THE KOG REPORT - The week ahead for GOLDTHE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to retest the new highs created, and as long as the price wasn’t beaten, we would be looking to short the market back down into the 2165 levels and below that 2150. As you can see, we have another point to point move, with a low set in at 2150 for the week, giving the perfect short. We had planned the levels to go long in the KOG Report, and during the week we said we would stick with our plans to long the market from the level shown on the chart, which again gave us a tremendous pip capture into the resistance level.
A fantastic week on Gold, with Excalibur playing it’s part as well KOG’s levels and bias for the day and week completing. Not only on Gold, but the numerous other pairs we analyse, share and trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
This week is an important week on the markets with lots of news the later part of the week, mainly the big one on Wednesday being FOMC. We could see an aggressive start to the week with price again wanting for establish a baseline pre-event, so we’ll be looking for spikes in either direction until we settle. To start the week we have a support level below 2145-7 which if attacked and supported could give an opportunity to long the market back up towards the levels of 2165-7 which ideally what we want to see. Now, this price point is important, as an extension of the move can lead into the 2170-75 region, but we must stay below this level if bears want to again attack the lower levels again. So, for that reason, it’s this level that we will potentially want to see a short opportunity develop back down into the 2150 level and below that 2145. We'll access price action if we get to these levels.
For this week we’re giving the range of 2210 resistance and 2135 support, which is huge and price definitely has potential to play it. There is an order region 2172-2152 which is where we could see accumulation pre-event, so please be mindful of this and try not to get caught trading mid-range.
Please note, price breaking above that 2175 level and holding will result in that 2210 region being attempted and price breaking below 2145 will see us getting a deeper pullback into the 2110-15 region before another RIP in the making!
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 2175 with targets below 2150 and below that 2145
Bullish on break of 2175 with targets above 2195 and above that 2210
The market will always give you opportunities, either to get in, get out, or to manage your trades, so please make sure your money and risk management is up to scratch if you’re trading these markets.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Goldchart
Gold: pressure building ahead of Fed rate decision Gold volatility is slowing, and tension building as the Fed announcement gets closer.
Despite the historic announcement from the Bank of Japan's to end its negative interest rates policy and the Reserve Bank of Australia maintaining steady rates, gold has remained relatively stable.
However, with gold being priced in US dollars, all eyes are on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision scheduled for Wednesday.
While no rate cut is expected this month, traders will be looking for news on a June cut. The likelihood of a 25-basis-point rate cut in June has decreased by more than 20% recently, and now stands at about 50%.
Beyond the rate decision announcement, traders are particularly interested in the 'dot plot,' which shows individual FOMC members' interest rate forecasts. Should the central bankers maintain the 'dots' relatively unchanged, it could bode well for gold, especially considering the ongoing inflationary pressures indicated by recent CPI and PPI data have some analyst thinking that June is too soon for the Fed to be comfortable with a cut.
Gold continues to trade significantly above its 100- and 200-day moving averages. However, the 50-day moving average is possibly suggesting a limit to its short-term bullish momentum.
Meanwhile, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield remains stable above 4.3% in anticipation of the Federal Reserve event, preventing XAU/USD from gaining traction for now.
Gold Buy Confirm Target For Today 🔥Gold price (XAU/USD) lacks any firm intraday directional bias on Wednesday and seesaws between tepid gains/minor losses, below the $1,970 level through the first half of the European session on Wednesday. The precious metal, however, manages to hold its neck above a two-week low, around the $1,957-1,956 region touched on Tuesday. Traders now seem reluctant and are seeking more clarity on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate-hike path before placing fresh directional bets.
A slew of influential FOMC members acknowledged the US economic resilience and struck a more hawkish tone this week. This, in turn, fuels uncertainty over the next policy move. Hence, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech later today and on Thursday will be scrutinized closely for fresh cues about the central bank's near-term policy outlook. This, in turn, will play a key role in influencing the non-yielding Gold price and help in determining the next leg of a directional move.
Gold Buy 1966
Tp 1972
Tp 1980
Tp 1990
SL 1955
XAUUSD: 03/10/2023: New Gold Analysis
As you can see, the price had a bullish reaction after touching the HTF order block.
Now if the price can stay above 1818 we can expect a bullish move for a short term and define 1840 as a target.
Personally, I will study the price for a short position, if the price reaches to Supply zone.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓03/10/2023
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
XAUUSD - Asia Analysis Im expecting the 4hr candle to flip and make a move down to the next level as shown on the chart. This would mean sells below 1850.00 with a 4hr closure required. As always, im in bed through asian session and awake from 06.30 GMT to catch the pre london volume. Remember guys, its TIME AND PRICE that is the key to scalping these markets. Be at the charts when there is VOLUME!! .. Tommy
Gold starts 2023 with a new breakout. Welcome to 2023 traders. We hope everyone had a lovely holiday period.
On the first trading day of the year, gold buyers are setting the tone with a new breakout and setting up a new trend continuation.
Risk markets continue to trade mixed with some gains on stock futures while major risk currencies are trading lower to the USD and sharply lower to the Japanese Yen.
Today's video analysis, we look at gold's price action so far today, its pattern break, and we look above to potential key resistance levels we are looking at. Will we see buyers continue to push today’s breakout? Could we see 1876 resistance tested in the future?
Good trading, and happy 2023 to all.
XAUUSD 7/10/2022Gold currently facing resistance at 1715.02 & support at 1704.95 creating a ranging structure. Now if gold makes break & close below the structure, then it might continue to push down to the next support level at 1693.91.
Similarly, if gold closes above the structure with further bullish move, then it might continue to push up retesting the previous highs at 1727.63.
XAUUSD 5/10/2022Price currently facing short tf resistance at 1714.35 & support at 1703.60. now if price makes a break & close above the resistance, then it might continue pushing up to retest the previous high at 1727.63 or all the way up to retest the higher tf key zone at 1744.43.
And If price makes a breakout of the previous low or recent support at 1703.60, then it continue pushing down to retest the next support zone at 1693.69 or all the way down to retest the high tf key level at 1675.86.
XAUUSD 22/09/2022Price currently ranging in between 1680.51 as its resistance & 1656.16 as its support. now if price respects the support & closes above the resistance, then it could continue to push up to the next zones at 1692.36 or all the way to 1707.02 to make a retest on the newly forming downtrendline. And if price respects the resistance & closes below the support the it could continue pushing down creating new lower low on a HTF.
XAUUSD 20/09/2022Price facing recent support at 1667.16 while retesting the uptrendline & also price facing resistance at 1679.46. so if price break & closes above the resistance while respecting the support & uptrendline then price might continue to come up to the next resistance at 1691.67.
However if price breaks out of the support, that would also be a breakout of the uptrend which could lead price to come all the down to retest the key level at 1659.55 or retest the previous week low at 1653.85
XAUUSD 19/09/2022So gold currently moving in a downtrend channel & also formed a small timeframe structure while facing recent resistance at 1671.26 & support at 1653.99. now if price respects the resistance & breaks out of the support at 1653.99 then price might continue to push down to retest the next HTF support at 1644. 40 while still moving in respect to the downtrend.
However if price breaks & closes above the resistance at 1671.26 then gold could breakout of the downtrend channel & might continue to push up to the next resistance zone 1679.89 again as a retracement.
XAUUSD 15/09/2022Price retesting a major support zone on HTF at 1680.50 & also facing recent resistance at 1690.93 while moving in a downtrend. now if price respects the recent resistance and breaks & closes below the major support zone then gold could continue pushing down creating new lower low.
However if gold respects the support and makes a breakout of the resistance then price could continue pushing up to next resistance at 1697.82 or all the way to 1706.66 as a retracement move.
XAUUSD 14/09/2022Gold after the bearish engulfing move from yesterday, formed a bit of structure with a recent resistance at 1708.53 & support at 1696.67. now we are looking for trades on the breakout of the structure. so if price respects the recent resistance & makes a breakout of the support at 1696.67 then price continue pushing down to next major support zone at 1681.93. similarly if price respects the support and makes a break & close above the resistance on 30 min tf then price might continue pushing up to the next resistance at 1719.63.
XAUUSD 09/09/2022Price facing strong price rejection from the resistance level at 1726.90 & currently retesting a recent support at 1718.21. so if price continues to respect the resistance at 1726.90 & breaks below the recent support at 1718.21 then it could continue coming down to retest the next support at 1713.78 & retest the uptrendline as well.
XAUUSD 06/09/2022Price while moving in a recent downtrendline, it formed a very recent resistance at 1710.13 while having a htf resistance at 1715.61. so as long as price continue to respect the current resistance at 1710.13 and makes a breakout of recent low then price might continue to push down to retest the next key level at 1693.68.
XAUUSD 02/09/2022Gold has a Recent resistance at 1712.14 from & Support at 1698.80. now if gold respects its resistance & breaks out of recent support at 1698.55 then price might move bearish in respect to the downtrendline to all the way retest 1681.15 key zone.
However if price breaks out of the recent high at 1714.86 then it would be a breakout of the downtrend & price might push to 1721.41 as a retracement.
XAUUSD 31/08/2022Gold if makes a breakout of the resistance at 1728.49 then it would be making a breakout of the downtrendline & that might lead gold to push towards 1735.90 or all the way to 1740.49 key zone.
And gold finds resistance at 1728.49 & makes a breakout of the previous low at 1709.25 then it might push to 1700.60 or all the way to 1685.06 key zone.
XAUUSD weekly chart analysis from 29 AUG to 2 SEP 2022Gold seems to be moving in respect to a downtrendline & gold might continue to move down to retest 1680 key zone if it makes a breakout of 1711.34 or create new lower low if even closes below 1681.50.
However if it breaks out of 1808.34 with further bullish momentum then it would be making a breakout of the downtrendline & could shift to an uptrend from the downtrend.