Gold
XAG/USD Bearish Flag (27.2.25)The XAG/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 31.06
2nd Support – 30.66
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XAUUSD H4 I Bearish Continuation Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 2882.96, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 2829.34, a pullback support that aligns with the 161.% Fibonacci extension.
The stop loss will be placed at 2992.55, which is an overlap resistance level.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Gold breaks out of consolidation, facing bearish pressureGold has officially exited its previous consolidation phase, experiencing a sharp decline from the $2,950 region and reaching a low near $2,878. The breakdown of the rising wedge pattern has triggered increased selling pressure, confirming a shift in momentum towards the downside.
Currently, gold is making a slight recovery, trading around $2,919. However, the bearish trend remains dominant, leaving the price vulnerable to further downside moves. If gold fails to reclaim the $2,930 - $2,940 zone, the downward momentum may persist, targeting $2,905 as the first support level, with a potential extension toward $2,879.
Wishing you successful trades!
Gold H1 | Bearish downtrend to extend further?Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 2,887.21 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 2,900.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 2,841.68 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Gold Market Analysis & Trading Strategy for TodayHello traders! Let’s analyze gold’s price movement and build a strategy for today.
OANDA:XAUUSD is experiencing a slight pullback, currently trading at $2,910 in the early trading hours. The precious metal remains stable within a descending parallel channel on the 1-hour chart, indicating short-term bearish momentum.
This correction aligns with declines in stocks and Bitcoin, reflecting broader risk-off sentiment in the market. However, unlike other assets, gold has found support at lower levels, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to stabilize the market.
While gold is retracing, it remains relatively stable compared to other assets. If buyers continue defending key levels (trendline boundaries), we could see a short-term recovery attempt.
Additionally, investors are awaiting the release of the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, which is set to be published on Friday. This data could have a significant impact on gold’s direction.
XAG/USD - Wedge Breakout (Weekly Forecast Feb 24-28)The XAG/USD Pair on the H4 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 31.25
2nd Support – 30.67
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Trade Idea: XAUUSD Short ( SELL LIMIT )Technical Analysis:
1. Daily Chart:
• Trend: Uptrend but showing signs of exhaustion.
• MACD: Still bullish but momentum is weakening.
• RSI: 53.11, indicating neutral momentum, with a possible shift to downside pressure.
2. 15-Min Chart:
• Trend: Clear downtrend forming.
• MACD: Bearish momentum is strengthening.
• RSI: 42.74, nearing oversold but with room for further decline.
3. 3-Min Chart:
• Trend: Short-term consolidation after a sell-off.
• MACD: Slight bullish divergence but still negative.
• RSI: 44.71, meaning there is no immediate reversal signal yet.
Fundamental Analysis:
• US Dollar Strength: If there is upcoming economic data supporting a stronger USD (such as rising bond yields or hawkish Fed comments), gold could decline further.
• Recent Price Action: Gold has been in a long-term uptrend, but the recent pullback suggests a correction is in play.
Trade Setup:
• Entry: 2878
• Stop Loss (SL): 2892 (14 pips above entry)
• Take Profit (TP): 2850 (28 pips below entry)
• Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2:1 FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
4 reasons that Gold may have peaked: Gold can thrive on uncertainty, and for the past three years, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has been a key driver. However, recent developments hopefully suggest a possible shift toward peace. While a complete resolution is uncertain, the beginning of peace talks, no matter how flawed they appear, could weaken gold’s safe-haven appeal.
Gold benefits from lower interest rates, as it competes with yield-bearing assets like bonds. Earlier in the year, markets expected the Federal Reserve to cut rates aggressively. However, recent economic data and Trump’s economic policies mean inflation could be a greater concern than initially thought. This has led to doubts about how quickly the Fed will ease policy. If rate cuts are delayed or scaled back, gold’s upside could be limited.
Gold and Bitcoin are seen as alternative stores of value. Bitcoin has recently fallen about 20% from its highs. This could suggest a broader shift in risk sentiment, potentially impacting gold if investors move back into the U.S. dollar or other assets.
Markets initially expected Trump to push aggressive tariffs, which would have fueled inflation and boosted gold. However, so far, his rhetoric has been more meandering than expected, with only a 10% tariff on Chinese imports. If markets believe that Trump’s trade policies will be less disruptive than previously thought, gold loses a key bullish narrative.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our chart idea is playing out with our ema5 lock confirmation level to level.
After competing Bullish n target 2950 earlier this week we confirmed the rejection with no lock opening all our bearish targets. After competing 2927 and 2903 bearish target we confirmed that if we see a ema5 cross and lock below 2903 the swing range will open, failure to lock below 2903 will confirm the bounce.
- Yesterday No lock below 2903 confirmed the rejection and gave the bounce like we stated and today we got the mea5 lock below 2903 opening the swing range.
- JUST PERFECT LEVEL TO LEVEL ACTION!!
We still have room for the full swing range test and will use ema5 lock on each weighted level to confirm the next range. We are also seeing each of our weighted level giving the clean 30 to 40 pip bounces as analysed.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2950 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2950 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2969
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2969 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2986
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2986 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3006
BEARISH TARGETS
2927 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2927 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2903 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2903 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2884 (DONE) - 2861
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2861 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
2841 - 2820
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
2.27 Gold Trading Analysis Strategy
Gold prices were largely flat on Wednesday (February 26) after falling to a one-week low in the previous trading day. Uncertainty caused by US President Trump's tariff plan has suppressed risk appetite and boosted demand for safe-haven gold. Earlier, it fell more than 2% on Tuesday, once losing the 2,900 mark and hitting a low of around $2,888, mainly due to a weak US consumer confidence report. Gold's weakness is mainly due to the sell-off in US stocks. As stocks fall, financial conditions become more tense, especially with the Fed's aggressive policies. The problem is that economic data is currently weak and inflation expectations are rising. Markets may be concerned that if the economy slows, the Fed may not cut rates quickly while inflation remains above target and long-term inflation expectations remain elevated. This is the growth panic risk, and the market has expected downward pressure on gold given the excessive long positions in the gold market.
Gold Market Trend Analysis:
Gold Technical Analysis: From the daily level, the technical indicators of the gold market show a clear divergence and are in a serious overbought range. According to the principle of technical analysis, the market has a strong demand for adjustment. Against this background, the price of gold fell sharply on Tuesday. At present, the price of gold has effectively fallen below the support of the short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10, and today's opening price is below these two moving averages. And it has turned into strong resistance, thus pushing the price of gold to continue its downward trend. Technically, it also needs to be judged by the combination of closing lines at the weekly and monthly levels, so it is temporarily regarded as a normal correction cycle, and this correction cycle is triggered by the current small double top.
After the gold 1-hour high top structure, it fell and broke. Our team has been bearish on gold for the past two days. The rebound is an opportunity for shorts. Gold has now begun to form counter-pressure at 2920. Gold rebounded below 2920 in the US market and continued to go short at highs. The current short-term moving average MA5 and MA10 have two pressure levels of 2925 and 2930. If the gold price can rise strongly and break through the above resistance area, then today's adjustment will only be short-lived, and gold will continue to rise. If there is no breakthrough, then gold will most likely continue to fall. Focus on the support strength near the low point of 2888. Once this point is lost, it may trigger a further decline in the gold price. On the whole, our professional and senior gold analyst team recommends rebounding shorting as the main strategy and callback longing as the auxiliary strategy. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2920-2930 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2888-2890 line of support.
2.27 Gold Operation Strategy Reference:
Short Order Strategy:
Strategy 1: When gold falls back to around 2920-2925, go short (SELL ) with a stop loss of 8 points, and the target is around 2900-2895. If it breaks, look at the 2890 line;
Long Order Strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold falls to around 2888-2890, go long (BUY) with a stop loss of 8 points, and the target is around 2900-2910. If it breaks, look at the 2920 line;
GOLD – Bearish Momentum Below 2918, Eyes on 2895 BreakdownGOLD (XAUUSD) Analysis – February 26, 2025
🔸 Bearish Momentum Strengthens Below 2918
Gold remains under bearish pressure, having failed to hold above the pivot level of 2918, reinforcing downside momentum. The price is currently testing lower levels, with an initial target of 2905, followed by 2895.
📉 Bearish Outlook: A 4H or 1H candle close below 2918 will likely accelerate the bearish continuation toward 2905 and 2895, a critical support area where price action may stabilize or extend further downside.
📌 Bullish Recovery: If Gold reclaims 2918 on a 4H candle close, price volatility is expected within the 2918 - 2935 range before confirming the next move. A break and close above 2935 could trigger a push toward 2954 and 2974.
⚠️ Market Impact: With heightened market volatility and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, investors should monitor key levels closely, as Gold tends to act as a safe-haven asset during economic instability.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔸 Resistance: 2935 | 2945 | 2954
🔹 Pivot Level: 2918
🔻 Support: 2906 | 2895 | 2880
📉 Bias: Bearish below 2918, with a key breakdown level at 2895 to confirm further downside.
GBPAUD - Catch This Massive 1600pip Swing Trade!GBPAUD is currently in a 335 ABC correction. We are in wave C now and expecting 5 waves.
For wave C, we've seen subwave 1 and currently in subwave 2. Expecting subwave 2 to complete soon. We'll be looking for a breakdown to confirm that subwave 3 has started.
We're expecting price to stay below invalidation so we'll be keeping our stops above that level for now and then moving it lower (above subwave 2) once subwave 3 has been confirmed.
Trade Idea
- Watch for completion of subwave 2
- Watch for lower timeframe trendline break, BOS etc, to confirm reversal
- once entered, keep stops above invalidation
- Targets: 1.92 (1000pips), 1.86 (1600pips)
As always, trade safe!
Qualified for increases, but be careful with adjustmentsOANDA:XAUUSD remains in the rising channel after a significant downward correction since the recent record price rally and investors are focused on inflation data due out later this week and the latest developments on US President Donald Trump's tax plans.
OANDA:XAUUSD was trading at nearly $2,905/oz as of press time, about 60Dollar below the all-time high reached on Monday after Trump announced his administration would impose 25% tariffs on the European Union without clarifying whether the tariffs would affect all EU exports or be limited to certain products or industries.
At the same time, Trump also announced US tariffs on Mexico and Canada would take effect on April 2, delaying the original March 4 effective date.
Late Wednesday, U.S. President Donald Trump reaffirmed he will maintain 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico and added the European Union to the list of countries he will punish American consumers for importing goods from. Trump added that tariffs on Canada and Mexico will take effect on April 2.
Market participants will closely monitor developments surrounding Trump's next tariff policy. Tariff uncertainty could spur flows into safe assets, benefiting precious metals.
Since Trump returned to power, his comments on the timing, scale and targeting of tariffs have often confused global markets and raised questions about his policies. This instability, coupled with geopolitical changes, highlights gold's role as a store of value in times of uncertainty.
Gold prices have also been supported in recent days by weak U.S. economic data, which has traders expecting the Federal Reserve to make just two 25 basis point interest rate cuts this year. Lower borrowing costs typically favor gold because the metal doesn't pay interest.
On the other hand, Trump's plan to raise tariffs could raise the Federal Reserve's concerns about inflation, which could convince the Fed to keep interest rates high for longer. This may limit gold's rise.
Looking ahead, investors will analyze Friday's core personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's favored measure of inflation, for more reading and anticipation of the direction of monetary policy.
Basically, gold still has a lot of potential support as the recent decline was mainly due to profit-taking and partly affected by the cooling situation in Ukraine, which was brought to the attention of readers through daily publications and short comments.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold continues to decline as the recovery fails to take gold price above the POC Volume Profile and the Fibonacci point extends 0.236%. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also pointing down with a significant slope, showing that the price momentum is overwhelming because profit-taking activities in the market are overwhelming.
It is very likely that gold will continue to decline more with a target of around 2,865 USD, this is also the confluence position of the lower edge of the price channel with EMA21, this support position is very important for the uptrend of gold prices in the medium term.
Once gold is sold below $2,865, further downside will be noticed at $2,835 – $2,790 in the short term, so long protection levels should be placed behind this price point.
Regarding the current position, gold still has enough upside conditions and notable levels will be listed again as follows.
Support: 2,900 – 2,880 – 2,865USD
Resistance: 2,933 – 2,946USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2941 - 2939⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2945
→Take Profit 1 2933
↨
→Take Profit 2 2927
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2869 - 2871⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2865
→Take Profit 1 2877
↨
→Take Profit 2 2883
XAUUSD UPDATED VIDEO ANALYSIS XAU/USD Analysis for 21 February 2025
Here’s a detailed breakdown of the factors influencing Gold (XAU/USD) for tomorrow, based on technical and fundamental insights from recent market data and forecasts:
1. Technical Analysis & Key Levels
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance at 2,940–2,943 USD (record high observed on 19 February)
A breakout above this zone could target 2,970 USD (next psychological barrier) or even 3,030 USD (Triangle pattern completion)
Support Levels:
Critical support at 2,887–2,906 USD. A drop below this range might trigger a deeper correction toward 2,850 USD
Indicators:
RSI (54.58): Neutral but leaning bullish.
MACD & Williams %R: Buy signals
Stochastic Oscillator: Overbought, suggesting short-term correction risks, though the broader uptrend remains intact
2. Fundamental Drivers
Fed Minutes Impact:
The release of the Federal Reserve’s January meeting minutes (scheduled for 19–20 February) is critical. A hawkish tone (e.g., delays in rate cuts) could strengthen the USD, pressuring Gold. Conversely, dovish hints may fuel bullish momentum
Geopolitical Tensions:
Ongoing US-Russia negotiations over Ukraine and Trump’s renewed tariff threats (e.g., 25%+ tariffs on pharmaceuticals and semiconductors) may sustain safe-haven demand for Gold
Dollar Dynamics:
The inverse correlation between XAU/USD and the USD remains pivotal. A weaker dollar (due to risk-off sentiment or Fed easing expectations) could propel Gold higher
3. Price Action Scenarios
Bullish Case:
A sustained break above 2,943 USD confirms the Triangle pattern breakout, targeting 3,030 USD
Continued safe-haven demand (geopolitical risks, tariffs) and dovish Fed signals may drive prices higher
Bearish Risks:
Failure to hold 2,900 USD support could trigger a correction toward 2,850 USD
Hawkish Fed rhetoric or USD strength (e.g., strong economic data) may cap gains
4. Strategic Takeaways
Entry Points:
Long positions: Consider buying on dips near 2,900–2,877 USD with a stop loss below 2,850 USD
Short-term traders: Target 2,970 USD if resistance at 2,943 USD breaks
Risk Management:
Monitor Fed Minutes and USD volatility. Adjust stop-loss levels dynamically based on news flow
Conclusion
Gold remains in a bullish trend, supported by geopolitical uncertainties and inflation hedging. However, tomorrow’s Fed Minutes will be pivotal in determining short-term momentum. A breakout above 2,943 USD opens the door to new highs, while a breakdown below 2,900 USD signals profit-taking or a deeper correction. Traders should align positions with technical levels and news-driven volatility.
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BTC Bitcoin Dont Panic Here This Is A Perfect Measured MoveI like the line chart because it filters out the noise and only shows the close prices. As you can see Bitcoin plays out these double top measured moves almost to the T perfectly. I can go back further but I dont need to its fairly similar.
Bitcoin will bounce around here for a bit and come dow to close the 5 day at the measured move around 82k then its back to the races. We're not going to crash, its just getting started. It may wick below 82 but on a closing basis on the 5 day, which has been very accurate in its history, 82k is where the measured move is. Dont fall for the bearish we're gonna crash stuff. Bitcoin has a long way to go before any top.
Not financial advice just my opinion.
XAUUSD: What to do with order stop loss? Follow me.Ordinary players: It's over. I woke up and found that the long XAUUSD order was stopped. What should I do?
Me: Isn't it enough to make money back?
Ordinary people: What should I do?
Me: Just continue to short around 2895!
During the early morning trading, the gold price only rose slightly by about $5. After reaching the 2920 position, it did not stabilize and then fell rapidly. This was unexpected. Fortunately, the stop loss was set, so our long order only lost about 10 points.
After waking up, I made a decision directly. Continue to short XAUUSD. Sell at 2900-2895. The shorts continued to exert force, and the longs were weak. In the end, it didn't last long before the gold price reached my target value of 2880. Achieve the process of perfect recovery of losses.
So stop loss is not terrible. Only one order is enough to bring followers to recover losses. But it must be able to allow followers to expand profits for a longer time. I think this is also the reason why some followers continue to follow me. It is also the reason why they join the analysis circle. They are looking for me. Not just a trading signal.
Currently, the gold price is hovering around 2980. There is some small support here, but today's trading plan is to short at high levels, so the option of going long is not considered for the time being. If the gold price returns to the 2890-2895 line, I think it is still possible to short at high levels. If you don't know how to trade, remember to leave me a message. Or join the analysis circle, there are more exciting analysis and real-time trading opportunities for reference.
GOLD: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 2888.5
Stop Loss - 2882.1
Take Profit - 2904.3
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-27: Weekday FLUSH PatternToday's Weekday FLUSH pattern is similar to a CRUSH pattern. It usually represents a very wide-range price bar with the potential for a big breakdown or breakaway type of price action.
Given yesterday's fairly wide price action and the NVDA earnings last night - I would not be surprised to see quite a bit of profit-taking in early trading, leading to an initial downward price trend, then moving into a basing/bottoming phase after 12-1PM ET.
In other words, a fairly large DIP/Sell-off leading to a base/bottom, then flipping bullish through the end of the day today.
Overall, I believe the SPY/QQQ will continue to try to push higher in the Excess Phase Peak pattern - reaching a peak between March 5-10 (only about 5-7+ trading days away).
Thus, we don't have a big rally ahead of us - only about 3-5+ days of a fairly strong rally over the next 5-10 trading days.
Now that the selling pressure has abated, metals should be forming a base or bottom. Get ready for an explosive move higher.
BTCUSD has broken downward and is not in the larger consolidation phase. This phase will likely continue for at least 2+ weeks before we attempt to move into the search for the Ultimate Low (likely below $75k).
Buckle up. Things are about to get very interesting.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Gold Price ActionHello Traders,
I have marked a key zone on the 4-hour chart, highlighting liquidity areas that need to be grabbed. Based on this setup, there is a strong possibility that the price will rise.
Looking at today's economic forecast, the USD appears slightly weaker due to higher-than-expected unemployment claims. Additionally, I have identified divergence, which further supports a potential bullish move.
You can consider entering a long position, but always ensure proper risk management. Stay disciplined, avoid over-leveraging, and don’t let greed take over.
Wishing you all the best and happy trading!
Thank you.