Gold swing trade idea target 1000 pips
* **Pair**: XAUUSD
* **Timeframe**: 1H (1 Hour)
* **Platform**: TradingView (OANDA feed)
* **Trade Type**: Long (Buy)
* **Entry**: 3,318.36
* **TP (Take Profit)**: \~3,419.30
* **SL (Stop Loss)**: Likely in the 3,290–3,295 range (based on visual zone)
---
## 🔍 Trade Breakdown
### ✅ **1. Pattern Recognition: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout**
* The white converging trendlines form a **symmetrical triangle** — classic continuation or reversal structure.
* **Breakout occurred to the upside**, triggering the long entry at 3,318.
* **Volume Delta Box** just below shows accumulation, suggesting smart money positioning pre-breakout.
---
### 🧠 **2. Confluence Zone for Entry**
* **Entry** level (3318.36) is:
* **Just above 0.618 Fibonacci retracement**
* Sits at the **triangle apex breakout retest**
* Inside a high **delta volume node** (buyers outpaced sellers)
This suggests **institutional accumulation** and a **"discounted" long entry** relative to prior range.
---
### 🔁 **3. Fibonacci Levels**
* The chart includes multiple Fib retracement overlays:
* From most recent **impulse wave down** and **overall swing**
* 0.5 and 0.618 retracement zones align with:
* **Rejection-to-support flip**
* Breakout confirmation levels
* This is a classic **smart money technique**: wait for structure break, enter on retrace to equilibrium (0.618/0.5).
---
### 📦 **4. Order Blocks and Imbalance Zones**
* Several **red and orange blocks** highlight prior **liquidity zones**:
* The large red zone below entry (around 3,295) was swept, likely inducing stop hunts → now **demand zone**
* Entry avoids this volatility and lands **just above reaccumulation zone**
* Also a visible **imbalance fill area** around 3,318, now tested and held — supporting bullish case.
---
### 🧮 **5. Risk-Reward and Positioning**
* **TP** at \~3,419.30 (just below 3,435 structure high) gives **R\:R over 3:1**, possibly even 4:1.
* SL is **tight under recent minor low** and under discount zone, which is key.
* Clear definition of:
* **Premium pricing** (target)
* **Discount pricing** (entry)
* Fits within a **smart money concept (SMC)** framework.
---
### 💡 Summary of the Method Used
| Element | Technique Used | Notes |
| ---------------- | --------------------------- | ---------------------------------------- |
| **Structure** | Symmetrical Triangle | Breakout to upside confirmed |
| **Volume** | Delta Volume & Order Blocks | Accumulation below breakout |
| **Fib Tools** | Multi-layered retracements | Entry at 0.618 area, TP at Fib extension |
| **SMC Concepts** | Discount/Premium Zones | Entry in discount, targeting premium |
| **Risk-Reward** | \~3:1 to 4:1 | SL tight, TP near major structure high |
---
### 🟢 Professional Verdict
This trade setup is **technically sound** and based on **smart money concepts**, **volume profile**, and **price structure breakout**. It uses:
* Entry at value (post-breakout retest)
* Strong confluences (Fib, trendlines, volume delta)
* Defined risk, clean target
* Logical narrative: **accumulation → breakout → retest → expansion**
If price holds above 3318 and momentum continues, the **3419–3435 zone is very reachable**.
Gold
XAUUSD - Poised for Fresh Highs After Healthy Correction?Looking at this gold (XAU/USD) 4-hour chart, the precious metal appears to be in a strong bullish trend that has carried it from around $2,960 in early April to current levels near $3,356. After reaching a significant peak around $3,480 in mid-April, gold has undergone a healthy correction and consolidation phase, which is typical behavior in strong uptrends as markets digest gains and reset momentum indicators. The recent price action shows gold has found support around the $3,120 level and has begun to recover, with the current move higher suggesting the correction may be nearing completion. The overall chart structure, characterized by higher highs and higher lows, remains intact despite the recent pullback. Given the strong underlying uptrend, the successful defense of key support levels, and the recent renewed buying interest, the higher probability scenario appears to favor a continuation of the bullish momentum toward new highs, potentially targeting the previous peak around $3,480 and possibly extending toward the resistance zone highlighted in the blue rectangle near $3,500.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold: Bullish Flag Formation Suggests Further Upside Potential Hello guys, let's dive into Gold analysis!
Gold is currently forming a bullish flag pattern, a continuation formation that typically follows a strong upward impulse (flagpole). After a sharp rally, the price consolidated within a downward channel, creating the classic flag structure.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Flagpole: The strong bullish rally in early April marks the beginning of the uptrend.
Flag (Channel): Price has corrected in a downward-sloping channel, respecting both upper and lower bounds, creating a textbook flag pattern.
Breakout Zone: Price is now testing the upper boundary of the flag. A confirmed breakout above this resistance would signal a continuation of the prior uptrend.
🎯 Price Targets:
First Target: Around $3,445, which aligns with the measured move from the breakout point.
Second Target: Around $3,725, representing full flagpole projection from the breakout zone.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Breakout Confirmation: A strong 4H close above the flag’s upper boundary (~$3,260) with volume confirmation would validate the pattern.
_____________________________________
Invalidation: A rejection from the resistance and a fall below the channel may delay the bullish scenario, potentially retesting lower support around $3,090.
📊 Conclusion:
This setup favors bulls, but patience is key. Traders may consider waiting for a clear breakout and retest for safer long entries, aiming for the outlined targets.
XAUUSD BULLISH TRADE IDEAChart Patterns Identified:
Cup and Handle Pattern (highlighted in red/pink):
The left half shows a rounding bottom (the “cup”).
The right side forms a descending wedge (the “handle”), typically a bullish continuation pattern.
Falling Wedge (inside the handle):
The price consolidates in a narrowing range, suggesting a potential breakout.
A breakout is projected upward.
Key Levels:
Support: Around $2,955.111
Current Price: $3,327.259
Resistance:
Intermediate: Around $3,500.200
Target (based on breakout projection): $3,733.873
Bullish Scenario:
If the breakout above the falling wedge is confirmed (as suggested by the arrow), the price target is near $3,733, which aligns with the height of the cup projected from the breakout point.
This aligns with classic cup-and-handle theory.
Technical Implication:
The setup is bullish and suggests continuation of the upward trend if volume supports the breakout.
Ideal entry would be on a retest of the breakout above the handle resistance.
XAUUSD H4 STRUCTURE OUTLOOK – MAY 26, 2025📍 Price: 3,358
Bias: Bullish, but watch for major resistance and fakeouts at highs
🔎 STRUCTURAL ZONES TO WATCH
Zone Type Price Range Reason / Confluence
🟥 PREMIUM SUPPLY 3,415–3,440 H4/H1 OB + FVG, unmitigated supply, previous HH sweep, top risk
🟥 SELL INTEREST 3,390–3,410 FVG + micro supply, previous LH zone, NY session high trap
🟦 MID FLIP ZONE 3,344–3,360 Recent CHoCH, local S/R flip, base of last impulsive move
🟩 SUPPORT #1 3,309–3,325 H4 OB + FVG, prior bounce, 21/50 EMA zone
🟩 SUPPORT #2 3,279–3,295 H4 demand, sweep + FVG, retest of previous structure
🟦 DEEP DEMAND 3,254–3,265 Strong OB, last HL, aligns with deep liquidity sweep on HTF
📈 QUICK CONTEXT (PA/RSI/EMA)
Trend: Still bullish on H4, but approaching exhaustion into supply
PA: Clean HH/HL, but sellers are waiting at the top
RSI: Overbought zone – potential for sharp rejection near premium
EMAs: Price above all EMAs (5/21/50/100/200), short-term stretched
🌍 MACRO CONTEXT
Geopolitics: Middle East, US inflation, global uncertainty still fueling safe haven flows
News: Monday open – watch for liquidity grabs and fakeouts in both directions
⚡️ HOW TO TRADE THESE ZONES
Only react to confirmation (BOS, CHoCH, or engulf) on M15/M5 at key levels
Avoid chasing candles at highs – best trades come from liquidity sweeps or trap zones
Be patient around NY session for high-volume fakeouts
🎯 KEY LEVELS RECAP
POI Price Range Bias
Premium Supply 3,415–3,440 Sell trap / reversal zone
Sell Interest 3,390–3,410 Short if rejection confirmed
Mid Flip Zone 3,344–3,360 PA magnet, S/R reaction
Support #1 3,309–3,325 Buy bounce on structure
Support #2 3,279–3,295 Demand, look for sweep bounces
Deep Demand 3,254–3,265 Extreme liquidity zone, last line of bulls
Friendly Tip:
Mark your key levels and watch price like a true sniper – don’t chase, wait for the trap! Which zone are you watching for the next big move? Drop your thoughts below, give a like if you value this structure, and follow for real-time gold plans and no-nonsense market insight. Stay sharp, team! 💡✨
— GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD DAILY OUTLOOK – MAY 26, 2025📍 Current Price: 3,358
Bias: Bullish momentum with “caution” – ready for liquidity sweeps and potential intraday trap moves.
📈 Quick PA/Trend/Risk Check
Trend: Bullish, but price hit major supply; expect high volatility.
Price Action: Multiple daily wicks = indecision, liquidity traps both sides.
RSI: Still in overbought territory on D1, but not at extremes.
EMAs: All trending up, with 21/50 EMA as bounce supports below price.
🌍 Macro/Mood/News
Geopolitics: Middle East + Fed talks = increased headline risk, no clear direction.
News: US inflation, FOMC, and “risk-off” spikes could trigger traps into supply or deep sweeps into demand.
⚡️ How to Use
Don’t chase breakouts!
Wait for M5/M15 confirmation (BOS/CHoCH or engulf) at the above zones.
Watch for liquidity sweeps and fakeouts, especially into 3,415–3,440 and 3,305–3,325.
Use RSI/EMA/FVG as extra confluence for your entry confirmation.
🎯 Key Levels Table – Copy/Paste Ready
POI Level Bias
Premium Trap 3,415–3,440 Watch for fake breakout/sell
Sell Zone 3,388–3,408 Short if rejected strongly
S/R Flip 3,360–3,375 PA Magnet
Support #1 3,305–3,325 Bullish bounce
Support #2 3,199–3,220 Bullish bounce
Deep Discount 3,012–3,040 Last-resort buy
Stay focused, don’t force trades – sniper mode only!
Drop a comment, follow, and join the conversation!
— GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook (May 26–30, 2025)👋 Hey GoldMindsFX Fam!
📍 Current Price: 3,358
🗓 Timeframe: Weekly
Bias: Bullish-with-caution, looking for first signs of real pullback or fresh squeeze.
🔍 REFINED WEEKLY STRUCTURE ZONES
Zone Type Price Range Context / Confluence
🟥 Premium Supply/FVG 3,480–3,515 Fibo 2.0 extension wick high, supply unmitigated, strong rejection risk if spiked.
🟪 Upper Trap / Reversal 3,415–3,440 FVG+OB combo, previous bull trap zone, micro liquidity sweep.
🟦 Mid-Resistance / S/R Flip 3,375–3,388 Weekly PA reaction (last close rejection zone), possible magnet for news-driven retests.
🟩 Demand/Support #1 3,250–3,265 Clean OB + FVG, demand that sent price to new high, SMC structure confirmed here.
🟩 Demand/Support #2 3,172–3,188 Weekly demand, liquidity sweep (post-CPI), reaction base before latest impulse up.
🟦 Discount Block 3,065–3,100 Last unmitigated OB + FVG combo, only reached if sentiment reverses heavy or big news shock.
📈 Trend, PA & RSI Insights
Trend: Bullish, but big wicks + RSI divergence suggest a pause is near.
Price Action: Last impulse is losing steam; lots of rejection wicks above 3,400. PA signals “distribution” up top.
RSI: Still overbought – ideal for fade setups if price enters supply.
Fibo Extensions:
1.618 tapped and rejected (3,440 zone)
2.0 = 3,515 (major upper limit for May unless new shock)
🌍 Macro/News Context
Geopolitics: Ongoing tension (Ukraine, Middle East), central bank gold demand, China accumulating, hot US inflation.
Market feels nervous: Powell’s last speech + CPI/UoM confusion = chop and volatility spikes possible.
Watch for fakeouts on news spikes into upper zones.
🧠 Key Takeaway
Bulls: Only strong above 3,388 close, but risk of traps grows with each spike.
Bears: Look for rejection/CHoCH above 3,440–3,480. If 3,250 breaks, 3,170–3,100 opens fast.
⚡️ Weekly Gameplan (No SL/TP)
Premium POIs:
3,480–3,515: Extreme supply, reversal watch zone
3,415–3,440: Main liquidity trap for NY news
3,375–3,388: Magnet zone for intraday retests
Discount POIs:
3,250–3,265: Best bullish support on structure
3,172–3,188: Secondary demand, high bounce probability
3,065–3,100: Deep liquidity block for max FOMO shakeout
Stay sharp, don’t chase FOMO wicks. Let price come to your POI — and as always, flow with structure, not the hype.
Drop a 🔥 if you’re riding this weekly flow!
— GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
XAUUSD Monthly Outlook – May 2025👋 Hey GoldMindsFX!
🕰️ Timeframe: Monthly
📍 Current Price: 3,204
📈 Bias: Cautious Bullish-to-Neutral
📏 Trend: Strong long-term bullish, but in monthly exhaustion/cool-off mode
🔍 STRUCTURAL OVERVIEW
BOS (Break of Structure): Confirmed above 2,075 (2020/2022 key resistance).
Rally: Sustained higher highs and strong bullish candles since October 2023.
Current Candle: Huge wick into FIB extension (1.618–2.0) = 3,440–3,500 (top-out risk).
🧠 KEY MONTHLY LEVELS TO WATCH
Type/Zone Price Range Quick Note
🔴 Premium Supply 3,440–3,500 FIB extension (1.618–2.0), big rejection wick, bull exhaustion
🟠 Resistance 3,222–3,242 Prior OB + last BOS area, possible retest zone
⚠️ Mid-Zone 3,160–3,185 Equilibrium, liquidity trap, key short-term support
🟢 Demand 3,050–2,960 Big monthly OB + FVG, unmitigated base, strong support
🔵 Discount 2,950–2,800 Previous reaccumulation, structure demand from 2023 rallies
🗺️ MACRO & MARKET CONTEXT
Geopolitical Tension: Wars, inflation, and Fed confusion (CPI/UoM).
Market Mood: Sentiment weak, uncertainty high after May FOMC & Powell.
Central Bank Flow: Dips bought, but profit-taking near highs — “wait and react” mode.
🧭 SCENARIOS FOR MAY
Bullish Plan: If price holds above 3,160–3,185 ➔ look for re-entry toward 3,240 and possible retest of upper wicks (3,440+).
Needs H4 CHoCH + volume for confirmation.
Bearish Plan: Lose 3,160 ➔ look for a drop toward 3,050–2,960. If that fails, watch for deeper retrace to 2,800–2,950.
⚙️ FIBONACCI EXTENSION SUMMARY
1.272: ✅ Hit
1.618: 3,440 (Tapped)
2.0: 3,500 (Wick/Exhaustion)
🧠 FINAL WORD
Gold’s monthly “moonshot” stalled at 3,500 — don’t chase, just watch how price reacts to the 3,160–3,185 key range.
Lose it? Expect deeper cool-off.
Hold it? Reload for one more push toward the highs.
Stay focused, trade smart, and let structure guide your next moves!
Drop a comment if you want the weekly/daily breakdowns.
— GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [May 26 - May 30]This week, the price of OANDA:XAUUSD increased from 3,204 USD/oz to 3,365 USD/oz, and closed the week at 3,357 USD/oz.
The reason for the increase in gold price this week is due to:
🔹Moody's downgrades US credit rating, causing USD to fall.
🔹Unsuccessful US bond auction raises concerns about economic instability.
🔹President Trump threatens to raise tariffs on European goods, raising concerns about trade war.
🔹Escalating tensions in Ukraine, Middle East, increasing demand for safe haven gold.
Gold prices next week may fluctuate in both directions, meaning they will adjust and accumulate to wait for the results of US-China trade negotiations, US economic data, and whether Mr. Trump will decide to impose tariffs on Europe or not?
Next week, the US will release many important economic data, including:
➡️Durable Goods Orders (Tuesday),
➡️Minutes of the FED's May Policy Meeting (Wednesday),
➡️PCE Inflation Index (Friday).
With the Trump administration's tariff policy, inflationary pressures in the US have been under a lot of pressure. If the core PCE index in April increases more than expected, it may cause the FED to continue to keep interest rates unchanged at its July meeting. In this scenario, the USD may increase again, causing gold prices to be under pressure to adjust next week. However, gold prices next week will hardly decrease sharply if the PCE increases, because gold prices next week are still supported by other factors such as tariffs, geopolitical conflicts, etc.
📌Technically, on the H4 chart, gold prices are starting to break the Downtrend line and tend to move closer to the resistance level of 3432. Meanwhile, support is established around the dynamic resistance level of 3300. The gold price trend next week is likely to lean towards a slight increase scenario provided that the USD does not recover strongly and geopolitical tensions continue. However, investors need to be cautious with corrections due to profit-taking or sudden changes due to macroeconomic information. Gold prices next week may fluctuate in the range of 3300-3450.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250USD
Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,435USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3451 - 3449⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3455
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3299 - 3301⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3295
Gold Surges – Is 3,500 USD the Next Target?OANDA:XAUUSD has shown strong bullish momentum, breaking above the upper boundary of the descending channel. This boundary previously acted as dynamic resistance but has now been broken and could potentially become a new support zone if confirmed. Price action at this level suggests a structure consistent with a bullish flag pattern, indicating the potential for a continuation of the uptrend if buyers engage.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price may have the potential to rise toward the 3,500 USD level, which serves as a reasonable target for this setup. And if price breaks beyond this area, there are few clear obstacles above, opening up room for a broader rally within the medium-term trend.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong rejection wicks from the support zone, or rising buying volume, before considering long positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts below!
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3389 and a gap below at 3352. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3478 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3517
BEARISH TARGETS
3352
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3317
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3317 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3233
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3233 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3185
3146
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3378 and a gap below at 3312. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3378
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3378 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3438
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3496
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3496 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3555
BEARISH TARGETS
3312
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3312 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3249
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3249 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3198
3119
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3249 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3046
2988
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Tchnical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe, using Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown of the idea behind this analysis:
---
1. Trend & Structure
The previous downtrend was broken with a change of character (ChoCH), suggesting a possible bullish reversal.
After the ChoCH, the market formed bullish order blocks which have been respected, confirming the bullish sentiment.
---
2. Key Levels
Support level: Around 3,220–3,240 region, coinciding with the 200 EMA, which has acted as dynamic support.
Order blocks: Several yellow zones indicate areas of institutional buying interest.
The most recent "new order block" is closer to the current price, showing a potential short-term demand zone.
---
3. Price Projection
The chart suggests a bullish continuation, projecting a move towards:
Target Point 1: Around 3,350–3,349.50
Target Point 2: Around 3,408–3,407.98
These levels are likely based on prior highs or imbalance zones.
---
4. RSI Indicator
RSI is above 65, showing bullish momentum, but nearing overbought territory (>70), which could signal a short-term pullback before continuation.
---
5. Trade Idea (Visualized Path)
A potential small pullback into the "new order block" around 3,280 is expected.
From there, price may rally to the next supply zones or previous highs, offering a potential gain of ~1.44%.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Summary of the Idea
This is a bullish continuation setup based on:
Trend reversal via ChoCH.
Strong order block formations.
EMA 200 support.
RSI confirmation.
Traders might look to enter near the new order block (around 3,280), targeting 3,350 and then 3,408, while managing risk below the order block support.
Pleas support boost 🚀 analysis follow K
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Here’s our latest weekly chart update. Once again, the Goldturn Channel continues to prove its reliability, with price action unfolding just as anticipated.
Last week, we noted multiple failed attempts to break above the channel top, each confirmed by the EMA5 being unable to close through resistance. This led to a pullback as low as 3189, nearly touching the 3094 level right near the channel's half line, a key support zone we've been closely monitoring.
We caught an early bounce off that half line, supported by confluence on our 1H and 4H setups, and that momentum has carried through into this week.
This week, we saw that bounce continue firmly off the half line, pushing price back up toward the channel top. Price has now closed above both the 3281 axis and the channel top, confirming a strong breakout and leaving an open gap toward 3387. This move not only validates our strategy but also reinforces the strength of the Goldturn system in capturing high probability swings.
As long as price remains above the channel half-line and especially now above 3281, we will continue looking for dip buying opportunities on retracements, using our intraday levels for targeted 20–40 pip moves. If the price pulls back below these key levels, we’ll reassess for potential downside toward the lower boundary of the channel.
This is exactly why we stick with our Goldturn Channel methodology our proprietary system based on weighted averages. It cuts through the market noise, distinguishes real breakouts from fake outs, and empowers us to trade with confidence and clarity.
Thanks again for your continued support, your likes, comments, and follows mean a lot.
MR GOLD
GOLDVIEWFX
Xau SellsShort term Gold / Xau Sell
* A bearish wedge/pennant pattern.
* BOS (Break of Structure) noted.
* Price approaching a strong resistance zone (\~\$3,438).
* Two key take-profit zones marked:
* TP1: \~\$3,167
* TP2: \~\$2,839
The blue projection suggests a short (sell) bias from the resistance zone
Direction: SELL
Yes, based on the wedge, Fibonacci zones, and price action, the bias is bearish. Price is tapping into a strong supply/resistance area, so a sell setup makes sense, especially after the BOS and premium price.
Entry Zone (Sell Area):
* Sell Entry Range: \$3,370 - \$3,438
* Around the 0.71 - 0.79 Fibonacci retracement and under the supply zone.
* Ideal area is between \$3,372 to \$3,438 (your marked red zone).
Stop Loss (SL):
* SL above supply zone high: \$3,510 - \$3,520
* Above strong high; gives room in case of liquidity sweep.
Re-entries:
* If price pulls back after TP1:
* Re-entry zone**: **\$3,250 - \$3,280
* Around 0.382 Fib level + structure retest.
Take Profit (TP) Zones:
* TP1: \$3,167 - \$3,120
* Strong support, aligns with your "Weak Low" + confluence with structure.
Risk\:Reward \~1:3
TP2: \$2,839 - \$2,835
* Deep support + Fibonacci extension zone (1:8 RR).
* High reward but only if bearish momentum continues strongly.
Final Notes & Corrections:
* Your TP zones are logically placed.
* Entry zone is strong and aligns with resistance + Fib.
* Consider watching for:
* Bearish engulfing or reversal candlestick patterns in entry zone.
* Confirmation with momentum indicators (e.g., RSI divergence).
Automate Gold Trading with Machine Learning and LLMS: FULL Guide🚀 Harnessing Machine Learning and Large Language Models (LLMs) to Automate Gold Trading: A Practical Guide
Gold 🥇 has long been considered a safe-haven asset and a cornerstone of investment portfolios worldwide. The advent of advanced technologies like machine learning (ML) 🤖 and large language models (LLMs) 🧠 has opened new avenues for automating gold trading, enhancing accuracy, and improving profitability.
🌟 Why Automate Gold Trading with ML and LLMs?
Machine learning algorithms excel at detecting complex patterns, analyzing vast amounts of market data swiftly, and predicting price movements more reliably than traditional methods. LLMs, such as GPT-4, further augment trading strategies by interpreting news sentiment, macroeconomic data, and global geopolitical events in real-time, offering nuanced insights into gold market movements.
🛠️ Step-by-Step Practical Implementation
1. 📊 Data Acquisition and Preparation:
Historical gold price data (open, close, high, low).
Economic indicators: inflation rates 📈, currency valuations (USD strength 💵), and interest rates 📉.
News sentiment analysis 📰 derived from financial headlines using GPT-4.
Example Application:
Use APIs like Alpha Vantage or Yahoo Finance to pull historical gold prices.
Integrate financial news from Bloomberg or Reuters and summarize sentiments using GPT-4 API.
2. 🎯 Choosing the Right ML Model:
Time Series Forecasting Models: LSTM ⏳ (Long Short-Term Memory), GRU 🔄 (Gated Recurrent Units).
Classification Models: Random Forest 🌳, Gradient Boosting Machines (GBM), and XGBoost 🚀 for predicting upward/downward price movements.
Example Application:
Use Python libraries such as TensorFlow, Keras, and XGBoost to build and train these models.
Predict price changes for the next trading session to make informed entry and exit decisions.
3. 🤖 Integrating Large Language Models (LLMs):
Employ GPT-4 or similar LLMs to perform real-time sentiment analysis on financial news.
Translate sentiment results into numerical signals (e.g., +1 positive, 0 neutral, -1 negative).
Example Application:
Daily analyze major news headlines related to gold using GPT-4 to capture market sentiment.
Incorporate these signals into your ML model to refine price movement predictions.
4. 📈 Training and Validation:
Train models on historical datasets using cross-validation to prevent overfitting.
Optimize parameters using genetic algorithms 🧬 or grid search techniques.
Example Application:
Use scikit-learn’s GridSearchCV or genetic algorithms in libraries like DEAP for parameter tuning.
5. ⚙️ Automating Trades with Expert Advisors (EA) on MetaTrader 5:
Integrate ML and LLM-derived signals into MetaTrader 5 Expert Advisors.
Implement position-sizing logic, risk management, and automatic lot scaling.
Example Application:
Write custom MQL5 scripts that execute trades based on ML model predictions and sentiment analysis outputs.
Dynamically adjust position size based on account equity and market volatility.
🛡️ Practical Considerations for Robustness
Risk Management: Always integrate dynamic stop-losses 🛑, trailing stops, and overall account-level risk management.
Flat Market Detection: Employ advanced techniques like Hurst Exponent, ADX/DMI compression, or Bollinger Band squeezes 🔍.
Continuous Optimization: Regularly retrain models and update sentiment analysis parameters.
🌐 Benefits of Combining ML and LLMs
Enhanced predictive accuracy 📈 through combined numerical and textual data analysis.
Improved adaptability 🔄 in dynamic market conditions.
Reduced emotional bias 😌 and human errors in trading.
⚠️ Challenges and Solutions
Data Quality and Overfitting: Rigorous preprocessing and cross-validation.
Market Regime Shifts: Continuous monitoring and periodic recalibration of models.
📌 Real-World Application Examples
Example 1:
Combine sentiment analysis with price data to predict significant market movements around economic announcements (e.g., Fed rate decisions).
Example 2:
Deploy an ML-driven EA on MetaTrader 5, adjusting positions based on both predictive analytics and real-time news sentiment shifts, significantly improving trade timing and results.
Example 3:
Use an adaptive ML model that retrains weekly with the latest market data, ensuring the trading algorithm remains relevant to current market conditions.
🎉 Conclusion
Automating gold trading using machine learning and LLMs presents an exciting frontier for traders. By leveraging these technologies, traders can significantly enhance decision-making, effectively manage risk, and achieve consistent profitability. The future of gold trading automation lies in blending cutting-edge algorithms with insightful real-time analysis, making now the perfect time to integrate ML and LLMs into your trading toolkit. 🥇🤖💹
Gold Analysis
4-hour time frame - To start the market, I expect an increase to the desired resistance areas and after collecting liquidity levels, the internal structure will correct the price. I have two correction scenarios in mind, with important support points whose numbers are clear, and a buy trigger can be taken in these areas for the main market liquidity that is indicated on the chart.
GOLD (XAUUSD): More Growth Ahead?!
Gold violated a significant intraday horizontal resistance on Friday.
The broken structure and a rising trend line compose a strong
contracting demand area now.
It will be a perfect spot to try to buy Gold after a pullback.
Next goal for the buyers will be 3400.
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XAU/USD Trading Plan - LAST WEEK OF May 25, 2025 Current Market Status * price $3358
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📊 Key Events This Week:
May 28: FOMC Meeting
May 29: Unemployment Data
May 30: Core PCE Index
📈Long Position Setup (Buy Zone)
Entry: $3,350-$3,355
Targets:
------ $3,420 (2.1% gain)
------ $3,480 (3.9% gain)
------ $3,550 (5.7% gain)
Stop Loss: $3,300 (1.5% risk)
___ Rationale:
- Support at weekly zone ($3,330)
- Potential Fed dovish pivot
- Monthly light buyer interest
- Safe-haven demand potential
📉 Short Position Setup (Sell Zone)
Entry: $3,380-$3,390
Targets:
----- $3,330 (1.5% gain)
----- $3,280 (3.0% gain)
----- $3,220 (4.7% gain)
Stop Loss: $3,420 (1.2% risk)
___Rationale:
Resistance at weekly high ($3,586)
Potential strong USD if Fed remains hawkish
Overbought conditions possible
Profit-taking at key levels
⚠️ Critical Risk Factors
FOMC interest rate decision
US economic data surprises
Geopolitial developments
Physical gold demand changes
🔍 Key Technical Levels
Support: $3,330 (weekly), $3,280 (monthly)
Resistance: $3,420 (main zone), $3,550 (ATH)
Pivot Point: $3,360
Bullish Outlook For GOLDLot of reasons for me to long GOLD.
1) 3500 round number All Time High Level.
Will be probably taken out real quick.
Possibly with a NWOG gap.
2) Blue box is my focused dealing range.
Equilibrium respected and confirmed.
Take profit 1: 3570 ( 2 st. deviations)
Take profit 2: 3796 ( 4 st. deviations)
3) Daily FVG
Extremely reactive to the top quadrant of the May 20 gap.
Update on gold for week A brief update that allows us to know about the next movement of gold vs usd .
we can notice the rejection from the bottom and the spring that we have , if the 3330 fvg is breaked with 4 hour candle with retest under it closing then we can confirm sell with sl above 3350 the tail and 1st tp will be nearly 3270
Stock Markets, Gold, Silver: Run With The Bulls!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of May 25 - 31st.
The Stock Markets are bullish, so run with valid buy setups when they form.
Gold and Silver are relatively strong. With tensions in Gaza and Iran, this is expected. Valid buys should be taken.
Crude Oil is a tad bearish due to US inventories, so valid sells are warranted in the short term.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
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Gold may break resistance level and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. In this chart, price previously formed a clear triangle pattern, where price was squeezed between two converging trend lines. After a period of consolidation, the market broke above this formation, reaching the resistance zone near 3365, but then started to retrace. Following that breakout, a new structure emerged, an upward wedge. The asset has been moving within this narrowing channel, forming higher lows and approaching the upper boundary with weakening momentum. This type of pattern often signals an upcoming strong move once the price breaks out from either side. Currently, Gold is trading near the resistance line of the wedge and just beneath the seller zone. I expect that the price may fall back to the support line of the wedge around the 3205 - 3185 area. After that, a bounce from this zone could trigger a bullish breakout from the wedge. That’s why I set my TP 1 at the 3420 level, this target aligns with a full wedge breakout and continuation of the upward movement through the resistance level and beyond the seller zone. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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