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Goldbearish

XAUUSD Daily Outlook — Monday, June 2, 2025“Compression in Premium: Is Gold Building for the Drop?” 👋 traders — let’s prepare the battlefield. Gold continues to range inside a tight compression box just under the May High. The current daily structure is showing clear signs of distribution inside premium, with multiple failed attempts to break higher. Each upside wick has been absorbed near 3328–3350, and price is now hovering just above key support near EMA50 + PNL (3228–3232). This setup is classic: lower highs + equal lows + trapped liquidity = imminent breakout. We now anticipate either a clean breakdown below support, or one final inducement wick before the move begins. 🔹 Daily Structure Breakdown Structure Element Status Market Bias 📉 Bearish short-term (distribution signs) Trend Sideways in premium, LH forming Current Price ~3289 USD April ATH 3500 (untouched since) Last CHoCH/BOS BOS confirmed early May → bullish, but no follow-through Current Setup Range-bound inside lower high, testing OB support 🔹 Refined Daily Zones 📍 Zone Type Key Levels What to Watch 🔺 Rejection Zone #1 3328 – 3342 Daily supply + previous bearish wick zone. Watch for rejection or inducement spike. 🔹 Key Support Zone 3232 – 3228 PNL + EMA50 cluster. Critical line — a clean break opens downside continuation. 🔹 Demand Block 3190 – 3180 Micro OB from May low. If support fails, this is the next magnet. 🔻 Breakdown Target 3044 Unfilled imbalance + clean demand zone from April breakout leg. 🔹 EMA & Momentum Check ✅ EMA 5/21/50: Still aligned bullish ⚠️ Price is sitting on top of EMA50 → breakdown threat if today's candle closes below 3228 RSI likely showing divergence — lower highs in price, weakening momentum 🔹 Daily Bias & Scenarios 📉 Bearish Bias below 3328 ✅ Compression inside premium = expect breakout 🎯 Target 1: 3190 | 🎯 Target 2: 3044 ❗ Bullish continuation only valid above 3342 with strong PA 🧠 Strategy Plan for Monday: Sell Setup: If price retests 3328–3342 early → watch for rejection → short toward 3190 Breakdown Setup: Clean close below 3228 → open short continuation toward 3180 Buy Setup: Only valid on deep retracement into 3180 with strong rejection + M15 structure shift OR bullish breakout and hold above 3342 → target retest of May high 💬 Final Thoughts from GoldFxMinds: Gold is compressing just below premium rejection — exactly where smart money distribution begins. This is not the moment to long blindly. Let the market show its hand — either break support, or spike into one final trap before dropping. Trade with structure. Not emotion. 💡 Found this helpful? 📍 Follow GoldFxMinds for intraday sniper-entry updates, refined zones, and structured trade planning 💬 Drop a LIKE if you’re prepared to let the trap trigger before you react 👇 Comment below: Will gold hold 3228 or flush into 3190 this week? Let’s start June with clarity and control. — GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldFxMinds
19
XAUUSD H4 Outlook — Monday, June 2, 2025"Premium Exhaustion, CHoCH Confirmed — Is the Reversal Loading?" 👋 What’s up, traders — let’s break down the 4H structure for Monday flow. The 4H chart shows gold consolidating tightly around equilibrium (~3289) after a failed attempt to reclaim the premium zone. Price created a Lower High (LH) at 3360 and printed multiple CHoCHs + BOS to the downside. We are now seeing short-term distribution inside a narrow range, with supply active around 3296–3302 and liquidity building below. The market is showing signs of internal weakness: smart money has absorbed buyers in premium, and price is rotating lower, looking for fresh liquidity. 🔹 Market Structure (H4) Structure Element Level / Detail Trend Shift Bearish (CHoCH + LH) Current Price ~3289 (equilibrium) Major LH 3360 Confirmed CHoCHs Multiple — last seen on May 30 Short-Term Flow Bearish compression toward discount 🔹 Key H4 Zones (Refined) 📍 Zone Name Level (Rounded) Confluence 🔺 H4 Supply Block 3296 – 3302 OB + internal FVG rejection zone — short trigger area if retested 🔺 Final Inducement Trap 3326 – 3340 LH zone — liquidity inducement if price spikes early in the session 🔹 Intraday Support Zone 3274 – 3270 EQ edge – support under current price, bounce or break zone 🔻 Breakout Sell Zone 3244 – 3232 CHoCH/BOS zone → clean sell-side continuation if broken 🔵 Discount Buy Area 3188 – 3172 Deep FVG fill + May structure low → possible long reentry zone 🔹 EMA Flow (5 / 21 / 50 / 100 / 200) ⚠️ EMA5 crossed under 21 + 50 → short-term bear confirmation ✅ Price is under EMA21 and EMA50 — bearish control 🛑 EMA200 (3172) sits near discount demand → strong reaction likely if reached 🔹 Game Plan for Monday (Execution Bias) 🔻 Sell Setup #1 (Scalp to Swing): If price retests 3296–3302 → look for bearish PA → short toward 3244 If that breaks → continuation target = 3188 🔺 Buy Setup (Low-Probability Until Reclaim): Buy only valid below 3188 on strong bullish PA or LTF CHoCH Aggressive long possible only above 3340, but that invalidates LH 🔚 Summary: Gold on the 4H is rotating bearish — premium has rejected, CHoCHs confirmed, and EMA structure is rolling over. Price is compressing just under supply, signaling a potential breakdown to clear sell-side liquidity. Your edge this week lies in patiently waiting for retests of broken structure or rejection from clean OB zones. 💬 If This Helped You: 💡 Drop a LIKE if this gave you clarity on the H4 rotation 📲 Follow GoldFxMinds for real-time execution plans and sniper entries 👇 Comment your view: Will 3244 break first — or are we bouncing at 3270? Let’s stay tactical this week. — GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldFxMinds
XAU/USD buy to sell outlookThis week, I’ll be monitoring potential long entries from the nearby 3H demand zone, but my primary focus will be on price retracing into the 4H supply zone around 3,300, where I’ll be watching for a sell opportunity. This zone aligns with the current bearish momentum we've seen recently, and I’ll wait for price to slow down and show signs of distribution once it reaches this area.Once we see that slowdown, I’ll aim to refine a clean order block for entry, ensuring a clear change of character and avoiding any potential smart money traps or false moves. Confluences for Gold Sells: - A clean 4H supply zone has formed, which caused a break of structure to the downside. - There's significant liquidity resting below, making further downside likely. - Gold has been heavily overbought and saturated, which supports this correctional bearish move. - The DXY recently reacted bullish from a strong 2-day demand zone, adding confluence for downside in gold. - After last week’s sharp decline, a retracement is expected before further downside continuation. P.S.: There’s also liquidity to the upside in the form of uncollected Asia highs, so don’t be surprised if price sweeps those first before tapping into our supply zone. Let’s stay patient and smart with entries — have a great weekend, everyone!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
Gold Technical Analysis🔹 Price Structure: Price is in a short-term downtrend channel. Currently trading at $3,336, heading towards a major support zone around $3,315–$3,310. RSI at 36.6 is nearing oversold territory – indicating downside momentum slowing. 🔹 Key Zones: Support: $3,315 (major support with bounce potential) Resistance: $3,380 (target if support holds) Breakdown target: $3,290 (if major support breaks) 🔹 Price Action Possibilities: 🔁 Bounce Scenario: Price touches major support, RSI bounces, and price rallies back to $3,380 (drawn with the up arrow). 🔻 Breakdown Scenario: Price fails to hold support and drops toward $3,290 (red arrow path).
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by xxChartWhizxx
Gold Next Move 2492! read caption OANDA:XAUUSD is trading in parallel channel from last 2 months in H4, as you can see in chart gold is fully bearish till 2565 , all chart patterns bearish, fundamentally also bearish, gold can give possible move of 2561 if gold break it down and continue its trend then we can also see 2492 in gold. we will look good buying opportunity in gold from 2492 for now gold is sell. always use proper stop loss with fund management. all the best traders follow me and share my idea to your friends and family
TVC:GOLDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
XAU/USD Gold short from 2,360 back downThis week, I'm anticipating a bearish drop. I have a clean 12-hour supply zone that has caused a break of structure to the downside. At the start of the week, I expect the price to move towards this zone. If not, we might see a small reaction from the 2-hour zone, leading the price up to the 12-hour supply. Once the price reaches the 12-hour zone, I'll look for a Wyckoff distribution to form on the lower time frame, then sell the price back down to target the liquidity below, which I have identified as trendline liquidity. Confluences for GOLD Sellls are as follows: - Price has been breaking down and confirmed with a BOS on the higher time frame. - Lots of liquidity below in the form of asia lows and trendline liquidity. - price is near a good supply zone that has caused a break of structure. - ATH's was taken and enough liq for price to move back down. - This trade idea is along the with the current bearish trend. P.S. If the price breaks this 12-hour supply zone, I will wait for the mitigation of the 2-day supply zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
THE KOG REPORTKOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we said the correction in gold was likely going to be profit taking and we were not ready to suggest it’s bearish as yet. We suggested that resistance may hold during the early part of the week and if it did, we felt the opportunity to short the market back down into 2330-35 and below that 2310-2295 would be available. We said these are the levels we wanted to see the RIPs, and would represent opportunities to long the market back up in to the levels we had given, and for us into Excalibur targets sitting higher. As you can see, apart from the extension of the move into 2310, we got our move again upside giving us another phenomenal week on Gold in Camelot. Towards the end of the week, we gave traders the higher levels in which to look for the short trades, and again, perfect level to level trading implemented giving us the move down, then in Camelot, 2375 held for us to take it up again closing of the week. Great work by the team not only on Gold, but the numerous other pairs we trade. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? We wanted to see if they could close this above the 2400 level which failed on Friday, so even though we’ve been saying it for a couple of weeks, we’re going to play caution again on long trades unless we get a really significant pullback on Gold. We have the resistance level 2395-2404 which is holding the price down at the moment with support 2375 giving us the bias bullish above. However, for this week, we’re expecting them to attempt to break that high at some point and rather than taking long trades into the higher levels, we’ll be looking to capture another decent short trade from higher up. So, on open if we see support hold, traders could be presented with the opportunity to level to level long up into the 2404, 2410 and above that 2414-20 regions. We would suggest it is level to level with trades protected as soon as is viable and partials taken along the way. It may also be an idea to leave small runners with an open TP into the extension level 2340-55 which we’re identifying this week as an order region. It’s these levels where we’ll be looking for RIPs based on the set up if it is presented to short the market back down, with the view that we have potential to break below the 2375 price point. Please note, breaking and holding above 2404-6 is needed for us to target those higher levels. On the flip, although structure looks like we’re going higher, this range is confusing traders, not only getting them stuck mid-way but also whipsawing them into cutting and taking their stops. There is a small indication of a move down, but it’s not as significant as we would like at the moment, so we will say, if they do push this down, 2370-75 is the key support level which will need to break for us to go lower. KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 2370-5 with targets above 2404 and above that 2414 Bearish on break of 2370 with targets below 2355 and below that 2342 It's a simple on this week, caution is needed on the markets, so many traders are treating this like we’re in normal everyday market conditions as they haven’t experienced anything else. These are extreme market conditions, your lot sizes and your money management are imperative to maintaining your account and helping it to grow. There are numerous posts on trading the range, how to use levels, as well as a trading strategy that we’ve posted previously, please use these to help guide you through these markets. We’ll update the report throughout the week as well as share KOG’s daily bias and levels, please keep a look out for them, they have proven to be extremely successful in guiding traders and keeping them in the right direction. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
6
THE KOG REPORT - Update (what a day on Gold)End of day update from us here at KOG: Following on from the KOG Report published yesterday, what a move on Gold, point to point, level to level, as we like it here at KOG. Early session straight into support giving the short, then the RIP which was expected straight into the order region, and to top it off, the RIP from the order region for the short. Pip capture, unbelievable! We've been using the red box strategy for the rest of the move which has given us opportunities to capture the scalps 50-60pips a go in between. To be honest, that should be the week all done and dusted in terms of trading. So, what now? We have immediate support below 2315-10 which will need a forceful break to go lower, otherwise, any attempt on support could result in another RIP to take away the liquidity now sitting above 2350! For that reason, unless you're already short from the region given and protected, caution on shorting low in this range unless we confirm the break. Resistance now stands at 2330-35 with a break taking us higher before we then attempt to target lower pricing again. They're not going to make it easy, so stay disciplined and control lot sizes, the trade will come! Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
2
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report, what can we said during the early part of the week we wouldn’t be looking to long the market, instead, we would look for a high to form and then short the market back down in to 2230 and below that 2220. We got the short into the initial levels which is where we suggested during the week that traders take the trades and wait for a RIP. We gave the bias level targets as bullish above 2220 and long trades to be take into 2250 and above that 2286 on the bounces, which as you can completed. Then came NFP and the long trade from the support level, again giving us a great capture enabling us to have traded this down and then up again level to level almost pip to pip entry and exit. Please be aware, these levels are not small captures, you only need to look at the chart posted to see the distance that has been covered in this play. Great week for us in Camelot, not only on Gold, but on the numerous other pairs we trade. Hit rate was amazing, pip capture through the roof! So, what can we expect in the week ahead? Quick and simple KOG Report this week. Caution again on going long too high up as any movement like we’ve seen in the opposite direction will not give you time to manage your trades. Keep your lot sizes in check and make sure you're risk model is up to scratch. This is no normal market, we're in unprecedented times and markets reacting in extremes! For this week, we’re looking at a potential stretch on gold so please be careful! These levels are to be tested, but one more little move to the upside to get the ideal entry would be perfect for us. So, we have the initial resistance right here on the close 2230-35, if held there is an opportunity to short the market back down into support regions 2310-05 which is where we want to see what happens and look for a potential RIP. A break here is what is needed for the price to continue downside, otherwise one more swing higher into the order region 2345-50 could be available which is where the ideal short may come from! Longs higher up are risky as the turn can be sudden and will leave traders left hanging a region where data is lacking, so caution please unless you’re scalping for quick captures from the intra-day levels we posts as well as the red boxes. Use the levels on the chart and use the intra-day levels, don't marry the trade, don't marry the position. When you trade like this, it doesn't matter where the market goes, you trade it, take what it gives and come back again when your set up is right. It’s really as simple as that this week, price goes up into our levels, we want to test the shorts, comes down we’ll either test the longs, or wait for the potential stretch and then short it from higher up. KOGs bias for the week: Bearish below 2350 with targets below 2310 and below that 2280 Bullish again on break of 2350 with targets above 2365 and above that 2372 Range in play – Support 2255 / Resistance 2372 Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
2
GOLD TRADE IDEA / POTENTIAL BEARISH BREAKOUNT Hello Traders! I'm looking for a short trade on GOLD. I see the price in a key resistance level where I expect a bearish momentum until the PWL. In case of confirmation, i will execute this trade. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also, share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is the best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free, and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ____________________________________ www.tradingview.com
TVC:GOLDShort
by GoodTradeST
Gold Sell Today Spot Gold remains confined to a tight intraday range on Wednesday, hovering around the $2,155 mark. The US Dollar advanced throughout the first half of the day but reversed gains with Wall Street’s opening as investors await the United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision. The central bank is widely anticipated to keep rates on hold, with investors focusing on whether the dot pot or Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) will still suggest three rate cuts this year as it did in March.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Forex_Master-
1
GOLD ATH TAKEN - BEARISH TREND INCOMING!?This week's outlook on gold is intriguing given its recent high volatility and activity, reaching all-time highs. With liquidity now absorbed to the upside, I anticipate a shift in price direction towards the downside. This could signify the exhaustion of bullish momentum and the formation of a Wyckoff distribution pattern. In response, I'll be observing for a pullback, although there aren't any valid supply zones yet. Instead, I'll wait for price to retrace to a demand zone, providing an opportunity to buy back up towards a new supply zone. While my bias remains bullish for now, I'm prepared for a minor pullback before considering potential selling opportunities. Confluences for GOLD Sells are as follows: - Bullish pressure is getting exhausted and I anticipate a wyckoff distribution to occur soon. - ATH was taken which is a very strong point of liquidity which is enough to see a shift in trend. - Price has left lots of imbalances below in which price needs to fill. - There parabolic movement to the upside requires a pullback which hasn't yet occurred. - Lots of liquidity below like asian lows that need to get taken as well. P.S. Once price shifts its behavior on the higher time frame and breaks structure to the downside, I'll be more inclined to pursue selling opportunities and align my trades with the prevailing trend. However, for the time being, we should anticipate price consolidation and a gradual decrease in bullish momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
3
XAUUSD Shorts from 2030.000 down towards 1990.000My outlook for gold this week leans bearish, and I'm on the lookout for nearby shorting opportunities to drive the price towards the daily demand zone. Presently, I'm eyeing a clear 5-hour supply zone as a potential selling point. I'll be patient, waiting for a Wyckoff distribution pattern to unfold within this area before considering entry for my sell positions. The presence of this supply zone has triggered a slight shift in momentum to the downside and left an imbalance, indicating its strength. However, I'm mindful of the trendline liquidity above the zone, which might attract price action to breach it, possibly prompting a reaction from the 22-hour supply zone above. Confluences for GOLD Shorts are as follows: - Price is approaching a 5hr supply zone that has caused a CHOCH to the downside. - Theres an imbalance below that needs filling as well as some liquidity that can be taken. - Zone also lies within the 0.78 fib range and price is also at a psychological level of 2030. - Theres lots of liquidity to the downside that needs to be swept as well as an imbalance. - Price has been moving temporarily bearish short term so this is pro trend idea. - sentimental analysis also shows that gold is bearish as well. P.S.While I hold a temporary bearish stance and focus on the 5-hour supply zone, I'm also considering the possibility of price declining without touching my zone to break its structure and reach the daily demand area. In such a scenario, I'll be on the lookout for buying opportunities to ride the upward movement.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
1
XAUUSD Shorts from 2050.000 down towards 1990.000This week's perspective on gold is quite interesting, considering the recent break to the downside. The current retracement, triggered by a reaction from an imbalance, has my attention focused on the 22-hour supply zone. This particular zone played a significant role in causing the downward break. Given that price has cleared liquidity from its all-time highs, there's potential for a continued downtrend. Therefore, I'm patiently waiting for a Wyckoff distribution to unfold within the 22-hour supply zone. The goal is to capture selling opportunities, anticipating a move back down towards a robust daily demand zone where I expect a bullish reaction to occur. Confluences for gold Sells are as follows: - Price has recently broken structure to the downside on the higher time frame. - ATHs of the chart got swept, enough liquidity to generate a bearish trend. - Theres still imbalances below to fill as well as a daily demand that needs mitigating. - Price formed a clean 22hr supply zone that has caused this BOS to happen and in the 0.78 fib range. - Even if price wants to maintain a bullish trend it must come down to mitigate a demand. - Sentiment analysis also suggests gold to be bearish. P.S. While I'm currently bearish, there's a possibility that this could unfold as a temporary move toward a more favourable demand zone. This scenario might set the stage for a continuation of the bullish trend on the higher time frame. However, my immediate focus is on seeking selling opportunities to drive the price back down. Have a great trading week ahead and let's catch some pips!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
1
XAU/USD Shorts from 2077.000 down towards 2032.000My Gold forecast for this week anticipates a temporary bearish move to clear the liquidity below. With the bullish pressure fading and a shift in character to the downside, there are indications of a brief bearish phase. Given the substantial liquidity below, I expect a descent towards 2032, where a 19hr demand zone is located. Currently, my strategy involves waiting for a minor upward movement to facilitate a redistribution within my 10hr supply zone. Subsequently, I will explore selling opportunities from that point. Since this entails a counter-trend trade, I'll exercise caution and seek additional confirmation, such as a Break of Structure (BOS), to ascertain that the market is ready for a bearish trajectory. Confluences for Gold sells are as follows: - Price has changed character to the downside and has left unmitigated 10hr supply zone. - Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form of trend line liquidity and Asian lows. - Price has been moving very bullish recently and is due for a correction. - If price wants to continue in a bullish direction I expect for price to tap into the 19hr demand. - Price has recently reacted off a 2hr supply which initiated a downward trend. P.S. As this is a short-term perspective, my overall outlook for this market remains bullish. I anticipate that price will continue its upward momentum, but it needs to retrace to a more favorable level before embarking on another rally. Hence, I expect a drop to reach and interact with a 19hr demand zone, serving as a potential catalyst for another bullish rally. HAPPY NEW YEARS TO ALL OF YOU AND HOPE THIS YEAR BRING EVERYONE PROFITABILITY AND CONSISTENCY. LETS CATCH THESE PIPS!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx