD has been overall bullish, trading within the rising wedge marked in orange.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong structure and support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GOLD is around the the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
If the blue zone is broken downward, a deeper bearish movement towards the $2,775 demand zone would be expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.