XAUUSD – June 30, 2025: Trade Strategy Right Now – Focus on SellGold OANDA:XAUUSD has been recovering slightly toward the 3,282 USD zone, but macroeconomic headwinds remain strong:
- The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) TVC:DXY remains above 106.3 – the highest level in a month – making gold less attractive due to increased opportunity cost.
- U.S. 10-year Treasury yields remain firm around 4.35%, reflecting market expectations that the Fed will maintain tight monetary policy.
- Core PCE data for June remains elevated, far from the Fed's 2% target – lowering the likelihood of a rate cut anytime soon.
- Geopolitical tensions are cooling off, reducing demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
➡ These macro factors suggest that the current rebound in gold is more technical than fundamental, and unlikely to signal a major trend reversal.
1. Technical Analysis – XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD on D1 Timeframe
- After bouncing from 3,255 USD, price is now testing the 3,285 – 3,295 USD resistance zone.
- This is a Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5 – 0.618) from the previous bearish leg 3,314 → 3,255.
- EMA20 and EMA50 remain downward-sloping, signaling that the dominant trend is still bearish.
- RSI is hovering around 52, suggesting mild momentum but not enough for a confirmed bullish reversal.
➡ The current price behavior aligns with a pullback within a downtrend, with potential for continuation to the downside.
2. Trade Setup – Short-Term Sell Strategy
Primary Setup: Sell the Rally
Entry: Sell near 3,294 – 3,295
Stop Loss: 3,300
Take Profit 1: 3,260
Take Profit 2: 3,244
Take Profit 3: 3,225
Ps: Gold OANDA:XAUUSD is showing signs of a technical bounce, but fundamentals and structure still support the downtrend. Selling at resistance remains the preferred strategy as long as macro pressure persists.
The strategy will be updated continuously – don't forget to save and follow to avoid missing key opportunities.
Analysis by @Henrybillion
Gold
Gold: Eyes on QML Zone for Potential Reaction Before Deeper DropHello guys!
Let's go deep into the GOLD chart!
Price has completed a liquidity grab near 3440 (marked as "a hunting") and is now heading downward toward a key QML zone.
First, a reaction is expected around the QML area (3180–3220), where previous structural interest and demand may cause a temporary bounce.
After this reaction, the price is likely to retest higher, potentially forming a lower high.
Then, the dominant bearish structure is expected to continue, with a possible sharp drop toward the final demand zone around 3050–3080.
This movement represents a classic manipulation.
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy on June 30Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3350, support 3225
4-hour chart resistance 3310, support 3245
1-hour chart resistance 3295, support 3260
From the 4-hour level, after gold fell to 3255 last Friday, the real candlestick chart was difficult to continue to fall, suggesting that the downward momentum has slowed down. It is necessary to pay attention to the possibility of double bottom support at 3245. At the same time, this is also the 0.618 support level of the golden section of the 3120-3452 band. With the MACD showing signs of bottom divergence, short-term operations are bearish, but the probability of rebound is also very high. The short-term support position below the market is near 3281, and the break will look at 3260-3247; the important pressure position is near 3295; the break will look at 3309-3313!
BUY: 3281near
BUY: 3260near
BUY: 3245near
HelenP. I Gold may retest resistance before dropping to $3230Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see that after a period of sideways consolidation, gold started to form lower highs under a descending trend line. Each time the price approached this trend line, it was rejected, confirming strong bearish pressure. Most recently, XAUUSD broke below the support-turned-resistance level around 3295, entering the lower resistance zone. Now, the price is trading just under this area, which has acted as a strong supply zone in the past. Given the current technical setup, I expect that gold may show a minor upward move to retest the resistance zone between 3285 - 3295. However, this retest is likely to act as a trigger for sellers to step back in. The prevailing downtrend and repeated failures to break the trend line suggest further weakness ahead. That’s why I’ve placed my target at 3230 points - a level that aligns with the next major support on the chart. This area could provide the next bounce opportunity, but for now, the bearish structure remains dominant. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry - 3280.9
Sl - 3287.7
Tp - 3267.4
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Battle Plan – 30 JuneHey, Snipers! It’s Sunday night, the real ones are back on the charts and the tourists are out of the game.
Last week, gold tried every trick in the book: fake bounces, liquidity sweeps, endless bearish grind. Every move up got sold. If you traded like a sniper, you’re still standing. If you chased dips blindly, you’re probably licking your wounds.
🌍Macro snapshot:
Dollar’s holding firm — no rescue from US news, just choppy reactions.
War headlines are everywhere, but structure is king: EMAs are stacked, every rally is just bait for liquidity.
Market’s running on fear and patience. Fast money gets chopped, disciplined money survives.
Sniper Mindset:
⛔No bias, no forced trades. The real win is in the waiting.
Structure will show you who’s in control — your job is to react, not predict.
🥷 GoldFxMinds Battle Plan – 30 June (Trade Nation Feed)
Demand (Buy) Zones:
3265–3245: The “half-mitigated” trap. Most buyers are already underwater — we wait for a real PA shift. First green candle? Ignore it. Let them get trapped.
3215–3200: This is the sniper zone for real discount hunters. If price freefalls, we watch for exhaustion, divergence, and a proper story. One clean engulfing here and the bounce can be massive.
3180–3160: Only for flash crash days — this is where pain turns into opportunity. But you wait for panic, not “hope trades.”
Supply (Sell) Zones:
3287–3300: First sell window — if price spikes, watch for that classic NY liquidity grab and an instant rejection.
3320–3335: The “don’t even try to buy here” zone. OB, FVG, and every EMA lines up — if the market gets here, expect a brutal fade.
3345–3360: Premium fantasy land for sellers. If bulls get cocky, this is where the big shorts reload for the next leg down.
🧠Sniper Mindset:
EMAs stacked above? No dreams, only discipline.
No confirmation in your zone? Stand down — the market isn’t your friend.
Most traders buy “cheap” — we buy right.
If the story’s not clear, patience pays. The first bounce is a trap, the second is the setup.
📝June’s about to end. Let’s close it out with surgical entries and sniper exits.
Stay sharp, stay humble, and let the crowd chase while we collect.
🧠Remember: green candles aren’t invitations, they’re traps for the impatient.
Wait for confluence, act on logic, and journal every single lesson.
Gold rewards discipline — not luck.
If you’re serious about gold, learn this:
Zone + confluence + confirmation = sniper entry.
Anything else is just gambling with a nice chart.
Review your trades, journal your mistakes, and stop blaming the market for your impatience.
Hit like🚀, follow, and drop your trading question if you want the next level.
See you on the Trade Nation feed.
Embracing Uncertainty
In trading, the illusion of certainty is often our biggest enemy.
Even the cleanest setups—like a MTR (Major Trend Reversal)—can fail.
Mark Douglas said it best:
“Anything can happen.”
This simple truth is what keeps professional traders humble and disciplined.
Respect the market, manage your risk, and never assume you know what comes next.
Stay sharp.
#MJTrading
#GoldTrading #XAUUSD #TradingPsychology #AnythingCanHappen #MarkDouglas #ForexMindset #TradingQuotes #PriceAction #RiskManagement #MindOverMarkets #ChartOfTheDay #MJTrading
XAU/USD Trade Setup – June 30, 2025📉 XAU/USD Trade Setup – June 30, 2025
Bias: Short (Sell Position)
Entry Zone: Around $3,363–$3,370
Stop-Loss: 🔺 $3,259 (Above recent highs)
Take-Profit 1: 🎯 $3,308
Take-Profit 2: 🎯 $3,302
Risk/Reward: Favorable (1.8–2.2:1 depending on entry)
🔍 Technical View
Trend: Bearish below $3,370
Structure: Price rejected key resistance at $3,370–$3,380
Indicators:
RSI weakening near 50 (bearish bias)
MACD crossing down on H1
Key Zone: A break and close below $3,350 will likely drive price toward your TP zones at $3,308 and $3,302.
⚠️ Notes
Volatility expected near NY session open or if macro data hits (e.g. Fed speakers, inflation prints)
Consider scaling out partial profits at TP1 ($3,308) to lock gains
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)As expected last week Gold climbed into our 'Supply Zone' of $3,347 & rejected as I said it would on our video analysis. It even managed to close below our 'BOS' zone.
The game plan this week is to keep an eye on market structure for further sells. With every pump up we should be looking at how price can sell off again & how we can join the sell trend to profit off it.
XAUUSD Channel Down starting new Bearish Leg.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a 2-week Channel Down, recently rejected on its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). The last Lower High was priced on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, so currently we are on the ideal level for a new short.
With a 4H Death Cross emerging, we are targeting the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (as the previous Bearish Leg did) at 3210 for the Channel's new Lower Low.
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GOLD | Pressure Below Pivot – Eyes on 3255 and 3238GOLD | Market Outlook
The overall momentum remains bearish as long as the price trades below the pivot line at 3297.
Currently, the price is attempting to stabilize below 3281, suggesting a potential continuation of the downtrend toward 3270 and 3255.
A confirmed 1H close below 3255 would further strengthen the bearish scenario, opening the way toward 3238.
Sell Setup:
Valid if 1H candle closes below 3281→ Targets: 3270 and 3255
Buy Setup:
Valid if 1H candle closes above 3297→ Targets: 3314
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 3281
• Support: 3255 / 3238
• Resistance: 3297 / 3314
GOLD Will Grow! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 3,281.18.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,396.94 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Gold corrective pullback support at 3245The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3245 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3245 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3310 – initial resistance
3320 – psychological and structural level
3340 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3245 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3220 – minor support
3205 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3245. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,339.37
Target Level: 3,313.04
Stop Loss: 3,356.82
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,380.73
Target Level: 3,335.74
Stop Loss: 3,410.56
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,419.53
Target Level: 3,348.85
Stop Loss: 3,466.65
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Watching Gold Tap Liquidity Before the Next DropGold is still clearly in a bearish structure on the 1 hour chart. We’ve seen a solid break of structure to the downside and price is now retracing.
What stands out is how price is pushing back up into multiple areas of interest. There’s liquidity resting just above this minor high along with a fair value gap and the underside of a bearish trendline. This cluster makes it a likely spot for sellers to step back in.
If price fills the imbalance around that FVG, it could set up the next leg lower. I’ll be watching closely for signs of rejection in this zone to see if the market is ready to continue the move down.
No reason to rush in early. Let price come to the levels that matter and confirm with a reaction. Staying patient pays.
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart update for 30 June 2025Hello Traders,
As you can see that there are some solid in the market since morning, right now market is sustains below 3300 Psychological Level and move towards 3270-75 key support zone and then at 3350
Monthly candlestick closing also due today
only if market breaks 3305 successfully today then GOLD will move towards 3335
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Gold Loses Its Luster as Risk Appetite Takes ControlAlthough inflation in the US continues to rise, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index data for May showed that the core PCE increased to 2.7%, exceeding forecasts, but the market still does not expect the Fed to cut interest rates soon.
The USD slightly decreased, bond yields remained stable, but gold prices failed to take advantage of these supporting factors. According to experts, market sentiment is leaning towards risky assets, as US stocks hit a peak and US-China trade relations have positive developments. This is the main reason for the decline in safe-haven demand for gold.
Currently, the gold market is in a tug-of-war state, waiting for stronger signals from inflation, geopolitical tensions or global economic instability to determine the next trend. If there are no major fluctuations in the near future, gold may continue to adjust in the short term, especially when the technical resistance zone has not been broken.
Personally, I see that the money flow is temporarily stopping in gold and gradually shifting to growth assets. And if there is no strong enough “push”, gold will continue to move in this short-term downtrend for a while longer.
XAUUSD Nears Key Rejection ZoneHello all dear traders!
Currently, XAUUSD is still in a clear downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows – a characteristic of a market controlled by sellers. Now the price is rebounding to an important resistance zone – which was previously a demand zone but was broken. It coincides with the EMA cluster and falls right into a technical confluence area. This is a very typical "retest" before the price continues to fall.
If you have experience, you will know: there is nothing more dangerous than buying in a downtrend, just because the price is recovering.
On the macro side, the current context is not favorable for gold: Middle East tensions have temporarily subsided, the USD is recovering slightly, US bond yields are still high, and US inflation data is showing signs of cooling down. That is: gold is losing its role as a haven and a hedge against risks – money will gradually withdraw from gold if there are no more unexpected fluctuations.
Given the convergence of these technical and fundamental factors, I am leaning strongly towards a continuation of the downside, with the possibility of a further decline towards the lower boundary of the channel. Traders should wait for a clear price reaction at the resistance zone – if they see a strong rejection signal (e.g. pinbar, engulfing candle, or exhausted volume), it is a very good opportunity to enter a position.
DeGRAM | GOLD under the resistance area📊 Technical Analysis
● Price broke the long-standing rising-channel floor, then formed a clean bear flag inside a fresh down-sloping channel; the flag’s ceiling coincides with the 3 300-3 310 supply band.
● Lower-high sequence and confluence of flag top with former support turned resistance favour continuation toward the mid-channel / fib pivot at 3 246, next 3 180.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Friday’s hotter US core-PCE and Fed governor Bowman’s “no cuts in 2025” comment lifted 2-yr yields above 4.80 %, firming the DXY and draining flows from non-yielding gold.
✨ Summary
Sell 3 290-3 305; hold below 3 310 targets 3 246 → 3 180. Short bias void on an H4 close above 3 310.
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XAUUSD Under Pressure: What the Market Is Telling UsGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading with a clear bearish bias, showing sustained downside momentum on the 4H timeframe 🕒. Price has been gradually stepping lower, and the structure continues to favor the sellers.
As expected for early in the week, there’s been a bit of choppy movement ⚖️, but the overall sentiment remains weak. Unless we see a strong shift or catalyst, I’ll be maintaining a bearish outlook.
🧭 I’m watching for price to revisit key resistance levels, and if we get a clean break and retest 🔄, I’ll be looking for potential short setups from areas of previous demand that flip into resistance.
🌐 Keep an eye on broader risk sentiment — if NASDAQ starts pulling back or DXY strengthens, it could fuel further downside in gold.
As always, this is not financial advice, but the detailed breakdown is available in the latest video 🎥.