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XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – June 2–6, 2025“Lower High Locked In – Is Gold Ready to Retrace?” 👋 Hello traders — welcome to a new week with GoldFxMinds. After weeks of strong bullish momentum, gold finally showed its first real sign of weakness. Price reached a weekly high of 3356 but failed to continue higher toward April’s ATH at 3500, forming a clean Lower High (LH). The weekly candle closed with a long upper wick and bearish body — a strong signal that buyers are losing steam inside the premium zone. We now shift into a corrective posture, watching closely to see if gold wants to rebalance down into true structure zones. 🔹 Market Context & Structure 📍 Detail Status Macro Bias Bullish (ATH = 3500, April) Current Trend Weakening – LH formed last week Weekly Close 3289, under EMA5 Momentum Shift First rejection after vertical rally Structure Warning Clean LH under ATH confirms retracement probability 🔹 EMA Overview (5/21/50) ✅ EMA Stack: Bullish ⚠️ Price closed under EMA5 (~3288) = first warning 📍 EMA21 near 3076 — next key level for reaction 🛑 Below EMA21 → full retracement likely toward 3040–3038 🔹 Refined Weekly Zones (Precision-Mapped) 📍 Zone Key Levels What to Watch 🔺 Rejection Zone #1 3335 – 3348 Last week’s wick area — short-term supply, expect reaction if retested. 🔺 Inducement Zone 3368 – 3405 Unfilled FVG + internal liquidity. Valid only if HH forms. 🔹 Support Zone #1 3112 – 3098 Monthly PNL + OB. Watch for intraday bounce if price flushes. 🔹 Support Zone #2 3062 – 3040 Clean weekly OB + FVG. Strongest buy zone if retracement deepens. 🧭 Under 3040 = next macro structure at 2638 (last HL) 🔹 Weekly Game Plan If early spike into 3335–3348 → monitor for rejection wick → possible short setup Break of 3245 (last weekly low) → opens path toward 3110 then 3062 Entry on 3062–3040 → valid only if PA confirms (rejection wick, BOS on LTF) Continuation long only if 3368–3405 is broken and held → target ATH (3500) 🔚 Summary: Gold printed a Lower High last week — the first since the macro breakout. That’s a critical signal. With premium already tapped and liquidity cleared above 3300, price may now retrace into real structure, offering better long setups lower. Let the market come to you. Don’t force buys near distribution zones. Watch the 3110 and 3062 areas — that’s where clean structure begins. 💬 If You Found This Helpful: 🔔 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper-entry updates, macro-to-intraday zone breakdowns, and real-time structure shifts 👍 Tap a LIKE if you’re ready to let price come to your level, not your emotions 💭 Comment below: Is this Lower High the start of June’s retracement? Let’s stay focused and trade with intent. — GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD Monthly Outlook – May 2025"Momentum Meets Maturity: Gold Faces Its Final Trap?" 🔹 Overview: Gold has delivered an explosive rally through Q1–Q2 2025, breaking all structural ceilings and printing a new All-Time High (ATH) at 3500 in April. May followed with aggressive bullish continuation, but failed to break that high, closing with a strong body but signs of momentum cooling. We are now trading inside a premium liquidity zone, where retracement becomes increasingly probable. 🔹 Monthly Structure & Bias 🔎 Component Status / Detail Current Price Range 3285–3310 Market Bias Bullish, but overextended ATH Confirmed 3500 (April 2025) May High 3435 – did not break ATH Structure HH + BOS above 2108 = bullish macro EMA Trend Full EMA 5/21/50/100/200 bull lock RSI Likely near overbought (watch June) 🔹 Refined Monthly Zones – GoldFxMinds Precision 📍 Zone Type Key Levels Explanation 🔺 Premium SELL Zone #1 3335 – 3368 First rejection layer inside premium. Previous wick reactions. 🔺 Premium SELL Zone #2 3368 – 3405 Final inducement from May. Ideal for stop hunts and traps. 🔺 ATH Trap Zone 3405 – 3500 Full liquidity cluster around ATH. Extreme caution here. 🔹 Local Monthly Support 3112 – 3098 Minor support below May’s PNL. First reaction floor. 🔹 FVG/OB Buy Zone 3060 – 3038 Valid monthly FVG + OB zone. Stronger confirmation area. 🔵 Macro Swing Support 2638 – 2612 Monthly OB and last HL before the 3000+ breakout. Solid base. 🔵 BOS Origin / HL Base 2592 – 2570 True origin of macro bullish structure. Swing trader interest. ⚫ Equilibrium Major #1 2280 – 2265 Fibonacci 50% of full macro range + EMA50. Potential macro reentry. ⚫ Equilibrium Major #2 2245 – 2212 Liquidity from past accumulation zones (2023–2024). 🔹 Fibonacci Context Full swing: 1045 (2015 low) → 3500 (ATH April 2025) Price is now pressing between the 1.618 and 2.0 extension zone, ideal area for macro distribution. The 50% equilibrium of the macro range sits at ~2240, aligning with EMAs and historical demand. 🔹 Liquidity Analysis ✅ Buy-side liquidity swept at every major milestone: 2108 → 2500 → 3000 → 3300 🎯 Final liquidity pool lies above 3435 into 3500 → this is where many late buyers could be trapped. 💧 Sell-side liquidity sits cleanly around 3110 → 2590 → 2240 — these are the likely draw targets if correction begins. 🔹 Macroeconomic Context (May–June 2025) 📰 Federal Reserve: Markets expect a possible rate cut in Q3, which still supports gold, but with less surprise. 🌍 Geopolitical Risks: Persistent global instability continues to back the gold rally. 🧮 Equity Overextension: Rotation from risk assets to safety could fuel one more push — or trigger a sharp correction. 💹 Inflation Outlook: Any spike in CPI may trigger further bullish flows — but positioning is already saturated. 🔚 Summary – What's Next? ✅ Trend: Still bullish, but at the final stages of maturity ⚠️ Risk: Sharp rejection likely near 3435–3500 📌 Scenarios to watch: Push into 3435–3500: Final inducement → possible sharp rejection Break below 3110: Opens path to 3038 or even 2630 Major swing buys only valid around 2638 or 2240, if macro retracement triggers 🧠 GoldFxMinds Final Word: The monthly chart shows strength, but we are now deep inside premium, under the shadow of a freshly printed ATH. If June opens with a wick or false breakout above 3435, expect a high-probability retracement toward 3110 or deeper. This is not the time to chase buys blindly — but rather to position smartly at real OBs and FVGs, where structure confirms.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
GoldFxMinds – XAUUSD Battle Plan for May 30, 2025Hello, GoldMinds snipers! Big news day ahead — Core PCE ). This is the kind of day where one news candle can change the whole game! Let’s get our sniper zones ready for both bullish rallies and bearish reversals. ⚡️ Macro & News Context Core PCE is a Fed favorite: high-impact, high-volatility. Gold just closed near 3317, high in premium territory — but market structure is coiled, not committed. Any PCE surprise can send us flying… or dumping. 📈 If Price Stays Bullish / News is Dovish 3325–3335: First resistance, the "fortress wall." If price clears and HOLDS above, next upside targets activate. 3348–3360: Next sniper zone above — historical supply, D1 OB, liquidity magnets. A strong close above 3335 = bulls control. Watch for quick tests of this upper block. If price breaks above 3360: The next “wild zone” is 3378–3388 — untapped liquidity above all previous swings. Only super strong rallies reach here, so trail your stops tight if you’re long. 📉 If Price Reverses / News is Hawkish 3315–3305: Trap zone, choppy — avoid entries here. 3285–3295: Key H1 demand, look for bounce or structure reclaim. 3250–3260: Deep discount sniper zone. Only buy if you see real reversal; if this breaks, expect panic to 3220 or even 3200. 🧠 Bias, Playbook, and Caution Bias: Neutral but flexible. Above 3335, bulls have momentum — look for breakouts. Below 3285, sellers control the show. Do not rush the first move after PCE. Real direction comes after the volatility traps. 🏹 Battle Plan Long only above 3335, with a confirmed breakout and volume. Short only at supply zones (3325–3335 or 3348–3360) if you see strong rejection. Never chase the spike. Wait for M5/M15 structure to confirm. Trap zone (3305–3315): Sit on your hands. Let the bots fight. 🔥 Final Word This is a two-way battle: If gold rockets above, follow the flow — but don’t forget, every hero rally can be a trap! If the bears win, be ready to strike on the drop. Comment your bias (🚀 or 🔻), hit follow for the post-news recap, and trade like a sniper, not a gambler. — GoldFxMinds 🟡🚨
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
6
XAUUSD H4 OUTLOOK – “Bounce, Trap or Breakdown?🧠 Market Context: Gold is consolidating between a major bullish defense zone (3090–3110) and multiple bearish supply layers above. We remain below the last major lower high and within a bearish H4 flow, though macro HTF structure is still bullish. If 3090 fails, the next deeper demand blocks will be critical. 🔁 STRUCTURAL FLOW: Bias: Bearish ST | Bullish HTF Trend: Lower highs | Weak demand bounces Flow: Retesting internal supply | Reaction from demand confirmed 📍 SNIPER ZONES Type Price Range Description 🔴 Extended Premium Supply 3365–3380 HTF OB + imbalance + wick zone 🔴 Premium Reversal Block 3312–3325 Upper imbalance + internal LH supply 🔴 Mid-Term Supply 3275–3285 May 13 rejection zone 🔴 Internal Trap Supply 3240–3255 Retest of old OB + inefficiency 🟢 Reactive Demand Zone 3160–3172 Internal CHoCH + RSI confluence + bounce base 🟢 HTF Buy Block 3090–3110 Final CHoCH origin + strong rejection 🟢 Deep Discount Demand 3050–3072 Unmitigated WICK OB below liquidity 🟢 FVG-Demand Layer 2980–3000 Weekly imbalance + final LTF liquidity pocket 🟢 Weekly Strong Low Zone 2890–2925 Last major HL before macro expansion ⚠️ Notes: Above 3325, price would need a strong break in structure to flip bias short-term. Below 3090, watch for bounce reactions at 3050 or the full discount zone into 2980. Until then, internal traps are likely during news week flow. 🔥 Follow @GoldFxMinds for sniper updates and market recaps 🧠 Which zone do you expect to be hit first: 3380 or 3050? Drop your thoughts below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD – H1 Key Levels Outlook🧭 XAUUSD – H1 Key Levels Outlook 🔼 Key Resistance – 3,237–3,247 (Premium + Weak High Zone) Why it matters: This is where price tapped into the premium range and formed a new weak high. Strong imbalance left here. What to watch: If price forms a CHoCH or M5 supply inside this zone, expect short-term rejection. If price consolidates above 3,247 and locks with EMA5, the bullish narrative may extend. 🔄 Mid-Range Zone – 3,183–3,193 (Previous FVG + Breaker Structure) Why it matters: Zone where price paused before the final impulse — now a reactive area with fair value gap. What to watch: First bounce or liquidity sweep here can provide short-term scalp opportunities. Clean break and EMA lock below 3,183 would open the door for deeper retracement. 🟦 Support Zone – 3,108–3,122 (Prior BOS + Liquidity Pool) Why it matters: Price broke above this zone strongly — now it may act as key demand. What to watch: If price returns and prints bullish CHoCH or rejection from OB on M15, valid sniper buy setup. A failure to hold here would indicate possible revisit of lower demand. 🧊 Discount + Strong Demand – 2,965–2,980 (HL + Clean OB) Why it matters: Untouched strong low paired with a clean bullish OB from April 9 reversal. What to watch: Ideal swing entry zone if market sells off deeper. A CHoCH or BOS + engulfing in this zone = sniper long re-entry. ✅ Summary: H1 confirms bullish flow, but current price is dancing in premium. Let price lead. If we reject the highs, focus on 3,193–3,183 and 3,122–3,108 for possible bounce points. A drop to 2,980 is extreme but worth prepping for. 💛 Trader’s Note: Don’t chase — observe. Highs can deceive, but key levels always speak. If it doesn’t look clean, it’s not your trade. Keep your plan close, your bias neutral, and your mind calm. Let’s crush the week, one sniper play at a time! 🙌 📣 Join the Conversation! Got your own levels or sniper zones in mind? Share them below — I love seeing how others view the battlefield! 🧠 If this breakdown helped or inspired you: ❤️ Like it 🔔 Follow and subscribe for daily sniper plays 💬 Comment to grow our trader tribe Let’s build smarter and trade sharper — together 💥 #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #TradingCommunity #GoldAnalysis #SniperEntry
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds