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GOLD WILL GO BUY CONFIRM PREDICTION Gold started the week under modest bearish pressure but managed to erase its losses ahead of the weekend. Investors still see a strong probability that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will opt for a rate cut in March, not allowing US bond yields to push higher and supporting XAU/USD. Next week’s calendar will not offer any high-tier data releases from the US, but Chinese growth figures and geopolitical headlines could influence the precious metal’s valuation. Read full analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Fx_Jack17
Gold Buy Target For TodayGold price struggles to stabilize above the immediate support of $1,930.00 amid an absence of supportive economic indicators. The precious metal shifts into bearish territory after a breakdown of the Head and Shoulders chart pattern formed on a lower time frame. Bear cross, represented by the 20 and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $1,950.00, indicates more weakness ahead. The yellow metal is seen declining toward the 200-day EMA, which is hovering around $1,907.00.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Analysis1
Gold: $2,025 - After US Inflation, What's Next?Gold: $2,025 - After US Inflation, What's Next? Gold's short term prospects might be dependent on upcoming US inflation data for December. XAU/USD currently trades at $2,025, stepping back from an intraday high of $2,042. On Thursday, the US will release the Consumer Price Index for December. The market is expecting a 0.3% monthly increase in Core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, in line with November. If the monthly core CPI exceeds 0.5%, it could push up US yields and weigh on XAU/USD. Alternatively, a softer-than-expected CPI reading may keep expectations for a Federal Reserve policy shift alive and perhaps help keep gold above $2,020. Technically, the 4-hour chart suggests a downside risk for gold, trading below its 20 Simple Moving Average at around $2,036. Conversely, the initial resistance for XAU/USD stands at $2050, where the 50- and 100-day SMAs are converging. The daily high on January 5 at $2063.98 might be the next level to keep an eye on to the upside.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
GOLD WILL FLY 🕊️ 💸 TILL 2065Gold price (XAU/USD) dived to a one-and-half-week low on Wednesday in the wake of rising US Treasury bond yields and a stronger US Dollar (USD). The US bond yields, however, started losing traction after minutes of the December 12-13 FOMC meeting reflected a consensus among policymakers that inflation is under control and concerns about the downside risks to the economy associated with an overly restrictive stance. This, along with a softer risk tone, allowed the precious metal to attract some buyers near the $2,030 area and gains some follow-through traction on Thursday.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Fx_Jack17
GOLD BUY Weak Economic Data UpcomingDear Traders, Gold tends to react to weak economic data and potential shifts in interest rates for several reasons: Hedge Against Economic Uncertainty: Gold is often considered a safe-haven asset. When economic data indicates weakness, such as low GDP growth, rising unemployment, or sluggish consumer spending, it can signal economic instability. Investors turn to gold as a store of value during uncertain times, which increases demand and consequently its price. Inverse Relationship with Interest Rates: Gold doesn't yield interest or dividends like bonds or stocks. Therefore, when interest rates are high, the opportunity cost of holding gold, a non-interest-bearing asset, is greater. Conversely, when interest rates decrease or are expected to decrease, the opportunity cost of holding gold diminishes, making it relatively more attractive. Hence, the anticipation of a pivot towards lower interest rates can drive up demand for gold. Currency Depreciation Hedge: Gold is priced in US dollars globally. When interest rates are cut, the relative value of the currency can decline. Lower interest rates can lead to inflationary pressures or a weaker currency, making gold more appealing as a hedge against potential currency depreciation. Market Speculation and Sentiment: Markets often react based on expectations and speculation. If there's a strong anticipation of interest rate cuts due to weak economic data, investors might proactively position themselves in gold as a precautionary measure, anticipating its value to increase, thereby driving up demand and price. Central Bank Actions: Central banks often use interest rate adjustments to manage inflation, stimulate economic growth, or mitigate economic downturns. Gold tends to respond positively to central bank decisions that signal economic concerns or policies intended to support economic recovery, which can fuel increased demand. Therefore, in anticipation of weak economic data and an impending pivot towards lower interest rates, investors might seek refuge in gold as a hedge against economic uncertainty, potential currency devaluation, and as an alternative store of value, all of which can drive up demand and subsequently increase the price of gold. Greetings, ZTrades
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZILATRADES
XAUUSD BUY LIKE WE SAIDDear Traders, let's break this down: Impending Weak US Data: If there's an expectation of weak economic data in the US, such as low job growth, poor GDP figures, or other economic indicators showing a slowdown, it could signal an economic downturn. In such scenarios, investors tend to move towards safe-haven assets like gold. This shift occurs because gold is seen as a store of value during times of uncertainty or economic instability. When investors lose confidence in other assets like stocks or currencies, they often turn to gold as a more stable option. Expected Rate Cut of the Dollar: A potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve weakens the US dollar. When interest rates decrease, the currency tends to devalue against other currencies. A weaker dollar makes it cheaper for holders of other currencies to purchase dollar-denominated assets like gold. This increased purchasing power can drive up demand for gold, subsequently increasing its price. Gold as a Hedge: Gold is considered a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation. When investors anticipate a weakening dollar due to rate cuts or other monetary policy actions, they often seek to protect their wealth by investing in gold. This demand for gold increases its price. Market Sentiment and Perception: Expectations and sentiments in the market heavily influence the price of gold. If investors perceive weak US economic data and a potential rate cut as detrimental to the dollar's strength, they might view gold as a safe-haven asset. This sentiment-driven demand can further drive up the price of gold. In summary, the combination of weak US economic data and the anticipation of a dollar rate cut can weaken confidence in the dollar and other traditional assets, prompting investors to seek safer alternatives like gold. This increased demand for gold, driven by its perceived stability and value during uncertain times, tends to push its price higher. Greetings, ZTRADES
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ZILATRADES
Looking to break fast highWe're looking for Gold to push up heights from Friday December 29th 2023 (7am EST) which was the short term latest high and we are looking for the candle to close above that area. The previous time during Friday failed to break that area despite multiple attempts to break on a 30m. I am looking for a close over our zone which is currently acting as a resistance area and as a confirmation i would like price to close above 2068.85. Very short term trade to potentially target 2070.74
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Trellz_
Gold Buy Confirm Chart Gold price is finding additional support, as the US Dollar meets fresh supply from a risk-on rally in the Asian stock markets. Investors cheer expectations of aggressive interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) next year and pile up on global stocks. Further, China’s pledge to promote stable growth by expanding domestic demand combined with the People’s Bank of China’s (PBOC) liquidity injections boost risk appetite at the expense of the US Dollar.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Fx_Jack17
1
GOLD BUY ASIAN SESSION HERE IS WHYDear ZTraders, Gold prices and interest rates often have an inverse relationship. When central banks signal impending rate cuts, it typically implies that they're trying to stimulate economic growth by making borrowing cheaper. Here's how this can impact gold prices: Lower Opportunity Cost: When interest rates decrease, the cost of holding cash or bonds increases because they offer lower returns. Gold, which doesn’t yield interest, becomes more attractive in comparison. Investors might shift their funds from low-yield interest-bearing assets to gold, boosting its demand and thus its price. Inflation Hedge: Rate cuts are often employed to combat economic slowdowns or to spur borrowing and spending. This can lead to an increase in inflationary pressures. Gold is considered a hedge against inflation. Investors might flock to gold as a store of value to protect their wealth against potential inflation, thereby driving up its price. Weakened Currency: Lower interest rates can weaken a country's currency as investors seek higher returns elsewhere. As a result, the value of the currency may decrease relative to gold, making gold more expensive in that currency. This can lead to an increase in gold prices in that particular country. Safe-Haven Appeal: In uncertain economic times, gold is often seen as a safe-haven asset. When rate cuts signal potential economic instability or uncertainty, investors may seek the safety of gold, increasing its demand and price. However, it's important to note that while there's often a correlation between rate cuts and gold prices, many other factors influence gold's value, such as geopolitical tensions, overall market conditions, supply and demand dynamics, and movements in the currency markets. Therefore, while rate cuts might influence gold prices, they aren't the sole determinants. As always, the relationship between interest rates and gold prices can vary based on specific economic conditions and investor sentiment, so it's not a foolproof indicator but rather one among many factors to consider when analyzing gold markets. Greetings, ZTRADES
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ZILATRADES
GOLD BUY CONFIRM ANALYSIS FOR TODAY Gold price is making a minor recovery attempt near $2,020 early Wednesday, replicating the move seen in Tuesday’s Asian trading. Risk sentiment appears to be in a tepid spot, underpinning the Gold price alongside a pause in the US Dollar upswing. The US Dollar has stalled its two back-to-back days of recovery even though markets have turned cautious after Moody’s Investors Service downgraded its outlook on China’s government credit ratings to negative from stable. The rating agency, however, retained China’s “A1” long-term rating on the country’s sovereign bonds.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Fx_Jack17
2