XAUUSD – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout or Breakdown?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently coiling within a symmetrical triangle on the 1H timeframe, indicating that a high-probability breakout or breakdown is imminent. Price is consolidating after a strong bullish trend, but volatility is compressing—typically a precursor to explosive movement.
📊 Technical Analysis
1. Symmetrical Triangle Formation
Price has been tightening within a symmetrical triangle, marked by lower highs and higher lows.
These patterns typically resolve in the direction of the preceding trend—but can also serve as reversal zones, especially at key highs.
2. Dual Scenarios Mapped Out
Bullish Breakout: If price breaks above the triangle, bulls may push toward the psychological resistance and Fibonacci extension target near 3,101.642, continuing the trend.
Bearish Breakdown: A rejection at triangle resistance and clean break below the support line could send gold down to the demand zone around 2,929, a 2.6% potential move, aligning with previous structure support.
3. Key Support Zone
The highlighted yellow block shows a strong demand zone, previously respected during a mid-March consolidation.
Price could seek this level if the triangle resolves to the downside.
🧠 Trade Setup Ideas
Bullish Bias: Break and hold above 3,020, potential long entry with TP around 3,101
Bearish Bias: Breakdown and close below 3,000, targeting the 2,930–2,915 zone
Invalidation Levels: Above 3,035 for bearish, below 2,995 for bullish
Goldanalysisintraday
Intraday Setup: Gold Market Technical Outlook & Supply Zone.🔹Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis
- The chart highlights a supply zone around the 2,914 level, where price previously faced strong selling pressure.
- Gold has broken below this zone, indicating a potential bearish continuation.
- A retest of the supply zone is expected before further downside movement.
- The projected path suggests a move lower towards new support levels, likely around 2,890 or below.
- If price fails to reclaim the supply zone, sellers may maintain control.
▪️Conclusion:
Gold appears to be in a short-term downtrend, with potential selling opportunities near the supply zone before further declines.
Gold Intraday Tues.12NOV.24: Price struggling to bounce on 1HRThe Gold price downward move is taking a breather.
But I see that a recent 1HR bounce on the RSI did not gain any momentum from the bulls.
The 4HR chart is also stalling re the same.
2 charts from 1 link are enclosed and attached.
So any significant move up by Gold on the 4HR chart (left) I would be watching the 200EMA which coincides with an important Fib level to see if price gets rejected, which I would expect to occur. But I don't think price will bounce that far up. In other words, a further move down is more likely.
We see on the Daily chart that price is now just under the 50EMA, so Gold-bears are moving on this, but we have an even greater bearish view of Gold once price moves under the 200EMA, which is really not that far down from current price (right of screen).
Thanks for reading. Monitor closely any Short-trading in Gold with stop losses, as sentiment can quickly change bullish, especially on economic news generally at the start of the NY session, but also remember that Bitcoin is not the only one in a bull-market, the same can be said that Gold continues in a Bull-market-run and what we are witnessing is a healthy correction, where price temporarily falls, for example from 2 days to 2 months. This is why price can easily bust to the upside again 'at the drop of a hat', because that is the path of least resistance.